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Should we expect new names in ASL 18?

Forum Index > BW General
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1 2 Next All
Sonic_md
Profile Joined March 2020
Moldova275 Posts
April 28 2024 07:43 GMT
#1
[image loading]

I did a little count of the participants of all the past 18 ASL seasons (17 ASL seasons and VANT36.5 National Starleague (Which for some reason are also called part of this big ASL tournament).

So here goes.
The players who have participated most often

Protoss
Best 16
SnOw 14
Mini 14

Terrans
Sharp 16
Mong 15
Rush 15

Zerg
Soulkey 13
herO 12
Action 11

Number of players who participated 1 time for each race:
Protoss - 8
Terrans - 13
Zerg - 14

As you can see, the easiest way for newcomers to get into the tournament was for Zerg, Terran and only then Protoss.

I wonder if there will be any new names? I wish there were.
Subscribe to my YT channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Sonic_md...."SC:BW it is just game, but i love this game!" (c)Sonic_md.
BLinD-RawR
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
ALLEYCAT BLUES50123 Posts
April 28 2024 08:05 GMT
#2
maybe, probably not and even if they do, its not likely for them to go past Ro24 and drop out

we might never see someone like Soma again.
Brood War EICWoo Jung Ho, never forget.| Twitter: @BLinDRawR
TL+ Member
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands900 Posts
April 28 2024 08:44 GMT
#3
Speed is Sexy. he has been in two asl season. 11 and 17.
ssinz has been in 3 season not two. he was in 9, 11 and 12.
Bishop was in two, not 1. 13 and 15.
Ruin was in 3 not 2. 12 13 and 15.
Where is Miso. so thats 8 and not 7 and 1.
Killer was in 6 not 5.
JDON MY SOUL!
Sonic_md
Profile Joined March 2020
Moldova275 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-04-28 09:05:04
April 28 2024 09:04 GMT
#4
On April 28 2024 17:44 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Speed is Sexy. he has been in two asl season. 11 and 17.
ssinz has been in 3 season not two. he was in 9, 11 and 12.
Bishop was in two, not 1. 13 and 15.
Ruin was in 3 not 2. 12 13 and 15.
Where is Miso. so thats 8 and not 7 and 1.
Killer was in 6 not 5.


Thank you. Corrected the table
I didn't realize that Sexy was Speed and MIsO was Where.

[image loading]
Subscribe to my YT channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Sonic_md...."SC:BW it is just game, but i love this game!" (c)Sonic_md.
Sonic_md
Profile Joined March 2020
Moldova275 Posts
April 28 2024 09:06 GMT
#5
it turns out that the Zerg have the highest chances of making it to at least RO24 ))
Subscribe to my YT channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Sonic_md...."SC:BW it is just game, but i love this game!" (c)Sonic_md.
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4197 Posts
April 28 2024 09:40 GMT
#6
nope

same old, same old.. doesn't mean it's bad in any way by the way. It's just that the qualifying system is so gruelling and unforgiving. Maybe if the tournament expanded to 32 slots then yeah. But with the same format, I don't see it happening.
odi profanum vulgus et arceo
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands900 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-04-28 11:23:55
April 28 2024 10:49 GMT
#7
Also Hyun has been in 3 not 2. Forgot to add him.

to add to the topic itself.
There's some names I'd say are doing particularly well and stand a better chance to qualify now more than before.

Highest chance of qualifying for the first time:
BTS(Z), Motive(P), Paralyze(P) - These three players are honestly better than many who have qualified already, or have qualified multiple times.

BTS > Hyun, ZeloT, 815, MisO, GGaemo
Motive & Paralyze > nOOB, Tyson, YSC, Movie

Very low chance of qualifying:
Rich(P), Promise(P), 1127(T), Skey(T), HBQ(T), Saber(Z), Iffy(Z) Prime(T), RideSky(T), Kop(T), > Quickly(P), Blade(P) > Absolute(Z), Mayd(T),

JDON MY SOUL!
Simplistik
Profile Blog Joined November 2007
2007 Posts
April 28 2024 10:56 GMT
#8
Thanks for sharing. The numbers are generally lower than I thought. Seems that qualifying is pretty tough, even for former top level players. Presumably that makes it quite hard for the next tier down.
Dear BW Gods, I know it's not autumn (in the Northern hemisphere), but please have mercy on Protoss.
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4197 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-04-28 11:56:58
April 28 2024 11:50 GMT
#9
On April 28 2024 19:49 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Also Hyun has been in 3 not 2. Forgot to add him.

to add to the topic itself.
There's some names I'd say are doing particularly well and stand a better chance to qualify now more than before.

Highest chance of qualifying for the first time:
BTS(Z), Motive(P), Paralyze(P) - These three players are honestly better than many who have qualified already, or have qualified multiple times.

BTS > Hyun, ZeloT, 815, MisO, GGaemo
Motive & Paralyze > nOOB, Tyson, YSC, Movie

Very low chance of qualifying:
Rich(P), Promise(P), 1127(T), Skey(T), HBQ(T), Saber(Z), Iffy(Z) Prime(T), RideSky(T), Kop(T), > Quickly(P), Blade(P) > Absolute(Z), Mayd(T),


who is "BTS"? Another aka change or someone completely new that I just don't know about?

agree about Motive & Paralyze btw. Hopefully they will make it in to ASL 18. I still wouldn't consider them "new" though. But they've not yet managed to get into the ASL ro24 so I guess technically they would be "new names in the ASL" if qualified.
odi profanum vulgus et arceo
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands900 Posts
April 28 2024 11:53 GMT
#10
On April 28 2024 20:50 M3t4PhYzX wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2024 19:49 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Also Hyun has been in 3 not 2. Forgot to add him.

to add to the topic itself.
There's some names I'd say are doing particularly well and stand a better chance to qualify now more than before.

Highest chance of qualifying for the first time:
BTS(Z), Motive(P), Paralyze(P) - These three players are honestly better than many who have qualified already, or have qualified multiple times.

BTS > Hyun, ZeloT, 815, MisO, GGaemo
Motive & Paralyze > nOOB, Tyson, YSC, Movie

Very low chance of qualifying:
Rich(P), Promise(P), 1127(T), Skey(T), HBQ(T), Saber(Z), Iffy(Z) Prime(T), RideSky(T), Kop(T), > Quickly(P), Blade(P) > Absolute(Z), Mayd(T),


who is "BTS"? Another aka change or someone completely new that I just don't know about?

agree about Motive & Paralyze btw. Hopefully they will make it in to ASL 18. I still wouldn't consider them "new" though.


He has been using BTS for a couple years now. He used to be Bang before remastered in the Fish days.
(Wiki)Alone
JDON MY SOUL!
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4197 Posts
April 28 2024 11:57 GMT
#11
On April 28 2024 20:53 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2024 20:50 M3t4PhYzX wrote:
On April 28 2024 19:49 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Also Hyun has been in 3 not 2. Forgot to add him.

to add to the topic itself.
There's some names I'd say are doing particularly well and stand a better chance to qualify now more than before.

Highest chance of qualifying for the first time:
BTS(Z), Motive(P), Paralyze(P) - These three players are honestly better than many who have qualified already, or have qualified multiple times.

BTS > Hyun, ZeloT, 815, MisO, GGaemo
Motive & Paralyze > nOOB, Tyson, YSC, Movie

Very low chance of qualifying:
Rich(P), Promise(P), 1127(T), Skey(T), HBQ(T), Saber(Z), Iffy(Z) Prime(T), RideSky(T), Kop(T), > Quickly(P), Blade(P) > Absolute(Z), Mayd(T),


who is "BTS"? Another aka change or someone completely new that I just don't know about?

agree about Motive & Paralyze btw. Hopefully they will make it in to ASL 18. I still wouldn't consider them "new" though.


He has been using BTS for a couple years now. He used to be Bang before remastered in the Fish days.
https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/Alone

Oh, he's Alone. Ok then, yeah I know of him.

Thanks for clearing it up.
odi profanum vulgus et arceo
bochs
Profile Joined February 2022
111 Posts
April 28 2024 15:36 GMT
#12
Is Hm comparable to BTS? From what I've seen, he's a pretty strong zerg too.
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands900 Posts
April 28 2024 16:14 GMT
#13
On April 29 2024 00:36 bochs wrote:
Is Hm comparable to BTS? From what I've seen, he's a pretty strong zerg too.


Hm is on a level below BTS but not too far off.
JDON MY SOUL!
Expensive-Law-9830
Profile Joined April 2024
130 Posts
April 28 2024 16:14 GMT
#14
On April 28 2024 18:06 Sonic_md wrote:
it turns out that the Zerg have the highest chances of making it to at least RO24 ))


I count 139 appearances for Z vs 165 for Terran
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands900 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-04-29 01:04:49
April 29 2024 01:00 GMT
#15
On April 29 2024 01:14 Expensive-Law-9830 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2024 18:06 Sonic_md wrote:
it turns out that the Zerg have the highest chances of making it to at least RO24 ))


I count 139 appearances for Z vs 165 for Terran

he is referring to the total number of unique players, not the total qualifications. The one issue with qualification numbers is that it does not tell the whole story. Qualifier brackets tell the other half of the story. favorable bracket? tough opponent elimimated by someone else? freak accident like with Ivory qualifying or BCM taking out Queen. Getting an almost unbeatable player on your side of the bracket? etc. Often times the lower tier players eliminate each other in groups which already reduces the odds of new players qualifying on top of there being literal gate keepers from tier 1 and 2 in all the semifinals and finals.
JDON MY SOUL!
Sonic_md
Profile Joined March 2020
Moldova275 Posts
April 29 2024 05:07 GMT
#16
On April 28 2024 19:49 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Also Hyun has been in 3 not 2. Forgot to add him.

Highest chance of qualifying for the first time:
BTS(Z)


BTS is TRUE, right?
Yeah, I've seen his games. Strong zerg, yeah.
Subscribe to my YT channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Sonic_md...."SC:BW it is just game, but i love this game!" (c)Sonic_md.
Sonic_md
Profile Joined March 2020
Moldova275 Posts
April 29 2024 05:08 GMT
#17
On April 29 2024 01:14 Expensive-Law-9830 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2024 18:06 Sonic_md wrote:
it turns out that the Zerg have the highest chances of making it to at least RO24 ))


I count 139 appearances for Z vs 165 for Terran

I was referring to the total number of unique players)))
Subscribe to my YT channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Sonic_md...."SC:BW it is just game, but i love this game!" (c)Sonic_md.
Peeano
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Netherlands4994 Posts
April 29 2024 11:19 GMT
#18
There is quite a number of ex-pros that peaked much higher than a good chunk of the people on that list. At least 10 have a fair chance to survive qualies with just ladder grind, and then there's dudes like Jangbi and Fantasy.

I'd really love for a top Korean clan to become dedicated as hell, and see their top 3 players enter the next ASL. The hobby approach simply won't cut it. And solo bolo just isn't the way unless you're both talented and very intelligent. Even then getting through ASL qualies you'll need luck on your side.

It's all a pipe dream. As long as ASL keeps its prestige I'll be happy to watch however many more seasons, but I'd like to see an old name like Turn, Really, Tempest, Great, Crazy-Hydra show up one of these seasons.
FBH #1!
prosatan
Profile Joined September 2009
Romania8075 Posts
April 29 2024 12:02 GMT
#19
BTS is Alone , who also had the nick Princess !
Lee JaeDong Fighting! The only church that illuminates is the one that burns.
bovienchien
Profile Joined March 2014
Vietnam1152 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-04-29 12:46:02
April 29 2024 12:44 GMT
#20
Just setting Internet to TR 16 l Low, or TR 4 l Extra High is the best. We will see so much new faces come to ASL.

I know some guys are so terrible at TR 24 l Low, but they play very well with lag and become the best with super lag (they can beat S players in some seconds).
https://www.facebook.com/StarcraftRemasteredVN/
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