EPTThe European Debt Crisis and the Euro - Page 8
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neVern
United States115 Posts
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shin ken
Germany612 Posts
It would clearly be the best to just "ban" Greece from the EU, but it seems, that there is no politician who has the guts to do that so the Euro will be in fact in danger for a long time. | ||
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Velr
Switzerland10711 Posts
Maybe there are some countries in it that should not be in it (yet) but the *base*-size it had before the eastern-joining was not big enough to really make sense. The final Goal of the EU as a whole is to compete with the USA, Russia, China (and so on) on basically all levels (except on the military because we are cowards and you guys are gun slinging nut jobs  )... You can't do that when you are small. The benefits of a full continent having one voice is pretty obvious, therefore size is needed. If the whole of Europe is saying FUCK YOU it's way more powerful than all the countries issuing their varying opinions on various topics (just look at the varying support of the Iraq war for instance)...The Goal of the EU is to unite Europe... That does not happen/work if you only take the rich kids that did do pretty well on their own anyway. The possibilities of a friendly united Europe are very big. | ||
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myzael
Poland605 Posts
On March 02 2010 08:25 Intr3pid wrote: No, but they have the monetary policy instruments at their disposal to react in a timely fashion, whereas the Euro-countries pretty much have their hands tied as of now. Honestly, I wouldn't put them in the same category like France and Germany, UK Benelux etc. They are growing and fastly developping economies, which is good, but they got in too fast. I think it would have been better to really just accept already formed and well developped economies, but yeah now it's too late anyway. Btw Poland is a big receiver in the EU as I can remember, they are well of BECAUSE they are in the EU, they are not in the EU because they were doing well. Poland is not such a big reciever afaik. Yes, we get a little bit more than we give, but not so much. The aforementioned development is not as great as it could have been, had we gotten better and less corrupt management/politicians. Yet, the development would be possible without EU help. I do not want to judge, would it be faster or slower than it is. | ||
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sushiman
Sweden2691 Posts
The EU for some reason went into some frenzy admitting everyone and their neighbour to join the union, with obvious problem to follow. Frankly I'd prefer a northern and southern union, I'm tired of Sweden being the nation having the highest per capita contribution to the union, continuously funneling tons of money into tomato farmers and corrupt officials in southern Europe without really getting anything in return from them. | ||
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Fwmeh
1286 Posts
On March 02 2010 22:25 ShroomyD wrote: Scientific method is the only method applicable in science? It is the only way to apply science =P To enjoy the legitimacy associated by disciplines of science, you must obey its fundamental rules. The claim that an "opinion" is "self-evident" and it is supported by science is something everyone need to be extremely cautious against, because most often it is a false claim. More on topic, I myself doubt that the Euro will be allowed to die. The cost for saving it is still unknown however, but when things get big enough no price seem too big, as long as someone else pay it. I would not like to live in the PIIGS coutries, myself. | ||
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Not_A_Notion
Ireland441 Posts
On March 02 2010 22:46 Fwmeh wrote: It is the only way to apply science =P To enjoy the legitimacy associated by disciplines of science, you must obey its fundamental rules. The claim that an "opinion" is "self-evident" and it is supported by science is something everyone need to be extremely cautious against, because most often it is a false claim. More on topic, I myself doubt that the Euro will be allowed to die. The cost for saving it is still unknown however, but when things get big enough no price seem too big, as long as someone else pay it. I would not like to live in the PIIGS coutries, myself. Perhaps including Italy in PIIGS is a tad unfair? If I may interject with my own experience. M'eh it's not too bad, just back where we were in the early 90's in terms of unemployment rate, or 1988 in terms of fiscal reform. European social welfare systems are pretty generous, here an unemployed 25 year old gets paid €196 a week if they don't have a child and €227 if they have one kid. Though this may be cut up to 5% next year, but given deflation of bout -5% this doesn't change the real outlay. So it's not like people are starving or anything, these are very much first world problems. On-topic I don't think the Euro will break up for quite a while, as in several years. Of course Greece never met the criteria and should never have been let, everyone knew that at the time but I don't think it will destroy the Euro, just weaken it substantially, but this is all relative, the Euro was excessively strong before this damaging exports (my family are farmers, so a weak currency is always preferable). As long as the Euro doesn't break up, which would cause all sorts of shit and implicit trade barriers, then this thing is, from our point of view a very useful event toi happen, trade-wise + Show Spoiler + Case in point, yields on our sovereign debt have fallen secularly and are re-converging, albeit at a slow rate, with German Bunds with likely convergence to occur in 3 years or so, assuming the same policy course is taken and not some keynesian nonsense like they are doing in the UK. | ||
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Rothbardian
United States497 Posts
On March 02 2010 22:38 myzael wrote: Poland is not such a big reciever afaik. Yes, we get a little bit more than we give, but not so much. The aforementioned development is not as great as it could have been, had we gotten better and less corrupt management/politicians. Yet, the development would be possible without EU help. I do not want to judge, would it be faster or slower than it is. This is utopian. Every country is riddled with corrupt politicians. The system is corrupting. Identify the cause, not the symptom. | ||
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Rothbardian
United States497 Posts
On March 02 2010 22:46 Fwmeh wrote: It is the only way to apply science =P To enjoy the legitimacy associated by disciplines of science, you must obey its fundamental rules. The claim that an "opinion" is "self-evident" and it is supported by science is something everyone need to be extremely cautious against, because most often it is a false claim. More on topic, I myself doubt that the Euro will be allowed to die. The cost for saving it is still unknown however, but when things get big enough no price seem too big, as long as someone else pay it. I would not like to live in the PIIGS coutries, myself. Praxeology and a priorism is not "opinion". Logic is demonstrable. Take for instance the central axiom of Austrianism. Human Action. Elaborated upon -- Praxeology is founded upon the central axiom that individual human beings act, that is, on the primordial fact that individuals engage in conscious actions toward chosen goals. -- This concept of action contrasts to purely reflexive, or knee-jerk, behavior which is not directed towards goals. The praxeological method spins out by verbal deduction the logical implications of that primordial fact. In short, praxeological economics is the structure of logical implications of the fact that individuals act. This structure is built on the fundamental axiom of action, and has a few subsidiary axioms, such as that individuals vary and that human beings regard leisure as a valuable good. Any skeptic about deducing from such a simple base an entire system of economics, I refer to Mises's Human Action. Furthermore, since praxeology begins with a true axiom, A, all the propositions that can be deduced from this axiom must also be true. For if A implies B, and A is true, then B must also be true. http://mises.org/rothbard/praxeology.pdf I believe its pretty self-evident that humans act, and act purposefully. Don't you? Anyways, if that's off-topic, sorry. In other news. I eagerly await to see how this will play out even though the ramifications to which I espouse are very, very horrible for the world writ large. Perhaps we will learn our lesson? Then again, we haven't yet, but still I hold out hope! | ||
Liquid`Jinro
Sweden33719 Posts
I hate currencies fluctuating :[ Especially since I know nothing about this stuff. | ||
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Intr3pid
Switzerland336 Posts
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Rothbardian
United States497 Posts
On March 02 2010 23:27 FrozenArbiter wrote: So, sorry for the slightly off-topic post but, if I have a decent amount of money tied up in euros, is there any point in trying to exchange them into something else... or would that be overreacting? I hate currencies fluctuating :[ Especially since I know nothing about this stuff. I would listen to Jim Rogers and Marc Faber, and say, gold, silver, and agriculture will be quite nice to hold on to for some time. Agriculture is nice to see a good investment return in the foreseeable future, and gold/silver to keep your wealth intact. There is no strong currency. Every fiat currency has extraodonarily weak fundamentals to the point of not even wanting to hold one Euro, one Dollar, or one Yen. Take this advice as you will. | ||
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eStoniaNBoY
Switzerland439 Posts
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endy
Switzerland8970 Posts
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baal
10541 Posts
On March 02 2010 23:27 FrozenArbiter wrote: So, sorry for the slightly off-topic post but, if I have a decent amount of money tied up in euros, is there any point in trying to exchange them into something else... or would that be overreacting? I hate currencies fluctuating :[ Especially since I know nothing about this stuff. sell, buy gold. | ||
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Groslouser
France337 Posts
I mean EU can put pressure on countries, after that they can bitch about it, try to slow down the process but in the end eu will win. In france we've often got *little* disagreement with the eu, in the end we always lose, you can look at our electricity/postal/phone policy: they used to be state company but EU kicked our government ass and now we have to privatize them. So what would happen if the EU says "ok, we're going to help you out of this mess, but you're going to do what we say cuz we're bored of you doing shit". I bet it won't happen like that, it would create a first that no country could accept (especially us) however EU could use Greece as a scapegoat to warn spain and co. Greece would have to obey... which would be a more severe interference in a country policy than anything the EU has already done. So euro should not fall with just this, but the aftermath might be interesting to see/study; there is room for smart politicians to do something fancy here. EDIT: just finished reading this: http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/economics/article7047939.ece Looks like someone here is going to have to crush down some riots | ||
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Rothbardian
United States497 Posts
On March 04 2010 00:46 Groslouser wrote: I really doubt european countries would allow the euro to die. However one might wonder what the eu government might gain with all this. I mean EU can put pressure on countries, after that they can bitch about it, try to slow down the process but in the end eu will win. In france we've often got *little* disagreement with the eu, in the end we always lose, you can look at our electricity/postal/phone policy: they used to be state company but EU kicked our government ass and now we have to privatize them. So what would happen if the EU says "ok, we're going to help you out of this mess, but you're going to do what we say cuz we're bored of you doing shit". I bet it won't happen like that, it would create a first that no country could accept (especially us) however EU could use Greece as a scapegoat to warn spain and co. Greece would have to obey... which would be a more severe interference in a country policy than anything the EU has already done. So euro should not fall with just this, but the aftermath might be interesting to see/study; there is room for smart politicians to do something fancy here. EDIT: just finished reading this: http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/economics/article7047939.ece Looks like someone here is going to have to crush down some riots I wouldn't want to see what happens with Greece. Their citizens are quite feisty. Look what they did last christmas when that young boy was killed. I find it funny Europeans are infatuated with the EU, when not sixty years ago they loved their sovereignty. Instead of a war that conquered these countries, they | ||
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Silvanel
Poland4729 Posts
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Rothbardian
United States497 Posts
On March 04 2010 04:10 Silvanel wrote: There is nothing hilarious here. Well maybe with exception of Your comparison of EU to Third Reich. The goal is the same. One central European authority. It just goes to show if you want to take over countries don't go to war, just do it politically. Haha. | ||
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nothingbutzerg
Greece626 Posts
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