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[Code S] Ro32 Group H Preview - Season 3

Forum Index > SC2 General
24 CommentsPost a Reply
1 2 Next All

[Code S] Ro32 Group H Preview - Season 3

Text byTrasko
August 21st, 2014 07:50 GMT
2014 GSL Season 3

GSL Season Three
Code S



Group H Preview
Solar, Avenge, Flash Dark

Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

Group H:
A God Reborn


by Trasko and lichter

It's been two years since the switch. It's been a year and a half since the release of HoTS. Somewhere along that time line, it seemed destined that God Young Ho, the greatest RTS player of all time, was going to win a title. When MLG Winter Championship came, the first big tournament of Heart of the Swarm, Flash rose to the occasion. He finished second behind the inimitable Life, and everyone was ready for his ascension.

Yet it never came. Three Ro16 disappointments in Code S suggested he was good, but he just needed time. And the clock ticked, and as the months passed, it seemed like all his colleagues had past him. INnoVation became the machine in early 2013. sOs became the 100k man. Dear became a double champion. Zest became the KT's first SC2 champion. Once lesser names, once lesser lights, but not anymore. For seasons 1 and 2, Flash was stuck in Code A. He finished last the first time, and lost to Shine the second. He had a spark during the Global Championships, but fell second to the young prodigy Maru, the apparent heir to his throne. It looked like time had run out for him. It looked like God was dead.

But all it took was the taste of another final to bring him back to life.

You could say he carried his team. You could say he was still their leader. But without the rise of Zest, Stats, and TY, he would never have reached the Proleague Finals. Matched up against his nemesis PartinG, who had repeatedly beaten him before with his play and harsh words, it looked like he would have to rely on his team once again. Yet when the opportunity called for him to answer, he did. He took out his ruler, measured his equipment, and prepared. Then, he crushed PartinG. He kicked a football with SKT T1's names on it into the stands. But we all knew he was kicking a symbol of his demons, of his frustrations.

This August, (T)Flash has been on a tear. He qualified for IEM Toronto Asian Finals with a 10-3 record over Maru, Dear, GuMiho, Reality and hitmaN. He qualified for the main event with wins over Pigbaby, herO, Classic, Sorry and soO. He qualified for KeSPA Cup by defeating Dream, Zoun, EffOrt and Soulkey. Since that fateful day on the Han River, Flash is 28-7.

Yet he has one demon left: Code S. The greatest players win the greatest tournaments, and until Flash wins a GSL, his career in SC2 will have been a failure. For a man considered the Ultimate Weapon, only the ultimate victory will suffice. He is on the back of the hottest streak in his SC2 career and finally looks like the player that everyone once feared. But all it takes to be brought back down to earth is two losses to end 2014. Looking at the month leading to tonight, it's difficult to imagine Flash returning to the darkness.

When you light a candle, you also cast a dark shadow. Being an ex-Slayers member, (Z)Dark knows the feeling of victory as he was one of their unsung heroes for a period of time. The sad reality of the situation however is that beyond his team's succession, he was never able to translate that into individual leagues until his switch to SKT T1, where he has become one of their reliable roster players. Dark was sent out as the starting player for SK Telecom three times in a row during the semi-finals against CJ Entus, winning both "Proleague Format" matches and falling in the all-kill format. What's even more interesting is that these games were three out of the nine he played throughout the whole season. This must have meant that SKT T1 now has more faith in him and that he must have had improved immensely. If this improvement were to translate into this group, Dark could once again make it to the round of 16 and perhaps go even further beyond that which he has achieved before.

One surprising fact about Dark is that he's been Code S the entire year, even reaching the Ro16 in Season 2. While all of his teammates have received the accolades, he has slowly put together a good year. Though his ZvP is his weakest matchup, he has still somehow done enough to survive a round each season in a protoss heavy year. Fortunately, he'll be able to call upon his superior ZvT and ZvZ which both stand over 60%. In the mirror matchup, he has been known to throw in early pools and all ins, and he's slowly learned to adapt both Soulkey's more defensive play and soO's more versatile maneuvers. Though that has been enough to defeat weaker players like Billowy, Armani, Sora, and Rogue, he has struggled against higher calibre players like Maru and TRUE in BoX series. He does have excellent swarmhost control, knowing when to time his locust spawns to tank the maximum amount of damage, and it should come in handy against his first opponent. Defeating a reborn Flash will go a long way in establishing himself as a permanent fixture of GSL as he has had little opportunity to travel abroad unlike the other zerg in his group.

Once upon a time, KeSPA was an insular, isolated group. Players played in their tournament, in their country, and on their terms. However, they have slowly opened their arms to the international scene, and we've seen more and more of their players venture into the mysterious land of foreigners. One of the more recently successful travelers has been Samsung's (Z)Solar. With silver medals at IEM Shenzhen and RBBG Global, Solar looks one step away from claiming his first major title. Prior to this rich vein of form, people had removed him from contention as one of the best zergs in the world, largely due to his disappointing Proleague record of 9-10. Individual leagues and BoXs are different beasts, however, and his deep runs in the aforementioned tournaments along with his newly gained confidence in traveling to foreign events suggests he is no longer the greenhorn that disappointed us after Proleague Round 1. With a wealth of recent experience, he enters this group a strong contender to ride his favored muta ling bling composition into first place. However, he has shown an inability to finish strong when it matters, failing in tournaments and qualifiers at the last hurdle, but this should still be too soon for the Samsung zerg to fall out.

As for (P)Avenge, there is really not much to say. He escaped from a relatively easy Code A group over ZvP dunce Sleep and the brown dwarf Sora, and he's shown little in the past few months to suggest he has what it takes to upset any of these players. Aside from his current GSL appearance, the last time he showed himself in a big tournament was IEM Singapore way back in December 2013, where he came close to qualifying for the group stages from the open bracket. His records do show a respectable 50% in all three matchups, but it's difficult to draw any conclusions from someone with such a long career in the game but a relatively sparse recent history. He'll likely have to beat two zergs to have a shot tonight, but it's not looking good. With losses to decent to good players like Armani, EffOrt, and DRG in the past 2 months and wins against flounderers like DeParture, hyvaa, and Sleep, it looks like a tall order for someone who was once considered Startale's best protoss. The nail in the coffin has to be the fact that Terminator is considered a better protoss by the Jin Air coaching staff, and we all know how he fared in his group.

Overall thoughts:
It will most likely come down to Flash, Dark and Solar for the top two spots in the final group of the Ro32. It's impossible to look past Flash's recent record, and with terran's performing well this season, it's hard to see him falling this early. However, this is still his first Code S appearance this year despite being one of the best terran players in Korea, so some caution is advised. Dark has also been in good shape, and the recent trust placed on him by his powerhouse team suggests that he has been performing well in practice. But Solar is currently the most successful player in this group, and he has shown he has the ability to wreak havoc on any group or bracket he faces. Unfortunately for Avenge, that means he's probably finishing last.

Solar > Avenge
Flash > Dark
Solar > Flash
Avenge < Dark
Flash > Dark

(Z)Solar and (T)Flash advance to the round of 16.

The rebirth continues.

Writers: Trasko and lichter.
Graphics: Meru.
Photo: GOMeXP.
Editor: lichter.
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Jaedong <3
algue
Profile Joined July 2011
France1436 Posts
August 21 2014 07:59 GMT
#2
If Flash only plays against Dark that would be a bummer, I want him to tear appart as many players as possible !
rly ?
BretZ
Profile Joined May 2011
United States1510 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-21 08:01:00
August 21 2014 08:00 GMT
#3
Cant deicde if I want to stay up for this or not!

plz someone convince me
Phredxor
Profile Joined May 2013
New Zealand15076 Posts
August 21 2014 08:01 GMT
#4
On August 21 2014 17:00 BretZ wrote:
Cant deicde if I want to stay up for this or not!

plz someone convince me


If you don't stay up, God will be much disappoint in you.
igay
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
Australia1178 Posts
August 21 2014 08:02 GMT
#5
On August 21 2014 17:00 BretZ wrote:
Cant deicde if I want to stay up for this or not!

plz someone convince me


Flash is playing, enough said.
MVP <3 MKP <3 DRG <3
LoneYoShi
Profile Blog Joined June 2014
France1348 Posts
August 21 2014 08:04 GMT
#6
I was wondering why no preview for today's group... I'm glad to have it, thanks guys !

Also, FlaSh will win, and Dark will follow him !
Incognoto
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
France10239 Posts
August 21 2014 08:05 GMT
#7
If you're going to stay up for a gsl match, this would be the one to stay up for.
maru lover forever
stargunner
Profile Joined July 2014
United States135 Posts
August 21 2014 08:08 GMT
#8
i have high hopes that Flash will advance today. he has been systematically dismantling all opponents he has faced lately.
Arvendilin
Profile Joined February 2013
Germany1878 Posts
August 21 2014 08:23 GMT
#9
On August 21 2014 17:08 stargunner wrote:
i have high hopes that Flash will advance today. he has been systematically dismantling all opponents he has faced lately.


I have bought some alcohol to drown out the pain when he will once again disappoint my hopes for him to advance
My heroes: Jangbi, Bisu, Stork and BeSt for BW, Rain, Zest and Stats for SC2! Need a better Signature tbh...
Edpayasugo
Profile Joined April 2013
United Kingdom2212 Posts
August 21 2014 08:25 GMT
#10
gogo Flash!
FlaSh MMA INnoVation FanTaSy MKP TY Ryung | soO Dark Rogue | HuK PartinG Stork State
LoneYoShi
Profile Blog Joined June 2014
France1348 Posts
August 21 2014 08:44 GMT
#11
On August 21 2014 17:23 Arvendilin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 21 2014 17:08 stargunner wrote:
i have high hopes that Flash will advance today. he has been systematically dismantling all opponents he has faced lately.


I have bought some alcohol to drown out the pain when he will once again disappoint my hopes for him to advance


To celebrate his wins you mean ?
Krobolt
Profile Joined August 2014
Canada42 Posts
August 21 2014 08:45 GMT
#12
Went to bed at 10 and woke up at 1:45 just to watch this match... so tired, but for God, it's worth it.
A proud member of the Dongsquad.
Greenei
Profile Joined November 2011
Germany1754 Posts
August 21 2014 08:46 GMT
#13
Solar so overrated. See him crash and burn today.
IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA
krneki
Profile Joined December 2010
Norway237 Posts
August 21 2014 08:51 GMT
#14
with current solars zvt form, no way he is beating flash. i feel that authors dont really watch recent games
LoneYoShi
Profile Blog Joined June 2014
France1348 Posts
August 21 2014 08:58 GMT
#15
On August 21 2014 17:51 krneki wrote:
with current solars zvt form, no way he is beating flash. i feel that authors dont really watch recent games


You mean that a TL prediction could actually end up being wrong ? No way !

;-p
Apoteosis
Profile Joined June 2011
Chile820 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-21 09:00:49
August 21 2014 08:59 GMT
#16
meh
my preview was better lol

+ Show Spoiler +
No preview?
TL writers you lazy lot, I'll give you a quick preview:

Tonight is the last group of code S, the best SC2 tournament of the entire world.
We are all disappointed because (P)PartinG made it to the RO16 instead of the greatest Protoss on earth behind $O$, that is, (P)Dear. We all know that PartinG slot is a wasted slot because he suck in code S, but whatever. Still, we all zergs are happy that (Z)TRUE made it in the First place sending the (T)TY farce to code A.

In group H, we got one crappy toss in the name of (P)Avenge (there is a lot of Protoss newcomers and I am too lazy to develop an essay of a Startale betrayer - just like you PartinG!!!!!!), and two zergs. The First one is (Z)Dark, an underrated Zerg who is a ZvZ Machine. But what about his TvZ? Last season he dispatched Another Terran farce in the name of (T)Bbyong (he won just by cheesing, and by cheesing I Mean mech, not that silly gangnam Cheese on Habitation Station), and later he got obliterated by (T)Maru, though he somehow managed to take a game off of him (that last sentence is correct, right? Well, my english is not perfect, just like that silly swedens who write in this website). Seems like Dark dispatch lesser Terran opponents, but against the best ones he struggles. Same thing applies for him at PvZ. Which means he will make it, at least, to the final match. What happens in that match, however, is purely gambling.

Speaking about best Terrans, in this group there is (T)Flash. Hyped to the absurd, this guy is a BW legend, but somehow he sucks at SC2 (well, he actually not sucks, but considering the high expectations that everybody places upon him...). He's never made it past RO16 and this season, he is coming back from code B (HAHA (Z)Sniper !!!!). So, we can say that Flash is a Code S n00b. However, the guy has always shined in Proleague, and last finals he kicked the hell out of PartinG and all the SKTT1 roster, LITERALLY SPEAKING :D
I don't know, but for me, the pressure and the high expectations have gotten the best of Flash. He just simply can't live up to his legend. To put it in this way: passing the RO32 is not an accomplishment for Flash, it's simply his duty. So, Flash MUST make it to the RO16. It's too much pressure for someone who hasn't gained a single premiere tournament in SC2. We should be comparing Flash with fellas like (T)KeeN, not guys like (T)INnoVation. Because of this, I don't know if Flash will pass this group. It all depends on who is sitting on his booth tonight. If the Proleague Flash appears, he will pass to the RO16. If the GSL Flash appears tonight, he will, at least, make it to the final match.

The favourite in this group, however, is the Samsung Zerg (Z)Solar. The guy who defeated (Z)Stephano. Why is he the favourite? Because he has got deep runs in premiere international tournaments of recent date. GSL 2 2014, IEM Shenzen, RBBG Global (I think this is actually a major one, but idk...), et cetera. And another factor is that he will face Avenge in his first match, so he got his free ticket to the winners match. There, he will likely face Flash, and considering the random nature of that player, contrasting with Solar's own consistence, makes the latter the favourite to top the group. Unless the stars align and Flash win...

And there is the problem of the final match. There is the following options: Dark vs Solar or Dark vs Flash. If it is a TvZ, I think Flash will dispatch Dark, just because Dark is SKTT1. As they say in my country, Flash "ganará sólo con la camiseta" (google translate pls), unless something weird happens. However, if the final match happens to be a ZvZ, the predictions are obscure. Solar is good at ZvZ, but we can not underestimate Dark's prowess in the matchup. Aligulac data is of little guidance here: ZvZ is a highly tecnical matchup and very APM-consuming and mechanically demanding. Non-literates (Protoss players) think it is luck, but it is not. A nanosecond of distraction can turn into a disaster, straight up losing the game. The one who is more focused will win the match. But I have to predict, so I'll give the slight edge to Solar.

So, my predictions:

(Z)Solar > Avenge
(T)Flash > Dark
(Z)Solar > Flash
(Z)Dark > Avenge
(T)Flash > Dark

(Z)Solar and (T)Flash advance to the RO16
Life won like 200k and didn't hire a proper criminal lawyer.
TAMinator
Profile Joined February 2011
Australia2706 Posts
August 21 2014 09:08 GMT
#17
Flash will lose and you will all be sad again MAUAHAAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHA
+ Show Spoiler +
I actually want Flash to advance
Greenei
Profile Joined November 2011
Germany1754 Posts
August 21 2014 09:11 GMT
#18
Dark is the next Zerg Bonjwa. Calling it now.
IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
August 21 2014 09:20 GMT
#19
On August 21 2014 17:51 krneki wrote:
with current solars zvt form, no way he is beating flash. i feel that authors dont really watch recent games


15-8 since IEM Shenzhen ain't bad. 24-14 including Shenzhen.
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
TerranZerg
Profile Joined May 2013
Russian Federation145 Posts
August 21 2014 09:33 GMT
#20
Solar>FlaSh? LOL
| FlaSh | Hyuk | ♥Bisu♥ | 1a2a3a[fOu] |
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