On March 04 2014 12:46 m4ini wrote: Guess that Ultimatum was kinda fake, since nothing happened, or am i missing something?
They cut off all outside supplies at 3 GMT. Water, electricity, etc
As far as I understand nothing happened, the ultimatum was a falsely reported news story, that some other news sources jumped on. As for cutting out water, power and so on, I believe that hasn't occurred yet and is just a warning.
04:15: Ukraine's Customs Service is reporting a "gathering of military machines" in the Kharkiv, Luhansk and Donetsk regions just across the Russian border, according to Evhen Perebyinis, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry. 04:02: A deputy commander at one of Ukraine's
A recording obtained by the Guardian exposes how Russian officers are leaning on Ukrainian marines to yield. One voice is identified as Igor Turchinyuk (IT), a Russian general. Others are unidentified Ukrainians (UU).
IT "The goal of me coming here … is to carry out the task given by the president of the Russian Federation." UU "What is this? Is it an invasion? Is it a forced peace operation?" IT "It was a request to Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin to offer help and bring troops in. (noting he has family roots in Ukraine) I want to talk as one officer to other officers."
UU "Am I a terrorist? Are we causing a threat to the Black Sea fleet of Russia?" IT "We have an order, which we are carrying out."
UU "We have always looked at Russia like an older brother. Do you not think your current behaviour will ruin not only our country but yours?"
IT "The international community trusted Russia to hold the Olympic Games. Not every country in the world is trusted with something like that."
At one point there is a request for anyone among the three dozen officers in the room who wants to follow the order to stand up, and from the subsequent dialogue it is apparent that nobody did.
04:15: Ukraine's Customs Service is reporting a "gathering of military machines" in the Kharkiv, Luhansk and Donetsk regions just across the Russian border, according to Evhen Perebyinis, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry. 04:02: A deputy commander at one of Ukraine's
what do you guys make of this?
It may sound weird, but imho it will be Poland, who decides how this turns out... The Americans are far away... Germany, UK and France will try to do anything to prevent a military escalation... The Baltics may wish for a military response, but do not have the power... but Poland has a sizable army, and if they decide to back Ukraine and move their troops in, to solidify Ukrainian lines against the Russians, the situation becomes quite interesting... The Polish army surely can't beat the Russian one... but they are more then enough of a road block to crush any Russian dreams of a second Georgia aka unopposed win. And in the end, the bigger European powers could not afford to leave Poland alone if the situation escalates into a more then a week long battle... (while leaving Ukraine alone is certainly an option for them)
David Chamberlain's government has already decided for the EU.
Confirmed: Anyone leading Great Britain with the last name Chamberlain has no backbone.
European leaders are doing exactly what their populations want from them, which definitely is not a war. Democracy in action. US will do exactly the same. Few warmongering fanatics that never experienced war, yet would love to plunge the continent in it are just pathetic.
Something tells me that the people in England didn't want to get bombed every night either.
I don't want war, but sometimes you go to war to avoid a worse war. The politics of avoidance of war is why WW2 was so terrible. It didn't have to be that way.
Letting Putin just take Crimea is a tragedy for those in Crimea and Ukraine who don't want it. And it's wrong.
People already pointed out how bad analogy with 1938-9 this is.
04:15: Ukraine's Customs Service is reporting a "gathering of military machines" in the Kharkiv, Luhansk and Donetsk regions just across the Russian border, according to Evhen Perebyinis, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry. 04:02: A deputy commander at one of Ukraine's
what do you guys make of this?
It may sound weird, but imho it will be Poland, who decides how this turns out... The Americans are far away... Germany, UK and France will try to do anything to prevent a military escalation... The Baltics may wish for a military response, but do not have the power... but Poland has a sizable army, and if they decide to back Ukraine and move their troops in, to solidify Ukrainian lines against the Russians, the situation becomes quite interesting... The Polish army surely can't beat the Russian one... but they are more then enough of a road block to crush any Russian dreams of a second Georgia aka unopposed win. And in the end, the bigger European powers could not afford to leave Poland alone if the situation escalates into a more then a week long battle... (while leaving Ukraine alone is certainly an option for them)
Well, for all intents and purposes, neither country can in the slightest hope to fight Russia in open battle, and then the situation just gets worse from there. It's going to come to urban warfare and that means lots of destruction and dead civilians, which is even worse. However, at this stage, armed conflict is extremely unlikely.
BBC Radio Interview with Russian senator Andrei Klimov, deputy head of the Federation Council's foreign affairs committee, on the situation in Ukraine. From the interview "This is not an aggression, this is just propaganda. Our enemies, russophobes are spreading lies about us. We are in favor of territorial integrity of this country. But, we would like to do this in a normal way according to international terms, conditions and customs. We are normal European people
BBC Radio Interview with Russian senator Andrei Klimov, deputy head of the Federation Council's foreign affairs committee, on the situation in Ukraine. From the interview "This is not an aggression, this is just propaganda. Our enemies, russophobes are spreading lies about us. We are in favor of territorial integrity of this country. But, we would like to do this in a normal way according to international terms, conditions and customs. We are normal European people
On March 04 2014 11:16 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote: You need to understand that killing leader/sudden death of leader or other stuff like that makes absolute chaos like in Ukraine now. So it has to be done if I can put it like that, only in absolute clinical situations plus you need to have some person who has nuff authority to lead country after it.
It's basically trouble of every CIS-country. There are almost no new faces in politics in comparison with end of 90s.
it depends on your definition of "new". The recent oppositional leaders in Ukraine: Yatsenyuk, Klitchko, Tyagnybok, were a bunch of no-ones at the end of 90s. Hell, even 5 years before they had almost none political influence.
On March 04 2014 11:16 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote: You need to understand that killing leader/sudden death of leader or other stuff like that makes absolute chaos like in Ukraine now. So it has to be done if I can put it like that, only in absolute clinical situations plus you need to have some person who has nuff authority to lead country after it.
It's basically trouble of every CIS-country. There are almost no new faces in politics in comparison with end of 90s.
it depends on your definition of "new". The recent oppositional leaders in Ukraine: Yatsenyuk, Klitchko, Tyagnybok, were a bunch of no-ones at the end of 90s.
well, I wouldnt say Klitchko was a nobody. He was a world famous sports guy. But of all famous-for-not-being-corrupt-or-Putin-puppet he is the only one rushing back to Ukraine to try to create a modern, reformist party. I hope he succeeds.
06:04: Nadzhiye Femi, a Crimean journalist in Bakhchysarai, tells Ukraine's Espreso TV that life is quieter now and there are fewer cars on the streets. Some people are scared, but there's no mass evacuation of families. She adds that Crimean Tatars - some of whom remember the Stalinist deportations in the 1940s - feel that they are in danger.
On March 04 2014 03:16 Saumure wrote: lol, do you really think Russia would invade Poland or something? Putin blocked the invasion of Syria (and what would have followed) and nobody finds it strange that another riot escalates next to russia immediatly after that?
Its all a Western plot, I knew it. Democracy always has such a dirty Western bias and must be prevented at all costs.
Please, tell me more about how you brought democracy to Iraq, Afghanistan and Lybia.
How about Poland, Czehia, Slovakia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia instead?
And tell me how is democracy working out for you? Every x years (don't know where you live), you get the chance to vote for one out of two parties. Both will do basically the same thing, except for a couple of unimportant issues. You really don't get a say about anyting.
And however shitty it is, its still better than the one party, one tsar state built by Russians.
Oh, now I understand Rubio's words, already history is being rewritten and we were given democracy by the West. We were just standing there not knowing what to do and good guys came and taught us democracy, because we never knew such a thing.
You knew it. Then you lost it to the Germans and the Russians. And the Americans removed first the one then the other for you. One took much longer but your own attempt, like all small but proud democratic countries in the face of tanks, stalled.
American's did not remove the Soviets. They just outlasted them, I see no reason to give them any credit for our current democracy.
This issue is actually contingent on the country in question. In Estonia, for example, the US assisted extensively with the drafting of the new constitution after 89 an also with building up democratic institutions. I actually met the person in charge of the efforts in 2007, and he told me about a group of scholars from Georgetown University being flown to Estonia for crucial consultations. It's not that they did it for us, though. For example, they recommended not using the 1918 Estonian constitution as a basis and also recommended two official language a la Canada. Not how it was done, but there was assistance for sure. So, don't make this is a clear cut case, as it wasn't black and white.
06:14: Russian troops taking part in military exercises near the Ukrainian border are ordered by President Putin to return to their bases, presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov is quoted as saying by Russian news agencies.
Good news. Now if he will order his occupation force in Crimea to at least go back to their bases if not outright leave.
On March 04 2014 11:16 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote: You need to understand that killing leader/sudden death of leader or other stuff like that makes absolute chaos like in Ukraine now. So it has to be done if I can put it like that, only in absolute clinical situations plus you need to have some person who has nuff authority to lead country after it.
It's basically trouble of every CIS-country. There are almost no new faces in politics in comparison with end of 90s.
it depends on your definition of "new". The recent oppositional leaders in Ukraine: Yatsenyuk, Klitchko, Tyagnybok, were a bunch of no-ones at the end of 90s.
well, I wouldnt say Klitchko was a nobody. He was a world famous sports guy. But of all famous-for-not-being-corrupt-or-Putin-puppet he is the only one rushing back to Ukraine to try to create a modern, reformist party. I hope he succeeds.
well Klichko won his first title on 26 June 1999 but soon lost it. He was clearly well known but certainly not political figure material. He and his brother rose to fame in 2000ies.
04:15: Ukraine's Customs Service is reporting a "gathering of military machines" in the Kharkiv, Luhansk and Donetsk regions just across the Russian border, according to Evhen Perebyinis, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry. 04:02: A deputy commander at one of Ukraine's
what do you guys make of this?
It may sound weird, but imho it will be Poland, who decides how this turns out... The Americans are far away... Germany, UK and France will try to do anything to prevent a military escalation... The Baltics may wish for a military response, but do not have the power... but Poland has a sizable army, and if they decide to back Ukraine and move their troops in, to solidify Ukrainian lines against the Russians, the situation becomes quite interesting... The Polish army surely can't beat the Russian one... but they are more then enough of a road block to crush any Russian dreams of a second Georgia aka unopposed win. And in the end, the bigger European powers could not afford to leave Poland alone if the situation escalates into a more then a week long battle... (while leaving Ukraine alone is certainly an option for them)
If Poland supports Ukraine, Russia will have to back down. Another nation taking such a concrete step would, first, break inertia and drive other countries to finally make moves, and second, provide Ukraine + ally enough materiel to resist the Russians and prevent them from the quick victory into occupation into deal that lets them keep Crimea.
Hmm, attempts to peacefully take back captured territory:
[Why the Soviet flag? There's so much alien about this stuff. Like the Russian general justifying Russian actions by referring to the Olympic games being entrusted to them.]
Thats not going to happen though. We will assist Ukraine in many different ways but not militarly. The outcome of any military action is too hard to predict.
04:15: Ukraine's Customs Service is reporting a "gathering of military machines" in the Kharkiv, Luhansk and Donetsk regions just across the Russian border, according to Evhen Perebyinis, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry. 04:02: A deputy commander at one of Ukraine's
what do you guys make of this?
It may sound weird, but imho it will be Poland, who decides how this turns out... The Americans are far away... Germany, UK and France will try to do anything to prevent a military escalation... The Baltics may wish for a military response, but do not have the power... but Poland has a sizable army, and if they decide to back Ukraine and move their troops in, to solidify Ukrainian lines against the Russians, the situation becomes quite interesting... The Polish army surely can't beat the Russian one... but they are more then enough of a road block to crush any Russian dreams of a second Georgia aka unopposed win. And in the end, the bigger European powers could not afford to leave Poland alone if the situation escalates into a more then a week long battle... (while leaving Ukraine alone is certainly an option for them)
If Poland supports Ukraine, Russia will have to back down. Another nation taking such a concrete step would, first, break inertia and drive other countries to finally make moves, and second, provide Ukraine + ally enough materiel to resist the Russians and prevent them from the quick victory into occupation into deal that lets them keep Crimea.
For now nothing looks like they actually want anything to do with rest of the Ukraine, and Polish support would not help them dislodge Russians from Crimea. No military force that does not immediately transform this conflict into potentially nuclear one can dislodge the Russians from Crimea.
On March 04 2014 12:46 m4ini wrote: Guess that Ultimatum was kinda fake, since nothing happened, or am i missing something?
They cut off all outside supplies at 3 GMT. Water, electricity, etc
As far as I understand nothing happened, the ultimatum was a falsely reported news story, that some other news sources jumped on. As for cutting out water, power and so on, I believe that hasn't occurred yet and is just a warning.
There was an unofficial ultimatum, delivered by loudspeakers. But Russians never acknowledged it on official level.