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The European Debt Crisis and the Euro - Page 26

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Warlike Prince
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
371 Posts
May 10 2011 21:11 GMT
#501
On May 11 2011 05:42 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
I think he felt that way about fiat currency in general and at that time the U.S. was still a agriculture economy. I think it is quite possible that the founding fathers would change their minds if they had lived for another hundred years.

10,000th post on this -.-


I find it hard to fathom that anyone would want a private institution to control their nations economy. Even more so after fighting a war against a king that wouldn't let them print their own money.
andrewlt
Profile Joined August 2009
United States7702 Posts
May 10 2011 21:19 GMT
#502
As somebody who migrated from the Philippines to the US, my take is that Greek workers have productivity close to Filipino workers but have pay and benefits closer to that of Americans/French/Germans/etc. It combines what Americans hate about French socialism with what French hate about American capitalism and mixes it with third world levels of corruption and tax evasion.

It's kinda funny reading the articles about it. Greece has low effective tax levels like the US, partly because of rampant tax evasion. Its workers work few hours and have lots of vacation time like French workers. They get socialized benefits like Scandinavians. They party like Brazilians do. They love luxury and brand goods like East Asians do. And they get to retire at 60. And they managed to fund this lifestyle because they were allowed to borrow money at roughly the same rate as Germany for a long time.
daemir
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland8662 Posts
May 10 2011 21:24 GMT
#503
On May 11 2011 05:19 maartendq wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2011 05:03 Greentellon wrote:
EURO is not going down. The only "crisis of capitalism" is dumba** politicians who won't amputate the necrotic dead tissue, instead trying to bandaid it. The whole point of capitalism is that if you take risks you will have to pay for them. No bailouts thank you.

Finland is a net-payer in EU along with Germany & Co. GDP is up 10% last year, tax revenues are on the rise rapidly and they plan to take the remaining defecit and debt head-on during this electoral cycle.

"Our half" of EU is going to be fine. The Lazy Countries....I do not know.

I'm almost certain you voted for some kind of populistic extreme right party that won the elections two weeks ago.. You know, the Finnish version of the Tea Party.. Those True Finns..

So what you're saying is that whenever a country is doing horrible, the EU should just drop and and leave its citizens to rot?

That's sounds like a really humane thing to do!



Countries like Greece should never have even gotten membership as their falsified economic figures were "forcefully" pushed into the EU. Now big surprise, their economy couldn't cope.
smokeyhoodoo
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1021 Posts
May 10 2011 23:01 GMT
#504
On May 11 2011 02:30 Gracksaurusrex wrote:
The problem with Greece is that taxes to their people are almost optional

They have a serious problem when it comes to tax inforcing


That doesn't sound like a problem.
There is no cow level
HEhatesusall
Profile Joined April 2010
Greece76 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-05-10 23:50:23
May 10 2011 23:46 GMT
#505
On May 11 2011 06:19 andrewlt wrote:
As somebody who migrated from the Philippines to the US, my take is that Greek workers have productivity close to Filipino workers but have pay and benefits closer to that of Americans/French/Germans/etc. It combines what Americans hate about French socialism with what French hate about American capitalism and mixes it with third world levels of corruption and tax evasion.

It's kinda funny reading the articles about it. Greece has low effective tax levels like the US, partly because of rampant tax evasion. Its workers work few hours and have lots of vacation time like French workers. They get socialized benefits like Scandinavians. They party like Brazilians do. They love luxury and brand goods like East Asians do. And they get to retire at 60. And they managed to fund this lifestyle because they were allowed to borrow money at roughly the same rate as Germany for a long time.


That opinion is quite rampant on the general public, but its soooo wrong . Lets look at the facts

http://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DatasetCode=LEVEL

At Greece,GDP per hour worked is 60% of USA, while for example korea has 43%. I dont hear anyone talking about "lazy ass Koreans" though. Moreover from the same table we can see the average greek works 2232 hours per year,while the average USA citizen works 1681. That's (2232-1681)/1681= 32% more hours per year than the average American!!! Also, as we can see here:

http://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DatasetCode=PDYGTH

Greece has the one of the highest rates of labour productivity growth in the western world.There are many differences between a very advanced country (USA) and a moderately advanced but with many problems (for example, we have to have an elementary school in every small island with 300-500 citizens, and we have ALOT of very small islands. Same applies in some extend to high schools,hospitals etc). Taking into account the already mentioned problems, and that USA's income is also heavily boosted by wall street, there isn't THAT much of a difference to justify the shit we're currently into.

The problem with the Euro is a fundamental one. You cant have a common currency without common economic policies!!! For example in the states, the "wealthy" people in New York pay with their taxes so that a company can receive government funding to create some jobs in Texas(simplistic example.but I think you get the point). In Europe from the other hand, when the European Union took its current shape in the mid 90's, all of the member-states were forced to drop all trade taxes between themselves and the rest of the world(free market). That means the super advanced German industry competes directly with the average-joe Greek company which cant compete in quality with Germany(for obvious reasons) but also cant even compete in low price(because the workforce at Bulgaria,Albania,former soviet countries, china etc) work for $1-$5 per day. So, the solution of ALL the southern European countries was to burrow money in order to have a decent growth, which was funded by government spending. But that's not just us(the PIIGS who live with our money, as many people believe). Private debt per capita is WAY bigger than public debt in ALL countries, and that's an even bigger problem. Lets look at some figures:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_external_debt

Total private+public debt owed to non-residents of Greece is 165% of GDP. Total private +public debt of Germany owed to non-residents is (we all expect that to be low, right?) ..... 143% !!!! For UK its 400% of GDP! For France its 188%!, for Luxembourg its freaking 4600% . As you can see,even when Greece is DEEP into economical problems, the other "strong" countries have a ton of problems also. The TOTAL private+public debt is even worse for those countries compared to Greece but I cant find those figures online(I only have them in some of my economic books)

I could write like a whole freaking book about the misconceptions many people have about the current economical situation. And all that's because half the world gets informed from TV stations like FOX....



Lori_ftw
Profile Joined January 2011
Germany286 Posts
May 10 2011 23:52 GMT
#506
If Greece fails, we just kick em out of the EU ...done!
möp
Zhiroo
Profile Joined February 2011
Kosovo2724 Posts
May 10 2011 23:58 GMT
#507
I wish the Mark would be back, life was a lot cheaper with Mark.
LoL EuW: Zhiroo - By starting this squabble you've proven nothing but how vast your stupidity is.
Craton
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States17287 Posts
May 11 2011 00:01 GMT
#508
On May 11 2011 08:01 smokeyhoodoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2011 02:30 Gracksaurusrex wrote:
The problem with Greece is that taxes to their people are almost optional

They have a serious problem when it comes to tax inforcing


That doesn't sound like a problem.

Until your government becomes woefully unable to fund itself.
twitch.tv/cratonz
shell
Profile Joined October 2010
Portugal2722 Posts
May 11 2011 00:08 GMT
#509
Portugal, Greece, Spain Italy etc.. are being fucked big time! Because the same guys that lowered our debt rating (standard & poors, etc..) were the same guys that gave madoff and the wall street sub prime crisis AAA+ ...They failed with that but nothing happens to them and now to make the dollar stronger and fuck EU and the euro they lower our rates until we are borrowing money for more then 10% interest even tho everybody knows that we will never miss our payments because the EU and IMF will "save" us.. It's just another scheme for someone to make allot of money..

It's our fault because of our shitty politicians, because they spend the money bad and are dirty!
This is the system, the wealthy get wealthier and the poor get poorer!

Someone is winning allot of money with this crisis!
BENFICA || Besties: idra, Stephano, Nestea, Jaedong, Serral, Jinro, Scarlett || Zerg <3
MoltkeWarding
Profile Joined November 2003
5195 Posts
May 11 2011 01:47 GMT
#510
Total private+public debt owed to non-residents of Greece is 165% of GDP. Total private +public debt of Germany owed to non-residents is (we all expect that to be low, right?) ..... 143% !!!! For UK its 400% of GDP! For France its 188%!, for Luxembourg its freaking 4600% . As you can see,even when Greece is DEEP into economical problems, the other "strong" countries have a ton of problems also. The TOTAL private+public debt is even worse for those countries compared to Greece but I cant find those figures online(I only have them in some of my economic books)


These figures are tricky, as they only mention owed debt, without mentioning how much debt these countries own. If you take the figures of the net external debt and assets, Germany is a large net creditor, whereas the PIIGS are not.

Take a look at the table here:
http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/5008

{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 01 2011 21:56 GMT
#511
Barring a political accident, a new EU/IMF bailout package for Athens -- barely a year after an initial 110 billion euro ($158 billion) rescue -- is likely to be agreed by the end of June, several officials involved in the negotiations say.

Financial markets seem to believe that and have begun to lower Greek bond yields slightly from stratospheric levels.

In some ways, the deal will be tougher on Greece than the last one; it will give creditors a supervisory role over the privatization of Greek state assets that will intrude on national sovereignty, officials say.

It will probably also involve "voluntary" commitments by private investors to maintain their exposure to Greece, the officials say, although this remains highly sensitive.

The European Central Bank and credit rating agencies have warned that the European Union would be playing with fire if it tinkered, even on a voluntary basis, with the terms of existing bonds. That could trigger a chain of downgrades and defaults.

Privately, one ECB source predicted the central bank would ultimately acquiesce if banks volunteered to roll over credit to Greece. But before the new deal for Greece is reached, officials may continue to clash publicly over this and other issues.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Wegandi
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2455 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-03 02:21:27
June 03 2011 02:21 GMT
#512
On May 11 2011 05:42 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
I think he felt that way about fiat currency in general and at that time the U.S. was still a agriculture economy. I think it is quite possible that the founding fathers would change their minds if they had lived for another hundred years.

10,000th post on this -.-


I am sure the Continental had nothing whatsoever to do with the country wanting their money to be backed by a commodity and those on the Anti-Federalist side fighting to prevent a Central Bank which the purpose of is always as an expedient to Government growth and power and massive Corruption. There's also a reason most of the founders were vehemently anti-Central Banks because they saw the destruction, corruption, and magnanimous power the English Central Bank wrought. They wanted the people to control the money, not the Government, and not a Central Bank.

I am quite certain if the Founders were alive today they would re-establish Committees of Correspondences and Safety and the Sons of Liberty and restart the revolution. NSL's as Writs of Assistance, Income Tax and tax rates for most hovering over 50%, a Corporatist economy (Hello there East India), Executive turning into King, and endless expansive undeclared Wars. I could go on, but it is hard for Classical Liberals to not look at the US as one giant expansive tyranny -- because it is.
Thank you bureaucrats for all your hard work, your commitment to public service and public good is essential to the lives of so many. Also, for Pete's sake can we please get some gun control already, no need for hand guns and assault rifles for the public
acker
Profile Joined September 2010
United States2958 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-03 02:46:45
June 03 2011 02:31 GMT
#513
Pertaining to now:

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1a61825a-8bb7-11e0-a725-00144feab49a.html#axzz1OAy2DrhP

http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2011/06/01/how-europes-central-banks-are-staving-off-catastrophe/

In general:



The video is from a few months ago, but the 8-part talk is nice. Not that I understand half of it.
Risen
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States7927 Posts
June 03 2011 02:53 GMT
#514
On June 03 2011 11:21 Wegandi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2011 05:42 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
I think he felt that way about fiat currency in general and at that time the U.S. was still a agriculture economy. I think it is quite possible that the founding fathers would change their minds if they had lived for another hundred years.

10,000th post on this -.-


I am sure the Continental had nothing whatsoever to do with the country wanting their money to be backed by a commodity and those on the Anti-Federalist side fighting to prevent a Central Bank which the purpose of is always as an expedient to Government growth and power and massive Corruption. There's also a reason most of the founders were vehemently anti-Central Banks because they saw the destruction, corruption, and magnanimous power the English Central Bank wrought. They wanted the people to control the money, not the Government, and not a Central Bank.

I am quite certain if the Founders were alive today they would re-establish Committees of Correspondences and Safety and the Sons of Liberty and restart the revolution. NSL's as Writs of Assistance, Income Tax and tax rates for most hovering over 50%, a Corporatist economy (Hello there East India), Executive turning into King, and endless expansive undeclared Wars. I could go on, but it is hard for Classical Liberals to not look at the US as one giant expansive tyranny -- because it is.


Executive branch as king? Hyperbole much? And I think you place the founding fathers wish for a democracy where everyone was king of their castle too high. They wouldn't have made it a republic. Also, getting rid of all those things you clearly hate presents a logistical nightmare.
Pufftrees Everyday>its like a rifter that just used X-Factor/Liquid'Nony: I hope no one lip read XD/Holyflare>it's like policy lynching but better/Resident Los Angeles bachelor
BioNova
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
United States598 Posts
June 03 2011 12:58 GMT
#515
I believe that not only will the euro go splat, the union itself won't be long behind unless the 1-worlders get their way, then we're all strapped in for a ride.
I used to like trumpets, now I prefer pause. "Don't move a muscle JP!"
TMStarcraft
Profile Joined September 2010
Australia686 Posts
June 03 2011 13:37 GMT
#516
On March 01 2010 15:50 Rothbardian wrote:
In fact, deflation is far better than inflation, especially so since inflation is hideously regressive (Ergo, theft).

Not to disregard the rest of your post, but can you explain why deflation is good? From what I understand, deflation is to be avoided at all costs because:

a) Deflation = the value of money increasing thus,

b) People can purchase more goods & services with less money

c) Providers of services and manufacturers of goods lose profits because their salable assets are now cheaper to obtain (so they need to either produce more/provide more services in order to maintain previous revenue margins, or cut costs)

d) Due to the drop in revenue and overall profits, cost cutting measures are introduced (most likely in the form of redundancies)

e) Unemployment rises, less disposable income overall, less purchases, revenues decrease further, vicious cycle

Am I mistaken with this line of thought? I've never heard of anyone in favour of deflation before.
||
Nightfall.589
Profile Joined August 2010
Canada766 Posts
June 03 2011 14:45 GMT
#517
On June 03 2011 22:37 TMStarcraft wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2010 15:50 Rothbardian wrote:
In fact, deflation is far better than inflation, especially so since inflation is hideously regressive (Ergo, theft).

Not to disregard the rest of your post, but can you explain why deflation is good? From what I understand, deflation is to be avoided at all costs because:

a) Deflation = the value of money increasing thus,

b) People can purchase more goods & services with less money

c) Providers of services and manufacturers of goods lose profits because their salable assets are now cheaper to obtain (so they need to either produce more/provide more services in order to maintain previous revenue margins, or cut costs)

d) Due to the drop in revenue and overall profits, cost cutting measures are introduced (most likely in the form of redundancies)

e) Unemployment rises, less disposable income overall, less purchases, revenues decrease further, vicious cycle

Am I mistaken with this line of thought? I've never heard of anyone in favour of deflation before.


Let's not forget loans going underwater...
Proof by Legislation: An entire body of (sort-of) elected officials is more correct than all of the known laws of physics, math and science as a whole. -Scott McIntyre
Kickboxer
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Slovenia1308 Posts
June 03 2011 15:10 GMT
#518
I'm not an economist so I can't comment in depth but I can say with certainty that here in Slovenia we got absolutely fucked over by the Euro. When we entered the Euro zone we were supposedly a first world country with a growing economy, some kind of a hipster bridge between western Europe and the Balkans and everything was supposed to be neat and dandy.

We basically seceded from Yugoslavia because we were doing so well industrially and economically that the pooled resource management wasn't working for us any more (we contributed a major share to the common Yugoslavian budget and received very little in return).

Fast forward a couple of years following the introduction of the Euro and prices are up by 300% while wages remain just the same. The economy is collapsing, the pension system is about to explode and unemployment is through the roof. When I travel to London or Berlin, groceries and rent cost basically as much as they do over here whereas an above-average wage for a lucky university graduate is like 800 euro. When we still had our own currency this used to be a boatload of money and now it will barely get you through the month.

As I said, I don't understand why this process takes place but the practical experience is that of frustration and anger across the entire spectrum of the population with the exception of the super rich. I suspect Greece went through a similar deal. With the insane amount of tourism they have going on I can't even fathom how they can be broke...
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 13 2011 21:59 GMT
#519
Wow

ATHENS/NEW YORK (Reuters) - Greece became the lowest-rated country in the world in the rankings of Standard & Poor's on Monday, putting it below Ecuador, Jamaica, Pakistan and Grenada.

The rating agency cut Greece three notches and warned it would view a likely debt restructuring as a default.

This was the latest blow for the country's Socialist government, which is scrambling to push a new austerity package through parliament to clinch continued funding under a year-old bailout plan despite rising public discontent.

Barely a year after Athens was granted a first 110-billion-euro aid package, the European Union, the IMF and the European Central Bank are working on a second funding deal.

Meanwhile, European banks holding Greek debt appear to be moving toward agreement on buying new bonds to replace those they hold that reach maturity.

S&P said European policymakers looked increasingly likely to impose a restructuring of Greece's debt -- either via a bond swap or by extending bond maturities -- as a means of having the private holders of Greek bonds share the burden.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
lOvOlUNiMEDiA
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States643 Posts
June 28 2011 10:21 GMT
#520
Over a year ago I posted this thread. There is still much uncertainty. But as {CC}StealthBlue points out above, the "Greek Problem" is still there.

This recent article in The Economist gives, I think, a nice run down of the situation and one possible solution.

From my american perspective, I see more news coverage of some random woman's trial for the murder of her child than I do of this issue. From a strictly utilitarian point of view that seems insane. The consequences outlined in the economist article are big.

So, what kind of coverage is this issue getting in Europe//UK?

What kind of predictions are you guys making for the future of Greece? And the future of the EU?
To say that I'm missing the point, you would first have to show that such work can have a point.
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