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On June 26 2016 07:10 Gorsameth wrote:Show nested quote +On June 26 2016 07:03 Plansix wrote: Or the rest of the EU will watch what happens as the UK it slips into back recession, UK citizens lose their jobs in the EU, are forced to move home, investment in the UK decreases across the board and all the other nations in the EU will say "nope, we lose more than the nothing we gain from leaving the EU."
I doubt a lot of nations are gong too be super excited for the uncertainty and instability that leaving the EU will bring. Also who else has the economy to be able to leave? France/Germany, who else? Spain? Italy? Greece? HA Netherlands? No way. I think any net contributor would benefit by leaving, off the top of my head that would include France, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Italy, Spain...
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On June 26 2016 07:30 Rebs wrote:Show nested quote +On June 26 2016 07:29 DeepElemBlues wrote:On June 26 2016 07:16 Dangermousecatdog wrote: So in your view, out of all the voters, the 52% leave voters are working class and the 48% remain voters are the modern aristocracy. Ok. Yes that is exactly what I said. Wait no it isn't and you know it isn't. You should also probably look at how Leave cleaned up with working class Labour voters in many areas across England especially northeast England. If they had voted the way Labour voters usually vote Remain would have won. And of course Leave did very strongly with working class Tory voters. Which side's campaigners were fervent believers in technocratic globalism? Remain, of course. It's not even up for debate that the EU places various levels of unelected bureaucracy in between the people and policy, with little recourse for the people regarding policy decisions they dislike. The debate is whether that is a bad thing or not. Who has been blamed for Remain losing by disappointed Remain voters and campaigners on Twitter and in a thousand opinion columns since Friday morning? The ignorant and probably racist white working class. He has a point there, you were being to general before, while this is all true it is just a vehicle for latent bigotry and xenophobia.
Disappointed Remain supporters haven't been making many distinctions as to who is to blame for their loss. When Polly Toynbee lays out 1000 words breaking down in minute detail the demographics of the vote so no working class Remain voter is unfairly maligned, I'll be sure to follow suit until the truth of class and cultural division in Britain (and across the West) is obscured in a dirty puddle of exactitude.
Telling people that their motivations are simply bigoted and xenophobic failed. Browbeating of that nature failed. It's almost Puritan in nature, the strategy of using virtue-signaling and public shaming to gain or reinforce political outcomes. Calling Leave supporters bigots and xenophobes did not reduce Leave's appeal, which leaves two conclusions to choose from: bigotry and xenophobia has great appeal and motivational power among the masses, or they are not quite as motivated by bigotry and xenophobia as asserted.
It might be time for a new strategy, one that doesn't insist on dismissing political disagreement as being caused by Unacceptable Beliefs. Racism is the kiss of death in modern Western politics. Trying to take advantage of that by casting political opponents as motivated by racism failed to work this time, not enough people believed it. Not that that was the main pillar of the Remain strategy, but it certainly was something many Remain supporters could not resist from doing. And still can't. If these people really are racists, the thing to do is to persuade them that racism is wrong, not browbeat them about it. That makes them defensive and angry. And when they really aren't racist (which they aren't, most of them anyway), it makes them even more defensive and even more angry.
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On June 26 2016 07:35 Velr wrote: Just check Switzerland during the (early) 90ies when it wasn't part of the EU-Market... It basically stagnated/grew slower than everyone else. That changed as soon as we could take part (whiteout being in the EU, but we have to pay and basically follow most EU rules including immigration laws and many payments).
If the UK gets out, and isn't willing or allowed to get a "Switzerland-Deal", which would run against everything the "leave" people wantet. In short: The UK will hurt. And this is what really confused me from people who seriously backed the "leave" vote. There really isn't a realistic scenario where any of the things they claim they want happen without all the things they complain about continuing as well.
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Well shit. Trump was right.
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The real issue is that there is no homogenous "leave" group. They don't all want the same thing, most don't know exactly what they do want, and they aren't going to be happy with what they get.
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On June 25 2016 21:32 OtherWorld wrote:Show nested quote +On June 25 2016 21:23 showstealer1829 wrote:On June 25 2016 20:21 hfglgg wrote: apparently scotland has started preparation for a second referendum regarding their independence and started talks with the eu on their own. Like I've said Scotland can "Prepare" for another referendum all they want. It's up to Westminster to let them hold it Technically, why couldn't Scotland organize the referendum without Westminster's approval, with its own ressources? The only way Westminster could prevent it would be through violence, and surely that's not what the UK wants, right?
The Edinburgh Agreement states that a referendum can only be held with Westminster's approval, because most of the resources you speak of come from there. There is no way in the current chaos Westminster will allow it, like I said what are the Scots going to do if they say no? Violence will just harden Westminster's resolve. They could vote the SNP at the next election but that only gets them the 3 seats in Scotland they don't already have. They could vote for Labor in the hopes of changing the government but considering Scottish Labor led the campaign to remain in the UK I think most people who want independence would rather shoot themselves first.
I've said, morally and ethically they deserve a second referendum. But I'm talking purely politically, they're stuck for as long as Westminster wants them to be
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On June 26 2016 08:03 Lonyo wrote: The real issue is that there is no homogenous "leave" group. They don't all want the same thing, most don't know exactly what they do want, and they aren't going to be happy with what they get. I can see that. Not that many people have to have been sold on impossible outcomes of a leave vote for it to pass I guess.
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Well In my town Worcester (west midlands) on the day of voting there were a set of poles done asking people what they were going to vote and the reasons for those votes. The remain voters generally sited economic fear and a view that the E.U offered more in the way of protection then it cost in contributions. The leave voters sited almost universally that they were voting to stop any more immigrants coming to England.
It is going to be almost impossible now for this not to devolve into a class war on both sides. Its almost beyond belief that the fear of one man could have such far reaching consequences as this because if the conservatives had not pandered to Nigel Farage by promising a referendum(which no one even wanted at the time) in an effort to win a close election none of this could have happened.
So now we have the worse possible scenario a narrow out vote with only the likes of Boris to lead a split country through the hardest imaginable term of office a prime minster could have. I ask you can you think of any-one worse than Boris as leader at time like this?(well Ian Duncan Smith ofc lol).
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On June 26 2016 07:35 Velr wrote: Just check Switzerland during the (early) 90ies when it wasn't part of the EU-Market... It basically stagnated/grew slower than everyone else. That changed as soon as we could take part (whiteout being in the EU, but we have to pay and basically follow most EU rules including immigration laws and many payments).
If the UK gets out, and isn't willing or allowed to get a "Switzerland-Deal", which would run against everything the "leave" people wanted, the UK will hurt. Not only that. The "Switzerland Deal" is not sufficient for the UK. Your deal does not include the free movement of services. And services are exactly the main export article of the UK into the EU (financial ... banking ... London City stuff). If Britain wanted the free movement of services, they would have to agree on a "Norway-Deal", which is twice worse than "Switzerland-Deal". They would pay double the money as Switzerland does (relative to their size), which would be 20% less than what they pay now, they would have to adopt ALL the EU legislation, incl. all the immigration and they would not be allowed to influence it at all. So in all aspects (except saving the 20%), they would be worse on it than they are now.
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Also after the the immigration referendum in Switzerland two years ago that wasn't compliant with EU rules the Erasmus program was frozen. I have no idea if that's still in place but if the UK isn't going to get that back it's going to suck for students big time.
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The Labour leader is facing a no confidence vote over claims he fought a "lacklustre" campaign in the EU vote. A Labour source told the BBC Mr Corbyn had "lost confidence" in Mr Benn.
Mr Benn said there was "widespread concern" about Mr Corbyn's "leadership and his ability to win an election". He added: "There is no confidence to win the next election if Jeremy continues as leader.
"In a phone call to Jeremy I told him I had lost confidence in his ability to lead the party and he dismissed me."
Senior Labour sources also told the BBC that a significant number of shadow cabinet resignations were likely if Mr Corbyn were to ignore the result of the confidence vote.
Source
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UK opposition leader sacks shadow foreign secretary over party coup
(Reuters) - The leader of Britain's main opposition Labour Party, Jeremy Corbyn, sacked his shadow foreign minister on Sunday, media reported, after he said he would resist any attempt to oust him.
Corbyn has been criticised by some of Labour's elected lawmakers who say he did not campaign hard enough in support of EU membership, and had failed to convince millions of voters in the party's heartlands to back "Remain".
Hours after the 52 to 48 percent vote in favour of Brexit, or a British exit, which triggered financial and political turmoil across the globe, two lawmakers submitted a motion of no confidence in Corbyn. Others have also called for his resignation.
Corbyn sacked shadow foreign secretary Hilary Benn, The Observer newspaper said.
"It is understood that Benn had called fellow MPs over the weekend to suggest that he would ask Corbyn to stand down if there was significant support for a move against him," The Observer newspaper said. "He had also asked shadow cabinet colleagues to join him in resigning if Corbyn ignored that request."
A spokesman for Benn declined to comment, the newspaper added.
Corbyn informed Benn that he was sacking him because he had lost the Labour leader’s trust, the newspaper quoted a Corbyn spokesman as saying.
Other British media also reported Corbyn's sacking of Benn.
In his first speech since the vote, Corbyn on Saturday emphasised the large mandate given to him by party activists at a leadership contest last year, in which he was swept to victory on a wave of support for his left-wing political agenda.
Asked whether he would stand for re-election in any leadership contest, he said: "Yes, I'm here."
"There are some people in the Labour Party ... who would want probably somebody else to be the leader of the Labour Party, they've made that abundantly clear.
"What I'm totally amazed by is that in the past 24 hours 140,000 people have said they do not want the Labour Party to spend the next two months debating the leadership," he said, citing an online petition calling for him to remain leader.
Benn also publicly disagreed with Corbyn in September over air strikes on Syria. The decision to extend bombing to Syria divided the party, opposed by Corbyn but supported by Benn in a passionate speech in parliament.
Around one third of Labour voters are estimated to have backed a British exit from the EU on Thursday, with many of those coming from traditional working class areas where high immigration tops the list of public concerns.
Responding to criticism from Labour colleagues that he had failed to address those concerns, Corbyn said there needed to be a national dialogue on immigration to reach a new settlement.
"We can't duck the issue of immigration, clearly it was a factor," he said. "We need to start an open and honest debate."
Corbyn said Thursday's vote showed a backlash against the EU principle of free movement. But he added that if Britain wanted to retain access to the European single market - one of many issues cast into doubt by the vote - he believed it would have to accept free movement as a condition of that deal.
"If we were part of the single market in future, then clearly that would be accompanied by the continuing free movement of people," he said.
http://uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/UKNews1/idUKKCN0ZC01N
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On June 26 2016 08:03 Lonyo wrote: The real issue is that there is no homogenous "leave" group. They don't all want the same thing, most don't know exactly what they do want, and they aren't going to be happy with what they get. This is surely true, but I think the same could be said about "remain" (ok, they might be a bit more homogenous). Or pretty much every group of people ever voting on a topic which such complex and largely unknown consequences.
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I watched a few Nigel Farage videos where he gives speeches in EU parliament and I have to say I am impressed. Especially where he calls out Juncker and the EU army plans. Thats some NWO sh** right there.
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This whole thing is a shocking lesson in digital-age democracy. If the EU and its people can learn from it, it should have serious historical ramifications. And if we don't I think it's pretty safe to say we are fucked.
I'm not sufficiently informed to have a committed opinion on the result, but people "changing their mind" 24 hours after the biggest decision in their nation's recent history sounds like an episode of British comedy to me.
It will be crazy interesting to see, looking back at this event 10 years from now, how the UK - or whatever is left of it - is actually doing.
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On June 26 2016 17:32 Kickboxer wrote: This whole thing is a shocking lesson in digital-age democracy. If the EU and its people can learn from it, it should have serious historical ramifications. And if we don't I think it's pretty safe to say we are fucked.
I'm not sufficiently informed to have a committed opinion on the result, but people "changing their mind" 24 hours after the biggest decision in their nation's recent history sounds like an episode of British comedy to me.
It will be crazy interesting to see, looking back at this event 10 years from now, how the UK - or whatever is left of it - is actually doing. Dobt buy into the propaganda. Everyone makes it look like as if if the referendum was held again the result would be 70%+ for remain which i highly doubt.
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On June 26 2016 17:38 NukeD wrote:Show nested quote +On June 26 2016 17:32 Kickboxer wrote: This whole thing is a shocking lesson in digital-age democracy. If the EU and its people can learn from it, it should have serious historical ramifications. And if we don't I think it's pretty safe to say we are fucked.
I'm not sufficiently informed to have a committed opinion on the result, but people "changing their mind" 24 hours after the biggest decision in their nation's recent history sounds like an episode of British comedy to me.
It will be crazy interesting to see, looking back at this event 10 years from now, how the UK - or whatever is left of it - is actually doing. Dobt buy into the propaganda. Everyone makes it look like as if if the referendum was held again the result would be 70%+ for remain which i highly doubt. This
I think leave vote is stupid, bad for pretty much everyone and you either go the Open EEA route and have huge unnecessary costs and period of instability to basically return under status quo except with less EU fund moneys leaving UK and then coming back, and with less say what happens on the continent. OR going more isolationist deal route that'll just have irreversible impact on competitiveness and the economy.
But let's not take away what victory this was for democracy, and a loss for the wealthy people that control the media, bookies etc. Especially in EU countries the establishment media is pretty much all one sided painting a grim sober picture of the people who voted no because it serves an agenda.
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On June 26 2016 12:15 Nyxisto wrote: Also after the the immigration referendum in Switzerland two years ago that wasn't compliant with EU rules the Erasmus program was frozen. I have no idea if that's still in place but if the UK isn't going to get that back it's going to suck for students big time.
Its open again, for now.
But there is still no way how we can follow the immigration referendum whiteout breaking some important EU-Treaties. This whole thing is an ongoing problem. At least the last, even harsher, refrendum got crashed in some sort of backlash vote because most people actually like free travel and all that stuff, they just didn't vote in the first one.
The story is actually pretty similar to the UK, obviously not as bad for the EU because we are not a full member and way smaller but the similarities are there for sure.
Btw: The votes in switzerland were also 90% anti-immigration and nothing else.
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On June 26 2016 16:57 Mafe wrote:Show nested quote +On June 26 2016 08:03 Lonyo wrote: The real issue is that there is no homogenous "leave" group. They don't all want the same thing, most don't know exactly what they do want, and they aren't going to be happy with what they get. This is surely true, but I think the same could be said about "remain" (ok, they might be a bit more homogenous). Or pretty much every group of people ever voting on a topic which such complex and largely unknown consequences. Pretty sure remain were all in agreement. Remain in Europe under the current circumstances. Not really much room for negotiation of what that means, since we already had the negotiation earlier this year.
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On June 26 2016 07:49 DeepElemBlues wrote:Show nested quote +On June 26 2016 07:30 Rebs wrote:On June 26 2016 07:29 DeepElemBlues wrote:On June 26 2016 07:16 Dangermousecatdog wrote: So in your view, out of all the voters, the 52% leave voters are working class and the 48% remain voters are the modern aristocracy. Ok. Yes that is exactly what I said. Wait no it isn't and you know it isn't. You should also probably look at how Leave cleaned up with working class Labour voters in many areas across England especially northeast England. If they had voted the way Labour voters usually vote Remain would have won. And of course Leave did very strongly with working class Tory voters. Which side's campaigners were fervent believers in technocratic globalism? Remain, of course. It's not even up for debate that the EU places various levels of unelected bureaucracy in between the people and policy, with little recourse for the people regarding policy decisions they dislike. The debate is whether that is a bad thing or not. Who has been blamed for Remain losing by disappointed Remain voters and campaigners on Twitter and in a thousand opinion columns since Friday morning? The ignorant and probably racist white working class. He has a point there, you were being to general before, while this is all true it is just a vehicle for latent bigotry and xenophobia. Disappointed Remain supporters haven't been making many distinctions as to who is to blame for their loss. When Polly Toynbee lays out 1000 words breaking down in minute detail the demographics of the vote so no working class Remain voter is unfairly maligned, I'll be sure to follow suit until the truth of class and cultural division in Britain (and across the West) is obscured in a dirty puddle of exactitude. Telling people that their motivations are simply bigoted and xenophobic failed. Browbeating of that nature failed. It's almost Puritan in nature, the strategy of using virtue-signaling and public shaming to gain or reinforce political outcomes. Calling Leave supporters bigots and xenophobes did not reduce Leave's appeal, which leaves two conclusions to choose from: bigotry and xenophobia has great appeal and motivational power among the masses, or they are not quite as motivated by bigotry and xenophobia as asserted. It might be time for a new strategy, one that doesn't insist on dismissing political disagreement as being caused by Unacceptable Beliefs. Racism is the kiss of death in modern Western politics. Trying to take advantage of that by casting political opponents as motivated by racism failed to work this time, not enough people believed it. Not that that was the main pillar of the Remain strategy, but it certainly was something many Remain supporters could not resist from doing. And still can't. If these people really are racists, the thing to do is to persuade them that racism is wrong, not browbeat them about it. That makes them defensive and angry. And when they really aren't racist (which they aren't, most of them anyway), it makes them even more defensive and even more angry.
I wholeheartedly agree. If there is a lesson to be learned for continental Europe it would be that. We need to offer better and pratical solutions to people who feel being left out and being better off w/o the EU. Beating populism, chimeras and fear is very difficult but the battle needs to be fought.
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