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[Up/Down] Group D 2012 GSL Season 5 - Page 23

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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Prev 1 21 22 23 24 25 117 Next
silent_owl
Profile Joined March 2011
Philippines3098 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#441
Oh. I didn't realize this was just a five player group. Come on, Flash.
"If you know your enemy and yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles." - Sun Tzu
Douillos
Profile Joined May 2010
France3195 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#442
YESSAAAAY GO RYUNG!!!!

Look a giraffe! Look a fist!!
Laryleprakon
Profile Joined May 2011
New Zealand9496 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#443
Flash got pretty lucky with the first two maps.

Or Mr Chae just lending a helping hand.
ShiroKaisen
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States1082 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#444
On October 25 2012 18:38 eviltomahawk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 18:38 ShiroKaisen wrote:
On October 25 2012 18:37 Fionn wrote:
To be fair, that was pretty similar to how Nestea played last season.

I hope Sirius six pools.


Flash will just 14 CC and still hold it.

Only JD gets to beat Flash with early pools.

EffOrt too.


Granted.

But definitely not Soulkey.

That bastard.
Dame da na, zenzen dame da ze!
Yorbon
Profile Joined December 2011
Netherlands4272 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#445
On October 25 2012 18:38 TheBB wrote:
Projections after Ryung vs Supernova:

5-player round robin

Ryung
      Expected score: 2.53-1.47 (sets: 2.53-1.47)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 59.783%
      Most likely place: 1st (33.582%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.38-1.62 (sets: 2.38-1.62)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 50.902%
      Most likely place: 1st (29.843%)

Seed
      Expected score: 2.06-1.94 (sets: 2.06-1.94)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 47.629%
      Most likely place: 2nd (26.343%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.57-2.43 (sets: 1.57-2.43)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 22.388%
      Most likely place: 5th (28.614%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 1.46-2.54 (sets: 1.46-2.54)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 19.298%
      Most likely place: 5th (38.455%)

If Sirius > Flash:
+ Show Spoiler +
Ryung
      Expected score: 2.53-1.47 (sets: 2.53-1.47)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 60.388%
      Most likely place: 1st (34.446%)

Seed
      Expected score: 2.06-1.94 (sets: 2.06-1.94)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 51.514%
      Most likely place: 1st (28.842%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 2.00-2.00 (sets: 2.00-2.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 34.234%
      Most likely place: 4th (23.575%)

Flash
      Expected score: 1.83-2.17 (sets: 1.83-2.17)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 29.121%
      Most likely place: 5th (28.332%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.58-2.42 (sets: 1.58-2.42)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 24.743%
      Most likely place: 5th (28.014%)


If Flash > Sirius:
+ Show Spoiler +
Flash
      Expected score: 2.83-1.17 (sets: 2.83-1.17)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 68.510%
      Most likely place: 1st (42.881%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 2.54-1.46 (sets: 2.54-1.46)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 59.498%
      Most likely place: 1st (33.797%)

Seed
      Expected score: 2.05-1.95 (sets: 2.05-1.95)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 44.023%
      Most likely place: 2nd (29.256%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.58-2.42 (sets: 1.58-2.42)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 21.146%
      Most likely place: 5th (28.926%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 1.00-3.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 6.823%
      Most likely place: 5th (52.019%)
How come flash's rate is different from ryung's? I'd say the cases are symmetrical, so the percentages should be the same right?
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States33385 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#446
On October 25 2012 18:39 Dodgin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 18:38 Fionn wrote:
On October 25 2012 18:28 Fionn wrote:
SuNo is gonna cheese.


I think I was kinda...sorta right? Supernovamber will never be.


what's the expiry date on the fionn curse?


as long as it's shrewdly exploitable
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
Fueled
Profile Joined October 2011
United States1610 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#447
Here we go! Lets go Flash!
The Wood League - Where a double gas opening can still mean a Marine/SCV all-in
Daray
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
6006 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#448
Flash chugging them drinks again.
GolemMadness
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Canada11044 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#449
Flash just played BO7s against Effort and Soo, so he should be ready for this.
http://na.op.gg/summoner/userName=FLABREZU
X3GoldDot
Profile Joined August 2011
Malaysia3840 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-10-25 09:41:59
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#450
On October 25 2012 18:40 ShiroKaisen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 18:38 eviltomahawk wrote:
On October 25 2012 18:38 ShiroKaisen wrote:
On October 25 2012 18:37 Fionn wrote:
To be fair, that was pretty similar to how Nestea played last season.

I hope Sirius six pools.


Flash will just 14 CC and still hold it.

Only JD gets to beat Flash with early pools.

EffOrt too.


Granted.

But definitely not Soulkey.

That bastard.


why u no hate effort?!
prime/startale/[SexComaZerg, RoyalRoaderZerg, SirLifealot] ingame ID = GoodGame
PixelNite
Profile Joined August 2011
France1008 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#451
Does Flash knows how to drink a can ?
Hryul
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Austria2609 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-10-25 09:41:20
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#452
On October 25 2012 18:36 pt wrote:
YES! get to watch flash again. thank god for the fast game (no pun intended)

oh i see what you did there twice.
Countdown to victory: 1 200!
KristofferAG
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Norway25712 Posts
October 25 2012 09:40 GMT
#453
Favorite matchup.

Favorite player.

lesgo
@KristofferAG | http://vestkyststoy.bandcamp.com | last.fm/user/KristofferAG
Welmu
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
Finland3295 Posts
October 25 2012 09:41 GMT
#454
I have odd feeling that Sirius is going to win group with all wins
Progamertwitter.com/welmu1 | twitch.com/Welmu1
Fragile51
Profile Joined October 2011
Netherlands15767 Posts
October 25 2012 09:41 GMT
#455
On October 25 2012 18:38 eviltomahawk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 18:38 ShiroKaisen wrote:
On October 25 2012 18:37 Fionn wrote:
To be fair, that was pretty similar to how Nestea played last season.

I hope Sirius six pools.


Flash will just 14 CC and still hold it.

Only JD gets to beat Flash with early pools.

EffOrt too.


*eppotuh

I love the way streetfighter guy pronounces his ID. It's so hilariously silly.
*cjeuh enteuseuh eppoteuh*
silent_owl
Profile Joined March 2011
Philippines3098 Posts
October 25 2012 09:41 GMT
#456
Sirius looks so different when he has his glasses off.
"If you know your enemy and yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles." - Sun Tzu
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 25 2012 09:41 GMT
#457
GSL Season 5 Up & Down Matches
Flash (1-0) vs Sirius (0-0)
Map: Entombed Valley

0:00
Flash spawns in the bottom right
Sirius spawns in the top left
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
samurai80
Profile Joined November 2011
Japan4225 Posts
October 25 2012 09:41 GMT
#458
On October 25 2012 18:30 Dodgin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 18:29 GolemMadness wrote:
On October 25 2012 18:28 vthree wrote:
On October 25 2012 18:27 samurai80 wrote:
What did Seed do wrong here ?


He let Flash kill his third for free. You need a third to have both Colo and templars.


He didn't have enough to defend it...


he could have defended it for sure, his 2-2 would have finished midway through the battle and he had enough forcefields to keep the bio out while focusing the vikings with his stalkers.

he just played really scared

Aren't u saying it's because of the 2-2 timing ? I mean it's more Seed was waiting for his 2-2 about to finish than himn being scared. Although I agree he would have bought time more correctly if he was well positionned in the first place. But basically his only mistake was one bad position. Well Flash macro and micro looked nearly perfect so I guess perfection is needed to win.
WigglingSquid
Profile Joined August 2011
5194 Posts
October 25 2012 09:41 GMT
#459
On October 25 2012 18:40 Yorbon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 18:38 TheBB wrote:
Projections after Ryung vs Supernova:

5-player round robin

Ryung
      Expected score: 2.53-1.47 (sets: 2.53-1.47)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 59.783%
      Most likely place: 1st (33.582%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.38-1.62 (sets: 2.38-1.62)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 50.902%
      Most likely place: 1st (29.843%)

Seed
      Expected score: 2.06-1.94 (sets: 2.06-1.94)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 47.629%
      Most likely place: 2nd (26.343%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.57-2.43 (sets: 1.57-2.43)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 22.388%
      Most likely place: 5th (28.614%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 1.46-2.54 (sets: 1.46-2.54)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 19.298%
      Most likely place: 5th (38.455%)

If Sirius > Flash:
+ Show Spoiler +
Ryung
      Expected score: 2.53-1.47 (sets: 2.53-1.47)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 60.388%
      Most likely place: 1st (34.446%)

Seed
      Expected score: 2.06-1.94 (sets: 2.06-1.94)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 51.514%
      Most likely place: 1st (28.842%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 2.00-2.00 (sets: 2.00-2.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 34.234%
      Most likely place: 4th (23.575%)

Flash
      Expected score: 1.83-2.17 (sets: 1.83-2.17)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 29.121%
      Most likely place: 5th (28.332%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.58-2.42 (sets: 1.58-2.42)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 24.743%
      Most likely place: 5th (28.014%)


If Flash > Sirius:
+ Show Spoiler +
Flash
      Expected score: 2.83-1.17 (sets: 2.83-1.17)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 68.510%
      Most likely place: 1st (42.881%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 2.54-1.46 (sets: 2.54-1.46)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 59.498%
      Most likely place: 1st (33.797%)

Seed
      Expected score: 2.05-1.95 (sets: 2.05-1.95)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 44.023%
      Most likely place: 2nd (29.256%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.58-2.42 (sets: 1.58-2.42)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 21.146%
      Most likely place: 5th (28.926%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 1.00-3.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 6.823%
      Most likely place: 5th (52.019%)
How come flash's rate is different from ryung's? I'd say the cases are symmetrical, so the percentages should be the same right?

Probably weighted against Elo.
liberate71
Profile Joined October 2011
Australia10252 Posts
October 25 2012 09:41 GMT
#460
HAHAHAHA

"This is..... WIN!"
Minelord Stimfestor, also known as karma.
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