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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2769

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44170 Posts
January 20 2016 18:49 GMT
#55361
Scrapping the inheritance tax because "American Dream" too. Trump's tax plan is a recipe for the creation of an aristocracy in the United States. He plans to gut the props that social mobility is built upon and amplify the runaway wealth gap by strengthening the inter-generational element and significantly lowering the taxes on the rich (which make up the majority of all taxes due to the huge disparity between rich and poor).


I don't think it's ideal that taxes are so much higher on the rich than on the middle class but that's a reflection of an underlying problem, the money has to come from somewhere and the rich aren't just richer, they're hugely disproportionately richer. Adjusting the taxes without reflecting that American society today is profoundly uneven is the move of an idiot or someone committed to the creation of an American aristocracy.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44170 Posts
January 20 2016 18:51 GMT
#55362
On January 21 2016 03:43 cLutZ wrote:
How is it possible to reduce the tax burden of the poorest 25% of Americans? Most of them already either are not paying federal income tax or are receiving refundable tax credits through the EITC.

Which is the heart of his proposal. He's going to cut taxes for everyone. This will involve giving a new 0% rate to people who already didn't owe taxes or actually received credits and use that tax cut on the poor to take away the taxes that pay for their subsidized daycare, social services and so forth.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
snow2.0
Profile Joined September 2010
Germany2073 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-20 18:58:16
January 20 2016 18:52 GMT
#55363
On January 21 2016 03:41 xDaunt wrote:
I honestly don't see why this is so hard to see. Trump has purposefully said next to nothing regarding most of his policies. He's riding his immigration position and anti-establishment "fuck you" rhetoric to the republican nomination because that's all he has to do. He's virtually a blank slate position-wise. However, even a cursory look into his past reveals that he dude is about as centrist as you can get overall.

Fuck, if nothing else, I'd like to think that I'd have proven my conservative bonafides around here over the years. Take it from an expert on the subject: Trump is not a conservative.

Theoretical comparison to current tax rates. His plan is absolute simplification, cutting any loopholes that are currently used, thus increasing what they actually pay while decreasing the nominal rate.
Whatever becomes of "closing loopholes", it definitely has potential to get rid of a whole lot of ridiculous and likely overpaid bureaucracy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
January 20 2016 18:55 GMT
#55364
On January 21 2016 03:52 snow2.0 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 03:41 xDaunt wrote:
I honestly don't see why this is so hard to see. Trump has purposefully said next to nothing regarding most of his policies. He's riding his immigration position and anti-establishment "fuck you" rhetoric to the republican nomination because that's all he has to do. He's virtually a blank slate position-wise. However, even a cursory look into his past reveals that he dude is about as centrist as you can get overall.

Fuck, if nothing else, I'd like to think that I'd have proven my conservative bonafides around here over the years. Take it from an expert on the subject: Trump is not a conservative.

Theoretical comparison to current tax rates. His plan is absolute simplification, cutting any loopholes that are currently used, thus increasing what they actually pay while decreasing the nominal rate.
Whatever becomes of "closing loopholes", it definitely has potential to get rid of a whole lot of ridiculous and likely overpaid bureaucracy.

Closing loopholes is about closing exceptions in the tax code. I don't know how it would lessen bureaucracy. They are not to lay off IRS workers because some loop holes are closed.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
January 20 2016 19:04 GMT
#55365
On January 21 2016 02:16 KwarK wrote:
Economy contracting a lot these last few weeks which looks bad for Obama. He had 7 years of uninterrupted economic growth with the SP500 tripling from the Bush low (a colossal increase for which he was largely not responsible for). It's dropped 300 points now, a little over 14%, and is showing no signs of stopping. While it's still way, way higher than it was when he took office people won't remember the good years, they'll remember (and vote) based on recent history.

People are overacting a bit on oil, but I'm not seeing anything good in the economy either. Globally, Europe is sluggish, China is fighting a collapse, and "oil producers" are bleeding out. US consumer spending has been slowing as well. About the only bright patch was hiring/wages/unemployment signalling that consumer spending might come back later this year, but we've been expecting that since late 2014 with no solid numbers validating the expectations. Then there was the Fed liftoff, and yet bond yields slumped.

It's going to be a "rough" year for the broader economy most likely, but I don't think it's going to turn drastically downward. Of all the things I mentioned, there isn't really a risk of serious contagion in other markets, no "cascading dominoes" as far as I can tell, just general weakness.
KlaCkoN
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
Sweden1661 Posts
January 20 2016 19:05 GMT
#55366
On January 21 2016 03:30 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 03:22 Gorsameth wrote:
On January 21 2016 03:14 xDaunt wrote:
On January 21 2016 03:11 Gorsameth wrote:
On January 21 2016 03:07 xDaunt wrote:
On January 21 2016 02:52 Gorsameth wrote:
On January 21 2016 02:23 Plansix wrote:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/

Nate Silver continues to be confused why the GOP seems to be resided to Cruz and Trump, despite no votes being cast. And points out trends that show Cruz might be just as bad a nominee as Trump. While reminding everyone again that head to head polls are worthless garbage.

Correction, people with no sense of the center/left don't see that Trump/Cruz is unelectable (aka the tea party and co)
The GOP very much sees it which is why they tried to sabotage Trump early on (to no avail) but at this stage the nomination is out of their control, all they can do is watch it happen.

Lumping Trump with Cruz as unelectable creatures from the right is emblematic of a gross misunderstanding of what Trump is. At his core, he's a centrist and a populist. This truth routinely gets lost amid his bombast and immigration stance. The political experts have grossly underestimated Trump because they both miss this truth and they still don't have a good measure of this cycle's electorate (but they may be starting to catch on due to Trump's perseverance and Hillary's floundering). Like I said last summer, Trump is playing to a different set of rules than what we're accustomed to.

And the left and most of the independents will laugh in his face if he becomes the Republican nomination. No he is not going to do what Romney failed to do and turn 180 degrees and be accepted for it.

He will always be that idiot that wants to build a wall and make Mexico pay for it.

What 180s do you think Trump needs to make?

Do you think he can win the independent vote on his current stance?

Edit: yeah so you do... ehm I'm going to have to go with a hell no he is not in the middle at all. The guy is as far right as Cruz is lol.


What exactly do you think his "far right" positions are? He only has one: immigration.


Yes and no. I agree that he policy wise is fairly "left" relative to most other republican candidates on issues like taxation and healthcare. At least going by his interviews early in the primary season.
The reason he is unelectable is not because he is extremely rightwing on policy, it's that pretty much the entire part of the country not voting in republican primaries absolutely hate his guts. I know many in this thread have ridiculed the idea that calling out Trump for his various racist (i assume some mexican immigrants arent rapists) and sexist (she was a bitch to me because she is was pmsing) comments would hurt him in any way, and then cited his poll numbers as evidence they are right. He is polling well among a group of people (republican primary voters) who don't give a shit about such things, among the rest of his country his unfavourability ratings are off the charts. And it's not like I am conjecturing this, the 538 article posted on the previous page supports the narrative that most of the people who would vote in the general absolutely, thoroughly, detests him.
"Voice or no voice the people can always be brought to the bidding of their leaders ... All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger."
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44170 Posts
January 20 2016 19:08 GMT
#55367
KlaCkoN, he's far, far right on taxation.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
January 20 2016 19:08 GMT
#55368
On January 21 2016 03:41 xDaunt wrote:
I honestly don't see why this is so hard to see. Trump has purposefully said next to nothing regarding most of his policies. He's riding his immigration position and anti-establishment "fuck you" rhetoric to the republican nomination because that's all he has to do. He's virtually a blank slate position-wise. However, even a cursory look into his past reveals that he dude is about as centrist as you can get overall.

Fuck, if nothing else, I'd like to think that I'd have proven my conservative bonafides around here over the years. Take it from an expert on the subject: Trump is not a conservative.


I have been trying to say this also (possibly under "Dota_Lust"). Trump has no "limited government" positions beyond tax cuts. He sells the idea of the power of the state, specifically a state wielding his awesome power, to fix the problems of the world. Trump consistently proposes big government answers to any problem presented in the news. He is more of a populist/nationalist than any kind of small government conservative.

//compare Trump to the Koch brother positions and the contrast is clear
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
January 20 2016 19:09 GMT
#55369
On the topic of Cruz:

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/21/us/politics/as-supreme-court-clerk-ted-cruz-made-death-penalty-his-cause.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news

Other clerks, however, had a less admiring view of his interest. In interviews with nearly two dozen of Mr. Cruz’s former colleagues on the court, many of the clerks working in the chambers of liberal justices, but also several from conservative chambers, depicted Mr. Cruz as “obsessed” with capital punishment. Some thought his recounting of the crimes — “dime store novel” was how one described his style — seemed more appropriate for a prosecutor persuading a jury than for a law clerk addressing the country’s nine foremost judges.

Melissa Hart, who clerked for one of the liberal justices, John Paul Stevens, said Mr. Cruz’s memos on death penalty appeals basically boiled down to “frivolous, meritless, deny,” and added that his writing approach “made a lot of people really angry.”


and

Clerks for liberal justices expressed the strongest distaste for Mr. Cruz’s death penalty memos, and sometimes made their antipathy known. Several clerks for conservative justices said that while they usually agreed with his conclusions, his writing needlessly provoked the death penalty opponents working at the court. Those clerks declined to be quoted criticizing Mr. Cruz, however, saying they did not want to anger someone who could become the next president.

I am always impressed at Cruz's ability to make everyone ever crosses his path hate him.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
January 20 2016 19:29 GMT
#55370
On January 21 2016 04:04 aksfjh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 02:16 KwarK wrote:
Economy contracting a lot these last few weeks which looks bad for Obama. He had 7 years of uninterrupted economic growth with the SP500 tripling from the Bush low (a colossal increase for which he was largely not responsible for). It's dropped 300 points now, a little over 14%, and is showing no signs of stopping. While it's still way, way higher than it was when he took office people won't remember the good years, they'll remember (and vote) based on recent history.

People are overacting a bit on oil, but I'm not seeing anything good in the economy either. Globally, Europe is sluggish, China is fighting a collapse, and "oil producers" are bleeding out. US consumer spending has been slowing as well. About the only bright patch was hiring/wages/unemployment signalling that consumer spending might come back later this year, but we've been expecting that since late 2014 with no solid numbers validating the expectations. Then there was the Fed liftoff, and yet bond yields slumped.

It's going to be a "rough" year for the broader economy most likely, but I don't think it's going to turn drastically downward. Of all the things I mentioned, there isn't really a risk of serious contagion in other markets, no "cascading dominoes" as far as I can tell, just general weakness.


I really wonder about the global deflationary environment. China's double digit growth really helped out the BRICs, but Brazil, Russia, and India are either in shambles or stagnating. The resource economies are in terrible shape due to the commodity crash. How long can USA remain an island of growth in a world of deflation?
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 20 2016 19:38 GMT
#55371
President Barack Obama vetoed on Tuesday legislation that would have nullified a federal rule designed to protect smaller streams, tributaries and wetlands from pollution.

In his veto message, Obama defended the rule. He said pollution from upstream sources ends up in the rivers, lakes and coastal waters near where most Americans live. He also said the rule would clarify the scope of the Clean Water Act and protect those resources.

"The rule, which is a product of extensive public involvement and years of work, is critical to our efforts to protect the nation's waters and keep them clean," Obama said.

“It’s pretty simple — all water is connected. Even kids understand that,” Clean Water Action, an environmental advocacy group, said on its website. “The health of our rivers, lakes and bays depend on the streams and wetlands that flow into them.”

Many farmers and businesses had countered that expanding the scope of waters subject to the act's jurisdiction was a power grab that would lead to greater permitting requirements for landowners and greater legal liability. They called on Congress to intervene.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24070 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-20 21:15:43
January 20 2016 20:52 GMT
#55372
At his (Trump's) core, he's a centrist and a populist.


This is the beginning of the "Oh if we only nominated a conservative we could of won" as if conservatives haven't lost the nomination on their own. As if even though conservatives can't win in the Republican party, they would win a national election...

People don't like "conservative" candidates, it's not the packaging, it's the ideas themselves. Not sure how many Republican nominations conservatives have to lose before they admit not even Republicans want to vote for a conservative, so there's 0 chance of a conservative winning a national election.

As confident as people seem that Trump won't win (the Republican nomination) , I find it odd no one has even considered taking the field against Trump in a sig/ban bet.

Starting to think it's mostly "hoping" Trump doesn't win the nomination as opposed to actually believing he wont.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-20 21:00:57
January 20 2016 20:54 GMT
#55373
On January 21 2016 04:38 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
President Barack Obama vetoed on Tuesday legislation that would have nullified a federal rule designed to protect smaller streams, tributaries and wetlands from pollution.

In his veto message, Obama defended the rule. He said pollution from upstream sources ends up in the rivers, lakes and coastal waters near where most Americans live. He also said the rule would clarify the scope of the Clean Water Act and protect those resources.

"The rule, which is a product of extensive public involvement and years of work, is critical to our efforts to protect the nation's waters and keep them clean," Obama said.

“It’s pretty simple — all water is connected. Even kids understand that,” Clean Water Action, an environmental advocacy group, said on its website. “The health of our rivers, lakes and bays depend on the streams and wetlands that flow into them.”

Many farmers and businesses had countered that expanding the scope of waters subject to the act's jurisdiction was a power grab that would lead to greater permitting requirements for landowners and greater legal liability. They called on Congress to intervene.


Source


Not like there are any current issues with water quality and water safety (Flint Michigan). Elections have consequences. If we had a Republican president right now this would have passed and our waters would be just that much more corrupted. All of you complaining about how Democrats aren't quite the heroes you read about in myth need to remember that the Republicans really will do all the bad things they run on.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-20 22:03:56
January 20 2016 21:06 GMT
#55374
On January 21 2016 03:41 xDaunt wrote:
I honestly don't see why this is so hard to see. Trump has purposefully said next to nothing regarding most of his policies. He's riding his immigration position and anti-establishment "fuck you" rhetoric to the republican nomination because that's all he has to do. He's virtually a blank slate position-wise. However, even a cursory look into his past reveals that he dude is about as centrist as you can get overall.

Fuck, if nothing else, I'd like to think that I'd have proven my conservative bonafides around here over the years. Take it from an expert on the subject: Trump is not a conservative.

I'm not sure where you've seen people argue that Trump was sincerely very conservative from the start. The point is that the positions and rhetoric that he's put forward in the course of this primary are very much to the far-right, to the point where his unfavorability ratings among the general electorate are extremely high. He would have absolutely no chance of winning the general election against Clinton, and I'm loving the fact that some conservatives in this thread think he would. You're in for another cold shower after Romney.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
January 20 2016 21:08 GMT
#55375
the trump tax plan has some decent stuff in it too. trade a lower corporate tax rate for closing loopholes. i am ambivalent about the ideal way to approach corporate taxation, on one hand the high rate itself is both unfair, some do not pay the rate at all, and also a real burden against roosted corporations. on the other hand, as monopoly power increases, corporations are able to earn higher premium, and this money absolutely should be taxed, and then fund programs that raise the productive capacity of the population at large.

his plan about individual taxation is extremely cynical and buys off middle class voters for oversized benefits to the wealthy.

We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-20 21:41:03
January 20 2016 21:40 GMT
#55376
On January 21 2016 05:52 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
At his (Trump's) core, he's a centrist and a populist.


This is the beginning of the "Oh if we only nominated a conservative we could of won" as if conservatives haven't lost the nomination on their own. As if even though conservatives can't win in the Republican party, they would win a national election...

People don't like "conservative" candidates, it's not the packaging, it's the ideas themselves. Not sure how many Republican nominations conservatives have to lose before they admit not even Republicans want to vote for a conservative, so there's 0 chance of a conservative winning a national election.

As confident as people seem that Trump won't win (the Republican nomination) , I find it odd no one has even considered taking the field against Trump in a sig/ban bet.

Starting to think it's mostly "hoping" Trump doesn't win the nomination as opposed to actually believing he wont.


People campaigning as true conservatives are 2 for 3 in Presidential elections since WWII ended...4 for 5 if you include GWB, which I wouldn't. Not that moderate candidates like Eisenhower, Nixon, GHWB, etc can't win. But moderates also lose: Nixon, GHWB, Ford, Dole, McCain, Romney, Dewey.

Not that Trump won't lose, or Cruz might not also win. But Conservative ideas are just as, or more successful in general elections when correctly articulated as moderate positions like "I want Obamacare, but less" or "the tax reform we just did with Clinton, but better!". The reason, for the mantra as you put it, "Oh if we only nominated a conservative we could of won" is not that those candidates would bring in more voters in with their ideas, but that they actually know how to criticize the ideas of the Left, or at the very least understand they can't let the character assassinations they will face go unchallenged, ala "Romney the dog abuser who once was a bully in high school".
Freeeeeeedom
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24070 Posts
January 20 2016 21:49 GMT
#55377
On January 21 2016 06:40 cLutZ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 05:52 GreenHorizons wrote:
At his (Trump's) core, he's a centrist and a populist.


This is the beginning of the "Oh if we only nominated a conservative we could of won" as if conservatives haven't lost the nomination on their own. As if even though conservatives can't win in the Republican party, they would win a national election...

People don't like "conservative" candidates, it's not the packaging, it's the ideas themselves. Not sure how many Republican nominations conservatives have to lose before they admit not even Republicans want to vote for a conservative, so there's 0 chance of a conservative winning a national election.

As confident as people seem that Trump won't win (the Republican nomination) , I find it odd no one has even considered taking the field against Trump in a sig/ban bet.

Starting to think it's mostly "hoping" Trump doesn't win the nomination as opposed to actually believing he wont.


People campaigning as true conservatives are 2 for 3 in Presidential elections since WWII ended...4 for 5 if you include GWB, which I wouldn't. Not that moderate candidates like Eisenhower, Nixon, GHWB, etc can't win. But moderates also lose: Nixon, GHWB, Ford, Dole, McCain, Romney, Dewey.

Not that Trump won't lose, or Cruz might not also win. But Conservative ideas are just as, or more successful in general elections when correctly articulated as moderate positions like "I want Obamacare, but less" or "the tax reform we just did with Clinton, but better!". The reason, for the mantra as you put it, "Oh if we only nominated a conservative we could of won" is not that those candidates would bring in more voters in with their ideas, but that they actually know how to criticize the ideas of the Left, or at the very least understand they can't let the character assassinations they will face go unchallenged, ala "Romney the dog abuser who once was a bully in high school".


So true conservatives actually have moderate positions? But moderates don't have conservative ideas? Is that what you're saying?

Is there a "conservative" that says "I want Obamacare..." in any form? Or are you just being sarcastic and I'm missing it?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Leporello
Profile Joined January 2011
United States2845 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-20 21:58:39
January 20 2016 21:50 GMT
#55378
That takes gall to say Trump's economic policies "aren't really conservative". That is some WMD-level BS.

Of course they're conservative. Blatant handout-riches-to-the-rich conservative.

Barack Obama's economic policies are conservative, whether you compare it to modern Europe or historical America. Every President since Ronald Reagan has essentially been using the Reagan tax plan, with SMALL variations that Republicans love to make a BIG deal about. And the result isn't so much "trickle-down effect" as it is an absolute oligarchy where people can work full-time jobs and still require government assistance to survive.

And Trump is more conservative than Barack Obama. So, yes, he is conservative. As Mitt Romney might say, he is "severely" conservative.
Big water
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
January 20 2016 21:59 GMT
#55379
On January 21 2016 06:49 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 06:40 cLutZ wrote:
On January 21 2016 05:52 GreenHorizons wrote:
At his (Trump's) core, he's a centrist and a populist.


This is the beginning of the "Oh if we only nominated a conservative we could of won" as if conservatives haven't lost the nomination on their own. As if even though conservatives can't win in the Republican party, they would win a national election...

People don't like "conservative" candidates, it's not the packaging, it's the ideas themselves. Not sure how many Republican nominations conservatives have to lose before they admit not even Republicans want to vote for a conservative, so there's 0 chance of a conservative winning a national election.

As confident as people seem that Trump won't win (the Republican nomination) , I find it odd no one has even considered taking the field against Trump in a sig/ban bet.

Starting to think it's mostly "hoping" Trump doesn't win the nomination as opposed to actually believing he wont.


People campaigning as true conservatives are 2 for 3 in Presidential elections since WWII ended...4 for 5 if you include GWB, which I wouldn't. Not that moderate candidates like Eisenhower, Nixon, GHWB, etc can't win. But moderates also lose: Nixon, GHWB, Ford, Dole, McCain, Romney, Dewey.

Not that Trump won't lose, or Cruz might not also win. But Conservative ideas are just as, or more successful in general elections when correctly articulated as moderate positions like "I want Obamacare, but less" or "the tax reform we just did with Clinton, but better!". The reason, for the mantra as you put it, "Oh if we only nominated a conservative we could of won" is not that those candidates would bring in more voters in with their ideas, but that they actually know how to criticize the ideas of the Left, or at the very least understand they can't let the character assassinations they will face go unchallenged, ala "Romney the dog abuser who once was a bully in high school".


So true conservatives actually have moderate positions? But moderates don't have conservative ideas? Is that what you're saying?

Is there a "conservative" that says "I want Obamacare..." in any form? Or are you just being sarcastic and I'm missing it?

I think the term we use is “No True Scotsman”.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
January 20 2016 22:17 GMT
#55380
On January 21 2016 06:49 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2016 06:40 cLutZ wrote:
On January 21 2016 05:52 GreenHorizons wrote:
At his (Trump's) core, he's a centrist and a populist.


This is the beginning of the "Oh if we only nominated a conservative we could of won" as if conservatives haven't lost the nomination on their own. As if even though conservatives can't win in the Republican party, they would win a national election...

People don't like "conservative" candidates, it's not the packaging, it's the ideas themselves. Not sure how many Republican nominations conservatives have to lose before they admit not even Republicans want to vote for a conservative, so there's 0 chance of a conservative winning a national election.

As confident as people seem that Trump won't win (the Republican nomination) , I find it odd no one has even considered taking the field against Trump in a sig/ban bet.

Starting to think it's mostly "hoping" Trump doesn't win the nomination as opposed to actually believing he wont.


People campaigning as true conservatives are 2 for 3 in Presidential elections since WWII ended...4 for 5 if you include GWB, which I wouldn't. Not that moderate candidates like Eisenhower, Nixon, GHWB, etc can't win. But moderates also lose: Nixon, GHWB, Ford, Dole, McCain, Romney, Dewey.

Not that Trump won't lose, or Cruz might not also win. But Conservative ideas are just as, or more successful in general elections when correctly articulated as moderate positions like "I want Obamacare, but less" or "the tax reform we just did with Clinton, but better!". The reason, for the mantra as you put it, "Oh if we only nominated a conservative we could of won" is not that those candidates would bring in more voters in with their ideas, but that they actually know how to criticize the ideas of the Left, or at the very least understand they can't let the character assassinations they will face go unchallenged, ala "Romney the dog abuser who once was a bully in high school".


So true conservatives actually have moderate positions? But moderates don't have conservative ideas? Is that what you're saying?

Is there a "conservative" that says "I want Obamacare..." in any form? Or are you just being sarcastic and I'm missing it?


^Those were the positions of Romney and Dole respectively. Not the "conservative" candidates. Those were the "moderate positions" and how they were articulated.
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