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Libyan Uprising - Page 45

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Off topic discussion and argumentative back and forth will not be tolerated.
0mar
Profile Joined February 2010
United States567 Posts
March 18 2011 01:51 GMT
#881
On March 18 2011 10:46 Kukaracha wrote:
I don't get people bitching about this. So it's all or nothing? Wow, what a subtle approach my dear friends!
I hope your chair is comfy.


You don't understand the implications of what this intervention means. It's as simple as that.
Fruscainte
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
4596 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-03-18 02:01:59
March 18 2011 02:01 GMT
#882
UNSC(United Nations Security Council, not the Halo UNSC) voted 10-0 to put a no fly zone into effect over Libya to protect citizens "At All Costs" Canada, Britain, France, and the US are all putting it into effect with the help of the United Arab Nations, Qatar, and Jordan. COALITION AIRSTRIKES ARE NOW PERMITTED.

http://english.aljazeera.net/watch_now/


Also note that Gaddafi has said that loyalist forces are going to push into Benghazi tonight. Expect NATO/UN Coalition intervention.

Also note that the UN operation is NOT US led. Either a British or French General will be in command.

Canada first to give hard numbers of support 6 CF-18s are en route to Libya and the support ship HMCS Charlottetown is in the Mediterranean and is providing artillery and electronic warfare support

US is not disclosing force to the public.

No word on contribution from Britain or France.

Arab League is asking UN to step in on their behalf in ground operations.

Gaddafi to "fight to the last man"

Germany: Gaddafi's reign is over.

Egypt is skeptical of Western intervention. Is pleased with no-fly zone and will supply troops to monitor western involvement to avoid any needless western aggression.

Italy has cut remaining ties from Libya and is now being used as a staging area alongside Malta for no fly zone.

Gaddafi has stated he WILL DIE before giving in to rebels. he believes the people want him in power

Gaddafi challenges Coalition to use all force they can bring to bear, including nuclear weapons, saying it will not break his resolve

Reports suggest UN coalition is supplying pro-democracy rebels


Libya is fucked. Not sure if posted yet, sorry if it has.
Bigpet
Profile Joined July 2010
Germany533 Posts
March 18 2011 02:02 GMT
#883
On March 18 2011 10:40 RxN wrote:
Picking and choosing which people to help and which to throw under the bus isn't going to win the western world any friends in the long run.


Yes but I am sure throwing them all under the bus will definitely make them ultra-popular.
I'm NOT the caster with a similar nick
Nightfall.589
Profile Joined August 2010
Canada766 Posts
March 18 2011 02:05 GMT
#884
On March 18 2011 10:46 Kukaracha wrote:
I don't get people bitching about this. So it's all or nothing? Wow, what a subtle approach my dear friends!
I hope your chair is comfy.

I'm afraid that people are bitching about the hypocrisy of propping up friendly repressive regimes, and condemning hostile repressive regimes.
Proof by Legislation: An entire body of (sort-of) elected officials is more correct than all of the known laws of physics, math and science as a whole. -Scott McIntyre
Hatsu
Profile Joined March 2010
United Kingdom474 Posts
March 18 2011 02:11 GMT
#885
Italy has said that they are not only going to allow the use of its military bases but they are also winning to contribute planes to enforce the no-fly zone.
Sedit qui timuit ne non succederet
Alou
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States3748 Posts
March 18 2011 02:21 GMT
#886
Did India and Brazil give reasons for abstaining? Russia and China's decision to abstain makes a lot of sense based on how they generally vote. Not to sure why India and Brazil abstained though.
Life is Good.
Asshat
Profile Joined September 2010
593 Posts
March 18 2011 02:26 GMT
#887
On March 18 2011 11:21 Alou wrote:
Did India and Brazil give reasons for abstaining? Russia and China's decision to abstain makes a lot of sense based on how they generally vote. Not to sure why India and Brazil abstained though.


Just like Germany, they are against the use of force. On another note, the moment it came to my notice that Libya was a major supply of oil I knew this was going to happen, there's no chance the US military intervention will be limited to just a "no flight zone" for very long.
Krikkitone
Profile Joined April 2009
United States1451 Posts
March 18 2011 02:29 GMT
#888
On March 18 2011 11:05 Nightfall.589 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 10:46 Kukaracha wrote:
I don't get people bitching about this. So it's all or nothing? Wow, what a subtle approach my dear friends!
I hope your chair is comfy.

I'm afraid that people are bitching about the hypocrisy of propping up friendly repressive regimes, and condemning hostile repressive regimes.



However the difference is not just friendly v. oppressive it is degree of involvement.

A "no-fly"/"no-drive" zone only works if there is an active rebellion. (ie rebels with 'boots' on the ground and guns) As long as there are only protesters, other countries would actually have to invade to make much of a difference.
Ocedic
Profile Joined April 2010
United States1808 Posts
March 18 2011 02:33 GMT
#889
On March 18 2011 11:26 Asshat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 11:21 Alou wrote:
Did India and Brazil give reasons for abstaining? Russia and China's decision to abstain makes a lot of sense based on how they generally vote. Not to sure why India and Brazil abstained though.


Just like Germany, they are against the use of force. On another note, the moment it came to my notice that Libya was a major supply of oil I knew this was going to happen, there's no chance the US military intervention will be limited to just a "no flight zone" for very long.


Reading this thread I was under the impression that the Libyan situation has greater ramifications for Europe than US, namely both the oil issue and potential refugees into Europe should the rebels lose. And the US is definitely being a lot more passive on this issue than, say, the war in Iraq.

And let's face it, the US army is already stretched way too thin; the last thing we need on our plates is another front to wage a ground war.
Probulous
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Australia3894 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-03-18 02:49:02
March 18 2011 02:40 GMT
#890
On March 18 2011 11:33 Ocedic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 11:26 Asshat wrote:
On March 18 2011 11:21 Alou wrote:
Did India and Brazil give reasons for abstaining? Russia and China's decision to abstain makes a lot of sense based on how they generally vote. Not to sure why India and Brazil abstained though.


Just like Germany, they are against the use of force. On another note, the moment it came to my notice that Libya was a major supply of oil I knew this was going to happen, there's no chance the US military intervention will be limited to just a "no flight zone" for very long.


Reading this thread I was under the impression that the Libyan situation has greater ramifications for Europe than US, namely both the oil issue and potential refugees into Europe should the rebels lose. And the US is definitely being a lot more passive on this issue than, say, the war in Iraq.

And let's face it, the US army is already stretched way too thin; the last thing we need on our plates is another front to wage a ground war.


I may be going out on a limb here but the benefits may be largely political. Cynical as that sounds it certainly plays better to be seen standing up for rebels than standing by. This is especially true when backed by the arab league. It is hard to paint this as an "invasion" when clearly it has been requested not only by the rebels by the arab state's premier representative group. Yes they themselves have internal problems but from a US perspective the benefit of being actively pro-democracy would surely outweigh the risks of being called hypocrites.

Besides all this it is IMO the right thing to do.

Edit: I would be highly surprised if the US was involved in a ground war particularly since the resolution precludes ground forces.
"Dude has some really interesting midgame switches that I wouldn't have expected. "I violated your house" into "HIHO THE DAIRY OH!" really threw me. You don't usually expect children's poetry harass as a follow up " - AmericanUmlaut
Jibba
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States22883 Posts
March 18 2011 02:49 GMT
#891
On March 18 2011 10:51 0mar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 10:46 Kukaracha wrote:
I don't get people bitching about this. So it's all or nothing? Wow, what a subtle approach my dear friends!
I hope your chair is comfy.


You don't understand the implications of what this intervention means. It's as simple as that.
I'm not quite sure what the issue is here. The US evaluated all the cases and decided that non-intervention best meets our needs when it comes to brutal allies. Intervention, humanitarian or otherwise, does have a place against our brutal enemies. At the very least it's a step up from the realism and neorealism that has always plagued IR.

If the issue is that you think there will be a blow back effect when we don't help in those countries, the answer is so? Is that ire going to be any less if we don't help anywhere? There's plenty of awareness in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia that the US is overextended at the moment, and it seems pretty clear that the US is not taking the lead in Libya. One of our requirements for agreeing was that a coalition of neighboring Arab states were also involved, and it was France and the UK leading negotiations. I think it will remain that the majority of our vitriol from the Middle East will come from our actions in Pakistan and non-action in Palestine.

It's unfortunate that we continue to provide weapons and support to dictators and their paramilitaries, but I don't think our actions in Libya will have nearly the effect on those other countries that you're imagining it will.
ModeratorNow I'm distant, dark in this anthrobeat
sushiman
Profile Joined September 2003
Sweden2691 Posts
March 18 2011 02:59 GMT
#892
On March 18 2011 11:26 Asshat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 11:21 Alou wrote:
Did India and Brazil give reasons for abstaining? Russia and China's decision to abstain makes a lot of sense based on how they generally vote. Not to sure why India and Brazil abstained though.


Just like Germany, they are against the use of force. On another note, the moment it came to my notice that Libya was a major supply of oil I knew this was going to happen, there's no chance the US military intervention will be limited to just a "no flight zone" for very long.

India and Brazil might also have reasons similar to China, namely not supporting anti-governmental forces in another country when they have restless populations of their own. Brazil is ripe with poverty and criminality, but especially India have reasons to thread carefully in this matter, since they long have had trouble with their minorities, especially muslim-hindu tension, as well as communist insurgents.
1000 at least.
Consolidate
Profile Joined February 2010
United States829 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-03-18 03:02:32
March 18 2011 03:01 GMT
#893
On March 18 2011 11:49 Jibba wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 10:51 0mar wrote:
On March 18 2011 10:46 Kukaracha wrote:
I don't get people bitching about this. So it's all or nothing? Wow, what a subtle approach my dear friends!
I hope your chair is comfy.


You don't understand the implications of what this intervention means. It's as simple as that.
I'm not quite sure what the issue is here. The US evaluated all the cases and decided that non-intervention best meets our needs when it comes to brutal allies. Intervention, humanitarian or otherwise, does have a place against our brutal enemies. At the very least it's a step up from the realism and neorealism that has always plagued IR.

If the issue is that you think there will be a blow back effect when we don't help in those countries, the answer is so? Is that ire going to be any less if we don't help anywhere? There's plenty of awareness in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia that the US is overextended at the moment, and it seems pretty clear that the US is not taking the lead in Libya. One of our requirements for agreeing was that a coalition of neighboring Arab states were also involved, and it was France and the UK leading negotiations. I think it will remain that the majority of our vitriol from the Middle East will come from our actions in Pakistan and non-action in Palestine.

It's unfortunate that we continue to provide weapons and support to dictators and their paramilitaries, but I don't think our actions in Libya will have nearly the effect on those other countries that you're imagining it will.


The US likely cut a deal with the Saudis to let them supress protesters in Bahrain in exchange for the support of the Arab League on Libya.

The number of deaths coming out from Libya seems negligable to be honest. This whole thing seems blown out of proportion. Sarkozy just wants to save face.
Creature posessed the the spirit of inquiry and bloodlust - Adventure Time
0mar
Profile Joined February 2010
United States567 Posts
March 18 2011 03:04 GMT
#894
On March 18 2011 11:49 Jibba wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 10:51 0mar wrote:
On March 18 2011 10:46 Kukaracha wrote:
I don't get people bitching about this. So it's all or nothing? Wow, what a subtle approach my dear friends!
I hope your chair is comfy.


You don't understand the implications of what this intervention means. It's as simple as that.
I'm not quite sure what the issue is here. The US evaluated all the cases and decided that non-intervention best meets our needs when it comes to brutal allies. Intervention, humanitarian or otherwise, does have a place against our brutal enemies. At the very least it's a step up from the realism and neorealism that has always plagued IR.

If the issue is that you think there will be a blow back effect when we don't help in those countries, the answer is so? Is that ire going to be any less if we don't help anywhere? There's plenty of awareness in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia that the US is overextended at the moment, and it seems pretty clear that the US is not taking the lead in Libya. One of our requirements for agreeing was that a coalition of neighboring Arab states were also involved, and it was France and the UK leading negotiations. I think it will remain that the majority of our vitriol from the Middle East will come from our actions in Pakistan and non-action in Palestine.

It's unfortunate that we continue to provide weapons and support to dictators and their paramilitaries, but I don't think our actions in Libya will have nearly the effect on those other countries that you're imagining it will.



The problem is that, ultimately, dictatorships cannot survive. If we constantly look the other way while these protests go on in our allied countries, when the people come into power, they won't soon forget what happened.

Iran is the perfect case. We overthrew their legitimate government in the '50s, installed a very strong dictator and supported him when he rose against his people. When his regime crumbled, the entire Middle East landscape changed for the worse against us to the point where we had no choice but to support an even more brutal dictator in Saddam.
Taguchi
Profile Joined February 2003
Greece1575 Posts
March 18 2011 03:10 GMT
#895
Western motives aside, can we all agree that Gaddafi is, in fact, a dangerous, if not insane, individual who does his countrymen no good by staying in power?

This is what the UN is supposed to do, protect the weak and punish the ones who oppress them (in the fantasy world of people acting out of goodwill instead of calculated moves to further their selfish designs) and the one time western intervention is good and just people are reflexively going to freak out?

Bahrain, Palestine etc are examples of the western world acting wrongly, does this mean we have to throw them under the bus when, for once, they're doing the right thing (extremely delayed timing, but still better late than never) ?

Come on now. If nothing else, just look at the reactions of the people in rebel-controlled areas...
Great minds might think alike, but fastest hands rule the day~
Asshat
Profile Joined September 2010
593 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-03-18 03:25:22
March 18 2011 03:23 GMT
#896
On March 18 2011 12:10 Taguchi wrote:
Western motives aside, can we all agree that Gaddafi is, in fact, a dangerous, if not insane, individual who does his countrymen no good by staying in power?

This is what the UN is supposed to do, protect the weak and punish the ones who oppress them (in the fantasy world of people acting out of goodwill instead of calculated moves to further their selfish designs) and the one time western intervention is good and just people are reflexively going to freak out?

Bahrain, Palestine etc are examples of the western world acting wrongly, does this mean we have to throw them under the bus when, for once, they're doing the right thing (extremely delayed timing, but still better late than never) ?

Come on now. If nothing else, just look at the reactions of the people in rebel-controlled areas...


They might be doing the right thing, but for the completely wrong motives. They couldn't care less if the Libyans blew themselves back into Stone Age, they are there to secure the valuable resources and hopefully installing a puppet government, while looking good in the process.

Something like that will never happen with Bahrain/Saudi Arabia because it is in the US's best interests that the current government remains in power, and I'm pretty sure they were secretly hoping that the Egyptian revolution never happened, as they were a powerful ally in the region. With the new government, you can only wonder if their support will continue.
Soap
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Brazil1546 Posts
March 18 2011 03:23 GMT
#897
On March 18 2011 11:59 sushiman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 11:26 Asshat wrote:
On March 18 2011 11:21 Alou wrote:
Did India and Brazil give reasons for abstaining? Russia and China's decision to abstain makes a lot of sense based on how they generally vote. Not to sure why India and Brazil abstained though.


Just like Germany, they are against the use of force. On another note, the moment it came to my notice that Libya was a major supply of oil I knew this was going to happen, there's no chance the US military intervention will be limited to just a "no flight zone" for very long.

India and Brazil might also have reasons similar to China, namely not supporting anti-governmental forces in another country when they have restless populations of their own. Brazil is ripe with poverty and criminality, but especially India have reasons to thread carefully in this matter, since they long have had trouble with their minorities, especially muslim-hindu tension, as well as communist insurgents.


Not really. There's plenty of gang activity, drug dealing and illegal gambling in Brazil but no political motivation, actually the ruling party is widely approved.

It's more because brazilian diplomacy is obsessed with independence, and since Libya is far away and our military assets are laughable, sounds better to be rebellious than an irrelevant ally.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 18 2011 03:34 GMT
#898
On March 18 2011 12:23 Soap wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 11:59 sushiman wrote:
On March 18 2011 11:26 Asshat wrote:
On March 18 2011 11:21 Alou wrote:
Did India and Brazil give reasons for abstaining? Russia and China's decision to abstain makes a lot of sense based on how they generally vote. Not to sure why India and Brazil abstained though.


Just like Germany, they are against the use of force. On another note, the moment it came to my notice that Libya was a major supply of oil I knew this was going to happen, there's no chance the US military intervention will be limited to just a "no flight zone" for very long.

India and Brazil might also have reasons similar to China, namely not supporting anti-governmental forces in another country when they have restless populations of their own. Brazil is ripe with poverty and criminality, but especially India have reasons to thread carefully in this matter, since they long have had trouble with their minorities, especially muslim-hindu tension, as well as communist insurgents.


Not really. There's plenty of gang activity, drug dealing and illegal gambling in Brazil but no political motivation, actually the ruling party is widely approved.

It's more because brazilian diplomacy is obsessed with independence, and since Libya is far away and our military assets are laughable, sounds better to be rebellious than an irrelevant ally.


Doesn't Brazil have the only Carrier in South America... Making it pretty much the powerhouse of South America?
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Boblion
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
France8043 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-03-18 03:44:28
March 18 2011 03:38 GMT
#899
On March 18 2011 12:34 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 12:23 Soap wrote:
On March 18 2011 11:59 sushiman wrote:
On March 18 2011 11:26 Asshat wrote:
On March 18 2011 11:21 Alou wrote:
Did India and Brazil give reasons for abstaining? Russia and China's decision to abstain makes a lot of sense based on how they generally vote. Not to sure why India and Brazil abstained though.


Just like Germany, they are against the use of force. On another note, the moment it came to my notice that Libya was a major supply of oil I knew this was going to happen, there's no chance the US military intervention will be limited to just a "no flight zone" for very long.

India and Brazil might also have reasons similar to China, namely not supporting anti-governmental forces in another country when they have restless populations of their own. Brazil is ripe with poverty and criminality, but especially India have reasons to thread carefully in this matter, since they long have had trouble with their minorities, especially muslim-hindu tension, as well as communist insurgents.


Not really. There's plenty of gang activity, drug dealing and illegal gambling in Brazil but no political motivation, actually the ruling party is widely approved.

It's more because brazilian diplomacy is obsessed with independence, and since Libya is far away and our military assets are laughable, sounds better to be rebellious than an irrelevant ally.


Doesn't Brazil have the only Carrier in South America... Making it pretty much the powerhouse of South America?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NAe_São_Paulo

Yep former French carrier ( Foch ) sold in 2000. Nothing comparable with the US nuclear-powered supercarriers though.
fuck all those elitists brb watching streams of elite players.
Jibba
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States22883 Posts
March 18 2011 03:45 GMT
#900
On March 18 2011 12:04 0mar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2011 11:49 Jibba wrote:
On March 18 2011 10:51 0mar wrote:
On March 18 2011 10:46 Kukaracha wrote:
I don't get people bitching about this. So it's all or nothing? Wow, what a subtle approach my dear friends!
I hope your chair is comfy.


You don't understand the implications of what this intervention means. It's as simple as that.
I'm not quite sure what the issue is here. The US evaluated all the cases and decided that non-intervention best meets our needs when it comes to brutal allies. Intervention, humanitarian or otherwise, does have a place against our brutal enemies. At the very least it's a step up from the realism and neorealism that has always plagued IR.

If the issue is that you think there will be a blow back effect when we don't help in those countries, the answer is so? Is that ire going to be any less if we don't help anywhere? There's plenty of awareness in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia that the US is overextended at the moment, and it seems pretty clear that the US is not taking the lead in Libya. One of our requirements for agreeing was that a coalition of neighboring Arab states were also involved, and it was France and the UK leading negotiations. I think it will remain that the majority of our vitriol from the Middle East will come from our actions in Pakistan and non-action in Palestine.

It's unfortunate that we continue to provide weapons and support to dictators and their paramilitaries, but I don't think our actions in Libya will have nearly the effect on those other countries that you're imagining it will.



The problem is that, ultimately, dictatorships cannot survive. If we constantly look the other way while these protests go on in our allied countries, when the people come into power, they won't soon forget what happened.

Iran is the perfect case. We overthrew their legitimate government in the '50s, installed a very strong dictator and supported him when he rose against his people. When his regime crumbled, the entire Middle East landscape changed for the worse against us to the point where we had no choice but to support an even more brutal dictator in Saddam.

Iran is incomparable to Saudi Arabia and Bahrain. Iran has always been a politically volatile country with a long past and strong sense of nationalism. The Arab gulf states are new, arbitrary and have been unbelievably wealthy for most of their existence. The middle and upper classes have been wealthy and comfortable because of the United States. Any revolution will stem from a loss of prominence/money, but that's a totally different motivator than the loss of autonomy, social mobility and poverty that spurned various uprisings in Iran and Pakistan. It's also a much more fleeting issue. Don't get me wrong, political freedom has been an increasingly important issue in the gulf but as long as they lived comfortably (as they were even 3-4 years ago), it was not worth rocking the boat.

None of that exactly applies to the shias (who are the ones who have been mistreated) but the underclasses can't carry out a revolt. It's almost always driven by the middle class, if not a united effort between the two, and that's not going to happen quite yet.
ModeratorNow I'm distant, dark in this anthrobeat
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