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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

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LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1465 Posts
April 03 2017 13:31 GMT
#144921
Yup, there we go, another campaign promise broken. Trump's a con man. It's increasingly impossible to deny. Are the Republicans going to wake up to this soon? Will their voters?

This is the kind of hypocrisy that's appalling. Neoliberals say "laissez-faire policies works great, it just doesn't work when it's crony-capitalism/corporatism". Okay, so now we have a clear example of a crony-capitalist/corporatist, are you going to do something about it? ... No?
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-03 13:41:31
April 03 2017 13:39 GMT
#144922
On April 03 2017 22:31 LightSpectra wrote:
Yup, there we go, another campaign promise broken. Trump's a con man. It's increasingly impossible to deny. Are the Republicans going to wake up to this soon? Will their voters?

This is the kind of hypocrisy that's appalling. Neoliberals say "laissez-faire policies works great, it just doesn't work when it's crony-capitalism/corporatism". Okay, so now we have a clear example of a crony-capitalist/corporatist, are you going to do something about it? ... No?

I'm guessing it won't affect them that much; between rationalization for some, and many just accepting that he's corrupt but will help their side. pretty sure quite a number of them already accepted trump's fairly corrupt, and this won't change that.
partisanship can generally justify quite a lot, especially if the other side is highly vilified.
just a guess though, as I don't understand them that well.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1465 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-03 13:53:09
April 03 2017 13:50 GMT
#144923
On April 03 2017 22:39 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2017 22:31 LightSpectra wrote:
Yup, there we go, another campaign promise broken. Trump's a con man. It's increasingly impossible to deny. Are the Republicans going to wake up to this soon? Will their voters?

This is the kind of hypocrisy that's appalling. Neoliberals say "laissez-faire policies works great, it just doesn't work when it's crony-capitalism/corporatism". Okay, so now we have a clear example of a crony-capitalist/corporatist, are you going to do something about it? ... No?

I'm guessing it won't affect them that much; between rationalization for some, and many just accepting that he's corrupt but will help their side. pretty sure quite a number of them already accepted trump's fairly corrupt, and this won't change that.
partisanship can generally justify quite a lot, especially if the other side is highly vilified.
just a guess though, as I don't understand them that well.


In response to "many just accepting that he's corrupt but will help their side", I hope those people realize how detrimental that idea is.

Presidents that are perceived as being good leave a long-lasting mark. Reagan's influence is still felt deeply within the GOP. On the other hand, Bush was so unpopular that the Democrats got their biggest wins since the 1950s out of it, and more people than ever were completely disillusioned with the GOP and conservatism. They might be holding power now but Trump's popularity ratings are so poisonous that there's little doubt that there will be a huge Democratic sweep in 2018 and most likely 2020 as well.

This is the time for the Republicans to do damage control and distance themselves from Trump, but they don't seem to be doing that at all.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-03 14:17:55
April 03 2017 14:14 GMT
#144924
On April 03 2017 22:50 LightSpectra wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2017 22:39 zlefin wrote:
On April 03 2017 22:31 LightSpectra wrote:
Yup, there we go, another campaign promise broken. Trump's a con man. It's increasingly impossible to deny. Are the Republicans going to wake up to this soon? Will their voters?

This is the kind of hypocrisy that's appalling. Neoliberals say "laissez-faire policies works great, it just doesn't work when it's crony-capitalism/corporatism". Okay, so now we have a clear example of a crony-capitalist/corporatist, are you going to do something about it? ... No?

I'm guessing it won't affect them that much; between rationalization for some, and many just accepting that he's corrupt but will help their side. pretty sure quite a number of them already accepted trump's fairly corrupt, and this won't change that.
partisanship can generally justify quite a lot, especially if the other side is highly vilified.
just a guess though, as I don't understand them that well.


In response to "many just accepting that he's corrupt but will help their side", I hope those people realize how detrimental that idea is.

Presidents that are perceived as being good leave a long-lasting mark. Reagan's influence is still felt deeply within the GOP. On the other hand, Bush was so unpopular that the Democrats got their biggest wins since the 1950s out of it, and more people than ever were completely disillusioned with the GOP and conservatism. They might be holding power now but Trump's popularity ratings are so poisonous that there's little doubt that there will be a huge Democratic sweep in 2018 and most likely 2020 as well.

This is the time for the Republicans to do damage control and distance themselves from Trump, but they don't seem to be doing that at all.

If they realized how detrimental it was they'd not have voted for trump in the first place or otherwise had more sense.

yes, there are some substantial long-term risks, but democratic politics tends to be very short-term focused, a sad truth; and in the short-term, trump has a core of staunch supporters, and angering that group would likely cost a number of individuals their positions due to primaries or general election failures. I'd say they are keeping some distance from Trump, many aren't that close ot him, and merely work with him on areas of agreement, and feel free to disagree. of course, as he's president, it still greatly shapes perceptions of the party, and they still need to work with him to try and get their agenda items through.
the long term party strategic effects are far less relevant than the short term holding onto their position effects.

the republicans will dump him once he becomes more of a liability, but for now they seem to be sticking to a sort of cooperative ambivalence, waiting for him to implode more so they can cut him loose without taking too much flak for it.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
April 03 2017 14:26 GMT
#144925
Hahaha found this old twit on Trump's choice for ambassador to Russia (formerly to China).
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
April 03 2017 14:27 GMT
#144926
Why isn't that guy stlil ambassador to china? china seems just as important an ambassadorship as russia imho, and he's already got the experience with china. it'd seem to make more sense to have him on china still (or again if he was moved somewhere else after working in china for awhile)
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1465 Posts
April 03 2017 14:29 GMT
#144927
He's also fluent in Mandarin, which is why Obama made him ambassador to China to begin with.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
April 03 2017 16:48 GMT
#144928
Bloomberg now reporting that Susan Rice requested the unmasking of US citizens involved in Trump transition and picked up in FISA-approved surveillance on foreign persons. In the spirit of sensational Russia headlines, we now place the Obama administration spying on and then leaking about the incoming administration. They unmasked people who weren't targets, the leaks themselves were criminal.

Sensationalism aside, I await further reports confirming Nunes's instincts. I really thought unmasking would be at greater distance from Obama, then passed along. I'll have to buy popcorn on the way home from work.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-03 17:06:55
April 03 2017 16:52 GMT
#144929
We await further reports confirming Russian coordination, which would make Susan Rice a hero for ensuring that the Donald Trump administration couldn't cover up the crime .

Also:

Rice's multiple requests to learn the identities of Trump officials discussed in intelligence reports during the transition period does highlight a longstanding concern for civil liberties advocates about U.S. surveillance programs. The standard for senior officials to learn the names of U.S. persons incidentally collected is that it must have some foreign intelligence value, a standard that can apply to almost anything. This suggests Rice's unmasking requests were likely within the law.


These are requests to learn from Rice, not actual leaks, and if she had other info suggesting Russian coordination, I could see this as being reasonable. It's also interesting that the White House Counsel's office instructed Cohen-Watnick, a 30 year old Flynn staffer who is Trump's senior director for intelligence on the NSC (and who McMaster tried to get fired), to stop his research into the issue.
Krikkitone
Profile Joined April 2009
United States1451 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-03 16:57:10
April 03 2017 16:54 GMT
#144930
On April 03 2017 18:03 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2017 10:12 Buckyman wrote:
On April 03 2017 09:12 LegalLord wrote:
Third traitor for Gorsuch: Joe Donnelly. Five more and we got a judge.


Three Democrats have proven themselves more honorable than all the Republican senators. Don't vilify them for it.


"Oh you voted for Gorsuch because you're above politics? Well now we're going to primary you on the left and soon you're going to be below politics."


The problem is in those states where a primary from the left would lose to a republican. (the DNC would probably support a DINO at the risk of losing a Senate seat.) In those cases the Senator could also run as an Independent.

(Primarying is a bigger risk in the House because D+R are sorted within states much more than between states)
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 03 2017 16:54 GMT
#144931
Unmasking is normally for average US citizens caught up in spying. Not people actively running for the office that controls the CIA and NSA. 95% chance we find out that who gets unmasked and who doesn’t is a matter of professional judgment by the CIA/NSA. It isn’t like Flynn can claim he is just an average citizen. Or most members of the Trump camp.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1465 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-03 17:36:05
April 03 2017 17:01 GMT
#144932
Looks like the nuclear option's happening for Gorsuch. Only four Democrats have said they would oppose a filibuster: https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/gorsuch-filibuster-whip-count/

(There's four undecided Democrats, but it's really not likely all four of them will fall in line against a filibuster.)

Any strong opinions on TL about that? 10 years ago the idea was so unthinkable, now it's almost inevitable.

EDIT: Minutes after I posted this, WaPo updated to show that one of the undecideds now supports the filibuster.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
April 03 2017 17:12 GMT
#144933
I like this article on the nuclear option. I think that Gorsuch is a perfectly qualified candidate and that while the Garland matter was bullshit, this is a losing battle. They should just find five more traitors and confirm him.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 03 2017 17:16 GMT
#144934
NPR reported last week that most of the Senate agrees that removing the filibuster will make the Senate and Supreme Court worse. They also agree that it is likely to happen.

The Democrats should agree to drop the filibuster if McConnell removes himself the Senate leadership.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23233 Posts
April 03 2017 17:23 GMT
#144935
On April 04 2017 02:01 LightSpectra wrote:
Looks like the nuclear option's happening for Gorsuch. Only four Democrats have said they would oppose a filibuster: https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/gorsuch-filibuster-whip-count/

(There's four undecided Democrats, but it's really not likely all four of them will fall in line against a filibuster.)

Any strong opinions on TL about that? 10 years ago the idea was so unthinkable, now it's almost inevitable.


I like how they call 3 of the Democrats voting FOR Gorsuch as "against a filibuster" instead of "supporting Gorsuch".

Republicans don't have the votes for the nuclear option, so that's always been an empty threat. I'm still pretty confident they aren't going to filibuster (or it will be just for show).

Berniecrats have put a crap ton of pressure on folks so McCaskill did a 180 and others are saying they will support a filibuster (even if they said the opposite previously).
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Adreme
Profile Joined June 2011
United States5574 Posts
April 03 2017 17:27 GMT
#144936
With Coons voting against him that makes enough to force that nuclear option.
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1465 Posts
April 03 2017 17:30 GMT
#144937
On April 04 2017 02:23 GreenHorizons wrote:
Republicans don't have the votes for the nuclear option, so that's always been an empty threat.


It only takes 51 to change the procedures of the Senate.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-03 17:33:20
April 03 2017 17:31 GMT
#144938
On April 04 2017 02:16 Plansix wrote:
NPR reported last week that most of the Senate agrees that removing the filibuster will make the Senate and Supreme Court worse. They also agree that it is likely to happen.

The Democrats should agree to drop the filibuster if McConnell removes himself the Senate leadership.


Yeah this is basically I think what the Republicans have forced. The non-vote of Garland really leaves the democrats no choice but to put up a fight for that seat (regardless of the judge's qualifications), but ultimately the issue isn't about whether that judge should come to a vote, eventually everything needs to move forward and obviously Garland is never going to be re-nominated, but what it should cost the Republicans for basically screwing everyone and everything over for their own partisan gain.

On April 04 2017 02:30 LightSpectra wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2017 02:23 GreenHorizons wrote:
Republicans don't have the votes for the nuclear option, so that's always been an empty threat.


It only takes 51 to change the procedures of the Senate.


51 for sure or is 50 + VP enough? Or I guess put another way, does the VP get a tie-breaking vote in procedural issues like this?
Logo
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1465 Posts
April 03 2017 17:33 GMT
#144939
51 and 50+VP are the same thing I think.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 03 2017 17:37 GMT
#144940
The VP breaks ties on procedural votes too. So the Republicans just need 50 votes to end the filibuster.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
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