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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:13 Blazinghand wrote:
Note that I am not a fan of stopping the discussion at any point.
EBWOP: I guess this statement isn't really true because I wanted to get us to stop talking at night. On the other hand, maybe it IS true because I'm discussing right now. I'm not 100% on this issue but I don't think my case is indefensible.
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On December 07 2011 04:09 Blazinghand wrote:Show nested quote +On December 07 2011 04:06 xtfftc wrote:On December 07 2011 03:55 Blazinghand wrote: Tonight the mafia may have already made their decision, but if we can get the same info without exposing ourselves more by delaying an analysis post another hour, is that really a bad idea? One thought would be that we need as much information as possible, but I'm not saying we shouldn't have the info, just that a minor delay is good. Five hours is what we're talking about here. Yes, because it's not just about your own analysis. It's about your analysis and everyone else reacting to (or ignoring) it. An isolated read isn't as good as being able to analyse people's responces. Hm. That's true, the extra 24 hours may make the difference. On the other hand, it's worth noting that at the beginning of the day, we do receive another piece of information: assuming that either (a) there is no doctor or (b) the doctor guesses wrong, one of us dies and is a confirmed townie or blue. A dead confirmed townie or blue, but a confirmed townie or blue no less. This information might be unhelpful but it could also play a big role in terms of analysis. Going off your assumption that someone will end up dying tonight, why should we hold off on posting analysis? The more conversation that we can have before night ends, the more that the dead townie will be able to contribute before they die. Given this, I feel that we stand to gain more by posting analysis earlier so that we can discuss it with all of the town voices.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:14 Grackaroni wrote:Show nested quote +On December 07 2011 04:09 Blazinghand wrote:On December 07 2011 04:06 xtfftc wrote:On December 07 2011 03:55 Blazinghand wrote: Tonight the mafia may have already made their decision, but if we can get the same info without exposing ourselves more by delaying an analysis post another hour, is that really a bad idea? One thought would be that we need as much information as possible, but I'm not saying we shouldn't have the info, just that a minor delay is good. Five hours is what we're talking about here. Yes, because it's not just about your own analysis. It's about your analysis and everyone else reacting to (or ignoring) it. An isolated read isn't as good as being able to analyse people's responces. Hm. That's true, the extra 24 hours may make the difference. On the other hand, it's worth noting that at the beginning of the day, we do receive another piece of information: assuming that either (a) there is no doctor or (b) the doctor guesses wrong, one of us dies and is a confirmed townie or blue. A dead confirmed townie or blue, but a confirmed townie or blue no less. This information might be unhelpful but it could also play a big role in terms of analysis. Seeing the flips can definitely help your own reads, I suggest that you try to reread the thread after each death because it may give you some new perspective. That said do not use the flips as a base for a case against somebody because that is likely to have been manipulated by scum
Well yeah, just because I die for example doesn't mean BKEXE is scum; he could well be town and I got killed so you guys would think he's scum, etc. Sometimes this gets a bit WIFOM-ey. You have to be careful because there's a big difference between "confirmed town" and "this guy knows what he's doing"
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:15 Velinath wrote:Show nested quote +On December 07 2011 04:09 Blazinghand wrote:On December 07 2011 04:06 xtfftc wrote:On December 07 2011 03:55 Blazinghand wrote: Tonight the mafia may have already made their decision, but if we can get the same info without exposing ourselves more by delaying an analysis post another hour, is that really a bad idea? One thought would be that we need as much information as possible, but I'm not saying we shouldn't have the info, just that a minor delay is good. Five hours is what we're talking about here. Yes, because it's not just about your own analysis. It's about your analysis and everyone else reacting to (or ignoring) it. An isolated read isn't as good as being able to analyse people's responces. Hm. That's true, the extra 24 hours may make the difference. On the other hand, it's worth noting that at the beginning of the day, we do receive another piece of information: assuming that either (a) there is no doctor or (b) the doctor guesses wrong, one of us dies and is a confirmed townie or blue. A dead confirmed townie or blue, but a confirmed townie or blue no less. This information might be unhelpful but it could also play a big role in terms of analysis. Going off your assumption that someone will end up dying tonight, why should we hold off on posting analysis? The more conversation that we can have before night ends, the more that the dead townie will be able to contribute before they die. Given this, I feel that we stand to gain more by posting analysis earlier so that we can discuss it with all of the town voices.
Alright, that's a fair point. And by now, it doesn't matter anyways since we're talking up a shitstorm. I suppose that the discussion must press on regardless.
That being said, I consider it unfair to call someone scum based on a difference opinion, but it's probably just a novice mistake on xft's part.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
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This means that at night, we have no new info to work off of. Nightkills/blues' results/post-night claims are important new information but our main source of information is people's posts. This is why I put so much emphasis on discussion, even if we go in circles and re-analyse the same posts we've already analysed.
And yeah, agreed with Grackaroni's last two posts.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:19 xtfftc wrote: And yeah, agreed with Grackaroni's last two posts.
Grackaroni
. The town, including myself, have started sheeping him and treating him like he is a confirmed town.
I think it should be made very clear that a confirmed town doesn't KNOW anything more than an unconfirmed town, and I'm not confirmed town, and even if I were you should scrutinize my posts carefully. The fact of the matter is, I'm wrong a lot of times before I'm right, and just because a guy's probably innocent doesn't make him smart. I've played one mafia game-- this game. I'm as inexperienced as you guys. DO NOT SHEEP ME. I'm alarmed how many people followed me onto Adam and BByte without good analysis of their own.
Think for yourself. Get in the practice with it, or the mafia will confuse is and shit on us.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:23 Blazinghand wrote:Show nested quote +On December 07 2011 04:19 xtfftc wrote: And yeah, agreed with Grackaroni's last two posts. Show nested quote +Grackaroni
. The town, including myself, have started sheeping him and treating him like he is a confirmed town.
I think it should be made very clear that a confirmed town doesn't KNOW anything more than an unconfirmed town, and I'm not confirmed town, and even if I were you should scrutinize my posts carefully. The fact of the matter is, I'm wrong a lot of times before I'm right, and just because a guy's probably innocent doesn't make him smart. I've played one mafia game-- this game. I'm as inexperienced as you guys. DO NOT SHEEP ME. I'm alarmed how many people followed me onto Adam and BByte without good analysis of their own. Think for yourself. Get in the practice with it, or the mafia will confuse is and shit on us.
PS: It's totally chill to agree with me. I don't mind. Disagreeing, however, produces a lot more evidence than agreeing. Take my discussion just now with xft; I think everyone has a better idea of the value of night posting now that this has happened.
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Hey guys,
The concert went great, but I am still worried about what BH said earlier. I have some information, but I feel that if I post it the mob might get a lot more information.
I feel like it is important that we be careful what we say, because the mob needs to figure out who knows who the mafia members are.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:25 BroodKingEXE wrote: Hey guys,
The concert went great, but I am still worried about what BH said earlier. I have some information, but I feel that if I post it the mob might get a lot more information.
I feel like it is important that we be careful what we say, because the mob needs to figure out who knows who the mafia members are.
Nah I no longer agree with that idea. The mafia's gonna hit someone anyways, we might as well maximize our information and opportunity to comment. Post your stuff.
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On December 07 2011 04:17 Blazinghand wrote: That being said, I consider it unfair to call someone scum based on a difference opinion, but it's probably just a novice mistake on xft's part. I didn't call you scum, I just gave you some red points ^^ And the red points weren't about your opinion but about you not being logical enough on the issue in question. Overall I rated your town play so far as good, so when you said something that doesn't make a lot of sense (it does a bit but it ignores the bigger issue), it is much worse than it would have been if someone who's been playing as a bad townie says it. And the whole idea of the red and green "points" is that I expect townies to make some small mistakes that can be called scummy (which is one of the reasons why I argued against earlier was the "lynch all liars/scumslips" thing earlier). Especially with this being a newbie game...
I'm going to the shop/do a work-out/take a shower and then I'll have a look at the thread unless I fall asleep in the meantime. Stay safe tonight!
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:27 Blazinghand wrote:Show nested quote +On December 07 2011 04:25 BroodKingEXE wrote: Hey guys,
The concert went great, but I am still worried about what BH said earlier. I have some information, but I feel that if I post it the mob might get a lot more information.
I feel like it is important that we be careful what we say, because the mob needs to figure out who knows who the mafia members are. Nah I no longer agree with that idea. The mafia's gonna hit someone anyways, we might as well maximize our information and opportunity to comment. Post your stuff.
BTW I think you personally BKEXE should post your stuff just because I feel like your performance so far has been mildly underwhelming.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:28 xtfftc wrote:Show nested quote +On December 07 2011 04:17 Blazinghand wrote: That being said, I consider it unfair to call someone scum based on a difference opinion, but it's probably just a novice mistake on xft's part. I didn't call you scum, I just gave you some red points ^^ And the red points weren't about your opinion but about you not being logical enough on the issue in question.
Wait, so the problem wasn't that I had my opinion, but it was that my opinion was illogical? But... is my position inherently illogical, or was it the particular way I supported it? Because from the way I read this this is you saying "well, your position was different than mine, and mine is logical, therefore you are illogical and are red points"
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I wrote this during the dinner break of my rehersal, so unfortunately I was not able to comment on BByte. Despite BByte's elimination I did view him as scum as well as others. It is unfortunate that he got as few posts as he did in. I feel that not everyone contributed to the BByte discussion that voted for him, we need to act as a town and each put in an opinion on our vote. You can check out my comment on him, I wish I had got it out earlier
Mafia: red Neutral: normal Towns: bold
ey215 - I really have a no reason to put him in either category he has provided some information, but often only when asked. On the other hand he comments on the lurkers and liars prompt, but he never really gives an opinion on the lurking. When commented on the no comment he gets angry saying that he is being attacked for his non support of LaL although his opinion was in the middle really supporting either side. I feel his feud with BH is instead based in the fact that he is the voice of moderation in most of our posts and he is bound to get some push back as moderation would cramp BH's style. + Show Spoiler +On December 04 2011 13:01 ey215 wrote:Show nested quote +On December 04 2011 12:52 xsksc wrote:On December 04 2011 12:35 xtfftc wrote:On December 04 2011 12:06 xsksc wrote: What do you guys think of policy lynches in general? Do you think they are a good idea, if so, why?
Personally I disagree with lynching a lurker JUST because they're lurking, in a game like this anyway. The risk of hitting a townie is way too high.
Lynch all liars is a great idea though. It discourages people from lying right from day 1, the only people with a good reason to lie are scum. Both sound great but in reality they don't work. Lynch All Liars.. People get lies and opinions mixed up all the time, and even when a lie is a lie, eventually you realise that there are different types of lies and lynching for some of them is a bit too much. Then comes the argument that if we lynch everyone caught in a lie, townies would stop lying, so we would not have to deal with all of this. But the reality is that you lynch a townie for lying, then you lose the game because of wasting a lynch in order to teach the liars a lesson, then you join another game and you realise that there's so many other players you have to teach that same lesson, and so on. If we start doing it in every single game, it might work after a while. But when you've invested a week in the game, you don't want to throw it away just because some townie attempted a stupid gamble. All you are focused on is lynching mafia. And townies tend to get lynched for lying all the time anyway, even without having the policy in place - simply becase when someone is caught lying, they are usually accused of being mafia. Agreeing upon whether someone is lukring or not is easier but simply lynching all lurkers is not optimal. What's important is that people realise that sometimes every active player is a townie. If your analysis leads you to the conclussion that the active players are townies, then you start lynching lurkers. That's the best we can do. I don't understand your part about lynch all liars. Think about it logically, if we say, "Lie and you're gonna get lynched" then no townie is going to lie, are they? It's not just to teach a lesson, scum benefit greatly from lies and deceit. I want lynch-all-liers in effect today. Also, on day 1 it's very easy for scum to post nonsense and get away with it, because day 1 can be such a mess, hell, sometimes the most active players are scum. Just because someone posts a lot doesn't make them town, lol. Look at the last newbie mini-game. Ciryandor was scum, and he posted more analysis than anyone, everyone assumed he was town and that was a big reason why town lost. Hi all! Lynch all Liars is rough, sometimes you need to use your head and be able to tell the difference between a lie and a misunderstanding or misstatement. In games where people are posting a lot it's very easy for people to misspeak not realizing what exactly they've said in the past. I would think some common sense would help here. If it's an outright lie, by all means lynch away. If it's a misstatement and we've got a better case on someone it's better to let it slide. On the lurker bit, I do think there's a time and place for lynching. If we don't have a case on someone it's better to lynch a lurker than someone active. If they're lurking then they're not contributing or giving us something to go on. Of course, if we've got a good case on someone it's better to lynch them. Looking forward to this.
BByte - I put him hear because he has a high scum read. He comments on how Velinath has a lot of null reads when he himself has only five reads three of which are basically unsupported.
BH - He is either a townie or has th biggest poker face in the game. I feel that his attacks might be showing the true side of people.
EB - I feel that there is a lot of bad air around EB and that his bad choice of words against BH has put him in the worst position of the game. Looking at his latest posts they seem for the most part reasonable, his break down of xsksc was pretty telling showing that he can break people down and that xsksc is being careless with his posts. I think this deserves him the neutral position as the votes for him could very well be for out of a claim that was purely emotional.
Grackoroni - I do not know what to think about him, while he does have a lots of small posts I feel each one is strong in the message it tries to send. He has been trying to dig into lurkers and has put in some of his reads. It seems that unlike others he is playing very objectively. I have no idea what this means in mafia though. I would appreciate thoughts on grack the most.
Hassy - First came across to me as scum because he seemed to overreact to BH's votes in the early game, but I like his defense that he used behind his vote for myself. I feel like even though he at first used Velinath's point to defend his vote, his second reason made sense. He has every right to be suspectful of me, but I feel he needs to contribute to the forum more. His tone suggests more of a townie tone though.
Velinath - I can say he is town or mafia for the sole reason of the amount of posts he has put up. He unlike some of my other reads is very post heavy, yet they are all in response to another users post. If you do not believe me look at his filter they almost all involve the posts of another user. While this is useful for anylitics of others I can not actually get a good read on Velinath from them.
xsksc - he has been a very odd character. I am not sure why but he blew up after EB's probing of one of his careless posts (not that all of them are). He likes to use his initial post to prove his township, but after the post he did not do much to lead the discussion. Any discussion I have been part of has always had input from the prompter, it is important for them to get idea of the prompt and why they support it.
Xtfftc - I think that he has provided good information, but has also been very active in previous mafia games. I feel his strong responses will make him a tough read and encourage others to help me figure out who he is.
I fundamentally disagree with bandwagons as
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:27 Blazinghand wrote:Show nested quote +On December 07 2011 04:25 BroodKingEXE wrote: Hey guys,
The concert went great, but I am still worried about what BH said earlier. I have some information, but I feel that if I post it the mob might get a lot more information.
I feel like it is important that we be careful what we say, because the mob needs to figure out who knows who the mafia members are. Nah I no longer agree with that idea. The mafia's gonna hit someone anyways, we might as well maximize our information and opportunity to comment. Post your stuff.
I swear to god BKEXE if you dodge I'm going to figuratively literally walk over to your house and shit in your refrigerator.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:36 Blazinghand wrote:Show nested quote +On December 07 2011 04:27 Blazinghand wrote:On December 07 2011 04:25 BroodKingEXE wrote: Hey guys,
The concert went great, but I am still worried about what BH said earlier. I have some information, but I feel that if I post it the mob might get a lot more information.
I feel like it is important that we be careful what we say, because the mob needs to figure out who knows who the mafia members are. Nah I no longer agree with that idea. The mafia's gonna hit someone anyways, we might as well maximize our information and opportunity to comment. Post your stuff. I swear to god BKEXE if you dodge I'm going to figuratively literally walk over to your house and shit in your refrigerator.
OH LAWL HE POSTED WHILE I WROTE THIS MY BAD
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:36 Blazinghand wrote:Show nested quote +On December 07 2011 04:36 Blazinghand wrote:On December 07 2011 04:27 Blazinghand wrote:On December 07 2011 04:25 BroodKingEXE wrote: Hey guys,
The concert went great, but I am still worried about what BH said earlier. I have some information, but I feel that if I post it the mob might get a lot more information.
I feel like it is important that we be careful what we say, because the mob needs to figure out who knows who the mafia members are. Nah I no longer agree with that idea. The mafia's gonna hit someone anyways, we might as well maximize our information and opportunity to comment. Post your stuff. I swear to god BKEXE if you dodge I'm going to figuratively literally walk over to your house and shit in your refrigerator. OH LAWL HE POSTED WHILE I WROTE THIS MY BAD
One might say that was a ... waste of a cleverly-worded threat.
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Whoops the bottom part got cut off.
I disagree with bandwagons. Xtfftc says that if the mafia does not like the pick they will vote for a random player. The mob is not going to vote for a random player, they will vote for people who can be written off as scum by everyone without too much trouble. I am worried that there will be a mafia member that is able to defend there claims well enough for people to bandwagon on to their claim.
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My bad I skiped over Tunkeg, and jay (you all know what I tink about adam.)
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
On December 07 2011 04:48 BroodKingEXE wrote: My bad I skiped over Tunkeg, and jay (you all know what I tink about adam.)
I'd like to hear your thoughts on TK and JB.
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