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Rogue, Maru advance to Code S quarterfinals

Forum Index > SC2 General
48 CommentsPost a Reply
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TL.net ESPORTS
Profile Joined July 2011
4 Posts
September 04 2019 20:59 GMT
#1
[image loading]
2019 Global StarCraft II League - Code S Season 3

This season's 'group of death' lived up to its name as Stats and Solar saw their recent hot-streaks cut short by the Jin Air duo of Rogue and Maru.

Rogue—who suffered Ro32 elimination in the previous season—was the first to redeem himself, advancing with victories over Stats and Solar. Stats' reputation in PvZ had skyrocketed after his 3-2 victory against Serral at Assembly Summer, but Rogue made short work of him with a two-base Nydus strategy, followed by a hardy defense against a cannon-rush in the next game. While Solar managed to force Rogue to a game three in the winners match, Rogue was able to force his way to quarterfinals with a decisive, Hydra-Lurker-Nydus backdoor attack in the series-clinching game.

Maru—who was also humiliated by an Ro32 exit last season—had a tougher path back to the playoffs. He was instantly humbled in his first game against Solar, whose mastery of Brood Lord-Infestor was too much for even Maru's infamous, nuke-laden, and infinitely patient mech play. After that series ended in a 1-2 loss, Maru was then faced with an elimination match against Stats—the very player who had 3-0'd him at the recent GSL vs. World tournament. Yet, just two weeks later, Maru came back looking like a totally different player. He obliterated Stats with late-game nukes in game one, and then outlasted a series of ever more desperate attacks from Stats in game two.

Facing Solar again in the group decider match, Maru opted to shelve mech for bio-based play. This approach proved to be more effective—although Solar continued to play well, Maru was able to overpower his opponent before he could put together his dreaded end-game composition. After the matches, Maru said his decision to switch to bio was an on-site improvisation. While he had practiced mostly mech (and been quite successful in practice), his comprehensive loss to Solar in his initial match forced him to change strategies.

Group C's results significantly impact the WCS Global Finals race as players look to finish in the top eight. #10 ranked Rogue remains a firm contender to make a push to the cutoff, while Stats sees his hold on the #7 spot grow more tenuous. Unfortunately, #13 Solar will need a Super Tournament 2 championship combined with abject failure from his rivals to secure a Global Finals spot.



+ Show Spoiler [View Matches] +

The Code S round of sixteen will conclude on Saturday, Sep 07 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) with Group D, featuring Classic, RagnaroK, Dear, and Zest. The Code S quarterfinals will be held soon after between September 10th and 11th (check out Liquipedia for more information).

Catch up on the games on YouTube
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TL+ Member
okays
Profile Joined September 2019
10 Posts
September 04 2019 21:31 GMT
#2
Why did they remove income per minute in the observer overlay? It can be very useful
Woosixion
Profile Joined February 2012
117 Posts
September 04 2019 22:19 GMT
#3
lol abject failure
the only way out is through...
DreamlnCode
Profile Joined December 2018
United Kingdom77 Posts
September 04 2019 22:34 GMT
#4
What Stats? Congrats to Rogue, I'm going to watch these games.
Shuffleblade
Profile Joined February 2012
Sweden1903 Posts
September 04 2019 23:00 GMT
#5
Maru vs Stats were really fun games to watch, great ones as well. Will be cheering for greenwings
Maru, Bomber, TY, Dear, Classic, DeParture and Rogue!
NExt
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Australia1651 Posts
September 04 2019 23:18 GMT
#6
Holy shit. I'm sure Maru could smash anyone in the last group. Then semifinals Keen or Trap ... Another Maru finals?!?!
Waiting for Protoss Jesus
col_jung
Profile Joined October 2017
139 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-05 04:14:44
September 05 2019 04:13 GMT
#7
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.
dbRic1203
Profile Joined July 2019
Germany2655 Posts
September 05 2019 05:49 GMT
#8
On September 05 2019 13:13 col_jung wrote:
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.


Yeah, but his realy bad Siege up timings looked worrysome. When HE finally fixed that, he became pretty much unstopable..
No mention of the cringy strategies of Korean ZvZ? Even when whatching, I could allready see Elazer and Lambo picking pretty much every decision made there apart. This didn t look like Korean ZvZ < Eu ZvZ, but K ZvZ <<<<<< Eu ZvZ.
MaxPax
Jj_82
Profile Joined December 2012
Swaziland419 Posts
September 05 2019 06:41 GMT
#9
Fantastic group with very entertaining games!
Once rode a waterslide with PartinG and TaeJa ✌
Durnuu
Profile Joined September 2013
13319 Posts
September 05 2019 06:50 GMT
#10
JIN AIR COACHING
BUNNYYYYYYYYY https://i.imgur.com/BiCF577.png
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12761 Posts
September 05 2019 06:53 GMT
#11
Thanks for the write-up, but talking a bit about the patch and how it could have skewed results would have been useful imo!
WriterMaru
Argonauta
Profile Joined July 2016
Spain4902 Posts
September 05 2019 08:17 GMT
#12
On September 05 2019 14:49 dbRic1203 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 13:13 col_jung wrote:
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.


Yeah, but his realy bad Siege up timings looked worrysome. When HE finally fixed that, he became pretty much unstopable..
No mention of the cringy strategies of Korean ZvZ? Even when whatching, I could allready see Elazer and Lambo picking pretty much every decision made there apart. This didn t look like Korean ZvZ < Eu ZvZ, but K ZvZ <<<<<< Eu ZvZ.



ROLF Lambo xD I understand that Elazer is boosted after his win vs Dark but Lambo?????? Welp
Rogue | Maru | Scarlett | Trap
TL+ Member
kmh
Profile Joined November 2010
Finland351 Posts
September 05 2019 08:29 GMT
#13
KR ZvZ is just not that good.
StarcraftSquall
Profile Joined December 2018
United States196 Posts
September 05 2019 08:32 GMT
#14
On September 05 2019 08:18 NExt wrote:
Holy shit. I'm sure Maru could smash anyone in the last group. Then semifinals Keen or Trap ... Another Maru finals?!?!


Classic may have something to say about that.
dbRic1203
Profile Joined July 2019
Germany2655 Posts
September 05 2019 09:14 GMT
#15
On September 05 2019 17:17 Argonauta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 14:49 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 13:13 col_jung wrote:
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.


Yeah, but his realy bad Siege up timings looked worrysome. When HE finally fixed that, he became pretty much unstopable..
No mention of the cringy strategies of Korean ZvZ? Even when whatching, I could allready see Elazer and Lambo picking pretty much every decision made there apart. This didn t look like Korean ZvZ < Eu ZvZ, but K ZvZ <<<<<< Eu ZvZ.



ROLF Lambo xD I understand that Elazer is boosted after his win vs Dark but Lambo?????? Welp

They actually both analyse gsl replays on stream. I ve talked about decision making and strategies, not the execution. And in the further EU Zergs are vastly superior than Korean Zergs. That Korean Z vs EU Z can still be a close game is due to better controls on the Korean side only.
MaxPax
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12129 Posts
September 05 2019 09:56 GMT
#16
On September 05 2019 18:14 dbRic1203 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 17:17 Argonauta wrote:
On September 05 2019 14:49 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 13:13 col_jung wrote:
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.


Yeah, but his realy bad Siege up timings looked worrysome. When HE finally fixed that, he became pretty much unstopable..
No mention of the cringy strategies of Korean ZvZ? Even when whatching, I could allready see Elazer and Lambo picking pretty much every decision made there apart. This didn t look like Korean ZvZ < Eu ZvZ, but K ZvZ <<<<<< Eu ZvZ.



ROLF Lambo xD I understand that Elazer is boosted after his win vs Dark but Lambo?????? Welp

They actually both analyse gsl replays on stream. I ve talked about decision making and strategies, not the execution. And in the further EU Zergs are vastly superior than Korean Zergs. That Korean Z vs EU Z can still be a close game is due to better controls on the Korean side only.

Question is if their decision making would be this good under the pressure at game
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
Xain0n
Profile Joined November 2018
Italy3963 Posts
September 05 2019 10:01 GMT
#17
On September 05 2019 18:56 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 18:14 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 17:17 Argonauta wrote:
On September 05 2019 14:49 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 13:13 col_jung wrote:
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.


Yeah, but his realy bad Siege up timings looked worrysome. When HE finally fixed that, he became pretty much unstopable..
No mention of the cringy strategies of Korean ZvZ? Even when whatching, I could allready see Elazer and Lambo picking pretty much every decision made there apart. This didn t look like Korean ZvZ < Eu ZvZ, but K ZvZ <<<<<< Eu ZvZ.



ROLF Lambo xD I understand that Elazer is boosted after his win vs Dark but Lambo?????? Welp

They actually both analyse gsl replays on stream. I ve talked about decision making and strategies, not the execution. And in the further EU Zergs are vastly superior than Korean Zergs. That Korean Z vs EU Z can still be a close game is due to better controls on the Korean side only.

Question is if their decision making would be this good under the pressure at game


Wasn't it shown enough times already?
dbRic1203
Profile Joined July 2019
Germany2655 Posts
September 05 2019 10:07 GMT
#18
On September 05 2019 18:56 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 18:14 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 17:17 Argonauta wrote:
On September 05 2019 14:49 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 13:13 col_jung wrote:
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.


Yeah, but his realy bad Siege up timings looked worrysome. When HE finally fixed that, he became pretty much unstopable..
No mention of the cringy strategies of Korean ZvZ? Even when whatching, I could allready see Elazer and Lambo picking pretty much every decision made there apart. This didn t look like Korean ZvZ < Eu ZvZ, but K ZvZ <<<<<< Eu ZvZ.



ROLF Lambo xD I understand that Elazer is boosted after his win vs Dark but Lambo?????? Welp

They actually both analyse gsl replays on stream. I ve talked about decision making and strategies, not the execution. And in the further EU Zergs are vastly superior than Korean Zergs. That Korean Z vs EU Z can still be a close game is due to better controls on the Korean side only.

Question is if their decision making would be this good under the pressure at game

Lambo said one week before GSL vs World, that as long as Elazer isnt shitting himselve, he has a good shoot at whinnig vs Dark. But that foreigners shitting themselves, when playing against koreans is a real problem..
So we dont know, I suppose. I actually hope, that the good showings of EU ZvZ will actually release some pressure in the games from the EU Zergs, so that the Korean Zergs adapt and go for EU strats.
Seeing Rogue and Solar going for like 20+ Zerglings at the same time opting to go for full out attack, knowing, that it would the defenders advantage would be increadible hugh, was just cringy. If any of those 2 just made like 5 extra drones and then made the lings after scouting the attacked, either of them would have won right then and there.
MaxPax
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12129 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-05 10:23:54
September 05 2019 10:21 GMT
#19
On September 05 2019 19:07 dbRic1203 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 18:56 deacon.frost wrote:
On September 05 2019 18:14 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 17:17 Argonauta wrote:
On September 05 2019 14:49 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 13:13 col_jung wrote:
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.


Yeah, but his realy bad Siege up timings looked worrysome. When HE finally fixed that, he became pretty much unstopable..
No mention of the cringy strategies of Korean ZvZ? Even when whatching, I could allready see Elazer and Lambo picking pretty much every decision made there apart. This didn t look like Korean ZvZ < Eu ZvZ, but K ZvZ <<<<<< Eu ZvZ.



ROLF Lambo xD I understand that Elazer is boosted after his win vs Dark but Lambo?????? Welp

They actually both analyse gsl replays on stream. I ve talked about decision making and strategies, not the execution. And in the further EU Zergs are vastly superior than Korean Zergs. That Korean Z vs EU Z can still be a close game is due to better controls on the Korean side only.

Question is if their decision making would be this good under the pressure at game

Lambo said one week before GSL vs World, that as long as Elazer isnt shitting himselve, he has a good shoot at whinnig vs Dark. But that foreigners shitting themselves, when playing against koreans is a real problem..
So we dont know, I suppose. I actually hope, that the good showings of EU ZvZ will actually release some pressure in the games from the EU Zergs, so that the Korean Zergs adapt and go for EU strats.
Seeing Rogue and Solar going for like 20+ Zerglings at the same time opting to go for full out attack, knowing, that it would the defenders advantage would be increadible hugh, was just cringy. If any of those 2 just made like 5 extra drones and then made the lings after scouting the attacked, either of them would have won right then and there.

And if Dark didn't fuck up it would have been probably 3:0, this is a two way street and you can't say this based on 1 game. Otherwise I pick up soO vs Serral where soO of all people stopped him.

Edit> You can't make such claims with region lock, but Solar went into finals of ROG, soO won IEM, sure, Dark fucked up, but that's 1 game of a player who's known as the foreigner killer(at least of those who are not named Serral). Rogue was slumping hard, who else do we have?
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
emperorofwild
Profile Joined July 2019
87 Posts
September 05 2019 10:46 GMT
#20
more and more late games ,and they end in the same ways
neutralrobot
Profile Joined July 2011
Australia1025 Posts
September 05 2019 11:19 GMT
#21
On September 05 2019 17:32 StarcraftSquall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 08:18 NExt wrote:
Holy shit. I'm sure Maru could smash anyone in the last group. Then semifinals Keen or Trap ... Another Maru finals?!?!


Classic may have something to say about that.


Honestly, for me Keen and Trap are both potentially big threats to Maru anyway. I mean, Maru might be back for real and take it all, but there are real threats everywhere, imo.
Maru | Life | PartinG || I guess I like aggressive control freaks... || Reynor will one day reign supreme || *reyn supreme
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12761 Posts
September 05 2019 11:27 GMT
#22
I'd say Maru is 55-45% vs Classic (ok maybe 60-40 since this is bo5+ playoff), 75-25% vs KeeN and 55-45% vs Trap. Him making the finals is possible but it'll still be very hard.

And Classic isn't guaranteed a top 1 spot in group D, I could see Dear taking him out or even ragnarok since the patch seems to benefit zerg enough for Rogue to smash Stats.
WriterMaru
Argonauta
Profile Joined July 2016
Spain4902 Posts
September 05 2019 11:45 GMT
#23
On September 05 2019 20:27 Poopi wrote:
I'd say Maru is 55-45% vs Classic (ok maybe 60-40 since this is bo5+ playoff), 75-25% vs KeeN and 55-45% vs Trap. Him making the finals is possible but it'll still be very hard.

And Classic isn't guaranteed a top 1 spot in group D, I could see Dear taking him out or even ragnarok since the patch seems to benefit zerg enough for Rogue to smash Stats.



Lets be clear, a 2 base swarmhost and a fail cannon rush have nothing to do with new patches.
Rogue | Maru | Scarlett | Trap
TL+ Member
Xain0n
Profile Joined November 2018
Italy3963 Posts
September 05 2019 11:49 GMT
#24
On September 05 2019 20:27 Poopi wrote:
I'd say Maru is 55-45% vs Classic (ok maybe 60-40 since this is bo5+ playoff), 75-25% vs KeeN and 55-45% vs Trap. Him making the finals is possible but it'll still be very hard.

And Classic isn't guaranteed a top 1 spot in group D, I could see Dear taking him out or even ragnarok since the patch seems to benefit zerg enough for Rogue to smash Stats.


Keen has a better chanche against Maru than Classic, at the moment.
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12761 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-05 11:58:41
September 05 2019 11:57 GMT
#25
On September 05 2019 20:49 Xain0n wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 20:27 Poopi wrote:
I'd say Maru is 55-45% vs Classic (ok maybe 60-40 since this is bo5+ playoff), 75-25% vs KeeN and 55-45% vs Trap. Him making the finals is possible but it'll still be very hard.

And Classic isn't guaranteed a top 1 spot in group D, I could see Dear taking him out or even ragnarok since the patch seems to benefit zerg enough for Rogue to smash Stats.


Keen has a better chanche against Maru than Classic, at the moment.

Classic is 2747 elo vT on aligulac whereas KeeN is 2413, so I doubt it, especially in a bo7...

Lets be clear, a 2 base swarmhost and a fail cannon rush have nothing to do with new patches.

Well I didn't see the entirety of the games but there was warp prism involved and it's been nerfed for protoss afaik, so it had an influence on the outcome.
WriterMaru
Jimmon
Profile Joined May 2011
United States112 Posts
September 05 2019 12:49 GMT
#26
As a Stats boy... I am sad.
I love LOveRH
Xain0n
Profile Joined November 2018
Italy3963 Posts
September 05 2019 12:54 GMT
#27
On September 05 2019 20:57 Poopi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 20:49 Xain0n wrote:
On September 05 2019 20:27 Poopi wrote:
I'd say Maru is 55-45% vs Classic (ok maybe 60-40 since this is bo5+ playoff), 75-25% vs KeeN and 55-45% vs Trap. Him making the finals is possible but it'll still be very hard.

And Classic isn't guaranteed a top 1 spot in group D, I could see Dear taking him out or even ragnarok since the patch seems to benefit zerg enough for Rogue to smash Stats.


Keen has a better chanche against Maru than Classic, at the moment.

Classic is 2747 elo vT on aligulac whereas KeeN is 2413, so I doubt it, especially in a bo7...

Show nested quote +
Lets be clear, a 2 base swarmhost and a fail cannon rush have nothing to do with new patches.

Well I didn't see the entirety of the games but there was warp prism involved and it's been nerfed for protoss afaik, so it had an influence on the outcome.


It would be a bo5, Maru can't meet Keen in the finals; Aligulac takes time to register changes in level of play and the elo rating in a certain matchup is loosely tied to the overall rating anyway.

In the last months, Classic struggled in PvT in online cups, went 3-3 against Special and lost 0-2 to none other than Keen in Code S; Maru seems unstoppable in bo5+ against Protoss, Classic already failed to stop him once.

Keen, on the other hand, is a TvT specialist and historically is a tough opponent for Maru(whose worst matchup happens to be TvT, too); also, Keen has seemed a very good player recently, displaying a 5-0 combined demolition of Innovation, for example.
Akio
Profile Blog Joined January 2019
Finland1838 Posts
September 05 2019 13:33 GMT
#28
Glad Rogue is channeling (at least some of) his pre-Blizzcon form, hope it carries him late to into ro4 and beyond this time.
Mine gas, build tanks.
okays
Profile Joined September 2019
10 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-05 14:27:05
September 05 2019 14:21 GMT
#29
On September 05 2019 18:14 dbRic1203 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 17:17 Argonauta wrote:
On September 05 2019 14:49 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 13:13 col_jung wrote:
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.


Yeah, but his realy bad Siege up timings looked worrysome. When HE finally fixed that, he became pretty much unstopable..
No mention of the cringy strategies of Korean ZvZ? Even when whatching, I could allready see Elazer and Lambo picking pretty much every decision made there apart. This didn t look like Korean ZvZ < Eu ZvZ, but K ZvZ <<<<<< Eu ZvZ.



ROLF Lambo xD I understand that Elazer is boosted after his win vs Dark but Lambo?????? Welp

They actually both analyse gsl replays on stream. I ve talked about decision making and strategies, not the execution. And in the further EU Zergs are vastly superior than Korean Zergs. That Korean Z vs EU Z can still be a close game is due to better controls on the Korean side only.


Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face. That's most of foreigners theorycrafting Korean games and then losing to 3 oracles. I'm sure Koreans could rip WCS games apart on their streams too if they had an inferiority complex to overcome.
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8988 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-05 15:32:23
September 05 2019 15:31 GMT
#30
On September 05 2019 21:54 Xain0n wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 20:57 Poopi wrote:
On September 05 2019 20:49 Xain0n wrote:
On September 05 2019 20:27 Poopi wrote:
I'd say Maru is 55-45% vs Classic (ok maybe 60-40 since this is bo5+ playoff), 75-25% vs KeeN and 55-45% vs Trap. Him making the finals is possible but it'll still be very hard.

And Classic isn't guaranteed a top 1 spot in group D, I could see Dear taking him out or even ragnarok since the patch seems to benefit zerg enough for Rogue to smash Stats.


Keen has a better chanche against Maru than Classic, at the moment.

Classic is 2747 elo vT on aligulac whereas KeeN is 2413, so I doubt it, especially in a bo7...

Lets be clear, a 2 base swarmhost and a fail cannon rush have nothing to do with new patches.

Well I didn't see the entirety of the games but there was warp prism involved and it's been nerfed for protoss afaik, so it had an influence on the outcome.


It would be a bo5, Maru can't meet Keen in the finals; Aligulac takes time to register changes in level of play and the elo rating in a certain matchup is loosely tied to the overall rating anyway.

In the last months, Classic struggled in PvT in online cups, went 3-3 against Special and lost 0-2 to none other than Keen in Code S; Maru seems unstoppable in bo5+ against Protoss, Classic already failed to stop him once.

Keen, on the other hand, is a TvT specialist and historically is a tough opponent for Maru(whose worst matchup happens to be TvT, too); also, Keen has seemed a very good player recently, displaying a 5-0 combined demolition of Innovation, for example.


Keen is 4-15 in map vs Maru and the only time he has beaten Maru offline he was then promptly beaten back in the same GSL group to get eliminated, I wouldn't say he's a historically tough opponent. Although he does seem very much in form atm.
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
kajtarp
Profile Joined April 2011
Hungary465 Posts
September 05 2019 15:38 GMT
#31
On September 05 2019 20:45 Argonauta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 20:27 Poopi wrote:
I'd say Maru is 55-45% vs Classic (ok maybe 60-40 since this is bo5+ playoff), 75-25% vs KeeN and 55-45% vs Trap. Him making the finals is possible but it'll still be very hard.

And Classic isn't guaranteed a top 1 spot in group D, I could see Dear taking him out or even ragnarok since the patch seems to benefit zerg enough for Rogue to smash Stats.



Lets be clear, a 2 base swarmhost and a fail cannon rush have nothing to do with new patches.


Couldn't agree more.
Why so serious?
Xain0n
Profile Joined November 2018
Italy3963 Posts
September 05 2019 16:47 GMT
#32
On September 06 2019 00:31 Nakajin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 21:54 Xain0n wrote:
On September 05 2019 20:57 Poopi wrote:
On September 05 2019 20:49 Xain0n wrote:
On September 05 2019 20:27 Poopi wrote:
I'd say Maru is 55-45% vs Classic (ok maybe 60-40 since this is bo5+ playoff), 75-25% vs KeeN and 55-45% vs Trap. Him making the finals is possible but it'll still be very hard.

And Classic isn't guaranteed a top 1 spot in group D, I could see Dear taking him out or even ragnarok since the patch seems to benefit zerg enough for Rogue to smash Stats.


Keen has a better chanche against Maru than Classic, at the moment.

Classic is 2747 elo vT on aligulac whereas KeeN is 2413, so I doubt it, especially in a bo7...

Lets be clear, a 2 base swarmhost and a fail cannon rush have nothing to do with new patches.

Well I didn't see the entirety of the games but there was warp prism involved and it's been nerfed for protoss afaik, so it had an influence on the outcome.


It would be a bo5, Maru can't meet Keen in the finals; Aligulac takes time to register changes in level of play and the elo rating in a certain matchup is loosely tied to the overall rating anyway.

In the last months, Classic struggled in PvT in online cups, went 3-3 against Special and lost 0-2 to none other than Keen in Code S; Maru seems unstoppable in bo5+ against Protoss, Classic already failed to stop him once.

Keen, on the other hand, is a TvT specialist and historically is a tough opponent for Maru(whose worst matchup happens to be TvT, too); also, Keen has seemed a very good player recently, displaying a 5-0 combined demolition of Innovation, for example.


Keen is 4-15 in map vs Maru and the only time he has beaten Maru offline he was then promptly beaten back in the same GSL group to get eliminated, I wouldn't say he's a historically tough opponent. Although he does seem very much in form atm.


Uh, I remembered Keen faring better against Maru.
I am still convinced he would be a nasty opponent at the moment(I'd expect to see Trap advance, in any of case).
Xain0n
Profile Joined November 2018
Italy3963 Posts
September 05 2019 17:25 GMT
#33
On September 05 2019 23:21 okays wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 18:14 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 17:17 Argonauta wrote:
On September 05 2019 14:49 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 13:13 col_jung wrote:
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.


Yeah, but his realy bad Siege up timings looked worrysome. When HE finally fixed that, he became pretty much unstopable..
No mention of the cringy strategies of Korean ZvZ? Even when whatching, I could allready see Elazer and Lambo picking pretty much every decision made there apart. This didn t look like Korean ZvZ < Eu ZvZ, but K ZvZ <<<<<< Eu ZvZ.



ROLF Lambo xD I understand that Elazer is boosted after his win vs Dark but Lambo?????? Welp

They actually both analyse gsl replays on stream. I ve talked about decision making and strategies, not the execution. And in the further EU Zergs are vastly superior than Korean Zergs. That Korean Z vs EU Z can still be a close game is due to better controls on the Korean side only.


Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face. That's most of foreigners theorycrafting Korean games and then losing to 3 oracles. I'm sure Koreans could rip WCS games apart on their streams too if they had an inferiority complex to overcome.


Oracles in ZvZ? That's the only matchup we are speaking of.

After BlizzCon 2018, korean Zerg are down 7-8 in bo3 in Premier tournaments against non korean Zerg, Serral excluded; if we add bo1 and HSC XIX you have to factor in a 5-2 for koreans, but if we take Serral into consideration, a whopping 1-9 magically appears.

Since koreans are generally stronger players than non koreans, even or unfavorable stats in ZvZ advocate for the latter having better understanding of the matchup.
KobeSteak
Profile Joined August 2019
39 Posts
September 05 2019 18:39 GMT
#34
On September 05 2019 19:21 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 19:07 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 18:56 deacon.frost wrote:
On September 05 2019 18:14 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 17:17 Argonauta wrote:
On September 05 2019 14:49 dbRic1203 wrote:
On September 05 2019 13:13 col_jung wrote:
Maru is still a monster. Those GG nukes against Stats and the first game in the final decider against Solar...wow.


Yeah, but his realy bad Siege up timings looked worrysome. When HE finally fixed that, he became pretty much unstopable..
No mention of the cringy strategies of Korean ZvZ? Even when whatching, I could allready see Elazer and Lambo picking pretty much every decision made there apart. This didn t look like Korean ZvZ < Eu ZvZ, but K ZvZ <<<<<< Eu ZvZ.



ROLF Lambo xD I understand that Elazer is boosted after his win vs Dark but Lambo?????? Welp

They actually both analyse gsl replays on stream. I ve talked about decision making and strategies, not the execution. And in the further EU Zergs are vastly superior than Korean Zergs. That Korean Z vs EU Z can still be a close game is due to better controls on the Korean side only.

Question is if their decision making would be this good under the pressure at game

Lambo said one week before GSL vs World, that as long as Elazer isnt shitting himselve, he has a good shoot at whinnig vs Dark. But that foreigners shitting themselves, when playing against koreans is a real problem..
So we dont know, I suppose. I actually hope, that the good showings of EU ZvZ will actually release some pressure in the games from the EU Zergs, so that the Korean Zergs adapt and go for EU strats.
Seeing Rogue and Solar going for like 20+ Zerglings at the same time opting to go for full out attack, knowing, that it would the defenders advantage would be increadible hugh, was just cringy. If any of those 2 just made like 5 extra drones and then made the lings after scouting the attacked, either of them would have won right then and there.

And if Dark didn't fuck up it would have been probably 3:0, this is a two way street and you can't say this based on 1 game. Otherwise I pick up soO vs Serral where soO of all people stopped him.

Edit> You can't make such claims with region lock, but Solar went into finals of ROG, soO won IEM, sure, Dark fucked up, but that's 1 game of a player who's known as the foreigner killer(at least of those who are not named Serral). Rogue was slumping hard, who else do we have?


Dont forget Elazer was also the first foreigner to wreck Dark back in 2017 blizzcon to end his "foreigner killer" streak (If i remember correctly
TentativePanda
Profile Joined August 2014
United States800 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-06 00:01:07
September 06 2019 00:00 GMT
#35
Lol at Maru clawing his way out of a Ro16 group and all his fanboys talking about how he's the best again
StabiloBoss20
Profile Joined July 2015
313 Posts
September 06 2019 06:30 GMT
#36
On September 06 2019 00:31 Nakajin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2019 21:54 Xain0n wrote:
On September 05 2019 20:57 Poopi wrote:
On September 05 2019 20:49 Xain0n wrote:
On September 05 2019 20:27 Poopi wrote:
I'd say Maru is 55-45% vs Classic (ok maybe 60-40 since this is bo5+ playoff), 75-25% vs KeeN and 55-45% vs Trap. Him making the finals is possible but it'll still be very hard.

And Classic isn't guaranteed a top 1 spot in group D, I could see Dear taking him out or even ragnarok since the patch seems to benefit zerg enough for Rogue to smash Stats.


Keen has a better chanche against Maru than Classic, at the moment.

Classic is 2747 elo vT on aligulac whereas KeeN is 2413, so I doubt it, especially in a bo7...

Lets be clear, a 2 base swarmhost and a fail cannon rush have nothing to do with new patches.

Well I didn't see the entirety of the games but there was warp prism involved and it's been nerfed for protoss afaik, so it had an influence on the outcome.


It would be a bo5, Maru can't meet Keen in the finals; Aligulac takes time to register changes in level of play and the elo rating in a certain matchup is loosely tied to the overall rating anyway.

In the last months, Classic struggled in PvT in online cups, went 3-3 against Special and lost 0-2 to none other than Keen in Code S; Maru seems unstoppable in bo5+ against Protoss, Classic already failed to stop him once.

Keen, on the other hand, is a TvT specialist and historically is a tough opponent for Maru(whose worst matchup happens to be TvT, too); also, Keen has seemed a very good player recently, displaying a 5-0 combined demolition of Innovation, for example.


Keen is 4-15 in map vs Maru and the only time he has beaten Maru offline he was then promptly beaten back in the same GSL group to get eliminated, I wouldn't say he's a historically tough opponent. Although he does seem very much in form atm.



and if I recall correctly, this was in the short period, where mass cyclone was the only way to go in TvT. and somehow Maru missed this meta.

Maru's TvP looked outstanding. The new EMP might change this match up drastically. But he also looked still off vs. Solar. Even on Cobalt he lost so many Marines due late pick up... and really bad mistakes overall. I think he's still in a slump.
MarianoSC2
Profile Joined June 2015
Slovakia1855 Posts
September 06 2019 07:26 GMT
#37
On September 05 2019 20:27 Poopi wrote:
I'd say Maru is 55-45% vs Classic (ok maybe 60-40 since this is bo5+ playoff), 75-25% vs KeeN and 55-45% vs Trap. Him making the finals is possible but it'll still be very hard.

And Classic isn't guaranteed a top 1 spot in group D, I could see Dear taking him out or even ragnarok since the patch seems to benefit zerg enough for Rogue to smash Stats.



Lets not forget that when Rogue is in form his ZvP is practically unwinnable for protoss. And he seems to be getting to a good shape
Top 11: Rogue, Maru, Inno, Zest, Life, sOs, Stats, Dark, soO, Mvp, Classic/Trap/MC/Rain
BerserkSword
Profile Joined December 2018
United States2123 Posts
September 06 2019 10:17 GMT
#38
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.
TL+ Member
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12761 Posts
September 06 2019 10:25 GMT
#39
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

So much balance whine already while only Maru is qualified for BlizzCon among KR terrans so far while there are currently 5 protoss. We could wait a bit before reaching conclusions.

Hopefully TY / Rogue both manage to qualify for BlizzCon.
WriterMaru
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12129 Posts
September 06 2019 11:54 GMT
#40
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

And again, Maru has to get there, while he's bulding the Academy sooner nowadays it's still not that soon. e.g. this upgrade wouldn't have mattered against Patience back then.
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
KobeSteak
Profile Joined August 2019
39 Posts
September 06 2019 14:49 GMT
#41
On September 06 2019 19:25 Poopi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

So much balance whine already while only Maru is qualified for BlizzCon among KR terrans so far while there are currently 5 protoss. We could wait a bit before reaching conclusions.

Hopefully TY / Rogue both manage to qualify for BlizzCon.


Ever think that the other KR Terrans are just simply not good enough? But of course blame/whine about terran underpowered etc.

Circuit has 3 Terrans going to Blizzcon, why didn't you mention that? Oh right, it doesn't fit your agenda
Charoisaur
Profile Joined August 2014
Germany15878 Posts
September 06 2019 14:56 GMT
#42
On September 06 2019 23:49 KobeSteak wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2019 19:25 Poopi wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

So much balance whine already while only Maru is qualified for BlizzCon among KR terrans so far while there are currently 5 protoss. We could wait a bit before reaching conclusions.

Hopefully TY / Rogue both manage to qualify for BlizzCon.


Ever think that the other KR Terrans are just simply not good enough? But of course blame/whine about terran underpowered etc.

Circuit has 3 Terrans going to Blizzcon, why didn't you mention that? Oh right, it doesn't fit your agenda

Bringing up circuit terrans doesn't really strengthen your point since the last foreign terran who won anything was uthermal in 2016.
Many of the coolest moments in sc2 happen due to worker harassment
KobeSteak
Profile Joined August 2019
39 Posts
September 06 2019 15:00 GMT
#43
On September 06 2019 23:56 Charoisaur wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2019 23:49 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:25 Poopi wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

So much balance whine already while only Maru is qualified for BlizzCon among KR terrans so far while there are currently 5 protoss. We could wait a bit before reaching conclusions.

Hopefully TY / Rogue both manage to qualify for BlizzCon.


Ever think that the other KR Terrans are just simply not good enough? But of course blame/whine about terran underpowered etc.

Circuit has 3 Terrans going to Blizzcon, why didn't you mention that? Oh right, it doesn't fit your agenda

Bringing up circuit terrans doesn't really strengthen your point since the last foreign terran who won anything was uthermal in 2016.


Just proves my point

There are less talented Terran players in general.

Wake me up when there is a Foreign player that is as good as Serral or even Neeb. You could make a case that Special=Neeb (this year), but I wouldn't disagree too much to argue about it.

Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12761 Posts
September 06 2019 15:04 GMT
#44
On September 07 2019 00:00 KobeSteak wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2019 23:56 Charoisaur wrote:
On September 06 2019 23:49 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:25 Poopi wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

So much balance whine already while only Maru is qualified for BlizzCon among KR terrans so far while there are currently 5 protoss. We could wait a bit before reaching conclusions.

Hopefully TY / Rogue both manage to qualify for BlizzCon.


Ever think that the other KR Terrans are just simply not good enough? But of course blame/whine about terran underpowered etc.

Circuit has 3 Terrans going to Blizzcon, why didn't you mention that? Oh right, it doesn't fit your agenda

Bringing up circuit terrans doesn't really strengthen your point since the last foreign terran who won anything was uthermal in 2016.


Just proves my point

There are less talented Terran players in general.

Wake me up when there is a Foreign player that is as good as Serral or even Neeb. You could make a case that Special=Neeb (this year), but I wouldn't disagree too much to argue about it.


Well I'm pretty sure terran Neeb is as good as protoss Neeb. Not as successful though (maybe he would have given time?)
WriterMaru
KobeSteak
Profile Joined August 2019
39 Posts
September 06 2019 15:14 GMT
#45
On September 07 2019 00:04 Poopi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 07 2019 00:00 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 06 2019 23:56 Charoisaur wrote:
On September 06 2019 23:49 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:25 Poopi wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

So much balance whine already while only Maru is qualified for BlizzCon among KR terrans so far while there are currently 5 protoss. We could wait a bit before reaching conclusions.

Hopefully TY / Rogue both manage to qualify for BlizzCon.


Ever think that the other KR Terrans are just simply not good enough? But of course blame/whine about terran underpowered etc.

Circuit has 3 Terrans going to Blizzcon, why didn't you mention that? Oh right, it doesn't fit your agenda

Bringing up circuit terrans doesn't really strengthen your point since the last foreign terran who won anything was uthermal in 2016.


Just proves my point

There are less talented Terran players in general.

Wake me up when there is a Foreign player that is as good as Serral or even Neeb. You could make a case that Special=Neeb (this year), but I wouldn't disagree too much to argue about it.


Well I'm pretty sure terran Neeb is as good as protoss Neeb. Not as successful though (maybe he would have given time?)


Probably would be interesting to see, same as Terran Classic

But we can all agree that Terran Serral would still dominated the circuit scene same as last year. Even Dark agreed Terran Serral plays very clean
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12761 Posts
September 06 2019 15:16 GMT
#46
On September 07 2019 00:14 KobeSteak wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 07 2019 00:04 Poopi wrote:
On September 07 2019 00:00 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 06 2019 23:56 Charoisaur wrote:
On September 06 2019 23:49 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:25 Poopi wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

So much balance whine already while only Maru is qualified for BlizzCon among KR terrans so far while there are currently 5 protoss. We could wait a bit before reaching conclusions.

Hopefully TY / Rogue both manage to qualify for BlizzCon.


Ever think that the other KR Terrans are just simply not good enough? But of course blame/whine about terran underpowered etc.

Circuit has 3 Terrans going to Blizzcon, why didn't you mention that? Oh right, it doesn't fit your agenda

Bringing up circuit terrans doesn't really strengthen your point since the last foreign terran who won anything was uthermal in 2016.


Just proves my point

There are less talented Terran players in general.

Wake me up when there is a Foreign player that is as good as Serral or even Neeb. You could make a case that Special=Neeb (this year), but I wouldn't disagree too much to argue about it.


Well I'm pretty sure terran Neeb is as good as protoss Neeb. Not as successful though (maybe he would have given time?)


Probably would be interesting to see, same as Terran Classic

But we can all agree that Terran Serral would still dominated the circuit scene same as last year. Even Dark agreed Terran Serral plays very clean

I highly doubt it.
WriterMaru
Fango
Profile Joined July 2016
United Kingdom8987 Posts
September 06 2019 15:50 GMT
#47
On September 07 2019 00:14 KobeSteak wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 07 2019 00:04 Poopi wrote:
On September 07 2019 00:00 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 06 2019 23:56 Charoisaur wrote:
On September 06 2019 23:49 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:25 Poopi wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

So much balance whine already while only Maru is qualified for BlizzCon among KR terrans so far while there are currently 5 protoss. We could wait a bit before reaching conclusions.

Hopefully TY / Rogue both manage to qualify for BlizzCon.


Ever think that the other KR Terrans are just simply not good enough? But of course blame/whine about terran underpowered etc.

Circuit has 3 Terrans going to Blizzcon, why didn't you mention that? Oh right, it doesn't fit your agenda

Bringing up circuit terrans doesn't really strengthen your point since the last foreign terran who won anything was uthermal in 2016.


Just proves my point

There are less talented Terran players in general.

Wake me up when there is a Foreign player that is as good as Serral or even Neeb. You could make a case that Special=Neeb (this year), but I wouldn't disagree too much to argue about it.


Well I'm pretty sure terran Neeb is as good as protoss Neeb. Not as successful though (maybe he would have given time?)

But we can all agree that Terran Serral would still dominated the circuit scene same as last year. Even Dark agreed Terran Serral plays very clean

Lmao this is based of what? Serral's skills and playstyle fit perfectly for zerg. Just because he has good mechanics doesn't mean anything. He chose to switch and stay with zerg for a reason, same with Neeb and protoss.
Zest, sOs, PartinG, Dark, and Maru are the real champs. ROOT_herO is overrated. Snute, Serral, and Scarlett are the foreigner GOATs
KobeSteak
Profile Joined August 2019
39 Posts
September 06 2019 15:56 GMT
#48
On September 07 2019 00:50 Fango wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 07 2019 00:14 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 07 2019 00:04 Poopi wrote:
On September 07 2019 00:00 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 06 2019 23:56 Charoisaur wrote:
On September 06 2019 23:49 KobeSteak wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:25 Poopi wrote:
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

So much balance whine already while only Maru is qualified for BlizzCon among KR terrans so far while there are currently 5 protoss. We could wait a bit before reaching conclusions.

Hopefully TY / Rogue both manage to qualify for BlizzCon.


Ever think that the other KR Terrans are just simply not good enough? But of course blame/whine about terran underpowered etc.

Circuit has 3 Terrans going to Blizzcon, why didn't you mention that? Oh right, it doesn't fit your agenda

Bringing up circuit terrans doesn't really strengthen your point since the last foreign terran who won anything was uthermal in 2016.


Just proves my point

There are less talented Terran players in general.

Wake me up when there is a Foreign player that is as good as Serral or even Neeb. You could make a case that Special=Neeb (this year), but I wouldn't disagree too much to argue about it.


Well I'm pretty sure terran Neeb is as good as protoss Neeb. Not as successful though (maybe he would have given time?)

But we can all agree that Terran Serral would still dominated the circuit scene same as last year. Even Dark agreed Terran Serral plays very clean

Lmao this is based of what? Serral's skills and playstyle fit perfectly for zerg. Just because he has good mechanics doesn't mean anything. He chose to switch and stay with zerg for a reason, same with Neeb and protoss.


Simple: Cause Goat
brickrd
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States4894 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-06 16:10:14
September 06 2019 16:09 GMT
#49
On September 06 2019 20:54 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2019 19:17 BerserkSword wrote:
If maru loses to a Protoss from here on out I'll eat my hat

There is no way maru loses with this new EMP

Maru basically has Psionic storm on steroids to use against Protoss.

And again, Maru has to get there, while he's bulding the Academy sooner nowadays it's still not that soon. e.g. this upgrade wouldn't have mattered against Patience back then.

stim research time makes the window of attack against terrans who open with tech more narrow, which absolutely 100% matters against patience. for example terrans are experimenting more since the patch with hellion drops and 6-8 hellion openings because they are more stable with faster stim
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