The headliner for this group is Evil Geniuses' EG.ThorZaIN.RC, one of most accomplished and decorated players in all of StarCraft II. Ever since he won TSL3 back in 2011, ThorZaIN has been a mainstay of the international StarCraft scene and has always been one of the best Terrans outside Korea.
HotS has been mixed bag for ThorZaIN so far. On the plus side, he crushed fellow Swedes in the E-Sport SM 2012 April Qualifier with just a single map loss, and even won a tight MLG exhibition match against Creator. However, his performances in major tournaments haven't been so hot, as he was eliminated by Chile's Killer at MLG Winter, and recently failed to defend his DH: Stockholm title as he was eliminated from the Ro32 by Verdi and Stephano. All in all, ThorZaIN still should be considered one of the stronger players in the group, but perhaps not the stand-out favorite like he would have been this time one year ago.
Speaking of players with great resumes who are diminished now, we have Liquid`Ret. Once considered a top two or three foreigner in the world, Ret's stock took an incredible fall in the last few months of 2012. Almost as abruptly, Ret started climbing right back up in 2013, rising back into the upper echelons of European StarCraft in Heart of the Swarm. Ret has yet to return to his pre-collapse levels where he was one of THE best in Europe, but he's still recovered to the level where he has a great chance to advance out of any group with no Koreans. He was excellent at both the IEM World Championship and the ESET UK Masters tournament, crushing all of his European opponents and only losing to Koreans like YoDa and Sting.
Unfortunately there's not much useful recent data to go on for Ret, as he was eliminated from last weekend's DreamHack by a combination of Gumiho and Leenock. Considering that most other European prso would have been eliminated in a group with those opponents, it doesn't really tell us too much about his form immediately before this group.
Na`Vi.Strelok may have flown under the radar in different circumstances, but he's created a noticable ruckus coming into this group. European Terran was a race nearing extinction toward the end of WoL, but they've come alive in HotS. Strelok had a particularly remarkable revival, going from being largely out of sight to winning one of the incredibly difficult WCS Europe Qualifiers (wins against finale, PandaTank, and Welmu). On top of that he was part of the highly visible coin-flip disaster at DreamHack Stockholm, tying three times in the Ro64 before finally going through to the Ro32 on a coin-flip. Besides the fact that DreamHack likes stubbornly adhering to an embarassing ruleset, we also learned that Strelok was pretty damn good since he was trading games with Lucifron and YuGiOh to keep tying his group. Though he couldn't keep his momentum up in the Ro32 (losses to Center, Puzzle, and SortOf), he still looks like a strong darkhorse contender in Group C.
While almost everyone else in the WCS system has revealed himself in a major tournament by now, RoX.KIS.TitaN has remained a mystery in HotS. While nearly all of the WCS Europe competitors were at last weekend's DreamHack, for TitaN we still only have online results to go by. So far it's a mixed bag of results that isn't particularly notable: early elimination from MLG's Winter Showdowns, some wins against lesser know European pros, and losses against players like Lowely and ForGG. While TitaN's current skill level remains murky, he at least proved his tournament chops last WCS by making a top 16 run in the world finals. The Russian champion may yet to have shown us his best games in HotS, and he's one to look out for.
Overall outlook and prediction:
While ThorZaIN hasn't been blowing anyone's socks off lately, we still have to respect his skill in a format where he has ample time to prepare for a match. Ever since TSL3 he's shown an ability to prep intelligently for matches, and hopefully he'll bring something more interesting than "hellbat drop as much as possible." Lucifron already stole his thunder by using well prepared Thor all-ins against Happy in Group B, and we'd like nothing more than to see ThorZaIN try to match him.
Titan is another player who we expect to bring some well prepared strategies, as his good balance of standard and all-in strategies saw him go on some strong tournament runs in WoL. We suspect Strelok might be the one who goes for the "hellbat drop as much as possible" strategy, and probably a ton of mech.
We're really curious to see what Ret has prepared for this group. He has had a reputation of preferring macro games to a fault in the past, but the format of WCS Europe almost neccesitates some careful risk-taking and diversification of strategies.
Ret > Strelok ThorZaIN > TitaN ThorZaIN > Ret Strelok > TitaN Ret > Strelok
On April 30 2013 15:43 badeanden wrote: I think Thorzain and strelok will advance. If unsure of what player will advance, go with the terrans, they have turbovacs
On April 30 2013 19:06 m0ck wrote: Starve, do you have insight into whether Titan is playing at all?
Yes, he's playing, he's #27 on GM ladder and has played ~750 games this season already, but he isn't that good yet imho.
There was a Russian cup a week or two ago where he was in a GSL style group with Dimaga, Strelok and Noname and he lost 1-2 to Strelok and 0-2 to Noname. ( http://goodgame.ru/event/6439/ )
He has been massing games, but I don't know if that's enough, I haven't seen anything promising out of him in HotS. Don't think he's even close to his WoL form.
Considering that most other European prso would have been eliminated in a group with those opponents, it doesn't really tell us too much about his form immediately before this group.
I would take Strelok at the 2.27 odds he's getting on online betting sites, but as a 50/50 prediction against Ret, I still have to side with Ret by a hair
also ever since Strelok shaved he looks like 10% less formidable
On April 30 2013 21:00 serjeq wrote: StarVe, are you Russian? iI'm surprised how much you know about the CIS scene.
No i'm not, I just like watching fraer and Titan (and Kas and Happy) play. Unfortunately there haven't been many opportunities to see the first two in a good while.
I picked Strelok over Ret for two reasons. 1: If you've been following Strelok lately, his tvz mech style looks really strong. 2: I've seen ret in the past play against mech in WoL and it didn't seem to be something he was good at countering. He tends to over-drone and he's not really known for his roach-play. Not saying ret isn't awesome..he is, but just not against mech IMO.
Specifically talking about game 2, we see that ret goes for a fairly late roach pressure and doesn't get any upgrades. He decides to switch mass mutas. This is incredibly risky against an experienced mech player who will always blindly make turrets. Not saying mutas aren't viable, but you gotta know what you're doing. And star station is easier for terran to defend in a base-trade situation than other maps. The 3rd can be somewhat protected by reinforcements in the main.
The only reason ret had somewhat of a chance later on was because strelok didn't secure his 4th before moving out and didn't go for ret's 4th. Strelok just outplayed him overall though for the 2-0
On April 30 2013 15:50 Gamegene wrote: Strelok has had such a difficult SC2 career. I really hope he's able to get people talking by showing his high skill level.
i think he is generally regarded by most people as a sick player with a high skill lvl