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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 6185

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
KT_Elwood
Profile Joined July 2015
Germany1150 Posts
November 10 2016 21:12 GMT
#123681
I think he can and will make a 180° turn around on many topics. His staff already has deleted some of the campaign slogans.

"First he eats our dogs, and then he taxes the penguins... Donald Trump truly is the Donald Trump of our generation. " -DPB
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
November 10 2016 21:12 GMT
#123682
Bernie Sanders is leaving open the possibility of another presidential bid, saying in a Thursday interview that he wants to focus on helping the party rebuild its base after Donald Trump's victory.

"Four years is a long time from now," said the 75-year-old Vermont senator, noting that he faces re-election to the Senate in 2018. But he added: "We'll take one thing at a time, but I'm not ruling out anything."

Sanders gave voice to the frustration among many liberals in the aftermath of Trump's stunning triumph over Hillary Clinton. He told The Associated Press in a phone interview that millions of working-class voters' decision to back Trump was "an embarrassment" to the party and that Democrats must take a strong stand against the role of corporate interests in politics.

"It is an embarrassment, I think, to the entire of Democratic Party that millions of white working-class people decided to vote for Mr. Trump, which suggests that the Democratic message of standing up for working people no longer holds much sway among workers in this country," Sanders said.

The Vermont senator declined to criticize his primary rival, Hillary Clinton, attributing Tuesday's election loss to a "lack of enthusiasm" among Democrats. "People just did not come out to vote," he said.

He said he would support Rep. Keith Ellison of Minnesota to become the next chairman of the Democratic National Committee.


Sanders endorsed Clinton after their lengthy primary and campaigned extensively for her. He said she's had "an exemplary political career. She has served the public for many, many decades and has broken many barriers," adding that "she deserves an enormous amount of credit. She worked extraordinarily hard in this campaign."

But he said the party as a whole was unable to make a strong enough case to struggling workers, particularly in the industrial Midwest, who sided with Trump.

"You cannot be a party which on one hand says we're in favor of working people, we're in favor of the needs of young people but we don't quite have the courage to take on Wall Street and the billionaire class. People do not believe that. You've got to decide which side you're on."

While he said he was hopeful he would be able to work with the incoming Trump administration, he made clear that would not be likely.


"I hope I'm wrong, but I believe that he is a fraud, and I think despite all of his rhetoric about being a champion of the working class, it will turn out to be hollow," Sanders said of the president-elect.

Sanders said he had not yet considered whether to seek a leadership position within the Senate Democratic caucus and was expected to become the top Democrat on either the Budget Committee or another post. But he said he would seek to mobilize Democrats to help the party rebuild.


http://www.mprnews.org/story/2016/11/10/sanders-decries-working-class-vote-for-trump
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:13:29
November 10 2016 21:12 GMT
#123683
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .
Logo
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
November 10 2016 21:14 GMT
#123684
I hate the outcome of this election but I honestly like the EC system, it puts a clamp on a majority/minority divide. The latter has to have a voice in democracies, which is ironically a point routinely pushed home by the same people who are now complaining about the EC. It can't be that 52% absolutely govern about 48%. I also don't think the technical look is very interesting in this case. The permanent divide is very real and deep, it doesn't even matter who has won.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8254 Posts
November 10 2016 21:15 GMT
#123685
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


Projections haven't exactly been very accurate as of late
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:24:02
November 10 2016 21:18 GMT
#123686
On November 11 2016 06:14 Nyxisto wrote:
I hate the outcome of this election but I honestly like the EC system, it puts a clamp on a majority/minority divide. The latter has to have a voice in democracies, which is ironically a point routinely pushed home by the same people who are now complaining about the EC. It can't be that 52% absolutely govern about 48%. I also don't think the technical look is very interesting in this case. The permanent divide is very real and deep, it doesn't even matter who has won.


But isn't that what the House and Senate already do?

Perhaps if the House was more representative (instead of gerrymandered back and forth constantly) then I'd buy that the EC for president was a good balance, but that's not really the case.

The general reason why people are especially annoyed right now is with the country divided about evenly between the two parties (a slight dem edge) the Republicans have a slight advantage in Senate seats, the presidency, and 54% of the House.
Logo
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4945 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:21:29
November 10 2016 21:19 GMT
#123687
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .


I still think he'll lose it, but if he won the popular vote, it would have the side effect of stopping this discussion. Maybe.

It doesn't matter in the end, though. This loss for the Democrats should not be as biting as 2000. Think of the states Hillary lost: MI(?), WI, PA. Even states like Florida and Ohio. This wasn't really a nail-biter. She failed miserably in states that were supposed to be hers, and it's entirely her fault. The only "swing states" she won were CO and NV, and NH. (And VA, but I personally am moving that into the "blue" or "heavy lean blue" category myself.)
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8254 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:20:49
November 10 2016 21:20 GMT
#123688
On November 11 2016 06:14 Nyxisto wrote:
I hate the outcome of this election but I honestly like the EC system, it puts a clamp on a majority/minority divide. The latter has to have a voice in democracies, which is ironically a point routinely pushed home by the same people who are now complaining about the EC. It can't be that 52% absolutely govern about 48%. I also don't think the technical look is very interesting in this case. The permanent divide is very real and deep, it doesn't even matter who has won.


If we look away from the fact that EC doesn't actually do that because it isn't working: It's only one specific kind of minority though. Why is the line drawn there? What about the other minorities, shouldn't they get their votes to count for more as well? It's an artificial line drawn by tradition and history and not for any sensible reason. Presidental candidates can't ignore small states just because the bigger states happen to have a larger population. But as the system stands, they can, because the smallest states are nearly always safe states that doesn't matter. They're also ignoring the biggest states. Their only focus is on the few uncertain swing states that actually matter in the election race. That's not a good system at all.

Not to mention that because the EC is also running a first past the post system, you can only ever have two nominees, who right now are controlled by big corporations through sponsorship. That's how you end up with two president candidates that no one wants.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8254 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:23:19
November 10 2016 21:22 GMT
#123689
On November 11 2016 06:19 Introvert wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .


I still think he'll lose it, but if he won the popular vote, it would have the side effect of stopping this discussion. Maybe.

It doesn't matter in the end, though. This loss for the Democrats should not be as biting as 2000. Think of the states Hillary lost: MI(?), WI, PA. Even states like Florida and Ohio. This wasn't really a nail-biter. She failed miserably in states that were supposed to be hers, and it's entirely her fault. The only "swing states" she won were CO and NV. (And VA, but I personally am moving that into the "blue" or "heavy lean blue" category myself.)


You seem to think we're only attacking EC because Hillary lost to it. I, and most others, would be equally annoyed if Hillary won because of this broken system. It wont dampen the discussion because the system isn't going to suddenly be less broken if Trump gets a few more votes. Even if it happen to work as intended this time, what's stopping it from fucking you over the next time?
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9204 Posts
November 10 2016 21:24 GMT
#123690
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .

You're most likely right. I also thought that initially but then I deferred to Introvert thinking that to post this he probably had seen a change there from Hillary to Trump as the projected winner of the popular vote instead of it being the same graphic for both sections. And I was too uninterested to check elsewhere, sorry for making you click a CNN link.
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4945 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:24:41
November 10 2016 21:24 GMT
#123691
The states could change how their electors are awarded, maybe people should do some campaigning on the state level for that. The problem is, no state wants to undermine its own importance. But you wouldn't technically need an amendment to change that.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4945 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:30:56
November 10 2016 21:26 GMT
#123692
On November 11 2016 06:24 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .

You're most likely right. I also thought that initially but then I deferred to Introvert thinking that to post this he probably had seen a change there from Hillary to Trump as the projected winner of the popular vote instead of it being the same graphic for both sections. And I was too uninterested to check elsewhere, sorry for making you click a CNN link.


I assumed whoever was working this desk at CNN was operating with the required competency.They aren't the only ones to point out he still has a shot. Don't remember where I saw the other one though.


On November 11 2016 06:22 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:19 Introvert wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .


I still think he'll lose it, but if he won the popular vote, it would have the side effect of stopping this discussion. Maybe.

It doesn't matter in the end, though. This loss for the Democrats should not be as biting as 2000. Think of the states Hillary lost: MI(?), WI, PA. Even states like Florida and Ohio. This wasn't really a nail-biter. She failed miserably in states that were supposed to be hers, and it's entirely her fault. The only "swing states" she won were CO and NV. (And VA, but I personally am moving that into the "blue" or "heavy lean blue" category myself.)


You seem to think we're only attacking EC because Hillary lost to it. I, and most others, would be equally annoyed if Hillary won because of this broken system. It wont dampen the discussion because the system isn't going to suddenly be less broken if Trump gets a few more votes. Even if it happen to work as intended this time, what's stopping it from fucking you over the next time?


People always complain, but there is no doubt it's amplified after elections. I wouldn't mind some reforms to it, but we aren't anywhere near that being a possibility, so I don't know how much effort should be expended talking about it here.

I still oppose a purely popular vote though, so if you are arguing in favor of that...
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:31:24
November 10 2016 21:27 GMT
#123693
On November 11 2016 06:24 Introvert wrote:
The states could change how their electors are awarded, maybe people should do some campaigning on the state level for that. The problem is, no state wants to undermine its own importance. But you wouldn't technically need an amendment to change that.


There are states that agree to start lending their delegates to the popular vote winner if 270 electoral votes sign on the process and several other states have more lenient laws. But it is a pretty problematic issue. If only some states, or only one 'color' state joins in the system then in the short term they'll make the elected offices LESS representative. So it's a bit of shooting yourself in the foot unless you can get multiple states across the political spectrum to agree to something.

Also Maine just got ranked ballot choices, but not for president. Still a big step. Ranked ballot would be ideal, but won't happen for presidential elections for a long time because they'd gut any chance of a 3rd party getting federal funding unless the federal government changed the rules around that (right? someone correct me if I am wrong).
Logo
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17486 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:46:11
November 10 2016 21:29 GMT
#123694
On November 11 2016 06:08 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 05:57 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
On November 11 2016 05:53 Slydie wrote:
How would a system like this shape up in the US? As you have seen, presidental campaigns easily turn into person-focussed farces, which have very little to do with politics. Bullshit FBI investigations and pussycomments key components? Give me a break...


just because this election turned into that ... don't assume every US election is like that. if you'd like to go over the last 12 presidential elections 1 by 1 as a demonstration that your generalization is way off base i'd be glad to do so.

Hillary got suckered into playing Trump's game.

Go ahead. At least since 2000 every election has involved a nasty smear campaign that either had no basis in truth (swiftboat and birther scandals come to mind), or blew something said horribly out of proportion (47% and "Gore created the internet"). Is that really what you want to base your elections on?

i said 12 elections... 2000 is only 5 elections.... small sampe size. you made some giant sweeping generelization.

By 1972 the USA was 196 years old and the "system" you criticize was about as old.

So, Let's start with 1972. Nixon v. Mcgovern.
that election revolved around the Vietnam War and the economy. not the personalities of the leaders. Discussions about the constant stream american teenagers sent to vietnam to die were heated.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vietnam_War_casualties

How much talk about Nixon's and/or Mcgovern's personalities is in this video?
+ Show Spoiler +


Would you like to discuss WHY casualty estimates vary so widely?

one thing i will agree with you .. the Siege Tank does deserve a buff.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4945 Posts
November 10 2016 21:33 GMT
#123695
On November 11 2016 06:27 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:24 Introvert wrote:
The states could change how their electors are awarded, maybe people should do some campaigning on the state level for that. The problem is, no state wants to undermine its own importance. But you wouldn't technically need an amendment to change that.


There are states that agree to start lending their delegates to the popular vote winner if 270 electoral votes sign on the process and several other states have more lenient laws. But it is a pretty problematic issue. If only some states, or only one 'color' state joins in the system then in the short term they'll make the elected offices LESS representative. So it's a bit of shooting yourself in the foot unless you can get multiple states across the political spectrum to agree to something.

Also Maine just got ranked ballot choices, but not for president. Still a big step. Ranked ballot would be ideal, but won't happen for presidential elections for a long time because they'd gut any chance of a 3rd party getting federal funding unless the federal government changed the rules around that (right? someone correct me if I am wrong).


I've seen that. I oppose a popular vote election anyway, so it doesn't make me feel any better. Nevermind the shadiness of it.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8254 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:39:02
November 10 2016 21:34 GMT
#123696
On November 11 2016 06:26 Introvert wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:24 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .

You're most likely right. I also thought that initially but then I deferred to Introvert thinking that to post this he probably had seen a change there from Hillary to Trump as the projected winner of the popular vote instead of it being the same graphic for both sections. And I was too uninterested to check elsewhere, sorry for making you click a CNN link.


I assumed whoever was working this desk at CNN was operating with the required competency.They aren't the only ones to point out he still has a shot. Don't remember where I saw the other one though.


Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:22 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:19 Introvert wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .


I still think he'll lose it, but if he won the popular vote, it would have the side effect of stopping this discussion. Maybe.

It doesn't matter in the end, though. This loss for the Democrats should not be as biting as 2000. Think of the states Hillary lost: MI(?), WI, PA. Even states like Florida and Ohio. This wasn't really a nail-biter. She failed miserably in states that were supposed to be hers, and it's entirely her fault. The only "swing states" she won were CO and NV. (And VA, but I personally am moving that into the "blue" or "heavy lean blue" category myself.)


You seem to think we're only attacking EC because Hillary lost to it. I, and most others, would be equally annoyed if Hillary won because of this broken system. It wont dampen the discussion because the system isn't going to suddenly be less broken if Trump gets a few more votes. Even if it happen to work as intended this time, what's stopping it from fucking you over the next time?


People always complain, but there is no doubt it's amplified after elections. I wouldn't mind some reforms to it, but we aren't anywhere near that being a possibility, so I don't know how much effort should be expended talking about it here.

I still oppose a purely popular vote though, so if you are arguing in favor of that...


Popular vote with ranking is what I would be in favor of (possibly with the option for parties to combine votes and run together. While that does obviously hinder progress, it also ensures one party doesn't get all the power to just do whatever they want. It has both negative and positive consequences). You don't need any kind of system to protect the smaller states in the presidential election, that's what the house of representatives is for.

If you have another system in mind I'm all ears.
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
November 10 2016 21:38 GMT
#123697
On November 11 2016 06:33 Introvert wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:27 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:24 Introvert wrote:
The states could change how their electors are awarded, maybe people should do some campaigning on the state level for that. The problem is, no state wants to undermine its own importance. But you wouldn't technically need an amendment to change that.


There are states that agree to start lending their delegates to the popular vote winner if 270 electoral votes sign on the process and several other states have more lenient laws. But it is a pretty problematic issue. If only some states, or only one 'color' state joins in the system then in the short term they'll make the elected offices LESS representative. So it's a bit of shooting yourself in the foot unless you can get multiple states across the political spectrum to agree to something.

Also Maine just got ranked ballot choices, but not for president. Still a big step. Ranked ballot would be ideal, but won't happen for presidential elections for a long time because they'd gut any chance of a 3rd party getting federal funding unless the federal government changed the rules around that (right? someone correct me if I am wrong).


I've seen that. I oppose a popular vote election anyway, so it doesn't make me feel any better. Nevermind the shadiness of it.


Shadiness how?
Logo
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6272 Posts
November 10 2016 21:50 GMT
#123698
On November 11 2016 06:34 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:26 Introvert wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:24 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .

You're most likely right. I also thought that initially but then I deferred to Introvert thinking that to post this he probably had seen a change there from Hillary to Trump as the projected winner of the popular vote instead of it being the same graphic for both sections. And I was too uninterested to check elsewhere, sorry for making you click a CNN link.


I assumed whoever was working this desk at CNN was operating with the required competency.They aren't the only ones to point out he still has a shot. Don't remember where I saw the other one though.


On November 11 2016 06:22 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:19 Introvert wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .


I still think he'll lose it, but if he won the popular vote, it would have the side effect of stopping this discussion. Maybe.

It doesn't matter in the end, though. This loss for the Democrats should not be as biting as 2000. Think of the states Hillary lost: MI(?), WI, PA. Even states like Florida and Ohio. This wasn't really a nail-biter. She failed miserably in states that were supposed to be hers, and it's entirely her fault. The only "swing states" she won were CO and NV. (And VA, but I personally am moving that into the "blue" or "heavy lean blue" category myself.)


You seem to think we're only attacking EC because Hillary lost to it. I, and most others, would be equally annoyed if Hillary won because of this broken system. It wont dampen the discussion because the system isn't going to suddenly be less broken if Trump gets a few more votes. Even if it happen to work as intended this time, what's stopping it from fucking you over the next time?


People always complain, but there is no doubt it's amplified after elections. I wouldn't mind some reforms to it, but we aren't anywhere near that being a possibility, so I don't know how much effort should be expended talking about it here.

I still oppose a purely popular vote though, so if you are arguing in favor of that...


Popular vote with ranking is what I would be in favor of (possibly with the option for parties to combine votes and run together. While that does obviously hinder progress, it also ensures one party doesn't get all the power to just do whatever they want. It has both negative and positive consequences). You don't need any kind of system to protect the smaller states in the presidential election, that's what the house of representatives is for.

If you have another system in mind I'm all ears.

The senate protects states with low population with 2 senators per state. The amount representatives a state sends to the house are based on population (with a minimum I think? Not sure).
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4945 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-10 21:58:50
November 10 2016 21:52 GMT
#123699
On November 11 2016 06:34 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:26 Introvert wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:24 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .

You're most likely right. I also thought that initially but then I deferred to Introvert thinking that to post this he probably had seen a change there from Hillary to Trump as the projected winner of the popular vote instead of it being the same graphic for both sections. And I was too uninterested to check elsewhere, sorry for making you click a CNN link.


I assumed whoever was working this desk at CNN was operating with the required competency.They aren't the only ones to point out he still has a shot. Don't remember where I saw the other one though.


On November 11 2016 06:22 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:19 Introvert wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:12 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:09 Dan HH wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:06 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:05 Excludos wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:00 Introvert wrote:
Don't look now, CNN projects Trump will win the popular vote. We'll see. It could at least put this EC discussion to bed again. And add another "wrong" to my prediction list.


Trump winning the majority vote should not bed the EC discussion in my opinion. I don't think we should ignore a broken system just because it happen to correlate with a working one once in a while. People aren't just angry that Clinton won, but that the system allows for someone to win when the majority of people (who voted) voted for someone else, and that the large amount of people who didn't vote did so because for them in their state it didn't matter.


Also I don't see that in the link. It still shows Clinton up in the popular vote.

The way I'm reading it Clinton is ahead right now but they're projecting Trump to win the popular vote after the last 7% of the votes are counted.


The way I was reading it is Trump is marked as the winner and it just happens to also apply the same winning marker to the popular vote section. It also looks like they just disabled the tracking or something as other sources report 99% reporting.

NYT http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president
TheGuardian: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/nov/08/us-election-2016-results-live-clinton-trump?view=map&type=presidential

Neither mention any possibility of the vote tallies changing from here on out.

If so, just another reminder that CNN is trash and in retrospect I'm now angry about giving them a hit to verify what you said .


I still think he'll lose it, but if he won the popular vote, it would have the side effect of stopping this discussion. Maybe.

It doesn't matter in the end, though. This loss for the Democrats should not be as biting as 2000. Think of the states Hillary lost: MI(?), WI, PA. Even states like Florida and Ohio. This wasn't really a nail-biter. She failed miserably in states that were supposed to be hers, and it's entirely her fault. The only "swing states" she won were CO and NV. (And VA, but I personally am moving that into the "blue" or "heavy lean blue" category myself.)


You seem to think we're only attacking EC because Hillary lost to it. I, and most others, would be equally annoyed if Hillary won because of this broken system. It wont dampen the discussion because the system isn't going to suddenly be less broken if Trump gets a few more votes. Even if it happen to work as intended this time, what's stopping it from fucking you over the next time?


People always complain, but there is no doubt it's amplified after elections. I wouldn't mind some reforms to it, but we aren't anywhere near that being a possibility, so I don't know how much effort should be expended talking about it here.

I still oppose a purely popular vote though, so if you are arguing in favor of that...


Popular vote with ranking is what I would be in favor of. You don't need any kind of system to protect the smaller states in the presidential election, that's what the house of representatives is for. If you have another system in mind I'm all ears.


The house breakdown is based on population. The senate was originally intended to be a state's primary defense against the federal government, but that obviously doesn't apply anymore.

I don't think you'd like my idea. Any system besides a direct election would probably result in more EC/popular vote splits than we have now.

I like the idea of doing it by House district, but that would actually increase the odds a EC/popular vote split. But your democrat in Texas or Republican in CA has more chance of mattering, at least in one way.

too bad oneofthem is banned, he's got his own weird system that I don't remember the details of. You can be sure it was technocratic, though


On November 11 2016 06:38 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:33 Introvert wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:27 Logo wrote:
On November 11 2016 06:24 Introvert wrote:
The states could change how their electors are awarded, maybe people should do some campaigning on the state level for that. The problem is, no state wants to undermine its own importance. But you wouldn't technically need an amendment to change that.


There are states that agree to start lending their delegates to the popular vote winner if 270 electoral votes sign on the process and several other states have more lenient laws. But it is a pretty problematic issue. If only some states, or only one 'color' state joins in the system then in the short term they'll make the elected offices LESS representative. So it's a bit of shooting yourself in the foot unless you can get multiple states across the political spectrum to agree to something.

Also Maine just got ranked ballot choices, but not for president. Still a big step. Ranked ballot would be ideal, but won't happen for presidential elections for a long time because they'd gut any chance of a 3rd party getting federal funding unless the federal government changed the rules around that (right? someone correct me if I am wrong).


I've seen that. I oppose a popular vote election anyway, so it doesn't make me feel any better. Nevermind the shadiness of it.


Shadiness how?


Two things:

First of all, some argue it's actually unconstitutional. You are assigning electors as a state not based on what your state does (in any measure), but by what everyone else does. It essentially eliminates the EC entirely.

Some argue in encourages mass voter fraud, although with the stakes are high as they are in swing states I'm not sure that's true. It's a balance between having enough the swing the election, and cheating so hard in a state that you increase your chances of getting caught.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
November 10 2016 21:52 GMT
#123700
On November 11 2016 06:20 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2016 06:14 Nyxisto wrote:
I hate the outcome of this election but I honestly like the EC system, it puts a clamp on a majority/minority divide. The latter has to have a voice in democracies, which is ironically a point routinely pushed home by the same people who are now complaining about the EC. It can't be that 52% absolutely govern about 48%. I also don't think the technical look is very interesting in this case. The permanent divide is very real and deep, it doesn't even matter who has won.


If we look away from the fact that EC doesn't actually do that because it isn't working: It's only one specific kind of minority though. Why is the line drawn there? What about the other minorities, shouldn't they get their votes to count for more as well? It's an artificial line drawn by tradition and history and not for any sensible reason. Presidental candidates can't ignore small states just because the bigger states happen to have a larger population. But as the system stands, they can, because the smallest states are nearly always safe states that doesn't matter. They're also ignoring the biggest states. Their only focus is on the few uncertain swing states that actually matter in the election race. That's not a good system at all.

Not to mention that because the EC is also running a first past the post system, you can only ever have two nominees, who right now are controlled by big corporations through sponsorship. That's how you end up with two president candidates that no one wants.


I think it's very important in a democracy that all minorities are heard and are not overruled by the masses and I think in many ways different groups have different ways of making themselves heard. I can't really go "I dislike this specific system because it strengthened the vote of a minority I don't happen to like". I think Trump is a terrible choice but it's not the mechanism that is at fault.
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