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Ok, in that case everyone needs to be moving their votes to visceraeyes.
The reason is that I feel like he doesn't actually care at all about this game. He has been completely useless and uncharacteristically diplomatic this game.
Read through his filter, all he has ever done is weigh in on other people opinions. The only case he's actually presented is the one against paperscraps, who looks pretty towny in my opinion. Not to mention he has completely flopped on both his scumreads (paperscraps and myself) which isn't bad, but he has never presented an alternative option.
I think he's by far the most likely person to flip red in today's lynch. Layabout is probably the second most likely.
So yeah
##Vote VisceraEyes
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prplhz, you need to realize I'm right and push this lynch. Sentinel is very unlikely to flip scum.
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Rofl. Who is likely to flip anything other than "???" ?
I had your three people on my list too but apparently ranked in the opposite order.
I see what you see but, VisceraEyes in XLVIII was very active too. VisceraEyes is an active guy. I want him to talk more which is why I wanted to give him some more time to see if it was just his dog that had died and that was the reason for his inactivity (sorry if that really happened!) or if he was really disinterested in this game, in the long run I'd say it is a scum tell for anybody.
I'll vote him over [UoN]Sentinel but right now I'd rather lynch wherebugsgo.
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+ Show Spoiler +On January 29 2012 05:21 prplhz wrote:You are player A and below you is player B. You think that player C is more likely to be town than player B. How would town benefit from you giving player B your vote and hiding behind a silly plan? Would town not benefit more from you giving your vote to player C along with an explanation that would convince everybody else that player C is more likely to be town than player B? You are player A. It is day1 you can give away 1 or 2 votes. Why would town benefit more from you giving away 2 votes than 1? Unless you expect that you're going to die that makes no sense. We have to play mafia and mafia includes a lot of forcing people to generate content to see how they behave. The plan "wing it and keep us posted" accomplishes exactly that. We can't sit around and be too afraid to do anything, that wont ever win us the game and it might just lose it for us. We can't let ourselves be distracted by huge plans that require everybody to be Mafia might look townie but only if they act townie. If they act townie then we're gonna win anyway 'cause they'll need to surrender after having bussed all of their teammates. I'm going to hold everybody responsible for whoever they give their votes to, I don't care if they're below you on the list or not, if you give your vote to someone then you better have a really good reason for this.
Anyway, wherebugsgo is scum. wherebugsgo's town play can be characterized as very active and aggressive, he's a good scum hunter and decent at getting town to listen to him, he very certain and concious of his own ability, and he doesn't take shit from anybody. He always keeps his eyes on the ball and never makes a single post that doesn't have a purpose and that doesn't make sense. As scum he is still very active, but he doesn't make sense with everything he says. He is more lazy, less constructive, and more of a dick. I don't see town wherebugsgo. I see scum wherebugsgo. His vote against risk.nuke was terrible and he should know this, yet he votes him. First of all, risk.nuke is making sense in what he is saying, the trade circle (can we please refer to it as trade circle 'cause the other moniker is fucking terrible) is a bad idea. Second of all, anybody who is that vocal in their opposition to any plan is rarely scum. Third, wherebugsgo is voting risk.nuke because "he [risk.nuke] can't see this common sense" (about the trade-circle), but Palmar is opposing it too. Why does he hold risk.nuke to a higher standard than Palmar when Palmar is one of the best players in this game while risk.nuke is known to be semi-obstructive and hard to work with? Town wherebugsgo would have gone for Palmar because he has absolutely no excuse for what wherebugsgo says is bad logic, instead he avoids to do that. The vote was terrible and he retracts it without further reasoning. wherebugsgo votes for a lot of reasons, but this vote had no purpose other than him attempting to show his standard aggressive play but fails because he has no arguments. wherebugsgo ALWAYS has arguments, like this, this, and this. Contrast those posts to "he can't see the logic of a bad plan". His support of the trade-circle is also weird, wherebugsgo is fear mongering. The most obvious plan is that townies trade based on their reads, this will force people to contribute and will give us more very relevant to analyse. The trading is like a vote every night for who people think is more townie. wherebugsgo should think that this is awesome because he is town, but instead he thinks it's terribly because he's scum. Look at this post. "Giving votes to who you think is town is terrible because scum will look more town, THAN TOWNIES". What the fuck kind of logic is this? How are we every going to catch scum then, is he setting us up to lynch the people who look most town because they're likely scum? Second paragraph is hilarious. If we can't trust people to semi-reliably pick out who is townie, then how can we trust them to semi-reliably pick out who is scum? If we can't trust them to do that then what the hell can we do, just sit here and be so afraid to make mistakes that we will give the game away to scum? Single VP from town to mafia doesn't matter much because the mafia players who will end up with the most VP will be the most active and they will be figured out, the mafia players with fewer votes wont be as important to figure out right away. wherebugsgo should be fucking hooked on the free-trade plan, I don't remember a time when he was killed by town when he was town, but he's been figured out the last two times he was scum. That means that when he is town people usually know this, while when he's scum people will usually know this too. Then why doesn't he support the plan of trading VP to people who are town? Free-trading is a plan that allows everybody to ensure that their ability will be converted to votes, I think it massively favors town as long as we don't screw up massively which I am not going to assume. In this game we don't get a mod confirmed alignment of people who die. We need an analysis to confirm their alignment to ourselves. wherebugsgo provides absolutely no analysis for risk.nuke other than "he doesn't support the plan". Look at this. This is what wherebugsgo is capable of, that analysis was done a lot later in that game but wherebugsgo has uncharacteristically provided nothing at all this game. Now he is ready to kill me and [UoN]Sentinel at Paperscraps with absolutely no analysis given, even though wherebugsgo always provides some reason and analysis is even more important in this game than in any other. Only scum would benefit from a lynch we're unsure of because they would be able to spin it in any direction favorable to them. That said, I don't think [UoN]Sentinel or Paperscraps looks like they're likely scum. There's a lot of behavior from wherebugsgo that seems off but it's quite hard to write it down in a way that would make sense to a person who doesn't have several games with wherebugsgo. wherebugsgo is absolutely the best lynch we can get day1, I briefly considered other people and no-lynching but I'm pretty sure about this. I came to the conclusion that wherebugsgo was scum in Mini Mafia X and Responsibility Mafia! and I'm confident that he's scum in this game too even considering that it's pretty early in the game (caught on to him early on in Mini Mafia X too though) I know I voted earlier but it just looks good at the end of an analysis: ##Vote: wherebugsgo
About the votes on me so far; they're all god damn stupid. If you really want me to defend myself I'll do that because I have more time now, but I don't think that if any of you read any of the few arguments that's been put forward so far, that you could tell me why they make it more likely that I am scum over town. I don't claim to be the towniest person but I am neither scummy and nor the scummiest so there's absolutely no reason to lynch me. Also, so funny with people voting for me for not immediately providing analysis, when they don't care about the analysis that free-trading would force out of everybody. Voting to force analysis out of me, but won't adopt a voting plan that forces analysis out of everybody.
I think this is the soundest lynch logic I've heard thus far.
+ Show Spoiler +On January 27 2012 19:31 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:Show nested quote +On January 27 2012 19:22 Paperscraps wrote:
After Night 1 I am all for doing something else. We will have more information, due to the possibility of power roles. Power roles will be able to be 100% percent sure on things and lead town to lynches and pro-town reads. After Night 1 your plan is sound. This. I don't get why people are convinced they'd have to circlejerk until the end of the universe if we go with the plan. I just want a one or two night circlejerk, get information out, and then start voting appropriately.
This is one of the posts I made between my two-day circle trade idea (that's getting me lynched) and my one-day circle trade idea that shows I was changing my mind, not just sporadically suggesting plans to fuck everyone over. I'm a noob who felt good when his first post got received so warmly. Get over it. People poked holes in my initial circle trade, I came up with 2-day circle trade. People poked holes in that, I came up with 1-day circle trade. People poked holes in that, oh well, shitty plan, let's try something different. Now I like LSB's vote trading plan, and that hasn't had enough holes poked into it to change my mind again.
I'm done vouching my defense for now.
Bugs never justified his vote on me. Well he did, but when I asked him about it, Paperscraps just took over and I never got a reply from bugs. Reading his earlier threads (especially that long justification he did) makes me suspicious of this action.
On January 28 2012 10:19 VisceraEyes wrote:Show nested quote +On January 28 2012 10:05 Paperscraps wrote:On January 28 2012 09:36 layabout wrote:+ Show Spoiler [Paperscraps last post] +On January 28 2012 09:24 Paperscraps wrote:Show nested quote +On January 28 2012 05:13 Jackal58 wrote: Scum can gain voting power by killing the people they trade votes with.
And don't vote for the cowboy. Palmar is town.
Any reasons to why you think Palmar is town? The way the game is evolving right now, Palmar seems to be gaining a lot of town support, thus more likely to get votes on N1 if we do the free trade system. Am I the only one wary of this? There is no possible way to know whether or not he is town or mafia on D1. This is a game of wits and Palmar is a smart fellow, just saying. Show nested quote +On January 28 2012 05:05 Palmar wrote:On January 28 2012 04:24 Paperscraps wrote:On January 27 2012 22:57 Palmar wrote: The difference between finding mafia to lynch and finding townie to pass your vote to is night and day. Remember, if you just randomize it, you still have 70% chance of hitting a townie. Add in even a tiny bit of thinking and that percentage goes up.
When you're trying to lynch scum it's the opposite, and you will be influenced by outside factors (it's harder to get wagons started on scum). However, this is your decision and your decision alone, so you have complete control over the outcome.
There is no such thing as safe play in mafia. It's not safe to do the circle of trust because we don't know what abilities the mafia has, and we cannot possibly gain an advantage through that method. With no advantage we don't know how the game is balanced. "I just chose at random" This justification completely negates what your plan is trying to do, which is to get scumtells from peoples justification on their trades. Another contradiction By your logic and probability, townies should trade their votes at random N1, ~70% chance to trade to another townie. So, which one is it Palmar? Free trade + justifications or randomized trading. On January 27 2012 19:57 Palmar wrote: whatever, I don't have the energy to argue with dumb.
I will not be following whatever plan you guys cook up. I will be following my own plan. This is so anti-town. Solidarity is crucial, not dissidence. You are forcing the town to do one of two things, follow you or lynch you. Seems like a scummy power play to me. ##Vote: Palmar You're not helping anyone with that. You're just being dumb. Seeing as you're probably town you're working directly against your win condition. I didn't suggest anyone randomized, I was just pointing out what a great starting point we had even if we simply randomed. Don't try to see things that aren't there. Palmar, why the lack of open-mindedness? The benefit of circle trading N1 is much safer than free trading to people based of some perception we got during D1. I don't disagree with a free trade + justification plan after N1, but N1 circle trading seems the best options, until we get some solid reads during D2. I'll leave my vote on you until you give some valid benefits to free trade over circle trading N1.
Does anyone think no lynching is an option D1? The mafia have a set KP, thus we only lose 1 townie and D2 we have a ton more information to work with. Odds are we will lynch a townie today. I am fine with lynching this guy. What's this i am gonna leave my vote on you crap? He is also hinting at a no-lynch on the basis that we will likely hit a townie, which is just plain bad If you think I am guilty, why not vote me up then? I am leaving my vote on Palmar, because he is being unreasonable. Hopefully he will post something more constructive, instead of just calling people "dumb". I on the other hand am open to suggestions and willing to change if people post logical arguments. 4/15 chance to hit mafia, 11/15 chance to hit townie. You are willing to lynch me right now and that would be very bad for town. Why the sudden change from purple and viscera to me? Why is a no-lynch so frowned upon? I understand that we can only kill mafia by lynching, but D1 odds are against us. Because the odds are against us all days, not just D1. Do you think scum are going to withhold their NK because they haven't figured out who's blue yet? More information would be nice, but a slightly lessened chance of killing scum (lynching D1) is better than zero chance of killing scum (NL D1). If you want to see the No-Lynch in action, go check out XLVIII. + Show Spoiler +Scum Victory - not really because of the No-Lynches, but please note the chaos that surrounds EVERY lynch. NL is hardly ever the answer. I'm going back to do a reread and a couple filters, so in the meantime... ##Unvote: PaperscrapsI don't think I'll be able to get the support I'd need, and I'm starting to doubt you're red myself. Not many scum would suggest no-lynch like that...especially since it's so frowned upon in most towns. I'll be back later tonight with my vote.
So the only real argument he's made all game he rescinds.
I'd say VE is fluffing the thread, but bugs has more holes in his story/justification. Thus:
##Vote: wherebugsgo
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On January 29 2012 02:19 [UoN]Sentinel wrote: Do you think risk would only piss people off as town? Could you explain this question? What I meant was pissing people off seems to be a scum tell for you. Palmar almost always pisses me off but it has nothing to do with his alignment. Scummy Palmar and townie Palmar both piss me off. Same with WBG. I was wondering if you thought that was a scum tell. I also wondered what risk did to piss you off?
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Hey Jackal58 could you comment on wherebugsgo and VisceraEyes or is [UoN]Sentinel more likely to be scum? What makes him more likely to be scum?
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On January 29 2012 06:44 Jackal58 wrote:Show nested quote +On January 29 2012 02:19 [UoN]Sentinel wrote: Do you think risk would only piss people off as town? Could you explain this question? What I meant was pissing people off seems to be a scum tell for you. Palmar almost always pisses me off but it has nothing to do with his alignment. Scummy Palmar and townie Palmar both piss me off. Same with WBG. I was wondering if you thought that was a scum tell. I also wondered what risk did to piss you off?
At the time, I did think it was a scum tell (again, didn't know his history at that point). Like, people yelling just shuts you off to their ideas, and so I just kinda got pissed off at him.
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Palmar, I'm not sold on VE. I doubt you'll manage to get him lynched today. Let discuss other options. I'd prefer meatless. I'd be okey with sentinel or wbg (who dropped of the face of the earth).
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On January 29 2012 07:02 prplhz wrote: Hey Jackal58 could you comment on wherebugsgo and VisceraEyes or is [UoN]Sentinel more likely to be scum? What makes him more likely to be scum? WBG is off his town game so far. I always think Visc is scummy. Sentinel gave me some bad vibes but he answered my question about being pissed off. Fwiw I have the same issue at times. Confusing anger with scumminess.
My wife and I are going out shortly and I will be gone til after the flip. My vote is going on wbg. It's purely meta. ##VOTE: Wherebugsgo
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We have about 3 hours to get a lynch in and I will spend this time to push forth what I think is the best lynch, [UoN]Sentinel.
I can see similarities between my mafia play in previous games and his play here. One of effective plays a mafia can do is to blatantly play for the mafia side. Sometimes town doesn’t notice, and sometimes a few people do notice but they don’t do anything till it’s too late
In addition, this play is very effective for this setup, even if you are exposed, you could simply transfer 2 of your votes away to your team, minimizing a loss of a sacrifice.
As I have stated here, the plans that [UoN]Sentinel proposes all have effective mafia counterplans: -Circlejerk is obvious, but mafia friendly -His wait 2 nights and then free trade is disastrous, and results in either a D2 or D3 lylo. -His wait 1 night is almost as bad, and put on shaky reasoning To say that I am ‘giving him too much credit’ or ‘he can’t possibly scheme that for ahead’, would be an unfair underestimation. His posts demonstrate he is capable of thinking ahead and the ability to formulate intricate counterplans.
Although he had a change of heart in the later stages, this only happened after I called him out on his plan, and it is standard play to drop any obvious mafia tactics as soon as possible. Because of his blatant attempts to mislead the town, to me he is the most obvious mafia
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I really don't like meta-calls. There are a variety of reasons why someone can change their meta. Maybe they want to try something new, maybe they are getting bored of mafia.
Hey, I just got lynched (as town) because I went on a ski trip and was afk for 20 hours, and a giant lynch was started because I was 'too inactive'
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Why was VE's read on paperscraps so bad?
On January 27 2012 16:45 VisceraEyes wrote:I vote D1 we circle jerk and see what happens. Just saying "oh you know, there will be people who don't want to follow the plan" the way LSB did excuses that kind of behavior - the plan doesn't work unless we all agree to it. If we can't come to a consensus, then we're all going to just have to do whatever the fuck, and I already know where my votes are going in the event that happens. Now, the lynch. ##Vote: PaperscrapsShow nested quote +On January 27 2012 13:02 Paperscraps wrote:@ Palmar When you get done with your whole "I'm a badass" routine, can we hear some reasoning behind why you are against the circle trade system? or anything that is actually constructive at all? + Show Spoiler +I understand you are being crazy right now to tests people reactions and stir up a bit of commotion. This set off alarm bells. My main problem is that he doesn't sound like someone with a town read on Palmar. He sounds like someone who already knows Palmar's alignment is town. I'm going to be honest - I'm also starting to think Palmar is town, but it's not based on a belief that I think he's acting scummy to test reactions. It could be, but that's not why. I think Palmar is town based almost exclusively on the fact that scummy players like Paperscraps are defending the way he's playing. Show nested quote +On January 27 2012 13:02 Paperscraps wrote: @Everyone I have another idea for trading votes. I want to bounce it off you guys to see what you think. The main idea behind the circle trading system is to keep an even spread of votes across all players. They way we have it setup, the mafia will get to pick and choose who they want to give more vote(s), either townie or fellow mafia. One way to kind of keep the mafia on their toes is to split up everyone into 5 groups of 3. Then during the night you choose at random who you would like to give vote(s) too.
My thinking behind this is that it gives mafia less information as to where votes in particular are going. Randomness though is a double edged sword. This can either hurt town or hurt mafia.
So, it seems almost everyone is on board with the 1 vote circle trade system. I think this is the best way to minimize mafia tampering and vote gaining. If anything it severely stifles their ability to accrue a mass amount of votes over the course of one night, which is a possibility if some mafia seems particularly pro-town to the majority of people.
In the first paragraph he outlines a needlessly convoluted plan with the main goal of "keeping the mafia on their toes" by "randomly choosing" who votes go to within smaller groups of townies. But in the second paragraph, he makes sure to agree with the circlejerk plan. Why? If you support the circle-voting plan then why are you coming up with more options? The day is half over bro, it's time to start thinkin about that LYNCH. Show nested quote +On January 27 2012 13:02 Paperscraps wrote:
My FoS is on MeatlessTaco right now. But not your vote. Why? Whether we've come to a consensus on how to deal with the votes or not, we still have to lynch someone today. That starts with votes. Now, I agree that MeatlessTaco doesn't look great with his lack of reasoning for his votes and blatant sheeping, but lynch? Not to mention the fact that you're in favor of this circlejerk plan...but... Show nested quote +On January 26 2012 12:10 MeatlessTaco wrote: Townies, we need a plan. The vote system could cause us problems if we don't stick together. We'll need to ascertain what vote-rigging abilities the scum have, to do this we need a circle of trust. We'll all trade votes in a circle instead of doing it haphazardly. Any vote manipulation by the scum will result in merciless lynching. It was MeatlessTaco's idea! He was the first to suggest it! If it's "the best option", then why are you the most interested in lynching the person who brought it up first? My guess? He doesn't even realize that MT brought it up first. He's just looking for the easiest target, and right now that's someone who suspects Palmar and voted risk.nuke for no reason. Paperscraps is scum
Paperscraps' convoluted mini-group thing was never going to work and just impeded any kind of actual plan. He gives an inane analysis in the role of randomness in the game and then leaves an himself an out.
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@LSB
The [UoN]Sentinel lynch is bad. This isn't the first time a newbie has confused "abrasive" or "seemingly wrong" with "scum". [UoN]Sentinel has been out there all game and he hasn't been afraid to speak his mind at all. He didn't cave in face of opposition, but he has realized that he was wrong. This isn't a scum tell at all, you'd acknowledge that you are wrong if you are wrong no matter your alignment wouldn't you?
[UoN]Sentinel is likely just a newbie who really wants to play this game, we'll see about his alignment later but are you really willing to lynch him on that reasonable you have in a 4v11 no-flip game?
Meta is absolutely useful for any lynch, so is behavioral analysis. Less so people pushing scum agenda, day1 is always hard to play, just because some new guy didn't think something fully through doesn't mean that he's scum at all. Scum generally will be much more wary of blatantly pushing scum agenda.
You need to comment more on the wherebugsgo and VisceraEyes cases than "meta meh".
wherebugsgo and VisceraEyes should post more in this thread, as should just about everybody else.
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@MeatlessTaco
Pot, kettle, black, your vote is STILL on risk.nuke. Am I calling for your lynch because you are terribly wrong about him? It's not necessarily scummy to be wrong. What happened to your "I thought it was logical so I don't need to give reasonable, everybody can figure it out" and why are you suddenly all "Is it just me or <drep>"?
What is your opinion on wherebugsgo and VisceraEyes?
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##Vote WhereBugsGo
im voting for WBG because i do think he would go for the Free Trade Voting plan. It makes the most sense.
The more opportunities mafia has to mess up the more likely we can get one to mess up.
I know WBG is a smart player and i do like prplhz argument against him. It makes alot of sense. I know WBG is smart and he should be smart enough to see the better plan.
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If Sentinel is actually really clever, this scares me
On January 28 2012 03:55 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:+ Show Spoiler +On January 28 2012 03:30 LSB wrote:Show nested quote +On January 28 2012 03:20 [UoN]Sentinel wrote: EDIT: Didn't see the post LSD made after he voted for me. Is it assigned, like (X with 5 votes is going to vote for Y with 1 vote, Z with 7 for W with 1, etc.) or is it just the person with 1 vote that you trust the most as town? Person with 1 vote who you most trust as town. So if N2 it is A: 3 B: 3 C: 3 D: 1 E: 1 F: 1 G: 7 H: 5 I: 1 J: 1 K 3 L: 3 A, B, C, K, L will transfer 2 votes to one of A,B,C,K,L,D,E,F,I,J G will transfer 4 votes to one of D,E,F,I,J H will transfer 2 votes to one of D,E,F,I,J ' Alright then, sounds good. In that case, one more question. This is probably the last thing that's keeping me attached to circlejerking. If mafia are acting pro-town and get votes (say G and H are mafia, other two could exchange votes), couldn't they possibly have a lylo day 3? Say A B G and H are all mafia. Day 3, 43 VP left in the game. Day 2 mafia had 18 VP, if either B or C receives votes (and G and H circulate to B and C as well), it would be 20 mafia and 23 town. On January 28 2012 03:33 LSB wrote:
Let me simply it
Your first plan is the obvious plan. It is really obvious. It doesn't say anything about your alignment
Your second plan circlejerking night 1 and night 2 but free for all night 3 is deceptive and has a very effective counterplan. That's why I think you are mafia
Your third plan is like your second plan, but the counterplan isn't as easy. It is still worse than my plan I was concerned more about how many votes to circle (1 or 2), and again I said first 2 nights before everyone started talking about day 3 lynch or lose scenarios.
The whole idea behind the Circle of Trust was not to lose as town by avoiding worst-case scenarios on the first night. Suggesting trading 2 votes a night in a mafia-exploitable way is horrible. Obviously, he backs away as soon as he is called on it. This could be just bad logic, but if others think he is actually pretty clever, then this is really scummy.
##Vote: [UoN]Sentinel
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On January 29 2012 07:48 prplhz wrote: @MeatlessTaco
Pot, kettle, black, your vote is STILL on risk.nuke. Am I calling for your lynch because you are terribly wrong about him? It's not necessarily scummy to be wrong. What happened to your "I thought it was logical so I don't need to give reasonable, everybody can figure it out" and why are you suddenly all "Is it just me or <drep>"?
What is your opinion on wherebugsgo and VisceraEyes?
I was really trying to bully through the Circle of Trust idea and was hoping to steam roller it through. Without 100% support I don't like the idea.
My response to Palmar's post about forcing mafia into decisions should have included a risk.nuke devote.
I read through VE's filter and didn't see anything bad. I reread the case against Sentinel and his filter and put my vote there.
I haven't been looking at wherebugsgo, I'll have to go back and look.
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Multipost, have to run for a bit...
wherebugsgo analysis for the Circle of Trust was the most clear and logically consistent of anybody. I don't mind his starting the risk.nuke bandwagon at the time. There were so many bad suggestions in this thread, none of them are WBG's.
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On January 29 2012 07:48 jaybrundage wrote: ##Vote WhereBugsGo
Your vote didn't register, could you please reformat it?
On January 29 2012 07:44 prplhz wrote: @LSB
The [UoN]Sentinel lynch is bad. This isn't the first time a newbie has confused "abrasive" or "seemingly wrong" with "scum". [UoN]Sentinel has been out there all game and he hasn't been afraid to speak his mind at all. He didn't cave in face of opposition, but he has realized that he was wrong. This isn't a scum tell at all, you'd acknowledge that you are wrong if you are wrong no matter your alignment wouldn't you?
[UoN]Sentinel is likely just a newbie who really wants to play this game, we'll see about his alignment later but are you really willing to lynch him on that reasonable you have in a 4v11 no-flip game?
Meta is absolutely useful for any lynch, so is behavioral analysis. Less so people pushing scum agenda, day1 is always hard to play, just because some new guy didn't think something fully through doesn't mean that he's scum at all. Scum generally will be much more wary of blatantly pushing scum agenda. I'd rather overestimate someone than underestimate someone, and [UoN]Sentinel does not seem like a clueless Noob to me. The thing with mafia is that anyone can make a meaningful contribution, even if it is only their first game. In addition, his posting style disproves of this notion, he is capable of critical analysis of plans and formulation of counterplans.
Your defense of him is essentially "he is too noob" and "lynching people is bad because he won't flip". Shoddy reasoning to me. In addition, I don't believe you have a complete understanding of his argument. I agree with you, people often mistake bad with scum. However, that isn't my argument, my argument is that this is an obvious scum play and must be treated as such.
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Putting this out there just in case: multiple people have said something along the lines of "the lynch is tonight". That's wrong. We have to make a lynch happen by tonight. Instant majority.
Okay, I still honestly believe the circle jerk is the town's best option by far. It's easy, it's safe, it's enforceable, and I still don't understand why we need to look at where people send their votes when we still have the tried-and-true method of seeing who people actually vote to lynch. But I'm willing to drop it if that means getting a lynch in today -- and it's pretty clear that it's useless if multiple people don't follow it, which is going to happen whether I like it or not.
Reading through WBG's posts, I'm not getting huge scum vibes, but that's at least partially because I agree with much of his logic, which it's clear a lot of people don't. It seems that a lot of the votes going towards him are based on his meta, which I don't know very well. But at the very least he has a strong, stated opinion on a plan, which is something scum would like avoid.
VisceraEyes, on the other hand, has wavered wildly. In-thread, he's gone from supporting the circle-jerk, to being against it, to giving mild support for it again. In the latter case, his opinion changed in the space of a couple of hours. I feel that he isn't figuring out what the actual best approach is, but is instead trying to sneak in with whatever the popular opinion of the time happens to be.
Also, there's this:
I think Palmar is town based almost exclusively on the fact that scummy players like Paperscraps are defending the way he's playing.
Wha? Just... what?
##Vote: VisceraEyes
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