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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 9675

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium5161 Posts
January 12 2018 16:15 GMT
#193481
Global dissatisfaction. The last conquests we had that had reasonable influence over people were colonial times. We saw how that ultimately turned out. People started to say to get the fuck out of their shit. Don't think a military occupation will be tolerated. At the very least it won't be something a 300 billion dollar military budget couldn't fix anyway, no?
Also, I don't agree with nukes flying everywhere. What good you have with nuked land?
Arms races have been relevant up until nuclear missiles, imo, where they ultimately understood that it's in everyone's best interest not to nuke each other to oblivion.
Maybe I'm just such a big pacifist, idk, but I don't understand that humans from different regions can't work together on a fundamental level, when they basically already are..
Taxes are for Terrans
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
January 12 2018 16:15 GMT
#193482
Military spending doesn't produce anywhere near the economic dividends that other spending does. This is pretty hard to argue against.

That said, progressives tend to show an astounding lack of appreciation for what our military policy and activities actually do for both our national interests and international relations.

First off, the military's budget has been routinely cut for nearly a decade. The problem is that our mission has stayed the same. This is why our forces are stretched thin, there are more mistakes, less benefits to veterans, etc. Second, if you reduce the scale of the military's mission, you will see profound consequences for both the U.S. and the world as a whole.

The idea that you can just magically cut the U.S. military's budget significantly and the world will be all roses and sunshine is a progressive child fantasy that is completely devoid of nuanced, mature understanding of the geopolitical landscape.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
bo1b
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
Australia12814 Posts
January 12 2018 16:16 GMT
#193483
On January 13 2018 01:07 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

it's not exactly welfare, but it's not necessarily dissimilar (though it's not well-aimed as a welfare program, other programs do a far better job of being welfare programs). It's not economically productive activity, so it's loss would not result in horrible economic consequences; not sure it should even effect gdp at all.
it's not a very good welfare program, so if the only point of it is welfare spending it'd be FAR better spent in other ways, or simply not spent at all to reduce debt.

remember - this is ultimately all from me disputing your claim of disastrous economic consequences from cutting US military spending.

That's fair, to be honest we don't have a particularly good way of predicting the outcome of such an event so we're both shooting in the dark a little bit aren't we?

I'd personally say the economic benefits (or not) of the military spending are a side effect of the greater goal of maintaining a military. As nice as it is having NASA be funded by the defense force, the ultimate goal is to maintain a level of discipline and up keep on the military itself, I think.

It just has the side effect of putting a lot of young men and women through college, providing a decent enough income, providing a way of gaining a green card, and just generally being a pretty decent way of moving up socioeconomically.

While I personally believe the damage to the global economy would be fairly dramatic if Russia was able to fulfill it's colonial plans, and China too, I have no way of quantifying that. Just like I have no way of quantifying what changing the spending direction of 540 billion dollars or so would do to the world. It is just conjecture at this point
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43991 Posts
January 12 2018 16:16 GMT
#193484
I've been in that embassy building a few times. It's a Cold War era brutalist rectangle, the kind of building where you'd jump out of a window if you had to spend a lifetime working there, only to survive the fall and grudgingly return to your desk and work out the rest of the day. The armed policemen surrounding it don't add much to the aesthetic either.

Location is pretty good though. The land must be worth a fortune.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22373 Posts
January 12 2018 16:16 GMT
#193485
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

In a wierd way in the US is kinda of is actually.

Congress keeps mandating the Military to buy equipment that it doesn't want/need.
When your own military is telling you "please stop, we don't know what to do with all this stuff" you know you done fucked up.

Senators are trying keep production artificially high so factories stay open and workers make equipment that is not needed.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium5161 Posts
January 12 2018 16:18 GMT
#193486
On January 13 2018 01:15 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Military spending doesn't produce anywhere near the economic dividends that other spending does. This is pretty hard to argue against.

That said, progressives tend to show an astounding lack of appreciation for what our military policy and activities actually do for both our national interests and international relations.

First off, the military's budget has been routinely cut for nearly a decade. The problem is that our mission has stayed the same. This is why our forces are stretched thin, there are more mistakes, less benefits to veterans, etc. Second, if you reduce the scale of the military's mission, you will see profound consequences for both the U.S. and the world as a whole.

The idea that you can just magically cut the U.S. military's budget significantly and the world will be all roses and sunshine is a progressive child fantasy that is completely devoid of nuanced, mature understanding of the geopolitical landscape.

Hey, you never know, maybe they're so fascinated and flabbergasted by the good will of the US they'll do the same, and we can enter an era of song and dance!
Taxes are for Terrans
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43991 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-12 16:20:17
January 12 2018 16:19 GMT
#193487
On January 13 2018 01:16 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

In a wierd way in the US is kinda of is actually.

Congress keeps mandating the Military to buy equipment that it doesn't want/need.
When your own military is telling you "please stop, we don't know what to do with all this stuff" you know you done fucked up.

Senators are trying keep production artificially high so factories stay open and workers make equipment that is not needed.

There are actual economic rationales for the state buying manufactured goods that it neither wants nor needs, tipping them in the ocean, and then ordering more.

Production capability isn't a switch that you can toggle on or off. It's more like a feature of an ecosystem. If the ecosystem itself has value to the defence of the nation then propping it up may be rational.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
bo1b
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
Australia12814 Posts
January 12 2018 16:20 GMT
#193488
On January 13 2018 01:16 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

In a wierd way in the US is kinda of is actually.

Congress keeps mandating the Military to buy equipment that it doesn't want/need.
When your own military is telling you "please stop, we don't know what to do with all this stuff" you know you done fucked up.

Senators are trying keep production artificially high so factories stay open and workers make equipment that is not needed.

https://www.defense.gov/News/Article/Article/1213034/mattis-says-dod-needs-years-to-correct-effects-of-sequestration/

Are you sure about that?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
January 12 2018 16:22 GMT
#193489
On January 13 2018 01:15 Uldridge wrote:
Global dissatisfaction. The last conquests we had that had reasonable influence over people were colonial times. We saw how that ultimately turned out. People started to say to get the fuck out of their shit. Don't think a military occupation will be tolerated. At the very least it won't be something a 300 billion dollar military budget couldn't fix anyway, no?
Also, I don't agree with nukes flying everywhere. What good you have with nuked land?
Arms races have been relevant up until nuclear missiles, imo, where they ultimately understood that it's in everyone's best interest not to nuke each other to oblivion.
Maybe I'm just such a big pacifist, idk, but I don't understand that humans from different regions can't work together on a fundamental level, when they basically already are..

They called WW 1 the war to end all wars. It was a nightmare that scared a generation. And a generation we all fought WW2. Everyone things they live in the generation that has fought the final conflict, only to discovery we are very creative in finding ways to be violent. Wars are not fought by rational actors and no one is willing to take the risk on your “they won’t use nukes” theory.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Sbrubbles
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil5776 Posts
January 12 2018 16:22 GMT
#193490
On January 13 2018 01:15 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Second, if you reduce the scale of the military's mission, you will see profound consequences for both the U.S. and the world as a whole.


Quite the overstatement, if I've ever seen one.
Bora Pain minha porra!
bo1b
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
Australia12814 Posts
January 12 2018 16:23 GMT
#193491
On January 13 2018 01:19 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 01:16 Gorsameth wrote:
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

In a wierd way in the US is kinda of is actually.

Congress keeps mandating the Military to buy equipment that it doesn't want/need.
When your own military is telling you "please stop, we don't know what to do with all this stuff" you know you done fucked up.

Senators are trying keep production artificially high so factories stay open and workers make equipment that is not needed.

There are actual economic rationales for the state buying manufactured goods that it neither wants nor needs, tipping them in the ocean, and then ordering more.

Production capability isn't a switch that you can toggle on or off. It's more like a feature of an ecosystem. If the ecosystem itself has value to the defence of the nation then propping it up may be rational.

Much like factories, people also can't just be turned on or off, and as a consequence the U.S military has to maintain a certain level of alertness in case something rally does go wrong. Maybe aliens will invade tomorrow right?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
January 12 2018 16:23 GMT
#193492
On January 13 2018 01:20 bo1b wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 01:16 Gorsameth wrote:
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

In a wierd way in the US is kinda of is actually.

Congress keeps mandating the Military to buy equipment that it doesn't want/need.
When your own military is telling you "please stop, we don't know what to do with all this stuff" you know you done fucked up.

Senators are trying keep production artificially high so factories stay open and workers make equipment that is not needed.

https://www.defense.gov/News/Article/Article/1213034/mattis-says-dod-needs-years-to-correct-effects-of-sequestration/

Are you sure about that?

That is a general asking for funding for the military he runs. The head of HUD and the EPA also ask for increased budgets each year.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
bo1b
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
Australia12814 Posts
January 12 2018 16:24 GMT
#193493
On January 13 2018 01:22 Sbrubbles wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 01:15 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Second, if you reduce the scale of the military's mission, you will see profound consequences for both the U.S. and the world as a whole.


Quite the overstatement, if I've ever seen one.

We're actively seeing expansionist policy from China and Russia in their respective areas of interest, mind explaining whats an overstatement about what he said?
bo1b
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
Australia12814 Posts
January 12 2018 16:25 GMT
#193494
On January 13 2018 01:23 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 01:20 bo1b wrote:
On January 13 2018 01:16 Gorsameth wrote:
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

In a wierd way in the US is kinda of is actually.

Congress keeps mandating the Military to buy equipment that it doesn't want/need.
When your own military is telling you "please stop, we don't know what to do with all this stuff" you know you done fucked up.

Senators are trying keep production artificially high so factories stay open and workers make equipment that is not needed.

https://www.defense.gov/News/Article/Article/1213034/mattis-says-dod-needs-years-to-correct-effects-of-sequestration/

Are you sure about that?

That is a general asking for funding for the military he runs. The head of HUD and the EPA also ask for increased budgets each year.

I'm replying to someone saying the military is telling you "please stop, we don't know what to do with all this stuff". Mattis could be right or wrong, but my article is relevant.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-12 16:31:58
January 12 2018 16:29 GMT
#193495
On January 13 2018 01:16 bo1b wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 01:07 zlefin wrote:
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

it's not exactly welfare, but it's not necessarily dissimilar (though it's not well-aimed as a welfare program, other programs do a far better job of being welfare programs). It's not economically productive activity, so it's loss would not result in horrible economic consequences; not sure it should even effect gdp at all.
it's not a very good welfare program, so if the only point of it is welfare spending it'd be FAR better spent in other ways, or simply not spent at all to reduce debt.

remember - this is ultimately all from me disputing your claim of disastrous economic consequences from cutting US military spending.

That's fair, to be honest we don't have a particularly good way of predicting the outcome of such an event so we're both shooting in the dark a little bit aren't we?

I'd personally say the economic benefits (or not) of the military spending are a side effect of the greater goal of maintaining a military. As nice as it is having NASA be funded by the defense force, the ultimate goal is to maintain a level of discipline and up keep on the military itself, I think.

It just has the side effect of putting a lot of young men and women through college, providing a decent enough income, providing a way of gaining a green card, and just generally being a pretty decent way of moving up socioeconomically.

While I personally believe the damage to the global economy would be fairly dramatic if Russia was able to fulfill it's colonial plans, and China too, I have no way of quantifying that. Just like I have no way of quantifying what changing the spending direction of 540 billion dollars or so would do to the world. It is just conjecture at this point

the greater goal of the military is unnecessary, at least unnecessary at the current highly wasteful spending levels. the goals could easily be achieved at far lower cost. the spending is mostly a result of politics rather than actual need.
the side effect doesn't mean much when there's other far cheaper ways to get those effects.

while we can't perfectly predict it, there's enough data to make some fairly clear conclusions on it, so we're not just shooting in the dark (or at leas ti'm not, dunno about you, but I'm assuming you have similar knowledge).

and as I said, a 90% cut would be a bit much, but 50% would be fine.

@stratos not sure who you're arguing against; as a vague "progressives" could refer to anyone or nearly noone. i'll assume you're not arguing against me unless you provide a clear signal to the contrary; and that you're just instead ranting at random people who aren't here.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium5161 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-12 16:33:31
January 12 2018 16:30 GMT
#193496
We were savages with pretty high tech pre 1950. We've come a long way in becoming more civilized since then. We've become more dependent on each other since ever and every passing day we're more and more intertwined.
New plan: give everyone one nuke they get to point at someone if they feel danger looming from that side.

Why do you guys think we still have this distrust (well Russia's pretty thinly veiled) between the US and China?
Maybe we need an alien invasion to overcome our distrust of each other.
Taxes are for Terrans
bo1b
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
Australia12814 Posts
January 12 2018 16:31 GMT
#193497
On January 13 2018 01:29 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 01:16 bo1b wrote:
On January 13 2018 01:07 zlefin wrote:
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

it's not exactly welfare, but it's not necessarily dissimilar (though it's not well-aimed as a welfare program, other programs do a far better job of being welfare programs). It's not economically productive activity, so it's loss would not result in horrible economic consequences; not sure it should even effect gdp at all.
it's not a very good welfare program, so if the only point of it is welfare spending it'd be FAR better spent in other ways, or simply not spent at all to reduce debt.

remember - this is ultimately all from me disputing your claim of disastrous economic consequences from cutting US military spending.

That's fair, to be honest we don't have a particularly good way of predicting the outcome of such an event so we're both shooting in the dark a little bit aren't we?

I'd personally say the economic benefits (or not) of the military spending are a side effect of the greater goal of maintaining a military. As nice as it is having NASA be funded by the defense force, the ultimate goal is to maintain a level of discipline and up keep on the military itself, I think.

It just has the side effect of putting a lot of young men and women through college, providing a decent enough income, providing a way of gaining a green card, and just generally being a pretty decent way of moving up socioeconomically.

While I personally believe the damage to the global economy would be fairly dramatic if Russia was able to fulfill it's colonial plans, and China too, I have no way of quantifying that. Just like I have no way of quantifying what changing the spending direction of 540 billion dollars or so would do to the world. It is just conjecture at this point

the greater goal of the military is unnecessary, at least unnecessary at the current highly wasteful spending levels. the goals could easily be achieved at far lower cost. the spending is mostly a result of politics rather than actual need.
the side effect doesn't mean much when there's other far cheaper ways to get those effects.

while we can't perfectly predict it, there's enough data to make some fairly clear conclusions on it, so we're not just shooting in the dark (or at leas ti'm not, dunno about you, but I'm assuming you have similar knowledge).

and as I said, a 90% cut would be a bit much, but 50% would be fine.

Could you illuminate me as to those other ways please?
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-12 16:35:20
January 12 2018 16:32 GMT
#193498
On January 13 2018 01:23 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 01:20 bo1b wrote:
On January 13 2018 01:16 Gorsameth wrote:
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

In a wierd way in the US is kinda of is actually.

Congress keeps mandating the Military to buy equipment that it doesn't want/need.
When your own military is telling you "please stop, we don't know what to do with all this stuff" you know you done fucked up.

Senators are trying keep production artificially high so factories stay open and workers make equipment that is not needed.

https://www.defense.gov/News/Article/Article/1213034/mattis-says-dod-needs-years-to-correct-effects-of-sequestration/

Are you sure about that?

That is a general asking for funding for the military he runs. The head of HUD and the EPA also ask for increased budgets each year.


I'm telling you as someone that is in the military that they don't just ask for more money "just cuz". Our benefits have been drastically cut in last 8 years. Our working hours have gone up dramatically. Deployments are longer. The ability for units to get updated equipment is drastically reduced. Funding for training has dried up and there are real consequences (e.g. the navy's 4 ship collisions last year). This list could go on, but our current budget is SERIOUSLY lacking for the mission that we are currently assigned.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
bo1b
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
Australia12814 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-12 16:34:41
January 12 2018 16:33 GMT
#193499
On January 13 2018 01:30 Uldridge wrote:
We were savages with pretty high tech pre 1950. We've come a long way in becoming more civilized since then. We've become more dependent on each other since ever and every passing day we're more and more intertwined.
New plan: give everyone one nuke they get to point at someone if they feel danger looming from that side.

Why do you guys think we still have this distrust (well Russia's pretty thinly veiled) between the US and China?

Because they're both despotic regimes that have brutal governments and little care for anyone but themselves. Excellent PR teams though, aimed at different sides of US politics apparently.

Actually could you make sure you're not in charge of anything except the soon to be expelled Louisiana?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
January 12 2018 16:33 GMT
#193500
On January 13 2018 01:25 bo1b wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2018 01:23 Plansix wrote:
On January 13 2018 01:20 bo1b wrote:
On January 13 2018 01:16 Gorsameth wrote:
On January 13 2018 00:59 bo1b wrote:
Just to be clear, are you advocating that both the spending on military during peace time is welfare, and that a massive reduction in welfare would be better?

In a wierd way in the US is kinda of is actually.

Congress keeps mandating the Military to buy equipment that it doesn't want/need.
When your own military is telling you "please stop, we don't know what to do with all this stuff" you know you done fucked up.

Senators are trying keep production artificially high so factories stay open and workers make equipment that is not needed.

https://www.defense.gov/News/Article/Article/1213034/mattis-says-dod-needs-years-to-correct-effects-of-sequestration/

Are you sure about that?

That is a general asking for funding for the military he runs. The head of HUD and the EPA also ask for increased budgets each year.

I'm replying to someone saying the military is telling you "please stop, we don't know what to do with all this stuff". Mattis could be right or wrong, but my article is relevant.

The key part about the military spending is that the majority of the waste isn’t in weapons we don’t need. Those are just easy punching bags. The waste on those is dwarfed by the billions is administrative costs associated with the military. And then the pay roll to pay the people handing those costs. Reductions in spending could happen, but it would eliminate a lot of jobs in any number of states.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
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