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[WTL 2023] Winter - Week 5

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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digmouse
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
China6331 Posts
October 26 2023 06:42 GMT
#1
[image loading]


(Wiki)World Team League/2023/Winter/Regular Season

Streams

cn SCBoy
uk WardiTV | uk SteadfastSC | uk RotterdaM
fr Legendk | kr IntoTheiNu | kr Crank



Starting Maps

1.(Wiki)Oceanborn
2.(Wiki)Solaris
3.(Wiki)Site Delta

Ace
(Wiki)Radhuset Station



Match-ups

Friday, Oct 27 12:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)

Shopify Rebellion vs Kwandong Freecs

(T)ByuN vs (Z)Armani
(Z)Scarlett vs (T)TY
(P)Harstem vs (T)KeeN

Team Liquid vs PsiStorm Gaming

(P)MaNa vs (T)Spirit
(T)Clem vs (P)Gerald
(P)SKillous vs (P)MaxPax

Saturday, Oct 28 12:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)

Matcherino Esports vs Mystery Gaming

(P)Astrea vs (T)Bunny
(P)NightMare vs (Z)SHIN
(Wiki)Arrogfire vs (Wiki)Nanami

Starlight Twinkle vs Basilisk

(Z)Wayne vs (Z)Serral
(Z)Cham vs (Wiki)trigger
(Wiki)ReWhite vs (Z)Reynor

Sunday, Oct 29 12:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)

Platinum Heroes vs SSLT

(P)FireFly vs (Z)TooDming
(P)ShaDoWn vs (Z)Silky
(P)DnS vs (P)Cyan

Onsyde Gaming vs Dragon Kaizi Gaming

(Z)Solar vs (Z)Dark
(T)Maru vs (T)Oliveira
(T)Ryung vs (P)herO

TranslatorIf you want to ask anything about Chinese esports, send me a PM or follow me @nerddigmouse.
swarminfestor
Profile Joined September 2017
Malaysia2449 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-27 12:22:51
October 27 2023 12:17 GMT
#2
Onsyde Gaming vs Dragon Kaizi Gaming's lineup look promising.
Rogue & Maru fan boy. ^^
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12911 Posts
October 27 2023 12:17 GMT
#3
TY making the rookie mistake of making cyclones in TvZ. Hellbats push didn't work with marauders, they don't work either with the new cyclone.
Freecs will probably get relegated at this rate
WriterMaru
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3482 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-27 16:07:54
October 27 2023 13:37 GMT
#4
Armani playing one of the best early/mid game into one of the worst late game in ZvT really tell me why hes hasnt qualified for GSL these days.

Also, I feel like MaxPax mid-late game in PvT is getting exposed by a bit. He doesnt really play with lots of Robo/Stargate unit, just trying to bait the Terran army out of position and then getting the Zealot backstab + Warp Prism for the eco damage. I have seen Cure, and now Clem always have a group of Bio unit inside their base to deal with those.
digmouse
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
China6331 Posts
October 28 2023 12:42 GMT
#5
Liking the new sponsor?
TranslatorIf you want to ask anything about Chinese esports, send me a PM or follow me @nerddigmouse.
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1278 Posts
October 28 2023 13:42 GMT
#6
Serrals ZvZ is starting to become a problem, damn
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8989 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-28 14:30:00
October 28 2023 13:42 GMT
#7
The 50/50 curse has been passed onto Serral

Edit: nvm, it's a virus
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3482 Posts
October 28 2023 14:30 GMT
#8
Reynor just took it back.
digmouse
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
China6331 Posts
October 28 2023 14:36 GMT
#9
Oh Reynor
TranslatorIf you want to ask anything about Chinese esports, send me a PM or follow me @nerddigmouse.
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3482 Posts
October 28 2023 14:42 GMT
#10
Basilisk should go for the gigachad move and send out Trigger for the Ace
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8989 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-28 14:58:54
October 28 2023 14:52 GMT
#11
On October 28 2023 21:42 digmouse wrote:
Liking the new sponsor?


What kind of companies are they?


Edit: Absolutely bonker build from Nice
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3482 Posts
October 28 2023 15:09 GMT
#12
Nice should have never attacked, just turtle on his base and wait until Serral got the call from ESL for his match.
BluemoonSC
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
SoCal8910 Posts
October 28 2023 15:16 GMT
#13
In case you haven't seen it, Honkai Starrail is sponsoring the event. They're currently sponsoring Azure Ray at TI too, so pretty awesome to see them supporting Starcraft!
LiquidDota Staff@BluemoonGG_
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18258 Posts
October 28 2023 15:28 GMT
#14
that was unexpected! great game from Nice too. there was a moment he made me believe, but even 1 point from Basilisk is amazing.
Philippe
Profile Joined October 2020
354 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-28 16:00:57
October 28 2023 15:59 GMT
#15
The fact SLT got an ace match shouldn't even have happened in the first place, good on them to grab at least a point, playoff purposes, this might be that important.
I'm just a cynical video game enjoyer who is probably unfazed by many business dealings many would find utterly distasteful, while not strictly illegal by the law as seen in a general sense in the world.
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12911 Posts
October 28 2023 17:32 GMT
#16
Incredible results from SLT wow.
I voted MYG for liquibets, didn’t expect them to be destroyed by Matcherino
WriterMaru
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8989 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-29 12:24:35
October 29 2023 12:24 GMT
#17
Is there's some SSLT-Firefly drama? I'm sure the Chinese forums will have a field day with that one.
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
digmouse
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
China6331 Posts
October 29 2023 14:15 GMT
#18
On October 29 2023 21:24 Nakajin wrote:
Is there's some SSLT-Firefly drama? I'm sure the Chinese forums will have a field day with that one.

Don't think so. Not like he left SSLT on bad terms or anything.
TranslatorIf you want to ask anything about Chinese esports, send me a PM or follow me @nerddigmouse.
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8989 Posts
October 29 2023 14:31 GMT
#19
On October 29 2023 23:15 digmouse wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2023 21:24 Nakajin wrote:
Is there's some SSLT-Firefly drama? I'm sure the Chinese forums will have a field day with that one.

Don't think so. Not like he left SSLT on bad terms or anything.


kk, I wonder what the probe hallucinations were all about. Felt a bit unnecessary, but I guess Firefly really did demolish him.
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12911 Posts
October 29 2023 15:07 GMT
#20
Why no Maru, because of TvZ? I feel like Onsyde had a shot at winning :/
WriterMaru
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States33587 Posts
October 29 2023 15:09 GMT
#21
As a GSL preview, still makes me confident that Dark is prolly the best super-late ZvZ player in the world.

Although even in a BO7, I don't know if we get even one of those types of games.
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3482 Posts
October 29 2023 15:10 GMT
#22
That map isnt very good for Terran so ZvZ is a better choice, but damn Solar just got picked apart in lategame.
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12911 Posts
October 29 2023 15:28 GMT
#23
On October 30 2023 00:10 tigera6 wrote:
That map isnt very good for Terran so ZvZ is a better choice, but damn Solar just got picked apart in lategame.

Turns out that Solar ain’t’ a ZvZ god, Serral is just a ZvZ chobo
WriterMaru
Antithesis
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany1236 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-29 19:36:42
October 29 2023 19:33 GMT
#24
On October 30 2023 00:28 Poopi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 30 2023 00:10 tigera6 wrote:
That map isnt very good for Terran so ZvZ is a better choice, but damn Solar just got picked apart in lategame.

Turns out that Solar ain’t’ a ZvZ god, Serral is just a ZvZ chobo

Serral is literally the highest ranked ZvZ player on Earth. People are overrating the significance of small sample sizes.

Solar is second, roughly 100 ELO behind Serral, and Dark is third, roughly 100 ELO behind Solar. Considering the volatility of ZvZ, there is no surprise whatsoever in anyone of the three beating anyone else on one occasion or another.

This being so, it's understandable that Onsyde would send Solar rather than Maru.
Mutation complete.
JJH777
Profile Joined January 2011
United States4415 Posts
October 29 2023 21:32 GMT
#25
On October 30 2023 04:33 Antithesis wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 30 2023 00:28 Poopi wrote:
On October 30 2023 00:10 tigera6 wrote:
That map isnt very good for Terran so ZvZ is a better choice, but damn Solar just got picked apart in lategame.

Turns out that Solar ain’t’ a ZvZ god, Serral is just a ZvZ chobo

Serral is literally the highest ranked ZvZ player on Earth. People are overrating the significance of small sample sizes.

Solar is second, roughly 100 ELO behind Serral, and Dark is third, roughly 100 ELO behind Solar. Considering the volatility of ZvZ, there is no surprise whatsoever in anyone of the three beating anyone else on one occasion or another.

This being so, it's understandable that Onsyde would send Solar rather than Maru.


One of the many problems with aligulac is that it gives points to all matchups for any win. A series win in ZvP boosts all 3 of Serral's (or any players) matchup ratings. Serral's insane ZvP and ZvT winrates guarantee he'll be number 1 in ZvZ even if he does lackluster in the matchup as he has for most of this year.
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12911 Posts
October 29 2023 22:49 GMT
#26
It was kind of a joke anyways.
I cheered for Onsyde and I saw relatively early on that Dark was (as usual) controlling his spellcasters very well.
Maybe Solar has a really good grasp of ZvZ timings on most maps but since this map felt like a no rush 10mn type of map, he was forced into late game ZvZ where Dark can shine?

No clean sheet for Onsyde, it’s gonna be a difficult season with TL being strong as well
WriterMaru
Antithesis
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany1236 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-29 23:03:56
October 29 2023 23:00 GMT
#27
On October 30 2023 06:32 JJH777 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 30 2023 04:33 Antithesis wrote:
On October 30 2023 00:28 Poopi wrote:
On October 30 2023 00:10 tigera6 wrote:
That map isnt very good for Terran so ZvZ is a better choice, but damn Solar just got picked apart in lategame.

Turns out that Solar ain’t’ a ZvZ god, Serral is just a ZvZ chobo

Serral is literally the highest ranked ZvZ player on Earth. People are overrating the significance of small sample sizes.

Solar is second, roughly 100 ELO behind Serral, and Dark is third, roughly 100 ELO behind Solar. Considering the volatility of ZvZ, there is no surprise whatsoever in anyone of the three beating anyone else on one occasion or another.

This being so, it's understandable that Onsyde would send Solar rather than Maru.


One of the many problems with aligulac is that it gives points to all matchups for any win. A series win in ZvP boosts all 3 of Serral's (or any players) matchup ratings. Serral's insane ZvP and ZvT winrates guarantee he'll be number 1 in ZvZ even if he does lackluster in the matchup as he has for most of this year.

Interesting. This is the first time I hear about this. How does this work, exactly? I just checked the Aligulac FAQ but could not find any details on it. There is a special case where "If a player only plays games against one race during a period, only the overall rating will change". But this cannot apply to Serral nor to any other active player, as they play many matches of all matchups during each period. In contrast, the general rule, according to the Aligulac FAQ, is that "The overall rating is always the mean of the matchup ratings." To me this seems to mean that the overall rating is a function of the matchup ratings, not the other way around.

I agree that if the matchup ratings were a function of the overall rating, that would be a problem with Aligulac. In fact, it would undermine the sole purpose of the matchup ratings.
Mutation complete.
JJH777
Profile Joined January 2011
United States4415 Posts
October 30 2023 02:23 GMT
#28
On October 30 2023 08:00 Antithesis wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 30 2023 06:32 JJH777 wrote:
On October 30 2023 04:33 Antithesis wrote:
On October 30 2023 00:28 Poopi wrote:
On October 30 2023 00:10 tigera6 wrote:
That map isnt very good for Terran so ZvZ is a better choice, but damn Solar just got picked apart in lategame.

Turns out that Solar ain’t’ a ZvZ god, Serral is just a ZvZ chobo

Serral is literally the highest ranked ZvZ player on Earth. People are overrating the significance of small sample sizes.

Solar is second, roughly 100 ELO behind Serral, and Dark is third, roughly 100 ELO behind Solar. Considering the volatility of ZvZ, there is no surprise whatsoever in anyone of the three beating anyone else on one occasion or another.

This being so, it's understandable that Onsyde would send Solar rather than Maru.


One of the many problems with aligulac is that it gives points to all matchups for any win. A series win in ZvP boosts all 3 of Serral's (or any players) matchup ratings. Serral's insane ZvP and ZvT winrates guarantee he'll be number 1 in ZvZ even if he does lackluster in the matchup as he has for most of this year.

Interesting. This is the first time I hear about this. How does this work, exactly? I just checked the Aligulac FAQ but could not find any details on it. There is a special case where "If a player only plays games against one race during a period, only the overall rating will change". But this cannot apply to Serral nor to any other active player, as they play many matches of all matchups during each period. In contrast, the general rule, according to the Aligulac FAQ, is that "The overall rating is always the mean of the matchup ratings." To me this seems to mean that the overall rating is a function of the matchup ratings, not the other way around.

I agree that if the matchup ratings were a function of the overall rating, that would be a problem with Aligulac. In fact, it would undermine the sole purpose of the matchup ratings.


I can't tell you how it works but it's easy to verify. Aligulac ratings update around 5pm PST each day. Check the top players match history and look for someone who's only played 1 or 2 of the 3 possible race matchups during that 24 hour period. Their rating in the third matchup will still change pretty much without fail. It will be a much smaller change than the ratings in the matchups they did play but it's still impacted.
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3482 Posts
October 30 2023 02:52 GMT
#29
On October 30 2023 07:49 Poopi wrote:
It was kind of a joke anyways.
I cheered for Onsyde and I saw relatively early on that Dark was (as usual) controlling his spellcasters very well.
Maybe Solar has a really good grasp of ZvZ timings on most maps but since this map felt like a no rush 10mn type of map, he was forced into late game ZvZ where Dark can shine?

No clean sheet for Onsyde, it’s gonna be a difficult season with TL being strong as well

Last season Onsyde also lost in Ace match to DKZ as well, so I am not so worried as long as they can still beat Shopify and TL, the matchup in generally favored Onsyde there. Plus, we have Basilisk also struggle a bit more now compare to last season, Serral already dropped 3 maps this season while he only drop one map for the entire last season.

As for Solar, I always feel like multi-prong defense has been his issue, hes much better at a frontal fight than splitting the army left and right to deal with attack at different location. Meanwhile, Dark is the master at this, how he like to attack multiple locations at the same time like a Terran.
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