Table of Contents
Introduction
A Quick Review of ECC: Poland
Moscow 5 and CLG.eu: Round Three
Editor's Predictions
Introduction
This is the final pit-stop before the Season 2 World Championships. Nothing else matters any more. Eight teams are now locked in for the European Regional Qualifiers and will battle it out for the three coveted seeds into the World Championship. While the European Regionals at Gamescom has a pretty hefty prize pool of its own ($150k), it is nothing compared to the grand prize at the World Championships with a stagger $3 million prizepool.
There can be no more mistakes. Everything has to be looking crisp and clean. Because the Regional Qualifiers are single elimination. One wrong step, a successful cheese later, and even a titan such as Moscow 5 can find itself eliminated. Circuit Points don't matter any more. And Lady Luck does not play favourites.
A Quick Review of ECC: Poland
By Chiharu Harukaze and JBright
1st - - Moscow Five (M5)
2nd - - Counter Logic Gaming (CLG.eu)
3rd - - SK Gaming
4th - - Curse Gaming (Crs.eu)
2nd - - Counter Logic Gaming (CLG.eu)
3rd - - SK Gaming
4th - - Curse Gaming (Crs.eu)
The European scene is an interesting case. It is clear that Moscow 5 and CLG.eu sit above and beyond everyone else. Yet the general domination by North American teams meant that the last few places for the EU Regionals were not quite yet determined until the very end. ECC: Poland was the last chance to earn circuit points before the European Regional Finals at Gamescom. The top 5 teams in the EU circuit rankings (Moscow Five, CLG.eu, SK, Fnatic, Curse.eu) had their positions secured even before the start of the tournament. Any points for them were simply useful for better seeding in the Regionals.
SK Gaming definitely impressed with their 3rd place finish despite their turbulent roster. SK's performance and FnaticRC's absence at Poland meant that SK was able to overtake FnaticRC for third in the rankings. But can they repeat their success at the Regionals? That remains to be seen.
Since teams placed 5th-8th in Season 2 Circuit events get the same number of points, an interesting issue came about - 6 teams with the same number of points were left fighting for the 8th and final spot at Gamescom. They were PAH (several ex-Sypher players), Elohell.net, Mebdi's Minions (YamatoCannon and friends), MYM, Millenium, and Smart People (ex-x6tence). After a wildcard tournament, EloHell were the last ones standing. This leaves us with the following bracket.
Moscow 5 vs EloHell
Fnatic vs Curse.eu
SK Gaming vs Team Acer
CLG.eu vs Team Alternative
Fnatic vs Curse.eu
SK Gaming vs Team Acer
CLG.eu vs Team Alternative
Sadly, Team Alternative and EloHell are the proverbial sacrificial lambs. Barring some spectacular cheese from them, their dreams will likely end in the very first round against M5 and CLG.eu. But who knows. Even Icarus once flew close to the sun before perishing.
For the remaining teams however, even if they lose to CLG.eu and Moscow 5 they still have a chance for a 3rd place finish, which will still give them a chance to go to the World Championship. This is where competition is likely to be fiercest. It is hard to say who will come out on top. SK Gaming, Acer, Fnatic and Curse.eu all have to win their first round games, lose to CLG.eu or M5 in the semifinals and then battle for 3rd place. It's not going to be easy. Luckily for them though, they only have to play one game a day. Each team is going to be sufficiently rested and have time to prepare for their next match. Preparation and fatigue will no longer be excuses for anyone.
The big show however, is going to be the clash of the two European Titans.
Moscow 5 and CLG.eu: Round Three
By Chiharu Harukaze
Moscow 5 and CLG.eu are the undisputed S-tier of Europe and perhaps even the world. At their first major LAN encounter, CLG.eu were able to comeback from a 30k gold deficit and sweep the title award from under the noses of Alex Ich and company. Yet at ECC: Poland, Moscow 5 were raring to play CLG.eu and despite a loss to them in the Group Stages they beat CLG.eu convincingly in the finals to claim their prize.
With the titles between them split 1-1, there is pride on the line for both teams. Winning the European Regional Qualifiers will settle their difference and declare which of these teams is truly better.
Moscow 5 here will likely have the upperhand. Ever since ECC: Poland they have kept a low key aside from one or two small online tournaments where they revealed little. CLG.eu on the other hand have created a collection of VoDs from the OGN Tournament that Moscow 5 will likely be pouring over and analysing in detail. Furthermore, CLG.eu has a very predictable style of play while Moscow 5 has proven to be adaptable and always tries soemthing different each LAN.
That being said however, it is very hard to bet against CLG.eu. It is, after all, Team FroggAnivia and Moscow 5 seem determined to win by their own rules and have repeatedly refuse to ban Anivia, perhaps out of pride. Perhaps this may be their greatest folly.
Editor's Predictions
By MoonBear, Chiharu Harukaze, JBright, NeoIllusions
Our Editors weigh in with their
MoonBear:
Moscow 5 are incredibly meticulous in their planning. Things such as their five GA strategy are not creations they came up with errantly, and are specificity tailored to beat teams such as CLG.eu turtle. I have no doubt they will have something prepared for their arch-nemesis of CLG. That being said however, this is Froggen we're talking about. And you know how much I like CLG. CLG.eu > Moscow 5 for the first two slots.
The third slot is perhaps the most interesting choice here. SK Gaming have shown a surprising amount of strength and they put on a good show at ECC. With Curse.eu under-performing and Fnatic with a recent roster change, they're in prime position to take third. Got to give the nod to them.
The third slot is perhaps the most interesting choice here. SK Gaming have shown a surprising amount of strength and they put on a good show at ECC. With Curse.eu under-performing and Fnatic with a recent roster change, they're in prime position to take third. Got to give the nod to them.
JBright:
It's a close call but I also think CLG.eu will take this one.
1st CLG.eu, 2nd M5, 3rd Curse.eu.
It's hard to say if Fnatic will get out of the first round since they have to face Curse.eu. While they're not as strong as before, I'd say they match up pretty well against Fnatic. CLG.eu also has a easier path to the finals (Alternate and then most likely SK) than M5 (Curse/Fnatic in semis) so they should be better in terms of conserving strength and keeping any 'special tactics' secret.
1st CLG.eu, 2nd M5, 3rd Curse.eu.
It's hard to say if Fnatic will get out of the first round since they have to face Curse.eu. While they're not as strong as before, I'd say they match up pretty well against Fnatic. CLG.eu also has a easier path to the finals (Alternate and then most likely SK) than M5 (Curse/Fnatic in semis) so they should be better in terms of conserving strength and keeping any 'special tactics' secret.
NeoIllusions:
I believe that the top 2 of IEM Gamescon will be no surprise to anyone, CLG.eu and M5 in some order. I have faith in Froggen's ability to carry a unified CLG.eu to victory. Put being a fan of CLG aside from a moment, one does have to consider the strengths of the upper and lower brackets and I content that M5 has the slightly more difficult side.
3rd place is the real catch. I predict a match between Crs.eu and SK with Crs.eu taking the bronze. SK's ever changing roster aside, I expect big plays by Angush to give his team an early lead.
3rd place is the real catch. I predict a match between Crs.eu and SK with Crs.eu taking the bronze. SK's ever changing roster aside, I expect big plays by Angush to give his team an early lead.
Chiharu Harukaze:
I agree with MoonBear. Also, Ocelote may be a proud man and make rash judgements but you can tell he really does want to win.
A unanimous vote of confidence in CLG.eu by the Teamliquid Staff and a split opinion for third place. The table is set. Ladies and gentlemen, it's time to roll.