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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 353

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
dismiss
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United Kingdom3341 Posts
December 14 2015 18:44 GMT
#7041
Imo, that's one of the big reasons as to why the "right wing" parties are gaining so many votes. Many people aren't on board with the left wing utopian fantasy governments across Western Europe have been preaching and feel increasingly marginalised by the politicians as well as media. Add to that an economy reliant more and more on qualifications and certifications, leaving many stranded in dead end jobs and you end up with a mass of people in the middle of society who lash out at every perceived threat to whatever little wealth they have left.
Failure to improve posting standards will result in a lengthy ban. I <crms_> !dumb <GeoffAnderson> crmsdota <crms_> damnit
kornetka
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
Poland129 Posts
December 14 2015 18:46 GMT
#7042
On December 14 2015 23:49 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2015 20:03 Silvanel wrote:
On December 14 2015 18:57 maybenexttime wrote:

Second of all, who is demolishing the Constitutional Tribunal? Legally, it is much more likely that PiS is in the right here, not PO. As far as I can tell, the Constitutional Tribunal is currently highly partisan. It clearly tried to give its verdict on the constitutionality of the June 2015 act as late as possible, hoping that by then the President will have sworn those new judges in... Read what I wrote about this whole debacle earlier:


This is BS. At least half of current judges were elected with support from PiS. They didnt have problems with them when they were elected. They only started to be "partisan" when they got into PISs way.


I don't care whether or not PiS had any objections with those nominations. I am talking about the facts. The Constitutional Tribunal was evidently partisan as regards the matter in question. Three of the judges had worked on the act that was later on deemed as partially unconstitutional (although it was PO that added in the questionable article). When PiS objected, the president of the Tribunal first downplayed the objection and then procrastinated for several months and intended not to exclude the three involved judges from adjudicating on the matter, despite an obvious conflict of interest.

(...)


Wrong and wrong. The tribunal doesn't act on its own. They review cases brought to them by president/government/deputies/etc. A group of deputies from PiS appealed to the tribunal to review this case on October 23rd, so this 'several months' is an utter bullshit. And they did exclude the judges when the investigation started. They couldn't exclude the judge from the case that doesn't exist.
Nice links/sources, unfortunately in Polish: www.rp.pl, www.polskieradio.pl
broodwar for ever
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-12-14 19:37:19
December 14 2015 19:09 GMT
#7043
On December 15 2015 03:25 WhiteDog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 15 2015 03:23 Nyxisto wrote:
What I found really ridiculous is that the FN is starting to win over the gay vote(new.spectator.co.uk). I don't know what drives these people. I remember the guy who shot himself in the Notre Dame as part of a demonstration against gay marriage and Marine Le Pen paying him her respects.

The FN (intelligently - the FN is very good from a strategic standpoint, it basically robbed the extreme left) never took side in regards to the gay mariage

Except this is false: they did explicitly take sides, and they were (unsurprisingly) against allowing homosexuals to marry and adopt.

Marine Le Pen and Florian Philippot themselves may not have officially called to join the demonstrations against gay marriage, but the political bureau of the party still explicitly stated before the law was passed the party's "historical opposition to marriage and adoption for homosexual couples". This position can also be found in the party's press releases. The FN also had a delegation in the demonstrations against the law, and the bureau likewise invited FN representatives, executives and sympathizers to join them in the demonstrations if they wanted to protest the law (many did, including the only two FN representatives at the National Assembly). After it passed, Marine Le Pen declared that she would get rid of same-sex marriage if she was elected (non-retroactively).
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
Narw
Profile Joined February 2011
Poland884 Posts
December 14 2015 19:24 GMT
#7044
On December 14 2015 18:57 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2015 08:51 Narw wrote:
On December 12 2015 02:52 AngryMag wrote:
On December 11 2015 08:14 Sent. wrote:
Slovakia has a left wing government and the new ruling party in Poland is not new or fascist. If you count the votes from our recent elections you can see that our society is still split 50-50 between liberals and conservatives. Your turbonazis won those elections only because they're united and liberals ruled for 10 years so people got "bored" with them. Maybe voters in the West and South are getting more radical but here it was just a normal shift of power.

Iirc UKIP had terrible results in British elections so its not like UK is changing its course drastically either


Dude you should see the amount of propaganda the press spits out about those PIS fellas. It is quite embarassing tbh one could think they would be Adolf himself.


Adolf you say? Leader of those PiS fellas spoke few days ago about "genes of national treason" while in the meantime he is demolishing Constitutional Tribunal. So yeah, im not sure what you call propaganda is just propaganda.


First of all, did you actually see the interview and know the context or are you simply relying on excerpts from TVN or such? "Gazeta Wyborcza" and TVN are doing exactly what Niezalezna.pl or "wSieci" have been doing with taking Bieńkowska's quote out of context ("Only idiots (...)"). I did not see anything controversial in what Kaczyński said in that interview (at least the part in question).



This is so hillariously annoying to read this over and over and over again that if i don't agree with PiS worldview and decision making i must be reading Wyborcza or watching TVN all day every day.

And you don't see anything controversial? I guess you got used to the rhetoric that anyone who isn't with all mighty Kaczynski is the enemy of Poland and should be ashamed of even existing. I for sure didn't.

If you think that current events surrounding Constitutional Tribunal aren't dangerous from the national view, i don't know what needs to happen. I don't understand how you can go in line with rhetoric where political party that have huge majority in parliment and President which is walking definition of word "puppet" tries to take control over one of the last democratic mechanisms of supervision that isn't fully in their hands.

They have majority, they don't have CONSTITUIONAL majority so take your fucking hands away from Constitution and respect the law.




Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-12-14 20:31:07
December 14 2015 20:04 GMT
#7045
The whole atmosphere in Poland surrounding the new government sounds a little bit like Putin's United Russia or Erdogan's AKP. As soon as you're not on board you're part of the fifth column and a filthy internationalist. It's somewhat sad how one Eastern European country after another drives up the internal anti-commie rhetoric while drifting into the same authoritarian style of government.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5811 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-12-14 21:47:08
December 14 2015 20:42 GMT
#7046
On December 15 2015 03:46 kornetka wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2015 23:49 maybenexttime wrote:
On December 14 2015 20:03 Silvanel wrote:
On December 14 2015 18:57 maybenexttime wrote:

Second of all, who is demolishing the Constitutional Tribunal? Legally, it is much more likely that PiS is in the right here, not PO. As far as I can tell, the Constitutional Tribunal is currently highly partisan. It clearly tried to give its verdict on the constitutionality of the June 2015 act as late as possible, hoping that by then the President will have sworn those new judges in... Read what I wrote about this whole debacle earlier:


This is BS. At least half of current judges were elected with support from PiS. They didnt have problems with them when they were elected. They only started to be "partisan" when they got into PISs way.


I don't care whether or not PiS had any objections with those nominations. I am talking about the facts. The Constitutional Tribunal was evidently partisan as regards the matter in question. Three of the judges had worked on the act that was later on deemed as partially unconstitutional (although it was PO that added in the questionable article). When PiS objected, the president of the Tribunal first downplayed the objection and then procrastinated for several months and intended not to exclude the three involved judges from adjudicating on the matter, despite an obvious conflict of interest.

(...)


Wrong and wrong. The tribunal doesn't act on its own. They review cases brought to them by president/government/deputies/etc. A group of deputies from PiS appealed to the tribunal to review this case on October 23rd, so this 'several months' is an utter bullshit. And they did exclude the judges when the investigation started. They couldn't exclude the judge from the case that doesn't exist.
Nice links/sources, unfortunately in Polish: www.rp.pl, www.polskieradio.pl


I've read that PiS brought up their issue with this article of the act during one sitting of the commission. Apparently PiS indeed did not file an actual appeal until October, my mistake. But the fact that those three judges must've been aware of the questionable article added in by PO remains. When PiS does something they don't like, the Tribunal is very vocal about it. When PO did, the Tribunal ignored it, despite having ample opportunity to amend the situation.

On the second account, you are wrong. Initially the president of the Tribunal made a decision that the Tribunal would review the case as a full court (which is required by law in that instance), which would necessitate at least one of the three involved judges to partake (that would be the president of the Tribunal, Rzepliński, who would preside). Only when PiS brought up the conflict of interest, did Rzepliński back out of his decision.

http://db.trybunal.gov.pl/sprawa/sprawa_pobierz_plik200.asp?plik=F1475000606/K_34_15_zarzPrzew_2015_11_19_ADO.pdf&syg=K 34/15


On December 15 2015 04:24 Narw wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2015 18:57 maybenexttime wrote:
On December 14 2015 08:51 Narw wrote:
On December 12 2015 02:52 AngryMag wrote:
On December 11 2015 08:14 Sent. wrote:
Slovakia has a left wing government and the new ruling party in Poland is not new or fascist. If you count the votes from our recent elections you can see that our society is still split 50-50 between liberals and conservatives. Your turbonazis won those elections only because they're united and liberals ruled for 10 years so people got "bored" with them. Maybe voters in the West and South are getting more radical but here it was just a normal shift of power.

Iirc UKIP had terrible results in British elections so its not like UK is changing its course drastically either


Dude you should see the amount of propaganda the press spits out about those PIS fellas. It is quite embarassing tbh one could think they would be Adolf himself.


Adolf you say? Leader of those PiS fellas spoke few days ago about "genes of national treason" while in the meantime he is demolishing Constitutional Tribunal. So yeah, im not sure what you call propaganda is just propaganda.


First of all, did you actually see the interview and know the context or are you simply relying on excerpts from TVN or such? "Gazeta Wyborcza" and TVN are doing exactly what Niezalezna.pl or "wSieci" have been doing with taking Bieńkowska's quote out of context ("Only idiots (...)"). I did not see anything controversial in what Kaczyński said in that interview (at least the part in question).



This is so hillariously annoying to read this over and over and over again that if i don't agree with PiS worldview and decision making i must be reading Wyborcza or watching TVN all day every day.

And you don't see anything controversial? I guess you got used to the rhetoric that anyone who isn't with all mighty Kaczynski is the enemy of Poland and should be ashamed of even existing. I for sure didn't.


Where did I imply you read GW or watch TVN daily? I simply gathered from your post that you must've read that quote taken out of context. He was not talking about those protesting masses as a whole. He meant specifically a group of people who inherited its influence from the communist nomenclature, and turned into self-proclaimed "liberals" and likened them to other people who sought foreign intervention in Poland's internal matters (Communists and Targowica Confederation, I assume). (Which is why I compared to Bieńkowska's quote being taken out of context, as she also was talking about a very specific case.) He said that those people are more active now [because they are worried about their privileged status].

So, no, I don't find it controversial. I would even go as far as saying there is some merit to what he said (with regard to that specific group of people). Ever since PiS won the elections you constantly see foreign media (associated with GW) talking about the end of democracy in Poland. During the last eight years PO was involved in many scandals that were more controversial than the whole Tribunal debacle, yet you did not see foreign media lamenting...

That doesn't mean I don't find the rhetoric used by both sides distasteful. I do. On one hand you have "wSieci" painting sympathizers of PO or Nowoczesna as "self-hating Poles whose dream is to become Europeans" and on the other hand you have "Gazeta Wyborcza" painting sympathizers of PiS "backwards religious nuts". It's just that I don't consider the quote in question as an example of that.

If you think that current events surrounding Constitutional Tribunal aren't dangerous from the national view, i don't know what needs to happen. I don't understand how you can go in line with rhetoric where political party that have huge majority in parliment and President which is walking definition of word "puppet" tries to take control over one of the last democratic mechanisms of supervision that isn't fully in their hands.

They have majority, they don't have CONSTITUIONAL majority so take your fucking hands away from Constitution and respect the law.


I think the following quote from one Polish movie describes it well: "You cheated. I cheated. The better player won." I think PO tried to do something very sleazy and PiS punished them for that, doing something sleazy themselves and getting more than they deserve in the process. It's all a testament to the pathetic state of our political culture. But is the situation dangerous? I doubt it. As far as I know, the Tribunal is still dominated by PO or at least not dominated by PiS by any stretch of imagination and will remain so.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-12-15 07:21:31
December 15 2015 07:21 GMT
#7047
On December 15 2015 05:04 Nyxisto wrote:
The whole atmosphere in Poland surrounding the new government sounds a little bit like Putin's United Russia or Erdogan's AKP. As soon as you're not on board you're part of the fifth column and a filthy internationalist. It's somewhat sad how one Eastern European country after another drives up the internal anti-commie rhetoric while drifting into the same authoritarian style of government.

actually that's something you do. if someone is not on board with globalization, free market, gay marriage/adoption or if someone is not purposely color blind, then he is a filthy nationalist-nazi-racist or suffers various phobias(xenophobia, homophobia, womanophobia ...)

oh boy, the similarities!.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
December 15 2015 07:38 GMT
#7048
On December 15 2015 05:04 Nyxisto wrote:
The whole atmosphere in Poland surrounding the new government sounds a little bit like Putin's United Russia or Erdogan's AKP. As soon as you're not on board you're part of the fifth column and a filthy internationalist. It's somewhat sad how one Eastern European country after another drives up the internal anti-commie rhetoric while drifting into the same authoritarian style of government.

Honestly, this post is not only ignorant but disgustingly intolerant of the idea that there might be political philosophies other than "West European Right" and "West European Left" that exist and are popular in their countries of origin for a reason. Not sure what else to add.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4756 Posts
December 15 2015 08:08 GMT
#7049
On December 15 2015 16:21 xM(Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 15 2015 05:04 Nyxisto wrote:
The whole atmosphere in Poland surrounding the new government sounds a little bit like Putin's United Russia or Erdogan's AKP. As soon as you're not on board you're part of the fifth column and a filthy internationalist. It's somewhat sad how one Eastern European country after another drives up the internal anti-commie rhetoric while drifting into the same authoritarian style of government.

actually that's something you do. if someone is not on board with globalization, free market, gay marriage/adoption or if someone is not purposely color blind, then he is a filthy nationalist-nazi-racist or suffers various phobias(xenophobia, homophobia, womanophobia ...)

oh boy, the similarities!.


It works both way. The right just use different slurs eg. "traitor", "fifth column", "communist" etc.
Pathetic Greta hater.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
December 18 2015 06:21 GMT
#7050
http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/eu-sees-little-drop-in-migrants-since-turkey-deal-document.aspx?pageID=238&nID=92657&NewsCatID=352
The European Union has seen little evidence that Turkey has managed to reduce departures of migrants for Greek islands in the two weeks since it signed an agreement to do so, an EU document showed on Dec. 17.

The report by the Luxembourg government, in its current capacity as president of EU ministerial councils, said about 4,000 people a day arrived from Turkey since the accord on Nov. 29, a “slight reduction” from the 5,000-6,000 seen earlier in that month. But this was not necessarily due to Turkish action.

“This decrease may, however, also be attributed to other factors,” said the report, seen by Reuters and sent to EU leaders on Dec. 16 ahead of a summit on Dec. 17 in Brussels at which they will discuss efforts to stem the migration crisis.
...

Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu will meet German Chancellor Angela Merkel and some other leaders before the main summit on Dec. 17 to discuss a possible scheme to bring Syrian refugees directly from Turkey to Europe.

But many EU leaders have stressed that any such move depends on seeing evidence that Turkey is working to prevent people smugglers putting people to sea to reach Europe. That is also true of disbursement of the 3 billion euros ($3.3 billion) they pledged to Ankara on Nov. 29 and other concessions, such as easing visa rules for Turks coming to the EU.
why would they pay 3bill to Turkey but then fly the refugees directly to EU?.
shenanigans.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-12-18 06:59:44
December 18 2015 06:58 GMT
#7051
On December 15 2015 16:38 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 15 2015 05:04 Nyxisto wrote:
The whole atmosphere in Poland surrounding the new government sounds a little bit like Putin's United Russia or Erdogan's AKP. As soon as you're not on board you're part of the fifth column and a filthy internationalist. It's somewhat sad how one Eastern European country after another drives up the internal anti-commie rhetoric while drifting into the same authoritarian style of government.

Honestly, this post is not only ignorant but disgustingly intolerant of the idea that there might be political philosophies other than "West European Right" and "West European Left" that exist and are popular in their countries of origin for a reason. Not sure what else to add.


You seem to forget that in contrast to Russia and/or Turkey Poland is a member of the European Union and a huge net benefactor of its funds. 2% of their GDP actually annually over the next for years. You can practice whatever political ideology you want, it would just be more honest to do it without joining a union that is based on those evil disgusting Western principles and without collecting the benefits.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
December 18 2015 07:44 GMT
#7052
well you're fine with refugees collecting benefits blindly believing in some uncertain future in which they'll pay them back.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5811 Posts
December 18 2015 10:13 GMT
#7053
On December 18 2015 15:58 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 15 2015 16:38 LegalLord wrote:
On December 15 2015 05:04 Nyxisto wrote:
The whole atmosphere in Poland surrounding the new government sounds a little bit like Putin's United Russia or Erdogan's AKP. As soon as you're not on board you're part of the fifth column and a filthy internationalist. It's somewhat sad how one Eastern European country after another drives up the internal anti-commie rhetoric while drifting into the same authoritarian style of government.

Honestly, this post is not only ignorant but disgustingly intolerant of the idea that there might be political philosophies other than "West European Right" and "West European Left" that exist and are popular in their countries of origin for a reason. Not sure what else to add.


You seem to forget that in contrast to Russia and/or Turkey Poland is a member of the European Union and a huge net benefactor of its funds. 2% of their GDP actually annually over the next for years. You can practice whatever political ideology you want, it would just be more honest to do it without joining a union that is based on those evil disgusting Western principles and without collecting the benefits.


"Huge net benefactor" is an overstatement. According to Johannes Hahn, European Commissioner for Regional Policy 89 percent of the funds given by Germany to Poland will go directly back to Germany in form of contracts (could not find a source for other Western EU countries, but I guess it is considerably less, since our economic exchange with Germany eclipses our economic exchange with the former). When you take into account that our share of the investments often has to be covered through loans taken in Western banks and that a large part of these funds was misappropriated by our administration (our own fault), then it stops looking like such an amazing boon to our economy.

http://wyborcza.biz/biznes/1,106928,12604718,Komisarz_UE_ds__polityki_regionalnej__Teraz_inwestujcie.html

"Analizy przygotowane przez nas wspólnie z polskimi władzami pokazują, że z 1 euro wydanego przez Niemcy w Polsce w ramach polityki strukturalnej 89 eurocentów wróci do Niemiec w postaci zamówień dla niemieckich firm - mówił komisarz UE ds. polityki regionalnej Johannes Hahn."

(I am afraid there is no English source)
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
December 18 2015 11:35 GMT
#7054
cant only look at accounting. trch and knowledge diffusion is main benefit developmentally. to attract investment u guys are also building useful infrastructure
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-12-18 17:11:53
December 18 2015 17:10 GMT
#7055
On December 18 2015 16:44 xM(Z wrote:
well you're fine with refugees collecting benefits blindly believing in some uncertain future in which they'll pay them back.


Is there a certain future? If yes you should quickly become our policy adviser, we are in dire need of oracles over here. I'll take careful optimism over Eastern European existential dread every day.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
December 18 2015 17:22 GMT
#7056
On December 19 2015 02:10 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2015 16:44 xM(Z wrote:
well you're fine with refugees collecting benefits blindly believing in some uncertain future in which they'll pay them back.


Is there a certain future? If yes you should quickly become our policy adviser, we are in dire need of oracles over here. I'll take careful optimism over Eastern European existential dread every day.

Also the concern fails to take into account that benefits could be adjusted or changed if they are a burden a nations budget. That the country isn't locked in forever and just hoping they will take in enough tax revenue.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
December 18 2015 17:27 GMT
#7057
On December 19 2015 02:22 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2015 02:10 Nyxisto wrote:
On December 18 2015 16:44 xM(Z wrote:
well you're fine with refugees collecting benefits blindly believing in some uncertain future in which they'll pay them back.


Is there a certain future? If yes you should quickly become our policy adviser, we are in dire need of oracles over here. I'll take careful optimism over Eastern European existential dread every day.

Also the concern fails to take into account that benefits could be adjusted or changed if they are a burden a nations budget. That the country isn't locked in forever and just hoping they will take in enough tax revenue.

That's a very optimistic take. The benefits systems of most developed nations are sever burdens on nations and the only time they get reduced is when external forces demand it, I.e. Greece. Plus, with selective reduction for immigrants, I can't wait for the shrill calls of racism from the left.
Freeeeeeedom
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-12-18 17:33:16
December 18 2015 17:29 GMT
#7058
You have it the wrong way around, the biggest threat to our social security is a shrinking workforce and an aging population. There is overwhelming consensus among economists that at least in terms of social security immigrants will not be a long or mid-term burden but a huge net benefit.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/study-finds-germany-is-benefitting-from-immigration-1417103495
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
December 18 2015 17:36 GMT
#7059
I believe the projects were that the EU’s collective population was supposed to shrink by 8-10% by 2030. Some countries by crazy amounts like 20-25%. And the population of people over 65 will be around 20%. They are all scary numbers for any tax base.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
December 18 2015 17:38 GMT
#7060
On December 19 2015 02:29 Nyxisto wrote:
You have it the wrong way around, the biggest threat to our social security is a shrinking workforce and an aging population. There is overwhelming consensus among economists that at least in terms of social security immigrants will not be a long or mid-term burden but a huge net benefit.

That's not even what I was saying. I'm saying the programs of social security are already massive burdens and don't get reformed without crisis. I see the assertion that an analogous program for immigrants would be reformed if its a problem overly optimistic based on past and current experiences with analogous special interest programs.

Also, how do immigrants fix the long term budget? Do they not age and then receive benefits just as the natives do? What I've read is that they generally have incomes below the median in EU when they get there. So, short and mid term they may be a budget plus (because young people don't get as many benefits) but long term they contribute less tax revenue than a native while getting the same benefits at 60+.
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