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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 1593

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18854 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-23 20:38:55
January 23 2015 20:38 GMT
#31841
I'm currently doing legal research pointed towards creating an appropriate standard by which particular instances of gerrymandering can be deemed Constitutional or not. The Supreme Court held in 2004 that the issue of gerrymandering is non-justiciable due to the lack of a readily accessible and applicable standard.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
January 23 2015 21:33 GMT
#31842
On January 24 2015 03:54 wei2coolman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2015 03:43 oneofthem wrote:
don't tell the democrats in new york state legislature. upper house is always republican lower house is democrat, and this arrangement is sort of okay with all involved.

Obviously there are going to be a couple democrats that currently benefit from gerrymandering, but as a whole our current congress is by far and away more conservative than the average american.

I think your perception of what constitutes an average American skews towards densely populated urban areas. There is a great variety of regional differences that make some generalization as you're making absurd. I think this whole gerrymandering fixation is misplaced, like liberals need some unifying boogie man to unite disparate groups in focusing their anger. The roots go much deeper for resentment of representatives, feelings of powerlessness to change D.C.'s direction, the culture of corruption, and incumbency.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Slaughter
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States20254 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-23 21:57:43
January 23 2015 21:53 GMT
#31843
The reason there isn't change and politicians have fallen into that pattern is because its extremely difficult to motivate such a large group of people with a large amount of diversity into doing anything on a larger scale. There are politicians are in all parts of government who have no business being there but slipped through the cracks so to speak because people are a combination of ignorant of politics, stubborn about supporting their party, or apathetic. The two party system also doesn't help because as Lewis Black once said the choice is often "between two bowls of shit" so even if people casts votes for people it doesn't necessarily mean they actually want them in office. Maybe they should allow for a "Nope, Try again" option that people can choose, and if that gets the most votes both candidates lose and a new election is held with different candidates lol.
Never Knows Best.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23657 Posts
January 23 2015 22:28 GMT
#31844
Widespread ignorance is a problem on both sides also. Enough voters on both sides have no clue what is going on to make them a smarter play to go for than people who actually make educated decisions based off of factual information.

So long as it's easier to get lots of ignorant people to show up and vote for something they don't understand than it is to make complicated policy points and explain the importance to the voters, politicians are going to continue to appeal to our lowest common denominators (and be successful with it).

What's new now is that Democrats have finally turned the tables a bit. Instead of Democrats having to perform long winded explanations on minutia regarding why specific proposals were good/bad ideas while Republicans got away with bumper sticker slogans now it is the opposite.

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-23 23:05:18
January 23 2015 23:04 GMT
#31845
I concur with slaughter in that a none of the above option would be beneficial; though I think it would come up quite rarely, it'd still be good to have.

I for one, would like to try out less direct elections at some point, at least on a state scale. Electing people who then make the choice.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
coverpunch
Profile Joined December 2011
United States2093 Posts
January 23 2015 23:15 GMT
#31846
On January 24 2015 08:04 zlefin wrote:
I concur with slaughter in that a none of the above option would be beneficial; though I think it would come up quite rarely, it'd still be good to have.

I for one, would like to try out less direct elections at some point, at least on a state scale. Electing people who then make the choice.

Well, the US already has both those options in reality. You could just not vote, and it appears many people here took my snarky line about Republicans winning to point out that they won with very low turnout, which is why they're not using the word "mandate" like Democrats did after 2008 and 2012.

And the US, on both the federal and state levels, are in general republics, which is why we choose elected officials in the first place. The rare example of direct democracy is California's referendum system, and it's not widely regarded as a great thing (mostly because Californians vote for big spending policies but against taxes; they also voted to ban gay marriage and to enforce English-only education). Interestingly, for presidential elections, it seems most people might prefer MORE directness and there are complaints to get rid of the Electoral College every time.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
January 23 2015 23:34 GMT
#31847
That's not really true;
a vote for no one isn't the same as a vote that prohibits either of the two candidates from winning, so that's just plain different.

the start of your second paragraph isn't really on point, so skipping that.
The problem with the electoral system is that a) it isn't at all used to have the electors actually think about who to choose (and hence it has no value from that intended part of it), and b) in practice, it's just a direct election with a really weird scoring system that can go against the popular vote.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
coverpunch
Profile Joined December 2011
United States2093 Posts
January 23 2015 23:49 GMT
#31848
On January 24 2015 08:34 zlefin wrote:
That's not really true;
a vote for no one isn't the same as a vote that prohibits either of the two candidates from winning, so that's just plain different.

the start of your second paragraph isn't really on point, so skipping that.
The problem with the electoral system is that a) it isn't at all used to have the electors actually think about who to choose (and hence it has no value from that intended part of it), and b) in practice, it's just a direct election with a really weird scoring system that can go against the popular vote.

But why would you want a system that has no winner at all and another election has to be held? Even without the empty calories of Super PACs and such, elections are expensive and inefficient, since nobody is doing any government work while it's going on. I think you'd be better off talking about reforming the primary system where each party picks their own candidate separately and then they compete against each other.

As for the Electoral College, you're ending up with a very strange definition of "thinking", where it actually just means defying the popular vote since as your argument implies they're "not thinking" because they always go with the majority vote. I'm not sure why it's sustainable to have electors who unpredictably defy their own district majorities...
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11752 Posts
January 24 2015 00:00 GMT
#31849
Well, the problem here is that originally, the point of the election college was that it is really hard to communicated over a large area in the 18th century. This is no longer a problem. Thus, the only remaining point of that system is to make scoring when electing a president really weird, and it also further enforces the silly two party FPTP system that you have going on.

Citizens should have the ability to vote for "This is all shit, i want something else". That is not possible in a two party system. As you correctly identified, not voting counting as "neither of those guys" would break pretty much any democratic system and trap it in a constant election, which is not good. On the other hand, having the possibility to actually create a new party based on different issues, and NOT having to instantly get 50% of a vote to matter at all is a really good thing for a democratic system.

A vote between only two choices, with no possibility of ever adding an additional one is only slightly better than the election between one choice that communist states had, and rather far from an actual working democracy.

Especially when you have presidential elections where only a few states actually matter because the others are so red or blue that noone gives a fuck about them and a system of legal corruption that most third-world rulers would love to have.
coverpunch
Profile Joined December 2011
United States2093 Posts
January 24 2015 00:08 GMT
#31850
On January 24 2015 09:00 Simberto wrote:
Well, the problem here is that originally, the point of the election college was that it is really hard to communicated over a large area in the 18th century. This is no longer a problem. Thus, the only remaining point of that system is to make scoring when electing a president really weird, and it also further enforces the silly two party FPTP system that you have going on.

Citizens should have the ability to vote for "This is all shit, i want something else". That is not possible in a two party system. As you correctly identified, not voting counting as "neither of those guys" would break pretty much any democratic system and trap it in a constant election, which is not good. On the other hand, having the possibility to actually create a new party based on different issues, and NOT having to instantly get 50% of a vote to matter at all is a really good thing for a democratic system.

A vote between only two choices, with no possibility of ever adding an additional one is only slightly better than the election between one choice that communist states had, and rather far from an actual working democracy.

Especially when you have presidential elections where only a few states actually matter because the others are so red or blue that noone gives a fuck about them and a system of legal corruption that most third-world rulers would love to have.

Well, I think it's several bridges too far to hope America changes to a proper parliamentary system. As I noted before, the existing incumbents got here because they're good at this game and it's beyond wishful thinking to ask them to change the game, particularly if it might threaten their position.

I will quibble with your characterization of the Electoral College. Predictability is not the same as irrelevance, especially as you note, in this day and age where we've gotten pretty good at polling and forecasting. Don't go Romney on us now and insist the other 47% doesn't matter.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
January 24 2015 01:20 GMT
#31851
On January 24 2015 09:00 Simberto wrote:
Well, the problem here is that originally, the point of the election college was that it is really hard to communicated over a large area in the 18th century. This is no longer a problem. Thus, the only remaining point of that system is to make scoring when electing a president really weird, and it also further enforces the silly two party FPTP system that you have going on.

Citizens should have the ability to vote for "This is all shit, i want something else". That is not possible in a two party system. As you correctly identified, not voting counting as "neither of those guys" would break pretty much any democratic system and trap it in a constant election, which is not good. On the other hand, having the possibility to actually create a new party based on different issues, and NOT having to instantly get 50% of a vote to matter at all is a really good thing for a democratic system.

A vote between only two choices, with no possibility of ever adding an additional one is only slightly better than the election between one choice that communist states had, and rather far from an actual working democracy.

Especially when you have presidential elections where only a few states actually matter because the others are so red or blue that noone gives a fuck about them and a system of legal corruption that most third-world rulers would love to have.

In the US you can have more than two parties and you can have candidates that run counter to the party they belong to. In some ways there's less choice compared to European Parliamentary systems, but in other ways there's more choice.
Slaughter
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States20254 Posts
January 24 2015 01:25 GMT
#31852
You can but its not really viable unless you can raise shitloads of cash by yourself and do it without the political infrastructure that the Dems and Repubs have.
Never Knows Best.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
January 24 2015 01:42 GMT
#31853
On January 24 2015 10:25 Slaughter wrote:
You can but its not really viable unless you can raise shitloads of cash by yourself and do it without the political infrastructure that the Dems and Repubs have.

Sure, but my point wasn't exclusively about the viability of a 3rd party or independents. Parties in the US are not entirely synonymous with parties in Europe, so comparing the two systems by 'number of parties' misses too much of what goes on.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-24 02:18:19
January 24 2015 02:13 GMT
#31854
On January 24 2015 08:49 coverpunch wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2015 08:34 zlefin wrote:
That's not really true;
a vote for no one isn't the same as a vote that prohibits either of the two candidates from winning, so that's just plain different.

the start of your second paragraph isn't really on point, so skipping that.
The problem with the electoral system is that a) it isn't at all used to have the electors actually think about who to choose (and hence it has no value from that intended part of it), and b) in practice, it's just a direct election with a really weird scoring system that can go against the popular vote.

But why would you want a system that has no winner at all and another election has to be held? Even without the empty calories of Super PACs and such, elections are expensive and inefficient, since nobody is doing any government work while it's going on. I think you'd be better off talking about reforming the primary system where each party picks their own candidate separately and then they compete against each other.

As for the Electoral College, you're ending up with a very strange definition of "thinking", where it actually just means defying the popular vote since as your argument implies they're "not thinking" because they always go with the majority vote. I'm not sure why it's sustainable to have electors who unpredictably defy their own district majorities...

on the first, incumbents tend to win elections a lot. Sometimes other people win though.
But, if the candidates are SO UTTERLY TERRIBLE that they lose to NONE OF THE ABOVE, then I think it's worthwhile to insist on going to the trouble of getting other people. I mean seriously, how bad do they have to be to lose to none of the above?

Another of my goals is to change the election process to vastly speed it up and add efficiency, and remove the expense (at least for the people who actually have the offices), though that's really on a separate set of ideas than the none of the above rule.

On electoral college, it's more that I probably have a clear idea in my head, and it's not communicated clearly, so it looks odd. It's not about defying district majorities, it's about having a selection process that's ACTUALLY indirect, e.g. where the electors are voted for as people you trust to make the decision on who should be president, then the electors go over all the candidates (and they can look at a lot more people than is usually done in elections, since it can go more like a normal hiring process). That way the person who would actually become president doesn't have to spend much time campaigning (in theory at least), as they have to convince the electors not the broad mass of the populace. And the electors can make a real point of looking at who's staying to do their job rather than around campaigning.
I'm pretty sure I still haven't explained it all that clearly, translating ideas in my head, with all the little details, to something for other people, can take awhile.

I'll post later with some more explanation as I clear it up in my head.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
coverpunch
Profile Joined December 2011
United States2093 Posts
January 24 2015 06:19 GMT
#31855
I'm busting your balls about it because let's face it, the Electoral College is eccentric but the results aren't Much different from other ways you could imagine. We are still only really talking about Bush v Gore when we complain about what we would change.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-24 07:40:03
January 24 2015 07:39 GMT
#31856
You may be, I'm not talking about bush v gore at all, but things that are very very different.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4908 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-24 12:53:03
January 24 2015 12:46 GMT
#31857
On January 24 2015 03:25 wei2coolman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 23 2015 15:32 Introvert wrote:
On January 23 2015 11:09 wei2coolman wrote:
On January 23 2015 07:51 Introvert wrote:
Term limits would do wonders. I don't think the system needs any other major revisions- at least not any that liberals would agree to.

The problem isn't just term limit, gerrymandering is a much bigger issue imo.


It's not though, and I've posted on this several times- I can find the citations if you want.

What's mainly happening with districts is that Democrat districts lean more Democratic than Republican districts lean Republican- since you only need 50%+1 to win, every vote over that is a waste. Democrats tend to concentrate in smaller (or larger) urban areas than Republicans do, so it leads to a lot of "wasted" votes in each district. This is the primary reason why Republicans won the house in 2012 despite losing the overall popular vote (barely).

Also, the populace itself is becoming more polarized, so the districts can reflect that.

I think term limits are far more important, because hopefully by kicking them out after some short number of years, they can't build as much influence as if they've been in the Senate for 4 decades. I think it takes care of a lot of problems.

On January 23 2015 11:45 IgnE wrote:
It's just annoying to see your stupid shit cluttering up the thread. At least make it interesting.


Like "Bernie Sanders 2016" :p

I for one enjoy a slight chuckle now and again.

You just addressed the issue right there as to why I think gerrymandering is a bigger problem. Right now representatives (especially congress) only have to run pandering one side of the political scale due to their districts, as opposed to running a more moderate campaign that accounts for both left and right wing political considerations in a more politically homogenous district.

Of course limiting terms is definitely a step in the right direction, and it is much easier to implement than gerrymandering rules/laws.


If districts were more gerrymandered then you would be allowed to run as moderate as you like But you can't fix the concentration problem, if liberals are more closely packed and blue areas are overall more homogeneous, then how is redrawing a district going to fix that? Surely redrawing a district to ensure "moderation" is as bad as redrawing one to ensure a victory for your party? Both are manipulating the electoral map for the sake of a desired political outcome, and both lead to some very odd districts in terms of shape and constitution.

So there needs to be some more neutral way of drawing them, imo preferably taking into account geography or communities, perhaps paying particular attention to county lines. The goal is not to split things 50/50.

But all this is theory and kind of needless guesswork, since gerrymandering is low on the list of issues that need to be fixed right now.

zlefin is not making a whole lot of sense, but I don't think his concerns/remedies are well-founded/needed.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10852 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-24 14:26:43
January 24 2015 14:25 GMT
#31858
Don't most countries just use their state/city/counties/whatever "borders" for this?

I really don't see how anyone could think the way it is done in the US makes sense.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
January 24 2015 15:19 GMT
#31859
On January 24 2015 21:46 Introvert wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2015 03:25 wei2coolman wrote:
On January 23 2015 15:32 Introvert wrote:
On January 23 2015 11:09 wei2coolman wrote:
On January 23 2015 07:51 Introvert wrote:
Term limits would do wonders. I don't think the system needs any other major revisions- at least not any that liberals would agree to.

The problem isn't just term limit, gerrymandering is a much bigger issue imo.


It's not though, and I've posted on this several times- I can find the citations if you want.

What's mainly happening with districts is that Democrat districts lean more Democratic than Republican districts lean Republican- since you only need 50%+1 to win, every vote over that is a waste. Democrats tend to concentrate in smaller (or larger) urban areas than Republicans do, so it leads to a lot of "wasted" votes in each district. This is the primary reason why Republicans won the house in 2012 despite losing the overall popular vote (barely).

Also, the populace itself is becoming more polarized, so the districts can reflect that.

I think term limits are far more important, because hopefully by kicking them out after some short number of years, they can't build as much influence as if they've been in the Senate for 4 decades. I think it takes care of a lot of problems.

On January 23 2015 11:45 IgnE wrote:
It's just annoying to see your stupid shit cluttering up the thread. At least make it interesting.


Like "Bernie Sanders 2016" :p

I for one enjoy a slight chuckle now and again.

You just addressed the issue right there as to why I think gerrymandering is a bigger problem. Right now representatives (especially congress) only have to run pandering one side of the political scale due to their districts, as opposed to running a more moderate campaign that accounts for both left and right wing political considerations in a more politically homogenous district.

Of course limiting terms is definitely a step in the right direction, and it is much easier to implement than gerrymandering rules/laws.


If districts were more gerrymandered then you would be allowed to run as moderate as you like But you can't fix the concentration problem, if liberals are more closely packed and blue areas are overall more homogeneous, then how is redrawing a district going to fix that? Surely redrawing a district to ensure "moderation" is as bad as redrawing one to ensure a victory for your party? Both are manipulating the electoral map for the sake of a desired political outcome, and both lead to some very odd districts in terms of shape and constitution.

So there needs to be some more neutral way of drawing them, imo preferably taking into account geography or communities, perhaps paying particular attention to county lines. The goal is not to split things 50/50.

But all this is theory and kind of needless guesswork, since gerrymandering is low on the list of issues that need to be fixed right now.

zlefin is not making a whole lot of sense, but I don't think his concerns/remedies are well-founded/needed.

you solve it by making every vote count equally within a bigger pool, like at the state level or even nationally.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
January 24 2015 15:59 GMT
#31860
On January 24 2015 23:25 Velr wrote:
Don't most countries just use their state/city/counties/whatever "borders" for this?

I really don't see how anyone could think the way it is done in the US makes sense.


It doesn't. Americans just support it because "'MURICA IS ALWAYS RIGHT!"
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
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