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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 20 2016 22:44 GMT
#55381
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-20 22:47:16
January 20 2016 22:47 GMT
#55382
She worked under his administration. I think it would be a bigger error for her to claim it was terrible or cherry pick parts that are not polling well to be "against". General election voters see right through that shit and she will score no points in the primary by throwing Obama under the bus.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
January 20 2016 22:53 GMT
#55383
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


Not really. Right now she's banking on his supporters and capital in minority groups to carry her through the primary, and in the general she'll be banking on every first voter in 2008 and 2012 voting for her too. I don't think repudiating Obama is somehow going to gain her anything; most of the people that hate his presidency already hate Clinton with a fiery passion that could not be quenched by Niagara Falls.
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
January 20 2016 22:55 GMT
#55384
^^You are so positive about everything in politics Plansix. First you think politicians don't change positions for purely Machiavellian purposes, now you have faith in the intelligence and political engagement of "general election voters". I am just delighted by this. Like Phil Simms after a Peyton Manning touchdown.
Freeeeeeedom
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
January 20 2016 23:02 GMT
#55385
On January 21 2016 07:53 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


Not really. Right now she's banking on his supporters and capital in minority groups to carry her through the primary, and in the general she'll be banking on every first voter in 2008 and 2012 voting for her too. I don't think repudiating Obama is somehow going to gain her anything; most of the people that hate his presidency already hate Clinton with a fiery passion that could not be quenched by Niagara Falls.


This. Feelings for Obama are pretty much split along party lines. Right now, Clinton is trying to win the primary, particularly the minority vote. If she tried to distance herself from Obama, she'd only piss off Democrats and still fail to win a meaningful amount of independents/Republicans, so there's no logical reason to do so.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
January 20 2016 23:22 GMT
#55386
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


she's bound to the administration anyway so there's not much effectiveness for any sort of distancing. she'll have to put up some concrete results that she has gotten and run on a profile of competent governance.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 20 2016 23:29 GMT
#55387
On January 21 2016 08:22 oneofthem wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


she's bound to the administration anyway so there's not much effectiveness for any sort of distancing. she'll have to put up some concrete results that she has gotten and run on a profile of competent governance.

And if the economy shits itself this year?
Evotroid
Profile Joined October 2011
Hungary176 Posts
January 21 2016 00:08 GMT
#55388
On January 21 2016 08:29 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 08:22 oneofthem wrote:
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


she's bound to the administration anyway so there's not much effectiveness for any sort of distancing. she'll have to put up some concrete results that she has gotten and run on a profile of competent governance.

And if the economy shits itself this year?


Hopefully by then they have seen enough of the republican clown show to remember that Obama may not have lived up to their hopes, but there is still waaaay lower.

I sincerely share your belief that Hillary is completely untrustworthy career politician who knows how corrupt, and that if god forbid Bernie won, he couldn't achieve anything due to congress, etc.

But. Please tell me, what do you hope, which republican wins, and in exactly what way will it be better, or even just simply not worse than the probably not much Hillary would do?

All I see (obviously through my european bias but that is why I ask here) is repugnant, toxic social ideas (anti-planned parenthood, no sex ed,no gay marriage, etc) and views (like on climate change) that can only be explained by being completely stupid or downright evil-corrupt ... A complete disregard for any kind of social problem not directly affecting the white male population, and not in a way of bad solutions, but just pretending that there is nothing wrong like they would know it.
Foreign policy? Even if I concede that Obama was even worse than Bush (a feat at that) it's not like they give any answers other than more saber rattling and bombing. (how good was it last time, right?)
And finally, not one of them seems an ounce less corrupt than Hillary, they have big donors just like her, and in most "evil corporation vs general populace" they are on the corporate side, be it environment, taxation whatever. And they throw around "facts" like every gop event was a lying contest.
/end semi rant/

I promise, I wont argue your hopes or anything, what do I know, I don't live there, I am just flabbergasted and curious.
I got nothing.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
January 21 2016 00:10 GMT
#55389
On January 21 2016 08:29 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 08:22 oneofthem wrote:
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


she's bound to the administration anyway so there's not much effectiveness for any sort of distancing. she'll have to put up some concrete results that she has gotten and run on a profile of competent governance.

And if the economy shits itself this year?

It won't be Obama's fault by any metric.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-21 00:38:46
January 21 2016 00:16 GMT
#55390
On January 21 2016 08:29 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 08:22 oneofthem wrote:
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


she's bound to the administration anyway so there's not much effectiveness for any sort of distancing. she'll have to put up some concrete results that she has gotten and run on a profile of competent governance.

And if the economy shits itself this year?

then she will just be sanders 2.0 and eat the rich etc.

this china + oil thing may produce some drastic stock market slopes but it is not something the u.s. economy can't recover from. exposure to the chinese debt situation in the states is relatively low, and really lower commodity helps the u.s. the relative security of the u.s. economy and political situation may yet lead to more optimistic future growth prospects.

now, it would be a good opportunity to open the fiscal spigots and do the necessary investments in education and infrastructure.

i still see the inexorable drive towards more concentration and pyramidal distribution both in corporate organization and in society as the ultimate problem for the u.s. it may yet require a revolution sort of change, but i don't see sanders and his group as the right ones leading this thing. say what you will about hillary but her group of advisers is superior to sanders by far.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
January 21 2016 00:27 GMT
#55391
On January 21 2016 07:55 cLutZ wrote:
^^You are so positive about everything in politics Plansix. First you think politicians don't change positions for purely Machiavellian purposes, now you have faith in the intelligence and political engagement of "general election voters". I am just delighted by this. Like Phil Simms after a Peyton Manning touchdown.

I am generally not a cynic about people when it comes to general elections. Specifically when it comes to the pandering that and issue flopping that a lot of candidates do. Just like the "Blame Bush for everything" didn't work for democrats for longer than one election, the GOP already cashed in their "blame Obama for everything" chip and they got the house. And like the demarcates after 2008, the GOP flushed their chances down the toilet with infighting and hopeless causes. The only difference is the democrats at least passed the ACA, but now without a bunch of internal drama.

This election reminds me of Romney and the GOP's "plan" then. If you could call it a "plan".
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-21 02:02:34
January 21 2016 01:56 GMT
#55392
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


I hope so.

Economy could be in trouble from oil shocks due to shale oil debt default. Bunch of midwest banks probably gonna fold up soon. Unemployment out there has spiked. Depressed Chinese economy only reduces demand for more oil.

HOW ABOUT SHALE OIL THOUGH?
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8725 Posts
January 21 2016 03:04 GMT
#55393
On January 21 2016 08:29 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 08:22 oneofthem wrote:
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


she's bound to the administration anyway so there's not much effectiveness for any sort of distancing. she'll have to put up some concrete results that she has gotten and run on a profile of competent governance.

And if the economy shits itself this year?


that's a big if.
there are some indicators that are disconcerting, sure. although stock markets have been highly inflated by cheap money and would have to come down sooner or later anyway. I feel like it's once again people are surprised that when you throw a ball into the air, it will inevitably come down.

cheap oil is pretty good for the whole economy but for some big players with _very_ loud voices.
well, and china won't go belly up because they got a pretty big war chest to keep themselves floating way past the election in any case.

I don't see it happening, something extreme and extraordinary would have to happen imho.
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
January 21 2016 03:19 GMT
#55394
Has anyone read this article by David Frum on the state of the Republican party? Any comments?

Source
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
Doraemon
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
Australia14949 Posts
January 21 2016 03:28 GMT
#55395
http://www.theage.com.au/world/sarah-palin-blames-sons-domestic-violence-on-obamas-leadership-20160120-gmalti.html

everything really is obama's fault
Do yourself a favour and just STFU
Jibba
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States22883 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-21 03:37:59
January 21 2016 03:36 GMT
#55396
On January 21 2016 09:08 Evotroid wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 08:29 xDaunt wrote:
On January 21 2016 08:22 oneofthem wrote:
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


she's bound to the administration anyway so there's not much effectiveness for any sort of distancing. she'll have to put up some concrete results that she has gotten and run on a profile of competent governance.

And if the economy shits itself this year?


Hopefully by then they have seen enough of the republican clown show to remember that Obama may not have lived up to their hopes, but there is still waaaay lower.

I sincerely share your belief that Hillary is completely untrustworthy career politician who knows how corrupt, and that if god forbid Bernie won, he couldn't achieve anything due to congress, etc.

But. Please tell me, what do you hope, which republican wins, and in exactly what way will it be better, or even just simply not worse than the probably not much Hillary would do?

All I see (obviously through my european bias but that is why I ask here) is repugnant, toxic social ideas (anti-planned parenthood, no sex ed,no gay marriage, etc) and views (like on climate change) that can only be explained by being completely stupid or downright evil-corrupt ... A complete disregard for any kind of social problem not directly affecting the white male population, and not in a way of bad solutions, but just pretending that there is nothing wrong like they would know it.
Foreign policy? Even if I concede that Obama was even worse than Bush (a feat at that) it's not like they give any answers other than more saber rattling and bombing. (how good was it last time, right?)
And finally, not one of them seems an ounce less corrupt than Hillary, they have big donors just like her, and in most "evil corporation vs general populace" they are on the corporate side, be it environment, taxation whatever. And they throw around "facts" like every gop event was a lying contest.
/end semi rant/

I promise, I wont argue your hopes or anything, what do I know, I don't live there, I am just flabbergasted and curious.

I agree with this completely. I don't trust Hilary and my positions align more closely with Bernie, but he's just not very good at politics. I'll take the venal, opportunist who's effective over the ineffective idealist.

So far his policy outlines have not been good.
ModeratorNow I'm distant, dark in this anthrobeat
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
January 21 2016 04:09 GMT
#55397
On January 21 2016 12:28 Doraemon wrote:
http://www.theage.com.au/world/sarah-palin-blames-sons-domestic-violence-on-obamas-leadership-20160120-gmalti.html

everything really is obama's fault

This clown give other vets a bad name. Blaming your short comings on the war/PTSD when others seem to be able to handle it is some weak shit.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8725 Posts
January 21 2016 04:13 GMT
#55398
On January 21 2016 13:09 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 12:28 Doraemon wrote:
http://www.theage.com.au/world/sarah-palin-blames-sons-domestic-violence-on-obamas-leadership-20160120-gmalti.html

everything really is obama's fault

This clown give other vets a bad name. Blaming your short comings on the war/PTSD when others seem to be able to handle it is some weak shit.


personal responsibility in full force, right there.
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
January 21 2016 04:24 GMT
#55399
On January 21 2016 13:13 Doublemint wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 13:09 Plansix wrote:
On January 21 2016 12:28 Doraemon wrote:
http://www.theage.com.au/world/sarah-palin-blames-sons-domestic-violence-on-obamas-leadership-20160120-gmalti.html

everything really is obama's fault

This clown give other vets a bad name. Blaming your short comings on the war/PTSD when others seem to be able to handle it is some weak shit.


personal responsibility in full force, right there.

My brother served in two tours. He got shot at, ambushed during a convoy and his lead driver had a suicide bomber blow up under the lead vehicle after being run over. He doesn't drive cities unless he is 100% forced to. He wouldn't be caught dead blaming anyone but himself. The Palins are just weak shit.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-21 04:59:09
January 21 2016 04:41 GMT
#55400
On January 21 2016 12:36 Jibba wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 09:08 Evotroid wrote:
On January 21 2016 08:29 xDaunt wrote:
On January 21 2016 08:22 oneofthem wrote:
On January 21 2016 07:44 xDaunt wrote:
Does anyone else think that Hillary may be making a fatal tactical error by fully embracing Obama's presidency?


she's bound to the administration anyway so there's not much effectiveness for any sort of distancing. she'll have to put up some concrete results that she has gotten and run on a profile of competent governance.

And if the economy shits itself this year?


Hopefully by then they have seen enough of the republican clown show to remember that Obama may not have lived up to their hopes, but there is still waaaay lower.

I sincerely share your belief that Hillary is completely untrustworthy career politician who knows how corrupt, and that if god forbid Bernie won, he couldn't achieve anything due to congress, etc.

But. Please tell me, what do you hope, which republican wins, and in exactly what way will it be better, or even just simply not worse than the probably not much Hillary would do?

All I see (obviously through my european bias but that is why I ask here) is repugnant, toxic social ideas (anti-planned parenthood, no sex ed,no gay marriage, etc) and views (like on climate change) that can only be explained by being completely stupid or downright evil-corrupt ... A complete disregard for any kind of social problem not directly affecting the white male population, and not in a way of bad solutions, but just pretending that there is nothing wrong like they would know it.
Foreign policy? Even if I concede that Obama was even worse than Bush (a feat at that) it's not like they give any answers other than more saber rattling and bombing. (how good was it last time, right?)
And finally, not one of them seems an ounce less corrupt than Hillary, they have big donors just like her, and in most "evil corporation vs general populace" they are on the corporate side, be it environment, taxation whatever. And they throw around "facts" like every gop event was a lying contest.
/end semi rant/

I promise, I wont argue your hopes or anything, what do I know, I don't live there, I am just flabbergasted and curious.

I agree with this completely. I don't trust Hilary and my positions align more closely with Bernie, but he's just not very good at politics. I'll take the venal, opportunist who's effective over the ineffective idealist.

So far his policy outlines have not been good.


What do you mean not very good at politics? Do you mean you don't like his policy outlines?



http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/01/bernie-sanders-reparations/424602/

Ta-Nehisi Coates wants Bernie Sanders to consider reparations. I don't get it.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
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