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On May 31 2012 05:47 TheToast wrote:Show nested quote +On May 31 2012 05:13 aksfjh wrote:On May 31 2012 05:08 TheToast wrote:On May 31 2012 04:51 aksfjh wrote: Just a small tidbit on the debt. It costs the U.S. less to service the debt now, with rates down to 1.6%, than it did when the debt was 3/5 as large in 2007, with rates at 4.8%. That's because the stock market is has been horrifying for the past 4 years and investors have been flocking to T bills. It's not really a positive thing. It's positive in the sense that we shouldn't really worry about the debt right now, and should instead focus on getting the economy on track despite the debt/deficit. But if we do manage to get the economy back on track and the stock market goes back up, then treasury bill yeilds will go back up and we'll have the same damn problem as before. Can't keep sweeping messes under the rug, eventually you will have to clean them up. That's what Greece found out the hard way. And when that happens, you cut spending and allow the private sector investments pay for the jobs lost in the public sector. Although, if Japan is any indicator, we could very well never see yields rise very far and inflation continue to stay down.
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On May 31 2012 05:52 aksfjh wrote:Show nested quote +On May 31 2012 05:47 TheToast wrote:On May 31 2012 05:13 aksfjh wrote:On May 31 2012 05:08 TheToast wrote:On May 31 2012 04:51 aksfjh wrote: Just a small tidbit on the debt. It costs the U.S. less to service the debt now, with rates down to 1.6%, than it did when the debt was 3/5 as large in 2007, with rates at 4.8%. That's because the stock market is has been horrifying for the past 4 years and investors have been flocking to T bills. It's not really a positive thing. It's positive in the sense that we shouldn't really worry about the debt right now, and should instead focus on getting the economy on track despite the debt/deficit. But if we do manage to get the economy back on track and the stock market goes back up, then treasury bill yeilds will go back up and we'll have the same damn problem as before. Can't keep sweeping messes under the rug, eventually you will have to clean them up. That's what Greece found out the hard way. And when that happens, you cut spending and allow the private sector investments pay for the jobs lost in the public sector. Although, if Japan is any indicator, we could very well never see yields rise very far and inflation continue to stay down.
Well when a country reaches the point of Greece, the only option is a massive bailout or a default. You can't tax your way out of that kind of mess without cutting entire branches of government. The problem with Americans is they want European style social services, but don't want to pay for them. And "tax the rich" is not a solution to the problem. If you took every last cent from every billionaire in the world, you wouldn't even be able to pay off 1/3 or the US national debt. At some point, the middle class has to pay some money into the system. You can't have everything and not pay for it, that's why we have this $15,000,000,000,000 mess to begin with. Either the middle class has to pay for at least some of it, or cut the spending; those are the only two options. Not to mention every president since Carter has slyly tried to sweep it under the rug.
Also Japan is not a very good comparison to anything, Japan's political system is filled with rampant clientalism and political corruption which is more responsible for the nation's sluggish economic growth than anything else.
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So who is running for President Romney or Trump?
Grow some balls Mitt.
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On May 31 2012 06:02 TheToast wrote:Show nested quote +On May 31 2012 05:52 aksfjh wrote:On May 31 2012 05:47 TheToast wrote:On May 31 2012 05:13 aksfjh wrote:On May 31 2012 05:08 TheToast wrote:On May 31 2012 04:51 aksfjh wrote: Just a small tidbit on the debt. It costs the U.S. less to service the debt now, with rates down to 1.6%, than it did when the debt was 3/5 as large in 2007, with rates at 4.8%. That's because the stock market is has been horrifying for the past 4 years and investors have been flocking to T bills. It's not really a positive thing. It's positive in the sense that we shouldn't really worry about the debt right now, and should instead focus on getting the economy on track despite the debt/deficit. But if we do manage to get the economy back on track and the stock market goes back up, then treasury bill yeilds will go back up and we'll have the same damn problem as before. Can't keep sweeping messes under the rug, eventually you will have to clean them up. That's what Greece found out the hard way. And when that happens, you cut spending and allow the private sector investments pay for the jobs lost in the public sector. Although, if Japan is any indicator, we could very well never see yields rise very far and inflation continue to stay down. Well when a country reaches the point of Greece, the only option is a massive bailout or a default. You can't tax your way out of that kind of mess without cutting entire branches of government. The problem with Americans is they want European style social services, but don't want to pay for them. And "tax the rich" is not a solution to the problem. If you took every last cent from every billionaire in the world, you wouldn't even be able to pay off 1/3 or the US national debt. At some point, the middle class has to pay some money into the system. You can't have everything and not pay for it, that's why we have this $15,000,000,000,000 mess to begin with. Either the middle class has to pay for at least some of it, or cut the spending; those are the only two options. Not to mention every president since Carter has slyly tried to sweep it under the rug. Also Japan is not a very good comparison to anything, Japan's political system is filled with rampant clientalism and political corruption which is more responsible for the nation's sluggish economic growth than anything else. What are the references for that?
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On May 31 2012 06:02 TheToast wrote:Show nested quote +On May 31 2012 05:52 aksfjh wrote:On May 31 2012 05:47 TheToast wrote:On May 31 2012 05:13 aksfjh wrote:On May 31 2012 05:08 TheToast wrote:On May 31 2012 04:51 aksfjh wrote: Just a small tidbit on the debt. It costs the U.S. less to service the debt now, with rates down to 1.6%, than it did when the debt was 3/5 as large in 2007, with rates at 4.8%. That's because the stock market is has been horrifying for the past 4 years and investors have been flocking to T bills. It's not really a positive thing. It's positive in the sense that we shouldn't really worry about the debt right now, and should instead focus on getting the economy on track despite the debt/deficit. But if we do manage to get the economy back on track and the stock market goes back up, then treasury bill yeilds will go back up and we'll have the same damn problem as before. Can't keep sweeping messes under the rug, eventually you will have to clean them up. That's what Greece found out the hard way. And when that happens, you cut spending and allow the private sector investments pay for the jobs lost in the public sector. Although, if Japan is any indicator, we could very well never see yields rise very far and inflation continue to stay down. Well when a country reaches the point of Greece, the only option is a massive bailout or a default. You can't tax your way out of that kind of mess without cutting entire branches of government. The problem with Americans is they want European style social services, but don't want to pay for them. And "tax the rich" is not a solution to the problem. If you took every last cent from every billionaire in the world, you wouldn't even be able to pay off 1/3 or the US national debt. At some point, the middle class has to pay some money into the system. You can't have everything and not pay for it, that's why we have this $15,000,000,000,000 mess to begin with. Either the middle class has to pay for at least some of it, or cut the spending; those are the only two options. Not to mention every president since Carter has slyly tried to sweep it under the rug. Also Japan is not a very good comparison to anything, Japan's political system is filled with rampant clientalism and political corruption which is more responsible for the nation's sluggish economic growth than anything else. We don't even have to "pay off" the debt. The only thing we have to do is service it, which means pay the interest on the balance. That's the entire point of my initial comment. As long as the economy grows faster than the debt, the debt shrinks in every metric that matters.
As for Japan, I meant in the sense that their yields are below 1%, despite the fact that they're running a debt of over 200% GDP. Greece is failing in the debt situation because their economy is in shambles and they don't have control over their own currency.
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On May 31 2012 06:13 Roe wrote:Show nested quote +On May 31 2012 06:02 TheToast wrote:On May 31 2012 05:52 aksfjh wrote:On May 31 2012 05:47 TheToast wrote:On May 31 2012 05:13 aksfjh wrote:On May 31 2012 05:08 TheToast wrote:On May 31 2012 04:51 aksfjh wrote: Just a small tidbit on the debt. It costs the U.S. less to service the debt now, with rates down to 1.6%, than it did when the debt was 3/5 as large in 2007, with rates at 4.8%. That's because the stock market is has been horrifying for the past 4 years and investors have been flocking to T bills. It's not really a positive thing. It's positive in the sense that we shouldn't really worry about the debt right now, and should instead focus on getting the economy on track despite the debt/deficit. But if we do manage to get the economy back on track and the stock market goes back up, then treasury bill yeilds will go back up and we'll have the same damn problem as before. Can't keep sweeping messes under the rug, eventually you will have to clean them up. That's what Greece found out the hard way. And when that happens, you cut spending and allow the private sector investments pay for the jobs lost in the public sector. Although, if Japan is any indicator, we could very well never see yields rise very far and inflation continue to stay down. Well when a country reaches the point of Greece, the only option is a massive bailout or a default. You can't tax your way out of that kind of mess without cutting entire branches of government. The problem with Americans is they want European style social services, but don't want to pay for them. And "tax the rich" is not a solution to the problem. If you took every last cent from every billionaire in the world, you wouldn't even be able to pay off 1/3 or the US national debt. At some point, the middle class has to pay some money into the system. You can't have everything and not pay for it, that's why we have this $15,000,000,000,000 mess to begin with. Either the middle class has to pay for at least some of it, or cut the spending; those are the only two options. Not to mention every president since Carter has slyly tried to sweep it under the rug. Also Japan is not a very good comparison to anything, Japan's political system is filled with rampant clientalism and political corruption which is more responsible for the nation's sluggish economic growth than anything else. What are the references for that?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billionaire#Billionaire_wealth_over_time and http://www.usdebtclock.org/
The second item is admittedly editorializing as it depends on who exactly you consider middle class, whether you look at assets or just income.
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On May 31 2012 06:10 {CC}StealthBlue wrote: So who is running for President Romney or Trump?
Grow some balls Mitt.
God, that's my biggest pet peeve about Romney.
Obama may be 'professorial' or evasive, but that Romney simply has no integrity or shame.
I can't believe more people haven't made a stink about him throwing his foreign policy advisor -- a lifetime Bush-acolyte and neocon that happened to be gay -- under the bus because some Christian radio host made a stink.
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On May 31 2012 06:57 Defacer wrote:Show nested quote +On May 31 2012 06:10 {CC}StealthBlue wrote: So who is running for President Romney or Trump?
Grow some balls Mitt. God, that's my biggest pet peeve about Romney. Obama may be 'professorial' or evasive, but that Romney simply has no integrity or shame. I can't believe more people haven't made a stink about him throwing his foreign policy advisor -- a lifetime Bush-acolyte and neocon that happened to be gay -- under the bus because some Christian radio host made a stink.
It's the story of all the moderates this cycle, unfortunately.
I honestly think he'd probably make a decent president if it wasn't for all the politicking he's done the past 5 years. It's taken its toll and he's lost touch. That's not good enough when you're going against a solid incumbent, sorry.
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Romney is a very cynical man who is operating on the safe and entirely correct assumption that the general voting population is idiotic and he can arbitrarily place his position so as to maximize the number of votes he gets. It's all a game to him, though tbh, I'm not sure his attitude will be reflected in election results.
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On May 31 2012 14:32 Gummy wrote: Romney is a very cynical man who is operating on the safe and entirely correct assumption that the general voting population is idiotic and he can arbitrarily place his position so as to maximize the number of votes he gets. It's all a game to him, though tbh, I'm not sure his attitude will be reflected in election results.
Romney plan seems to simply outspend Obama, continue to bombard voters with misleading statistics and outright lies, and hope they stick.
And I'm actually starting to think they will.
There is literally nothing -- ZERO -- that Mitt Romney has proposed that would improve national security, create jobs, or lower the deficit. It's a joke.
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Judging from the most recent posts Mitt Romney is hitting the sweet spot. Keep at em, Mitt. They get mad when you don't play their game and let them set the pace and agenda because that isn't how it's supposed to happen! You're supposed to dance to their tune. Keep on punching back instead of showing your belly like tired old McCain.
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What's that old Winston Churchill saying? Call your opponent a pig fucker and make him deny it?
The GOP are masters at that. It's hard for a sitting president to go on the offensive, when they have the past four years to pick apart and build a fake narrative with.
Romney's been campaigning for the past five years ... even though his track record as Governor is abysmal and his private enterprise skills have no application to actual governing, it's all in the past.
Everyone 'knows' Obama. It's much harder to pin an identity on Romney and make it stick.
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Here's a fair characterization of Romney as governor -- competent when he applied himself, moderate when necessary, but by the third year, completely distracted. And just as suspectible to buckling to the status quo as Obama.
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/05/was-mitt-romney-a-good-governor/257942/
Was Romney a Good Governor?
The Obama campaign's attempt to make an issue of Mitt Romney's governorship quickly descended into spectacle Thursday.
As the president's chief strategist, David Axelrod, made his case in front of the state house in Boston, he was nearly drowned out by pro-Romney hecklers chanting slogans. From the sidelines, a clean-cut young man in a blue tie blew soap bubbles. "You can't handle the truth!" Axelrod was reduced to yelling, as he leaned across the podium and strained to hear a reporter's question.
Axelrod and the gaggle of sympathetic local officials behind him argued that Romney sold Massachusetts voters the same bill of goods he's peddling now -- that his private-sector expertise would make him an ideal chief executive of the state. But his record in office, Axelrod claimed, was "alarmingly weak."
Was Romney actually a terrible governor of Massachusetts, or was this all politics? Naturally, the reality is not as simple as either side would like to claim.
Romney can't be accused of leaving the state in a shambles, local experts say, and his tenure was by no means a disaster. He left the state with one towering accomplishment -- universal health care, an achievement neither Romney nor Obama likes to mention now. But Romney fell short of his campaign pledge to change the state's political culture, stymied by a combination of entrenched interests and his own failure to cultivate relationships. And his naked positioning for national office in the latter part of his one term left a bad taste in many mouths.
"I think there's really a Romney One and a Romney Two," said Marty Linsky, a lecturer at Harvard's Kennedy School and former Republican state legislator. "Romney One really worked very hard to try to do what he thought was in the best interests of the commonwealth; Romney Two worked very hard to position himself to run for president of the United States."
By the end, Linsky said, "People felt they didn't know who he was. The only way to make sense of his trajectory was that he was only about himself."
THE ECONOMY
Romney took office in 2003 with the nationwide economy still in the slump that followed the tech bust and September 11. Unemployment was rising, in Massachusetts and nationally, and job growth was stagnant.
During Romney's term, these trends reversed. Unemployment declined and jobs began to rebound. But they did so in Massachusetts at a slower rate than most other states, with the result that, over the course of his governorship, the Bay State was 47th in the nation in terms of job creation. As Michael Widmer, president of the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation, told Politifact, "Jobs grew, but they grew at an anemic rate compared to the rest of the country." Andrew Sum, director of Market Studies at Northeastern University, put it this way to the Boston Globe: "That time period was a very weak time period for the state. I'm not blaming everything on [Romney], but he didn't turn anything around."
Romney has claimed that he tried to bring small government to Beacon Hill, but here again, the record is mixed. "When I took office, I was facing a $3 billion budget deficit and an economy in a tailspin," he said at this year's Conservative Political Action Conference (this was the same speech where he claimed to have been a "severely conservative governor"). "Even with a legislature that was 85 percent Democrat, I cut taxes 19 times and balanced the budget all four years. I cast over 800 vetoes and cut entire programs. I erased a $3 billion budget shortfall and left office with a $2 billion rainy-day fund."
But as Axelrod pointed out, the size of government -- both state spending and the number of government jobs -- actually grew on Romney's watch, and he avoided raising taxes largely by raising fees, on such things as vehicle registration and marriage licenses, instead. And while Romney did balance the budget for his final year in office, he left his successor with a $1 billion structural deficit.
Given that Obama is campaigning on a platform of raising taxes and increasing government spending -- er, "investment" -- you'd think Democrats would balk at criticizing some of these moves, which seem to show Romney as more of a fiscal moderate than his rhetoric indicates. But Axelrod argued that raising fees was an overly regressive way to bring in state revenue, and that in falling short of his promises Romney showed he couldn't be trusted.
"I think he did do a competent job" managing the state's finances, said Maurice Cunningham, chairman of the political science department at the University of Massachusetts, Boston. "It was spotty, and to say he didn't raise taxes when he raised fees was a semantic game. But he did come into a situation where the budget was in a bad state, the economy was in a bad state, and he maintained a balanced budget along with a fairly fiscally conservative [Democratic] speaker of the House."
HEALTH-CARE REFORM
At Thursday's Boston presser, Axelrod was preceded onstage by four Massachusetts Democratic officials, including the current lieutenant governor. The phrase "health care" did not pass their lips.
That shouldn't be surprising -- after all, the Obama team just spent the Republican primary repeatedly reminding voters that Romney's Massachusetts health-care reform was a key inspiration for Obamacare. For the same reason, Romney rarely mentions his crowning achievement in Massachusetts, either, even though, as Ryan Lizza detailed in The New Yorker last year, it was intended to serve as the capstone to his legacy and potentially his ticket to the presidency.
"The health-care bill is an example of Romney at his best," said Linsky. "He negotiated a very complex situation, and he worked out a brilliant deal, at the end, with the Democratic leadership." In a well-choreographed legislative dance, the Democrats sent Romney a bill containing most of his reforms, he used his line-item veto to excise parts he disagreed with, and the Democrats overrode some of the vetoes, including the individual mandate.
The result has been broadly popular and is largely considered a success. In a lengthy examination of Romneycare last year, the Globe called it "a revolution that basically worked," securing coverage for the vast majority of the state's residents "without devastating state finances."
Romney got through the GOP primary by all but disowning his health-care bill, trying in vain to distinguish it from Obama's achievement and straining to argue that its approach was not applicable on the federal level. He hasn't addressed it since wrapping up the Republican nomination, but it's a debate that's likely to come roaring back when the Supreme Court issues its Obamacare verdict at the end of this month.
LEADERSHIP
Romney campaigned on a promise to clean up Massachusetts' notoriously cronyistic state government, painting his opponent, the sitting state treasurer, as a product of a backroom-dealing Beacon Hill culture. But his efforts once he was elected were somewhat halfhearted and largely fruitless.
One example was the state's judiciary, a notorious hotbed of patronage. Romney's attempts to reform it didn't succeed, and instead, he ended up succumbing to the status quo, the Washington Post reports. His attempt to consolidate transportation agencies was shot down by the legislature, as was his push to remove from the state university system William Bulger, brother of mobster "Whitey" Bulger. (Bulger did eventually resign, in part due to Romney's pressure.)
"A lot of governors come in offering to change the political culture," said Cunningham. "But he wasn't here long enough, he didn't put enough effort into it, and he had a very formidable opponent."
Perhaps because of his outsider mien, Romney enjoyed notably chilly relationships with legislators and local officials, who found him distant and somewhat disengaged. John Barrett, who was mayor of the city of North Adams during Romney's governorship, described him Thursday as "a governor who just ignored us, who didn't want our effort," saying he never met with mayors or sought their input. "He believed that a PowerPoint presentation would solve all our problems," Barrett said.
Romney probably could have achieved more if he'd been less aloof, Cunningham said, pointing to the example of one of Romney's Republican predecessors, former Gov. Bill Weld. "Weld really bashed the legislature in the gubernatorial campaign, but when he got in, he found thing he could work with them on," Cunningham said. "Romney never tried to cultivate those relationships."
By his third year in office, it was apparent Romney's priorities lay elsewhere. He turned against abortion rights and took stands against stem-cell research and gay marriage, and began turning up in states like Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. In those appearances, he frequently made jokes at the expense of his own state as he tried to win favor with conservatives. By the end of his governorship, his approval rating had declined to a dismal 39 percent.
"Once he decided to run for president, his consitutency changed. The people of Massachusetts, most of whom weren't particularly interested in his presidential campaign, weren't his constituency anymore," Linsky said. "Everything he did was oriented toward positioning himself for his next challenge."
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On June 01 2012 15:06 DeepElemBlues wrote: Judging from the most recent posts Mitt Romney is hitting the sweet spot. Keep at em, Mitt. They get mad when you don't play their game and let them set the pace and agenda because that isn't how it's supposed to happen! You're supposed to dance to their tune. Keep on punching back instead of showing your belly like tired old McCain.
He is actually repeating the same mistake as McCain meaning he has attached or allowed someone more popular/crazy than him to steal and keep the limelight on someone other than him. His Texas win should have been all about Romney yet who was being interviewed by all the news Networks? Trump.
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On May 30 2012 16:05 Trumpstyle wrote:Ahh my favorite person Donald Trump is helping Mitt Romney win, with bringing birth certificate up once more
On May 31 2012 06:10 {CC}StealthBlue wrote: So who is running for President Romney or Trump?
Grow some balls Mitt.
I gotta wonder what Trump's angle is on all this. Romney has secured the primary... what is Trump really getting for the level of continued support that he's fueling for Romney?
I don't think Romney would choose Trump as his runningmate, and so I don't see how Trump continuing to be in the political limelight does anything to further his business (not that he needs a publicity boost in that respect). Maybe planning for four years from now?
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On June 02 2012 00:56 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:Show nested quote +On May 30 2012 16:05 Trumpstyle wrote:Ahh my favorite person Donald Trump is helping Mitt Romney win, with bringing birth certificate up once more Show nested quote +On May 31 2012 06:10 {CC}StealthBlue wrote: So who is running for President Romney or Trump?
Grow some balls Mitt. I gotta wonder what Trump's angle is on all this. Romney has secured the primary... what is Trump really getting for the level of continued support that he's fueling for Romney? I don't think Romney would choose Trump as his runningmate, and so I don't see how Trump continuing to be in the political limelight does anything to further his business (not that he needs a publicity boost in that respect). Maybe planning for four years from now?
TV time. Trump is hardly a businessman anymore. He's a celebrity and publicity whore that makes money off being famous.
Although Trump is still filthy rich, there has long been rumours that aside from real estate development, most of his new business ventures have been abject failures and he is not nearly as wealthy as he pretends to be. He might 'only' be worth $250 million, which sounds great in the 80's but not that great in the age of billionaires.
In fact, a lot of Trump buildings around the world are NOT owned by Trump, but are simply other developers licensing his 'brand' which is managed by his children.
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On June 02 2012 00:56 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:Show nested quote +On May 30 2012 16:05 Trumpstyle wrote:Ahh my favorite person Donald Trump is helping Mitt Romney win, with bringing birth certificate up once more Show nested quote +On May 31 2012 06:10 {CC}StealthBlue wrote: So who is running for President Romney or Trump?
Grow some balls Mitt. I gotta wonder what Trump's angle is on all this. Romney has secured the primary... what is Trump really getting for the level of continued support that he's fueling for Romney? I don't think Romney would choose Trump as his runningmate, and so I don't see how Trump continuing to be in the political limelight does anything to further his business (not that he needs a publicity boost in that respect). Maybe planning for four years from now?
Trump needs the TV time. I would say at this point his reality show is his primary source of income and he probably needs that income more than he lets on. Also since he is a man who loves to hear himself talk he will take any media he can get and is probably gunning for a keynote speech at the RNC.
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People are discussing Trump because he is more relevant. The Clinton thing is nothing more than boys club banter. Everybody who has ever had the ego necessary to achieve presidency in the modern era thinks they are the hottest shit on the block. Criticism is a natural extension of thinking you are right about everything.
The economic news is just more of the same so... not really news. This is bad for Obama but will not be headline worthy for a few months.
Quite frankly, Romney could have put a stop to this by completely abandoning any association with the birther movement. Romney is one good "birthers are crazy, trump is crazy and I dont want any of them to have anything to do with me or my campaign" quote away from putting this behind him. Its the wait for such a declaration that is news.
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On June 02 2012 03:33 Velocirapture wrote:People are discussing Trump because he is more relevant. The Clinton thing is nothing more than boys club banter. Everybody who has ever had the ego necessary to achieve presidency in the modern era thinks they are the hottest shit on the block. Criticism is a natural extension of thinking you are right about everything. The economic news is just more of the same so... not really news. This is bad for Obama but will not be headline worthy for a few months. Quite frankly, Romney could have put a stop to this by completely abandoning any association with the birther movement. Romney is one good "birthers are crazy, trump is crazy and I dont want any of them to have anything to do with me or my campaign" quote away from putting this behind him. Its the wait for such a declaration that is news.
The birther thing is collateral, and it's not even a position that Romney has adopted or even discusses.
I think you're missing the point of Clinton's comments and those of the other democrats who have defended Bain Capital and private equity. Right now, Obama's primary line of attack against Romney is that Romney's Bain Capital experience is a liability rather than an asset. The basis of this attack is a rather disingenuous portrayal of what private equity is and how it works. By defending Romney on this point, Clinton and the democrats are undermining Obama's reelection strategy -- one on which Obama has doubled-down despite the initial blow-back when the Newark mayor defended private equity. Clearly there are a lot of democrats who are very uncomfortable with the president's position on this issue. That's why this is a big deal.
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