[GG] Mafia XII - The Summer Season - Page 2

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 03 2009 23:00 GMT

#160

Potentially, the explosive part could refer to the suicide bomber and something near it like the pillar crashing down could point toward who the suicide bomber is.

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 03 2009 23:12 GMT

#165

On July 04 2009 08:02 HeavOnEarth wrote:
well im all for lynching inactive players and as emperor i will ensure this~! only exception is MBH to me i guess

wuts this about MBH?

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 03 2009 23:16 GMT

#168

On July 04 2009 08:14 HeavOnEarth wrote:
well doesnt he wait a day or two before he posts usually?

oh you mean you won't lynch him even though he doesn't talk much, that makes sense. I thought you were (jokingly) saying you would lynch mbh even if he was active or something because you didn't like him.

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 03 2009 23:17 GMT

#170

On July 04 2009 08:15 HeavOnEarth wrote:
also if you google RebirthOfLeGenD
you get GIANTBOMB !!!!!
haha
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&safe=off&q=RebirthOfLeGenD&btnG=Search&cts=1246662798253&aq=f&oq=&aqi=

? When I follow that link I see an Indian movie and a Japanese 360 game...

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 03 2009 23:20 GMT

#174

On July 04 2009 08:19 HeavOnEarth wrote:

Show nested quote +

really? is your.. safesearch on? O_o

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 04 2009 00:20 GMT

#178

Because there's less activity than in my game but maybe I'm impatient and the other time zones will kick in soon.

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 04 2009 03:52 GMT

#187

On July 04 2009 10:30 L wrote:
First impressions, midway through page 8: HeavOn is 100% right about the likely hood of one of us being GF compared to him. His chance is a straight 1/38, ours are much higher.

That said, that was the exact same reasoning we used to almost get randombum into mayor during mafia 2 (LOL WAY TO GO INACTIVE MAFIA MEMBERS). We got him pardoner instead, which ended up netting us some info, so I'd suggest people vote the person they're most comfortable with. I personally can't favor the math here because I know i'm 100% innocent, which forces me to favor my candidacy.

As for one of us three being GF, I can see mafia advancing GF to take DT checks and establish a fake circle of trust, but GF isn't a standard mafia member in this game. He has a straight KP and Cover, which might FAR outweigh the risk/reward of getting into office, but it seems to me from my initial analysis that that's not the case. Either way, even if its favorable, most players play suboptimally in all mafia games, so it wouldn't be surprising if the GF wasn't running.

The reason WHY pre-running was removed is that it gives the pre-running player a much lower risk of getting in, and the move is made pre-role distribution which means that their candidacy gives us nearly zero information.

Moving onto page 9 now.

This is gonna be like learning Santa Claus isn't real all over again (hope I didn't spoil anyone), but the people who run these games don't usually assign the roles in a perfectly random way. They usually make sure a total noob doesn't become GF, for example, and the GF is usually randomized around until it lands on a player who is at least somewhat experienced, which fits all three people running. Don't forget that a player who announces their candidacy before the election can always pull out after the game starts if they roll blue and don't want to draw attention to themselves, or are green and would rather a blue win, or are red and don't want to get checked or have the cover on them all game long (for any of these reasons they could come up with some excuse not related to the game). Any GF who started running before receiving their role would certainly yell "jackpot!" and stay in the race. Heavonearth's chances of being GF are certainly higher than 1/38, and, all things considered, probably not very different compared to L's or BC's.

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 04 2009 03:56 GMT

#188

On July 04 2009 12:01 Chezinu wrote:
These clues are hard..I tried finding something to get the town talking about clues but found nothing..

Stuff I found important:

Show nested quote +

a maid?

Show nested quote +

pancakes was so close to Plexa's icon. Anyways, possibly a cook?

Show nested quote +

tried searching tall and lanky on the forums but just found Rekurl

So I basicly wasted a lot of time trying to find something..

BC does the cooking section for the Pony Express. Rekrul is in Chaoser's profile. 5000 minerals and 2500 gas say that neither of those passages link to those two.

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 05 2009 21:01 GMT

#272

Alright, seems like BC is on the right track here. Plexa's priest clue looks indecipherable so we should be able to get MBH up and running if we're lucky. I'm gonna go ahead and guess based on MBH being green, as well as L and BC claiming to be green, plus some other info, that roles are legitimately randomized. Based on the kill list I am inclined to believe the mafia are noobs given that the people they killed out of a town with only a few people posting are 4 people with a combined 1 post (according to Chezinu, haven't double checked that). The foundation is set for a good game! Gonna make clue analysis and make another post with it.

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 05 2009 21:04 GMT

#273

I'd also like to say that BC's plan shift makes it less likely that he is mafia since before he was asking to be checked and role claimed to, but now he is setting up a safer plan that would result in rallying around / claiming to MBH instead of himself. Combined with my kill list assessment, I'd have to guess there wasn't a mafia candidate unless it was Heavonearth.

Pyrrhuloxia

United States6700 Posts

July 05 2009 21:26 GMT

#274

+ Show Spoiler +

On July 03 2009 15:31 araav wrote:
hey, hey

let's see who is who, shall we?

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araav

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