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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 8148

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
July 21 2017 14:41 GMT
#162941
Meh. I would not assume anything suspicious just because someone lawyered for an intelligence agency before. It's like if someone was once a lawyer contracted by the FBI then did some work with foreign customers. Best to stick to the story of the meeting and whether or not it in and of itself suggests impropriety.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21961 Posts
July 21 2017 14:48 GMT
#162942
On July 21 2017 23:38 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
WTF...


What? You think a man who goes on vacation every weekend wouldn't take a summer vacation?
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 21 2017 14:53 GMT
#162943
In the US, that would be totally true. But most experts on Russian trade craft have been saying this is their operating standard, using someone loosing connected to the KGB to make contact. One of the things about espionage is that no one wears name tags that say “Spy for Russia”.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
July 21 2017 14:56 GMT
#162944
On July 21 2017 23:41 LegalLord wrote:
Meh. I would not assume anything suspicious just because someone lawyered for an intelligence agency before. It's like if someone was once a lawyer contracted by the FBI then did some work with foreign customers. Best to stick to the story of the meeting and whether or not it in and of itself suggests impropriety.


I think this lawyer's various connections and activity establish that she was in service to the Russian government, especially with lobbying against the Magnitsky Act. My understanding is that if the Kremlin asks a well connected private business or citizen to do something, they do it.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
July 21 2017 14:58 GMT
#162945
On July 21 2017 23:53 Plansix wrote:
In the US, that would be totally true. But most experts on Russian trade craft have been saying this is their operating standard, using someone loosing connected to the KGB to make contact. One of the things about espionage is that no one wears name tags that say “Spy for Russia”.

I don't entirely disagree with this - folks working for the intelligence branch often are in plainclothes. But any explicit ties that are not in and of themselves suspicious (or lack thereof) are meaningless.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 21 2017 15:04 GMT
#162946
On July 21 2017 23:58 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 21 2017 23:53 Plansix wrote:
In the US, that would be totally true. But most experts on Russian trade craft have been saying this is their operating standard, using someone loosing connected to the KGB to make contact. One of the things about espionage is that no one wears name tags that say “Spy for Russia”.

I don't entirely disagree with this - folks working for the intelligence branch often are in plainclothes. But any explicit ties that are not in and of themselves suspicious (or lack thereof) are meaningless.

Yes, but then there is the email from Trump Jr. that pretty much confirm she works for the Russia government. This only adds to the pile of evidence she was working on behalf of the Russia government. And the KGB is woven all throughout the Russian government.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
July 21 2017 15:11 GMT
#162947
While trump probably could pardon himself you have to admit guilt in order to accept being pardoned
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 21 2017 15:15 GMT
#162948
On July 22 2017 00:11 Nevuk wrote:
While trump probably could pardon himself you have to admit guilt in order to accept being pardoned

I thought the Nixon justice department already addressed this issue and said it wouldn’t be successful? Pence could pardon Trump if he somehow was removed/left office.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
July 21 2017 15:21 GMT
#162949
On July 22 2017 00:04 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 21 2017 23:58 LegalLord wrote:
On July 21 2017 23:53 Plansix wrote:
In the US, that would be totally true. But most experts on Russian trade craft have been saying this is their operating standard, using someone loosing connected to the KGB to make contact. One of the things about espionage is that no one wears name tags that say “Spy for Russia”.

I don't entirely disagree with this - folks working for the intelligence branch often are in plainclothes. But any explicit ties that are not in and of themselves suspicious (or lack thereof) are meaningless.

Yes, but then there is the email from Trump Jr. that pretty much confirm she works for the Russia government. This only adds to the pile of evidence she was working on behalf of the Russia government. And the KGB is woven all throughout the Russian government.

I will give you that she almost certainly worked for the government. But this story specifically is kind of pointless.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
July 21 2017 15:24 GMT
#162950
It is pretty damn wild that we are at a point of even talking about pardoning.

Another reminder that many people in this thread didn't even believe Russia tried to help Trump.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-07-21 15:31:45
July 21 2017 15:25 GMT
#162951
On July 22 2017 00:15 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 22 2017 00:11 Nevuk wrote:
While trump probably could pardon himself you have to admit guilt in order to accept being pardoned

I thought the Nixon justice department already addressed this issue and said it wouldn’t be successful? Pence could pardon Trump if he somehow was removed/left office.


Yeah it hasn't been tested in Court but they said it wouldn't stand up based on the first principle that a person cannot be his own judge.

Trump's legal army is probably on a PR campaign to build support among Republicans for the notion that the Mueller investigation is a kangaroo court, and thus its destruction shouldn't be an impeachable offense. Congress won't impeach if their voters stay on Trump's side.

And of course Trump himself is making this case, on Twitter and in interviews. Explicitly saying that it wouldn't be obstruction to shut it all down.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-07-21 15:31:54
July 21 2017 15:28 GMT
#162952
On July 22 2017 00:21 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 22 2017 00:04 Plansix wrote:
On July 21 2017 23:58 LegalLord wrote:
On July 21 2017 23:53 Plansix wrote:
In the US, that would be totally true. But most experts on Russian trade craft have been saying this is their operating standard, using someone loosing connected to the KGB to make contact. One of the things about espionage is that no one wears name tags that say “Spy for Russia”.

I don't entirely disagree with this - folks working for the intelligence branch often are in plainclothes. But any explicit ties that are not in and of themselves suspicious (or lack thereof) are meaningless.

Yes, but then there is the email from Trump Jr. that pretty much confirm she works for the Russia government. This only adds to the pile of evidence she was working on behalf of the Russia government. And the KGB is woven all throughout the Russian government.

I will give you that she almost certainly worked for the government. But this story specifically is kind of pointless.

I am not sure it is completely pointless, but it is under developed. The politics reporters from NPR were talking about her last week and that all the reporters were having trouble figuring out who she was. They were finding photos of her at political events, but with no real understand of why she was there. Her personal statement didn’t make sense and conflicted with much of the information they were digging up. I think the reporter should have waited until they had a complete history of her work and then released it.

On July 22 2017 00:25 Doodsmack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 22 2017 00:15 Plansix wrote:
On July 22 2017 00:11 Nevuk wrote:
While trump probably could pardon himself you have to admit guilt in order to accept being pardoned

I thought the Nixon justice department already addressed this issue and said it wouldn’t be successful? Pence could pardon Trump if he somehow was removed/left office.


Yeah it hasn't been tested in Court but they said it wouldn't stand up based on the first principle that a person cannot be his own judge.

Trump's legal army is probably on a PR campaign to build support among Republicans for the notion that the Mueller investigation is a kangaroo court, and thus its destruction shouldn't be an impeachable offense. Congress won't impeach if their voters stay on Trump's side.

Personally, I would be shocked if the court upheld the president pardoning himself. It is such an obvious abuse of power I couldn’t see it otherwise. If that was possible, the president could murder, pardon himself and keep going until congress removed him from office. It borders on the absurd.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
July 21 2017 15:32 GMT
#162953
On July 22 2017 00:15 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 22 2017 00:11 Nevuk wrote:
While trump probably could pardon himself you have to admit guilt in order to accept being pardoned

I thought the Nixon justice department already addressed this issue and said it wouldn’t be successful? Pence could pardon Trump if he somehow was removed/left office.

There's arguments both ways. The one saying he can is that it isn't specifically prohibited in the constitution. The one saying he can't is that it defies all logic and common sense.



Yes, President Trump Can Pardon Himself and It’s Not Clear Anyone Can Stop Him
by Elura Nanos | 6:22 am, July 21st, 2017

Grab your popcorn, because things are about to get really good. Trump’s recent lamenting that he “would have picked somebody else” as attorney general had he known Jeff Sessions planned to recuse himself from the Russia investigation was just the prelude to the pandemonium happening now.

The White House is in full out panic mode over the FBI’s probe of the Trump campaign and potential ties to the Kremlin. Tonight, The Washington Post reported that Trump’s lawyers are exploring ways to “undercut” special counsel Robert S. Mueller’s investigation – apparently seeking to discredit Mueller over some alleged conflicts of interest.

And that’s still not the craziest thing going on over at 1600 Penn. According to the article, sources reported that:

“Trump has asked his advisers about his power to pardon aides, family members and even himself in connection with the probe, according to one of those people. A second person said Trump’s lawyers have been discussing the president’s pardoning powers among themselves.”

That’s right. Our president is checking into his options about pardoning himself. If what The Washington Post reported is accurate, it means that despite Trump’s incessant ranting about “witch hunts,” and “unfairness,” he has legit fears that Winter Is Coming.

But could President Trump actually pardon himself?

We at LawNewz.com have already looked into the question of whether a sitting president can pardon himself – although, full disclosure, we first delved into that analysis when the hypothetical related to President Hillary Clinton pardoning herself over Emailgate. My, how things have changed since last October.

Our analysis, though, still holds. POTUS 45 – be it Clinton or Trump — very likely has the power to issue a self-pardon. The president’s pardon power derives from Article II, Section 2 of the United States Constitution, which provides:

“The President … shall have Power to grant Reprieves and Pardons for Offenses against the United States, except in Cases of Impeachment.”

Under Article II, Section 2, the only limits placed on the power are that pardons may only be issued for federal offenses (not civil or state crimes), and a pardon cannot override the Congress’ impeachment power. In the case of Trump, any criminal wrongdoing stemming from the Russia probe would almost certainly be a federal offense, and we’re likely talking about criminal prosecution here – not impeachment. That is, of course, not to say that impeachment couldn’t also happen – but impeachment and prosecution are two entirely separate processes with separate remedies.

Here’s the tricky thing about pardons: they’re not always the final plot twists in a courtroom drama. Sometimes, people are pardoned before they’ve ever been charged with anything. And some pardons have been completely general, just like President Ford’s preemptive pardon of President Nixon for every federal offense Nixon had “committed or may have committed” while in office. A blanket absolution for all offenses that stymies a prosecution before it even happens? That’s got “Trump” written all over it. Ford’s pardon of Nixon wasn’t without it’s own controversy, as some legal scholars argued that its preemptive nature exceeded the bounds of Ford’s constitutional authority. Others raised the counterargument that that pardons are properly timed so long as they are issued after the commission of a crime – not necessarily after the proof at trial of that crime. Both arguments make some sense, and neither has been tested, so it’s tough to say what would happen if the issue were raised in court by the Trump administration or its opponents.

The idea of a self-pardon is definitely something new for Americans. No president has ever pardoned himself — not even Nixon, who knew a prosecution was looming. Because it’s never been attempted, the legal battles haven’t yet been waged. Most likely, a Trump self-pardon would spark a battle between those who believe it’s legal, simply because it’s not specifically forbidden in the Constitution – and those who believe it’s illegal, because it offends traditional legal sensibilities. After all, our legal system doesn’t, in any other circumstances, allow a person to preside over his own fate when he has been accused of a crime.

Rounding out a nice closed circle of the law, even if a self-pardon were adjudicated to be a legal way to save Trump from criminal prosecution, the bizarre use of such a self-serving tool could very well constitute the precise kind of abuse of power for which impeachment is the proper remedy. For now, we’ll have to wait and see if Trump attempts to pardon himself. Most likely, a pardon would be a last resort for Trump; for now, he’s still busy trying to thwart (and perhaps fire) special counsel Mueller. Either way, this administration keeps raising the bar on drama.

lawnewz.com
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 21 2017 15:34 GMT
#162954
On July 22 2017 00:24 Mohdoo wrote:
It is pretty damn wild that we are at a point of even talking about pardoning.

Another reminder that many people in this thread didn't even believe Russia tried to help Trump.

I always felt there was something fishy, but even I am shocked at the Arrested Development levels of stupid within the Trump camp. You couldn’t make this stuff up if you tried. If it was in Robocop, we would all say it was over the top, even for satire. (Robocop’s brand of satire seems to be ever green in this modern era)
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
KOFgokuon
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States14899 Posts
July 21 2017 15:49 GMT
#162955
remember, this is stupid watergate
Sadist
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States7291 Posts
July 21 2017 15:50 GMT
#162956
The whole pardoning himself thing is dumb. I assume the discussion revolves around him pardoning himself before being impeached. You can bet 100% if he pardons himself hed be impeached anyway. Theres no way he could stay on after that.
How do you go from where you are to where you want to be? I think you have to have an enthusiasm for life. You have to have a dream, a goal and you have to be willing to work for it. Jim Valvano
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18839 Posts
July 21 2017 15:52 GMT
#162957
Rumor on some of the less trustworthy sites I check has it that McCain intends to come back to Washington specifically to facilitate potential impeachment proceedings should they begin. While I find this unlikely, it wouldn't surprise me if the thought had crossed his mind.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
July 21 2017 15:53 GMT
#162958
I think it fairly reasonable to assume that nothing bad would happen to Trump or his closest surrogates post-impeachment. They will get run out of the government and nothing else.

Consequences are for the poor and the poorly connected.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
July 21 2017 15:53 GMT
#162959
On July 22 2017 00:50 Sadist wrote:
The whole pardoning himself thing is dumb. I assume the discussion revolves around him pardoning himself before being impeached. You can bet 100% if he pardons himself hed be impeached anyway. Theres no way he could stay on after that.


Need I remind you: Based emporer god liberal tears. build the wall and send em back. America first.

I think they may actually like him pardoning himself and being the "alpha" t_d wish they could ever have the courage to be.
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7384 Posts
July 21 2017 15:55 GMT
#162960
On July 22 2017 00:52 farvacola wrote:
Rumor on some of the less trustworthy sites I check has it that McCain intends to come back to Washington specifically to facilitate potential impeachment proceedings should they begin. While I find this unlikely, it wouldn't surprise me if the thought had crossed his mind.


I mean if you wanna go out on a note like "last political move before dying of brain cancer is impeaching the least popular president in history" there are far worse notes to go out on.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
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