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Sweet Summer Mafia - Page 19

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Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 13 2024 10:21 GMT
#3898
further.. you talk about oats being headstrong

again. a big reason he changed his tune is because of me

dont care if you disagree

i cant believe you have sucecssed in agitating me. well done. i will give you that credit

*clap clap*
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 01:25 GMT
#4233
I'm not playing anymore

Go ahead and vote me off

Last post
Which you can reread after my town flip

I am not voting this cycle either as a fuck you to Rayn
He's just butthurt he got a few votes last cycle. That's it

Putting this game on pause for half a day was really good to crystalize some thoughts

Firstly, I stand by this for post game that the rayn/az mason is an important parcel.of information for how d2 went down when talking about bussing optionality.
We very likely expect d1 mafia received whisper and did not use.
Presumably it is the same d3 as no one has said they are masoned.

I conclude d2 Rayn/az is either town town or one is mafia.

Why is this relevant.
We don't know what was said but we know both players must remain increasingly consistent and cautious compared to theead-only players.

My point is this. I thought alpha townread sandroba regardless of what was in filter
Even Rayn my biggest antagonist agrees he thought alpha townread sandroba because of filter.

I don't believe Rayn is scum at all. He will say it's to save my neck I will say it's because I have seen what I expect from town Rayn which is an intelligent player that likes his butt being licked real clean and I just won't do that. I never agreed that one post was a good reason to lynch sandroba and here I am now burning as if a witch when I bleed the same as the rest of yoh. That's precisely why I think Rayn is town.

Alpha is scum.
His game is a fancy take on poilicy ynch.. you are not playing with correct principles.. even burn as a witch Rayn does not take it that far.

Alpha because he started captivating with some red flags has been a big contributor for the shit town culture of d1 and d2. Again I stand by that if somehow he was town.
His game has already allowed him an out which he throws out ready to go.. again. Town might like this because it feels good yet who else is doing this? Fuckn no one else because it's scummy and defensive instead of solving the game.

I'm not sure why koshi thought alpha rage fuxk you was legit. The post was clearly manicured which completely goes against the idea of rage.

Alphazero is my top scum read. I don't know who he is partnered with. Probably one of dmb or vivax.

I don't know how to choose. I agree with sandroba here who agrees with trfel that dmb could be beneficial to take out regardless of alignment when you to the last scum. Not this lynch.

Lastly Scott who is controversial. I spent this morning reviewing past game. Firstly his games are really low post count yet even going to d4 mafia in some his style/meta is very clear..

Again read this through eyes of town once I flip. Scott is town.
His mafia game is fundamentally very different and more narrative driven.

Yes Scott has shifted since n2 and I believe it's completely town plausible based on:
1. He feels vindicated with sandroba lynch
2. Was assuming less heat in him accordingly
3. Felt more puzzle pieces in place to solve game

It's a natural confidence boost.
The mental state 12 hrs ago no idea.. like trfel i ignore it

I will vote alpha for those who see the light

I have no response for Rayn. I'm town I've been completely honest with him and he is tunneled. I don't have the time to prove to him I'm town so here I burn.. like it doesn't matter what I say to Rayn. He won't take it I and accept.

Rayn again because of this. I believe you are town. Yep that's the type of player I look at you as even though yes I respect you are very good.

[B##vote: alphazero[/b]



The alpha push pull plus mason logs combination should not
be ignored.






Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 01:52 GMT
#4241
For those wondering about the peace out

I wake up 4-6hrs before lynch on a Saturday

I'm have committed too much time to this game and will be with family so I can't influence an outcome

My only time is today and I see it as futile
I'm moving on with my life. Take that as NAI if you will

Don't care. No one has offended me vivax such that I would host it personally. it's a bloody game.

It was insulting for Rayn to take my contributions to bringing people like oats on board working with other town. Maybe he felt the same way when I mentioned his contribution to sandroba. But I mean.i wouldn't leave a game for that.

I genuinely feel this is a witch hunt and Rayn will keep peppering me constantly and I just won't give time to address

Hopefully I'm not forgotrem after flip. Alphazero

Best meme I can think of is like jafar in alladin to the sultan
Or a set of stalking eyes in the darkness

Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 01:58 GMT
#4245
On June 14 2024 10:53 Vivax wrote:
Meh Mocsta.
The post doesn‘t read as genuine as I originally thought.

Just chill out, have a wank idk



K. C ya for real
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 05:10 GMT
#4281
On June 14 2024 14:07 Alakaslam wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 14 2024 13:32 Trfel wrote:
I dunno. I don't think it's AlphaZero, and I don't think it's Mocsta. But I also don't have the energy to read carefully enough to make an informed opinion, and even if I did, I wouldn't have the energy to push for it.

I guess I can politely suggest that we lynch someone else, probably die_meatbaby, but I completely understand if you don't listen to me. I highly doubt I would if I was in your shoes.

I'm sorry for playing so poorly You guys deserve better.

Raynpelikoneet said he thinks Mocsta is mafia in post #4094. Maybe there's something to it, I don't really think so, but we'll find out tomorrow I suppose. Hope you guys are right.

Idk, much of it comes down to Mocsta thinking the same things I did, right? I get that those things weren't great, it's even possible that they were 100% wrong, but I am town and I thought those things, can I really say that it makes someone else mafia for thinking that way too?

I don't care for the analysis of Alakaslam asking for replacement and then coming back. I don't care for analysis of Mocsta quitting. I think those things are non alignment indicative, hard to get accurate conclusions from, and even if they aren't, I think it's detrimental to the game.

I'd lynch die_meatbaby or probably scott31337. I think I just have to accept never having a read on Alakaslam. I look over his filter and he's at 11 pages but I don't feel like he has done very much, so it's hard for me to conclude much.

But then again there's Vivax who decided to mason me and also ignore me and I have no idea what that means :/

If anyone wants to talk, let me know. Not that I have anything useful to say, but I can try.

You have NOT played poorly.
agreed
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 05:16 GMT
#4282
Trfel

It's not quiting per se
There's a nuance
I won't defend myself. I have explained why

I find it pointless to suggest alt. As it's a huge time commitment and I'm don't see it exhausting my lunch

I am still reading though and happy to work with you if you want my thoughts on anything

That's about the max committmentim willing to do in this situation

I don't see a point discussing az. Like if you feel good he always has a post prepared to defend his actions. That's on you and I highlighted it as my biggest scumread on the game.

Anything else. Go ahead
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 05:40 GMT
#4285
On June 14 2024 14:27 AlphaZero wrote:
I'm finding it odd that mocsta 'rage quit' and wasn't going to vote, but then is not actually quitting and is actually still pushing for a vote.

I don't think that is a normal town rage quit.
of course you would not

[image loading]
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 06:00 GMT
#4288
On June 14 2024 14:39 Trfel wrote:
AlphaZero, you want me to explain why I think Mocsta is town because you disagree right? Not to convince everyone else?

I am also willing to vote for scott31337. Whatever seems more reasonable.


Re: Scott


Mafia game 2015
https://tl.net/forum/postmessage.php?quote=1063&topic_id=474146

A list summary similar to a couple in this game.
Note: 1. Celestial is a scum partner that survived end game. Tone is very factual/content and leaves optionality
Note. 2. Half the Sky is a scum partner that is a godfather.
Scott plays to the setup which applies to a persons preference mafia or town. The mason whisper stuff is largely NAI as a question in itself
Celestial-I don’t like the timing when he claimed – He was under very little pressure. He hasn’t been counterclaimed though. Vet and Doc might be OP. If he isn’t shot tonight (although he could save himself, doesn’t say anything in the OP that he cannot) I’d probably lynch him after The Shining. Leaning scum
Half the Sky – she shows intent to solve the game, gives reads, http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/474146-newbie-mini-mafia-lx?page=32#633 is a good example of trying to solve the game.


+ Show Spoiler +
On January 11 2015 08:58 scott31337 wrote:
I want to give off my reads in case I get shot -

From Town to null -

Tubesock- He’s actively trying to solve the game. A good insomnia post of his - http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/474146-newbie-mini-mafia-lx?page=33#659 with good reads.

Half the Sky – she shows intent to solve the game, gives reads, http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/474146-newbie-mini-mafia-lx?page=32#633 is a good example of trying to solve the game.

Rsolutin – Asking questions, trying to steer us in the right direction, warning others about bluefishing (a scummy trait) http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/474146-newbie-mini-mafia-lx?page=14#278 – --slight town

Exo_ - Seems to be reading and solving and giving his reads as well - http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/474146-newbie-mini-mafia-lx?page=33#641 – slight town


Scum – In order from least to most scummy


Jarjarbinks – Although he is giving reads, He’s a mixed bag with a lot of fluff. null/scum lean for now. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/474146-newbie-mini-mafia-lx?page=43#851

Silverarte – Asks a bunch of questions without responding to ones they are asked. Trying to fly under the radar. Leaning scum

Celestial-I don’t like the timing when he claimed – He was under very little pressure. He hasn’t been counterclaimed though. Vet and Doc might be OP. If he isn’t shot tonight (although he could save himself, doesn’t say anything in the OP that he cannot) I’d probably lynch him after The Shining. Leaning scum

The Shining – scum – refuses to move his vote for both mislynches, tries to lay under the radar, says he’s solving the game but is not.

Lets see how scott refers to sandroba this game N1 when sandroba was not a wagon for D2

https://tl.net/forum/postmessage.php?quote=2238&topic_id=625928

Sandroba - enough said. There hasn't been any new posts from Sandroba from my last one.


+ Show Spoiler +
On June 10 2024 10:59 scott31337 wrote:
Scotty's magic N1 post

So - first -

Show nested quote +
On June 09 2024 12:23 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:22 die_meatbaby wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:17 Vivax wrote:
With the Kelsier flip and if he‘s town, Scott starts becoming useful to mafia.


Of course he is now usefull for mafia... still easy lynch material
I am pretty sure we had t vs t lynch today.
Thats a reason why he will not get nk tonight.
But why do oats think that he wouldn´t get nk?
because im going to jailkeep him


Now I know scum had to have seen this and someone put it in their chat. And I have two theories -

1. Mocsta is the JK and will protect someone tonight (Said oats in the post)
I think this is the most realistic answer - but I do have some doubts.

I believe Mocsta will get shot tonight.

2. Mocsta fakeclaimed
Now Koshi has been going after Mocsta since he joined.
The other thing I want to ask this day also Koshi -
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 07:26 Koshi wrote:
Mocsta is playing very well if mafia.
My initial ping was that I read too many posts from him that didnt help me solve the game. And after reading his filter I didnt change my mind. If I would pnly fead Mocsta his filter I would probably have a very bad grasp on this game. Way worse than for example scott his filter.

And afterwards, you still call him mafia. So if you read his filter, you saw the post - and you still want to lynch him. So that tells me something.
And I'm willing to listen.

Order list - not lynching today
Trfel - Probably still top town. Still thinking things out even at night. I hope he was protected. Very curious who he wants to go after today also.
Koshi - I townread Rsoultin and I really townread Koshi. I want to hear Koshi's thoughts on the above first.
raynpelikoneet - He's asking questions and thinking about the game as well. I did read Trfel's post on him though and is worth reviewing.
Oatsmaster Oats is playing a lot different than his last game, and he also seems to be investigating/scumhunting.
Mocsta - I still feel he's town. Depending on Koshi, this could obviously change.
Vivax He's been acting a little weird N1, but has some good posts here and there.

Weaker
die_meatbaby - I'm still townleaning DMB, and the Vivax/DMB posting feels TvT to me. But you need to step it up and scumhunt today.
marvellosity - This is so tough. I don't know any recent marv games, but back in the day when we played, he was very timid as scum. This marv is not. But this marv also comes up with indifferent scumreads and is in the bed with AZ. So weird.

Would lynch order
Sandroba - enough said. There hasn't been any new posts from Sandroba from my last one.
Alakaslam Filter is very meh. Marv townread, AZ townread, scumread me. Had one okay post and the rest has not been.
AlphaZero A very good player that has my spider senses on alert. A few other townies have a bit of suspicion also on him, but not enough to really matter yet. I'm very curious of who he goes after today.



here is another mafia game 1yr later where he seems to have IRL issues but there is one post again similar to his style of summary/catchip in this game

https://tl.net/forum/mafia/498066-haunted-mansion-mini-mafia?page=16#303

+ Show Spoiler +
On November 25 2015 14:55 scott31337 wrote:
Allright, so I'm thinking the FF smurf thing is NAI - I'm glad it got the conversation started though.


Show nested quote +
On November 25 2015 11:18 Chromatically wrote:
On November 25 2015 11:11 Koshi wrote:
This thread needs more drama.

be the drama you want to see in the thread


Please don't encourage the Koshi - I don't know how many games of his that you have read of his, but, ........


Show nested quote +
On November 25 2015 11:55 GlowingBear wrote:
Enough dicking around.

What do you guys think of what I've brought on Tictock?


Is this the post you are referring to GB?

Show nested quote +
On November 25 2015 09:04 Tictock wrote:
On November 25 2015 08:48 sicklucker wrote:
On November 25 2015 08:46 Chromatically wrote:
On November 25 2015 08:43 sicklucker wrote:
On November 25 2015 08:09 Chromatically wrote:
I'm more interested in if he thinks FF is mafia for that?


ya probably. Hes afraid he will be outed and coming clean will gain him town cred. Theres no way ff smurfed to reveal himself the 80% of the time he rolled town. It makes no sense...

Espiecally since I have never seen him get mafia in like 15 games with him...

lynch ff for sanity

Hmm, I had the opposite reaction. Why would he be afraid of being outed as a smurf?


Ok so ff has a very high perecentage of rolling town. Town is like 80% of the players. Why would he make a smurf when hes only getting mafia like 23% of the time or whatever. Especially when he historically never gets mafia anyway..

lol..


Hmm?

You might have a point here, especially revealing so early before he could even see the affects of smurfing.

FF tends to play fairly lazily the first few days and picks it up later. Maybe he rolled mafia and was worried people would push him early on?

Course all of this is assuming it's actually FF and not someone trying to mind game us early... that's pretty tinfoily though and would be a pretty silly play.

Gunna put this down as slightly suspect but possibly NAI for now.


I'm just not seeing it for being a scumread - I see there's a lot of fluff there, he comes up with a superweak conclusion - is that what you are referring to?

Show nested quote +
On November 25 2015 12:24 ANickelDrink wrote:
On November 25 2015 11:55 GlowingBear wrote:
Enough dicking around.

What do you guys think of what I've brought on Tictock?

this post right?
On November 25 2015 11:30 GlowingBear wrote:
Cool, some weak early reads:

Koshi looks townie for his tone. Especially when he makes the post of the town pyramid and the following one.

Chrom looks townie for thinking critically about the game.

SL looks scummy for this hard push on FF on a matter that isn't really alignment indicative.

Tictock looks scummy for commenting that SL may have a point but concluding that FF's thing isn't alignment indicative. If SL does have a point then it is alignment indicative. If it isn't alignment indicative, SL doesn't have a point. Therefore you just look you're posting to look contributive while actually being fluffy and pushing the matter nowhere

That's honestly not a bad call...

Isn't that just arguing that his choice of words was wrong though?


Ninja'd

Show nested quote +
On November 25 2015 12:55 GlowingBear wrote:
On November 25 2015 09:04 Tictock wrote:
On November 25 2015 08:48 sicklucker wrote:
On November 25 2015 08:46 Chromatically wrote:
On November 25 2015 08:43 sicklucker wrote:
On November 25 2015 08:09 Chromatically wrote:
I'm more interested in if he thinks FF is mafia for that?


ya probably. Hes afraid he will be outed and coming clean will gain him town cred. Theres no way ff smurfed to reveal himself the 80% of the time he rolled town. It makes no sense...

Espiecally since I have never seen him get mafia in like 15 games with him...

lynch ff for sanity

Hmm, I had the opposite reaction. Why would he be afraid of being outed as a smurf?


Ok so ff has a very high perecentage of rolling town. Town is like 80% of the players. Why would he make a smurf when hes only getting mafia like 23% of the time or whatever. Especially when he historically never gets mafia anyway..

lol..


Hmm?

You might have a point here, especially revealing so early before he could even see the affects of smurfing.

FF tends to play fairly lazily the first few days and picks it up later. Maybe he rolled mafia and was worried people would push him early on?


Course all of this is assuming it's actually FF and not someone trying to mind game us early... that's pretty tinfoily though and would be a pretty silly play.

Gunna put this down as slightly suspect but possibly NAI for now.


Nah, FF. He clearly agrees with SL. It's not a "I understand you, but..."

Let me expand my suspicions on this post.

If I see somethig that is NAI, whenever someone says it is suspicious, I will tell them that it's NAI. Whenever I see something that I find suspicious and someone say its suspicious, I will simply agree with it.

I don't understand how can someone agree on a suspicion but reach the conclusion that that is NAI. His thought process is disconnected with his conclusion. In other words, it just sounds that he tried to fake putting thoughts on it when he was really just... Posting.

Also, if this is slightly suspicious, why classifying it as NAI now instead of pushing it further, especially on the early phase of the game when usually we have NOTHING to pursue?

Do you understsnd what I'm trying to say?




This makes more sense - I wouldn't throw him in the scumpile for it or anything yet, but I see your point, and it sounds like you are trying to critically think about the game.. I like it so far.

Show nested quote +
On November 25 2015 14:14 Onegu wrote:
VT Claim


Well, in a vanilla game, it's kind of a given, eh?



i find the style much more narrative driven ->which makes sense as he is working within known information comapred to for example from this game:
https://tl.net/forum/postmessage.php?quote=1000&topic_id=625928
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 09 2024 05:46 scott31337 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 08 2024 21:01 rsoultin wrote:
On June 08 2024 20:54 AlphaZero wrote:
On June 08 2024 20:52 rsoultin wrote:
Cause now i have to try and convince someone objectively scummy =/= scum and thats exhausting


Yes yes, everyone knows that.

Yet thats how i perceive your scott case

I also find it genuinely mindboggling how anyone is hard townreading sandy like you and marv are and yet i think you're town so pfft



This is defintely on my mind as well...

Show nested quote +
On June 08 2024 21:16 AlphaZero wrote:
I want to lynch Scott unless he comes back and shits town flavored rainbows. 🌈

That make sense trfel??


What kind of rainbows would you like to see?

Show nested quote +
On June 08 2024 21:24 Trfel wrote:
On June 08 2024 21:20 AlphaZero wrote:
On June 08 2024 21:18 Trfel wrote:
On June 08 2024 21:16 AlphaZero wrote:
I want to lynch Scott unless he comes back and shits town flavored rainbows. 🌈

That make sense trfel??
Yes and no, I understand that this is your perspective, but I disagree that doing so makes sense

In my opinion this is the towniest game I've ever seen scott31337 play. I'm just not very inclined to lynch him in it tbh.


What do you propose then trfel? Kelsier lynch? It’s almost policy at this point.
Yes, I've made it pretty clear that I want to lynch Kelsi3r. I don't think any other lynch is anywhere near as good.

I don't think it's policy at all, honestly to me it looks most like either:
1 - he got bullied out of the thread
or
2 - he got caught and lost motivation to post

Obviously I think it's the latter, though if there is reasoning for the former I am willing to reconsider.

Policy is lynching someone for activity or something like that. Kelsi3r was around, walked himself into a hole, got caught, and THEN stopped posting. Very, very different.


This was something I noted as well, and one of the reasons I would like to lynch Kelsi3r for the time being. He has not posted since you wrote this message either.

Show nested quote +
On June 08 2024 23:16 Vivax wrote:
On June 08 2024 08:29 scott31337 wrote:
I've read the thread but I've had a long day at work as well, so am a bit tired.

I searched my name in Alpha's filter - 20 times at the moment
And if you have been paying attention - keeps calling me scummy.

I search for Vivax -

On June 07 2024 12:12 AlphaZero wrote:
Vivax looks town.


20 hours ago

The rest is quotes from Vivax or others saying his name.

A post an hour ago

Vivax I think is not consistently giving me good reasons to town read him

And now he votes for him.

But AZ has been calling me scummy all game so far.

Seems suspicious to me.




The timing of this post was a bit suspicious because AZ and Oats were going at me at the time so it might have led me to be pocketed by Scott playing devil's advocate.

I don't feel like this is going to be an easy game.


The timing was AZ going after me and changing his vote to someone else. This would be better read in context (post link) instead of filter. I still am lost about the "Vivax read" stuff.

Show nested quote +
On June 09 2024 05:23 AlphaZero wrote:
If one of these guys is town we are going to mislynch.


What town agenda is this from? It's extremely rare you find two mafia D1. And I know I'm town. Like to me posting this is just muddying the waters and shitting in it.


the point of this is to show that scotts game is a more focused version when scum.

i just dont see him and sandroba bussing that hard even though scott had low cred as a wagon d1 candidate.
to conclude this is a possibility i think is ignoring the simplest answer, in that sandroba found a logical inconsistency to attack with 'truth' which you are always seeking for as mafia.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 06:16 GMT
#4291
On June 14 2024 14:43 Trfel wrote:
I'm sorry Mocsta, I know you just said you don't want to talk about AlphaZero but can I at least make sure I am understanding you correctly? You say AlphaZero is mafia because he always has an explanation that defends his actions?

Also, do you think die_meatbaby or scott31337 might be mafia? Sorry I know it's probably in your filter but I am worn out
thats fine .. the game has been draining and i just cant force myself to re-read it.

Lets not say X guarantees Y as per your simplfied statement (re: AZ)

Im saying that is a "always having an explanation in writing" is a contributor to being "mafia"

then theres other factors as well, such as
- the low committment with sandroba, such that others like me and even rayn mentalised AZ to townread sandroba;
- there is the pursuit of policy lynches guised up as not playing the game right way;
- and i cant remember whatelse

if the bussing query is a pressing item, then it should not be ignored that AZ was masoned with Rayn as well.
Its not a point i would ever press as mandatory, but should be taken into consideration as optional.


i do not consider scott scum.
His meta is very limited, yet I think is telling enough.
I don't see his more direct approach this cycle a reflection of scum trying to close out the game; rather, he feels vindicated by sandroba being off his neck (that he in his filter has pushed since d1) & that the game is one step closer to being solved.


DMB. i dont have a read. or know how to read
I'm inclined to think town, purely because Sandroba sheeped you onto DMB when rayn started the sandroba case
Like. why sheep onto a scum counter-wagon that was likely to cop heat given DMBs overall cred

I mean.. look. i know its been pointed out that sandroba did not ask any questions, yet there is a clear progression from the start that DMB was scummy.. *maybe* sandroba wanted to be consistent.. i just don't buy it

In short, i might be like 55% leaning town for DMB..
it could be realistic one scum sits in DMB/Slam and i have no idea how to read either.

On June 11 2024 05:06 sandroba wrote:
Wow, I like this analysis, the high incidence of the excuses and the not knowing what to do theory explains her mindset from a mafia perspective very neatly. Furthermore I am inclined to agree with the argument that she even somehow townie we won't even be in a better spot to figure out her alignment, as opposed to koshi and rayn, who although are very high ev lynch we can assume our accuracy on them as the days go by will increase. Let's drive this one home.
##unvote
##vote: dmb


Sandroba has 4 posts talking about DMB prior but never to DMB

At the time of Sandroba DMB vote:

On June 11 2024 04:09 sandroba wrote:
I mean koshi + rayn makes too much sense. The random town reads, the weird interactions, it all fits! I think trfel is right about dmb being the third as well.
On June 11 2024 03:45 sandroba wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2024 19:32 Mocsta wrote:
On June 10 2024 04:58 Trfel wrote:
Vivax

Vivax seemed to scumread both scott31337 and Kelsi3r. He spent much of his day 1 trying to figure out which was the better lynch (while suspecting both). See these posts (for example) about his increasing desire to lynch Kelsi3r:
On June 09 2024 07:18 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 07:03 Mocsta wrote:
I'm becoming more and more open to lynch outside kelsier

He doesn't looked bullied out to me as his tone is pretty consistent start to finish

I still think his tone specifically to me is more unhelpful mafia than town, however the nonchalantness is somewhat consistent even after which I am.imcreasingly.viewing as townie

...

I really don't want to vote Scott for mason stuff
Is there a case outside of that?
....
Rsoultin I will give sandroba a read


I think the opposite the less Kelsier does the more I want to lynch him.

Feels like a weird defense here if you don‘t have a particularly strong conviction outside of that.
On June 09 2024 07:51 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 07:46 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 07:39 Vivax wrote:
I‘m comfy with Az taking the reins here. They seem competent and townish to me.

Them pitting Oats against me was a bit dickish tho


If you do this, He's going to want to lynch me and I'll flip town.

Only if you lynch him D2 is this a suitable outcome.


There‘s people I think are around but just choosing not to post. Mocsta and him would be my guess.

I‘m moving to Kelsier. He doesn‘t appear motivated anyway.
On June 09 2024 08:45 Vivax wrote:
What I like about scott is that he seemed pretty genuine as of late. He isn‘t really trying every trick in the book to keep himself afloat just doing his thing.

Kelsier might have given up as either alignment.
Then Vivax has this reason to vote for scott31337:
On June 09 2024 09:43 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:19 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:04 AlphaZero wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:59 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:58 rsoultin wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:47 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 08:45 Vivax wrote:
What I like about scott is that he seemed pretty genuine as of late. He isn‘t really trying every trick in the book to keep himself afloat just doing his thing.

Kelsier might have given up as either alignment.
town can also not want to be mislynched.. is this 'effort'notion a scott meta thing?


at the risk of answering for viva

if scum's gonna keep posting they want to either

1) try to get the lynch off them
2) shit up the thread

or they just roll over

i guess there's the third option of trying to get more attention so it's off a scummate if you've got two scum up for lynch?

i wouldn't say that's what scott's posting looks like. guy's been scumread from minute 1 and still is just bebopping around
salient notion

alphazero - where does that sit with you?


Well he is trying to survive, to me he just continues to exhibit the traits that o find scummy and I outlined above. Says things and can’t provide foundations or reasoning that can really be taken seriously.


We can even contrast that with your own play, you have looked substantially more town aligned the more you interacted and explained thought processes and your reads have changed and grown as that has happened.

Scott’s reads haven’t changed and he hasn’t looked any better. That is classic mafia trait imo.




I favor Oats more than the last magical time you are making up. That's a change of read.
Rsoul is a little higher on my list as well.
Trfel isn't going to change much today unless he does something stupid.
What's there to change on DMB,sandroba, and Alakaslam? They haven't posted.
Marv isn't coming back tonight from his word.
Kelsi3r - nuff said
Mocsta - I still town read him even if he gets junk from other people. Is still thinking reasonable, unlike yourself.
Vivax - I wouldn't lynch today either.



On June 09 2024 09:38 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:33 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:29 scott31337 wrote:
On June 09 2024 09:18 Mocsta wrote:
one underlying issue i have with scott is that

when he was getting heat and i backed him, he made some posts that soft buddied to me.. which i thought was completely reasonable if town.

my issue therefore is that, as my read with AZ has shifted and evolved, hes not paid attention (publicly at least) to it.. no comments or impact on scotts AZ read is very weird to me.

now scott says hes completely up to date, so its been read, and apparently not relevant - so again. i find this super super weird and struggling to identify how town would do that.


AZ is not the lynch today unless everyone expands their mind. So forgive me for not spending the energy nested into such.

But he's my #2 still - so help me out - maybe I missed a point of yours.


Excuse me but what do you mean by the bolded.


Town.


Yes. I'm town. But that doesn't answer the question.

If you're so convinced we should lynch AZ which I suppose you are by saying that the mind of town is closed, why isn't he in the list ?
And then this?
On June 09 2024 10:52 Vivax wrote:
Considering the time I‘ll just let Kelsier happen ig
He sounds so sad about lynching Kelsi3r, who he was very content to lynch for much of the day, and was getting increasingly happy to lynch until scott31337 did something that stuck out to him as especially scummy. This doesn't add up from the town perspective, Vivax ought to be at least content with a Kelsi3r lynch.

Then, Vivax has a series of posts after the deadline about scott31337 being town:
On June 09 2024 12:07 Vivax wrote:
Scott is never going to get lynched on D2, and he isn‘t going to get vigged either. Going by experience.

Doesn‘t have to be a bad thing but it means we look for 2-3 outside of him.
On June 09 2024 12:13 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:09 die_meatbaby wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:07 Vivax wrote:
Scott is never going to get lynched on D2, and he isn‘t going to get vigged either. Going by experience.

Doesn‘t have to be a bad thing but it means we look for 2-3 outside of him.


how about giving a look on ninja rayn or az


Az lookedlike he was posting forcibly around EoD, rayn didn‘t make himself readable.

Townies can have reasons to refuse to be readable. To be honest everyone has good reason to refuse to be readable.

I‘d guess the masons of the day were rayn and Trfel.

The flip doesn‘t automatically make Scott more scummy, if you were town in his situation you‘d understand why, so look at those who think so.
On June 09 2024 12:17 Vivax wrote:
With the Kelsier flip and if he‘s town, Scott starts becoming useful to mafia.
On June 09 2024 12:35 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:32 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:25 Vivax wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:18 Mocsta wrote:
On June 09 2024 12:13 Vivax wrote:
The flip doesn‘t automatically make Scott more scummy, if you were town in his situation you‘d understand why, so look at those who think so.
help me out, im being dumb dumb

the only reason i can see is this from marv
https://tl.net/forum/mafia/625928-sweet-summer-mafia?page=66#1302

like.. why cant mafia have wagoned kelsier to save scott equally?

i get in marv of rsoultin, he is expecting the most likely answer is double-town wagon; yet, why cannot it not be an effort to save scott equally?


It‘s beneficial to take sides as mafia here. Or maybe look undecided. They only have two buffets to choose from and don‘t have to be active so there‘s zero downside to being active, preferrably on the side of the one who‘s going to remain unflipped.

Without accounting for players who are time constrained or just don‘t care enough.
i see which feeds into my ongoing concerns with how the kelsi3r train was building

i dont want to blanket discard how d1 unfolded for you; heuristically for me, its really hard to not acknowledge the complexities of having 1/3 of town to barely post for the 24hrs before lynch. it makes it hard for me to then follow your interpretation.

i am in agreement with the other post that there should be options outside of scott tomorrow though.


Right ? Wouldn‘t make much sense after a majority decided to spare him.

My next favourite would be the rsoultin slot because theirs was one of the deciding votes.

Not necessarily to lynch but definitely to consider.
Which makes absolutely no sense given that he still strongly believes that scott31337 is mafia. How is not lynching scott31337, who is mafia, a bad thing? That's absolutely a bad thing! Vivax was seemingly frustrated that he had to settle for the Kelsi3r lynch instead of lynching scott31337, why is he suddenly accepting the "majority-decided" verdict of keeping scott31337 alive and why is that a reason to focus on other people instead?

It's not that what Vivax is saying is wrong necessarily, or in other words, it's completely fine to have alternative lynch options to scott31337. But from the perspective of someone who thinks scott31337 is mafia, and just missed out on lynching him, why is his focus on finding other people to focus on (besides scott31337) and what it means if scott31337 is town? Why isn't his focus on scott31337 being mafia? If Vivax was no longer scumreading scott31337 then this makes sense, but that isn't the case at all:
On June 10 2024 00:16 Vivax wrote:
On June 10 2024 00:14 Trfel wrote:
On June 09 2024 23:53 Vivax wrote:
I have a townread on dmb fwiw. She seems very relaxed tonally.

I‘d like a doc on marv.
I‘d like rayn to play the game.

I love GabeN
Is scott31337 mafia still?


I think so. Don‘t understand his post about AZ if he isn‘t.
The end result is that Vivax is very suspicious. There hasn't been the normal insightful thinking or tinfoil, he seemed very happy with the two wagons day 1 (scott31337 and Kelsi3r), despite the odds of both being mafia being quite low. I would have thought this was even more suspicious for someone with paranoia like Vivax, but instead he seems quite content with the gamestate.
wow this is great. Love the pick up about appeal to majority consensus as well. Very scummy yet didn't register to me in when reading in the moment

Took me like 3-4 blocks to go through this because of all the quotes. I will probably clean this up for you a bit later today so reads cleaner

##vote:vivax


Listen, this is usually what gets Vivax lynched every game. Some sort of inconsistency or misplaced emotion that makes no sense from a town perspective. I don't think vivax is mafia this game, and even if I'm wrong about this and he is it's at best a crap shoot, because the game where palmar lead his lynch day1 looked exactly like this.
Look I'm just as lost as the next guy, I'm thinking this has to be koshi + rayn + slam/dmb basically by poe - but I think going for vivax right now is a mistake.
On June 11 2024 00:06 sandroba wrote:
I'm around page 70, the beginning of N1. My worldview right now is:
Town:
trfel
mocsta
oats
scott
Likely town:
vivax
AZ
Mafia is here:
rsoul, rayn, dmb, slam
On June 08 2024 03:16 sandroba wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 08 2024 03:01 rsoultin wrote:
On June 08 2024 02:56 sandroba wrote:
On June 08 2024 00:25 marvellosity wrote:
On June 07 2024 23:18 sandroba wrote:
So far I like rayn and trfel as town.

So what was the point of your comment on Trfel?!

Felt off and stood out to me at that point on the thread, I'm content with not pursuing it since further reading points to town.


you stole my story

who do you wanna lynch if it's not still scott?

i'm bored of the scott conversation

I'm not over scott. That single post by dmb then fucking off does look really bad, could get behind that. Rayn liking your terrible reasoning without knowing what it is also moves him away from my townie lean
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 06:17 GMT
#4292
On June 14 2024 15:06 Trfel wrote:
Mocsta, why would you ever post like that >< If I go to any of those links it quotes it in a TL.net post preview. C'mom man, I just wanted to read what you had to say

In all seriousness though, I'll try and work through that. I appreciate it.

AlphaZero, I get that. Did my discussion with Mocsta about your alignment have any effect on your read of Mocsta?

awww man. didnt realise. that sucks badly.. copy for next time
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 06:31 GMT
#4295
On June 14 2024 15:29 Alakaslam wrote:
But wait day 2 right? Kelsier was day 1?
Bingo
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 06:33 GMT
#4297
On June 14 2024 15:32 Trfel wrote:
Read your first post. I respect the work you put into it but I'm honestly not sure if there is a distinct difference that I would put a lot of confidence in. This may be due to my aversion to meta reads though.

I just don't like to clear someone if I am not 100% sure. I've seen so many games go awry due to clearing someone for poor reasons and then making up reasons to find other people mafia as a result. Imo if you just keep most people on the table and look for reasons to suspect people instead of reasons to clear people, you're better off.
That's fair and understandable.

I think the most important part was the last paragraph about sandroba this game though? Do you disagree?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 06:37 GMT
#4298
Any by disagree I don't mean to clear as one piece of evidence

The way I weigh up his filter and sandroba interactions I like as town

I mean let's be real. The guy has been in the block for one week non stop.

The game has been so disjointed it would be easy to throw votes around. That's my perception personally

So much low hanging fruit and sandroba was there only because of afk

I combine those things and it's hard for me to say he is suspicious which makes him a town read for me
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 06:51 GMT
#4303
On June 14 2024 15:41 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 14 2024 15:33 Mocsta wrote:
On June 14 2024 15:32 Trfel wrote:
Read your first post. I respect the work you put into it but I'm honestly not sure if there is a distinct difference that I would put a lot of confidence in. This may be due to my aversion to meta reads though.

I just don't like to clear someone if I am not 100% sure. I've seen so many games go awry due to clearing someone for poor reasons and then making up reasons to find other people mafia as a result. Imo if you just keep most people on the table and look for reasons to suspect people instead of reasons to clear people, you're better off.
That's fair and understandable.

I think the most important part was the last paragraph about sandroba this game though? Do you disagree?
I think it makes sense in the context that sandroba probably didn't expect to go afk for so long. I think it's quite reasonable for mafia to vote a partner early in a day tbh. If they can defend themselves, great, just say their defense makes sense and you changed your mind! If not, you have an early bus, and they probably weren't surviving anyway.

Scott31337 being mafia doesn't feel right to me so I am open to that being wrong. I do have a little more confidence in the die_meatbaby vote.
yeahi agree about voting early in the day -> you are talking about optionality.. and to me, AlphaZero goes about optionality slightly differently.

i mean, i know people say they dont understand my read progressions. yet, this is completely different to AZ where people distill his sandroba read as town, even though he has posts to defend he thought sandroba was scummy

the actions do not line up with the words & it is the actions that i believe led people like me (maybe rayn) to mentalise that az townread sandroba
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 07:01 GMT
#4313
On June 14 2024 15:53 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 14 2024 15:51 Mocsta wrote:
On June 14 2024 15:41 Trfel wrote:
On June 14 2024 15:33 Mocsta wrote:
On June 14 2024 15:32 Trfel wrote:
Read your first post. I respect the work you put into it but I'm honestly not sure if there is a distinct difference that I would put a lot of confidence in. This may be due to my aversion to meta reads though.

I just don't like to clear someone if I am not 100% sure. I've seen so many games go awry due to clearing someone for poor reasons and then making up reasons to find other people mafia as a result. Imo if you just keep most people on the table and look for reasons to suspect people instead of reasons to clear people, you're better off.
That's fair and understandable.

I think the most important part was the last paragraph about sandroba this game though? Do you disagree?
I think it makes sense in the context that sandroba probably didn't expect to go afk for so long. I think it's quite reasonable for mafia to vote a partner early in a day tbh. If they can defend themselves, great, just say their defense makes sense and you changed your mind! If not, you have an early bus, and they probably weren't surviving anyway.

Scott31337 being mafia doesn't feel right to me so I am open to that being wrong. I do have a little more confidence in the die_meatbaby vote.
yeahi agree about voting early in the day -> you are talking about optionality.. and to me, AlphaZero goes about optionality slightly differently.

i mean, i know people say they dont understand my read progressions. yet, this is completely different to AZ where people distill his sandroba read as town, even though he has posts to defend he thought sandroba was scummy

the actions do not line up with the words & it is the actions that i believe led people like me (maybe rayn) to mentalise that az townread sandroba
I'm sorry, could I ask for clarification about what you mean here? Is this supposed to be a reason to suspect AlphaZero? Is it because he says things about being suspicious about sandroba but also is defending sandroba?

Because that wasn't my interpretation of what happened tbh.
damn right its a reason to be suspicious of anyone whose words dont match behaviours. that applies in real-life and in this game we call mafia.

we all saw in d1 how calculated alphazero can be with his approach to [b]command[/b[ attention.
the expectations for words and behaviour *should* be higher for az than in comparison to for example slam
its inexcusable that a player who command attention can have multiple people misread his intentions in such a push-pull way.

Again, i stress this is not the same as me. with me, people do not understand how i connect A to Y (chose now to right Z for AZ lol)

And yeah, i tsbecause clearly i seem to skip every letter inbetween and go ta-da

I'm not accusing AlphaZero of that at all.

I am accusing him that the pathway from A to B to C is too clean, meticulous and curated
Thats not town play.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 07:02 GMT
#4314
On June 14 2024 15:56 Trfel wrote:
Also @Mocsta, if at any time you want to focus on work or family or other things I completely get it and respect that. I don't want to interfere with your life, you've already put a lot of time into this game with a 19 page filter and lots of analysis and all. While I appreciate the help, I don't want to interfere with other things you have going on.

kids come home in an hour
and then thats it

i wake up, enjoy the morning and see who gets voted

i do hope its not me but will be what it is

appreciate you took the time to talk to me and help me to show my thought process to the others

i needed that. thank you
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 07:04 GMT
#4315
On June 14 2024 15:59 Koshi wrote:
Look guys. We need to kill the girl.
It's simple.

Tomorrow we decide if it is AZ/Mocsta/Scott as third.

I said it before.

Kill small fishes first.
i dont want to be an outstander like last vote

trfel is my best town read, and im going to sheep him today

if he chooses to vote me, i will stick with az
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 07:47 GMT
#4357
On June 14 2024 16:14 Trfel wrote:Complete side note but... what if something stupid happened, like sandroba saw his role PM and was like, "this sucks, I don't want to play as mafia" so he went to his mafia chat and was like, "hey guys I don't want to play as mafia, I'm gonna do next to nothing, just bus me" and then rsoultin busses him and we're so bad that we still don't lynch him and eventually sandroba flips and there are a lot of associative reasons to townread mafia members, just because sandroba didn't want to play as mafia?

I don't mean to say that this is particularly likely, but I'd also say it's far from impossible, no? Maybe it's just me being bad at associate reads but I'd much, much, much rather read people mostly based on their own play. I just think there are so many fewer ways to screw it up.
you've made your point very clear and I do agree.

In that regard, slam/dmb i just dont know how to read. removing any associations, dmb play this game makes me want to lynch her which is what im finding hard to reconcile, as what i recall are her tunnel focuses have not resolved.

again, removing associations, i find AZ scummy as fuck. yes, you've been really good to highlight to you dont see what im seeing. i dunno, could i be tunneled? Maybe, i dont think i should feel the way i do about another townie though.
i dont mean to be disrespectful, its possibly a life experience thing but thats way too broad an assumption? i dunno. as im not really sure how to describe it further without resulting in accusations that could genuinely be insulting and are not intended as such.

I guess I thought AlphaZero's stance on sandroba was pretty clear, but maybe I'm somehow the only one? I have a really hard time thinking about this as AlphaZero's fault instead of the rest of yours though, tbh.
i dont know what you mean by fault? my distillation of how az is playing?

Again, i cant figure out the impasse we have to figure out how to adjust the message.

My recollection is along the lines of:
AZ: Sandroba is an F-Tier scum read --> is that not lock scum?
AZ: Sandroba has posted dont lynch today -> why does it matter.. what was posted that was relevant to adjust read
AZ: if sandroba is afk, then mafia

how can this be anything but advocating for a policy (inactivity) lynch? -> that is within sandrobas power to control.
do not forget, this applies to a F-tier read.. i mean.. c'mon. even i dont go out of my way to avoid voting someone like this

Unless that's not what you're saying, I'm a little confused because for the first 2/3 of the post you seem to be saying that AlphaZero is scummy because he failed to communicate his view on flipped mafia sandroba in a way that others can understand, and in the last 1/3 you seem to be saying that his play is too clean and that makes it look fake. I guess I'm just not sure which one it is, or is it both? But they seem a little mutually exclusive, no?
i dunno what else to say.. what is sleight of hand?

look at my left hand, whilst my right hand does something different. then lets all laugh together and enjoy the magic.

AZ defends the D2 lynch and is quick fire to post that he indeed had a scumread on sandroba (i really hope this is correct as my memory is hazy now)
That the left hand.. but what is the right hand doing?

The votes say the right hand joined me on Rayn.. fuck DMB wagon.. why rayn which could have been a legit counter wagon to Sandroba at one point - and is a part of why rayn talks about about sandroba wagon being so hard (i hope at least)

You are being razzle dazzled because AlphaZero is able to plug gaps that give you a sense of solving the game, but its all about him.

I dont know what else to say.Maybe some super analytical players can backup every decision as clean as AlphaZero, yet i find you to be significantly more analytical than Alpha, and somehow have a messier filter.. how does this come about?

This is all with associatives removed.
If i add the associatves, the rayn mason log i think is important as it restricts a lot of freedom AZ has, because rayn has separate dialogue going on and potentially is even the main cause of push-pull i identified.. obviously this is too imaginary for you to walk along with me, so ignore as you need.

Also, I really wouldn't recommend sheeping me, I have no idea what's what. You have been much more present and involved than I have for a while now, trust yourself. You're more than capable, you've got this.
presence isnt related to finding mafia.
my point is, i dont want to throw my vote away again.
i respect the way you are going about the game and thats why i said what i did. 
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 07:50 GMT
#4358
On June 14 2024 16:34 AlphaZero wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 14 2024 16:33 Koshi wrote:
After DMB I wonder if it is rayn.


Scott is 1000000% mafia.

im less sure on mocsta.

he is like 60%

twas not expecting that
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
June 14 2024 08:04 GMT
#4361
thansk trfel

appreciate you talking it out with me

im scooting now
will see where you are voting closer to deadline and make a decision from there
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