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On September 05 2015 10:49 Eskendereya wrote:Show nested quote +On September 05 2015 10:32 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:It's all pretty much within the margin of error though, not to mention the fact that there's still a lot of time before the elections. And do you actually want Trump to win the presidency? True, and if you've been following from the start, Trump was well behind when he first started out and now he's ahead and his support is only growing. It's his election to lose at this point. The only good alternative to Trump is Carson who I'm hoping will be Trump's VP when Trump wins. Ted Cruz is my 3rd choice. The Democrats have no one good for the country running and I can't remember the last time they did though neither have the establishment Republicans.
Out of curiosity, would you mind stating the #1 reason why you like Trump, the #1 reason why you like Carson, and the #1 reason why you like Cruz? It could be your favorite quality about them, your favorite position of theirs that you support, etc. I'd like some perspective. Thanks
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On September 05 2015 14:48 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:Show nested quote +On September 05 2015 10:49 Eskendereya wrote:On September 05 2015 10:32 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:It's all pretty much within the margin of error though, not to mention the fact that there's still a lot of time before the elections. And do you actually want Trump to win the presidency? True, and if you've been following from the start, Trump was well behind when he first started out and now he's ahead and his support is only growing. It's his election to lose at this point. The only good alternative to Trump is Carson who I'm hoping will be Trump's VP when Trump wins. Ted Cruz is my 3rd choice. The Democrats have no one good for the country running and I can't remember the last time they did though neither have the establishment Republicans. Out of curiosity, would you mind stating the #1 reason why you like Trump, the #1 reason why you like Carson, and the #1 reason why you like Cruz? It could be your favorite quality about them, your favorite position of theirs that you support, etc. I'd like some perspective. Thanks I'm not him, but I am a registered Republican and those are actually my top-3 picks (though not in that order) so I think I can illuminate somewhat on that question:
Trump: What you see is what you get. Trump is concerned primarily for himself, and he doesn't bullshit much about that. He makes no bones with the fact that he's advanced himself at the cost of others, and that is somewhat refreshing. Let's be honest, every single politician has advanced himself at the expense of others (by definition, since their salary is paid by tax-payers). Where they are all reading from cue-cards and being told what to say or not say by the media and their consultants, Trump doesn't care. He will say what he wants to say and he will double down on it when the media tries to bully him into giving some fake apology.
In all honesty, I think he'd be a mediocre President who is not very conservative at all. I still think he would be infinitely better than anything the Democrats or anyone else is proposing. At least he wants to win.
Carson: He is brilliant, thoughtful, gifted, and has a mindbogglingly amazing back-story. Born to an illiterate black mother in the inner-city, rising up to become the most respected brain-surgeon in the world. Elect-ability is huge here too. He polls extremely well with women and Evangelicals, and polls very decently with everyone else. Attacking the guy is more likely to result in the attacker being shamed than in anything actually hurting Carson. What other candidate can say that they have personally saved the lives of hundreds of children? What other candidate can claim that kind of non-political success? Trump is wealthy, sure, but he inherited from his father. Fiorina is wealthy, but she is nowhere near as accomplished as Carson is.
Basically, Carson is by far the most intelligent person to run in a VERY long time, and he is not bombastic or arrogant, he is simply humble. He is soft-spoken, yes, and that can hurt a candidate in the long run, but I find it endearing. I truly believe he could help begin the process of healing and regeneration in America from the wounds we've sustained over the past 25 years.
Cruz: Forget Trump, forget Sanders, forget Ron Paul... there is simply no person more despised by the Establishment on both parties than Ted Cruz. Democrats hate him and Republicans hate him even more. No one in the academic/media elite wants this guy anywhere near the Presidency and neither do the establishments on either party. He is willing to slam his own party, and he is willing to attack the other party, and damn what the media says about him or his beliefs. That is something missing in most politicians these days, the willingness to take a stand and rise or fall on that stand. Most politicians just read right from the script provided to them by the media. You can't say this, but you can say that. You can say that, but you have to apologize afterward, and bonus points if the apology is obviously forced. You can believe in conservatism, but you have to speak the liberal language. Otherwise MSNBC and CNN will be mad at you. Every politician in the country seems to care more about the "ramifications" of their statements than they are about actually communicating anything.
The only problem with Cruz is ironically his biggest strength: he rubs people the wrong way. He is not afraid to speak his mind and so he turns people off, because he doesn't care about pandering to their sensibilities. His electability is lower than most candidates.
Personally, I would rank them as: Carson, Cruz, Trump, with Trump pretty far behind the other ones. Then again, I think Hillary is a horribly weak candidate who will almost certainly lose against whoever she runs against, so I'm not really taking electability into account here. Otherwise my list would look very different. If I thought this would be a tough election, I'd probably be looking more at Rubio, Walker, Fiorina, and maybe Kasich (blech).
Since it seems like a done deal, I'll do what every other Republican is doing and pick my personal favorite flavor, and I like me some dark chocolate. Carson 2016!
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On September 05 2015 14:48 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:Show nested quote +On September 05 2015 10:49 Eskendereya wrote:On September 05 2015 10:32 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:It's all pretty much within the margin of error though, not to mention the fact that there's still a lot of time before the elections. And do you actually want Trump to win the presidency? True, and if you've been following from the start, Trump was well behind when he first started out and now he's ahead and his support is only growing. It's his election to lose at this point. The only good alternative to Trump is Carson who I'm hoping will be Trump's VP when Trump wins. Ted Cruz is my 3rd choice. The Democrats have no one good for the country running and I can't remember the last time they did though neither have the establishment Republicans. Out of curiosity, would you mind stating the #1 reason why you like Trump, the #1 reason why you like Carson, and the #1 reason why you like Cruz? It could be your favorite quality about them, your favorite position of theirs that you support, etc. I'd like some perspective. Thanks
Trump: he's not an establishment politician nor is he a career politician. In other words, he isn't a sellout like most of the politicians in Washington, which is why nothing positive for the country gets done anymore.
Carson: love his story: he was raised dirt poor by a single mother and took the initiative in his own life to become world renowned brain surgeon, he's the kind of candidate I would trust with my life.
Cruz: he's a republican who isn't afraid to stand on conservative principles, he fights for what he believes in. I find him to be among the most trustworthy candidates.
There are many reasons for each of the 3 candidates, but you asked for the main reason so there you go.
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On September 05 2015 17:08 Cowboy64 wrote:Show nested quote +On September 05 2015 14:48 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:On September 05 2015 10:49 Eskendereya wrote:On September 05 2015 10:32 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:It's all pretty much within the margin of error though, not to mention the fact that there's still a lot of time before the elections. And do you actually want Trump to win the presidency? True, and if you've been following from the start, Trump was well behind when he first started out and now he's ahead and his support is only growing. It's his election to lose at this point. The only good alternative to Trump is Carson who I'm hoping will be Trump's VP when Trump wins. Ted Cruz is my 3rd choice. The Democrats have no one good for the country running and I can't remember the last time they did though neither have the establishment Republicans. Out of curiosity, would you mind stating the #1 reason why you like Trump, the #1 reason why you like Carson, and the #1 reason why you like Cruz? It could be your favorite quality about them, your favorite position of theirs that you support, etc. I'd like some perspective. Thanks I'm not him, but I am a registered Republican and those are actually my top-3 picks (though not in that order) so I think I can illuminate somewhat on that question: Trump: What you see is what you get. Trump is concerned primarily for himself, and he doesn't bullshit much about that. He makes no bones with the fact that he's advanced himself at the cost of others, and that is somewhat refreshing. Let's be honest, every single politician has advanced himself at the expense of others (by definition, since their salary is paid by tax-payers). Where they are all reading from cue-cards and being told what to say or not say by the media and their consultants, Trump doesn't care. He will say what he wants to say and he will double down on it when the media tries to bully him into giving some fake apology. In all honesty, I think he'd be a mediocre President who is not very conservative at all. I still think he would be infinitely better than anything the Democrats or anyone else is proposing. At least he wants to win. Carson: He is brilliant, thoughtful, gifted, and has a mindbogglingly amazing back-story. Born to an illiterate black mother in the inner-city, rising up to become the most respected brain-surgeon in the world. Elect-ability is huge here too. He polls extremely well with women and Evangelicals, and polls very decently with everyone else. Attacking the guy is more likely to result in the attacker being shamed than in anything actually hurting Carson. What other candidate can say that they have personally saved the lives of hundreds of children? What other candidate can claim that kind of non-political success? Trump is wealthy, sure, but he inherited from his father. Fiorina is wealthy, but she is nowhere near as accomplished as Carson is. Basically, Carson is by far the most intelligent person to run in a VERY long time, and he is not bombastic or arrogant, he is simply humble. He is soft-spoken, yes, and that can hurt a candidate in the long run, but I find it endearing. I truly believe he could help begin the process of healing and regeneration in America from the wounds we've sustained over the past 25 years. Cruz: Forget Trump, forget Sanders, forget Ron Paul... there is simply no person more despised by the Establishment on both parties than Ted Cruz. Democrats hate him and Republicans hate him even more. No one in the academic/media elite wants this guy anywhere near the Presidency and neither do the establishments on either party. He is willing to slam his own party, and he is willing to attack the other party, and damn what the media says about him or his beliefs. That is something missing in most politicians these days, the willingness to take a stand and rise or fall on that stand. Most politicians just read right from the script provided to them by the media. You can't say this, but you can say that. You can say that, but you have to apologize afterward, and bonus points if the apology is obviously forced. You can believe in conservatism, but you have to speak the liberal language. Otherwise MSNBC and CNN will be mad at you. Every politician in the country seems to care more about the "ramifications" of their statements than they are about actually communicating anything. The only problem with Cruz is ironically his biggest strength: he rubs people the wrong way. He is not afraid to speak his mind and so he turns people off, because he doesn't care about pandering to their sensibilities. His electability is lower than most candidates. Personally, I would rank them as: Carson, Cruz, Trump, with Trump pretty far behind the other ones. Then again, I think Hillary is a horribly weak candidate who will almost certainly lose against whoever she runs against, so I'm not really taking electability into account here. Otherwise my list would look very different. If I thought this would be a tough election, I'd probably be looking more at Rubio, Walker, Fiorina, and maybe Kasich (blech). Since it seems like a done deal, I'll do what every other Republican is doing and pick my personal favorite flavor, and I like me some dark chocolate. Carson 2016!
Well said, but disagree about your order of picks. I think Trump is the guy to get this country back to work (jobs) and I think he would have the biggest impact on the economy which is what we really need. He's a great negotiator. I think Carson/Cruz would do just fine as VP. Just my opinion though. 
What's hilarious is that the 3 candidates the establishment Republicans and Democrats hate the most are Trump, Carson and Cruz who also seem to be on good terms with one another. In fact, it seems like they are their own little group vs the rest and the know it too.
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On September 05 2015 17:08 Cowboy64 wrote: Then again, I think Hillary is a horribly weak candidate who will almost certainly lose against whoever she runs against, so I'm not really taking electability into account here.
We should really talk about this a bit more. Is Hillary a soft candidate? I'm pretty surprised by this statement, frankly.
Sure, Hillary's showing a strange ineptitude in dodging the email server questions, which is in the same vein as Chris Christie unable to shake the bridge thing. Shaking off political bullshit like that is Presidential Politics 101. If she thinks this is bad, one has to shudder at what would happen if she had another Snowden. In retrospect, you have to admire Obama that Snowden was a political baneling bust in the making and he got through it all like MarineKing used to split marines. If he had taken it on the chin, things might have gotten REALLY ugly for him.
But she seems to be doing the right things politically. She's quietly gathering a large coalition of influential Democrats and party bosses on her side and building a warchest. I think something like half of Congressional Democrats have endorsed or are planning to endorse her already. None of the Republican candidates has anywhere near that kind of party support. Sanders has lots of populist support but virtually no national and party support, so he's ultimately getting into a car with no engine or wheels to win this race (i.e. it won't happen unless Hillary crashes herself out of it).
In the end, I'd put it this way: Hillary ain't Bill, but I disagree strongly that she's a "horribly weak candidate" and I think it's actually more likely that she'd beat most of the GOP candidates like a drum. Of course, this is assuming she eventually shakes the email server thing and doesn't find herself instead dogged with more scandals that weigh her down.
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On September 05 2015 17:13 Eskendereya wrote:Show nested quote +On September 05 2015 17:08 Cowboy64 wrote:On September 05 2015 14:48 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:On September 05 2015 10:49 Eskendereya wrote:On September 05 2015 10:32 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:It's all pretty much within the margin of error though, not to mention the fact that there's still a lot of time before the elections. And do you actually want Trump to win the presidency? True, and if you've been following from the start, Trump was well behind when he first started out and now he's ahead and his support is only growing. It's his election to lose at this point. The only good alternative to Trump is Carson who I'm hoping will be Trump's VP when Trump wins. Ted Cruz is my 3rd choice. The Democrats have no one good for the country running and I can't remember the last time they did though neither have the establishment Republicans. Out of curiosity, would you mind stating the #1 reason why you like Trump, the #1 reason why you like Carson, and the #1 reason why you like Cruz? It could be your favorite quality about them, your favorite position of theirs that you support, etc. I'd like some perspective. Thanks I'm not him, but I am a registered Republican and those are actually my top-3 picks (though not in that order) so I think I can illuminate somewhat on that question: Trump: What you see is what you get. Trump is concerned primarily for himself, and he doesn't bullshit much about that. He makes no bones with the fact that he's advanced himself at the cost of others, and that is somewhat refreshing. Let's be honest, every single politician has advanced himself at the expense of others (by definition, since their salary is paid by tax-payers). Where they are all reading from cue-cards and being told what to say or not say by the media and their consultants, Trump doesn't care. He will say what he wants to say and he will double down on it when the media tries to bully him into giving some fake apology. In all honesty, I think he'd be a mediocre President who is not very conservative at all. I still think he would be infinitely better than anything the Democrats or anyone else is proposing. At least he wants to win. Carson: He is brilliant, thoughtful, gifted, and has a mindbogglingly amazing back-story. Born to an illiterate black mother in the inner-city, rising up to become the most respected brain-surgeon in the world. Elect-ability is huge here too. He polls extremely well with women and Evangelicals, and polls very decently with everyone else. Attacking the guy is more likely to result in the attacker being shamed than in anything actually hurting Carson. What other candidate can say that they have personally saved the lives of hundreds of children? What other candidate can claim that kind of non-political success? Trump is wealthy, sure, but he inherited from his father. Fiorina is wealthy, but she is nowhere near as accomplished as Carson is. Basically, Carson is by far the most intelligent person to run in a VERY long time, and he is not bombastic or arrogant, he is simply humble. He is soft-spoken, yes, and that can hurt a candidate in the long run, but I find it endearing. I truly believe he could help begin the process of healing and regeneration in America from the wounds we've sustained over the past 25 years. Cruz: Forget Trump, forget Sanders, forget Ron Paul... there is simply no person more despised by the Establishment on both parties than Ted Cruz. Democrats hate him and Republicans hate him even more. No one in the academic/media elite wants this guy anywhere near the Presidency and neither do the establishments on either party. He is willing to slam his own party, and he is willing to attack the other party, and damn what the media says about him or his beliefs. That is something missing in most politicians these days, the willingness to take a stand and rise or fall on that stand. Most politicians just read right from the script provided to them by the media. You can't say this, but you can say that. You can say that, but you have to apologize afterward, and bonus points if the apology is obviously forced. You can believe in conservatism, but you have to speak the liberal language. Otherwise MSNBC and CNN will be mad at you. Every politician in the country seems to care more about the "ramifications" of their statements than they are about actually communicating anything. The only problem with Cruz is ironically his biggest strength: he rubs people the wrong way. He is not afraid to speak his mind and so he turns people off, because he doesn't care about pandering to their sensibilities. His electability is lower than most candidates. Personally, I would rank them as: Carson, Cruz, Trump, with Trump pretty far behind the other ones. Then again, I think Hillary is a horribly weak candidate who will almost certainly lose against whoever she runs against, so I'm not really taking electability into account here. Otherwise my list would look very different. If I thought this would be a tough election, I'd probably be looking more at Rubio, Walker, Fiorina, and maybe Kasich (blech). Since it seems like a done deal, I'll do what every other Republican is doing and pick my personal favorite flavor, and I like me some dark chocolate. Carson 2016! Well said, but disagree about your order of picks. I think Trump is the guy to get this country back to work (jobs) and I think he would have the biggest impact on the economy which is what we really need. He's a great negotiator. I think Carson/Cruz would do just fine as VP. Just my opinion though.  What's hilarious is that the 3 candidates the establishment Republicans and Democrats hate the most are Trump, Carson and Cruz who also seem to be on good terms with one another. In fact, it seems like they are their own little group vs the rest and the know it too. 
You realize this would likely be done at the expense of further increasing the income disparity, right? Trump isn't going to be focusing on individuals, he'll be focusing on businesses and the economy as a whole.
If you own a business I can see why you'd choose him, but any average worker who votes for him with the impression he'll be making their lives easier is delusional.
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People overestimate the effect the president has on the economy. Not necessarily delusional as simply mistaken; most people are wrong on lots of things, which is to be expected, people aren't trained/experienced in everything, and there's an awful lot of world out there to learn about.
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There's nothing quite like seeing someone trumpet the intelligence of a man who claims that prison rape proves that homosexuality is a choice. Birds of a feather flock together
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Thanks Cowboy and Esk. for the responses Definitely very insightful
Just to respond to one of those choices... Carson certainly has a very successful and interesting backstory, and he's definitely a great neurosurgeon. I'm having a little trouble understanding the jump from his successful profession to his potential success as a president though. I can't seem to justify how having niche medical knowledge would make him a great or successful president, especially when his scientific knowledge apparently doesn't extend out as far as psychologically understanding sexual orientation, biologically understanding evolution, nor medically understanding marijuana. And that's merely in the realm of related sciences, let alone other topics like his flat tax option for economics. So, while he's undoubtedly brilliant in his profession, he clearly lacks a lot of perspective with many other topics- both scientific and otherwise. It seems that his appeal comes more from his successful backstory and (mostly unrelated) profession, rather than the merit of his presidential ideas.
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On September 05 2015 17:13 Eskendereya wrote:Show nested quote +On September 05 2015 17:08 Cowboy64 wrote:On September 05 2015 14:48 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:On September 05 2015 10:49 Eskendereya wrote:On September 05 2015 10:32 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:It's all pretty much within the margin of error though, not to mention the fact that there's still a lot of time before the elections. And do you actually want Trump to win the presidency? True, and if you've been following from the start, Trump was well behind when he first started out and now he's ahead and his support is only growing. It's his election to lose at this point. The only good alternative to Trump is Carson who I'm hoping will be Trump's VP when Trump wins. Ted Cruz is my 3rd choice. The Democrats have no one good for the country running and I can't remember the last time they did though neither have the establishment Republicans. Out of curiosity, would you mind stating the #1 reason why you like Trump, the #1 reason why you like Carson, and the #1 reason why you like Cruz? It could be your favorite quality about them, your favorite position of theirs that you support, etc. I'd like some perspective. Thanks I'm not him, but I am a registered Republican and those are actually my top-3 picks (though not in that order) so I think I can illuminate somewhat on that question: Trump: What you see is what you get. Trump is concerned primarily for himself, and he doesn't bullshit much about that. He makes no bones with the fact that he's advanced himself at the cost of others, and that is somewhat refreshing. Let's be honest, every single politician has advanced himself at the expense of others (by definition, since their salary is paid by tax-payers). Where they are all reading from cue-cards and being told what to say or not say by the media and their consultants, Trump doesn't care. He will say what he wants to say and he will double down on it when the media tries to bully him into giving some fake apology. In all honesty, I think he'd be a mediocre President who is not very conservative at all. I still think he would be infinitely better than anything the Democrats or anyone else is proposing. At least he wants to win. Carson: He is brilliant, thoughtful, gifted, and has a mindbogglingly amazing back-story. Born to an illiterate black mother in the inner-city, rising up to become the most respected brain-surgeon in the world. Elect-ability is huge here too. He polls extremely well with women and Evangelicals, and polls very decently with everyone else. Attacking the guy is more likely to result in the attacker being shamed than in anything actually hurting Carson. What other candidate can say that they have personally saved the lives of hundreds of children? What other candidate can claim that kind of non-political success? Trump is wealthy, sure, but he inherited from his father. Fiorina is wealthy, but she is nowhere near as accomplished as Carson is. Basically, Carson is by far the most intelligent person to run in a VERY long time, and he is not bombastic or arrogant, he is simply humble. He is soft-spoken, yes, and that can hurt a candidate in the long run, but I find it endearing. I truly believe he could help begin the process of healing and regeneration in America from the wounds we've sustained over the past 25 years. Cruz: Forget Trump, forget Sanders, forget Ron Paul... there is simply no person more despised by the Establishment on both parties than Ted Cruz. Democrats hate him and Republicans hate him even more. No one in the academic/media elite wants this guy anywhere near the Presidency and neither do the establishments on either party. He is willing to slam his own party, and he is willing to attack the other party, and damn what the media says about him or his beliefs. That is something missing in most politicians these days, the willingness to take a stand and rise or fall on that stand. Most politicians just read right from the script provided to them by the media. You can't say this, but you can say that. You can say that, but you have to apologize afterward, and bonus points if the apology is obviously forced. You can believe in conservatism, but you have to speak the liberal language. Otherwise MSNBC and CNN will be mad at you. Every politician in the country seems to care more about the "ramifications" of their statements than they are about actually communicating anything. The only problem with Cruz is ironically his biggest strength: he rubs people the wrong way. He is not afraid to speak his mind and so he turns people off, because he doesn't care about pandering to their sensibilities. His electability is lower than most candidates. Personally, I would rank them as: Carson, Cruz, Trump, with Trump pretty far behind the other ones. Then again, I think Hillary is a horribly weak candidate who will almost certainly lose against whoever she runs against, so I'm not really taking electability into account here. Otherwise my list would look very different. If I thought this would be a tough election, I'd probably be looking more at Rubio, Walker, Fiorina, and maybe Kasich (blech). Since it seems like a done deal, I'll do what every other Republican is doing and pick my personal favorite flavor, and I like me some dark chocolate. Carson 2016! Well said, but disagree about your order of picks. I think Trump is the guy to get this country back to work (jobs) and I think he would have the biggest impact on the economy which is what we really need. He's a great negotiator. I think Carson/Cruz would do just fine as VP. Just my opinion though.  What's hilarious is that the 3 candidates the establishment Republicans and Democrats hate the most are Trump, Carson and Cruz who also seem to be on good terms with one another. In fact, it seems like they are their own little group vs the rest and the know it too. 
I'm honestly curious why you think this. Being a businessman doesn't mean you know anything about economic policy or how a country's economy works, and so far Trump hasn't breathed a word that shows me he actually knows anything about economic policy or economic theory and he hasn't named any names he would consult with that do as far as I know. He doesn't even have anything as coherent as "eliminating Bush tax cuts for the wealthy" in his economic platform afaik.
I'm trying to keep an open mind, but for example his 93 million unemployed figure only works if you include retired people, high school and college students, and people taking breaks from work to take care of their kids. If you get your stats like that I can't imagine how you could make coherent economic policy.
Just saying that he loves jobs and knows how to make jobs is pretty meaningless politician fluff and I'm surprised anyone still believes it after hearing it from every single candidate in both parties after 2008.
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That 93 million unemployed figure is the biggest pile of garbage out there right now. The fact that the these stats keep getting thrown around like facts is starting to depress me.
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On September 05 2015 21:03 coverpunch wrote:Show nested quote +On September 05 2015 17:08 Cowboy64 wrote: Then again, I think Hillary is a horribly weak candidate who will almost certainly lose against whoever she runs against, so I'm not really taking electability into account here.
We should really talk about this a bit more. Is Hillary a soft candidate? I'm pretty surprised by this statement, frankly. Sure, Hillary's showing a strange ineptitude in dodging the email server questions, which is in the same vein as Chris Christie unable to shake the bridge thing. Shaking off political bullshit like that is Presidential Politics 101. If she thinks this is bad, one has to shudder at what would happen if she had another Snowden. In retrospect, you have to admire Obama that Snowden was a political baneling bust in the making and he got through it all like MarineKing used to split marines. If he had taken it on the chin, things might have gotten REALLY ugly for him. But she seems to be doing the right things politically. She's quietly gathering a large coalition of influential Democrats and party bosses on her side and building a warchest. I think something like half of Congressional Democrats have endorsed or are planning to endorse her already. None of the Republican candidates has anywhere near that kind of party support. Sanders has lots of populist support but virtually no national and party support, so he's ultimately getting into a car with no engine or wheels to win this race (i.e. it won't happen unless Hillary crashes herself out of it). In the end, I'd put it this way: Hillary ain't Bill, but I disagree strongly that she's a "horribly weak candidate" and I think it's actually more likely that she'd beat most of the GOP candidates like a drum. Of course, this is assuming she eventually shakes the email server thing and doesn't find herself instead dogged with more scandals that weigh her down. I sort of agree, but think you really failed to mention the reason for all this, and really the premise of her campaign: First Woman President. Without that she is Jeb Bush with scandals. If Obama hung it up after one term, this Hillary would have lost to Romney, himself a mid level candidate.
She can probably win using a similar strategy to the one Mitch McConnell employed in his last election of outspending in the primary and using 'incumbency' to try and wait for a meltdown. It can work, but guys like Rubio, Cruz, and Paul are senators today because its a mediocre strategy.
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On September 05 2015 12:10 Sermokala wrote:Show nested quote +On September 05 2015 10:53 Eskendereya wrote:On September 05 2015 10:41 Plansix wrote: Yeah, the candidate endorsed by several U.S. White supremacist has supporters everywhere. Typical leftist using "race" to try and win arguments they can't win with logic or facts.  I could play your little twisted racist game too. The Black Panther Party was pro Obama and they even tried to use intimidation at the polls to get their way. In fact, %90 of Blacks voted for Obama and I'm sure every racist Black voted for Obama as well. All the pro-Black groups voted for Obama. New black panther party. The old one kinda went down a domestic terrorist group and died out. But in reality the difference is that the white ones want whites to go ahead more at the expense of other races where the minority ones at the least say they want equality with the races. see you can't really justify advancing your race when your in the lead. it's actually easy to justify; you just posit that your race is the most superior and thus the most deserving of more opportunities to show off their superiority
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On September 06 2015 00:06 cLutZ wrote:Show nested quote +On September 05 2015 21:03 coverpunch wrote:On September 05 2015 17:08 Cowboy64 wrote: Then again, I think Hillary is a horribly weak candidate who will almost certainly lose against whoever she runs against, so I'm not really taking electability into account here.
We should really talk about this a bit more. Is Hillary a soft candidate? I'm pretty surprised by this statement, frankly. Sure, Hillary's showing a strange ineptitude in dodging the email server questions, which is in the same vein as Chris Christie unable to shake the bridge thing. Shaking off political bullshit like that is Presidential Politics 101. If she thinks this is bad, one has to shudder at what would happen if she had another Snowden. In retrospect, you have to admire Obama that Snowden was a political baneling bust in the making and he got through it all like MarineKing used to split marines. If he had taken it on the chin, things might have gotten REALLY ugly for him. But she seems to be doing the right things politically. She's quietly gathering a large coalition of influential Democrats and party bosses on her side and building a warchest. I think something like half of Congressional Democrats have endorsed or are planning to endorse her already. None of the Republican candidates has anywhere near that kind of party support. Sanders has lots of populist support but virtually no national and party support, so he's ultimately getting into a car with no engine or wheels to win this race (i.e. it won't happen unless Hillary crashes herself out of it). In the end, I'd put it this way: Hillary ain't Bill, but I disagree strongly that she's a "horribly weak candidate" and I think it's actually more likely that she'd beat most of the GOP candidates like a drum. Of course, this is assuming she eventually shakes the email server thing and doesn't find herself instead dogged with more scandals that weigh her down. I sort of agree, but think you really failed to mention the reason for all this, and really the premise of her campaign: First Woman President. Without that she is Jeb Bush with scandals. If Obama hung it up after one term, this Hillary would have lost to Romney, himself a mid level candidate. She can probably win using a similar strategy to the one Mitch McConnell employed in his last election of outspending in the primary and using 'incumbency' to try and wait for a meltdown. It can work, but guys like Rubio, Cruz, and Paul are senators today because its a mediocre strategy. A valid point, but I was trying to get at the point that she is a skilled politician, at least the coalition building and deal making parts of the job. I'm surprised at how often this seems to be underrated or overlooked these days, particularly since they were glaring flaws of the Bush and Obama presidencies.
But she does seem to suck at the scandal shaking part of the job, which i addressed, and it seems to be fair to call her a mediocre leader at best. And it is a good point to bring up that her most prominent selling point is playing identity politics rather than substantive policy.
On the other hand, Trump is all policy and everyone outside of his rabid supporters thinks he's crazy or a moron or both.
More seriously, I would deflect by saying it is a bit premature for Hillary to be talking details. She is a known quantity as a center left candidate and it is better for her to tread softly with the nomination basically in hand rather than play the mirror image of the GOP drunken race of lurching to the right to win the nomination and then trying to stumble back to the center to win general support.
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On September 06 2015 00:24 coverpunch wrote:Show nested quote +On September 06 2015 00:06 cLutZ wrote:On September 05 2015 21:03 coverpunch wrote:On September 05 2015 17:08 Cowboy64 wrote: Then again, I think Hillary is a horribly weak candidate who will almost certainly lose against whoever she runs against, so I'm not really taking electability into account here.
We should really talk about this a bit more. Is Hillary a soft candidate? I'm pretty surprised by this statement, frankly. Sure, Hillary's showing a strange ineptitude in dodging the email server questions, which is in the same vein as Chris Christie unable to shake the bridge thing. Shaking off political bullshit like that is Presidential Politics 101. If she thinks this is bad, one has to shudder at what would happen if she had another Snowden. In retrospect, you have to admire Obama that Snowden was a political baneling bust in the making and he got through it all like MarineKing used to split marines. If he had taken it on the chin, things might have gotten REALLY ugly for him. But she seems to be doing the right things politically. She's quietly gathering a large coalition of influential Democrats and party bosses on her side and building a warchest. I think something like half of Congressional Democrats have endorsed or are planning to endorse her already. None of the Republican candidates has anywhere near that kind of party support. Sanders has lots of populist support but virtually no national and party support, so he's ultimately getting into a car with no engine or wheels to win this race (i.e. it won't happen unless Hillary crashes herself out of it). In the end, I'd put it this way: Hillary ain't Bill, but I disagree strongly that she's a "horribly weak candidate" and I think it's actually more likely that she'd beat most of the GOP candidates like a drum. Of course, this is assuming she eventually shakes the email server thing and doesn't find herself instead dogged with more scandals that weigh her down. I sort of agree, but think you really failed to mention the reason for all this, and really the premise of her campaign: First Woman President. Without that she is Jeb Bush with scandals. If Obama hung it up after one term, this Hillary would have lost to Romney, himself a mid level candidate. She can probably win using a similar strategy to the one Mitch McConnell employed in his last election of outspending in the primary and using 'incumbency' to try and wait for a meltdown. It can work, but guys like Rubio, Cruz, and Paul are senators today because its a mediocre strategy. A valid point, but I was trying to get at the point that she is a skilled politician, at least the coalition building and deal making parts of the job. I'm surprised at how often this seems to be underrated or overlooked these days, particularly since they were glaring flaws of the Bush and Obama presidencies. But she does seem to suck at the scandal shaking part of the job, which i addressed, and it seems to be fair to call her a mediocre leader at best. And it is a good point to bring up that her most prominent selling point is playing identity politics rather than substantive policy. On the other hand, Trump is all policy and everyone outside of his rabid supporters thinks he's crazy or a moron or both. More seriously, I would deflect by saying it is a bit premature for Hillary to be talking details. She is a known quantity as a center left candidate and it is better for her to tread softly with the nomination basically in hand rather than play the mirror image of the GOP drunken race of lurching to the right to win the nomination and then trying to stumble back to the center to win general support. We actually have no evidence that Hillary is skilled in the ways you say. Her main initiative as first lady failed, she was a backbencher with no real accomplishments in the Senate, and her Secretary of State term contains no significant deals.
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Canada11278 Posts
We do have an idea that she is pretty hawkish, or at least compared to Biden. http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/commentary/ct-joe-biden-versus-hillary-clinton-20150903-story.html
This is a rather interesting idea as far as generational differences between democrats.
“Biden came to the Senate in the 1970s as part of the opposition to the Vietnam War. His main theme over the years has been skepticism over whether force will be effective.
“Clinton grew up as an antiwar liberal, but in terms of foreign policy, she’s of a different generation. In the 1990s, the Bill Clinton years, America was at the height of its power. The lesson Democrats learned then, in places like Bosnia and Kosovo, was that military power works.” I imagine there are post-Iraq democrats (non-interventionists?), though maybe few old enough to be voted in. I've been noticing some awfully young candidates in our own federal election- does that happen in the States, or does the dominance of the incumbencies in their own ridings tend towards few young candidates getting in. (I suspect it is also the huge surge of a previously minor third party that opens potential for younger nominees.) Whereas ISIS will perhaps create a generation of interventionists? Or maybe not.Increased conflict in Europe did lead to the isolationist movement in the States.
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I'm really starting to like Carson, glad to see him doing well in the polls lately. I think what is appealing about him most to me is his real world experience. He has a really amazing story, literally rags to riches. He's almost like a walking talking testament to how conservative principles work when someone with high intelligence and good work ethic apply themselves from basically any starting point. Not sure at this point if I would actually vote for him for president, but I'm really enjoying learning more about him and hearing him speak.
It's also fun to watch people try to find negative things about him, seems really hard. His history and personal life is near perfect, I wonder what the media will find to dig up if he actually becomes the GOP nomination. He's just such a nice/well spoken guy. I don't think the left knows quite what to do with him yet., they need to make conservative candidates look like the bad guys, but Carson seems immune to that. Most of the time I see anything negative about him it's someone taking something he said out of context, or exaggerating something he said.
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"Shock Poll: Donald Trump Beats Hillary Clinton, Shrinks Key Gaps"
"Trump beats Hillary Clinton 45 percent to 40 percent, with 16 percent of voters undecided.
He wins a huge share of the Democrats’ non-white base — 25 percent of African Americans, 31 percent of Hispanics and 41 percent of the relatively small Asian vote."
That’s a heart attack for the GOP establishment, which predicts that the arrival of even more low-wage foreign workers will yield more votes from low-wage Hispanics, and also more donations from the wealthy investors who pay the salaries of GOP consultants, pollsters, and advertising executives.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/09/05/shock-poll-donald-trump-beats-hillary-clinton-shrinks-key-gaps/
The biggest middle finger to the GOP establishment.
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As smart as Ben Carson may be, his 10 to 15 percent flat tax idea seems more on the dumb side...
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I dunno Carson has had some gaffs in the past.
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