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The European Debt Crisis and the Euro

Forum Index > General Forum
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lOvOlUNiMEDiA
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States643 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-05-11 11:09:55
March 01 2010 06:03 GMT
#1
Greece can't pay its debts. So the EU, especially Germany, is wondering what to do. I hadn't thought too much about this and didn't think that it was a big deal. But then I read this article that claims that without precise actions the "euro may not survive." The article also mentions that even if the Greek crisis is dealt with that is only the beginning of the problem because there is a lot of debt in other countries, especially Spain, as well. So, please tell me how you see this difficult time in Europe playing itself out.

Article

Mod Edit: This is serious business. Anyone who posts trash in this thread will be banned.
To say that I'm missing the point, you would first have to show that such work can have a point.
InToTheWannaB
Profile Joined September 2002
United States4770 Posts
March 01 2010 06:22 GMT
#2
Who knows, economics is crazy. You basicly need to be a full time student or have a profession in a economic field to really have a clue about this stuff. You would think the U.S dollar would be worth less the the paper its printed on at this point with all the debt we have. Then you look and the dollar geting stronger.
When the spirit is not altogether slain, great loss teaches men and women to desire greatly, both for themselves and for others.
TanGeng
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Sanya12364 Posts
March 01 2010 06:27 GMT
#3
Hell the British pound hangs more precariously in the balance.

Europe might go to hell in a hand basket. But it cannot be doubted that the Mediterranean countries are all basket cases. I think Greece will learn its lessons though. It is the socialist government adopting the austere measures to bring their public debt under control.

Painful but worse would be bailing Italy and Portugal and watching Spain disintegrate into three or four countries. Spain still might disintegrate into multiple countries regardless.
Moderator我们是个踏实的赞助商模式俱乐部
n.DieJokes
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States3443 Posts
March 01 2010 06:27 GMT
#4
I honestly have nothing to add or confirm or deny. I almost wish we would go back to the gold standard so at least I would have some idea what's going on.
MyLove + Your Love= Supa Love
LunarDestiny
Profile Blog Joined August 2008
United States4177 Posts
March 01 2010 06:29 GMT
#5
The Euro currency makes buying and selling very easy in Europe be it causes European Countries not being able to use monetary policy effectively to fight against their different economy.

For example, if a country (say Spain) wants to lower interest rate to simulate its economy, it will have to print out more euro.

BUT, the EU as a whole might not want to lower the value of the euro. So Spain is screwed.
Railz
Profile Joined July 2008
United States1449 Posts
March 01 2010 06:31 GMT
#6
On March 01 2010 15:27 n.DieJokes wrote:
I honestly have nothing to add or confirm or deny. I almost wish we would go back to the gold standard so at least I would have some idea what's going on.


No you don't Gold Standard leaves zero room for breathing room in both growth and de/inflation. Its cute if you run a country with a non growing, non decreasing population, but beyond that, a gold backed system is a child's dream.
Did the whole world just get a lot smaller and go whooosh?_-` Number 0ne By.Fantasy Fanatic!
TanGeng
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Sanya12364 Posts
March 01 2010 06:32 GMT
#7
Yeah, it means that all governments have to be equally fiscally responsible or irresponsible. There's a dichotomy between the governing philosophy of the southern Mediterranean states and the northern economic engines, though, and that is the size of the welfare state. Greece adds in that wonderful bit of corruption in cushy government jobs.

We'll just have to wait to see how the dominoes topple.
Moderator我们是个踏实的赞助商模式俱乐部
MamiyaOtaru
Profile Blog Joined September 2008
United States1687 Posts
March 01 2010 06:37 GMT
#8
this was a worry way back when the whole Euro thing was starting. I'm mildly surprised it hasn't turned into a real issue until now
Railz
Profile Joined July 2008
United States1449 Posts
March 01 2010 06:40 GMT
#9
On March 01 2010 15:37 MamiyaOtaru wrote:
this was a worry way back when the whole Euro thing was starting. I'm mildly surprised it hasn't turned into a real issue until now


I feel like the main problem in the Eurozone is that the Euro Parliament has zero power in any of this. So every state does what they please with the knowledge that France or Germany will save them from bankruptcy. We'd pretty much laugh off any state that request more money for their own state programs. Federal programs might keep them from falling into poverty but they'd lose their fluffy cushions for sure.
Did the whole world just get a lot smaller and go whooosh?_-` Number 0ne By.Fantasy Fanatic!
Rothbardian
Profile Joined January 2010
United States497 Posts
March 01 2010 06:50 GMT
#10
On March 01 2010 15:31 Railz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2010 15:27 n.DieJokes wrote:
I honestly have nothing to add or confirm or deny. I almost wish we would go back to the gold standard so at least I would have some idea what's going on.


No you don't Gold Standard leaves zero room for breathing room in both growth and de/inflation. Its cute if you run a country with a non growing, non decreasing population, but beyond that, a gold backed system is a child's dream.


What currency did we have during the Industrial Revolution and subsequent explosion in standard of living?

While I do not particularly advocate a Gold Standard (As I believe all monopolies are hurtful), it is much better than the current fiat system we have now.

I think Joseph Schumpeter puts it best:

An ‘automatic’ gold currency is part and parcel of a laissez-faire and free-trade economy. It links every nation’s money rates and price levels with the money-rates and price levels of all the other nations that are ‘on gold.’ It is extremely sensitive to government expenditure and even to attitudes or policies that do not involve expenditure directly, for example, to foreign policy, to certain policies of taxation, and, in general, to precisely all those policies that violate the principles of [classical] liberalism. This is the reason why gold is so unpopular now and also why it was so popular in a bourgeois era. It imposes restrictions upon governments or bureaucracies that are much more powerful than is parliamentary criticism. It is both the badge and the guarantee of bourgeois freedom—of freedom not simply of the bourgeois interest, but of freedom in the bourgeois sense. From this standpoint a man may quite rationally fight for it, even if fully convinced of the validity of all that has ever been urged against it on economic grounds. From the standpoint of etatisme and planning, a man may not less rationally condemn it, even if fully convinced of the validity of all that has ever been urged for it on economic grounds.

Why you would let anyone purposefully devalue your money (Ergo, making you poorer) is beyond my comprehension. I also like this by Henry Ford:

"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning."


Personally, I prefer private competing currencies ala F.A. Hayek's - Denationalisation of Money.

Also, if I can find the YT clip of Thomas Woods great lecture about the nature of money, it will easily disprove the Monetarist and Neo-Classicist position that money must increase in quantity for an equal or greater rise in productiveness. In fact, deflation is far better than inflation, especially so since inflation is hideously regressive (Ergo, theft).
"A tax-supported, compulsory educational system is the complete model of the totalitarian state." - Isabel Paterson <3
Rothbardian
Profile Joined January 2010
United States497 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-03-01 06:52:47
March 01 2010 06:51 GMT
#11
On March 01 2010 15:40 Railz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2010 15:37 MamiyaOtaru wrote:
this was a worry way back when the whole Euro thing was starting. I'm mildly surprised it hasn't turned into a real issue until now


I feel like the main problem in the Eurozone is that the Euro Parliament has zero power in any of this. So every state does what they please with the knowledge that France or Germany will save them from bankruptcy. We'd pretty much laugh off any state that request more money for their own state programs. Federal programs might keep them from falling into poverty but they'd lose their fluffy cushions for sure.


Have you paid any attention to the last two years? The Federal Government has bailed out pretty much every state, but since the financial situation doesn't change because the politicians do not have the gall to dismantle the Welfare State we are on a path of destruction. There are immutable laws of Economics, and we passed the bankruptcy point a long time ago. We can only stall so long until inflation turns into a currency crisis. The commercial real-estate collapse will trigger the next big event within the next two years. It's going to get severely nasty throughout the whole world.
"A tax-supported, compulsory educational system is the complete model of the totalitarian state." - Isabel Paterson <3
Jonoman92
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
United States9110 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-03-01 08:33:01
March 01 2010 06:53 GMT
#12
Mod edit
TanGeng
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Sanya12364 Posts
March 01 2010 06:54 GMT
#13
leave it to Rothbarian to argue a principled defense of the gold standard.

Money should be whatever society wants it to be. I'd trade in any medium of exchange.
Moderator我们是个踏实的赞助商模式俱乐部
Rothbardian
Profile Joined January 2010
United States497 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-03-01 06:58:26
March 01 2010 06:57 GMT
#14
On March 01 2010 15:54 TanGeng wrote:
leave it to Rothbarian to argue a principled defense of the gold standard.

Money should be whatever society wants it to be. I'd trade in any medium of exchange.


I agree, though with the caveat of Money should be whatever the individual wishes to use as their medium of exchange. I don't like conflating society with the individual. :p

Personally, I got some local businesses to start trading in Silver. My local agorist network is growing little by little. I suspect when I move to NH though I'll be in a bustling agorist network, or at the very least in an environment which cherishes the counter-economy.
"A tax-supported, compulsory educational system is the complete model of the totalitarian state." - Isabel Paterson <3
TanGeng
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Sanya12364 Posts
March 01 2010 07:02 GMT
#15
wow, full blown bartering is like tax evasion. Are you sure the IRS isn't going to come after you?
Moderator我们是个踏实的赞助商模式俱乐部
Rothbardian
Profile Joined January 2010
United States497 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-03-01 07:05:41
March 01 2010 07:04 GMT
#16
On March 01 2010 16:02 TanGeng wrote:
wow, full blown bartering is like tax evasion. Are you sure the IRS isn't going to come after you?


How are they going to know? There was a bristling counter-economy in the USSR and it survived one of the largest most oppressive States in the history of man-kind. Besides, I'm not scared of the IRS, and I will not voluntarily relinquish my natural rights to some arbitrary authority that is threatening me with violence and imprisonment. If they do come after me, I'm not going down alone, thats for sure, and I'm sure Patrick Henry, Richard Henry Lee, and John Locke, would be smiling
"A tax-supported, compulsory educational system is the complete model of the totalitarian state." - Isabel Paterson <3
mahnini
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
United States6862 Posts
March 01 2010 07:07 GMT
#17
On March 01 2010 16:04 Rothbardian wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2010 16:02 TanGeng wrote:
wow, full blown bartering is like tax evasion. Are you sure the IRS isn't going to come after you?


How are they going to know? There was a bristling counter-economy in the USSR and it survived one of the largest most oppressive States in the history of man-kind. Besides, I'm not scared of the IRS, and I will not voluntarily relinquish my natural rights to some arbitrary authority that is threatening me with violence and imprisonment. If they do come after me, I'm not going down alone, thats for sure, and I'm sure Patrick Henry, Richard Henry Lee, and John Locke, would be smiling

don't pay taxes. use public services.


FIGHT DA POWER

the world's a playground. you know that when you're a kid, but somewhere along the way everyone forgets it.
TanGeng
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Sanya12364 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-03-01 07:15:28
March 01 2010 07:14 GMT
#18
lol that's pretty amazing. I'll join up when the movement gets large enough.

ok not to de-rail the thread, back to about the Euro going down the tubes or countries moving off of the Euro. It's probably not going to happen because such a move to have such a devastating loss of purchasing power that no one in Greece could stomach it. It might even be worse than the current rioting and striking.

So if Germany will hold steady then there will be no bailout, and I think that there is enough legal impetus to do nothing for Greece.
Moderator我们是个踏实的赞助商模式俱乐部
Rothbardian
Profile Joined January 2010
United States497 Posts
March 01 2010 07:20 GMT
#19
On March 01 2010 16:07 mahnini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2010 16:04 Rothbardian wrote:
On March 01 2010 16:02 TanGeng wrote:
wow, full blown bartering is like tax evasion. Are you sure the IRS isn't going to come after you?


How are they going to know? There was a bristling counter-economy in the USSR and it survived one of the largest most oppressive States in the history of man-kind. Besides, I'm not scared of the IRS, and I will not voluntarily relinquish my natural rights to some arbitrary authority that is threatening me with violence and imprisonment. If they do come after me, I'm not going down alone, thats for sure, and I'm sure Patrick Henry, Richard Henry Lee, and John Locke, would be smiling

don't pay taxes. use public services.


FIGHT DA POWER



I try not to use any public services. The State gives me no other choice in regards to roads, and other such monopolized infrastructure. It's kind of hard not to use monopolized infrastructure, and the State gives you no other choice, and if you try to open up your own private road they will come and shut you down, take your assets, and then add on fines and possible imprisonment (kidnapping).

Look at what they did to Lysander Spooner when he opened up his Postal Service. It was flourishing and absolutely crushing the USPS. The Government is a joke, precisely because monopolies are always inefficient, destructive, and have no pricing mechanism, ergo always result in over-use and artificial scarcity. Why do you think public health systems always have long waiting lines for everything? When you feel you are getting something for free you are naturally going to over use it, and since Gossen's Third Law rules everything, you will enivitably run into a problem where whatever supply you do have is quickly gone.

It's not power I'm against per se; it is arbitrary power, and coercively imposed authority I am specifically against, which our Monetary System is definitely. Look no further than the Liberty Dollar.
"A tax-supported, compulsory educational system is the complete model of the totalitarian state." - Isabel Paterson <3
PobTheCad
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
Australia893 Posts
March 01 2010 07:20 GMT
#20
depends if they are also willing to bail out portugal , spain and more eastern european sountries in the future
Once again back is the incredible!
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