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Malaysian airliner shot down over Eastern Ukraine - Page 51

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In order to maintain some kind of respectable thread quality and to show some respect for those who lost friends in this tragedy, we're forced to enact a hard line policy for this thread. Any posts holding an opinion on who is responsible or making an accusation that is not held by neutral media will be banned. Policy is in effect from page 27 onwards.

Specifically, citing a Ukrainian or Russian source for your claims is going to get you banned. Opinions/facts/accusations arising from neutral media sources (i.e. media whose country of origin is not Ukraine, Russia or one of its puppet states) will be permitted. This policy extends to all forms of media; if a youtube video or picture has not come through a neutral media source then don't post it or you'll be banned. If you wish to discuss this policy please use this website feedback thread.

Updated policy on aggressive posting and insults.
ElMeanYo
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1032 Posts
July 20 2014 04:01 GMT
#1001
On July 20 2014 12:11 Nick_54 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2014 09:45 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
If such imagery exists it's probably being shared among the intelligence services such as France, Ukraine, UK etc.


Source? I figured a mod would read the top of the thread.


LOL. Exactly. It's hard not to get caught up in this though. Mods should be a little more forgiving. What else is there to discuss at this point other than speculation?
“The only man who never makes mistakes is the man who never does anything.” ― Theodore Roosevelt
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
July 20 2014 04:04 GMT
#1002
On July 20 2014 12:11 Nick_54 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2014 09:45 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
If such imagery exists it's probably being shared among the intelligence services such as France, Ukraine, UK etc.


Source? I figured a mod would read the top of the thread.


You must have skipped the word if. It is very common to share intelligence especially in an scenario such as this.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Warlock40
Profile Joined September 2011
601 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-07-20 04:21:37
July 20 2014 04:16 GMT
#1003
On July 20 2014 09:13 REDBLUEGREEN wrote:
Hmm I mean it kind of makes sense to blame Russia for providing the rebels with the Buk system and training but I still have the feeling that the majority of the people with that sentiment are hypocritical as hell. Most of the people on this forum come from western countries and most of our governments export arms that claim thousands of lives every year. So should we blame our own politicians for those deaths too or is it somehow different because maybe the weapons we sell don't kill 300 civilians in a day with lots of media attention but maybe 3 civilians each day of the year...?


Two points for discussion here.

First, I had the same thought about culpability. Totally hypothetical situation here, but what if an airliner had been shot down over rebel-controlled Syria? Now, such a situation would be pretty much impossible because everyone's been avoiding the area for at least a year now* and the US has explicitly prohibited the shipment of AA weapons to Syrian rebels despite air strikes by the Syrian government**, but what if something like this had happened? The US would probably be denying everything at the very least, instead blaming other suppliers involved or even the Syrian government. When the USS Vincennes shot down Iran Air Flight 655, the US never offficially apologised, they just "expressed regret" and paid a settlement.

Second, I'm going to play devil's advocate here, but how sure can we possibly be that it was indeed pro-Russia rebels who shot down the plane? To make another comparison with the civil war in Syria, remember the Ghouta chemical attack in 2013, which killed hundreds of civilians? It seemed all the evidence was pointed at the Syrian government, but it's been almost a year now, and the Syrian government has not suffered any consequences except for an agreement to give up their chemical weapons, which, in my opinion, is because they and the Russian government were able to create just enough of a shred of doubt about who was actually behind the attack.

I think that the Russian government might be able to pull off something similar here, it they can make enough doubt that people can't rule out for sure that the Ukrainian government wasn't responsible for some type of false-flag attack. I mean, so far, I haven't read any concrete evidence that shows that government forces couldn't possibly have shot down MH 17. The only reason I've read is that the rebels have no air assets, but this doesn't rule out the possibility that government forces knowingly and intentionally shot down an airliner (knowing that the rebels would be the ones to blame). And reports about rebels bragging about shooting down a plane aren't necessarily confessions - it's not unheard of for militant organisations to claim credit for something they didn't do. So unless a smoking gun is found (which is unlikely, considering how much the pro-Russia rebels have tampered the evidence), can we ever really be 100% sure of who did this? (It's tempting to see the tampering of evidence as an admission of guilt, but even that's not always true.)

* http://blogs.wsj.com/middleeast/2013/05/22/syrian-conflict-prompts-shift-in-commercial-aviation-routes/

** http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304626304579509401865454762

(EDIT: I want to emphasise that I'm not blaming one side or the other. I get my news from non-Ukrainian, non-Russian sources, such as The Guardian, and they create the impression that the rebels are responsible, so that's my opinion. I'm just looking at it from the other perspective.)
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
July 20 2014 06:09 GMT
#1004
Can you spell `looting'?

Reports that credit cards have been looted from the victims of Malaysia Airlines MH17 have prompted Dutch banks to take “preventative measures” against possible fraud, the Dutch Banking Association said in a statement Saturday. International outrage has erupted over the treatment of the bodies and evidence in the 16-square-mile debris field of the plane that was shot down over contested Ukraine airspace Thursday.

Alexander Borodai, the prime minister of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic, said Saturday that local residents may have used the credit cards of the victims. The victims’ next of kin will be reimbursed for any credit card “abuse,” according to the Dutch Banking Association. Of the 298 passengers who perished aboard MH17, 193 were Dutch.
Source.



The United States has confirmed that Russia supplied sophisticated missile launchers to separatists in eastern Ukraine and that attempts were made to move them back across the Russian border after the Thursday shoot-down of a Malaysian jet liner, a U.S. official said Saturday.

“We do believe they were trying to move back into Russia at least three Buk [missile launch] systems,” the official said. U.S. intelligence was “starting to get indications . . . a little more than a week ago” that the Russian launchers had been moved into Ukraine, said the official.

The official’s comments, made on condition of anonymity to speak about intelligence matters, came as a top Ukrainian counterintelligence official said his service has conclusive proof that Russia supplied the missile that shot down Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 over territory controlled by the separatists.

Source

Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Nick_54
Profile Blog Joined November 2007
United States2230 Posts
July 20 2014 06:37 GMT
#1005
On July 20 2014 10:26 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2014 10:26 Assault_1 wrote:
Is it possible we'll never know who fired it?


We already know who fired it. The Rebels. The actual person who pulled the trigger, doubtful unless someone comes forward after being captured or something.


Actually meant to quote this one. Do you have a neutral source like the thread rules says ? Just think we should all follow the same rules here.
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
July 20 2014 07:02 GMT
#1006
On July 20 2014 15:37 Nick_54 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2014 10:26 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On July 20 2014 10:26 Assault_1 wrote:
Is it possible we'll never know who fired it?


We already know who fired it. The Rebels. The actual person who pulled the trigger, doubtful unless someone comes forward after being captured or something.


Actually meant to quote this one. Do you have a neutral source like the thread rules says ? Just think we should all follow the same rules here.


At least read the OP.
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Doctorbeat
Profile Joined May 2011
Netherlands13241 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-07-20 07:59:28
July 20 2014 07:56 GMT
#1007


- TEAM LIQUID - doctorbeat on LoL
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-07-20 09:01:13
July 20 2014 08:59 GMT
#1008

US statement 20.07:

We assess that Flight MH17 was likely downed by a SA-11 surface-to-air missile from separatist-controlled territory in eastern Ukraine. We base this judgment on several factors.

Over the past month, we have detected an increasing amount of heavy weaponry to separatist fighters crossing the border from Russia into Ukraine. Last weekend, Russia sent a convoy of military equipment with up to 150 vehicles including tanks, armored personnel carriers, artillery, and multiple rocket launchers to the separatist. We also have information indicating that Russia is providing training to separatist fighters at a facility in southwest Russia, and this effort included training on air defense systems.

Pro-Russian separatist fighters have demonstrated proficiency with surface-to-air missile systems and have downed more than a dozen aircraft over the past few months, including two large transport aircraft.

At the time that flight MH17 dropped out of contact, we detected a surface-to-air missile (SAM) launch from a separatist-controlled area in southeastern Ukraine. We believe this missile was an SA-11. http://ukraine.usembassy.gov/mobile//statements/asmt-07192014.html#.U8t-pRInolQ.twitter
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21683 Posts
July 20 2014 10:13 GMT
#1009
Dutch source so will translate the important bits.

All bodies found sofar (196) have been removed from the crash site. Journalists saw rebels force recovery personal to turn over the bodies.
According to local train station personal bodies have been loaded on a train at the nearby station in Torez. Current whereabouts of the bodies is unknown.

Source (Dutch)

Cant imagine how hard this must be for the families. To lose loved ones it devastating but to see the bodies get looted and then have them vanish like this with no certainty they will ever be returned must be infuriating.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6284 Posts
July 20 2014 11:26 GMT
#1010
On July 20 2014 10:26 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2014 10:26 Assault_1 wrote:
Is it possible we'll never know who fired it?


We already know who fired it. The Rebels. The actual person who pulled the trigger, doubtful unless someone comes forward after being captured or something.

No, we do not know who fired it. There is absolutely no proof other than a party with extremely vested interests in the conflict known for intelegance masterpieces such as 'Iraq has WMDs' says so.

There is a disturbing trend of pointing fingers first, look for facts that back up xy world view later on this forum. It is extremely disrespectful to the people that died on that plane and their loved ones. They deserve to know exactly what happened.
"If only Kircheis were here" - Everyone
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
July 20 2014 11:38 GMT
#1011
Evidence is mounting not only that the BUK that killed MH17 came from Russia, but that the firing on the airliner was either supervised or ordered, or even operated, by Russian personnel.

If this is the case, the “lone rebel with an itchy trigger finger” theory goes out the window, and the “Russia is running a reckless and undeclared air war inside Ukraine” theory comes into sharp focus. Suddenly, an act of terrorism becomes an act of interstate war, directed with subterfuge and deniability (what my colleague John Schindler has dubbed “Special War”) with the goal of dismembering the Ukrainian state.

Source
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Shield
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Bulgaria4824 Posts
July 20 2014 11:38 GMT
#1012
On July 20 2014 20:26 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2014 10:26 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On July 20 2014 10:26 Assault_1 wrote:
Is it possible we'll never know who fired it?


We already know who fired it. The Rebels. The actual person who pulled the trigger, doubtful unless someone comes forward after being captured or something.

No, we do not know who fired it. There is absolutely no proof other than a party with extremely vested interests in the conflict known for intelegance masterpieces such as 'Iraq has WMDs' says so.

There is a disturbing trend of pointing fingers first, look for facts that back up xy world view later on this forum. It is extremely disrespectful to the people that died on that plane and their loved ones. They deserve to know exactly what happened.


I know you're pro-Russian but please don't be a terrorist supporter now. It's disgusting. All signs lead to separatists.

Example: http://www.vox.com/2014/7/17/5913089/did-this-ukrainian-rebel-commander-take-credit-for-shooting-down-the
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6284 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-07-20 12:09:50
July 20 2014 11:56 GMT
#1013
On July 20 2014 20:38 darkness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2014 20:26 zeo wrote:
On July 20 2014 10:26 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On July 20 2014 10:26 Assault_1 wrote:
Is it possible we'll never know who fired it?


We already know who fired it. The Rebels. The actual person who pulled the trigger, doubtful unless someone comes forward after being captured or something.

No, we do not know who fired it. There is absolutely no proof other than a party with extremely vested interests in the conflict known for intelegance masterpieces such as 'Iraq has WMDs' says so.

There is a disturbing trend of pointing fingers first, look for facts that back up xy world view later on this forum. It is extremely disrespectful to the people that died on that plane and their loved ones. They deserve to know exactly what happened.


I know you're pro-Russian but please don't be a terrorist supporter now. It's disgusting. All signs lead to separatists.

Example: http://www.vox.com/2014/7/17/5913089/did-this-ukrainian-rebel-commander-take-credit-for-shooting-down-the

Since when am I pro-Russian? How many times do these theories need to be debunked?

That 'evidence' is nothing more than an anti-government fanpage. Thats like saying when a bomb goes off in the middle east and 20 terror groups have internet sites that all give their own versions of events every single one of them did it because 'the internet says so'. Taking random blogs seriously is petty propaganda.

And of course they deleted it, unverified false information should be deleted.

Why is it so hard to wait until we know what happened?
"If only Kircheis were here" - Everyone
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
July 20 2014 12:09 GMT
#1014
I think this is appropriate now:


Evidence that Kremlin-backed separatists in east Ukraine downed Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 is now so overwhelming as to rule out any other culprit, at least outside the imaginations of conspiracy theorists or professional Kremlin propagandists.

For months, Russian President Vladimir Putin has waged maskirovka warfare in east Ukraine - an old, Soviet-perfected model of destabilizing foreign countries which is characterized by dissimulation, misdirection and plausible deniability, all done with the use of arms-length proxies.

Putin, a former KGB lieutenant colonel, continues to maintain that he has nothing to do with the separatists even as their political leadership has lately visited Moscow begging for more materiel and even opened a satellite office there to coordinate their activities more closely with their master and patron. It also pays to remember that Putin denied invading and annexing Crimea - until he didn't.

U.S. officials, including one from the Defense Department, have confirmed to the Wall Street Journal that the separatists - many of whom are in fact Russian nationals - downed the commercial airliner over the skies of the separatist-controlled region of Donetsk on July 17 using the Buk anti-aircraft missile system. This is a Soviet-era, vehicle-mounted munition with a range of 46,000 feet. The MH17 was blown apart at an altitude of 33,000 feet.

The separatists, who have previously claimed credit for shooting down Ukrainian military planes and helicopters, said they haven't got the capability to hit an aircraft at the MH17's altitude. Except that they admitted, albeit privately and inadvertently, that they'd done just that.

The Ukrainian Security Service, or SBU, has leaked a series of what it alleges are intercepted phone conversations from the separatist camp. In one, recorded in the aftermath of the tragedy, a separatist commander named Igor Bezler (or "Bes," meaning "Demon") tells Colonel Vasyl Geranin, a man whom the SBU says is an officer of Russia's military intelligence agency, or GRU: "Just now a plane was hit and destroyed by the Minera Group," referring to a rebel unit.

A week ago, Bezler admitted in a recorded "press conference" held in Donetsk that separatists had received tanks and armored vehicles from Russia for the purpose of defending Slavyansk, a city that recently was retaken by Ukraine's military.

Western intelligence officials have told the Financial Times that they have judged the SBU intercepts to be genuine.

Defense experts say that there is no way ragtag insurgents could operate a surface-to-air missile as sophisticated as the Buk. But the rebels are not quite ragtag insurgents.

Their self-proclaimed military commander is a man named Col. Igor Strelkov (also known as Girkin). According to the European Union, which sanctioned him in April, Strelkov is also an officer of the GRU. This means that the entire anti-Kiev insurgency is not just pro-Russian in orientation but overseen and led by an outed Russian spy.

This is a crucial fact that has been obscured in much of the recent media coverage of the war for east Ukraine and just who's involved in waging it. Samantha Power, the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, said yesterday: "Russia can end this war." What she meant was, the separatists are a wholly owned, if not quite wholly operated, subsidiary of the Russian government.
Source.
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
REDBLUEGREEN
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Germany1903 Posts
July 20 2014 12:18 GMT
#1015
On July 20 2014 20:38 Ghanburighan wrote:
Show nested quote +
Evidence is mounting not only that the BUK that killed MH17 came from Russia, but that the firing on the airliner was either supervised or ordered, or even operated, by Russian personnel.

If this is the case, the “lone rebel with an itchy trigger finger” theory goes out the window, and the “Russia is running a reckless and undeclared air war inside Ukraine” theory comes into sharp focus. Suddenly, an act of terrorism becomes an act of interstate war, directed with subterfuge and deniability (what my colleague John Schindler has dubbed “Special War”) with the goal of dismembering the Ukrainian state.

Source

Why do you post this? It is a sensationalist biased blog with no value what so ever.
Maybe it is a good guiding principle to avoid sources with inflationary accusations of "terrorism", those tent to be horrible propaganda websites...
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6284 Posts
July 20 2014 12:23 GMT
#1016
Opinion piece =\= fact.

The fact that he uses the laughable 'leaked recording', which if you post it here in this thread gets you banned as a fact, should give you an idea of the kind of evidance these warmongers have.
"If only Kircheis were here" - Everyone
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
July 20 2014 12:24 GMT
#1017
On July 20 2014 21:18 REDBLUEGREEN wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2014 20:38 Ghanburighan wrote:
Evidence is mounting not only that the BUK that killed MH17 came from Russia, but that the firing on the airliner was either supervised or ordered, or even operated, by Russian personnel.

If this is the case, the “lone rebel with an itchy trigger finger” theory goes out the window, and the “Russia is running a reckless and undeclared air war inside Ukraine” theory comes into sharp focus. Suddenly, an act of terrorism becomes an act of interstate war, directed with subterfuge and deniability (what my colleague John Schindler has dubbed “Special War”) with the goal of dismembering the Ukrainian state.

Source

Why do you post this? It is a sensationalist biased blog with no value what so ever.
Maybe it is a good guiding principle to avoid sources with inflationary accusations of "terrorism", those tent to be horrible propaganda websites...


Mostly because it was recommended by Edward Lucas from the Economist. But also because the writer is knowledgeable.


Tom Nichols is a professor of National Security Affairs at the U.S. Naval War College and an adjunct professor in the Harvard Extension School. He also taught at Dartmouth College, Georgetown University (where he also received his PhD), and other schools and lecture programs.

He is currently a Senior Associate of the Carnegie Council on Ethics and International Affairs, and a Fellow of the International History Institute at Boston University.

He has also been a Fellow of the International Security Program and the Project on Managing the Atom at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University.

In his Washington days, Tom was a fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a consultant to the U.S. government, and a research analyst for private industry. Later, he served as personal staff for foreign and defense affairs to the late U.S. Senator John Heinz of Pennsylvania.
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
July 20 2014 12:29 GMT
#1018
On July 20 2014 21:23 zeo wrote:
Opinion piece =\= fact.

The fact that he uses the laughable 'leaked recording', which if you post it here in this thread gets you banned as a fact, should give you an idea of the kind of evidence these warmongers have.


Let's assist your reading of the material by quoting only the relevant sentence of the article:


Western intelligence officials have told the Financial Times that they have judged the SBU intercepts to be genuine.


(the FT article has also been posted already)

Also, according to the text at the top of the thread and the explanations in the Website Feedback thread (which you have posted in but apparently not read), you'd get banned because it originated from a source that could have propaganda, and all such pieces are prohibited. But if you post the same source through a respectable media outlet which has deemed it publishable, it's acceptable. See the many many posts in the thread with the same information that have not been banned. My OP for example...
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Artok
Profile Joined May 2011
Netherlands2219 Posts
July 20 2014 12:29 GMT
#1019
On July 20 2014 21:24 Ghanburighan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2014 21:18 REDBLUEGREEN wrote:
On July 20 2014 20:38 Ghanburighan wrote:
Evidence is mounting not only that the BUK that killed MH17 came from Russia, but that the firing on the airliner was either supervised or ordered, or even operated, by Russian personnel.

If this is the case, the “lone rebel with an itchy trigger finger” theory goes out the window, and the “Russia is running a reckless and undeclared air war inside Ukraine” theory comes into sharp focus. Suddenly, an act of terrorism becomes an act of interstate war, directed with subterfuge and deniability (what my colleague John Schindler has dubbed “Special War”) with the goal of dismembering the Ukrainian state.

Source

Why do you post this? It is a sensationalist biased blog with no value what so ever.
Maybe it is a good guiding principle to avoid sources with inflationary accusations of "terrorism", those tent to be horrible propaganda websites...


Mostly because it was recommended by Edward Lucas from the Economist. But also because the writer is knowledgeable.

Show nested quote +

Tom Nichols is a professor of National Security Affairs at the U.S. Naval War College and an adjunct professor in the Harvard Extension School. He also taught at Dartmouth College, Georgetown University (where he also received his PhD), and other schools and lecture programs.

He is currently a Senior Associate of the Carnegie Council on Ethics and International Affairs, and a Fellow of the International History Institute at Boston University.

He has also been a Fellow of the International Security Program and the Project on Managing the Atom at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University.

In his Washington days, Tom was a fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a consultant to the U.S. government, and a research analyst for private industry. Later, he served as personal staff for foreign and defense affairs to the late U.S. Senator John Heinz of Pennsylvania.

sounds like an average tl user
Chun-li since ST
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6284 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-07-20 12:35:03
July 20 2014 12:32 GMT
#1020
Except it wasn't written by Tom Nichols, it was written by Micheal Wiess.

And looking at your 'recommended' economist Edward Lucas' s wiki page bibliography: The new Cold War: Putins Russia and the threat to the West (2008)..

Yeah, I'm kinda getting a vibe for who he is going to be recomending.

Stop with opinion pieces, clearly propaganda and adds nothing to the thread.
"If only Kircheis were here" - Everyone
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