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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. |
On July 15 2017 07:38 mozoku wrote:Show nested quote +On July 15 2017 07:31 KwarK wrote:On July 15 2017 07:27 mozoku wrote:On July 15 2017 07:04 KwarK wrote:On July 15 2017 06:56 IgnE wrote: well he loses money if the economy tanks I wish this was true because then the incentives of us and them might be aligned. JP Morgan refused bailout funds until the government coerced them to accept the funds. The government was worried investors would flee the banks getting bailout funds (as that would be an indicator of those with the worst financial health), so they basically made everyone take them. Aiming vitriol at Jamie Dimon over the bailouts doesn't really make any sense. JP Morgan was solvent. Not to mention, nearly every (absolutely every?) major bank repaid the bailout funds (plus interest) years ago and they've been comically overregulated since 2008. Maybe the economy would actually grow a little if the left could get over their irrational rage towards bankers. You're ignoring the toxic assets the government took off their hands, and the wider societal impact. An awful lot of people lost an awful lot of money in the recession and a lot of them never recovered. The pension funds that got missold shit never got a bailout. The TARP (toxic asset relief program) funds were bailout funds I was talking about. They repaid those with interest. The Fed also made a boatload of money of TARP iirc (don't remember the details off the top of my head), which eventually should flow back to taxpayers anyway.
it was a small price to pay considering they got to buy up WaMu and Bear Stearns for pennies on the dollar. that's the thing though, you buy a company and the liabilities come along with the assets.
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There have been some fairly robust…discussions about getting the Republican National Committee to pay for some of the president’s legal bills. I think that’s a hard sell in some ways to the RNC. They have their own things they want to pay for. But that shows you that there’s a lot of competing interests, let’s say, in how this gets resolved and who pays for what. The legal bills are going to be huge, no question.”
Devlin Barrett on MSNBC. I think his piece he's talking about was posted earlier in the thread, but this is ridiculsosu http://www.mediaite.com/tv/trump-team-reportedly-wants-rnc-to-cover-legal-defense-costs-for-russia-investigations/
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On July 15 2017 07:38 mozoku wrote: Nobody is advocating for going back to 2007-style regulations. Not even the major investment banks. But the stress tests on small banks, for example, are an utter joke and a huge costs for banks. I used to run some stress tests at the bank I worked for. The regulators they brought in to examine predictive modeling problems didn't include a single quant/dude with a quantitative degree. They brought in like 12 MBAs from top B-Schools. Do you know how expensive MBAs from top B-Schools are? They weren't even capable of doing the job. They came in, gave us incorrect statistical advice, and then told us we'd be sanctioned if we didn't follow it. This year, the bank's models don't even make sense.
Or how about the fact that banks are required to hold so much capital for risky loans these days, that they aren't even profitable to make? Know who asks for risky loans? Low-income, minorities, and other disadvantaged groups. The "progressive" policies actively promote inequality by limiting credit to people who need it.
Here's another banking regulation gem: banks aren't allowed to ask for race/ethnicity on loan applications. At the same time, they're required to prove to regulators that they're lending adequate amount to different races. It's a total contradiction. Curious how our bank resolved it? We had a guy sit down, look at an applicant's name, and try to guess what race the applicant was from his name (which is arguably racist in of itself lol). Literally. The regulators were totally okay with this process as well, because it's pretty much the best you can do given the contradictory set of regulations that are out there. Is it effective? Nobody even knows. Stories like this go on and on in banking.
Meanwhile, Elisabeth Warren (who's never worked in the private sector, let alone banking/finance) panders to Leftist rage over banks for political purposes. And they eat it right up.
Dodd-Frank is probably preferable to 2007, but it's a majorly flawed piece of regulation that isn't being reformed because it's being exploited for political purpose by Democrats.
I think the regulatory environment is mostly worse off than 2007. Rather than a federally sponsored subprime free-for-all, where prudent actors avoided the bust, we have a contradictory regulatory tangle that wrecks business models and has stalled out most of the banking system. And also pulled the rug out from under the Fed's monetary policy efforts as a side effect.
What we actually needed were narrow standards on which mortgages are resellable. What we got instead were restrictions on all mortgages and some bonus regulations on unrelated stuff.
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United States41470 Posts
Are you guys from the alternate reality in which banking hasn't been going crazy since 2008? Cause I certainly wouldn't use the words "stalled out" to describe the banking system in this time line.
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Haven't they been turning record profits for a while now? And the stocks aren't doing too badly. I can see the smaller banks having a hard time, but the people looking for loans who need them, can't get them. The banks aren't taking any risks with lending as they used to, but that's not such a bad idea. Holding people accountable for paying their debt is a good thing in my book.
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On July 15 2017 08:43 KwarK wrote: Are you guys from the alternate reality in which banking hasn't been going crazy since 2008? Cause I certainly wouldn't use the words "stalled out" to describe the banking system in this time line. In what way has it been going crazy? Profits are high at the Big 5, but that's about it. The Economist hardly paints a rosy picture. Return on equity has been below their cost of capital.
https://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21721503-though-effects-financial-crisis-2007-08-are-still-reverberating-banks-are
Also keep in mind that regulations and the post-crisis environment affects large and small banks asymmetrically. Low interest rates (not regulators' fault) and high capital requirements hit traditional community lending much harder than the more diversified large investment banks (which the Left supposedly hates). Community banks are consolidating at a record pace.
Your point is a red herring anyway. Even if we assume banks are going crazy, that doesn't mean that they aren't overburdened by regulations. Opportunity costs are a thing.
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On July 15 2017 06:27 a_flayer wrote: Glenn Greenwald makes an interesting whataboutism case:
The Steele dossier that contained incriminating information about Trump was partially obtained from Russian Kremlin-associated figures, and also Ukrainian government officials. In essence, the Democrats paid Steele to collect information from foreign agents who may have been looking to interfere in the US elections to help HRC get elected over Trump.
It obviously doesn't excuse Juniors meeting, but should the Democrats who paid Steele to do that be prosecuted now just like Junior ought to be, if the act of attempting to obtain incriminating information from foreign entities is indeed illegal? I mean, if anything, the Steele dossier was a more successful attempt to do this (regardless of the accuracy of the informatoin), rather than the apparently failed attempt of Junior which seemed to have yielding nothing (as far as we know right now).
How do these two things compare to one another, exactly?
Did anyone respond to this and I just missed it?
That's one reason why I always ask what it is about this story that people are actually upset about. It's changed over time for sure.
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United States41117 Posts
Space Corps. Round 3.
WASHINGTON — There's one less hurdle for a new U.S. military branch focused on space after an amendment meant to derail it failed Wednesday to get approval from the House Rules Committee for a public floor debate.
The outcome was a loss for the White House, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and other opponents who claim a new "Space Corps" equals more bureaucracy, but it was a win for lawmakers who warn the Air Force must be reorganized to catch up with China and Russia’s militarization of space. Space has become critical for the U.S. military with satellites used for navigation, protected communications, missile warning, surveillance and intelligence collection.
Plans for the new Space Corps were spearheaded by House Strategic Forces Subcommittee Chairman Mike Rogers, R-Ala., and ranking member Rep. Jim Cooper, D-Tenn., with the support of House Armed Services Committee Chairman Mac Thornberry, R-Texas. The HASC voted 60-1 last month to approve the 2018 National Defense Authorization Act, which contains the Space Corps legislative language.
House Tactical Air and Land Forces Subcommittee Chairman Mike Turner, R-Ohio, had waged a public push and lobbying effort to replace the Space Corps language with orders for a study on whether a new branch is necessary. Mattis and Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson had each written letters backing him, and the White House listed it among two dozen NDAA provisions it opposes.
Congressional aides said late Wednesday the House Rules Committee, led by Rep. Pete Sessions, R-Texas, did not deem the amendment in order, and it did not receive an individual up-or-down vote. After Turner, Rogers and Cooper each pleaded their cases in a public hearing, the decision appears to have been made quietly.
The HASC-passed NDAA would direct the Defense Department to establish a Space Corps by Jan. 1, 2019. The Space Corps would fall under the Department of the Air Force but operate as an independent service, similar to the Marine Corps’ relationship to the Department of the Navy.
The corps would be responsible for space acquisition programs and led by its own chief of staff, however other services would still be permitted to procure their own user terminals. It would also be responsible for organizing, training and equipping space forces. Turner and others had argued such sweeping upheaval to the military’s space enterprise could be a mistake and that change should be approached more slowly and methodically. He told reporters early Wednesday he hoped a July 11 letter from Mattis voicing support for the amendment would help.
“The Armed Services Committee has not held any hearings on information about the Space Corps. There are no estimates of cost. The administration, the Department of Defense are opposed,” Turner said. “While they work for increased readiness and refocus on modernization, restructuring the bureaucracy to the great extent of creating another service branch is extreme.”
Mattis, in his letter, unequivocally stated his opposition to the Space Corps, saying its formation would add overhead and could further grow the budget. “At a time when we are trying to integrate the Department’s joint warfighting functions, I do not wish to add a separate service that would likely present a narrower and even parochial approach to space operations vice an integrated one we’re constructing under our current approach,” Mattis wrote.
Rogers and Cooper testified together before the House Rules Committee on Wednesday to emphasize their proposal’s bipartisan support and the dire need to prioritize space as its own domain.
Rogers argued the path ahead would actually be fairly deliberative. The Air Force would have six months after the bill's passage to create its own plan, teeing up further congressional action to move forward or reverse as necessary. Even sooner, there would be a series of classified and open hearings on the next steps, he said.
“We encourage you to come, particularly to the classified hearings to see our capabilities and our adversaries’ — it is shocking what’s happened,” Rogers told the House Rules Committee. “Both China and Russia have already reorganized space.”
Rogers argued the Air Force is resisting the move in part because its space accounts are a “money pot,” which service leaders have raided for years to pay for air-domain needs.
“If we create a separate corps, the money goes to a separate corps, and that’s why the fighter pilots [who are] general officers are opposed to it,” Rogers said.
Although Turner acknowledged the military has faced difficulties in executing space programs, he argued that House lawmakers have not adequately laid out the organization and functions of the Space Corps, or even how much forming it would cost.
Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. David Goldfein has also cautioned against forming a Space Corps. In May, he told lawmakers that the Air Force needs to focus on integrating the space enterprise with other war-fighting functions and domains. Creating a stovepiped space organization outside that of the major services could take the military further from that goal. “Anything that separates space and makes it unique and different, relative to all of the war-fighting missions that we perform that are reliant on space, I don't think believe that will move us in the right direction at this time,” Goldfein said.
Source
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On July 15 2017 09:54 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:Space Corps. Round 3. Show nested quote +WASHINGTON — There's one less hurdle for a new U.S. military branch focused on space after an amendment meant to derail it failed Wednesday to get approval from the House Rules Committee for a public floor debate.
The outcome was a loss for the White House, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and other opponents who claim a new "Space Corps" equals more bureaucracy, but it was a win for lawmakers who warn the Air Force must be reorganized to catch up with China and Russia’s militarization of space. Space has become critical for the U.S. military with satellites used for navigation, protected communications, missile warning, surveillance and intelligence collection.
Plans for the new Space Corps were spearheaded by House Strategic Forces Subcommittee Chairman Mike Rogers, R-Ala., and ranking member Rep. Jim Cooper, D-Tenn., with the support of House Armed Services Committee Chairman Mac Thornberry, R-Texas. The HASC voted 60-1 last month to approve the 2018 National Defense Authorization Act, which contains the Space Corps legislative language.
House Tactical Air and Land Forces Subcommittee Chairman Mike Turner, R-Ohio, had waged a public push and lobbying effort to replace the Space Corps language with orders for a study on whether a new branch is necessary. Mattis and Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson had each written letters backing him, and the White House listed it among two dozen NDAA provisions it opposes.
Congressional aides said late Wednesday the House Rules Committee, led by Rep. Pete Sessions, R-Texas, did not deem the amendment in order, and it did not receive an individual up-or-down vote. After Turner, Rogers and Cooper each pleaded their cases in a public hearing, the decision appears to have been made quietly.
The HASC-passed NDAA would direct the Defense Department to establish a Space Corps by Jan. 1, 2019. The Space Corps would fall under the Department of the Air Force but operate as an independent service, similar to the Marine Corps’ relationship to the Department of the Navy.
The corps would be responsible for space acquisition programs and led by its own chief of staff, however other services would still be permitted to procure their own user terminals. It would also be responsible for organizing, training and equipping space forces. Turner and others had argued such sweeping upheaval to the military’s space enterprise could be a mistake and that change should be approached more slowly and methodically. He told reporters early Wednesday he hoped a July 11 letter from Mattis voicing support for the amendment would help.
“The Armed Services Committee has not held any hearings on information about the Space Corps. There are no estimates of cost. The administration, the Department of Defense are opposed,” Turner said. “While they work for increased readiness and refocus on modernization, restructuring the bureaucracy to the great extent of creating another service branch is extreme.”
Mattis, in his letter, unequivocally stated his opposition to the Space Corps, saying its formation would add overhead and could further grow the budget. “At a time when we are trying to integrate the Department’s joint warfighting functions, I do not wish to add a separate service that would likely present a narrower and even parochial approach to space operations vice an integrated one we’re constructing under our current approach,” Mattis wrote.
Rogers and Cooper testified together before the House Rules Committee on Wednesday to emphasize their proposal’s bipartisan support and the dire need to prioritize space as its own domain.
Rogers argued the path ahead would actually be fairly deliberative. The Air Force would have six months after the bill's passage to create its own plan, teeing up further congressional action to move forward or reverse as necessary. Even sooner, there would be a series of classified and open hearings on the next steps, he said.
“We encourage you to come, particularly to the classified hearings to see our capabilities and our adversaries’ — it is shocking what’s happened,” Rogers told the House Rules Committee. “Both China and Russia have already reorganized space.”
Rogers argued the Air Force is resisting the move in part because its space accounts are a “money pot,” which service leaders have raided for years to pay for air-domain needs.
“If we create a separate corps, the money goes to a separate corps, and that’s why the fighter pilots [who are] general officers are opposed to it,” Rogers said.
Although Turner acknowledged the military has faced difficulties in executing space programs, he argued that House lawmakers have not adequately laid out the organization and functions of the Space Corps, or even how much forming it would cost.
Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. David Goldfein has also cautioned against forming a Space Corps. In May, he told lawmakers that the Air Force needs to focus on integrating the space enterprise with other war-fighting functions and domains. Creating a stovepiped space organization outside that of the major services could take the military further from that goal. “Anything that separates space and makes it unique and different, relative to all of the war-fighting missions that we perform that are reliant on space, I don't think believe that will move us in the right direction at this time,” Goldfein said. Source Gimme that Space Corps. I'm gonna sign up immediately as an officer and say peace to Earth. Prior service should get me through relatively easy. From USMC to USPC. Living the dream!
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On July 15 2017 09:17 mozoku wrote:Show nested quote +On July 15 2017 08:43 KwarK wrote: Are you guys from the alternate reality in which banking hasn't been going crazy since 2008? Cause I certainly wouldn't use the words "stalled out" to describe the banking system in this time line. In what way has it been going crazy? Profits are high at the Big 5, but that's about it. The Economist hardly paints a rosy picture. Return on equity has been below their cost of capital. https://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21721503-though-effects-financial-crisis-2007-08-are-still-reverberating-banks-areAlso keep in mind that regulations and the post-crisis environment affects large and small banks asymmetrically. Low interest rates (not regulators' fault) and high capital requirements hit traditional community lending much harder than the more diversified large investment banks (which the Left supposedly hates). Community banks are consolidating at a record pace. Your point is a red herring anyway. Even if we assume banks are going crazy, that doesn't mean that they aren't overburdened by regulations. Opportunity costs are a thing.
that's how capitalism works. the big guy wins and stomps out the little guys
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On July 15 2017 09:54 GreenHorizons wrote:Show nested quote +On July 15 2017 06:27 a_flayer wrote: Glenn Greenwald makes an interesting whataboutism case:
The Steele dossier that contained incriminating information about Trump was partially obtained from Russian Kremlin-associated figures, and also Ukrainian government officials. In essence, the Democrats paid Steele to collect information from foreign agents who may have been looking to interfere in the US elections to help HRC get elected over Trump.
It obviously doesn't excuse Juniors meeting, but should the Democrats who paid Steele to do that be prosecuted now just like Junior ought to be, if the act of attempting to obtain incriminating information from foreign entities is indeed illegal? I mean, if anything, the Steele dossier was a more successful attempt to do this (regardless of the accuracy of the informatoin), rather than the apparently failed attempt of Junior which seemed to have yielding nothing (as far as we know right now).
How do these two things compare to one another, exactly? Did anyone respond to this and I just missed it? That's one reason why I always ask what it is about this story that people are actually upset about. It's changed over time for sure. Remember what people said Trump Jr. and anyone involved in that meeting should have done?
Because that's what happened with Steele's findings. People who were involved delivered them to the FBI.
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Bungled collusion is still collusion By Charles Krauthammer Opinion writer July 13 at 7:51 PM The Russia scandal has entered a new phase, and there’s no going back.
For six months, the White House claimed that this scandal was nothing more than innuendo about Trump campaign collusion with Russia in meddling in the 2016 election. Innuendo for which no concrete evidence had been produced.
Yes, there were several meetings with Russian officials, some only belatedly disclosed. But that is circumstantial evidence at best. Meetings tell you nothing unless you know what happened in them. We didn’t. Some of these were casual encounters in large groups, like the famous July 2016 Kislyak-Sessions exchange of pleasantries at the Republican National Convention. Big deal.
I was puzzled. Lots of coverup, but where was the crime? Not even a third-rate burglary. For six months, smoke without fire. Yes, President Trump himself was acting very defensively, as if he were hiding something. But no one ever produced the something.
My view was: Collusion? I just don’t see it. But I’m open to empirical evidence. Show me.
The Post’s Ruth Marcus explains why in Donald Trump Jr. is in legal jeopardy. Hint: stupidity is not a legal defense. (Adriana Usero, Kate Woodsome/The Washington Post) The evidence is now shown. This is not hearsay, not fake news, not unsourced leaks. This is an email chain released by Donald Trump Jr. himself. A British go-between writes that there’s a Russian government effort to help Trump Sr. win the election, and as part of that effort he proposes a meeting with a “Russian government attorney” possessing damaging information on Hillary Clinton. Moreover, the Kremlin is willing to share troves of incriminating documents from the Crown Prosecutor. (Error: Britain has a Crown Prosecutor. Russia has a Prosecutor General.)
Donald Jr. emails back. “I love it.” Fatal words.
Once you’ve said “I’m in,” it makes no difference that the meeting was a bust, that the intermediary brought no such goods. What matters is what Donald Jr. thought going into the meeting, as well as Jared Kushner and then-campaign manager Paul Manafort, who were forwarded the correspondence, invited to the meeting, and attended.
“It was literally just a wasted 20 minutes, which was a shame,” Donald Jr. told Sean Hannity. A shame? On the contrary, a stroke of luck. Had the lawyer real stuff to deliver, Donald Jr. and the others would be in far deeper legal trouble. It turned out to be incompetent collusion, amateur collusion, comically failed collusion. That does not erase the fact that three top Trump campaign officials were ready to play.
It may turn out that they did later collaborate more fruitfully. We don’t know. But even if nothing else is found, the evidence is damning.
It’s rather pathetic to hear Trump apologists protesting that it’s no big deal because we Americans are always intervening in other people’s elections, and they in ours. You don’t have to go back to the ’40s and ’50s when the CIA intervened in France and Italy to keep the communists from coming to power. What about the Obama administration’s blatant interference to try to defeat Benjamin Netanyahu in the latest Israeli election? One might even add the work of groups supported by the U.S. during Russian parliamentary elections — the very origin of Vladimir Putin’s deep animus toward Clinton, then secretary of state, whom he accuses of having orchestrated the opposition.
This defense is pathetic for two reasons. First, have the Trumpites not been telling us for six months that no collusion ever happened? And now they say: Sure it happened. So what? Everyone does it.
What’s left of your credibility when you make such a casual about-face?
Second, no, not everyone does it. It’s one thing to be open to opposition research dug up in Indiana. But not dirt from Russia, a hostile foreign power that has repeatedly invaded its neighbors (Georgia, Crimea, eastern Ukraine), that buzzes our planes and ships in international waters, that opposes our every move and objective around the globe. Just last week the Kremlin killed additional U.N. sanctions we were looking to impose on North Korea for its ICBM test.
There is no statute against helping a foreign hostile power meddle in an American election. What Donald Jr. — and Kushner and Manafort — did may not be criminal. But it is not merely stupid. It is also deeply wrong, a fundamental violation of any code of civic honor.
I leave it to the lawyers to adjudicate the legalities of unconsummated collusion. But you don’t need a lawyer to see that the Trump defense — collusion as a desperate Democratic fiction designed to explain away a lost election — is now officially dead.
www.washingtonpost.com Krauthammer
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On July 15 2017 10:20 IgnE wrote:Show nested quote +On July 15 2017 09:17 mozoku wrote:On July 15 2017 08:43 KwarK wrote: Are you guys from the alternate reality in which banking hasn't been going crazy since 2008? Cause I certainly wouldn't use the words "stalled out" to describe the banking system in this time line. In what way has it been going crazy? Profits are high at the Big 5, but that's about it. The Economist hardly paints a rosy picture. Return on equity has been below their cost of capital. https://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21721503-though-effects-financial-crisis-2007-08-are-still-reverberating-banks-areAlso keep in mind that regulations and the post-crisis environment affects large and small banks asymmetrically. Low interest rates (not regulators' fault) and high capital requirements hit traditional community lending much harder than the more diversified large investment banks (which the Left supposedly hates). Community banks are consolidating at a record pace. Your point is a red herring anyway. Even if we assume banks are going crazy, that doesn't mean that they aren't overburdened by regulations. Opportunity costs are a thing. that's how capitalism works. the big guy wins and stomps out the little guys Not really. Big companies are usually bureaucratic, inefficient, and un-innovative. Apart from predatory pricing and abuse of mergers and acquisitions -> monopoly, they usually only push out small firms with the help of poorly done government intervention (useless compliance overhead, patent trolling, poorly written tax code, etc.) Besides, banks aren't the best example because they're all terrified of more nimble fintech firms taking their business.
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United States41117 Posts
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DJT/DonJR statement on the infamous meeting last week. Every word a lie. Why do people still spin for Trump when he puts lies in their mouths?
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On July 15 2017 10:33 WolfintheSheep wrote:Show nested quote +On July 15 2017 09:54 GreenHorizons wrote:On July 15 2017 06:27 a_flayer wrote: Glenn Greenwald makes an interesting whataboutism case:
The Steele dossier that contained incriminating information about Trump was partially obtained from Russian Kremlin-associated figures, and also Ukrainian government officials. In essence, the Democrats paid Steele to collect information from foreign agents who may have been looking to interfere in the US elections to help HRC get elected over Trump.
It obviously doesn't excuse Juniors meeting, but should the Democrats who paid Steele to do that be prosecuted now just like Junior ought to be, if the act of attempting to obtain incriminating information from foreign entities is indeed illegal? I mean, if anything, the Steele dossier was a more successful attempt to do this (regardless of the accuracy of the informatoin), rather than the apparently failed attempt of Junior which seemed to have yielding nothing (as far as we know right now).
How do these two things compare to one another, exactly? Did anyone respond to this and I just missed it? That's one reason why I always ask what it is about this story that people are actually upset about. It's changed over time for sure. Remember what people said Trump Jr. and anyone involved in that meeting should have done? Because that's what happened with Steele's findings. People who were involved delivered them to the FBI. That's not the issue though. I'm willing to bet that if the Russian lawyer had given Junior information about potentially illegal activities by Clinton, he would have gladly given it to the FBI as well in order to undermine Hillary's campaign/credibility in that way. The issue is that they both researched "oppo" by colluding with foreign entities - the Hillary campaign through Mr Steele (with some degree of success) and the Trump campaign directly (which apparently failed - although we'll see how that pans out lol).
Mr Steele actually paid the foreign entities with money he'd likely received from the Hillary campaign in order to do this job. Some of the foreign entities were Ukrainian government officials, while others were Russians associated with the Kremlin. That's possibly a worse violation than what we know of Junior's meeting so far, where Kremlin associated figures apparently offered "oppo" for their own reasons - without necessarily receiving payments (probably because Putin hates Hillary, but also possibly in exchange for lifting sanctions - although I'm inclined to think that the notion of lifting sanctions was more likely to be for the personal benefit of Trump & co's financial interests and has nothing to do with "oppo" or any hacking-related matter).
In short, I'm still waiting for the evidence that the Trump campaign colluded with Russians to get them to hack the DNC/Podesta e-mails, which is something that would put this matter on the same level as Watergate and could actually lead to a legitimate impeachment effort. So far, I think Trump may actually have a point that "anyone would have taken this meeting", although the Democrats wisely (or deviously?) used a proxy (Mr Steele) rather than do it in person.
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This whole "well the DNC bought the Steele Dossier so they are just as bad" spiel doesn't become more true by simply repeating it. This is the second or third time a_flayer has casually asserted that the DNC took part in qualitatively exactly the same kind of behavior on the part of Trump campaign still being investigated. Not only do we still not know exactly what went down, repeating poorly researched talking points from Glenn Greenwald isn't exactly persuasive when they don't match up with any actual reporting.
There is a small industry of research and investigative firms in Washington, typically staffed by a mix of former journalists and security officials, adept at finding information about politicians that the politicians would rather stay hidden. The firms often do not know who exactly is hiring them; the request could come from a law firm acting on behalf of a client from one of the parties.
In this case, the request for opposition research on Donald Trump came from one of his Republican opponents in the primary campaign. The research firm then hired one of its sub-contractors who it used regularly on all things Russian: a retired western European former counter-intelligence official, with a long history of dealing with the shadow world of Moscow’s spooks and siloviki (securocrats).
By the time the contractor had started his research, however, the Republican primary was over. The original client had dropped out, but the firm that had hired him had found a new, Democratic client. This was not necessarily the Hillary Clinton campaign or the Democratic National Committee. Opposition research is frequently financed by wealthy individuals who have donated all they can and are looking for other ways to help.
By July, the counter-intelligence contractor had collected a significant amount of material based on Russian sources who he had grown to trust over the years – not just in Moscow, but also among oligarchs living in the west. He delivered his reports, but the gravity of their contents weighed on him. If the allegations were real, their implications were overwhelming.
How the Trump dossier came to light: secret sources, a retired spy and John McCain
The story began in September 2015, when a wealthy Republican donor who strongly opposed Mr. Trump put up the money to hire a Washington research firm run by former journalists, Fusion GPS, to compile a dossier about the real estate magnate’s past scandals and weaknesses, according to a person familiar with the effort. The person described the opposition research work on condition of anonymity, citing the volatile nature of the story and the likelihood of future legal disputes. The identity of the donor is unclear.
Fusion GPS, headed by a former Wall Street Journal journalist known for his dogged reporting, Glenn Simpson, most often works for business clients. But in presidential elections, the firm is sometimes hired by candidates, party organizations or donors to do political “oppo” work — shorthand for opposition research — on the side.
It is routine work and ordinarily involves creating a big, searchable database of public information: past news reports, documents from lawsuits and other relevant data. For months, Fusion GPS gathered the documents and put together the files from Mr. Trump’s past in business and entertainment, a rich target.
After Mr. Trump emerged as the presumptive nominee in the spring, the Republican interest in financing the effort ended. But Democratic supporters of Hillary Clinton were very interested, and Fusion GPS kept doing the same deep dives, but on behalf of new clients.
In June, the tenor of the effort suddenly changed. The Washington Post reported that the Democratic National Committee had been hacked, apparently by Russian government agents, and a mysterious figure calling himself “Guccifer 2.0” began to publish the stolen documents online.
Mr. Simpson hired Mr. Steele, a former British intelligence officer with whom he had worked before. Mr. Steele, in his early 50s, had served undercover in Moscow in the early 1990s and later was the top expert on Russia at the London headquarters of Britain’s spy service, MI6. When he stepped down in 2009, he started his own commercial intelligence firm, Orbis Business Intelligence.
The former journalist and the former spy, according to people who know them, had similarly dark views of President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, a former K.G.B. officer, and the varied tactics he and his intelligence operatives used to smear, blackmail or bribe their targets.
As a former spy who had carried out espionage inside Russia, Mr. Steele was in no position to travel to Moscow to study Mr. Trump’s connections there. Instead, he hired native Russian speakers to call informants inside Russia and made surreptitious contact with his own connections in the country as well.
Mr. Steele wrote up his findings in a series of memos, each a few pages long, that he began to deliver to Fusion GPS in June and continued at least until December. By then, the election was over, and neither Mr. Steele nor Mr. Simpson was being paid by a client, but they did not stop what they believed to be very important work. (Mr. Simpson declined to comment for this article, and Mr. Steele did not immediately reply to a request for comment.)
How a Sensational, Unverified Dossier Became a Crisis for Donald Trump
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I wonder if while planning to undermine the United States' credibility the Russians ever foresaw that in the process a sizable percentage of Americans would develop a fondness and admiration for Russia. It isn't at all surprising that Russia would be involved with both parties, their strategy for decades has been to undermine the credibility of Western democracies (particularly the US). What better way to do that than to play every side of our election process.
Though to me it still seems that one side is arguing that the meddling is problematic and that we need to properly deal with what took place while the other side has argued first that no such thing ever happened, then that if it did happen nothing of real consequence happened, to now saying well it did happen but everyone would have done the same thing so what does it matter.
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Fair enough, it wasn't anyone directly involved in the Democratic presidential campaign who paid Mr Steele, and it was first financed by other Republicans. That's a significant difference in terms of collusion and the finance campaign laws as I've gleaned to understand them, I suppose.
I think there's still plenty of room left in my arguments for questioning the actual severity of the events surrounding Junior though. And I'm always in favour of letting the investigations finish. I've said that as well. We'll have to see what comes out of that and how things tie together. As of yet, however, with the information currently available, I don't exactly see the finish line for impeachment.
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United States41117 Posts
TLDR: Because there is a White guy in the White House.
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