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Forum Index > TL Mafia
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LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 07 2011 09:22 GMT
#41
##Signup
/in
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 08 2011 05:04 GMT
#75
On November 08 2011 13:47 annul wrote:
so nobody remembers me or my day 1 awesomeness

maybe now is the time for my return. unleash it on the unsuspecting masses

Day 1 auto lynch Annul ftw!!!
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 10 2011 22:32 GMT
#135
On November 11 2011 07:30 Erandorr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 11 2011 06:30 GreYMisT wrote:
My first game with my new lurker pic :D


over 150 posts in a week O.o STEROIDS!

Welcome to TL Mafia ^^
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 15 2011 03:51 GMT
#255
/confirm
Pay Attention
Okay, this needs to be said. Of course I bet there will be people of people + Show Spoiler +
Annul
who will say I'm mafia because I'm making this post, but it is absolutely necessary that we follow this.

DO NOT LIE
Under no circumstances should you lie. Lying is anti-town as it is removes one of the best mafia tells we have. If all townies agree not to lie, and someone lies, well then that person's mafia. If we allow townies to lie we get fake claims everywhere, mafia have an easier time hiding, we can't trust blues. Everything goes out of whack. Just don't lie.

LAL FTW!

Don't Lurk
This should be obvious. Lurking is anti town, even if you are new, or don't think your analysis is very strong, you should still post your opinions. Remember, if you don't post/don't do your own analysis/thinking you are sheep, and sheep get slaughtered.

I'd rather have a town that is full of debate and arguing than a town that is dead silent.

Don't Tunnel
Keep an open mind, you may be wrong. Always reexamine your positions. Don't be afraid to say that you changed your mind. Don't be afraid to do what is 'unpopular'

Don't Claim
The only time you can claim is if you are going to be lynched. If you are DT, what you should do instead of claiming is breadcrumb, so even if you die, we'll know who you checked and who you think is town and who you checked is mafia.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 15 2011 03:55 GMT
#256
come to think about it, that does seem like a nice icebreaker. So everyone! How about lets talk about how you think mafia should be played, the importance of blues, what should we do with lurkers, and what majority lynch means.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 15 2011 05:55 GMT
#268
On November 15 2011 14:19 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 15 2011 12:55 LSB wrote:
come to think about it, that does seem like a nice icebreaker. So everyone! How about lets talk about how you think mafia should be played, the importance of blues, what should we do with lurkers, and what majority lynch means.
LAL?
For your point on LAL, unless I have misread the OP, we only know what abilities are possible, not which are actually in the game, how they may have been combined into roles, nor how many of the role there may be. So, unless we have a cop of some variety, I don't know how you intend to find liars in this game. So were you just stating that as a general "in mafia games" rule, or did you have something in mind for this game in particular? I'd be interested in hearing how you intend to determine the liars given the setup.

Lying will come up and you will be able to recognize it. The most prominent example is fake claims. So LAL means no fake claims. + Show Spoiler +
Or it means don't get caught lying.
+ Show Spoiler +
Kenpachi's green claim would be an example of a potentially acceptable lie (if he is blue) as this early in the game any claims are meaningless


On November 15 2011 13:43 Hiroruby wrote:
Well, this is my first game so I'll give my elementary assessment of the afformentioned topics.

Playing Mafia: I think mafia lurking and lying are weak strategies. Following those guidelines you set will guarantee the mafia get a few free town lynches if they play smart and be active at the beginning as I'm pretty sure we will have some inactive townies. As I said, straight up lying is a bad move, because it could come back to haunt you. Better to just have convoluted, strangely worded, ambiguous answers to peoples questions. It's all true, but people will waste time trying to figure out what you meant.

That is when you go "afk" for a few hours while people decipher it, then when they have sufficiently wasted their time, change something you said. Nothing big, just say it was a slight mistake or that you changed your mind about a portion of what you said. Following wheels like this whenever they present themselves is a good move, because if ever people follow the wheel to a towny, you can either hint to try and get a band wagon on him, or just let the town try and hang eachother.

I think sacrificing a mafia member is a great move as well. Have one mafia member call out another, get him killed because people will follow the logic train of: One is mafia, and one is town. No matter who gets lynched, it is very possible the town is left with a "sleeper cell" if you will. A trusted member who will influence us for the rest of the game, possibly without suspicion until several mislynches are made.

In my opinion, Mafia's biggest goal should be to become a trusted towny, by whatever means necessary.

I'm not too indepth with the subtle nuances of Mafia and their roles, so I'm eager to learn how those effect the game from other peoples posts.

A few things to note:
1) It's been said as Mafia that one of the hardest things to do is make convincing analysis against a townie
2) Motivation is key, there are bored mafia, there are bored town. Both mafia and town lurk. It is difficult to get read on lurkers that's why they are discouraged
3) Everything that mafia do and say is a lie, has an ulterior motive, or spam. And sometimes the lies get tangled up and exposed. That's why we can't automatically assume that mafia won't lie

Blue roles: are of course game changers, but I've read a lot of posts about town and their over reliance on blues to win the game. I believe Ace has been very vocal about this, perhaps I'm wrong on that, but I don't think we should hinge our strategy on verifying a few blue names and hoping they win before we all get killed. Again as with Mafia roles, I don't know too too much about the subtleties on how some of the roles like vet get played out in game. I'm again, eager to see what my fellow boatsmen have to say.

Future reference, this usually applies only to PM games. We don't have PMs here so we can't rely on blue roles even if we wanted to

Can you write a small report like this as well, LSB? I would like to see your take in an easy to read format, so that I can see an established players views on the topics.

I'd rather not post any established opinions till later in the day as I want to see what people think, rather than listening to a bunch of parrots.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 15 2011 07:12 GMT
#278
On November 15 2011 15:49 DCLXVI wrote:
damn I forgot people post while I'm in the middle of writing posts... ugh


Show nested quote +
On November 15 2011 14:55 LSB wrote:
On November 15 2011 14:19 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
On November 15 2011 12:55 LSB wrote:
come to think about it, that does seem like a nice icebreaker. So everyone! How about lets talk about how you think mafia should be played, the importance of blues, what should we do with lurkers, and what majority lynch means.
LAL?
For your point on LAL, unless I have misread the OP, we only know what abilities are possible, not which are actually in the game, how they may have been combined into roles, nor how many of the role there may be. So, unless we have a cop of some variety, I don't know how you intend to find liars in this game. So were you just stating that as a general "in mafia games" rule, or did you have something in mind for this game in particular? I'd be interested in hearing how you intend to determine the liars given the setup.

Lying will come up and you will be able to recognize it. The most prominent example is fake claims. So LAL means no fake claims. + Show Spoiler +
Or it means don't get caught lying.
+ Show Spoiler +
Kenpachi's green claim would be an example of a potentially acceptable lie (if he is blue) as this early in the game any claims are meaningless


So what is your position on Kenpachi claiming townie? At first you say LAL, but then lying can be acceptable in certain situations, such as kenpachi is blue. Then you say that his claim is meaningless as it is too early in the game. Does that make his post spam/intentionally distracting? Surely he is a good enough player to realize the importance of his claim. Can you explain your opinions on the subject rather than just post vague generalizations. Is kenpachi's claim worth analyzing/what does it mean?

Wtf does this mean? Are you saying you are taking Kenpachi seriously?
Stop talking hypotheticals, iirc you've played with Kenpachi before. Even if you have not you can go through his posts and figure out how he plays. In addition you've played before so you know how TL mafia is in the first few hours. I honestly don't see how
Does that make his post spam/intentionally distracting? Surely he is a good enough player to realize the importance of his claim.

this has anything to do with Kenpachi's post. We all know how worthless his claim is, and how much everyone (me included) spams.

Your logic is basically saying we should lynch Zephirdd because of this spam
On November 15 2011 12:57 Zephirdd wrote:
I claim that LSB is mafia because I have access to that information and I don't care what others think and now I won't say anything else for the next 72 hours.


It seems like you are trying to pull a 'contradiction' out of nothing... that or twisting my words into unreasonable absolutes.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 15 2011 07:25 GMT
#280
I like multi lynch as we can focus on whether or not a person is scum, rather than who between 2 people seems more scummy. + Show Spoiler +
Explanation. Many times lynches come down to whether person A is more scummy than person B. Multi lynch allows us to judge each independently


If two people seem scummy, I don't see any reason why we shouldn't lynch both of them. At the same time I would like to stress the importance of having a lynch. A day with no lynch is almost a free night for mafia. We need information and abstaining doesn't give us any

I pose a question. Should we lynch one inactive every day?
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 15 2011 07:59 GMT
#285
On November 15 2011 16:50 xsksc wrote:
3) We shouldn't go overboard with the use of this on lurkers, maybe lynch 1 lurker a day with it, in addition to the people we think are scum.

What are your views about this? Should we do this? If so why?
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 15 2011 08:16 GMT
#287
Not necessarily, I want xsksc to answer his question. But it's been brought up multiple times, and maybe we should hold a 'poll' on it.
+ Show Spoiler +
The issue with discussing plans is that unless it is clearly town favored or mafia favored it is really easy for mafia to lurk and discuss a plan (something they probably don't care about) instead of making fake analysis
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 15 2011 08:43 GMT
#292
On November 15 2011 17:36 prplhz wrote:
Policy lynching is stupid stupid stupid and if we policy lynch ANYTHING it will ONLY help mafia. The day is 72 hours long and you have to post one every 24 hours so lurking should be somewhat dealt with that way. If we lynch lurky people they HAVE to be scummy too, you don't just lynch blindly into inactivity.

Tunneling can be pretty powerful, it is a tool to get a read it should just be used right. Town shouldn't let itself get sidetracked if player A decides that they want to tunnel player B, look at what is happening. Don't just say "lole~(tm) u r tunnl means u r scum". If you want to lynch either a lurker or a liar you ALWAYS need to post analysis of why they are scummy too.

I like what Cyber_Cheese said, Hiroruby has a lot of focus on how to play as mafia. Also, he supports a strict lynch all lurkers policy which, as I have already said, is extremely pro-mafia for painfully obvious reasons.

The multi-lynch system should be used for lynching multiple scum.

##Vote Hiroruby

Why do you disagree with Lynch all Liars?
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 15 2011 08:54 GMT
#294
On November 15 2011 17:46 prplhz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 15 2011 17:43 LSB wrote:
On November 15 2011 17:36 prplhz wrote:
Policy lynching is stupid stupid stupid and if we policy lynch ANYTHING it will ONLY help mafia. The day is 72 hours long and you have to post one every 24 hours so lurking should be somewhat dealt with that way. If we lynch lurky people they HAVE to be scummy too, you don't just lynch blindly into inactivity.

Tunneling can be pretty powerful, it is a tool to get a read it should just be used right. Town shouldn't let itself get sidetracked if player A decides that they want to tunnel player B, look at what is happening. Don't just say "lole~(tm) u r tunnl means u r scum". If you want to lynch either a lurker or a liar you ALWAYS need to post analysis of why they are scummy too.

I like what Cyber_Cheese said, Hiroruby has a lot of focus on how to play as mafia. Also, he supports a strict lynch all lurkers policy which, as I have already said, is extremely pro-mafia for painfully obvious reasons.

The multi-lynch system should be used for lynching multiple scum.

##Vote Hiroruby

Why do you disagree with Lynch all Liars?


I think town shouldn't lie and we should discourage that. Look no further than Team Melee Mini Mafia where the esteemed GMarshal provided a prime example of why a strict lynch-all-liars policy isn't always the greatest as it would have lost town that game.

If you are town: do not lie under any circumstances. If you are town and somebody else lies: don't just lynch them because of that alone, even though we have a seemingly unlimited number of lynches at our disposal.

Town got destroyed in Team Melee Mini Mafia. Show me an example where lying helped the town. Telling the truth is pro-town

LAL works as firstly it encourages the town to tell the truth, which means the town is better. Also, since pro-town people realize how important it is to tell the truth, the only liers would be mafia. Lastly it punishes mafia for making fake claims, helping sort out information. It accomplishes what you said and more.

On November 15 2011 17:23 Lemonwalrus wrote:
Why are so many people putting seemingly random parts of their posts in spoilers? It makes it hard to read. If you are saying scummy things I don't want to have to make all these extra clicks to catch you.

I know (from personal preference) if you are (I am) skimming, spoilers are always fun to click and are an easy way to draw attention. ^^
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 16 2011 03:04 GMT
#390
On November 16 2011 04:14 DCLXVI wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 03:00 Sabin010 wrote:
On November 16 2011 02:37 Zephirdd wrote:
On November 16 2011 02:25 Tyrran wrote:
On November 16 2011 01:59 Sabin010 wrote:
I agree about lynching liars, but if we're lynching lurkers because they're not active just doesn't seem to be a good way to go about this. If some one proposes we lynch a lurker, I'm not voting.



So you are basically saying : " hey mafia, go lurk and stop posting and you'll be safe from me". I hope you understand how this is suspicious.


Gotta agree with Tyrran here. Lurkers are bad for townies. That said, I don't want to just go on "lynch ALL the lurkers!" mode, but at least lynching one or two a day should make them stay in high alert.


You know I never thought about it like that.

did did you just not read the thread then? That option was brought up several times.

@LSB
I didn't know that kenpachi always townie claims day 1, it has been forever since I have played. It still does not allow him to post 2 other useless one liners and then leave. I just don't think that you should just write off kenpachi so quickly. Zephirrd confirmed early then came back later and actually posted stuff. Once I look that over and see if it is good material I can comment more on it, but at least he posted something. Kenpachi posted useless one liners in response to hiroruby (so there was stuff to talk about, he just decided not to) and then disappeared. I want to see more out out of Kenpachi than this. If he has played enough games for this behavior to be standard, then he should know that this doesn't help the town.

##Vote Kenpachi

This is one of the worst reason's I've heard on why to vote someone. I'm going to vote for someone because they play like normal. With someone as established as Kenpachi, he defiantly has a style of playing that should not be ignored

At the same time he has been useless, so I won't fault you on that.

On November 15 2011 20:44 Forumite wrote:
/confirm
Show nested quote +
On November 15 2011 16:12 LSB wrote:
On November 15 2011 15:49 DCLXVI wrote:
damn I forgot people post while I'm in the middle of writing posts... ugh


On November 15 2011 14:55 LSB wrote:
On November 15 2011 14:19 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
On November 15 2011 12:55 LSB wrote:
come to think about it, that does seem like a nice icebreaker. So everyone! How about lets talk about how you think mafia should be played, the importance of blues, what should we do with lurkers, and what majority lynch means.
LAL?
For your point on LAL, unless I have misread the OP, we only know what abilities are possible, not which are actually in the game, how they may have been combined into roles, nor how many of the role there may be. So, unless we have a cop of some variety, I don't know how you intend to find liars in this game. So were you just stating that as a general "in mafia games" rule, or did you have something in mind for this game in particular? I'd be interested in hearing how you intend to determine the liars given the setup.

Lying will come up and you will be able to recognize it. The most prominent example is fake claims. So LAL means no fake claims. + Show Spoiler +
Or it means don't get caught lying.
+ Show Spoiler +
Kenpachi's green claim would be an example of a potentially acceptable lie (if he is blue) as this early in the game any claims are meaningless


So what is your position on Kenpachi claiming townie? At first you say LAL, but then lying can be acceptable in certain situations, such as kenpachi is blue. Then you say that his claim is meaningless as it is too early in the game. Does that make his post spam/intentionally distracting? Surely he is a good enough player to realize the importance of his claim. Can you explain your opinions on the subject rather than just post vague generalizations. Is kenpachi's claim worth analyzing/what does it mean?

Wtf does this mean? Are you saying you are taking Kenpachi seriously?
Stop talking hypotheticals, iirc you've played with Kenpachi before. Even if you have not you can go through his posts and figure out how he plays. In addition you've played before so you know how TL mafia is in the first few hours. I honestly don't see how

I´m going to step in here. DCLXVI allready caught this and posted before me, but I don´t think my reason for noticing has been discussed. Okay, to me it looks like this; LSB wants us to Lynch All Liars. Kenpachi claimed Townie, but LSB doesn´t want us to take the Kenpachi claim seriously. My problem here is that either Kenpachi lied, or he just told Scum not to nightkill him, because it would be no use. If we are going to go by the LAL policy, then either Kenpachi lied or acted Pro-Scum, so why should we back off? Kenpachi does this every game, then we can ignore his claim, but what I don´t agree with is LSB promoting LAL wanting to ignore the claim, even if it is meta. It took him about 5 posts to go back on his own policy of Lynch All Liars. If Kenpachi lied (or play Pro-Scum), why does LSB then defend him after his first policy post?

FoS LSB

Bandwagoning much?
I have no idea what you're trying to pretend I'm saying but from what it looks like, you didn't read my post and you are just parroting 666.

As for lynching 1-2 lurkers and 1-2 scum, sounds reasonable, I think we should stay at about that number for now. We need to be carefull about lynching, not just because of the consequences in the setup, but if we find 5 players who seem connected, then it´s better to lynch 1-2 and see if they are scum, than lynching all 5 at once and kill 5 innocent townies at once.

This doesn't mean anything. I fail to see how this is relevant to the game
On November 16 2011 04:42 Lemonwalrus wrote:
As far as lynching lurkers goes, I just thought of something.

If we decide to lynch lurkers one a day or something, I think that gives mafia a slight advantage, in that they will be able to, with their numbers, lead the vote to non-mafia lurkers before it gets to mafia lurkers. So say there are 3 town lurkers and 1 scum lurker, the scum will be able to vote and probably help the scum lurker be the last of the 4 lynched and they won't look bad in hindsight since they were just following the policy we had set forth to lynch a lurker a day. I don't really know what we could do to stop this but I'd like to at least discuss it before we start playing in to scum hands. I know lurking townies aren't particularly useful, but they are still a warm body that puts town that much further from losing. Idk, anybody have any suggestions?

You've played as mafia before, there is always multiple mafia lurkers and towards the end of the game it's hard to figure out who is who between town and mafia. I say we lynch people who are "impossible reads" starting day 2.

Take Lanaia for example. She hasn't posted anything substantial and stuck to commentary on the game as a whole. (Of course, she's probably going to come back and post more.)
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 16 2011 03:24 GMT
#394
(oooh I figured out you can find your userid from the filter function. What can't this wonderful invention do <3)

/spam
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 16 2011 03:45 GMT
#396
On November 16 2011 09:46 wherebugsgo wrote:
Chaoser


filter link: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=41788&user=41788

Chaoser right now is all over the place. He is not fostering positive discussion. He just OMGUSed sinani, he is pushing three different people right now, and he is using very little reasoning for all of those votes.

Chaoser if you are town, you need to slow down and focus on one person so that your posts are more coherent and readable, or you need to provide more information about your vote targets. Right now you're being incredibly distracting, particularly as people have to keep asking you why you're voting the people you are voting. This OMGUS on sinani, for example:

You are saying that Chaoser is scum because he doesn't tunnel and doesn't play like you?
hmm...

Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 09:15 chaoser wrote:
On November 16 2011 09:07 sinani206 wrote:
On November 16 2011 09:06 Drazerk wrote:
On November 16 2011 09:03 sinani206 wrote:
wtf

##Vote: chaoser


Your not going to lurk the first day, come out of no where and then vote chaoser without reason.

FoS sinani206



His posts this game are nothing like what I've seem out of him before and even if I hadn't played with him before, the posts are straight up scummy.


1) Deal with my posts being different. This use of "your posts are different" meta is so stupid I'd gladly post completely differently every single game to kill it. Can't tell if you're mafia or stupid >_>

Also while the manner in which I post is different, the reasoning behind my posts isn't, (XXXIX)

2) How are my posts "straight up scummy?"

##Vote: Sinani206

I'm so happy I get to vote multiple people


If you can't tell if he's scum or dumb, why did you vote him? It makes no sense using your very own logic. If you can't tell someone's alignment, why would you vote them?

Then, your attacks on Zephirrd are really bad too. He's a new player, and most of what he's saying makes sense. That's better than a lot of other new players. You even admit to making cases "out of nothing" as an attempt to create reactions from other players. That's not a good way to play town and you know it. You should be posting a case on someone after you have subtly pushed them for a while, instead of voting them the instant you think they've said something scummy. That's not reliable.

Wait, what's so bad about this attack http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&currentpage=18#348? Or the other attacks, I'm having difficulty following your generalizations right now
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 17 2011 04:54 GMT
#846
Sorry guys I'm sick and sleep deprived and I have so much to do.

But a quick glance through. Before we lynch Lanaia, we should at least see how Kenpachi fllps. A lot of analysis has been "Kenpachi is scum so Lanaia is scum", yet we don't know 100% if Kenpachi is scum

##Vote: sinani206
Since in reality he hasn't said anything besides "xxx is obvscum"
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 18 2011 08:32 GMT
#1130
Palmar is Mafia
Is working is magic :D

As I have repeated many many times, one of the hardest things to do in mafia is to make analysis against a townie.
If your not going to do this you have to A) Lurk, B) Bandwagon C) Not say anything relevant
Note what these three are? What you guys think are the biggest 'tells' in mafia. ^^

The biggest trap most mafia members fall into is that they force analysis, because they have to. They need to convince the town that a fellow townie is mafia. And in order to do this, they force analysis.

There are a few characteristics of forced analysis

1) Warping people's words- it's much easier to argue against "I shot the sheriff" than "I protected the sheriff and that's why KP was lowered"
2) Making logical fallacies- These are unconscious. When you desperately attempt to prove someone to be mafia, you start making bad/erronious connections.
3) Go after easy targets- it's easy to hide amongst a crowd. This is not necessarily true for forced analysis.

Thesis: Palmar's little insight rests solely on logical fallacies, which are made because he is forcing analysis. Therefore Palmar is mafia.

On November 16 2011 21:49 Palmar wrote:
First off, we should establish that chaoser is both analytical and critical as town. His play this game starkly contrasts that idea. He is throwing accusations and votes both left and right without actually doing much to back them up. Now, this leads us to think what would make chaoser throw his votes around like this.

The only sensible reason to do that as town is to apply pressure, but when you are the one being pressured it's actually not beneficial to do this, because no one is going to listen to you anyway. The optimal town play in this situation is to try as hard as you can to build reputation for people to listen to you for. However, chaoser seems not even slightly interested in raising his status in the game, feeling pretty comfortable being not listened to at all. Something only scum is interested in.

First of all, this post contains two big logical fallacies. Metagaming and No True Scotsman
1) Metagaming- Remember, this game is played online. Unlike RL mafia, where 'tells' or 'nerves' get in the way, play style between town and mafia is very hard to distinguish. If you want to make comparisons it requires a lot of analysis and supporting claims. I cannot think of a way to be able to realistically call anyone's meta. Palmar is brushing over and claiming that chaoser is "analytical and critical as town" and never such as mafia. [spoiler]I'm not saying that metagaming is invalid, but what I am saying is that Palmar hasn't shown that this is Chaoser's true metagame. I've played with Chaoser many times and I highly doubt that this is anywhere close to Chaoser's true metagame[spoiler]
2)No True Scotsman Explination- Palmar is theorizing what optimal town play and blaming Chaoser for not following it. Noone does optimal town play. People have things called 'playstyles' and 'personalities' + Show Spoiler +
If I did, I wouldn't be sick and I'd be spamming the thread


Palmar actually explains No True Scotsman the best
On November 17 2011 09:51 Palmar wrote:
Also, holy shit it really fucking bothers me that you guys dare complain about bad towns. Why am I not getting lynched? Why is WBG or Bum or Coag not getting lynched? It's got nothing to do with town, it's got everything to do with your own play. Man up and own your mistakes. We all fuck up.

So he's being hypocritical right off the bat too

This one is particularly interesting. First off, we have to understand how sinani206 works to see if this is legit. Remember, sinani206 hasn't got the greatest track record as town or scum, but he does have his tells like everyone else. This little vote he placed on chaoser seems to be pretty genuine. Like he's not pro enough as scum to realize that doing something like that with his meta as scum is excellent play, and thus the simplest explanation is that sinani206 is town.

chaoser should have understood this, yet he directly OMGUS votes sinani206, even gloating about the fact he's voting multiple people.

Again, Meta Fallocies, and a quick town tell on sinani who up to the point of Palmar's post did not post anything substantial. I don't know how Palmar can be 100% sure that Sinani is town but even if it is true (And we ignore the fact that Palmar is using s**y scumtells) it leads us to the next fallacy
Anyone who Votes for a Town is Mafia- I hope I don't have to explain why this is wrong.

Show nested quote +
On November 15 2011 22:23 chaoser wrote:
On November 15 2011 13:29 Kenpachi wrote:
real long day ok.
hi i am Kenpachi and i am a Townie
welcome to TL mafia to those who are just starting and i hope you have a good time here.


We are the 99%
I am also green townie <3
LAL is stupid


This is chaoser soft-claiming a power-role. No reason to do it unless you're scum.

If you can't understand how he's soft-claiming a power role, well... you deserve to be punched.

So yeah, let's kill that guy.

Palmar is trying to analyze spam. This is going too far. If your trying to put words into someone's mouth and analyze spam you are forcing analysis.


On November 17 2011 07:51 Palmar wrote:
We're lynching Lanaia no matter what. What she did is extremely poor play on day 1. If you're gonna do something like that, why not take it up with town? You must've known the anti-vote would show up anyway, so you're basically outed as soon as yo use it.

Basically, that play is so bad for town that I see no reason to not lynch her.

As for Kenpachi, well, his sole defense i "town is bad" which is well... fair. But remember, if you are the one who doesn't manage to argue your way out of lynch, both as town and scum, you are actually the worst person of all those bads you're complaining about.

Without exception, the player who gets lynched day 1 is the worst player in the game.

1) No true Scottsman
2) His argument is essentially, Kenpachi is scum so Lania is scum. This is another fallocy, since at the time Kenpachi hasn't flipped.

And that's why Palmar was so quick to push a day 1 lynch.

On November 17 2011 20:13 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 17 2011 19:55 Tyrran wrote:
Ouch, Palmar post that he likes me, and i destroy him with my very next post. Sorry for that ^^'.

I still stand by my analysis tho.


You actually made me reconsider the stance on Lanaia. I just posted a huge post to see you attacking me

Oh looks like Palmar gets out once he realizes Lania is actually going to be lynched. What happened to 'sticking to your beliefs' and 'definatly going to lynch her' now

TLDR: Palmar is mafia because his case on Chaoser was horrible and consisted only of logical fallacies.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 18 2011 08:32 GMT
#1131
Any bets on whether or not I survive the night?
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 18 2011 08:45 GMT
#1135
I haven't analysed on Chaoser/Nisani yet so I can't give you a definite answer and will not comment on their play. But you must remember a few things

1) Lynches are more often than not Townie-Townie. Many games have been lost because Day 1 Mislynch, Day 2 Go after the person who pushed the Day 1 lynch, and hit a mislynch
2) Just because there are people who look like scum doesn't mean we should ignore Palmar.
3) I didn't say that Palmar's analysis is bad. I said his analysis is forced. There is a crucial difference.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
November 18 2011 08:49 GMT
#1136
4) I like
5) I am sad because I don't have
6) I entertain myself with ordered lists
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
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