1. uThermal losing to Neeb is not an upset. Neeb was #3, uThermal was #5, and Neeb's favored in the head-to-head. The series was relatively close, it wasn't a blow-out; uThermal performed as I expected, or maybe slightly under it.

2. Nerchio losing to Scarlett was not too surprising. I had it a 50/50 toss-up; I rank Nerchio high because his consistency is much higher than everyone's elses, and if anything that was shown here. He was going up against an on-fire Scarlett, in her best matchup, in his worst matchup, with the home crowd favoring Scarlett, and it came up to a knife's edge. Why I rank Polt lower than Nerchio is because Polt has consistently shown bad sets against weak players - Lambo in WCS Winter, Strange in WCS Spring, ShaDoWn in WCS Summer, MaNa in DH Valencia. These aren't 'Scarlett ZvZ' levels of bad, these are legitimately low tier players who Polt has a habit of struggling with, and I don't like ranking him highly because the chance he loses to one of them is much higher than someone like nerchio/neeb/showtime imo. If you disagree with that, you're allowed to! And that would make ranking Polt very high a near-certainty, yeah.

3. HeRoMaRinE would probably rise into the high teens, but not quite the single digits. I'm not sure how much of his matches against ShoWTimE and MarineLorD were flukes - I did an interview with him, and he effectively said that he cheesed out MarineLorD because he didn't have a clue about HeRoMaRinE's style, and that got exploited. Obviously that won't work as well a second time. Regardless of that, his TvT did look strong against MajOr, and his mechanics were pretty good. I'd love to see more from him, but just like TRUE I'm hesitant on putting him higher because of odd circumstances. To give an exact number - probably #16 or #15, below most of the top tier (plus Drogo) but above SortOf and maybe Harstem. It's very, very hard to break into the top 15 right now, and one weird tournament run doesn't quite do it.

To an extent I might be overvaluing Polt's ability to get upset compared to people like MarineLorD/uThermal, but that tie into the overvaluing of momentum that I talked about before; Snute/MarineLorD/uThermal all got rated too high because they had recent tournament runs, when really that isn't a good predictor of future success. Just like Hydra before Spring, and Drogo before Winter, having a surprising run doesn't make it likely that you'll do it again. That's something I'll look at if any future PRs crop up in 2017, but otherwise I think I was mostly accurate despite the oddness of this tournament.