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Terran wins in spongames, not asl? why?

Forum Index > BW General
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Steeles21600
Profile Joined August 2018
52 Posts
August 30 2021 20:20 GMT
#1
Terran has universally high winrates on spongames on most maps even without flash. These stats come from this site with a very high sample size: https://www.sponbbang.com/race/?month1=2021-05&month2=2021-08&bj=

But jinjin posted on his youtube community awhile back the ASL winrates for terran, and outside of flash terran was universally the worst race. [image loading]

For me, I guess its just hard for me to understand how terran can vary so widely in their winrates on the same maps with the same players. This isnt even getting into the foreign scene, but its very strange. Is there something in particular about the spongames that makes it different?
I just hope everyone has a good time :)
kogeT
Profile Joined September 2013
Poland2040 Posts
August 30 2021 20:36 GMT
#2
One reason could be that terran is so difficult to master per map. The more you play a single map as terran, the better you will be. This is due to learning proper build placement (terran suffer most from it), learning different positions where to move your army (terran is least mobile). ASL always promoted "new" maps that were often unorthodox, this made terran even weaker. Also terran is the easier race to be cheesed, making it again vulnerable on new maps. But this is just me theory crafting.
https://www.twitch.tv/kogetbw
angry_maia
Profile Joined August 2020
320 Posts
August 30 2021 20:39 GMT
#3
Sponbbang matches reflect the current state of the pros while these are all-time ASL stats. If you were to rank players now you'd get a drastically different list: Rain, Bisu, Jaedong, Larva, Effort, Shine are basically either retired or irrelevant. Meanwhile Rush and Light have both improved a TON and could easily win ASLs (Light won KSL).

We also have Sorry and Jyj who are both really strong now.
Steeles21600
Profile Joined August 2018
52 Posts
August 30 2021 20:50 GMT
#4
On August 31 2021 05:39 angry_maia wrote:
Sponbbang matches reflect the current state of the pros while these are all-time ASL stats. If you were to rank players now you'd get a drastically different list: Rain, Bisu, Jaedong, Larva, Effort, Shine are basically either retired or irrelevant. Meanwhile Rush and Light have both improved a TON and could easily win ASLs (Light won KSL).

We also have Sorry and Jyj who are both really strong now.



Spongames have a sample size from 2017-2021. If you go through terran has the highest winrate at pretty much any date range, so this doesnt really add up. Its a good guess, but it makes it a tougher nut to crack.
I just hope everyone has a good time :)
Steeles21600
Profile Joined August 2018
52 Posts
August 30 2021 20:56 GMT
#5
On August 31 2021 05:36 kogeT wrote:
One reason could be that terran is so difficult to master per map. The more you play a single map as terran, the better you will be. This is due to learning proper build placement (terran suffer most from it), learning different positions where to move your army (terran is least mobile). ASL always promoted "new" maps that were often unorthodox, this made terran even weaker. Also terran is the easier race to be cheesed, making it again vulnerable on new maps. But this is just me theory crafting.


ASL having weird maps is actually a very good guess koget. For example, that one map that had the third base islands, Blockchain SE. Maybe those maps are enough to mess it up. But this comes with a very strange thing, which is that blockchain actually has a positive terran winrate.

Yes, the map that was universally called a terran graveyard is extremely terran favored in spongames. https://www.sponbbang.com/race/?month1=2019-06&month2=2019-12&bj=

Terrans aggregate winrate is 58.9%, which is extremely high. Terran winrates are just universally extremely high in spongames.
I just hope everyone has a good time :)
CadenZie
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Korea (South)545 Posts
August 30 2021 21:15 GMT
#6
one time use prepared builds are stronger in tournament settings
oxKnu
Profile Joined December 2017
1207 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-08-30 21:30:37
August 30 2021 21:30 GMT
#7
Terran is without question the strongest race in this game and also generally very robust against a lot of 'new' builds, since the Terran replies to a lot of stuff kind of stay the same.

And naturally people play on the same maps A LOT. Like a lot, every day, many games. So it only makes sense that in the long run Terran players would have the best results since they get to realize their equity on those maps in all match-ups by the time everyone probes the most viable strategies on them.

This is a fundamental game theory concept. In the long run, the strongest competitor will prevail.
WGT-Baal
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
France3395 Posts
August 30 2021 23:01 GMT
#8
On August 31 2021 05:36 kogeT wrote:
One reason could be that terran is so difficult to master per map. The more you play a single map as terran, the better you will be. This is due to learning proper build placement (terran suffer most from it), learning different positions where to move your army (terran is least mobile). ASL always promoted "new" maps that were often unorthodox, this made terran even weaker. Also terran is the easier race to be cheesed, making it again vulnerable on new maps. But this is just me theory crafting.


ASL also purposedly picked maps that weren't Terran favoured at some point to prevent Flash winning too much
Horang2 fan
FyRe_DragOn
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Canada2056 Posts
August 31 2021 00:24 GMT
#9
why dont we take out the strongest players from Z and P and look at how bad their stats are too?
aka DragOn[NaS]
QOGQOG
Profile Joined July 2019
834 Posts
August 31 2021 00:32 GMT
#10
It's also worth noting that the longtime second best Terran, Last, had to retire due to wrist issues. The other contender for second best, Light, has been incredibly inconsistent.

I think the rates will balance over time though. There are a ton of up and coming Terrans: Royal, JyJ, Barracks, and especially Rush. I mean, one game different vs Larva and Rush would probably have won last season.
Essbee
Profile Blog Joined August 2008
Canada2371 Posts
August 31 2021 00:32 GMT
#11
On August 31 2021 06:30 oxKnu wrote:
Terran is without question the strongest race in this game and also generally very robust against a lot of 'new' builds, since the Terran replies to a lot of stuff kind of stay the same.

And naturally people play on the same maps A LOT. Like a lot, every day, many games. So it only makes sense that in the long run Terran players would have the best results since they get to realize their equity on those maps in all match-ups by the time everyone probes the most viable strategies on them.

This is a fundamental game theory concept. In the long run, the strongest competitor will prevail.


I could get behind this theory if Flash and Light weren't also the best protosses.
BonitiilloO
Profile Joined June 2013
Dominican Republic626 Posts
August 31 2021 00:38 GMT
#12
On August 31 2021 05:36 kogeT wrote:
One reason could be that terran is so difficult to master per map. The more you play a single map as terran, the better you will be. This is due to learning proper build placement (terran suffer most from it), learning different positions where to move your army (terran is least mobile). ASL always promoted "new" maps that were often unorthodox, this made terran even weaker. Also terran is the easier race to be cheesed, making it again vulnerable on new maps. But this is just me theory crafting.


i have said this so many times people dont still get it.
How may help u?
ExpatRights
Profile Joined February 2021
53 Posts
August 31 2021 01:27 GMT
#13
bw is terran favored
whaski
Profile Joined December 2012
Finland577 Posts
August 31 2021 02:11 GMT
#14
On August 31 2021 09:32 Essbee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 31 2021 06:30 oxKnu wrote:
Terran is without question the strongest race in this game and also generally very robust against a lot of 'new' builds, since the Terran replies to a lot of stuff kind of stay the same.

And naturally people play on the same maps A LOT. Like a lot, every day, many games. So it only makes sense that in the long run Terran players would have the best results since they get to realize their equity on those maps in all match-ups by the time everyone probes the most viable strategies on them.

This is a fundamental game theory concept. In the long run, the strongest competitor will prevail.


I could get behind this theory if Flash and Light weren't also the best protosses.


Also Last, who is pretty deadly with all races. During 2017-2019 Last held first place in sponbbang. He also kept other terrans in check with his tvt. Too bad it ended costing his health.

It would be intresting to see sponmatch stats from 2014-2017 regarding this 'terran problem".
it's not just a music it's something else
Optimate
Profile Joined August 2020
249 Posts
August 31 2021 02:22 GMT
#15
I remember reading a Terran Korean pro stating that Terran players take longer to learn what builds work on new maps than the other races do. That is my belief as to the why. And ASL always have a couple revolutionary maps with all-new features.
BLinD-RawR
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
ALLEYCAT BLUES50466 Posts
August 31 2021 04:55 GMT
#16
On August 31 2021 11:22 Optimate wrote:
I remember reading a Terran Korean pro stating that Terran players take longer to learn what builds work on new maps than the other races do. That is my belief as to the why. And ASL always have a couple revolutionary maps with all-new features.


mostly this and the fact that ASL expanded its map pool definitely didn't do terran a lot of favors.
Brood War EICWoo Jung Ho, never forget.| Twitter: @BLinDRawR
TL+ Member
MeSaber
Profile Joined December 2009
Sweden1235 Posts
August 31 2021 05:49 GMT
#17
On August 31 2021 10:27 ExpatRights wrote:
bw is terran favored


Only if you dont know how to work a Shuttle.
-.-
oxKnu
Profile Joined December 2017
1207 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-08-31 07:23:32
August 31 2021 07:22 GMT
#18
Also, most "standard" BW maps are Terran favored, been this way for a very long time.

The only times the maps were not Terran favored we had Transistor and Third World. Both maps ended up having decent win-rates for Terran in the long run disproving the knee-jerk reactions to them.

Terran is the classic upper-class white-guy born in the Western world type of scenario. Bitches constantly while everything is laid out for them to win consistently.



HOLYBATS
Profile Joined August 2021
Turkey741 Posts
August 31 2021 08:21 GMT
#19
Terran already won nearly the half of the ASL 5/11. lol
fLyiNgDroNe
Profile Joined September 2005
Belgium4020 Posts
August 31 2021 08:51 GMT
#20
You can't simply remove Flash from the equation without accepting your data is going to be flawed. Flash is responsible for many other terrans eliminated from the competition. E.g. in some of those ASL wins where Flash won, some other terrans could have won too.
Drone is a way of living
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