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Korea 2015: Battle for the Empty Throne - Page 11

Forum Index > SC2 General
248 CommentsPost a Reply
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NeThZOR
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
South Africa7387 Posts
December 14 2014 12:14 GMT
#201
Nothing creates so much longing as that feeling of nostalgia when one thinks about how it felt to watch those first few professional SC2 matches, without knowing everything we know today.
SuperNova - 2015 | SKT1 fan for years | Dear, FlaSh, PartinG, Soulkey, Naniwa
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
December 14 2014 14:59 GMT
#202
On December 13 2014 03:45 Zealously wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 13 2014 03:23 rotta wrote:
On December 13 2014 02:23 Cricketer12 wrote:
On December 12 2014 20:31 REyeM wrote:
On December 12 2014 19:44 Zealously wrote:
On December 12 2014 19:05 p14c wrote:
MVP got lucky. He was dominant in a period when the best players were still playing BW. It all depends if Lotv comes with gimmicky units or not like Hots.


The best players like Life, Taeja, San, Parting, Marineking, MC? There's a long list of players that were nothing or didnt even play in Brood War that have won tournaments since the KESPA switch, so this argument holds little merit


Didn't see any of those players winning anything in Korea after the switch.

All of them even San won tournaments after the switch

But not in Korea...


Conversely, very few "real" KeSPA players (part of the Big 5 of KeSPA teams) have won tournaments outside Korea, often falling to "foreign" Koreans or even non-Koreans. Are they really so terrible that they can't even win a foreign tournament?

Do you see how this goes both ways?

Show nested quote +
On December 13 2014 02:30 Neemi wrote:
On December 13 2014 01:23 Starecat wrote:
On December 12 2014 23:43 iloveav wrote:
On December 12 2014 23:30 Starecat wrote:
If GSL is a "tournament of so super other world level of playars" why the champion and the runner up where dispatched early on the Blizzcon :3 ?


Because SC2 is a game where all-ins and blind counters are very common.


They should be used to these strats because they used a ton on GSL finals : ]

Btw is funny how "it is the game fault" when they lose and "hhaha expected" when they win.

+ Show Spoiler +

Now that the game has been out for a while, and Aligulac provides us with an amazing way to keep track of winrates, I decided to look up some winrates of some of our biggest champions. I wanted to include Stork as well for BW, but couldn't find him.

Flash 2009-2011: ~75%
Boxer 2001: ~74%
Savior 2006: ~72%
Jaedong 2008-2010: ~70%
Nada 2002-2003: ~67%
Iloveoov 2004: ~64%
Bisu 2007-2008: ~62% (when he won all his titles, weirdly he won more when he didn't win titles)

Mvp 2011: ~71%
Taeja 2012-2014: ~66%
MC 2011: ~66%
Zest 2014: ~65%
Life 2012-2014: ~64%, around 69% in his peak at the end of WoL
Nestea 2010-2011: ~62%

Basically, Jaedong and Flash were the only two players in the history of BW to have a ~70+% winrate for 2 years in a row, let alone 3 years in a row. That was about 6-7 years after it got really competitive. Only the very biggest champions ever managed a year over 70% in general, and the same goes for the very best champions in SC2. I would say that the SC2 champions have slightly lower winrates still, but considering this is a younger game and I took Aligulac data including online cups, they all played way more games with less preparation time. So I feel the data we have right now doesn't support that it's easier to lose as a champion of SC2, compared to BW. All-ins and blind counters may be common, but it appears the finest players will still win more often than not. Now with LotV being released soon, I'm sure we're going to see many fluctuations. It will be interesting to see who comes out on top!

Finally, both the last GSL winner and runner-up were unfortunate enough to face an in-form Taeja, and he's well known to be an anomaly in that regard. That doesn't take away that the average level of GSL is higher than any other tournament in the world. From the 6 GSL players at the world championship - Life won, Zest lost to Life, Hero lost to Classic, and Classic lost to MMA, a 2x GSL champion himself.


Important to note is that Zest, Mvp and Nestea (just as, I believe, all of the aforementioned BW players) have played far fewer (in the vicinity of 500-1000) games than Life, Taeja and MC. Maintaining a high win rate over a greater number of games is incredibly difficult. I don't know the exact number of games Flash played in his career, but I will bet you my Life's saving it wasn't 2000+ as is the case with MC.


That is just unfair to compare though, the "real" kespa guys simply didn't travel as much, ofc they won't win weekend tournaments instantly, you have "to learn" to deal with these situations too.
I am pretty confident that IF these Kespa guys would go to every foreign tournament like a lot of other koreans do (like taeja for example) they would win most of the time.

I don't know the exact number of games Flash played in his career, but I will bet you my Life's saving it wasn't 2000+ as is the case with MC

MC has a winrate of 60% over his ~2k games. If we now filter these games to vs south koreans only (like the BW players) we get a winrate of 52% over around 1.1k games. If we now filter this again to "offline only" we get a winrate of 51.6% over ~0.7k games.
So yeah, these stats are boosted by a lot of games which are a nonfactor in the BW stats. If we had the same amount of games vs foreigners back in the day these stats would be ridiculously high.
So all the stats which were presented here for various players like Taeja, Life, Mvp, etc are not relevant if you want to compare them to the BW stats imo.

I am really no BW elitist at all, but i try to be reasonable when i compare these things
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Zealously
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
East Gorteau22261 Posts
December 14 2014 17:14 GMT
#203
Are we comparing game win rates or match win rates? If it's the first, many of SC2's "greatest champions" have win rates that are decidedly comparable to the bonjwas (for the purpose of this comparison I consider all of TBLS bonjwas) we're discussing, lagging behind only the top three. If we pick out their single best years, only Flash, Boxer and Savior stand out as superior to all SC2 champions up until this point in terms of winrates. For example, Life maintained a 66% winrate between 2012-03-01 and 2013-03-15, while MC maintained a winrate of over 70% between release and 2011-06-01.

I get that you think the cream of the crop BW players were more dominant than their SC2 counterparts, and they were - in terms of championship consistency. In terms of games won/lost, the difference is smaller than people think.
AdministratorBreak the chains
ANLProbe
Profile Joined October 2013
667 Posts
December 14 2014 17:42 GMT
#204
On December 15 2014 02:14 Zealously wrote:
Are we comparing game win rates or match win rates? If it's the first, many of SC2's "greatest champions" have win rates that are decidedly comparable to the bonjwas (for the purpose of this comparison I consider all of TBLS bonjwas) we're discussing, lagging behind only the top three. If we pick out their single best years, only Flash, Boxer and Savior stand out as superior to all SC2 champions up until this point in terms of winrates. For example, Life maintained a 66% winrate between 2012-03-01 and 2013-03-15, while MC maintained a winrate of over 70% between release and 2011-06-01.

I get that you think the cream of the crop BW players were more dominant than their SC2 counterparts, and they were - in terms of championship consistency. In terms of games won/lost, the difference is smaller than people think.


The difference is that BW players were only playing the top Koreans whereas Koreans now can pad their stats against foreigners and lesser Koreans.
Go TAEJA
Zealously
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
East Gorteau22261 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-14 17:47:29
December 14 2014 17:46 GMT
#205
On December 15 2014 02:42 ANLProbe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 15 2014 02:14 Zealously wrote:
Are we comparing game win rates or match win rates? If it's the first, many of SC2's "greatest champions" have win rates that are decidedly comparable to the bonjwas (for the purpose of this comparison I consider all of TBLS bonjwas) we're discussing, lagging behind only the top three. If we pick out their single best years, only Flash, Boxer and Savior stand out as superior to all SC2 champions up until this point in terms of winrates. For example, Life maintained a 66% winrate between 2012-03-01 and 2013-03-15, while MC maintained a winrate of over 70% between release and 2011-06-01.

I get that you think the cream of the crop BW players were more dominant than their SC2 counterparts, and they were - in terms of championship consistency. In terms of games won/lost, the difference is smaller than people think.


The difference is that BW players were only playing the top Koreans whereas Koreans now can pad their stats against foreigners and lesser Koreans.


That is bullshit. First, the stats I mentioned (Life 66%, MC 70%) were filtered by time vs South Korean players in offline settings. This eliminates wins against foreigners and random online cups. Second, there were bottom players in Brood War just as there are in SC2, and any top player would ultimately come to face them in Proleague and Dual Tournament qualifiers for the Starleagues. You could even use MC (called IrOn at the time) as an example: I think he had a record in televised matches that amounted to a 10% or below winrate.

Hell, one could even argue that bonjwas "padded" their win rates by beating players they were far superior to, because the gap between a player like Flash and a player at the bottom was extremely wide, and there were fewer players that could play at his level. In SC2, there are a lot of really great players that are all more or less capable of beating each other on a given Sunday.
AdministratorBreak the chains
REyeM
Profile Joined August 2014
2674 Posts
December 14 2014 18:56 GMT
#206
2015 is gonna be sick
S4 Arrows, never forget. RIP Woongjin Stars.
Cheren
Profile Blog Joined September 2013
United States2911 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-14 19:53:39
December 14 2014 19:47 GMT
#207
edit: first part deleted cause it was kinda hostile toward zealously who's a cool guy

because the gap between a player like Flash and a player at the bottom was extremely wide, and there were fewer players that could play at his level. In SC2, there are a lot of really great players that are all more or less capable of beating each other on a given Sunday.


and this is why the term bonjwa should be used for BW and not SC2, because it's a game where the best player in the world can be miles above the 3rd best player. in sc2 even mvp, mc, and life were beatable by any player in the top 20.

And that doesn't make BW a better game. It's a lot easier to be dominant in basketball or tennis than in most sports, but that doesn't make basketball and tennis better than baseball, soccer, or American football where you have a lot more parity.
Shuffleblade
Profile Joined February 2012
Sweden1903 Posts
December 14 2014 21:19 GMT
#208
soO or Life are the only ones that could realistically do it, seriously soO did everything this year through a very protoss favored meta and Life did most his heavy results this year when TvT was the staple.
Both those players stood when others fell, the only other player on this list to do that when their race was doing that bad is Taeja and that is not realistic. Zest had an awesome year, this year was to 70% ruled by protoss, what did Zest win after the T patch?
Maru, Bomber, TY, Dear, Classic, DeParture and Rogue!
Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States13974 Posts
December 14 2014 21:22 GMT
#209
On December 15 2014 06:19 Shuffleblade wrote:
soO or Life are the only ones that could realistically do it, seriously soO did everything this year through a very protoss favored meta and Life did most his heavy results this year when TvT was the staple.
Both those players stood when others fell, the only other player on this list to do that when their race was doing that bad is Taeja and that is not realistic. Zest had an awesome year, this year was to 70% ruled by protoss, what did Zest win after the T patch?

As I expected...losing to Inno was too much...soO is broken he may never come back. Life however you can never count out.
Kaina + Drones Linkcro Summon Cupsie Yummy Way
nimdil
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Poland3748 Posts
December 15 2014 09:53 GMT
#210
On December 12 2014 20:37 GumBa wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2014 20:31 REyeM wrote:
On December 12 2014 19:44 Zealously wrote:
On December 12 2014 19:05 p14c wrote:
MVP got lucky. He was dominant in a period when the best players were still playing BW. It all depends if Lotv comes with gimmicky units or not like Hots.


The best players like Life, Taeja, San, Parting, Marineking, MC? There's a long list of players that were nothing or didnt even play in Brood War that have won tournaments since the KESPA switch, so this argument holds little merit


Didn't see any of those players winning anything in Korea after the switch.

Life won a GSL after the kespa switch

But not before Heart of the Swarm that was the real game equalizer.
Tanzklaue
Profile Joined January 2012
Germany1413 Posts
December 15 2014 10:31 GMT
#211
so mc qualified whereas soo and zest didn't.

gogo bosstoss!
Parcelleus
Profile Joined January 2011
Australia1662 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-15 11:06:01
December 15 2014 11:04 GMT
#212
oops wrong thread
*burp*
Madars
Profile Joined December 2011
Latvia166 Posts
December 15 2014 13:29 GMT
#213
So quickly from 5 potential candidates we are down to 3.
<3 Alexis Eusebio, Lee Shin Hyung, Choi Seong Hun, Joo Sung Wook, Jang Min Chul, Kim Yoo Jin, Lee Young Ho, Lee Shin Hyung, Yun Young Seo, Kim Joon Ho, Jeong Jong Hyeon, Eo Yoon Su, Johan Lucchesi, Ilyes Satouri
Zealously
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
East Gorteau22261 Posts
December 15 2014 14:28 GMT
#214
On December 15 2014 18:53 nimdil wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2014 20:37 GumBa wrote:
On December 12 2014 20:31 REyeM wrote:
On December 12 2014 19:44 Zealously wrote:
On December 12 2014 19:05 p14c wrote:
MVP got lucky. He was dominant in a period when the best players were still playing BW. It all depends if Lotv comes with gimmicky units or not like Hots.


The best players like Life, Taeja, San, Parting, Marineking, MC? There's a long list of players that were nothing or didnt even play in Brood War that have won tournaments since the KESPA switch, so this argument holds little merit


Didn't see any of those players winning anything in Korea after the switch.

Life won a GSL after the kespa switch

But not before Heart of the Swarm that was the real game equalizer.


If we call the Global championship-thing Mvp won a GSL I think we can go far enough out of our way to say the same about WCS Global
AdministratorBreak the chains
Philozovic
Profile Joined August 2012
France1677 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-16 10:24:53
December 15 2014 16:20 GMT
#215
There is only one candidate !
Mvp was scary not only because he won but because it felt that he could win just by showing up and feel like it.
He had that aura of invincibility that only one player ever match.

And that player is life. When he was at his peak it was like the kid just couldn't go down. Even down 0-3 against DRG I was worried for the Dong. Think about it he got 2nd at TSL4 and then won GSL MLG MLG blizzcup Ironsquid in the span of 6 months ....
Undefeated in BO5+ LAN for 19 matchs (that's more than 13 MONTHS !!!) only being defeated by Taeja the 20th time.

Then the battle is for third place between BOGUS (who needs to win and not just be frightening) and Taeja (who needs to prove himself in Korea).

MC is by far the most over rated player in the history of the game. Suicide toss is at a mediocre 52% all time against korean and that drops to a pathetic 44% offline in hearth of the swarm. His name should not even be mention here.

Zest and soO well they kind of need to qualify first before winning something ....
INnoVation is the absolute best | I wept for i knew his words to be true
Korakys
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
New Zealand272 Posts
December 16 2014 10:46 GMT
#216
A Final Edit worthy piece of writing there.

I hope that 3 years after Legacy comes out they will stop releasing balance patches.
Swing away sOs, swing away.
mangomango
Profile Joined September 2009
United States265 Posts
December 16 2014 19:44 GMT
#217
You are an excellent writer. I really enjoyed it. You, and the people like you (the passionate ones), are why I come back day after day, year after year.

Thank you stuchiu.

Thank you TeamLiquid.
Husky: Every drone you lose is like a needle in the eye. Nony: probes win $10k (Earn it! Idra Fighting) :P
ANLProbe
Profile Joined October 2013
667 Posts
December 16 2014 19:49 GMT
#218
On December 16 2014 01:20 Philozovic wrote:
There is only one candidate !
Mvp was scary not only because he won but because it felt that he could win just by showing up and feel like it.
He had that aura of invincibility that only one player ever match.

And that player is life. When he was at his peak it was like the kid just couldn't go down. Even down 0-3 against DRG I was worried for the Dong. Think about it he got 2nd at TSL4 and then won GSL MLG MLG blizzcup Ironsquid in the span of 6 months ....
Undefeated in BO5+ LAN for 19 matchs (that's more than 13 MONTHS !!!) only being defeated by Taeja the 20th time.

Then the battle is for third place between BOGUS (who needs to win and not just be frightening) and Taeja (who needs to prove himself in Korea).

MC is by far the most over rated player in the history of the game. Suicide toss is at a mediocre 52% all time against korean and that drops to a pathetic 44% offline in hearth of the swarm. His name should not even be mention here.

Zest and soO well they kind of need to qualify first before winning something ....


To be fair, Life hasn't exactly done very well in GSL since 2013 (when Zerg wasn't overpowered). He has only made it to the ro8 or higher once and that was this year S1.
Go TAEJA
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
December 16 2014 19:56 GMT
#219
On December 15 2014 18:53 nimdil wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2014 20:37 GumBa wrote:
On December 12 2014 20:31 REyeM wrote:
On December 12 2014 19:44 Zealously wrote:
On December 12 2014 19:05 p14c wrote:
MVP got lucky. He was dominant in a period when the best players were still playing BW. It all depends if Lotv comes with gimmicky units or not like Hots.


The best players like Life, Taeja, San, Parting, Marineking, MC? There's a long list of players that were nothing or didnt even play in Brood War that have won tournaments since the KESPA switch, so this argument holds little merit


Didn't see any of those players winning anything in Korea after the switch.

Life won a GSL after the kespa switch

But not before Heart of the Swarm that was the real game equalizer.


Surprised nobody mentioned Maru yet. Against all odds (being on Prime :p) he won an OSL post-HotS.
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
Philozovic
Profile Joined August 2012
France1677 Posts
December 16 2014 20:35 GMT
#220
On December 17 2014 04:49 ANLProbe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 16 2014 01:20 Philozovic wrote:
There is only one candidate !
Mvp was scary not only because he won but because it felt that he could win just by showing up and feel like it.
He had that aura of invincibility that only one player ever match.

And that player is life. When he was at his peak it was like the kid just couldn't go down. Even down 0-3 against DRG I was worried for the Dong. Think about it he got 2nd at TSL4 and then won GSL MLG MLG blizzcup Ironsquid in the span of 6 months ....
Undefeated in BO5+ LAN for 19 matchs (that's more than 13 MONTHS !!!) only being defeated by Taeja the 20th time.

Then the battle is for third place between BOGUS (who needs to win and not just be frightening) and Taeja (who needs to prove himself in Korea).

MC is by far the most over rated player in the history of the game. Suicide toss is at a mediocre 52% all time against korean and that drops to a pathetic 44% offline in hearth of the swarm. His name should not even be mention here.

Zest and soO well they kind of need to qualify first before winning something ....


To be fair, Life hasn't exactly done very well in GSL since 2013 (when Zerg wasn't overpowered). He has only made it to the ro8 or higher once and that was this year S1.


Beeing mvp like is not just about the result it's about beeing feared, it's about making the other guy shaking and shiting in his pant. Life was so scary, just remember that one dreamhack where he was eliminated by Sjow, everyone one thought he had tourney won before it even starts.
No one inspired as much fear !
INnoVation is the absolute best | I wept for i knew his words to be true
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