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[WCS] Global Finals Day 1 - Page 13

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
November 15 2012 21:40 GMT
#241
On November 16 2012 06:18 StarVe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 16 2012 05:50 opterown wrote:
australians who are die hard fans can watch the whole thing!
it's from 1pm-12midnight here ;D

Pfff, you don't even need to be a die hard fan for that. Times are perfect for you.

GSL and this WCS is the only tourney that's like this now, we don't have good times for DH or MLG etc lol
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
November 15 2012 21:41 GMT
#242
This is just because I'm crazy. I'll come back to these after the tournament is over to (over)analyse. Until then... uuuh, don't mind me!

+ Show Spoiler [Probability of finishing exactly...] +
                  Top 32   Top 24   Top 16    Top 8    Top 4    Top 2      Win
Creator: 7.45% 13.50% 18.89% 12.78% 16.63% 10.33% 20.41%
By.Rain: 0.92% 2.08% 36.42% 17.70% 16.41% 10.63% 15.85%
Stephano: 8.22% 14.71% 24.21% 17.13% 14.23% 9.11% 12.40%
Parting: 2.48% 4.48% 42.62% 13.75% 16.21% 9.32% 11.14%
Curious: 4.20% 7.87% 23.51% 28.43% 15.50% 9.48% 11.01%
HerO: 14.56% 22.05% 25.35% 14.79% 10.94% 6.47% 5.84%
Nerchio: 21.23% 28.02% 19.32% 10.24% 10.42% 5.78% 4.99%
LucifroN: 1.47% 5.72% 31.66% 36.02% 14.30% 6.73% 4.10%
Scarlett: 19.23% 28.32% 22.03% 11.43% 10.30% 5.25% 3.44%
Sen: 10.44% 14.28% 34.52% 23.84% 9.36% 4.66% 2.90%
Vortix: 6.71% 10.73% 34.77% 29.98% 10.86% 4.57% 2.38%
TITAN: 18.33% 22.95% 26.43% 20.68% 7.12% 3.10% 1.40%
RorO: 23.64% 32.96% 23.53% 10.82% 5.65% 2.40% 1.01%
LoWeLy: 4.00% 18.18% 37.55% 28.56% 8.12% 2.70% 0.89%
Suppy: 15.67% 23.10% 35.19% 19.33% 4.89% 1.44% 0.38%
Killer: 28.18% 27.33% 27.04% 12.30% 3.53% 1.23% 0.38%
BabyKnight: 10.92% 24.75% 46.34% 11.58% 4.55% 1.48% 0.38%
HuK: 27.32% 28.22% 28.69% 11.65% 2.97% 0.92% 0.23%
mOOnGLaDe: 52.09% 30.15% 10.64% 3.94% 2.26% 0.72% 0.20%
Fenix: 20.63% 29.75% 39.08% 6.48% 3.05% 0.82% 0.18%
Grubby: 34.06% 30.17% 24.39% 8.73% 2.00% 0.54% 0.11%
MajOr: 29.07% 36.15% 22.01% 10.05% 2.09% 0.54% 0.10%
Socke: 36.76% 31.03% 25.78% 4.07% 1.81% 0.46% 0.09%
IdrA: 53.58% 30.28% 11.20% 3.39% 1.17% 0.32% 0.06%
CommItment: 34.72% 34.21% 21.69% 7.78% 1.31% 0.25% 0.03%
ViBE: 42.90% 31.96% 17.77% 6.17% 0.99% 0.18% 0.02%
Illusion: 40.13% 34.75% 21.63% 2.52% 0.81% 0.15% 0.02%
Insur: 21.70% 52.85% 17.97% 6.47% 0.87% 0.13% 0.01%
herO: 48.41% 33.03% 13.42% 4.37% 0.64% 0.12% 0.01%
State: 34.42% 41.67% 20.25% 2.89% 0.64% 0.12% 0.01%
MaFia: 53.75% 31.50% 12.70% 1.65% 0.34% 0.05% >0.00%
Levin: 72.84% 23.25% 3.41% 0.48% 0.02% >0.00% >0.00%

+ Show Spoiler [Probability of doing no better than...] +
                  Top 32   Top 24   Top 16    Top 8    Top 4    Top 2      Win
Creator: 7.45% 20.95% 39.84% 52.62% 69.26% 79.59% 100.00%
By.Rain: 0.92% 2.99% 39.41% 57.11% 73.52% 84.15% 100.00%
Stephano: 8.22% 22.93% 47.13% 64.26% 78.49% 87.60% 100.00%
Parting: 2.48% 6.95% 49.58% 63.33% 79.53% 88.86% 100.00%
Curious: 4.20% 12.07% 35.58% 64.01% 79.51% 88.99% 100.00%
HerO: 14.56% 36.61% 61.95% 76.75% 87.69% 94.16% 100.00%
Nerchio: 21.23% 49.25% 68.57% 78.81% 89.23% 95.01% 100.00%
LucifroN: 1.47% 7.18% 38.84% 74.87% 89.17% 95.90% 100.00%
Scarlett: 19.23% 47.56% 69.59% 81.02% 91.32% 96.56% 100.00%
Sen: 10.44% 24.72% 59.24% 83.08% 92.44% 97.10% 100.00%
Vortix: 6.71% 17.43% 52.20% 82.19% 93.05% 97.62% 100.00%
TITAN: 18.33% 41.27% 67.70% 88.38% 95.50% 98.60% 100.00%
RorO: 23.64% 56.60% 80.13% 90.95% 96.59% 98.99% 100.00%
LoWeLy: 4.00% 22.18% 59.73% 88.29% 96.41% 99.11% 100.00%
Suppy: 15.67% 38.77% 73.96% 93.29% 98.17% 99.62% 100.00%
Killer: 28.18% 55.51% 82.56% 94.86% 98.39% 99.62% 100.00%
BabyKnight: 10.92% 35.67% 82.01% 93.59% 98.15% 99.62% 100.00%
HuK: 27.32% 55.54% 84.23% 95.88% 98.85% 99.77% 100.00%
mOOnGLaDe: 52.09% 82.24% 92.88% 96.82% 99.08% 99.80% 100.00%
Fenix: 20.63% 50.38% 89.46% 95.95% 99.00% 99.82% 100.00%
Grubby: 34.06% 64.23% 88.61% 97.34% 99.34% 99.89% 100.00%
MajOr: 29.07% 65.22% 87.23% 97.28% 99.36% 99.90% 100.00%
Socke: 36.76% 67.79% 93.57% 97.64% 99.45% 99.91% 100.00%
IdrA: 53.58% 83.86% 95.07% 98.46% 99.62% 99.94% 100.00%
CommItment: 34.72% 68.94% 90.63% 98.41% 99.71% 99.97% 100.00%
ViBE: 42.90% 74.86% 92.63% 98.80% 99.79% 99.98% 100.00%
Illusion: 40.13% 74.88% 96.51% 99.02% 99.84% 99.98% 100.00%
Insur: 21.70% 74.55% 92.51% 98.99% 99.85% 99.99% 100.00%
herO: 48.41% 81.44% 94.86% 99.23% 99.87% 99.99% 100.00%
State: 34.42% 76.09% 96.34% 99.23% 99.87% 99.99% 100.00%
MaFia: 53.75% 85.25% 97.95% 99.60% 99.94% <100.00% 100.00%
Levin: 72.84% 96.08% 99.49% 99.97% <100.00% <100.00% 100.00%

+ Show Spoiler [Probability of doing no worse than...] +
                  Top 32   Top 24   Top 16    Top 8    Top 4    Top 2      Win
Creator: 100.00% 92.55% 79.05% 60.16% 47.38% 30.74% 20.41%
By.Rain: 100.00% 99.08% 97.01% 60.59% 42.89% 26.48% 15.85%
Stephano: 100.00% 91.78% 77.07% 52.87% 35.74% 21.51% 12.40%
Parting: 100.00% 97.52% 93.05% 50.42% 36.67% 20.47% 11.14%
Curious: 100.00% 95.80% 87.93% 64.42% 35.99% 20.49% 11.01%
HerO: 100.00% 85.44% 63.39% 38.05% 23.25% 12.31% 5.84%
Nerchio: 100.00% 78.77% 50.75% 31.43% 21.19% 10.77% 4.99%
LucifroN: 100.00% 98.53% 92.82% 61.16% 25.13% 10.83% 4.10%
Scarlett: 100.00% 80.77% 52.44% 30.41% 18.98% 8.68% 3.44%
Sen: 100.00% 89.56% 75.28% 40.76% 16.92% 7.56% 2.90%
Vortix: 100.00% 93.29% 82.57% 47.80% 17.81% 6.95% 2.38%
TITAN: 100.00% 81.67% 58.73% 32.30% 11.62% 4.50% 1.40%
RorO: 100.00% 76.36% 43.40% 19.87% 9.05% 3.41% 1.01%
LoWeLy: 100.00% 96.00% 77.82% 40.27% 11.71% 3.59% 0.89%
Suppy: 100.00% 84.33% 61.23% 26.04% 6.71% 1.83% 0.38%
Killer: 100.00% 71.82% 44.49% 17.44% 5.14% 1.61% 0.38%
BabyKnight: 100.00% 89.08% 64.33% 17.99% 6.41% 1.85% 0.38%
HuK: 100.00% 72.68% 44.46% 15.77% 4.12% 1.15% 0.23%
mOOnGLaDe: 100.00% 47.91% 17.76% 7.12% 3.18% 0.92% 0.20%
Fenix: 100.00% 79.37% 49.62% 10.54% 4.05% 1.00% 0.18%
Grubby: 100.00% 65.94% 35.77% 11.39% 2.66% 0.66% 0.11%
MajOr: 100.00% 70.93% 34.78% 12.77% 2.72% 0.64% 0.10%
Socke: 100.00% 63.24% 32.21% 6.43% 2.36% 0.55% 0.09%
IdrA: 100.00% 46.42% 16.14% 4.93% 1.54% 0.38% 0.06%
CommItment: 100.00% 65.28% 31.06% 9.37% 1.59% 0.29% 0.03%
ViBE: 100.00% 57.10% 25.14% 7.37% 1.20% 0.21% 0.02%
Illusion: 100.00% 59.87% 25.12% 3.49% 0.98% 0.16% 0.02%
Insur: 100.00% 78.30% 25.45% 7.49% 1.01% 0.15% 0.01%
herO: 100.00% 51.59% 18.56% 5.14% 0.77% 0.13% 0.01%
State: 100.00% 65.58% 23.91% 3.66% 0.77% 0.13% 0.01%
MaFia: 100.00% 46.25% 14.75% 2.05% 0.40% 0.06% >0.00%
Levin: 100.00% 27.16% 3.91% 0.51% 0.03% >0.00% >0.00%
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
sc2chronic
Profile Joined May 2012
United States777 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-18 02:34:54
November 15 2012 21:48 GMT
#243
terrible, terrible, damage
gedatsu
Profile Joined December 2011
1286 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-15 22:00:46
November 15 2012 21:59 GMT
#244
On November 16 2012 05:46 chosenkerrigan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 15 2012 06:07 gedatsu wrote:
On November 15 2012 05:55 Trashman420 wrote:
I think Stephano will go out in group stages or in ro16. Whoever gets 2nd in that group is going to have a damn hard time against Rain. My guess for 1st in Stephano's group is Roro.

Stephano is going to win the whole thing. 150%. I did the math.


seems like you're not the best mathematician in the world

Don't you know who I am? I'm the Juggernaut, bitch resident math wiz. Go lern math.
ShAdZ_ZX
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia635 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-15 22:09:27
November 15 2012 22:08 GMT
#245
Barely any games in the group stages I want to see, pretty much all predictable. More hanging out for the play-offs so we can see the big boys lock horns.

Group predictions:

A: Parking, Socke
B: Vortix, Suppy
C: Sen, Grubby
D: Rain, Babyknight
E: Stephano, HerO
F: Curious, herO
G: Lucifron, LoWeLy
H: Creator, Nerchio

Placings:

1st Rain
2nd Creator
3rd Stephano
StarVe
Profile Joined June 2011
Germany13591 Posts
November 15 2012 22:08 GMT
#246
What's a bit annoying is that at such a big tournament the two semifinals will be played at the same time, so you basically have to choose which one to watch.
ShAdZ_ZX
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia635 Posts
November 15 2012 22:11 GMT
#247
On November 16 2012 07:08 StarVe wrote:
What's a bit annoying is that at such a big tournament the two semifinals will be played at the same time, so you basically have to choose which one to watch.


Really? That's ridiculous...
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-15 22:14:05
November 15 2012 22:11 GMT
#248
Just realized the finals start at 2 AM for me on day 2, sick, I won't be able to watch live.

Next year do it in a better location please, blizzard.

I feel bad for the guys on the east coast, this is GSL level bad broadcast times.

EU is not too screwed for the finals at least.
4ZakeN87
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden1071 Posts
November 15 2012 22:30 GMT
#249
On November 14 2012 14:23 TheDougler wrote:
I am SO unbelievably stoked for this!

Updated to include Dougler's Top Ten!



7. Luck of the Spanish

If there are two players who can be absolutely stoked on life about their groups and bracket, it’s the two Spaniards. Not only are they the favorites to take their respective groups, they pass on each others scraps to one another in the round of 16, virtually assuring a Spaniard in the quarterfinals. Winner of Group G takes on runner up of Group B, and visa versa. If Lucifron and Vortix both place first or place 2nd, they’ll be able to avenge each-other or continue to remind people of Spain’s power, if they place 1st 2nd, then fratricide will occur in the round of 16, which is always thrilling. Best of all, this gives us a fantastic shot of a terran making the RO8. Which reminds me….

1. Wings of Liberty Champion

Years from now, when WoL is but a distant memory, people will be debating who was the champion of wings of liberty. There'll be outsiders, who try to convince you that MKP, or DRG was the greatest (because some people are just that awesome). There'll be a grizzled, rambling old man named Fionn who will say it was Polt. But, for the most part, it'll come down to two people. MVP, and the winner of this tournament. MVP will likely still be the stronger argument, but lets hypothesize here. If Stephano beats the odds? The only time somebody has achieved that level of success coming from one region into a game dominated by another region, was Grubby, who is still frequently cited as the best WC3 player. Maybe he was, but between him Moon, and Sky, there's no one right answer there. If Rain wins? He won OSL, and he won WCS Asia and placed 3rd/4th at his first ever GSL, but THIS would be the defining moment in his early career. If it's not one of those two? Still, this will be the only WoL WCS. That should carry a ton of weight. If you're a fan of this game, you should probably try to find time to watch one person be crowned champion of it forever more.


The observation about Vortix and Lucifron is interesting, Both are in good form and they are both very lucky with the outcome of the group/bracket setting. They might have better chances then Stephano actually.

Stephano first have stupid hard group, then the second player of that group will go up against the winner of Rains group. Which will be Rain almost 100%. So first the group is retarded hard and then getting second place is actually really bad on top of that.

"Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler" Einstein
4ZakeN87
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden1071 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-15 22:36:12
November 15 2012 22:34 GMT
#250
On November 16 2012 07:11 Dodgin wrote:
Just realized the finals start at 2 AM for me on day 2, sick, I won't be able to watch live.

Next year do it in a better location please, blizzard.

I feel bad for the guys on the east coast, this is GSL level bad broadcast times.

EU is not too screwed for the finals at least.


Well it is actually not that bad. Sure you will miss top 16 bracket but if you go up kind of early you should be able to see everything from the quarterfinal and forward from there.

Like better then most EU viewers that watches NA tournaments. Sure we can see all the group plays but once the big matches start the clock is usually around 3 am and then the final start around 05.30. Good luck watching that ^^
"Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler" Einstein
PVJ
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
Hungary5214 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-15 22:43:00
November 15 2012 22:39 GMT
#251
I would love to see PartinG to win this out of the blue. My other dark horse is herO[join].

Edit: I totally forgot about Curious. After this week's GSL there wouldn't be a bigger upset than him rolling through the whole thing tearing nerds left and right. Jesus howl.

On November 14 2012 14:23 TheDougler wrote:


1. Wings of Liberty Champion

(...) If Rain wins? He won OSL, and he won WCS Asia and placed 3rd/4th at his first ever GSL, but THIS would be the defining moment in his early career (...)



It's a great write up and has nice story lines I would have never thought about if not for you but I just can't resist to say that I think no WCS is gonna be more defining than an OSL, like, ever.
The heart's eternal vow
BlackGosu
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Canada1046 Posts
November 15 2012 23:09 GMT
#252
how are they gonna fit this whole tournament within 2 days
Jar Jar Binks
silent_owl
Profile Joined March 2011
Philippines3098 Posts
November 15 2012 23:26 GMT
#253
If it isn't a Korean that's gonna take this, I hope it's gonna be Grubby.
"If you know your enemy and yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles." - Sun Tzu
Thurken
Profile Joined September 2011
961 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-15 23:30:50
November 15 2012 23:28 GMT
#254
Good ten points TheDougler. Maybe you could add to the group of death the prize distribution and the fact that there is no loser's bracket here so the player who loses the first match (Stephano vs Hero and Roro vs Idra) is very likely to be out in ro32 or ro16 (because of Rain), which means ~1% of the prize pool...
-shArk-
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany150 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-15 23:42:58
November 15 2012 23:39 GMT
#255
On November 16 2012 06:41 TheBB wrote:
This is just because I'm crazy. I'll come back to these after the tournament is over to (over)analyse. Until then... uuuh, don't mind me!

+ Show Spoiler [Probability of finishing exactly...] +
                  Top 32   Top 24   Top 16    Top 8    Top 4    Top 2      Win
Creator: 7.45% 13.50% 18.89% 12.78% 16.63% 10.33% 20.41%
By.Rain: 0.92% 2.08% 36.42% 17.70% 16.41% 10.63% 15.85%
Stephano: 8.22% 14.71% 24.21% 17.13% 14.23% 9.11% 12.40%
Parting: 2.48% 4.48% 42.62% 13.75% 16.21% 9.32% 11.14%
Curious: 4.20% 7.87% 23.51% 28.43% 15.50% 9.48% 11.01%
HerO: 14.56% 22.05% 25.35% 14.79% 10.94% 6.47% 5.84%
Nerchio: 21.23% 28.02% 19.32% 10.24% 10.42% 5.78% 4.99%
LucifroN: 1.47% 5.72% 31.66% 36.02% 14.30% 6.73% 4.10%
Scarlett: 19.23% 28.32% 22.03% 11.43% 10.30% 5.25% 3.44%
Sen: 10.44% 14.28% 34.52% 23.84% 9.36% 4.66% 2.90%
Vortix: 6.71% 10.73% 34.77% 29.98% 10.86% 4.57% 2.38%
TITAN: 18.33% 22.95% 26.43% 20.68% 7.12% 3.10% 1.40%
RorO: 23.64% 32.96% 23.53% 10.82% 5.65% 2.40% 1.01%
LoWeLy: 4.00% 18.18% 37.55% 28.56% 8.12% 2.70% 0.89%
Suppy: 15.67% 23.10% 35.19% 19.33% 4.89% 1.44% 0.38%
Killer: 28.18% 27.33% 27.04% 12.30% 3.53% 1.23% 0.38%
BabyKnight: 10.92% 24.75% 46.34% 11.58% 4.55% 1.48% 0.38%
HuK: 27.32% 28.22% 28.69% 11.65% 2.97% 0.92% 0.23%
mOOnGLaDe: 52.09% 30.15% 10.64% 3.94% 2.26% 0.72% 0.20%
Fenix: 20.63% 29.75% 39.08% 6.48% 3.05% 0.82% 0.18%
Grubby: 34.06% 30.17% 24.39% 8.73% 2.00% 0.54% 0.11%
MajOr: 29.07% 36.15% 22.01% 10.05% 2.09% 0.54% 0.10%
Socke: 36.76% 31.03% 25.78% 4.07% 1.81% 0.46% 0.09%
IdrA: 53.58% 30.28% 11.20% 3.39% 1.17% 0.32% 0.06%
CommItment: 34.72% 34.21% 21.69% 7.78% 1.31% 0.25% 0.03%
ViBE: 42.90% 31.96% 17.77% 6.17% 0.99% 0.18% 0.02%
Illusion: 40.13% 34.75% 21.63% 2.52% 0.81% 0.15% 0.02%
Insur: 21.70% 52.85% 17.97% 6.47% 0.87% 0.13% 0.01%
herO: 48.41% 33.03% 13.42% 4.37% 0.64% 0.12% 0.01%
State: 34.42% 41.67% 20.25% 2.89% 0.64% 0.12% 0.01%
MaFia: 53.75% 31.50% 12.70% 1.65% 0.34% 0.05% >0.00%
Levin: 72.84% 23.25% 3.41% 0.48% 0.02% >0.00% >0.00%

+ Show Spoiler [Probability of doing no better than...] +
                  Top 32   Top 24   Top 16    Top 8    Top 4    Top 2      Win
Creator: 7.45% 20.95% 39.84% 52.62% 69.26% 79.59% 100.00%
By.Rain: 0.92% 2.99% 39.41% 57.11% 73.52% 84.15% 100.00%
Stephano: 8.22% 22.93% 47.13% 64.26% 78.49% 87.60% 100.00%
Parting: 2.48% 6.95% 49.58% 63.33% 79.53% 88.86% 100.00%
Curious: 4.20% 12.07% 35.58% 64.01% 79.51% 88.99% 100.00%
HerO: 14.56% 36.61% 61.95% 76.75% 87.69% 94.16% 100.00%
Nerchio: 21.23% 49.25% 68.57% 78.81% 89.23% 95.01% 100.00%
LucifroN: 1.47% 7.18% 38.84% 74.87% 89.17% 95.90% 100.00%
Scarlett: 19.23% 47.56% 69.59% 81.02% 91.32% 96.56% 100.00%
Sen: 10.44% 24.72% 59.24% 83.08% 92.44% 97.10% 100.00%
Vortix: 6.71% 17.43% 52.20% 82.19% 93.05% 97.62% 100.00%
TITAN: 18.33% 41.27% 67.70% 88.38% 95.50% 98.60% 100.00%
RorO: 23.64% 56.60% 80.13% 90.95% 96.59% 98.99% 100.00%
LoWeLy: 4.00% 22.18% 59.73% 88.29% 96.41% 99.11% 100.00%
Suppy: 15.67% 38.77% 73.96% 93.29% 98.17% 99.62% 100.00%
Killer: 28.18% 55.51% 82.56% 94.86% 98.39% 99.62% 100.00%
BabyKnight: 10.92% 35.67% 82.01% 93.59% 98.15% 99.62% 100.00%
HuK: 27.32% 55.54% 84.23% 95.88% 98.85% 99.77% 100.00%
mOOnGLaDe: 52.09% 82.24% 92.88% 96.82% 99.08% 99.80% 100.00%
Fenix: 20.63% 50.38% 89.46% 95.95% 99.00% 99.82% 100.00%
Grubby: 34.06% 64.23% 88.61% 97.34% 99.34% 99.89% 100.00%
MajOr: 29.07% 65.22% 87.23% 97.28% 99.36% 99.90% 100.00%
Socke: 36.76% 67.79% 93.57% 97.64% 99.45% 99.91% 100.00%
IdrA: 53.58% 83.86% 95.07% 98.46% 99.62% 99.94% 100.00%
CommItment: 34.72% 68.94% 90.63% 98.41% 99.71% 99.97% 100.00%
ViBE: 42.90% 74.86% 92.63% 98.80% 99.79% 99.98% 100.00%
Illusion: 40.13% 74.88% 96.51% 99.02% 99.84% 99.98% 100.00%
Insur: 21.70% 74.55% 92.51% 98.99% 99.85% 99.99% 100.00%
herO: 48.41% 81.44% 94.86% 99.23% 99.87% 99.99% 100.00%
State: 34.42% 76.09% 96.34% 99.23% 99.87% 99.99% 100.00%
MaFia: 53.75% 85.25% 97.95% 99.60% 99.94% <100.00% 100.00%
Levin: 72.84% 96.08% 99.49% 99.97% <100.00% <100.00% 100.00%

+ Show Spoiler [Probability of doing no worse than...] +
                  Top 32   Top 24   Top 16    Top 8    Top 4    Top 2      Win
Creator: 100.00% 92.55% 79.05% 60.16% 47.38% 30.74% 20.41%
By.Rain: 100.00% 99.08% 97.01% 60.59% 42.89% 26.48% 15.85%
Stephano: 100.00% 91.78% 77.07% 52.87% 35.74% 21.51% 12.40%
Parting: 100.00% 97.52% 93.05% 50.42% 36.67% 20.47% 11.14%
Curious: 100.00% 95.80% 87.93% 64.42% 35.99% 20.49% 11.01%
HerO: 100.00% 85.44% 63.39% 38.05% 23.25% 12.31% 5.84%
Nerchio: 100.00% 78.77% 50.75% 31.43% 21.19% 10.77% 4.99%
LucifroN: 100.00% 98.53% 92.82% 61.16% 25.13% 10.83% 4.10%
Scarlett: 100.00% 80.77% 52.44% 30.41% 18.98% 8.68% 3.44%
Sen: 100.00% 89.56% 75.28% 40.76% 16.92% 7.56% 2.90%
Vortix: 100.00% 93.29% 82.57% 47.80% 17.81% 6.95% 2.38%
TITAN: 100.00% 81.67% 58.73% 32.30% 11.62% 4.50% 1.40%
RorO: 100.00% 76.36% 43.40% 19.87% 9.05% 3.41% 1.01%
LoWeLy: 100.00% 96.00% 77.82% 40.27% 11.71% 3.59% 0.89%
Suppy: 100.00% 84.33% 61.23% 26.04% 6.71% 1.83% 0.38%
Killer: 100.00% 71.82% 44.49% 17.44% 5.14% 1.61% 0.38%
BabyKnight: 100.00% 89.08% 64.33% 17.99% 6.41% 1.85% 0.38%
HuK: 100.00% 72.68% 44.46% 15.77% 4.12% 1.15% 0.23%
mOOnGLaDe: 100.00% 47.91% 17.76% 7.12% 3.18% 0.92% 0.20%
Fenix: 100.00% 79.37% 49.62% 10.54% 4.05% 1.00% 0.18%
Grubby: 100.00% 65.94% 35.77% 11.39% 2.66% 0.66% 0.11%
MajOr: 100.00% 70.93% 34.78% 12.77% 2.72% 0.64% 0.10%
Socke: 100.00% 63.24% 32.21% 6.43% 2.36% 0.55% 0.09%
IdrA: 100.00% 46.42% 16.14% 4.93% 1.54% 0.38% 0.06%
CommItment: 100.00% 65.28% 31.06% 9.37% 1.59% 0.29% 0.03%
ViBE: 100.00% 57.10% 25.14% 7.37% 1.20% 0.21% 0.02%
Illusion: 100.00% 59.87% 25.12% 3.49% 0.98% 0.16% 0.02%
Insur: 100.00% 78.30% 25.45% 7.49% 1.01% 0.15% 0.01%
herO: 100.00% 51.59% 18.56% 5.14% 0.77% 0.13% 0.01%
State: 100.00% 65.58% 23.91% 3.66% 0.77% 0.13% 0.01%
MaFia: 100.00% 46.25% 14.75% 2.05% 0.40% 0.06% >0.00%
Levin: 100.00% 27.16% 3.91% 0.51% 0.03% >0.00% >0.00%


interesting statistic, but CJ.herO is highly underrated in this list. And i also would say Rain > Creator.

here my predictions:

A: PartinG(1st), Socke(2nd)
B: VortiX, Suppy
C: Grubby, Sen
D: Rain, BabyKnight
E: HerO, RorO (hardest group to predict i think)
F: Curious, herO
G: LucifroN, Lowley
H: Creator, Scarlett (will be really close between Scarlett and Nerchio)

edit: .. and I think Rain will win the whole tournament. PartinG, Creator and Curious top4.


btw.. is there any opportunity to watch the matches at a later time? iam not able to watch them live ;(

sOs - Rain - PartinG
Ranir
Profile Joined June 2011
413 Posts
November 15 2012 23:57 GMT
#256
holy shit that's a lot of PvZ
Derity
Profile Joined May 2009
Germany2952 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-16 02:07:41
November 16 2012 02:07 GMT
#257
where are the streams?
nevermind, it starts tomorrow :///
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
November 16 2012 02:30 GMT
#258
On November 14 2012 15:13 opterown wrote:
Poll: Biggest potential upset against a Korean on Day 1?

IdrA vs. RorO (54)
 
27%

Stephano vs. HerO (52)
 
26%

Nerchio vs. Creator (33)
 
16%

Major vs. herO[jOin] (19)
 
9%

Curious vs. TitaN (17)
 
8%

PartinG vs. Socke (16)
 
8%

MaFia vs. Rain (10)
 
5%

201 total votes

Your vote: Biggest potential upset against a Korean on Day 1?

(Vote): PartinG vs. Socke
(Vote): Stephano vs. HerO
(Vote): MaFia vs. Rain
(Vote): IdrA vs. RorO
(Vote): Curious vs. TitaN
(Vote): Major vs. herO[jOin]
(Vote): Nerchio vs. Creator



I don't understand how most of these are considered upsets... Most of them are completely possible... MaFia, IdrA, and TitaN are the only ones I would consider upsets... (Socke too, but PvPs aren't upsets, they're stupid... @_@)
DragonflySC2
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States146 Posts
November 16 2012 02:34 GMT
#259
7am finals for US eastern.......

US company makes it hard to watch for their own country.. standard?
Learn from your losses, parade your wins
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
November 16 2012 02:43 GMT
#260
I just noticed.... Rain first place ro32 group, Stephano second place ro32 group (or vice versa, which is a lot less likely) = Rain vs. Stephano ro16...
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