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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28665 Posts
October 09 2016 18:06 GMT
#108121
why do you want more bombing?
Moderator
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
October 09 2016 18:09 GMT
#108122
On October 10 2016 03:02 JW_DTLA wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 02:49 Liquid`Drone wrote:
about the gerrymandering, I think ohio immediately looks bad. No idea why the lime green is divided into three different blocks or the red is split in all kinds of weird manners.

Every other picture linked doesn't really immediately strike me as wrong? (edit: zeal's picture from after I started writing this post also looks pretty bad )

Regarding Hillary ; I was getting increasingly on board with her crookedness until the recent leaks. So far, I've seen this + Show Spoiler +
“My father loved to complain about big business and big government, but we had a solid middle class upbringing. We had good public schools. We had accessible health care. We had our little, you know, one-family house that, you know, he saved up his money, didn't believe in mortgages. So I lived that,” she said in the speech. “And now, obviously, I'm kind of far removed because the life I've lived and the economic, you know, fortunes that my husband and I now enjoy, but I haven't forgotten it.”
which if anything makes me like her more- but somehow is spun into 'clinton admits she is out of touch', which doesn't match my understanding of that at all.

Or stuff like everything from this article http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/john-podesta-wikileaks-hacked-emails-229304

There's just.. there's nothing there that I find scandalous. Nothing. If anything what this tells me is that Hillary has successfully assembled a really competent team and that she herself is on top of everything. All the actual leaks have been much less bad than the speculations. The single worst thing reveal is probably that she's not personally a huge opponent of TTIP and she's pro free-trade in general, and that she admits to having both a public and a private political opinion on issues. Big fucking deal, everybody already knew this, and it's true for every single successful politician. And once again, it beats having several different public opinions on most issues.


What about the more moderate liberals out there who think TTIP isn't so bad and that maybe Obama could have intervened more? Sure, the Greens think everything is a corrupt corporatist conspiracy. But I can't be alone in thinking that Obama Policies + a little more bombing could be good.

Yeah, because your country doesn't kill enough civilians yet...

(Also lol @ saying that criticizing capitalism is “conspiracy”.)
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 18:12:57
October 09 2016 18:12 GMT
#108123
On October 10 2016 02:13 biology]major wrote:
Given these recent trump tapes, her reluctance to do press conferences makes perfect sense. I'd wondered how she was so confident to just run out the clock, this is why. As for the debate tonight, trump is going to go down in flames and drag everyone he can down with him. I don't even know if there will be a third debate. Unless a 4D chess playing, humble, policy focused version shows up, one can dream.


Well, at least in the last two months it's been Trump who has been the one reluctant to do press conferences. I really don't understand what changed for him about that though.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 18:18:33
October 09 2016 18:12 GMT
#108124
gerrymandering isnt immediately obvious sometimes - georgia is a little harder to see from a glance, so that's my bad.

when the districts were redone, democratic reps ended up having to compete with each other b/c their disticts were effectively combined. the result was even though georgia is one of the pinkest states (typically under a 10 pt margin) it has 4 dem reps and 10 republican reps, though off population you might expect something like 6 to 8. atlanta was sliced in a way so big hunks of liberal leaning population were placed into districts which were quite republican.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Blitzkrieg0
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States13132 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 18:27:06
October 09 2016 18:20 GMT
#108125
On October 10 2016 02:41 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 02:38 ZeaL. wrote:
NC is much worse.
[image loading]


now that one looks a little fucked up but maybe a case can be made that that highway corridor should
comprise a district. demographic comparisons would be interesting

like i assume that district was drawn to corral democratic votes. some of the swings away from the highway look suspicious.


Those districts were ruled unconstitutional and changed by the courts here so it is pretty clear that they were.

+ Show Spoiler [change over time] +

[image loading]

[image loading]

[image loading]
I'll always be your shadow and veil your eyes from states of ain soph aur.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
October 09 2016 18:32 GMT
#108126
I wonder if we could use this trump debacle to get the GOP to switch to using approval voting for its primary process.

of course, personally I don't like the gop even having control over its process as a so-called private entity.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1352 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 18:40:08
October 09 2016 18:38 GMT
#108127
Hillary is such a weak candidate that the risk that trump wins is still to big,so now they try eliminate trump,s ticket before the election lol.
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 18:43:22
October 09 2016 18:39 GMT
#108128
On October 10 2016 03:06 Liquid`Drone wrote:
why do you want more bombing?


Bush2 was all about invading other countries and spreading American systems by force. Obama represents a big retreat from American Interventionism abroad. I think there is an argument to be made that we should have been intervening more during the Arab Spring. I know nobody likes this, but the Libya intervention needed to have more people on the ground. Ambassador Stevens and the CIA mission in Benghazi should have been models for a lighter foot print intervention to make sure forces of order won after the destruction of the Ghadaffi regime. The response to the Benghazi attacks should have been doubling down and putting more money and men into making sure the tattered remnants of the secular armed forces of Libya held more ground. Instead, we ran away and now ISIS and Jihadists are seizing Libyan cities. HRC was the big proponent behind a harder Libyan intervention. Yes, we lost people in the Benghazi attack, but that should have been a lesson in going in with more security and proof we needed to be there.

EDIT: also, at the time I opposed any intervention in Syria in the early stages. Now I am questioning whether that was a good idea (500k+ dead has made me doubt nonintervention). Obama is doing pinpoint bombing of ISIS, which I approve of. But that is all we will ever be able to do because the Russians have squatted all over the place.
JinDesu
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States3990 Posts
October 09 2016 18:40 GMT
#108129
On October 10 2016 03:38 pmh wrote:
Hillary is such a weak candidate that the risk that trump wins is still to big,so now they try eliminate trump,s ticket before the election lol. I think that right after the election all "shit" will come to the surface and we will see a small collapse on the financial markets.


Alternatively: Trump's such a shit candidate that his ticket can't even make it to the election.
Yargh
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
October 09 2016 18:45 GMT
#108130
On October 10 2016 03:39 JW_DTLA wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 03:06 Liquid`Drone wrote:
why do you want more bombing?


Bush2 was all about invading other countries and spreading American systems by force. Obama represents a big retreat from American Interventionism abroad. I think there is an argument to be made that we should have been intervening more during the Arab Spring. I know nobody likes this, but the Libya intervention needed to have more people on the ground. Ambassador Stevens and the CIA mission in Benghazi should have been models for a lighter foot print intervention to make sure forces of order won after the destruction of the Ghadaffi regime. The response to the Benghazi attacks should have been doubling down and putting more money and men into making sure the tattered remnants of the secular armed forces of Libya held more ground. Instead, we ran away and now ISIS and Jihadists are seizing Libyan cities. HRC was the big proponent behind a harder Libyan intervention. Yes, we lost people in the Benghazi attack, but that should have been a lesson in going in with more security and proof we needed to be there.

EDIT: also, at the time I opposed any intervention in Syria in the early stages. Now I am questioning whether that was a good idea (500k+ dead has made me doubt nonintervention). Obama is doing pinpoint bombing of ISIS, which I approve of. But that is all we will ever be able to do because the Russians have squatted all over the place.

the places are a shitshow; there is no intervention that will be truly effective; the ones that would be most effective are enormously expensive; and I'm still not sure how they screwed pu so bad on properly rebuilding iraq.
Intervention tends to be very costly, do you want to pay that much in money and lives? there's a lot of places in the world which could use intervention, we can't afford to fix them all. I'd say before intervening more, we should work on improving our nation building capabilities so we can usefully intervene and leave places in better shape. Otherwise intervention just isn't worth it.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6284 Posts
October 09 2016 18:46 GMT
#108131
Bloody hell, why do all these debates have to be at 3am CET -.-

Yeah we aren't voting and have absolutely no impact on anything but at least move it back one hour guys
"If only Kircheis were here" - Everyone
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
October 09 2016 18:48 GMT
#108132
On October 10 2016 03:40 JinDesu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 03:38 pmh wrote:
Hillary is such a weak candidate that the risk that trump wins is still to big,so now they try eliminate trump,s ticket before the election lol. I think that right after the election all "shit" will come to the surface and we will see a small collapse on the financial markets.


Alternatively: Trump's such a shit candidate that his ticket can't even make it to the election.


Guess that says something about the 'merits' of democracy when two shitty candidates are your choices.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 18:49:29
October 09 2016 18:49 GMT
#108133
I'm really wondering if Trump is going to go on a full Bill Clinton rant tonight. I don't think this is going to work well. I really want to know if the timing of the leaks was intentional because he's in an impossible situation now. He can't just try to survive because that's not going to cut it any more and he can't rant because of all the drama and he has no policies.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 18:50:31
October 09 2016 18:49 GMT
#108134
On October 10 2016 03:46 zeo wrote:
Bloody hell, why do all these debates have to be at 3am CET -.-

Yeah we aren't voting and have absolutely no impact on anything but at least move it back one hour guys

It has to be at the time it's at because that's the best time for American viewers (if watched live that is), moving it forward or backward one hour would considerably inconvenience a lot of people. do you need the details on why other times wouldn't work as well, and what american hours are like?
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 18:51:05
October 09 2016 18:50 GMT
#108135
On October 10 2016 03:45 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 03:39 JW_DTLA wrote:
On October 10 2016 03:06 Liquid`Drone wrote:
why do you want more bombing?


Bush2 was all about invading other countries and spreading American systems by force. Obama represents a big retreat from American Interventionism abroad. I think there is an argument to be made that we should have been intervening more during the Arab Spring. I know nobody likes this, but the Libya intervention needed to have more people on the ground. Ambassador Stevens and the CIA mission in Benghazi should have been models for a lighter foot print intervention to make sure forces of order won after the destruction of the Ghadaffi regime. The response to the Benghazi attacks should have been doubling down and putting more money and men into making sure the tattered remnants of the secular armed forces of Libya held more ground. Instead, we ran away and now ISIS and Jihadists are seizing Libyan cities. HRC was the big proponent behind a harder Libyan intervention. Yes, we lost people in the Benghazi attack, but that should have been a lesson in going in with more security and proof we needed to be there.

EDIT: also, at the time I opposed any intervention in Syria in the early stages. Now I am questioning whether that was a good idea (500k+ dead has made me doubt nonintervention). Obama is doing pinpoint bombing of ISIS, which I approve of. But that is all we will ever be able to do because the Russians have squatted all over the place.

the places are a shitshow; there is no intervention that will be truly effective; the ones that would be most effective are enormously expensive; and I'm still not sure how they screwed pu so bad on properly rebuilding iraq.
Intervention tends to be very costly, do you want to pay that much in money and lives? there's a lot of places in the world which could use intervention, we can't afford to fix them all. I'd say before intervening more, we should work on improving our nation building capabilities so we can usefully intervene and leave places in better shape. Otherwise intervention just isn't worth it.


When it comes to intervention, I have heard the following arguments of which I largely approve. We need to imagine three realms of intervention.

(1) The Arab world (Levant, North Africa, Syria). We will do only pure kinetic intervention here. Drones, special forces, contractors will be sent to hunt and kill Jihadists to keep their logistical strength down. America tried to intervene and build up new societies (Iraq war 2) but it was a disaster.

(2) The near Muslim world (Nigeria, Philippines, Indonesia, Central Africa, etc.). We send substantial aid and foreign deployed trainers to make sure that forces of order don't fall to occasional Jihadists uprisings. We don't engage in firefights, but we provide a sort of "Arsenal of Democracy" welfare line to weaker governments.

(3) Afghanistan. Permanent low intensity occupation to save American credibility.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21674 Posts
October 09 2016 18:52 GMT
#108136
On October 10 2016 03:45 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 03:39 JW_DTLA wrote:
On October 10 2016 03:06 Liquid`Drone wrote:
why do you want more bombing?


Bush2 was all about invading other countries and spreading American systems by force. Obama represents a big retreat from American Interventionism abroad. I think there is an argument to be made that we should have been intervening more during the Arab Spring. I know nobody likes this, but the Libya intervention needed to have more people on the ground. Ambassador Stevens and the CIA mission in Benghazi should have been models for a lighter foot print intervention to make sure forces of order won after the destruction of the Ghadaffi regime. The response to the Benghazi attacks should have been doubling down and putting more money and men into making sure the tattered remnants of the secular armed forces of Libya held more ground. Instead, we ran away and now ISIS and Jihadists are seizing Libyan cities. HRC was the big proponent behind a harder Libyan intervention. Yes, we lost people in the Benghazi attack, but that should have been a lesson in going in with more security and proof we needed to be there.

EDIT: also, at the time I opposed any intervention in Syria in the early stages. Now I am questioning whether that was a good idea (500k+ dead has made me doubt nonintervention). Obama is doing pinpoint bombing of ISIS, which I approve of. But that is all we will ever be able to do because the Russians have squatted all over the place.

the places are a shitshow; there is no intervention that will be truly effective; the ones that would be most effective are enormously expensive; and I'm still not sure how they screwed pu so bad on properly rebuilding iraq.
Intervention tends to be very costly, do you want to pay that much in money and lives? there's a lot of places in the world which could use intervention, we can't afford to fix them all. I'd say before intervening more, we should work on improving our nation building capabilities so we can usefully intervene and leave places in better shape. Otherwise intervention just isn't worth it.

They screwed Iraq up because they didn't stay for 50 years.

They needed a generation of Iraqi's who grew up with democratic values. A generation brought up knowing they would need to hold the reigns for themselves and keep those values safe when the West withdraw the majority of its presence.

When it comes to overthrowing governments and cultures you need to either be willing to commit to generation building or you need to not bother.
Anything else just leaves a power vacuum that will blow up in your face.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28665 Posts
October 09 2016 18:53 GMT
#108137
On October 10 2016 03:39 JW_DTLA wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 03:06 Liquid`Drone wrote:
why do you want more bombing?


Bush2 was all about invading other countries and spreading American systems by force. Obama represents a big retreat from American Interventionism abroad. I think there is an argument to be made that we should have been intervening more during the Arab Spring. I know nobody likes this, but the Libya intervention needed to have more people on the ground. Ambassador Stevens and the CIA mission in Benghazi should have been models for a lighter foot print intervention to make sure forces of order won after the destruction of the Ghadaffi regime. The response to the Benghazi attacks should have been doubling down and putting more money and men into making sure the tattered remnants of the secular armed forces of Libya held more ground. Instead, we ran away and now ISIS and Jihadists are seizing Libyan cities. HRC was the big proponent behind a harder Libyan intervention. Yes, we lost people in the Benghazi attack, but that should have been a lesson in going in with more security and proof we needed to be there.

EDIT: also, at the time I opposed any intervention in Syria in the early stages. Now I am questioning whether that was a good idea (500k+ dead has made me doubt nonintervention). Obama is doing pinpoint bombing of ISIS, which I approve of. But that is all we will ever be able to do because the Russians have squatted all over the place.


Now you are arguing for more interventionism in the form of troops, and in that case I don't fundamentally disagree. Bombs however kill far too indiscriminately and cause far too much terror and suffering for the civilian population for me to be okay with them. Troops on the ground, that's real commitment and real risk - and thus gives serious incentive to only engage in conflicts where it really is absolutely necessary.

Like I understand bombing cities during total war conflicts (not really seen since ww2) where breaking the spirit of the civilian backbone is important to win the war efforts. And while I'm no expert on military strategy, I can see how using bombs as a tool to scatter and disorganize enemy troops is also highly effective (and sometimes necessary). But my impression of bombs used as a warfare-tool in the middle east for the past 30 years is that they have created so much suffering in the civilian population that any military victories gained through bombs has been offset by increased anti-american and anti-western sentiments within the bombed civilian population. More troops on the ground and more interventionism, that's a fair argument - I might not support it - but I'm not gonna fight you on it. Bombing cities however, that's basically terrorism imo.
Moderator
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
October 09 2016 18:53 GMT
#108138
On October 10 2016 03:52 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 03:45 zlefin wrote:
On October 10 2016 03:39 JW_DTLA wrote:
On October 10 2016 03:06 Liquid`Drone wrote:
why do you want more bombing?


Bush2 was all about invading other countries and spreading American systems by force. Obama represents a big retreat from American Interventionism abroad. I think there is an argument to be made that we should have been intervening more during the Arab Spring. I know nobody likes this, but the Libya intervention needed to have more people on the ground. Ambassador Stevens and the CIA mission in Benghazi should have been models for a lighter foot print intervention to make sure forces of order won after the destruction of the Ghadaffi regime. The response to the Benghazi attacks should have been doubling down and putting more money and men into making sure the tattered remnants of the secular armed forces of Libya held more ground. Instead, we ran away and now ISIS and Jihadists are seizing Libyan cities. HRC was the big proponent behind a harder Libyan intervention. Yes, we lost people in the Benghazi attack, but that should have been a lesson in going in with more security and proof we needed to be there.

EDIT: also, at the time I opposed any intervention in Syria in the early stages. Now I am questioning whether that was a good idea (500k+ dead has made me doubt nonintervention). Obama is doing pinpoint bombing of ISIS, which I approve of. But that is all we will ever be able to do because the Russians have squatted all over the place.

the places are a shitshow; there is no intervention that will be truly effective; the ones that would be most effective are enormously expensive; and I'm still not sure how they screwed pu so bad on properly rebuilding iraq.
Intervention tends to be very costly, do you want to pay that much in money and lives? there's a lot of places in the world which could use intervention, we can't afford to fix them all. I'd say before intervening more, we should work on improving our nation building capabilities so we can usefully intervene and leave places in better shape. Otherwise intervention just isn't worth it.

They screwed Iraq up because they didn't stay for 50 years.

They needed a generation of Iraqi's who grew up with democratic values. A generation brought up knowing they would need to hold the reigns for themselves and keep those values safe when the West withdraw the majority of its presence.

When it comes to overthrowing governments and cultures you need to either be willing to commit to generation building or you need to not bother.
Anything else just leaves a power vacuum that will blow up in your face.

in general, agreed. It takes a long expensive commitment.
But i'd say, even in the shorter time they had they made some screwups in how they set everything up, and how thier planning was for setting up the institutions; and for adapting the local institutions into an acceptable long-term framework.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
October 09 2016 18:55 GMT
#108139
"And so I sorta get away with things like that."

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/08/politics/trump-on-howard-stern/index.html
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
October 09 2016 19:02 GMT
#108140
On October 10 2016 03:50 JW_DTLA wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 03:45 zlefin wrote:
On October 10 2016 03:39 JW_DTLA wrote:
On October 10 2016 03:06 Liquid`Drone wrote:
why do you want more bombing?


Bush2 was all about invading other countries and spreading American systems by force. Obama represents a big retreat from American Interventionism abroad. I think there is an argument to be made that we should have been intervening more during the Arab Spring. I know nobody likes this, but the Libya intervention needed to have more people on the ground. Ambassador Stevens and the CIA mission in Benghazi should have been models for a lighter foot print intervention to make sure forces of order won after the destruction of the Ghadaffi regime. The response to the Benghazi attacks should have been doubling down and putting more money and men into making sure the tattered remnants of the secular armed forces of Libya held more ground. Instead, we ran away and now ISIS and Jihadists are seizing Libyan cities. HRC was the big proponent behind a harder Libyan intervention. Yes, we lost people in the Benghazi attack, but that should have been a lesson in going in with more security and proof we needed to be there.

EDIT: also, at the time I opposed any intervention in Syria in the early stages. Now I am questioning whether that was a good idea (500k+ dead has made me doubt nonintervention). Obama is doing pinpoint bombing of ISIS, which I approve of. But that is all we will ever be able to do because the Russians have squatted all over the place.

the places are a shitshow; there is no intervention that will be truly effective; the ones that would be most effective are enormously expensive; and I'm still not sure how they screwed pu so bad on properly rebuilding iraq.
Intervention tends to be very costly, do you want to pay that much in money and lives? there's a lot of places in the world which could use intervention, we can't afford to fix them all. I'd say before intervening more, we should work on improving our nation building capabilities so we can usefully intervene and leave places in better shape. Otherwise intervention just isn't worth it.


When it comes to intervention, I have heard the following arguments of which I largely approve. We need to imagine three realms of intervention.

(1) The Arab world (Levant, North Africa, Syria). We will do only pure kinetic intervention here. Drones, special forces, contractors will be sent to hunt and kill Jihadists to keep their logistical strength down. America tried to intervene and build up new societies (Iraq war 2) but it was a disaster.

(2) The near Muslim world (Nigeria, Philippines, Indonesia, Central Africa, etc.). We send substantial aid and foreign deployed trainers to make sure that forces of order don't fall to occasional Jihadists uprisings. We don't engage in firefights, but we provide a sort of "Arsenal of Democracy" welfare line to weaker governments.

(3) Afghanistan. Permanent low intensity occupation to save American credibility.

Yeah. And guess who's paying for all those military interventions?
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