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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 511

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-09 15:06:35
August 09 2016 14:55 GMT
#10201
Should post that in the Iraq & Syria civil war thread.

On August 09 2016 23:56 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2016 23:04 Unentschieden wrote:
On August 08 2016 09:39 LegalLord wrote:
Question for Germans. As far as I've heard, the current Turkey deal with refugees is not particularly popular in Germany. So among those who oppose it, what is considered to be the alternative? Taking more refugees? Building a wall on the border? No plan but just disagreeing with the idea that you have to make deals with nations you don't like because of political realities? I really don't see what solution is being proposed.


Germans love the idea to pay turkey (or anyone really) to take refugees. The issue is the idea that Erdogan uses this deal as leverage against the EU. "Tolerate my Anti-Democratic tendencies or you will be flooded with refugees".

In practice Erdogans position isn´t as strong as people think and the EU isn´t budging on it´s terms. He can´t simply open turkeys borders and expect refugees to just transit through.

So what's considered to be the alternative? Turkey is an obvious shitty nation to have dealings with, but surely if you want to avoid dealing with Turkey, there must be some other alternative being proposed?

Empower Greece (and bulgaria).

But we fucked that up too. Yeah, those idiot europeans are just too dumb. Turkey could have been part of the european union ten years ago, when it was actually doing everything it could to come in, but when it's over it's over ... Don't try to negotiate - by proposing free access to the european territory ! - with a country that you rejected for ten years... That's just basic common sense.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 09 2016 14:56 GMT
#10202
On August 09 2016 23:04 Unentschieden wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2016 09:39 LegalLord wrote:
Question for Germans. As far as I've heard, the current Turkey deal with refugees is not particularly popular in Germany. So among those who oppose it, what is considered to be the alternative? Taking more refugees? Building a wall on the border? No plan but just disagreeing with the idea that you have to make deals with nations you don't like because of political realities? I really don't see what solution is being proposed.


Germans love the idea to pay turkey (or anyone really) to take refugees. The issue is the idea that Erdogan uses this deal as leverage against the EU. "Tolerate my Anti-Democratic tendencies or you will be flooded with refugees".

In practice Erdogans position isn´t as strong as people think and the EU isn´t budging on it´s terms. He can´t simply open turkeys borders and expect refugees to just transit through.

So what's considered to be the alternative? Turkey is an obvious shitty nation to have dealings with, but surely if you want to avoid dealing with Turkey, there must be some other alternative being proposed?
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Unentschieden
Profile Joined August 2007
Germany1471 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-09 15:40:49
August 09 2016 15:38 GMT
#10203
On August 09 2016 23:55 WhiteDog wrote:
Should post that in the Iraq & Syria civil war thread.

Show nested quote +
On August 09 2016 23:56 LegalLord wrote:
On August 09 2016 23:04 Unentschieden wrote:
On August 08 2016 09:39 LegalLord wrote:
Question for Germans. As far as I've heard, the current Turkey deal with refugees is not particularly popular in Germany. So among those who oppose it, what is considered to be the alternative? Taking more refugees? Building a wall on the border? No plan but just disagreeing with the idea that you have to make deals with nations you don't like because of political realities? I really don't see what solution is being proposed.


Germans love the idea to pay turkey (or anyone really) to take refugees. The issue is the idea that Erdogan uses this deal as leverage against the EU. "Tolerate my Anti-Democratic tendencies or you will be flooded with refugees".

In practice Erdogans position isn´t as strong as people think and the EU isn´t budging on it´s terms. He can´t simply open turkeys borders and expect refugees to just transit through.

So what's considered to be the alternative? Turkey is an obvious shitty nation to have dealings with, but surely if you want to avoid dealing with Turkey, there must be some other alternative being proposed?

Empower Greece (and bulgaria).

But we fucked that up too. Yeah, those idiot europeans are just too dumb. Turkey could have been part of the european union ten years ago, when it was actually doing everything it could to come in, but when it's over it's over ... Don't try to negotiate - by proposing free access to the european territory ! - with a country that you rejected for ten years... That's just basic common sense.


I´d be very carefull to simply call international diplomats with decades of experience "just too dumb".
Realpolitik states that the EU doesn´t actually care how antidemocratic Turkey becomes as long as it keeps it´s international obligations, treaties and deals - which despite all the threats it still DOES.

International diplomacy doesn´t operate under what we internet forum posters call " basic common sense" but harsh pragmatism. Morality isn´t a factor despite everyone claiming it is.

The EU still has close ties with a notorious Human rights violator - the US still employs capital punishment.
Unentschieden
Profile Joined August 2007
Germany1471 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-09 15:40:36
August 09 2016 15:40 GMT
#10204
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4783 Posts
August 09 2016 15:56 GMT
#10205
On August 09 2016 22:59 doc_biceps wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2016 21:47 Ghostcom wrote:


You are mistaking the lack of support for sufficient camp building for an inherent flaw of camps. Had EU spend the money establishing sufficient camps we would've:

1. Helped more people.
2. Helped the weakest and those in most dire need - and not the ones with the most resources.
3. Discouraged the migration towards Northern Europe (and at least in part prevented the resulting mass-grave in the Mediterranean) .
4. Avoided the current situation in the camps.

Again, refugees are NEVER going to be able to continue living their lives. A refugee is not in a less temporary situation if he travels to Germany than if he is in a camp. It is only when the refugee converts to immigrant or is able to return home that life can go on. To think the issue of temporariness is only pertinent to camps is wrong.


I totally agree on your points 3 and 4. On the other hand, I highly doubt that it is logistically possible to create as many camps as needed for the number of refugees, but I lack real numbers to "prove" my point there.

Properly funded camps would have made a "fair" distribution to other places possible (e.g. taking in kids, sick people, families etc from the camps to Europe).

I totally disagree on the "never going to be able to continue living their lives". Yes, some of them will never be able to go back and did what they did before they left their country, but some of them will return IF the war is over (which will hopefully happen at some point). Yes, the "refugee status" as a temporary situation is pertinent in and outside of a camp, but a lot comes down to how refugees feel in the situation. From my own experience, they feel less lost and "homeless" if they are allowed to live in a flat with their family or even with a couple of strangers then they are in bigger accommodation (sorry, I dont know if accommodation is the right word here ...). People need to have something to do (work, learn, acivities) which are much easier achieved in or next to towns and cities.


I think you might want to reread the last paragraph of my previous post. If they return to their country they are no longer refugees. It is easy enough to set up teaching and leisure activities in camps. Work in the conventional sense is obviously difficult.

However, I think you are idealizing what we are offering those who made the trip to EU - most of them are not working in the conventional sense either. Ideally it would be the best if we could create an entire new society in which the refugees could simply "plug'n'play" i.e. continue their lives like nothing happened. However, we can't. So at some point we have to decide what we deem more important: That we help a small fraction or we help a proportion orders of magnitude larger - my vote is for the latter.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
August 09 2016 16:05 GMT
#10206
https://www.energyvoice.com/other-news/116518/turkey-russia-track-gas-pipeline-project/?piano_t=1
Recep Tayyip Erdogan says Turkey and Russia can rebuild their damaged ties and make the two countries even closer after talks with Vladimir Putin.

Calling the Russian leader his “dear friend”, President Erdogan said Turkey is ready to implement a natural gas pipeline project with Russia and a deal to build Turkey’s first nuclear power plant.

Mr Putin, in his turn, said that the flow of Russian tourists to Turkey – halted after the downing of a Russian jet by Turkey in November – will resume.

Mr Putin added that he and Mr Erdogan will have a separate discussion on Syria later on Tuesday involving top military and intelligence officials to search for common ground in the crisis, where Moscow and Ankara have backed the opposing sides.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Elroi
Profile Joined August 2009
Sweden5599 Posts
August 10 2016 08:10 GMT
#10207
On August 10 2016 00:56 Ghostcom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2016 22:59 doc_biceps wrote:
On August 09 2016 21:47 Ghostcom wrote:


You are mistaking the lack of support for sufficient camp building for an inherent flaw of camps. Had EU spend the money establishing sufficient camps we would've:

1. Helped more people.
2. Helped the weakest and those in most dire need - and not the ones with the most resources.
3. Discouraged the migration towards Northern Europe (and at least in part prevented the resulting mass-grave in the Mediterranean) .
4. Avoided the current situation in the camps.

Again, refugees are NEVER going to be able to continue living their lives. A refugee is not in a less temporary situation if he travels to Germany than if he is in a camp. It is only when the refugee converts to immigrant or is able to return home that life can go on. To think the issue of temporariness is only pertinent to camps is wrong.


I totally agree on your points 3 and 4. On the other hand, I highly doubt that it is logistically possible to create as many camps as needed for the number of refugees, but I lack real numbers to "prove" my point there.

Properly funded camps would have made a "fair" distribution to other places possible (e.g. taking in kids, sick people, families etc from the camps to Europe).

I totally disagree on the "never going to be able to continue living their lives". Yes, some of them will never be able to go back and did what they did before they left their country, but some of them will return IF the war is over (which will hopefully happen at some point). Yes, the "refugee status" as a temporary situation is pertinent in and outside of a camp, but a lot comes down to how refugees feel in the situation. From my own experience, they feel less lost and "homeless" if they are allowed to live in a flat with their family or even with a couple of strangers then they are in bigger accommodation (sorry, I dont know if accommodation is the right word here ...). People need to have something to do (work, learn, acivities) which are much easier achieved in or next to towns and cities.


I think you might want to reread the last paragraph of my previous post. If they return to their country they are no longer refugees. It is easy enough to set up teaching and leisure activities in camps. Work in the conventional sense is obviously difficult.

However, I think you are idealizing what we are offering those who made the trip to EU - most of them are not working in the conventional sense either. Ideally it would be the best if we could create an entire new society in which the refugees could simply "plug'n'play" i.e. continue their lives like nothing happened. However, we can't. So at some point we have to decide what we deem more important: That we help a small fraction or we help a proportion orders of magnitude larger - my vote is for the latter.

Good point, but I think we need to do both. Lets be honest, life in refugee camps is like a life in prison. Sure it can be better with possibilites for education etc, but many, many people want to do something with their lives. If we tried that solution we would still have hundreds of thousands of people who would come here and live here illegally or die trying. The difference is that there would be no way of integrationg these people.
"To all eSports fans, I want to be remembered as a progamer who can make something out of nothing, and someone who always does his best. I think that is the right way of living, and I'm always doing my best to follow that." - Jaedong. /watch?v=jfghAzJqAp0
doc_biceps
Profile Joined March 2016
Germany43 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 12:35:28
August 10 2016 08:14 GMT
#10208
On August 10 2016 00:56 Ghostcom wrote:
I think you might want to reread the last paragraph of my previous post. If they return to their country they are no longer refugees. It is easy enough to set up teaching and leisure activities in camps. Work in the conventional sense is obviously difficult.

However, I think you are idealizing what we are offering those who made the trip to EU - most of them are not working in the conventional sense either. Ideally it would be the best if we could create an entire new society in which the refugees could simply "plug'n'play" i.e. continue their lives like nothing happened. However, we can't. So at some point we have to decide what we deem more important: That we help a small fraction or we help a proportion orders of magnitude larger - my vote is for the latter.


Why do you think you can help more people with the camps? While thinking about it, you never really stated why you made that statement (maybe I didn't get the point ). You said that more kids, old people, poorer people could be helped in the camps and I guess thats where the "more" comes from, right?

After doing some "research" I found some sources and numbers about refugees hosted. In 2014 Turkey, Pakistan, Lebanon and Iran were sheltering around 5 Million people ( www.esiweb.org ). In 2015 1 Million refugees came to Germany (prob more). If the EU would have funded more/better camps, that would be 25% more people in countries which are already at their maximum capacity. And those are only the refugees which are in Germany right now (I know that there are a lot in Denkmark, Sweden etc as well).


EDIT:
I want to add this to the camp discussion: www.theguardian.com


Deleted User 101379
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
4849 Posts
August 10 2016 09:14 GMT
#10209
I had an interesting experience with immigrants yesterday.

I live right next to a house in which several non-native families live. I assume they are Turkish, because they sound like the guy I used to buy Doner kebab from which is probably just my ignorance of their various languages, but I'll maintain that assumption for the moment.

The older people are always loudly arguing in Turkish - or whatever language they are speaking - and some of the older people apparently can't even speak German. Yesterday, after coming home from work, their children were playing with other non-native children, all maybe 5-8 years old, in front of the house... and they were chattering away in German like any other German child.
After thinking about it, I was wondering which language their children would consider their native language. In 20 years, when those 5-8 year olds have their own children, what language will they speak at home to their children? Probably not Turkish, more likely German.
What about the children of those children? Will they even remember that their family doesn't come from Germany? And the generation after?

So, thinking some more about it, maybe it's not a problem that first generation immigrants don't bother learning the local language. After all, their children go to our school, learn our language and the children of those children will grow up in German speaking households. Sure, that's 50+ years in the future, but some things take time and eventually those immigrant families become just as German as the Germans arguing about immigrants. Sure, it would go faster if immigrants learn the local language and even speak it at home, but in the end the generations after them will assimilate, whether the first generation does or not.
doc_biceps
Profile Joined March 2016
Germany43 Posts
August 10 2016 10:12 GMT
#10210
On August 10 2016 18:14 Morfildur wrote:
I had an interesting experience with immigrants yesterday.

I live right next to a house in which several non-native families live. I assume they are Turkish, because they sound like the guy I used to buy Doner kebab from which is probably just my ignorance of their various languages, but I'll maintain that assumption for the moment.

The older people are always loudly arguing in Turkish - or whatever language they are speaking - and some of the older people apparently can't even speak German. Yesterday, after coming home from work, their children were playing with other non-native children, all maybe 5-8 years old, in front of the house... and they were chattering away in German like any other German child.
After thinking about it, I was wondering which language their children would consider their native language. In 20 years, when those 5-8 year olds have their own children, what language will they speak at home to their children? Probably not Turkish, more likely German.
What about the children of those children? Will they even remember that their family doesn't come from Germany? And the generation after?

So, thinking some more about it, maybe it's not a problem that first generation immigrants don't bother learning the local language. After all, their children go to our school, learn our language and the children of those children will grow up in German speaking households. Sure, that's 50+ years in the future, but some things take time and eventually those immigrant families become just as German as the Germans arguing about immigrants. Sure, it would go faster if immigrants learn the local language and even speak it at home, but in the end the generations after them will assimilate, whether the first generation does or not.


Congrats on your positive experience, always nice if you experience something like that. Young kids can pick up a language incredibly fast (I dont know the exact age, but the younger the better). It is very easy to teach a kid two languages, as can be seen in families where the parents speak different languages.

The generation that came to Germany for work in the 60s is about to start to fade away. Those men often brought their families and their parents never learned the language. Most of them are dead or dying and the proportion of people who don't speak the language is slowly decreasing while more and more people speak both (e.g. Turkish and German). The lack of language is getting less of a problem for those people.


Where it is still troublesome is when working with the "new immigrants" or refugees. It is one of the reasons their children have to be able to go to school and kindergarden as fast as possible so they can learn the language because it is almost impossible to have a translator for the important talks with officals or paperworks. Teaching those kids the language will make "dealing" with them in the future way more easy.

Children often help their parents in this regard by translating at shops or in talks with officals.
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4783 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-10 14:34:52
August 10 2016 14:23 GMT
#10211
On August 10 2016 17:14 doc_biceps wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2016 00:56 Ghostcom wrote:
I think you might want to reread the last paragraph of my previous post. If they return to their country they are no longer refugees. It is easy enough to set up teaching and leisure activities in camps. Work in the conventional sense is obviously difficult.

However, I think you are idealizing what we are offering those who made the trip to EU - most of them are not working in the conventional sense either. Ideally it would be the best if we could create an entire new society in which the refugees could simply "plug'n'play" i.e. continue their lives like nothing happened. However, we can't. So at some point we have to decide what we deem more important: That we help a small fraction or we help a proportion orders of magnitude larger - my vote is for the latter.


Why do you think you can help more people with the camps? While thinking about it, you never really stated why you made that statement (maybe I didn't get the point ). You said that more kids, old people, poorer people could be helped in the camps and I guess thats where the "more" comes from, right?

After doing some "research" I found some sources and numbers about refugees hosted. In 2014 Turkey, Pakistan, Lebanon and Iran were sheltering around 5 Million people ( www.esiweb.org ). In 2015 1 Million refugees came to Germany (prob more). If the EU would have funded more/better camps, that would be 25% more people in countries which are already at their maximum capacity. And those are only the refugees which are in Germany right now (I know that there are a lot in Denkmark, Sweden etc as well).


EDIT:
I want to add this to the camp discussion: www.theguardian.com




My argument isn't simply that we could help more, but also that we help those in most need if we had approached this correctly instead of trying to import Syria to EU. Those countries are at the bring of capacity, because we didn't react properly and supported them enough.
Proof of the first claim (there are plenty more sources out there, just google cost of refugees): A syrian refugee in Germany costs 30.000, in Jordan 3.000
Proof of second claim:
The United Nations has registered over 4.2 million Syrian refugees, a step in seeking asylum from other countries, and has a demographic snapshot of about half of them. Of the 2.1 million registered in Egypt, Iraq, Jordan and Lebanon there’s a pretty even split in gender: about 50.5% are women and 49.7% are men. For men and women, the bulk of refugees (a little under a quarter each) are between the age of 18 and 59.


Versus

In Europe, over 800,000 migrants have traveled to Europe by sea in 2015, according to the United Nations refugee agency, and a little over half have come from Syria. About 62% of all migrants that have traveled to Europe this year, however, are men. A little under a quarter, 22%, are children and only 16% are women.


Source

It's to be expected that those undergoing the expensive and dangerous journey are going to be most fit for surviving it - however, these people are not the ones in most need of help. Even before their journey they were much better off than their peers in the camps.

The Australian camps are another story of underfunded camps, so thanks for making my point I guess? That's the type of shitshow you end up with when the funding is terrible.

EDIT:
On August 10 2016 17:10 Elroi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2016 00:56 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 09 2016 22:59 doc_biceps wrote:
On August 09 2016 21:47 Ghostcom wrote:


You are mistaking the lack of support for sufficient camp building for an inherent flaw of camps. Had EU spend the money establishing sufficient camps we would've:

1. Helped more people.
2. Helped the weakest and those in most dire need - and not the ones with the most resources.
3. Discouraged the migration towards Northern Europe (and at least in part prevented the resulting mass-grave in the Mediterranean) .
4. Avoided the current situation in the camps.

Again, refugees are NEVER going to be able to continue living their lives. A refugee is not in a less temporary situation if he travels to Germany than if he is in a camp. It is only when the refugee converts to immigrant or is able to return home that life can go on. To think the issue of temporariness is only pertinent to camps is wrong.


I totally agree on your points 3 and 4. On the other hand, I highly doubt that it is logistically possible to create as many camps as needed for the number of refugees, but I lack real numbers to "prove" my point there.

Properly funded camps would have made a "fair" distribution to other places possible (e.g. taking in kids, sick people, families etc from the camps to Europe).

I totally disagree on the "never going to be able to continue living their lives". Yes, some of them will never be able to go back and did what they did before they left their country, but some of them will return IF the war is over (which will hopefully happen at some point). Yes, the "refugee status" as a temporary situation is pertinent in and outside of a camp, but a lot comes down to how refugees feel in the situation. From my own experience, they feel less lost and "homeless" if they are allowed to live in a flat with their family or even with a couple of strangers then they are in bigger accommodation (sorry, I dont know if accommodation is the right word here ...). People need to have something to do (work, learn, acivities) which are much easier achieved in or next to towns and cities.


I think you might want to reread the last paragraph of my previous post. If they return to their country they are no longer refugees. It is easy enough to set up teaching and leisure activities in camps. Work in the conventional sense is obviously difficult.

However, I think you are idealizing what we are offering those who made the trip to EU - most of them are not working in the conventional sense either. Ideally it would be the best if we could create an entire new society in which the refugees could simply "plug'n'play" i.e. continue their lives like nothing happened. However, we can't. So at some point we have to decide what we deem more important: That we help a small fraction or we help a proportion orders of magnitude larger - my vote is for the latter.

Good point, but I think we need to do both. Lets be honest, life in refugee camps is like a life in prison. Sure it can be better with possibilites for education etc, but many, many people want to do something with their lives. If we tried that solution we would still have hundreds of thousands of people who would come here and live here illegally or die trying. The difference is that there would be no way of integrationg these people.


Considering the current success rate of integration you might as well say that even in the current situation there is no way of integrating these people. We are doing a piss-poor job of it (Statistics Denmark has a report from 2014 including multiple parameters such as education, employment, etc. dst.dk - it's only in Danish though. To briefly sum it up: Descendents of ME immigrants do poor in school, do not get an education, are more likely to be criminal, more likely to receive social welfare - heck you name the parameter and they are doing worse than not only the Danish population, but also all other immigrants. As far as I'm aware, no other country (I'm looking at you Sweden and Germany) keep these kinds of statistics, but please share if you find them.

However, more importantly, as soon as you start talking about integration you are no longer considering them refugees but immigrants. The discussion of whether or not that is prudent is not one I'm interested in entering here.
REDBLUEGREEN
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Germany1904 Posts
August 10 2016 14:25 GMT
#10212
The last few days some youtube videos appeared of of Russia mobilizing on the Ukrainian border.

Now FSB released a statement saying that they arrested a group of Ukrainian spys and saboteurs and that Ukrainian special forced tried to break into Crimea.
It said one Russian soldier had been killed in what it called a "massive fire fight" when Ukrainian forces with the support of armored vehicles had tried and failed to break into Crimea.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-ukraine-crisis-crimea-attack-idUSKCN10L1EE?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Feed: Reuters/worldNews (Reuters World News)

...
Ukrainian special forces going for a frontal assault to break into crimea? Makes absolutely zero sense. Looks like Russia is going for another invasion and creating a casus belli.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 10 2016 14:40 GMT
#10213
FSB's explanation for the attacks was that it was meant to influence the upcoming elections. Full statement here (in Russian).
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-11 21:05:52
August 11 2016 18:28 GMT
#10214
Stiglitz "The problem with Europe is the euro". A good economist is talking, for once.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/aug/10/joseph-stiglitz-the-problem-with-europe-is-the-euro?CMP=fb_gu

SO WHO IS TALKING ABOUT PUNISHING GERMANY FOR ITS LACK OF RESPECT FOR EUROPEAN RULES ? (German commercial balance with the european maximum in red)
[image loading]
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
Yuljan
Profile Blog Joined March 2004
2196 Posts
August 11 2016 21:34 GMT
#10215
On August 10 2016 18:14 Morfildur wrote:
I had an interesting experience with immigrants yesterday.

I live right next to a house in which several non-native families live. I assume they are Turkish, because they sound like the guy I used to buy Doner kebab from which is probably just my ignorance of their various languages, but I'll maintain that assumption for the moment.

The older people are always loudly arguing in Turkish - or whatever language they are speaking - and some of the older people apparently can't even speak German. Yesterday, after coming home from work, their children were playing with other non-native children, all maybe 5-8 years old, in front of the house... and they were chattering away in German like any other German child.
After thinking about it, I was wondering which language their children would consider their native language. In 20 years, when those 5-8 year olds have their own children, what language will they speak at home to their children? Probably not Turkish, more likely German.
What about the children of those children? Will they even remember that their family doesn't come from Germany? And the generation after?

So, thinking some more about it, maybe it's not a problem that first generation immigrants don't bother learning the local language. After all, their children go to our school, learn our language and the children of those children will grow up in German speaking households. Sure, that's 50+ years in the future, but some things take time and eventually those immigrant families become just as German as the Germans arguing about immigrants. Sure, it would go faster if immigrants learn the local language and even speak it at home, but in the end the generations after them will assimilate, whether the first generation does or not.



Wow interesting. Its not like we have experience with 3rd generation muslim immigrants right? Since most of them were secular turks that do not even follow the most radical forms of islam its fine now isnt it?

http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/schaeubles-muslim-studie-500-seiten-politischer-sprengstoff-a-524535.html

"40 Prozent aller befragten Muslime in Deutschland sind "fundamental orientiert"."

"Die Studie unterscheidet zwischen jungen Muslimen und der älteren Bevölkerungsgruppe. So seien Jugendliche und junge Erwachsene eine besondere Risikogruppe bezüglich Radikalisierung oder Gewalt."

"6 Prozent aller Befragten (hochgerechnet auf alle drei Millionen Muslime in Deutschland 180.000) sind der Studie zufolge "gewaltaffin", sie sind also theoretisch mobilisierbar. Das bedeute, dass sie massive Formen politisch-religiös motivierter Gewalt akzeptierten."

Oh 40% support fundamentalistic interpretations of Islam? Lets bring a few million more that will surely help us deal with the already existing problems. Surely they will know integrate quietly into our society and wont be cause a massive reduction in security, a drain on money and general refusal to do more than basic interactions with the german populance.

[image loading]

[image loading]

"Vor  allem  bei  Delikten,  die  der Gewaltkriminalität zugerechnet  werden, ist  der 
Anteil Nichtdeutscher überproportional hoch, darunter z.B. Mord und Totschlag 
sowie  Vergewaltigung  und  sexuelle  Nötigung  (jeweils  28  Prozent),  Raub  (27 
Prozent),  gefährliche  und  schwere  Körperverletzung  (23  Prozent),  schwerer 
Diebstahl (23 Prozent) oder auch bei Rauschgiftdelikten (33 Prozent) (BKA 2010, 
S. 108)."

Not including passport germans with immigration background.

http://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/muslime-in-deutschland-leben-wir-in-parallelgesellschaften/10710570.html

Please excuse the German but its hard to find even the few German sources on the subject let alone english ones. I dont like muslims immigrants much, as you may have noticed, but I absolutely hate Germans like you.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 11 2016 22:15 GMT
#10216
German intelligence services have evidence that “hit squads” from the Islamic State terror group have infiltrated the country disguised as refugees, the deputy head of Bavaria’s spy agency told the BBC Thursday.

“We have to accept that we have hit squads and sleeper cells in Germany,” Manfred Hauser, the vice president of the Bavaria region’s intelligence gathering agency, BayLfV, told the Today program.

“We have substantial reports that among the refugees there are hit squads. There are hundreds of these reports, some from refugees themselves. We are still following up on these, and we haven’t investigated all of them fully,” said Hauser.

German Interior Minister Thomas de Maizière will present a set of new security measures in Berlin on Thursday, following recent attacks in the country inspired by ISIL.

On July 18, five people were injured on a train near the city of Würzburg in Bavaria by an axe-wielding attacker. Less than a week later 15 people were injured during a suicide bombing attack outside a bar in Ansbach, also located in Bavaria.

Hauser said intelligence services have “irrefutable evidence that there is an IS command structure in place,” making a coordinated attack, similar to those seen in Paris last November and Brussels in March, “likely.”

Bavaria has been the main gateway for asylum seekers fleeing conflict in the Middle East, over 1 million of whom arrived in Germany in 2015.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 11 2016 22:16 GMT
#10217
In other news, water is wet and people who assumed that terror cells would not be among the refugees were completely wrong.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4783 Posts
August 11 2016 22:31 GMT
#10218
On August 12 2016 06:34 Yuljan wrote:
Please excuse the German but its hard to find even the few German sources on the subject let alone english ones. I dont like muslims immigrants much, as you may have noticed, but I absolutely hate Germans like you.


This is uncalled for. I understand frustration, but let's keep it at that. We are all here to exchange thoughts so that we may collectively learn - right?
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
August 11 2016 22:49 GMT
#10219
On August 12 2016 07:16 LegalLord wrote:
In other news, water is wet and people who assumed that terror cells would not be among the refugees were completely wrong.

Sadly people will most likely die because of the lack of thinking and preparation of european authorities, and nobody will be accountable for those deaths.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 11 2016 22:52 GMT
#10220
On August 12 2016 07:49 WhiteDog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2016 07:16 LegalLord wrote:
In other news, water is wet and people who assumed that terror cells would not be among the refugees were completely wrong.

Sadly people will most likely die because of the lack of thinking and preparation of european authorities, and nobody will be accountable for those deaths.

Maybe they will just justify it by saying "the chance of dying in a terrorist attack is smaller than the chance of being struck by lightning" or other such denial tactics.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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