Newbie Student Mafia XIII
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Tictock
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Tictock
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/in | ||
Tictock
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Oh yea, technically I should be a /in Open Forgot that replacing into the last NSM puts me at 4 games played, wouldn't mind a coach since I've only played 2 games with one, but doesn't really matter. | ||
Tictock
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I have some odd feelings about this newbie though... On July 22 2015 07:22 Damdred wrote: /In newb slot | ||
Tictock
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On July 23 2015 03:19 scott31337 wrote: That's untrue - last four games of mine I have been VT. ![]() Ah so your saying it's about time for you to roll scum again? ![]() I'm also willing to drop out and /replace instead, so that NocturneMage can have a slot if he wants. I'm helping HtS cohost Mafia Down Under and have been waiting on Cannons to start (maybe it will... one day) so honestly this game woulda gotten the short end of the stick of my attention if Cannons gets going. If need be I will fight GB in the mud for the chance to gracefully exit and make space for a newbie. | ||
Tictock
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On July 23 2015 06:43 n00bKing wrote: Co-hosting probably requires more attention than playing Cannons. I think Cannons could be fun, but thinking in that game is somewhere between "optional" and "pointless." Ouch, I'm gunna tell [UoN]Sentinel how much you hate his game... | ||
Tictock
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Oh dear me, oh my! It seems I am rather unfashionably late to this party. Apologies, apologies, apologies. Please, if you would all be so kind, I need a bit of time to settle in and prepare. I shall get down to business shortly. | ||
Tictock
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Humm, yes ok I suppose this will do. *Sits down and pulls out a deck of cards. Looks them over briefly and then begins to shuffle* So then, I believe I am ready. To those of you already raising your eyebrows and beginning a motion that ends with your face beset firmly in your palm. This is less random than you'd think and my intentions will be clear shortly. For now, do your best to enjoy the ride. I have noticed often in these situations that I have a tendency to fly off the handle a bit. Many times I have begun with decent enough thoughts and ideas only to drown in a sea of "maybe"s, and thus I have begun to doubt my own mind. My own Mind! A terrible thing for a man to do... This day, though.... this day shall be different! I have decided to rely not simply upon my own thoughts and ideas today. Today I will call upon the very universe to help unravel this mysteries we face here today. Today fate shall guide my hand and my mind will be the passenger attempting to plot our course. *Clears throat* Yea, basically I'm gunna be doing Tarot stuff. | ||
Tictock
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State of the game ![]() 4 of Disks The 4 of Disks is a card representing a state of stability and comfort. It suggests an atmosphere of potential, growth, and security. There is a danger though of becoming overly attached to this comfort. The castle has been built, it is strong and fortified. The pantries are full, the storehouse is brimming full, and the square is lively. Life is good. However, there is danger of becoming too cut off from the rest of the world. Conclusion: Everyone is feeling to be in a solid and safe place. All parties are feeling ready for the ensuing turmoil. There is danger of in-fighting of loosing focus on the actual matters at hand. Do not let this time of security fool you... | ||
Tictock
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Predicting the End ![]() 8 of Wands The 8 of Wands is the card of swiftness. This is a sign of swift resolution, of a sudden flash of realization. The wands themselves represent pure energy while the number 8 draws that power into order. There is a warning to not waste time in dispute or inaction. The flash of inspiration/intuition/light quickly expands and reveals all. The correct path is show and all the dark corners are revealed. Darkness and confusion are ever at the edges of this light, but if focus is kept the goal will be achieved. Conclusion: The end will come quickly. Be it an overall fast game or that a sudden revelation will clear the way. Be wary of those showing little focus, causing disruption, or trying to start arguments. | ||
Tictock
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People chosen by some means. n00b - 4 of Wands - Completion + Show Spoiler + ![]() rayn - 4 of Cups - Luxury + Show Spoiler + ![]() Moosy - Knight of Swords + Show Spoiler + ![]() ruXx - Ace of Disks + Show Spoiler + ![]() Noc -7 of Wands - Valor + Show Spoiler + ![]() Flex - Kight of Cups + Show Spoiler + ![]() | ||
Tictock
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On July 25 2015 02:49 disformation wrote: Hmmm... I know these cards have meanings. Do you have any interpretation of these? Can you link these interpretations to their posts so far? Can I has a card, too? + Show Spoiler + In before The Hanged Man (XII) Dis you need to roll something other than town, just for varieties sake. Still nice to see you out of the shadows ^.^ Since you asked... and yes Hanged Man would be ironic... + Show Spoiler + ![]() This card can be read either as a symbol of a new beginning or as a strong read into a persons character (strong because it is a powerful card). Some interesting lines I came across that describe the personality portrayed by the Princess of Disks a quiet, reserved person - sometimes shy can easily be a little too dependent from outside influences but nevertheless being unable to really adapt to others. practical and capable, though rarely seeking the limelight deals badly with conflict | ||
Tictock
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On July 25 2015 01:13 ruXxar wrote: *Ruxx sits a while in silence and regards the cards each in turn slowly, studying the intricate decorations and inscriptions, the art whisked out by the tides of time.He looks back up and makes eye eye contact with Ticktock. A silence descends upon the world and all outside noise fades away. Keeping the gaze fixated Ruxx rummages his pockets and drags out a curled 5$ note. He straightens it carefully before laying it down on the table in plain sight. - I don't speak tarot, give me the human readable explanation* You got a very powerful card, I'm actually a little hesitant to draw to many conclusions from it. However it is of note, that it supports the weak townread I have of you. + Show Spoiler + ![]() The Ace is a powerful part of the deck as it represents the raw force or energy of the suit it is in. The suit here, Disks, tend to relate to earthly things wealth/land/shelter and is also often connected to projects and endeavors. It is unclear what that might mean in this context, however this line was interesting... There's a saying - 'The right teacher only appears when the student is ready'. It is as though we grow spiritually from the inside, the same way that trees do. And in so doing, maybe we develop inner rings - just like a tree's trunk. The outer ring, just under the bark could not exist without all of the others it encircles. | ||
Tictock
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On July 24 2015 19:41 Tictock wrote: Drew a few cards for some of ya. I would appreciate it if you could take a look at your card and give me your impression of it. People chosen by some means. n00b - 4 of Wands - Completion + Show Spoiler + ![]() rayn - 4 of Cups - Luxury + Show Spoiler + ![]() Moosy - Knight of Swords + Show Spoiler + ![]() ruXx - Ace of Disks + Show Spoiler + ![]() Noc -7 of Wands - Valor + Show Spoiler + ![]() Flex - Kight of Cups + Show Spoiler + ![]() By the way, I'm pretty certain at least 2 of the people i gave cards to here are mafia... Also it is of note that I later drew a Card for Sulf... he also received a 4 of Cups just like ryan. | ||
Tictock
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We have hardly used up even half our day! There is still yet some time to play... So much needless aggression, you realize you are more likely to shove a brother than an enemy? You all scream for a feast for the mind, yet have spent most of your time fighting over scraps... | ||
Tictock
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On July 25 2015 03:55 ruXxar wrote: zzzz, cut the crapperonies. GIve us some reads in plain text. Ironic... I will in due time. | ||
Tictock
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For now... On July 24 2015 17:53 Rels wrote: Alright here I go. This first post from NocturneMage seems very prepared to me. And prepared post = scumlean. Why is it prepared ? Let me show you. RNG gave me town, thank God. I'm having a beer or two. Might be three. Not sure yet. <= VT claim + fluff about beer. ruXxar sounds like he's sick of playing scum though. <= Discussion about something in game. Although if the moderator is going to make this a Pokemon themed game, I really don't know what to say. <= Funny remark about host. So three different subjects in first post = prepared post. And prepared post means he may be afraid to post, hence why he prepared it so much. Plus in his later posts there are lots of questions + "i'm a noob" statement. See spoiler for source. It could mean he is mafia doesn't know what to talk about; could also just mean he's newbie and doesn't know what to talk about. So NAI. + Show Spoiler + On July 24 2015 07:22 NocturneMage wrote: He seems relieved to be town, assuming he's telling the truth, though the poetry makes me think he's more high than he is mafia. Do you think he's mafia? On July 24 2015 07:27 NocturneMage wrote: Is that alignment indicative for ruXxar? I'm guessing it is if that was a scum game of his? On July 24 2015 07:32 NocturneMage wrote: Well it's my first game here and most of my mafia experience is from real life. It seems harder to fake being town in real life and I can't see it being much different on forum mafia with the body language and tone of voice aside. On July 24 2015 07:39 NocturneMage wrote: I played it a lot at parties in uni and in grad school. It was the party game of party games. I also have played a board game called Resistance which is somewhat similar except people don't die but you also do figure out if people are lying or not and try to include them on your team or not and then pass or fail the expedition party. What is your experience with mafia or is forums just it? On July 24 2015 07:41 NocturneMage wrote: It would seem like it. I don't know if I should make anything the way he's addressing people, ignoring his poetry, that could come from town or mafia. I'm assuming no ill-will means a town read? or a null read? I can't tell actually. ruxxar is that even a read on noobking? So, ##Vote NocturneMage @NocturneMage: if you're town, I want you to read Flexes' filter, who is also playing his first game. Only two posts, but he already discussed something relevant to the game. If you don't know: in the OP, if you click Flexes' name, you have access to all the posts he did in this thread. I find it very interesting that Rels decided to dedicate his entire opening to attack another players opening. The entire time I was reading his idea about Noc giving us a forced opening post I'm thinking "what a forced read on someone this is" Rels even mentions Plus in his later posts there are lots of questions + "i'm a noob" statement. See spoiler for source. It could mean he is mafia doesn't know what to talk about; could also just mean he's newbie and doesn't know what to talk about. So NAI. But why does that not apply to his opening post as well? | ||
Tictock
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On July 25 2015 04:04 ruXxar wrote: Aww, I did not want to ruin your RP, however tarot cards don't mean anything anyway if you just draw the cards at random. If you actually picked the cards on your own and gave an explanation for what they meant I would be fine with it. The point of tarot is not always what the card "means" but rather what the card "implies". The difference is that one is a wrote definition whereas the other is a subjective interpretation. In other words, we can all use google to see what the card "means" but what I was interested was in what the card implies to you. Reactions to me asking you to read the card instead of the card itself are also valid ^.^ On July 25 2015 04:03 raynpelikoneet wrote: There is absolutely no reason to withhold basic information like reads here Tictock. You want to be (1) read as town so you have the credibility to (2) convince people into lynching mafia if you are town. What you are doing is counter-productive at best. Possible. I realize full well what I am doing. | ||
Tictock
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Interesting you ignore that my post is regarding Rels and instead want me to discuss Noc... For now I'm not certain of either, but they are far from my top scum atm. Consider them weak townreads for now... Rayn on the other hand has a strong possibility of being mafia... His pushiness and argumentative nature have been very telling to me. Especially when it seems a lot of his points of discussion were brought up by others... | ||
Tictock
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You are likely the only person who might have a decent meta read on him. | ||
Tictock
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Talk to me a bit. What do you make of Damdred? Should I accept his town read on rayn? What do you think of Moosy? Oh and of course, the card I drew for you... + Show Spoiler + ![]() | ||
Tictock
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However his posting has gotten much better and has been seeming more like his usual self. This post especially sold me: On July 25 2015 10:09 n00bKing wrote: Well then, sorry to burst your bubble (hey, at least you'll know I'm not trying to pocket you!) but I think there is a reason why you were the only one in that game giving yourself any credit for "trapping" Sulfurus. I don't think the fact that you nearly got yourself lynched should be a point of pride. I think the behavior from Sulfurus was scummy independent of anything that you were doing. I don't think Sulfurus himself would say that you were a significant part of why he was killed. I didn't see anything productive about your Day 1 "strategy" in that game, which is why I was disappointed to see ruXxar doing something similar in this game. And Ticktock is no better, by the way. But if there's any silver lining to it, I guess it would be that although I don't feel like ruXxar or Ticktock have contributed much to helping me solve the game, they have at least helped me determine their own alignments. ruXxar playing the same way you did likely makes him Town just like you were. And I don't know how a scum player would decide that his best course of action is to show up to the thread late and then start posting tarot cards. And if the answer is "cuz WIFOM" then I continue to think that the Newbie games are not the best place to be trying that kind of thing, and that TickTock would understand that. So I didn't really get Breshke scumreading ruXxar (though I see he's backing off of that now) and I didn't really get Damdred and rayn scumreading TickTock (though all 3 of them are on the vets list, so maybe Damdred and rayn are using some kind of l33t meta reads to catch TickTock). I'll also mention that there was a silver lining to all of rayn's nonsense about his throwaway entry post. That, too, made me more confident in ruXxar's towniness, since Rux's reaction to all of it was basically "go fuck yourself with this crap, rayn" which is a mindset that is...umm...relatable, shall we say. So n00b stands a solid green for me now, pretty much never lynching the guy. | ||
Tictock
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I kinda agree about Mossy, I'll get to my read of him a little later. I did give him a card earlier for a reason. As for the Tarot... Well you should recall that I enjoyed batsnacks little I-ching read that game. I've been wanting to do something similar. Mostly people decided to ignore it, which is possibly the correct response ^.^ It does kinda force me to stop, not that I ever intended to be that useless all game. So Bre, tell me. Why do you seem so off this game? Like, you don't seem to be trying very hard to get reads. The first half of the day you really only talked about ruXx or MD, now your suddenly jumping on board this Bara wagon (which I'm not sold on) and are giving away a town read on sulf for basically nothing. | ||
Tictock
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On July 25 2015 14:02 Sulfurus wrote: I'll start with my read on Barakos since it was the easiest to figure out, just look at this post. [indent]At first I was very excited to see this since it has the same 'shape' as his posts from NSMX where he had nothing but good logic. However the actual content of the post has none of the strong conclusions that I associate with Barakos. It looks like it was written so people couldn't say he hasn't given reads instead of trying to catch mafia. Also please don't listen to his excuse about how that post was a 'trap' for NSMX people. He knows he messed up and he's trying to cover up. Besides the bolded line, you are saying nothing new here. Was commenting about the "shape" of his posts in comparison to another game really something you wanted to share with us? Or are you trying to add more padding to your filter? | ||
Tictock
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Struck me as odd that you ignored the nonsense I was doing with no comments, and yea just in general weren't really engaging a lot. Based on your responses to me here I'm willing to shrug it off for the time being. As for Sulf... He's really just floating doing his own thing? This "auto" list seems somewhat towny, but it's timing is weird. Also his PoE list looks too much like the majority sentiment of the game right now. I could be wrong but especially after that last post about Bara I really have the sense he might just be trying to show effort without really doing anything. | ||
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Why are you so certain that Flex and Damdred are town? | ||
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Posting this auto-lynch concept and selling it could very well be a last ditch effort of doing "something". I don't like it because a lot of my scum reads are in his town pile ^.^ Also I have at least 2 maybe 3 solid town reads in his PoE list so that makes me nervous as well... | ||
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On July 25 2015 14:55 Tictock wrote: Also I have at least 2 maybe 3 solid town reads in his PoE list so that makes me nervous as well... Upon reflection I realize how stupid this sounds... Carry on. | ||
Tictock
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I'm not a fan of this Bara wagon, the reasons seem flimsy to me and it's mostly just one post that people keep pushing to show that he's scum. Him saying it was a reaction test is meh. The only thing that really seems off to me is that he stopped posting after rayn kept putting pressure on him. This would mean more to me if I weren't reading rayn as scum. I was going to include my read on rayn here, but since he has managed to fill 6 pages of filter already this might need it's own post. | ||
Tictock
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stuff I dont like about ryan -Used a couple of questions with fordrawn conclusions while pushing Bara -very pushy and argumentative -2 scum reads (Noc & Bara) were largely parroting other peoples reads -spammy filter of quick one liner-ish posts a few other things that are kinda meh and probably nai sorry, my mind just started wandering in circles when I was trying to do quotes and dig through filters right now.... especially when I was looking at the Bara stuff. | ||
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Thought you were kinda scummy off that entrance post it felt forced, since then you've been more like a weak town read. I don't have much trouble seeing newbie town opening like that. Trying to comment about a few things to start then asking a few questions. Pretty null overall imo. | ||
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On July 24 2015 22:48 MoosyDoosy wrote: I still hate you. Spot spouting poetry shit and get to business you fool. Traps D1 like this are so bad it's ridiculous. It's completely dependent on the Mafia making a slip while people jump on your wagon. In either case, no one is taking you seriously at this point because of your poetry nonsense so you might as well just stop at this point. It's the last few hours we have. Get down to business. This post is rather Ironic due to the way Moosy himself played D1 as town in the last NSM, interesting as well since Moosy's ploy worked in that game. I also find it very interesting that MD is focusing so heavily on RuXx both in this post and in most of his filter. At the time of this post I had begun posting my tarot stuff which was clearly more nonsensical than ruxx's poetry, yet MD ignores my nonsense and focuses entirely on ruxx. In fact most of MD's filter is just arguments with ruxx over silly points, and none of it ever really goes anywhere. This leads me to believe that MD is not really interested in people focusing on the game (as he would have mentioned my Tarot stuff) and is actually just trying to create some filter by fighting and calling a few minor points out. There was also the overly long and drawn out stuff between MD and Breshke where MD kept dodging some questions. To me it looked like MD was trying to stir up something but when he got called out had to scramble to justify it. I actually think MD is a pretty good lynch here today. So gunna leave my vote on him and take another look at things nearer EoD. ##Vote: MoosyDoosy | ||
Tictock
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@ Rels Noc reads overall null to me right now, I don't recall if it was you or someone else but the comment about Flex having done more in fewer posts was solid. Still not enough for me to really think he's scum. Noob is my strongest townread atm. Dis also looks to be pretty towny and as I remember him in past games. I'm thinking scum is somewhere in MD, ryan, Dam, Sul, and possibly Bre. The stuff on Bara isn't convincing me, but it's also not bad and Bara hasn't responded in awhile now... I've got no real issues if he gets lynched. | ||
Tictock
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@rayn Used a couple of questions with fordrawn conclusions while pushing Bara Both of these are begging the question, "why are you scummy" On July 24 2015 18:53 raynpelikoneet wrote: So Barakos claims he is scummy. Barakos why would you make intentionally scummy posts as town? On July 24 2015 22:35 raynpelikoneet wrote: Barakos i would like you to elaborate onto your read on Barakos. Why is the post you have been called out for scummy? very pushy and argumentative So obviusly you have to be somewhat pushy and make arguements, but there are a few instances where it looks more like you are picking little things and pushing stuff that isn't as big a deal as you are making it. For example: the reaction to people talking about your very first post. Also to some extent your push on Bara has a bit of an odd buildup where you ignore his reactions then push on the fact that he didn't react to your vote on him. It's like... you have a point there but he also stated long before you pushed on him that he was mostly interested in reactions from people from a certain game, so the push looks a little off to me. It isn't a consistent thing in your filter though so maybe it's a tonal thing that's throwing me. It's also not terribly similar to what I was pointing out with MD kinda tunneling Ruxx for fairly bad reasons. 2 scum reads (Noc & Bara) were largely parroting other peoples reads You returned to the game after your first post by dropping a list of town and voting for Bara as scum, for no stated reason. Bara had been discussed by multiple other people at that point, your actual case was in regards to how Bara reacted to your vote... but what made you vote Bara in the first place? You've pushed Noc a lot as a scum read as well, but it was Rels who was jumped in with his open/case on Noc's open. You then agreed with his read and pushed from there. Other than those 2 I've been the other scum read, which is what it is since it was mostly a WTF reaction to my tarot stuff and not being super forthcoming earlier in the phase. spammy filter of quick one liner-ish posts Posting a lot without really saying a lot... definitely something scum would try to pull off. Makes you look active and involved and makes it harder to dig through your filter. | ||
Tictock
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On July 26 2015 01:59 Damdred wrote: Cleaning day has kept me busy so far but I'm here. Tge lynch makes me happy today I think, nothing he has done has screamed town to me and him not being back defending himself+leaving information behind is telling I think for a d1 lynch. I know someone asked me about my meta read on rayn, its kinda hard to explain and its about how he approaches the game and interacts with people. And he's not being an asshole a lovable asshole but still. Either way he's probably the towniest person in the game. So Damdred is also looking pretty off to me given what I've seen of his as town before. Mostly just an activity thing though after reading his filter. I just recall him being more interested and involved as town but he's kinda just been in and out like the above post implies. On July 24 2015 11:12 Damdred wrote: I'm not sure how I am not taking stances, most early reads be they gut/tone are extremely vague and frustrating for people at times. I think the general thought that I haven't taken a stance is incorrect. At least three stances have been taken. 1) Ruxxor is toen 2) Disinformation is town 3) barakas is a scum lean because of his post that says almost nothing definite. 4) vague feelings about breshke that I'll wait to expand on. Besides that ruxxor is a tone read in his postings I can just believe. He usually gives his rsoultin/oprah impersonation when he's scum he hasn't caught on to that yet though. On July 25 2015 06:20 Damdred wrote: Barakas is ny #1 lynch. TT, Breske are on the next level also here is sulfur Rels is also someone I'm really curious scum leaning on. Really it's really to many people and I need to refine my list a bit. These more or less sum up where Damdred is right now I think? Please correct me if not Damdred... Actually this looks pretty decent to me, I had similar reads at this point in the game and I was just doing my tarot stuff at that point. So Damdred... Who, after Bara, do you think is most likely scum? | ||
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On July 26 2015 03:28 raynpelikoneet wrote: You obviously aren't thinking much are you? Also I have posted more content and anyone else in this game so you are just straight out lying. Posted more, yes I'm questioning the real content of your posts How am I lying? Also can you explain what you meant by this earlier? When was I defending someone? On July 25 2015 05:32 raynpelikoneet wrote: no sorry, he is calling someone mafia for the things someone he is sorta defending did. Note: It took me wayyy longer than it should have to dig that post out of your filter because of all the one liner spam | ||
Tictock
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My reads have been pretty clear all game even if it doesn't look like it, pretty much everyone I gave a card to when I first hopped in was a scum read or lean at that point I stated some of my reasons/concerns in my opening posts, and those have been some of the bigger things I've been reading people scum for. There is danger of in-fighting of loosing focus on the actual matters at hand. Be wary of those showing little focus, causing disruption, or trying to start arguments. Bara hasn't done much that really seems scummy to me, so that's why I've been kinda flaky about his lynch. I've stated this a few time I think. Anything else for me while I'm around? | ||
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Both I've discussed, but to elaborate on Sulf. The list post feels really odd to me and if I were to accept it and merge with my own reads would leave only one scum team of Bara/ Moosy/ Noc. While that is a totally possible team I just can't agree with things being that simple so early. Also I have a really hard time understanding why n00b, Damdred, Flex, Dis, and Bre all ended up where they are on those reads. The post about Bara really was weird too and really only makes sense as trying to show he thinks Bara is scummy for his own reasons. Like even if Bara is scum here this looks like a lame attempt to hop on that wagon without just sheeping. | ||
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I am? I made a push on Moosy and have been discussing Sul a lot. Also trying to figure out why rayn and you feel a bit off to me. | ||
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On July 26 2015 04:19 Damdred wrote: Its just a few hours till lynch though and instead of pushing your prefered lynch you say you don't like the lynch and you are instead putting attention on myself and rayn. It is counter productive at best with the time left if you are so against the lynch We started talking about me being flaky on the Bara lynch remember? You and rayn might be onto something with him, and I'm certainty not going to defend him when he is not around himself. His lynch could actually be really good, and at this point is probably going to happen. I'm not as convinced that he is scum and have been trying to reconcile a few things. Both Moosy and Sulf seem pretty scummy to me as I've been talking about since I got home from work last night. There's a pretty solid amount of afk players atm which is making it harder to push another wagon. | ||
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On July 26 2015 04:28 Damdred wrote: Come on, you don't do everything your scum read asks you to do. You can't prove to them that they are scum. If you are on the fence about someone and have concerns that's one thing but his scum read looks more like an actual case than trying to figure out if someone is scum It was the quick and dirty of why I dont like/trust rayn right now. I asked you about your read on him for a 2nd opinion, but I'm a tad suspect of you still damdred... I've been clearly trying to decide how strong my scum read on him is, that should not be hard to pick up on from my posts. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On July 26 2015 04:37 NocturneMage wrote: Can you explain what makes moosy worse than barakos? Just finished reading through the two I think the latter is worse as it stands. Fine I'll talk more about Bara... Everything people are calling Bara scum for is based on one post and his followup to that post. I didn't think the original reads post was all that bad, some of Bara's thoughts were similar to my own. So it's really just about his follow up to that post in my mind. Calling a reads post like that a reaction test is pretty meh, so I get where people are reading scum from that. However, Bara himself said he was looking to see if anyone from NSM X called him out for opening differently this game. To that extent he followed up his post splendidly, rayn has been pushing Bara for ignoring his vote, but honestly as far as it is evident from his posts Bara didn't even acknowledged the vote, so while it's a bit of a reach it's possible Bara didn't even see that vote. This post also doesn't seem like something scum would do in this situation, and I can't really reconcile that. On July 24 2015 23:06 Barakos wrote: I'll basically repeat, what Damdred and Rels already said, but since it will also answer Damdreds question: There are basically 3 things, that are suspicious about that post: 1) Fluff in the beginning 2) Writing a lot of stuff that doesn't lead to substandial accusations or graspable reads. You can read some scum-leans into some points, but I never really point the finger at someone. 3) It's totally out of line with my townplay from NSM X. I didn't do fluff there and my first post was basically a case on disformation. Rels pointed out all 3 and even found a 4th, where I contradict myself by saying I don't like you making your first post, which could be read as "this is my post for the day, cya" (which it obviously didn't mean, since you are here) and me saying I'll be lurking for a few hours. (A contradiction I honestly don't see, but I can see, how someone could find it ironic). Damdred pointed out 1, so there you go, Damdred... stronger townread for rels. Hope this answers both of your questions. Like he knows he's getting scum read here, so why go through the trouble of making this post? So yea, all that stuff plus the fact that rayn has been on my scum radar makes me reluctant to get onto the Bara wagon. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Like why walk through all the points that your getting scum read for because of one post? As I see it: Town motivation: Trying to answer questions and explain reads Scum motivation: defending one post that everyone is scum reading Which make more sense to motivate that post? | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
His entire filter is him being dodgy and not taking any stances. The only notable stuff I found is what I posted here On July 25 2015 18:31 Tictock wrote: Ok, so I'm reading Moosy's filter and this post just jumps out to me . This post is rather Ironic due to the way Moosy himself played D1 as town in the last NSM, interesting as well since Moosy's ploy worked in that game. I also find it very interesting that MD is focusing so heavily on RuXx both in this post and in most of his filter. At the time of this post I had begun posting my tarot stuff which was clearly more nonsensical than ruxx's poetry, yet MD ignores my nonsense and focuses entirely on ruxx. In fact most of MD's filter is just arguments with ruxx over silly points, and none of it ever really goes anywhere. This leads me to believe that MD is not really interested in people focusing on the game (as he would have mentioned my Tarot stuff) and is actually just trying to create some filter by fighting and calling a few minor points out. There was also the overly long and drawn out stuff between MD and Breshke where MD kept dodging some questions. To me it looked like MD was trying to stir up something but when he got called out had to scramble to justify it. I actually think MD is a pretty good lynch here today. So gunna leave my vote on him and take another look at things nearer EoD. ##Vote: MoosyDoosy | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On July 26 2015 05:07 Damdred wrote: Ok so lets say for a minute that the post is towny by logic (which I'm not saying) the next logical step is to have reads at some point in the day with substantiated reasoning behind it. One problem I had with this post was that the reads still aren't substantiated beyond a copy paste of the allegations against him. With a slight twist on why those people are town who point out the problems. The second is he automatically accepts both of us as town for thinking he looks scummy which doesn't make a ton of sense to me. If someone starts a wagon/joims a wagon one of my first thoughts is is scum looking for an easy mislynch which he doesn't do. if bara flips scum rels is town no matter what to me obviously The bolded is a fairly decent point. I'm tempted to leave my vote on MD though to have a little 2nd wagon info going if nothing else. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Ok sweet , i was wrong. I can def live with that whenit means we caught mafia. Means I was pretty off track with my rayn and damdred reads, which I was kinda already questioning near EoD. @ rayn I know you said the same thing earlier and. I get that your prob going to be scum reading me for most of the game now, just don't jump to conclusions yea? As for potential scum bussing their partner. Bre, sulf, and Rels look to be the most likely bussers. Very slim chance that teammates bussed Bara early for towncred if he decided to just give up, but thats a world we shouldn't worry about untill much later in the game. More than likely with some decent blue actions this game will be able to sort itself out. Shame we only got the goon. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On July 26 2015 09:26 Tictock wrote: As for potential scum bussing their partner. Bre, sulf, and Rels look to be the most likely bussers. This was posted based solely on their places in the votecount. Sorry if that's a disappointment to ya n00b. The rest of you are probably right about Rels. I was at work at the time and that was the easiest thing I had access too. I'll do a little work looking at the timing of their votes and reasons for voting, see if there is anything interesting there. Oh, I should add n00b to that list, Sul's little mini case on him isn't half bad. @ Damdred Why do you think Mage is mafia? I found his posts near EoD to be pretty good. Also wondering what your read on Breshke is... | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Oh, I should add n00b to that list, Sul's little mini case on him isn't half bad. Just to clarify, not half bad because it's a ballsy push on someone who has largely been town read. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Since Bara abandoned the thread very early and was also under suspicion rather early I think it is highly likely that his teammates bussed him, and possibly bussed him early. It largely depends on how Bara actually exited the game, which is impossible for town to know. However if Bara gave up shortly after making his last post in the game he might very well have told his team to buss him for the towncred. If Bara tried to plan with his team how they might get pressure off him and elsewhere, or if Bara left without talking to his team, then scum would have bussed him much later. Either way I think it is very likely that at least one of the remaining scumteam was bussing Bara, possibly both. It does seem less likely that scum lets their votes afk when they could easily grab some towncred for lynching their buddy. Not enough to clear MD or Flex though. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On July 26 2015 14:20 ruXxar wrote: You take a wifom premise of "we don't know how Barakis exited the game" ( and who says he even exited the game?) and you turn it into "it's highly likely he got bussed early by his team mates." I think this is a straw man argument at best tbh. He stopped posting and he got lynched. He's exited the game. At some point his scum mates had to decide what to do in regards to him being scumread and voted on. Do they try and push a new lynch or do they bus Bara for town cred? You are also mis-interpreting my conclusions though you are probably right that there is a lot of WIFOM there. I was concluding that we should not assume scum will always choose to bus a teammate as a last resort. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
raynpelikoneet - a bit weird kus of his Vote post being drop-in and the read evolving based on it... probably town due to the solid push... tinfoil hat says keep eyes on him. + Show Spoiler + Dropped into the game with his Vote and a bunch of town reads. On July 24 2015 16:19 raynpelikoneet wrote: Damdred town. Noobking town. Ruxxar town. Moosy town. Dis-something guy town. Barakos mafia. ##vote Barakos Posts 2 questions towards Bara, which seemed like leading questions to me kinda like Bara being scum was a fordrawn conclusion. On July 24 2015 18:53 raynpelikoneet wrote: So Barakos claims he is scummy. Barakos why would you make intentionally scummy posts as town? On July 24 2015 22:35 raynpelikoneet wrote: Barakos i would like you to elaborate onto your read on Barakos. Why is the post you have been called out for scummy? Begins to push Bara as scum pretty hard after these posts On July 25 2015 03:13 raynpelikoneet wrote: Do you guys think Barakos is really reaction testing people when he specifically points a finger on me, when my reaction is to vote for him he has nothing to say about it? On July 25 2015 03:20 raynpelikoneet wrote: Why is that? He is clearly lying since he should be interested in what i said about him: - He kinda called me mafia as a part of his "reaction test" - He literally should expect a reaction (that results in a read or questions) from me - Three people called him mafia, me, you and Damdred - He gives a TOWNREAD on you two (yeah like if he is town why the fuck would you and Damdred be TOWN for calling out scummy stuff that a townie did? like if i was mafia i would totally jump on that - there is no reason to give you a townread for it in the first place) yet he has NOTHING to say about me, who HE called out in the first place. yeah that dude is scum. On July 25 2015 03:49 raynpelikoneet wrote: Like there are three things, from strongest to weakest, why he is mafia: 1) I am certain, if that was a reaction test, he would have had a reaction to my reaction. Instead he has a reaction to you and Damdred's responds. 2) There is no reason he should townread anyone for scumreading him for doing scummy stuff. rofl, that's like a mafia heaven, you can make a LEGITMATE CASE ON A TOWNIE (assume you are mafia here - you see a townie pull off a fucking scummy post, why wouldn't you call them out for it?). People who do reaction tests do not think like this. 3) His read on disinformation The push was good, but dropping into the game with the vote on Bara combined with the buildup in his read makes this look weird to me. It's WIFOM as hell, but I could totally see this as a bus. disformation - spewed town by Bara. Should have already been largely townread. + Show Spoiler + responded to the post that got Bara caught with general fluff and agreeance early read following that: barakos: hmmm... lets call it null for now. Want to see more from him. Seemed genuinely confused and interested in Bara's read on him + Show Spoiler + On July 25 2015 03:10 disformation wrote: Okay, reformating time, hope this is a bit clearer now: Okay, pointing out this inconsistency is fair enough. ![]() But I am quite confused as to why he gave me such a hard scumread for that... maybe to make sure I respond to this? Maybe he wanted to divert attention away from him, I think a few people called him scum just a page or two earlier? Anyway not a huge fan. Okay, why did I point out stuff with ruxXar and Damdred? Because I was sorta involved with them in two games each. I only "know" barakos from one game (NSM X). Why did I not mention a lot of the other players I "know"? Because I have less information on them imo. For example I was in only one game with barakos. What do I remember barakos for from that game?
And that's it... I think barakos and me had not much interaction/conversation in NSM X. So I have trouble remembering him. Don't remember much of Rels either, since he was shot super early. Remember having a hard town read on Rels, that is it. I remember a lot of the people I had interactions with or that were alive very long (boxerfred/sicklucker/27ninjabunnies/ticktock) and I remember Sulfurus, because I had a super wrong scum read on him. I remember Breshke because I was about to post a mad case on him but he claimed cop. Then I looked at my case and realized all the things that bugged me made a lot of sense if he was cop. Since I remember so little of barakos maybe I should follow Rels question: And read Barakos filter from NSM X again. xD eventually votes on Bara after much consideration + Show Spoiler + On July 25 2015 04:06 disformation wrote: Hmm. + Show Spoiler + On July 24 2015 09:08 Barakos wrote: Yeah... weather here in germany sucks... I've been feeling like shit the whole day... And then I come to reread and ruxxars style just gives me more headaches. -.- Dunno, what to make of it atm, last time someone used poetry in a game it confused the hell out of me and 2 of the 3 reads I got from it were utter bullshit, so for now, I'll not jump to any conclusions about ruxxar, based on that style, but would really appreciate it, if this changes sometime soon... Kinda strongly dislike rayn for coming in and making an alibi-post, that kinda reads like he won't be here for the rest of the dayphase... let's just hope, that's not the case and there will be more posts from him. Nocturne coming in and asking lots of questions seems kinda active. But a lot of his posts/ questions are targetet at other peoples opinion about the alignment of person x/y/z, without actually giving his own thoughts... Disformation - several posts... mostly about ruxxars other games and the difference in tone, also the only one, who openly likes ruxxars style... What I don't like, is that he defends the "bullshitting" in the start of the game. Granted, it's hard to start a conversation early on and you kind of have to do something, to get the thread going, (and you kinda have to give ruxxar credit for this - he created something, people can talk about) but encouraging him to keep this up the whole game seems kinda off to me. Noobking - totally top town for being able to count, how many people have posted, just to correct disformation! Says he dislikes ruxXar's style this game, but won't judge based on this style. But dislikes me for liking ruxXar's style? Super town read on n00bKing for something easy to point out. Buddying? Rels calls him out on some scummy things. rayn puts his vote on him. barakos is like "Haha reaction test". Calls Rels town and picks me as scum. Hm... actually I think he is misrepresenting me. I never said I would be looking for meta hints in general. I said I would be using some games I was shadowing ppl in to look for meta hints on just ruxXar and Damdred. Never mentioned any other games or meta hints in general. He also calls out my waffling in NSM X. Maybe he sees me as an easy misslynch? Or as an easy distraction? His conclusion is that I am scum. Seems even like a pretty strong read. But he doesn't vote for me? Waiting to see if he can get this wagon going? Then he picks out some stuff from NocturneMage ( http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/490503-newbie-student-mafia-xiii?page=13#259 ), who as a first timer could be an easy target as well, but doesn't even reach a conclusion. He likes the suspicion? Like is NocturneMage scum or not? Yeah... overall I get the impression of scum testing the waters and/or trying to get rid of unwanted attention. ##vote Barakos Breshke - kinda a weak sheep vote. Possible bus, Bre is being too lurky and uninvolved this game for me to townread him. + Show Spoiler + questions Bara about his comment about rayn's first post (no response) Then hops on the wagon On July 25 2015 09:49 Breshke wrote: ##Vote Barakos Yeah i dont believe that post was a reaction test he was just trying to get out of a bad situation. Call me stupid but i didn't even think the original post was that bad. Eh, seems like an ok sheep of the wagon timing makes sense as it was nearing 12 hours to EoD. Minor town points since I agreed with his statement about the "original post" Sulfurus - Very likely scum bussing, very weak and weird rehash read on Bara. PoE/Auto stuff. MIA 3/4 of the Day. + Show Spoiler + On July 25 2015 07:52 Sulfurus wrote: I believe I have 'auto' now since in a 13 player game we get 6 lynches (not counting a mafa nk + vigi) and I found at least 7 town including myself. Here are the towns in order of approximate townyness Towns
And ofcourse lynches in order of aproximate scumyness Lynches
I apologize to disformation for putting your name on the list; I think your probably town but I needed a sixth name. On July 25 2015 14:02 Sulfurus wrote: I'll start with my read on Barakos since it was the easiest to figure out, just look at this post. At first I was very excited to see this since it has the same 'shape' as his posts from NSMX where he had nothing but good logic. However the actual content of the post has none of the strong conclusions that I associate with Barakos. It looks like it was written so people couldn't say he hasn't given reads instead of trying to catch mafia. Also please don't listen to his excuse about how that post was a 'trap' for NSMX people. He knows he messed up and he's trying to cover up. Rels - totes town, multiple posts interacting with Bara that feel genuine, read evolves naturally. + Show Spoiler + On July 24 2015 18:00 Rels wrote: Like some other people in the thread, I also found Barakos super weird. Especially since like some guys also playing, I played my first game with him in Newbie X, and in that game he was very logical and straightforward in his posts. Fluff, very different from his first post in Newbie X where he was already analyzing disfo's filter. And this post is so unlike him I feel: This post is not how I remember Barakos playing. It's just supposition without conclusions. And this part is super ironic: LOL On July 24 2015 21:13 Rels wrote: Alright I think this discussion ends here. I think you're likely to be scum for your first two posts. You claim that it was a reaction test and you will now play like a townie; but outside of commenting my case, you didn't do anything outside of defending yourself today. So for now my read of you is mafia lean, and no additionnal explanation on past posts will change that. I'll re-evaluate you at EOD. BTW: Doesn't work that way. =p n00bKing - also totes town. Actually pretty scary how similar n00bs posts mimic my own thinking. + Show Spoiler + On July 25 2015 05:31 n00bKing wrote: More on the topic of Barakos: It is definitely possible that Barakos is scum. If he's scum, then I want you (rayn) to be successful in this attempt to get him lynched. But for you to get him lynched, your reasoning has to be sound, or Barakos can CORRECTLY point out the flaws in your arguments. So you need to be fair here, and try to get him lynched for things that ACTUALLY happened, and not just say whatever you think makes him look the worst. He didn't call you mafia in his reaction test. He said he disliked you for making an alibi post. And when someone quickly asked him point-blank about whether he meant that he just disliked the post in general, or if he thought the post was mafia-indicative, he said that he only disliked the post in general. Even so, I agree with you that he should expect a reaction from you. That doesn't mean that he's intending to gauge your reaction though. Your inclusion in the post could just be so that he can get reactions from other players, regarding what he's said about you. If they haven't played with you before, that's not an obstacle. They can still have an impression of what the post would mean from most players, even if they aren't sure of what it would mean from you specifically. If he was intending to gauge your reaction, it is possible that he is still doing so. This is a simple and straightforward explanation for why he would not have reacted to your reaction yet, and I don't get why you've overlooked it. As for why he would townread people for jumping all over his post (when you think it's something Mafia would definitely do) I can see a simple explanation for that too. Mafia might be wary of a trap/ruse. Town can just see a scummy post and say it's a scummy post. That's their job, so if they're just doing their job, they won't worry about the consequences. Mafia have a different job, and they have to balance "calling out a Town player for sounding scummy" (so that they can achieve mislynches) against the knowledge that if they can get the player lynched, they WILL flip Town. That's why scum players like to sheep arguments against Townies more than they like to MAKE arguments against Townies. It reduces accountability. So when Barakos (if he's Town) sees someone recklessly attack his post, he townreads them. There is a problem, though, with Barakos' explanation that he was only reaction-testing people he played with in Newbie X. Because although that would explain why he had nothing to say about you (rayn) it doesn't explain why he gave the townread to Damdred. Damdred was NOT in Newbie X. So if Barakos can use the reaction test to form an opinion on Damdred, he should be able to use it to form an opinion on you. I would want to see him try to explain this inconsistency. On July 25 2015 06:31 n00bKing wrote: Can't really say, I guess. Sulfurus seems to me like a good place for votes to go because: He plays little as Town, but barely plays at ALL as Scum, and that's exactly what we've seen here. In one game where he was Scum, he did almost nothing at the beginning of the game but attack me (specifically) without grounds, saying that he was the cop and had a redcheck on me. Here in this game he has done nothing but say that he thinks he's had an easy time differentiating my scum game and town game, when he's never even seen my scum game. It would be really odd to me for him to go down this road again, when it has already gotten him killed in another game. I don't know, how often do newbie scum players repeat the same mistakes that have gotten them lynched before? Barakos seems to me like a good place for votes to go because: Even though some of the arguments used against him look leaky to me, his attempts to combat them have been pretty feeble. I would expect Town Barakos to do a better job than this of defending himself. And to ALSO do a better job than this of pushing someone that would be a better lynch target than he is. Who does Barakos want to lynch today? I'm not sure I could even tell you without going and reading his filter again. Rels seems to me like a good place for votes to go because: His posts are actively scummy, and he has already been forced to retcon his story on two separate issues. I haven't seen Rels play as scum yet, so maybe he's just no good at it. If he's scum in this game, his teammates are probably not too happy with him in the QT right now. On July 26 2015 05:04 n00bKing wrote: So yeah. All that stuff about him giving analysis on a better lynch target, and doing a better job of defending himself, obviously did not happen. One of the other things I was scumleaning him for (which I don't remember reading from anyone else, though I might have skimmed some of the longer cases on him, since I was already scumleaning him myself, and was waiting to see if he would come back and perform better to change my mind) was the appeal to emotion in that same post (the post that everyone hates). Appeal to emotion is a mafia tactic. He complains about the poor weather and feeling bad, and the headaches. So that he'll be a sympathetic figure in our subconscious, and not someone we want to kick out of the game right away before he can have any fun. I've seen scum players do this kind of thing in a few of the games I've been in (outside TL) and we also JUST saw JonnyLaw do it as scum in the Lost But Not Forgotten game. Any true-to-life excuse that they can use to get sympathy (without needing to lie about it) is a tough opportunity to pass up. My other arguments against Barakos feel like a re-hash, so I'll stop after just adding that one point. Since no one seems to want to help me pressure Rels... ##Unvote ##Vote: Barakos NocturneMage - looks good, makes the effort to look into MD and Sul before voting near EoD, talks to me and other people to further his own reads. Really looks like he considered his options and placed his vote as best he could. If this guy is scum he gets an A+ for that perfomance, but of course he's far more likely to be town. + Show Spoiler + On July 26 2015 04:25 NocturneMage wrote: I'm back. I am looking through Barakos/Moosy since they are the more debated at the moment. Barakos's first post - the first post that everyone's sort of gone through, besides it not really having conclusions, it has a "I'm going to wait and see" feel which is scummy. There isn't that search for information that I saw with other posts. I saw Rayn's first post too but I didn't think it was a big deal since it was the very first post and we can always read him later. Also the reaction test thing makes no sense to me just reading it he holds the same standards for breshke and disformation passing that test when Breshke died more prematurely than disformation. And in reading elsewhere, I would think a reaction test would be something like a fakeclaim/blue claim like happened in that game or a sharp read against what the thread is thinking, something that would actually provoke a reaction and shows alignment. Plus he also doesn't really draw alignment conclusions from that test either. I don't have a problem with voting Barakos, but let me wrap up looking at moosy and see whether he really is worse than Barakos. On July 26 2015 04:35 NocturneMage wrote: On Moosy I am looking at some of these posts and I want to say these posts that he's going on about ruXxar could come from either alignment. This quotes I could see coming from either alignment. If ruXxar and moosy were both scum, it would be him giving an opening to try and dig himself out. If moosy was town and regardless of the alignment of ruxxar it would be him trying to search for more information. However when I see ruxxar's response to moosy "the more you talk the more convinced you are mafia", I also don't see scum teammates trying to push each other on the first day of play, so I'm going to say moosy is probably a town lean. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/490503-newbie-student-mafia-xiii?page=25#497 I also don't understand the case against moosy. I think reading somewhere Breshke complained about some contradiction? Did it sound deliberate? Unless I missed a quote somewhere from Moosy, why can't someone as town complain about how you are playing the game without determining (or being able to determine your alignment) and then use that same complaint to try and get information out of you? Moosy could very well be mafia but I don't think that approach that ruxxar described would be a great reason. Now later on, the one thing I don't like about moosy is that he gets back into thread when ruxxar is past his poetry phrase and he is only criticizing him for just hopping on a wagon, and from this post http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/490503-newbie-student-mafia-xiii?page=32#624 is still more or less calling his play bad, so I'm not clear where he draws the line between bad play and mafia play for ruxxar. Hopping on a wagon for no reason is scummy. Then in the next post, he's giving advice, as scum though it goes back to my first post, he probably wouldn't be giving him advice if he was scum, instead looking to take advantage since that would serve a mafia interest. I'm thinking null or a very slight townlean based on the advice but I do want to clarify something. Moosy if you return to the thread, can you explain why you are implying this is bad and why this wouldn't make him mafia? Metaread? You keep calling him a shitty player but where are you drawing the line between ruxxar the bad player and ruxxar the mafia player. On July 26 2015 04:37 NocturneMage wrote: On July 26 2015 04:30 Tictock wrote: We started talking about me being flaky on the Bara lynch remember? You and rayn might be onto something with him, and I'm certainty not going to defend him when he is not around himself. His lynch could actually be really good, and at this point is probably going to happen. I'm not as convinced that he is scum and have been trying to reconcile a few things. Both Moosy and Sulf seem pretty scummy to me as I've been talking about since I got home from work last night. There's a pretty solid amount of afk players atm which is making it harder to push another wagon. Can you explain what makes moosy worse than barakos? Just finished reading through the two I think the latter is worse as it stands. On July 26 2015 05:02 NocturneMage wrote: On July 26 2015 04:11 Tictock wrote: I'm still a bit more interested in lynching Moosy or Sulf over Bara. Both I've discussed, but to elaborate on Sulf. The list post feels really odd to me and if I were to accept it and merge with my own reads would leave only one scum team of Bara/ Moosy/ Noc. While that is a totally possible team I just can't agree with things being that simple so early. Also I have a really hard time understanding why n00b, Damdred, Flex, Dis, and Bre all ended up where they are on those reads. The post about Bara really was weird too and really only makes sense as trying to show he thinks Bara is scummy for his own reasons. Like even if Bara is scum here this looks like a lame attempt to hop on that wagon without just sheeping. My take on Sulfurus To me, he's calling Flexes lock clear town which is just weird and I think someone else also mentinoed why he was ranked above disinformation. The bigger issue is where he gets that when he's ranked two other players (ruxxar and rels) below that when those two have posted a large amount and from what I tell of the filter he doesn't have explanations either way for that. He ranks rayn and Damdred who have posted a lot more too so I am also not clear on where he thinks Rels is less town (according to what he's posted) for example. And disformation. On July 25 2015 08:46 Sulfurus wrote: The mind-meld is between me and rayn FailFish Not to mention I don't know what a mind meld is either...but that's probably irrelevant. Do you Tictock think your case on Sulfurus makes him lynchable over Barakos? Or even any of the points I or others raised? [B]On July 26 2015 05:20 NocturneMage wrote: From my previous post - ##vote Barakos Yes Tictock, I know that's why I want to know from moosy when he got back in thread and he didn't really do anything different from ruXxar's poetry phase, where he draws the line between a bad ruxxar and mafia ruxxar. To be fair, moosy I believe did say he did his mafia hunting by getting the townies first and then working from there, so from that standpoint, he seems to be townreading Rels (the tunnel comment) and ruXxar from an earlier comment. But then again, that's it and it doesn't explain why he keeps bringing up the "shit" play from him. End of his filter he's setting himself up to follow up on reads on people so he has some time to do that. If he doesn't do that, though I'd be much more inclined to scumread him. So I'm finding that of the people who were on the Bara wagon it is Bre and Sulf who are likely scum bussing their partner. MD and Flex are also in a bit of an odd place for having more or less wasted D1. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Damdred - Scum reads Bara early and pushes for more info that seems to evolve into the vote. Bit off with the inattentiveness (forgetting to vote, mispelling Barakos) but otherwise looks pretty towny. + Show Spoiler + On July 24 2015 11:12 Damdred wrote: I'm not sure how I am not taking stances, most early reads be they gut/tone are extremely vague and frustrating for people at times. I think the general thought that I haven't taken a stance is incorrect. At least three stances have been taken. 1) Ruxxor is toen 2) Disinformation is town 3) barakas is a scum lean because of his post that says almost nothing definite. 4) vague feelings about breshke that I'll wait to expand on. Besides that ruxxor is a tone read in his postings I can just believe. He usually gives his rsoultin/oprah impersonation when he's scum he hasn't caught on to that yet though. On July 24 2015 21:43 Damdred wrote: Barajas why do you give rels a strong town read for pointing out things I already did and you give me a much weaker tr? There seems to be a small gap between Bara being a scumlean to Damdred's vote (and #1 lynch), but it makes sense given other factors. Still worth noting... On July 25 2015 05:14 Damdred wrote: ##vote barakas I forgot to do this earlier. However I'm really sure that rayn is town here, I love him and he loves me and we will kill mafia | ||
Tictock
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On July 26 2015 16:47 raynpelikoneet wrote: If you are a cop i suggest you check Tictock or n00bKing. If you are a vigilante 100% shoot Flexes. He is mafia. I get why you want to check me, but why n00b? | ||
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On July 26 2015 18:21 raynpelikoneet wrote: You can also ask TicTock why he does nothing to push his scumread who is pushing Barakos. Like the latter part of the day he talks way more about me than he talks about Moosy, who is his preferred lynch. He has me as scumread so again (as he did with Rels/NocturneMage early on in the game), he is indirectly defending Barakos - as i said - by not attacking my argument on him (which apparently was even a good one as he said to Damdred on D1) but instead attacking me. As i have pointed out this is really flimsy at best. Everyone knows that, (1) if there is a bad case you cut out the bullshit by telling why the case is bad as you do not want to lynch people based on bad cases as the lynch will most likely hit town, and (2) THEN you push your own case you think is better. In this case, however, Tictock says nothing about the case being bad. If the case is not bad, then it is actually likely the person the case is on, is mafia, and the person making the case is town. It is basic logic. He does not do that. Instead he attacks my credibility by calling me mafia (for reasons that never make anyone mafia). Whatever you say this actually is indirectly defending Barakos, because you cannot possibly think i am mafia for doing what i did on D1 in case Barakos is mafia. Therefore he must think Barakos is town, and then he logically should... well see the couple of paragraphs above. Furthermore he STILL thinks there is a chance i am mafia, which is fucking awful at it's best. Truth to be told based on D1 i am the towniest person in the game, period. PERIOD. If i am alive in LYLO please feel free to call me mafia because THEN it can make sense. Now it doesn't. Noone who is town can actually think i am mafia based on D1. I am the person who has made the most contributive posts in this game. My thought process has been pretty clear all game long. Damdred, who knows me best in this game, thinks i am town. Somehow TicTock twists this into me being mafia. First of all if he cannot read and cannot understand why i say the stuff i do then it's his fault, because my filter is in fact VERY FUCKING CLEAR of what i am pushing and why i say the stuff i do. It never makes me mafia, claiming so is bullshit. I have posted the most in this game, it never makes me mafia, claiming so is bullshit. He claims i can be scum for "used a couple of questions with fordrawn conclusions while pushing Bara". Well yeah, i did that, specifically when i asked him why his scummy post is scummy. HE SAID HIS POST IS SCUMMY HIMSELF!!!! How am i NOT supposed to ask a question with "fordrawn conclusions"?!?!?!?! wow, such train of thought. And this; "2 scum reads (Noc & Bara) were largely parroting other peoples reads". I have NEVER parroted other people in this game regarding Barakos/NM. The conclusion is full-retared. Feel free to point out where my case on Barakos is parroting other people. Feel free to point out where me scumreading NM early on for "producing reads that always have an out" is parroting other people." If you cannot do that, exactly 100% of your case on D1 is bullshit and you should be lynched for a bullshit case which you cannot think makes anyone mafia. I said you might be mafia kus of some stuff I was seeing. Part of that was because you wanted to call me scum for the tarot stuff. Later looked into that stuff and it wasn't as scummy as I'd originally thought, realized there wasn't a real case. So I posted that list of stuff I didn't like about your filter was never a case on why you were scum. Besides this OMGUS and saying that I was being useless with the tarot stuff I'm not sure where you are getting your scum read on me and your gunna need more than that to push me for a lynch. You seem to be ignoring my more recent posts in the last 2 pages here as well which is mildly ironic. Pretty sure I said I was wrong and your likely town. Trust me though, I'll understand if you stay full tunneled on me till post-game or I flip. Been there. | ||
Tictock
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On July 26 2015 18:49 raynpelikoneet wrote: I never said you are scum for your Tarot shit Tictock. Really? Kus you started to say I was scum well before I stopped with the tarot. Fine you technically just told me to stop and give clear reads, THEN began to say I was likely scum. Also there was something about you saying I was defending someone? Which didn't make much sense... Only person I sorta defended was Bara, which would have been a very stupid thing for me to do if I was scum, especially since it was a pretty half-hearted defense. | ||
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On July 26 2015 18:54 raynpelikoneet wrote: TicTock you still need to explain where i have parroted other's reads. Shouldn't be hard for you as you called me mafia for it. Parroted might have been a bad choice of words, but your push on Bara and Mage were both made after others had laid the ground work. Bara turned out to be a great push, Mage not so much. And yes, I put out a tin foil hat theory which probably means nothing... though it might mean a lot if this game gets near LyLo. Other than that silly piece of WIFOM your clearly town here. Ehh I see your still posting assuming I didn't actually read your filter and I'm getting the feeling this is going nowhere. If you want to talk about something other than me thinking you might be scum D1 I'll be around. | ||
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On July 26 2015 19:05 raynpelikoneet wrote: Also no, you attacked Rels based on his read on NocturneMage instead of commenting on the read itself. The same thing you did with me and Barakos. Apparently you even thought, at that point, that NM is mafia, so it makes very little sense to me, and that was the original reason i think you are mafia. Not your Tarot thing. I said it was counter-productive at best. If by attacking rels, you mean I said his read on NM looked forced... ok. I actually never said NM is mafia. I gave him and Flex a card for being newbies and having never played with them I had no real read on them. So basically you were trying to read too much into what I was doing rather than let me play it out myself. Granted I never did fully break down what I was doing, but that's because most of it was a bust since it was largely ignored. | ||
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On July 26 2015 19:18 raynpelikoneet wrote: So are you scum by your own definition because you pushed Moosy only after ruxxar did so? Sure now lynch me so you can see how fruitless this conversation has become. | ||
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On July 26 2015 19:28 raynpelikoneet wrote: Oh you didn't? Then why did you say all the people you mentioned here is more or less scummy later on? | ||
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First 4 were my scummiest reads at the time. NM and Flex had hardly posted anything at the time so I was hoping to get more from them. Like whats so hard to understand? I wanted to get reactions from those people to see if it would help me develop reads. n00b flat out refusing was kinda null... RuXx Semi playing into gave me a town lean on him. Dis both suggesting the Hanged Man and asking for a card kinda just made me smile ![]() You attacking me for it was a scum lean. Plus I really don't like how you entered the game, but I've never really read any of your games. You might remember me asking Damdred about you. | ||
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Seems pretty likely that we have Doc/Cop setup going, slim chance of a Vigi who held their shot (which you shouldn't do if your a vigi). If there was a vet Mafia should have been roleblocking their NK (they know what setup we are in) to prevent the loss of their KP. So pretty much confirms that we have a medic. Should not need to state this, but blues should continue to remain hidden. And ruxx, you need to stop trying to point out people who you think might have a role. How have you not learned this by now? Welcome back Scott ^.^ | ||
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Most Likely scum: Moosy Sulf Bre Scott taking over for Flex leaves him at pretty null, will need to see what he does today. I want to relook at ruxx sometime today, he's all over the place ... for him though that's probably a town lean still. The whole Rels and n00b thing is a mess. Both of them are talking in circles a lot and not getting anywhere while only really managing to spam up the thread. Overall seems to boil down to a town vs town struggle where neither wants to back down (also I'm pretty sure the main point of contention was that rels used VT and Town interchangeably...) Pretty much sums up where I am atm | ||
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On July 27 2015 10:38 ruXxar wrote: Because n00bking is giving me all sorts of bad vibes and I'm trying to figure out why. Something about n00bking is rubbing me in the wrong spot, like an ominous premonition that something is off. I don't want to slander him without bringing evidence to the table so I'll put together my specific thoughts tomorrow. Like I don't even want to say that it's directly scummy, it's just a really weird feeling I get from his play. Also cop should out if he has a red check. Eh, I suppose a cop with a redcheck could out, but I know I wouldn't. Shouldn't have to out just to push someone you know is mafia. I'll be honest... I'm not sure if I care to dig through n00bs filter at this point to check if there is enough to break my townread on him. I've already seen all the back and forth between him and Rels and not much of it looked like it was worth following too closely. | ||
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On July 27 2015 10:49 ruXxar wrote: Tictock can you give an ordered list of your town reads from most towns and least towny. Also who you think was the attempted NK / medic save. This is very important to me. Why does any of that matter? Especially asking for WIFOM about the NK... Everyone I didn't call scum or null is town for me. Don't see a point in ranking them. | ||
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Care to explain this read evolution? On July 27 2015 02:27 MoosyDoosy wrote: Breshke is town lean. Although he doesn’t post his thought process which is frustrating at times, he does have a solid line of reasoning when he explains it, although it would be better if he posted it more often. My pressure on him only resulted in your standard townie squabble as well which was based off of a misunderstanding about his thought process. On July 27 2015 04:23 MoosyDoosy wrote: Breshke is a lot more quiet and afk than I would like although his interactions resemble those of a townie. Still a null read. On July 27 2015 04:54 MoosyDoosy wrote: I have never played a perfect game of Mafia before. And I’ve already given my thoughts. Mafia is definitely amongst Tictock/Breshke/NocturneMage/Flexes/Sulfurus unless I got fooled hard somewhere. I’m just waiting until night is over before re-reading filters from these people. | ||
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On July 27 2015 11:01 ruXxar wrote: Can you do it anyway to the best of your ability? I would really really appreciate it. Ordered town list and who you think the NK attempt was on please. Not discussing the NK. Town list something like: disinformation raynpelikoneet Damdred NocturneMage Rels n00bKing ruXxar | ||
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On July 27 2015 11:37 ruXxar wrote: Not surprised at all. Figured you were either medic saved or the veteran. To me you were the NK target 100%, which means you are on point.. Someone might say "but oh, mafia have a role blocker, why didn't they just role block rayn then shoot him?" I don't think mafia thinks like that. The chance that you hit the veteran the first night is so low that I think mafia takes that chance and just tries to block the cop instead. I'm gonna look through your filter again to see who might be wanting to kill you. I'm tempted to just write this off and say "God your bad" But I'm pretty sure you know better than this... | ||
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Ok. ##Vote: MoosyDoosy Was a simple question, why try and dodge it like that? | ||
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You really think scum, who know if there is a vet or not, would risk loosing their KP for the 1/10 chance that they can RB the cop? Especially when they are already down a person? Doesn't make sense at all. Also I'm pretty sure rayn was making a joke. | ||
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On July 27 2015 11:57 ruXxar wrote: Allow me to explain why mafia doesn't RB their NK: 1) mafia are in a shitty position. 2) the list of good cop checks is fairly small. 3) if mafia allow the cop free checks 2-3 nights in a row they're in a terrible spot. 4) mafia priority #1 is to avoid cop checks. They get 2 shots at this by splitting the NK and the RB. 5) if their NK or RB target is the cop then great! If their NK target is the veteran then too bad. But they have to take that risk to win at this point. Humm, ok I guess there is something to your thought process there. Still seems like a very high risk/low reward move to me for mafia. @rayn Was that an actual claim? | ||
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Ok I get it vet is a throwaway claim now if you already made use of your protection. You weren't getting lynched today anyways though so it doesn't actually help town. Any other claim is just opening up to being RB'd forever with only minor info to town. | ||
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On July 27 2015 12:30 raynpelikoneet wrote: Ohhh... maybe we have a doctor and i live for another night. ![]() Impossible. This game uses a variable open setup. When the game begins, one of the following setups will be chosen: A) 1 Town Cop, 1 Town Doctor, 8 Vanilla Townies, 1 Mafia Roleblocker, 1 Mafia Godfather, 1 Mafia Goon B) 1 Town Cop, 1 Town Veteran, 8 Vanilla Townies, 1 Mafia Roleblocker, 1 Mafia Godfather, 1 Mafia Goon C) 1 Town Vigilante, 1 Town Doctor, 8 Vanilla Townies, 1 Mafia Roleblocker, 1 Mafia Godfather, 1 Mafia Goon D) 1 Town Vigilante, 1 Town Veteran, 8 Vanilla Townies, 1 Mafia Roleblocker, 1 Mafia Godfather, 1 Mafia Goon | ||
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Much more useful for them to either use that shot or make more checks Claiming will just mean you get RB'd from here on in. | ||
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On July 27 2015 12:33 Sulfurus wrote: My reads are pretty much the same as I listed them here. Now that Barakos is dead Moosy is next up. ##Vote: MoosyDoosy Just FYI If Mossy is actually mafia like I think he is... then you all have my permission to lynch me when I come up on Sul's PoE list. Maybe scum!Sul puts Bara on that list to get the town cred. No way does scum!Sul bus both his teammates in the first 2 days. | ||
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On July 27 2015 13:01 raynpelikoneet wrote: Vigilante was roleblocked or is Scott. It's not a throwawqy claim BECAUSE MAFIA KNOWS THE SETUP. NOW TOWN ALSO KNOWS THE SETUP. Tempted to lynch tictack because he is an idiot. Of course they know the setup... which is why I find it so weird that they did not RB their NK to avoid loosing their KP. But w/e apparently that's what happened. You were never getting lynched today, and of course your going to be killed tonight. Thus your claim accomplishes nothing. | ||
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On July 27 2015 13:08 raynpelikoneet wrote: ##vote TickTack He is either mafia or terrible. His list is terrible. Thus: Mafia? Think your still tunneled. Fine, who's most likely my partner then? | ||
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On July 27 2015 13:09 MoosyDoosy wrote: As an off question, why are you trusting Sulfurus so much Tictock? When I flip town what are you going to do? I doubt that you'll actually just roll over and die as described in Sulf's list. Why should I trust you, your mafia remember? Like why can you not answer a damned question without trying your trick from last game? | ||
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On July 27 2015 13:22 n00bKing wrote: Jesus, Ticktock. If rayn is our vet there can't BE a Doc. You JUST posted the setup roles, in the post before this one. lol Upgrading Ticktock from Town to DumbTown (which is even bettter). Oh lol, I didn't see that. Typo, I meant to write Cop. Too many roll's being discussed and dyslexia kicked in. | ||
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He's not scum... pretty sure @ Rels I was like certain (and it still confuses me) that scum would RB their NK in a setup with a Vet, so a no kill only made sense to me as a medic save. On July 27 2015 11:17 raynpelikoneet wrote: I am a veteran. Not "the" veteran, "a" veteran. So I was thinking it was a weird "I'm a verteran (player)" joke Clearly my mistake was thinking rayn would ever say something non-serious.... | ||
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I'm pretty close to not reading the posts you two make at each other. | ||
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On July 27 2015 17:37 Rels wrote: So your likely mafia team is Sulfu + Flexes or NM I think ? Or at least keep it to this ^.^ Those walls of text between you two has been getting out of hand. | ||
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On July 27 2015 17:42 Rels wrote: You would be missing a textbook lesson on "how to make a ton a posts nobody reads and pretend to contribute" by the king himself. Legit made me laugh. Carry on | ||
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When you are done with each other, could you please explain to me why we shouldn't lynch Moosy today? | ||
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On July 27 2015 21:13 Rels wrote: Yesterday I was in his shoes. I wrote a big post saying how he was mafia for a tons of reasons, and when I reread it before posting I realize most of it was nonsense. I'm pretty happy I did not post it. I mean, read his last posts. He got progressively angry and started using majs. Mafia are usually calmer than that. I too don't understand this sentence, but I decided to ignore him for the day and let him and I get more calm. We'll continue this tomorrow. IMO you should do the same. Maybe I won't be like that if we didn't have other solid leads. But I feel Sulfurus and Flexes are very suspicious, and TT and MD are worth talking about. I'm always worth talking about... On July 27 2015 23:43 NocturneMage wrote: Looking at the Tictock/Moosy relationship and Tictock's filter from this standpoint. Is the Moosy scumread a meta read? The way Moosy is going about it is he's saying "I'm mafia" etc, and just seemingly (outside the townreads) making himself look dumb at points, which I assume is trolling, I read part of the last newbie and Moosy also seemed self destructive purposely in that game. Tictock, if Moosy is dodging questions like you are saying, how do you know it's not the same self-destructive stuff he did last game? How are you sure he's not doing it out of spite (which to me would be in line with the overall way he's acting)? I don't and that's the problem. I know he is capable of playing this way as town, but whats to prevent MD from using the same tactic as mafia to dodge questions and stuff? Posts like this are a perfect example of why MD looks so scummy to me. On July 27 2015 23:41 MoosyDoosy wrote: Let's not forget I was the first one to mention Sulfurus ever once the game started. But then again, that was just me hard busing because i'm Mafia. So never mind. Carry on. -The bolded is true, but but it doesn't mean jack all. Never even bothered to push Sulf at all D1, then randomly votes N1. So he only really gets credit for mentioning that Sulf was in the game and that he's rolled mafia before. On July 24 2015 10:23 MoosyDoosy wrote: /facepalm. I just realized that Sulfurus was in this game and that his first and only post was /in. I'm tempted to lynch him because it's my third game with him as well and he's rolled Mafia Godfather the last two times. On July 26 2015 22:43 MoosyDoosy wrote: ##Vote Sulfurus He's probably Mafia Godfather tbh. - Then we get back to more "I'm mafia" talk. True he did this as town before, but he's only using it this game to dodge questions. Last game he was much more clearly using this tactic to try and be lynchbait but here it's only coming up when questions are asked of him or people push on him. I see no reason to believe this is not scum!MD trying to abuse something he did as town last game. So I feel just fine keeping my vote on him. Also do note, he didn't bother to share those reads until Night phase, during Day phase he did basically nothing and never even bothered to vote. Like nothing I read from MD D1 suggested to me he was at all interested in solving the game. | ||
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I'm totally for him being a lynch target today. I've been saying pretty much all the same stuff as everyone making a case on him. For now I dont mind leaving my vote on MD (for reasons I stated in last post) even though Sulf is voting for him as well. Based on his Auto list MD was clearly Sulf's next target so him placing a vote on him is just following through what he said in that post and NAI. Having said that. @Sul Why don't you explain to us your reads in detail. Starting with why you think Moosy is the best lynch today. Also, at what point do you rethink your list? A D1 PoE list is very unlikely to be accurate. | ||
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Have fun in my filter if you want to make a case about me. | ||
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Sulf is actually looking less and less likely to be mafi here... His posting looks pretty similar to his town game in NSM X. While I still think it is likely that at least one mafia bussed Bara, I do agree with Damdred and rayn here that it is a smart to focus on the people not on the Bara wagon. I think ruxx is town, and I've already stated my opinions on Moosy. As for scott... Idk seems odd how he is just sheeping cases before he is done catching up with the game. I also would expect him to take more time trying to get a read on me. Scott has played with me more than anyone here and like Damdred he was in Holy Guardians where I managed to get Scott lynched in LyLo. I'd expect Scott to be able to read me better, or at least put some effort into trying to... Breshke is also lurking really hardcore this game, really making me think he is scum. I was masons with Bre and so I know he doesn't feel confident as scum (we talked about alot of stuff). | ||
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On July 28 2015 09:04 scott31337 wrote: Who are the last two scum then, Tictock? Right now i think last 2 scum are somewhere in this list: Moosy Scott Breshke It's possible Sulf is still mafia, but like I said I'm starting to believe he's town (also seems unlikely he's rolled Mafia this many games in a row, but that's not a real reason to think he's town) I've got some tin foil hat theories regarding ruxx and n00b but I'm not really entertaining those seriously today. | ||
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On July 28 2015 12:50 MoosyDoosy wrote: Now this is interesting. As I've explained, my reads on Breshke have been evolving due to his absence from a town lean to a null read. This might come in handy later on. As for scott, I'm honestly not surprised by his play because he hasn't really posted in any of the games that I've been in with him. So he's a null for me. It's interesting to see how people are reading Sulfurus but I'm a bit confused on this point. Why is it such a bad idea to lynch people that were on the Barakos wagon? If we look at the people who didn't, there's Tictock, ruXxar, me, and Flexes. I'm town, ruXxar's town, I think Tictock's town. This basically leaves us just scott. But as someone pointed out, rayn's claim as Veteran leaves us with a Vigi. Which means we either have a dumb Vigi who didn't shoot N1 or scott as Vigi which makes me reluctant to lynch him because of this fact. I just don't think that not lynching people on the Barakos wagon is a good idea. 2 Things First, we could have Vig or a Cop with a Vet claim. Second, who do you think we should lynch today Moosy? | ||
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Care to expand on this a little then instead It's interesting to see how people are reading Sulfurus but I'm a bit confused on this point. | ||
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Votes are fairly scattered which doesn't look so good. Moosy and Sulf are not looking great, but both are active and posting... also both look to be playing their town meta. Starting to think we should be lynching Scott or Breshke today. Want to look at some things first though. | ||
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I'm pretty sure on Scott, but I'm positive on Breshke now. ##Unvote ##Vote: Breshke Will post cases on both as I get em done, with their filters it shouldn't take very long. | ||
Tictock
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1) Super lurker Has almost the same filter as Sulf. About 1/3 of his posts were also direct interactions/responses with certain people (most notably Moosy and I) Completely absent D2 (thus far). 2) Not very active when active... Basically, he's pretty much done nothing this game. Hardly any reads, hardly any thoughts posted, no pushes. Gives up his own reads to sheep. Vote on Barakos, when Moosy and Ruxx were his top scum before. Dropped his scum read on Ruxx with no explanation. This post: On July 26 2015 19:49 Breshke wrote: I want to lynch flexes more than moosey now. Also i don't see why people assume that barakos scum mates would have known he was going to stop playing. If he was around to tell them he wouldnt be posting it is very likely he would have just posted in the thread instead. I also like noobking even more now for his post on we should be looking for the most scummy people not the people most likely to bus because the later is stupid. 3) Meta I feel like I know decently given how much we chatted in NSM X, but to be sure I went to look at some of his older games. + Show Spoiler [Breshke] + [M][N] [W] Newbie LVIII - Disney Princess Mafia Town Vanilla Town Killed Night 2 [W] Newbie Mini Mafia LIX Town Vanilla Endgamed Day 3 [M][N] Campus Mafia Town Vanilla Killed Night 4 [M][N] Student Mafia IV Town Vanilla Survived Day 6 [M][N] Metal Mini Mafia! Mafia Vanilla Killed Night 1 [M][N] New Years Eve Party Mini Mafia Mafia Roleblocker Killed Night 2 [M][N] Student Mafia V Town Vanilla Endgamed Day 4 [M][N] Horn of Africa Mini Mafia Town Vigilante Survived Day 3 [T] Jack of All Trades Mafia Town Vanilla Endgamed Night 3 [N] TL Mafia LXX: Guardians of the Galaxy Town Vanilla Lynched Day 5 [M][N] Noir Mini Mafia: Chapter 3 Town Vanilla Survived Day 3 [T] Hajime no Ippo Maifa Town Hama Dankichi Lynched Day 7 [M][N] Newbie Student Mafia VII Town Veteran Endgamed Day 3 [M][N] Newbie Student Mafia X Town Mason Killed Night 2 [M][T] Witchcraft Mini Mafia III Town Acolyte Survived Night 2 Now I didn't read ALL those filters, but there is a clear difference in how active Bre is when he is Scum vs Town. Scum!Bre doesn't post nearly as much as when he is town and tends to focus much more on certain players. As town he tends to post a lot more questions and conclusions about the majority of the players. This game Bre interacts (talks directly to them or responds to a post by them) with the following players: ruxx Bara Moosy n00b rayn (sorta, mostly sheeping) Sul Me So that's about half the game he's been ignoring, and I'm not exactly counting rayn on that list because the only times he references something rayn says he's also sheeping rayn. Also seems a bit odd that Bre never mentions me until I try and strike up a conversation with him, though he did mention that he wanted to see where my tarot stuff went. It's not super solid (only 2 scum games to look at), but it seems like scum!Bre tends to avoid interacting with players who he fears might be able to read him well. That would make sense why how he's mostly sheeping rayn and waited till I tried to talk to him to say anything about me. The other players he's ignored? Rels and Dis (both played in NSM X), Damdred ( a veteran player like rayn), and then NM and Flex/Scott obly these 2 don't fit this pattern. ???) Minor/Limited interaction with Barakos So this is a much weaker point, but it still looks like something to me. Breshke told me himself when we were masons that he has a hard time interacting with people in game when he has a QT to chat with them. So it stands to reason that if Bre and Bara are on a team, they'd want to interact a little. So look at Bre's only post regarding Barakos. Well before he sheeps his vote onto him nearing the EoD. On July 24 2015 09:19 Breshke wrote: Barakos when you say you dislike rayn for the alibi post do you mean you just dislike it in general or you think it is scummy? Bara answers almost right away and Bre explains this question later on to Rels. It might be nothing (Shameful secret - + Show Spoiler + I actually started this point as my strongest, but hadn't seen Bara's response, so I thought Bre dropped the point entirely which was so off compared to how he dealt with Moosy later Bre explained why he asked that later to Rels saying he wanted to make sure Bara didn't think it was scummy. Now, to me this looks like a low-ball question. Something easy that makes the person your asking look better and with the added bonus that it's an interaction with Bara. I say the question is a low-ball question because when you look at it, there's pretty much one answer. Also the fact that Bara responded almost instantly is interesting, but doesn't really prove anything. Bonus Point I pointed this out Earlier but if there was anyone bussing Bara, Bre was one of the most likely given his lack of read on Bara and the timing of his vote. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On July 28 2015 17:01 Rels wrote: I have two problems with the posts Tictock made after I left yesterday. 1 Tictock made two posts back to back. In the first he confirmed his scum read on moosy: + Show Spoiler + On July 28 2015 04:11 Tictock wrote: I'm always worth talking about... I don't and that's the problem. I know he is capable of playing this way as town, but whats to prevent MD from using the same tactic as mafia to dodge questions and stuff? Posts like this are a perfect example of why MD looks so scummy to me. -The bolded is true, but but it doesn't mean jack all. Never even bothered to push Sulf at all D1, then randomly votes N1. So he only really gets credit for mentioning that Sulf was in the game and that he's rolled mafia before. - Then we get back to more "I'm mafia" talk. True he did this as town before, but he's only using it this game to dodge questions. Last game he was much more clearly using this tactic to try and be lynchbait but here it's only coming up when questions are asked of him or people push on him. I see no reason to believe this is not scum!MD trying to abuse something he did as town last game. So I feel just fine keeping my vote on him. Also do note, he didn't bother to share those reads until Night phase, during Day phase he did basically nothing and never even bothered to vote. Like nothing I read from MD D1 suggested to me he was at all interested in solving the game. In the second he explained how Sulfurus is a good lynch today, even though Sulfurus is voting for Moosy! See spoiler. + Show Spoiler + On July 28 2015 04:16 Tictock wrote: In regards to Sulf. I'm totally for him being a lynch target today. I've been saying pretty much all the same stuff as everyone making a case on him. For now I dont mind leaving my vote on MD (for reasons I stated in last post) even though Sulf is voting for him as well. Based on his Auto list MD was clearly Sulf's next target so him placing a vote on him is just following through what he said in that post and NAI. Having said that. @Sul Why don't you explain to us your reads in detail. Starting with why you think Moosy is the best lynch today. Also, at what point do you rethink your list? A D1 PoE list is very unlikely to be accurate. In particular this paragraph: makes exactly 0 sense to me. 2 Tictock makes a post saying we should focus on people not on Barakos' wagon But in the SAME POST the person he attacks the most is Breshke, who voted on Barakos. Then he goes on to vote for him. So I think TT has a good shot at being mafia. ##Unvote ##Vote Tictock 1 - I think Sulf would be voting Moosy today regarless of his alignment, so it didn't bug me. As I explained. 2 - Your mis-reading what I posted here. I agreed it was SMART to lynch off the Bara wagon, never said we SHOUKDN'T. In fact Moosy made a post regarding that recently that I kinda agreed with so.. yea. My statement about Breshke in that post was me talking about all my scumreads, so I wasn't even attacking him. Just stating my opinion there. Yep I voted him, and now there's a case up against him. Also, how does me changing my mind about things make me scum? | ||
Tictock
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Should I just stop posting and go away? That seems to work for people... | ||
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As I said I'm working on cases for both. | ||
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0) Slot Suspicion (Flex) It's a bit weird when dealing with replacements because it's a whole new person to try and read, and yet who played the slot before replacing out was still representing the alignment of the slot. Flex was at best a null read and at worst highly suspect of being mafia So before even reading into scott, his slot has a decent chance of being mafia. 1) Sheeping cases before getting caught up If Scott replaced in near EoD or halfway through... maybe this is ok since it's pretty un-realistic to be able to read and catch-up in such a short time. But in this case Scott claims to be reading and catching up but ends up jumping on the first couple of decent cases he finds. My biggest issue here is that this reeks of someone who just wants to look good by doing stuff rather than someone who is interested in solving the game. 2) Terrible analysis of Votes Talking about this post. Honestly this is just a terrible post all around the more I've looked at it. There is a ton packed into it and a lot of things look out of place. The overall idea SEEMS to be that Scott is looking at how people voted D1 to show that most people are town on the Bara wagon. But there is a lot of fluff in there as well and he fails to consider a ton of stuff. Breaking this monster out, but keeping it spoiler-ed so this post isn't huge. + Show Spoiler + So re-reading the thread and going over the Barakos lynch - Tictock drops this townread on n00b and spends quite a bit of time on it, although has not mentioned much of any body else yet. Very weird thing to lead off this post with, as it has nothing to do with Bara. It also goes nowhere, no conclusions, so I don't get why scott included it. So Sulf places the fourth vote on Barakos just before this post. This would be a pretty sick bus when this seems like a pretty good post (one of his best so far) - I just don't see the bus yet. Only person to call that post by Sulf good. I'd love to hear Scott's reasoning here and why it makes him think it's LESS likely that Sulf was busing because of this post. Also weird that he starts off talking about the 4th vote on Bara in this post. Rayn's the UNCC'ed Vet and I'm town. I'm pretty confident that dis is town as well. Moosy looks townie to me as well. Damdred gets a townlean for now, we will color him as well - his instincts and questioning seem townie. Bleh, unexplained reads. Cute how he puts himself with rayn. We have Rels voting for Bara - and then N00bking goes after Sulfurus on Barakos - This seems like an attempt at a defense but not. N00b goes to bed and does not vote. TT votes moosy Ruxx votes Rayn on a "TMI scumslip" lol Noob finally jumps on Barakos the next day at 13:04, when the lynch is about set (Bara has six votes) So the n00b vote or NM vote could be a bus - beyond that - I think everyone on that wagon is town. Finishes this post with a sorta play-by-play of how EoD votes played out. Doesn't really explain or talk about anything and gives unsubstantiated conclusions about who was likely bussing. I also find it VERY interesting that Breshke is not once mentioned in this post. I'd maybe be willing to think he just forgot, but he mentions Bre's vote twice in posts earlier. On July 27 2015 08:09 scott31337 wrote: Tictock seems really weird from what I've read of his filter - I just don't see Breshke being mafia with such an early vote and not moving it - was Barakos that scummy? It's a lot to read all the pages again. Can anyone point to any big points I may have missed? On July 28 2015 03:34 scott31337 wrote: The tarot thing to being quite off on everything and not on the Bark wagon - he looks better than the other three though I did not know Sulf voted for him eight minutes later and did the same, just that Breshke was the second vote. There's a lot of D1 I have not read yet since joining in. All of the above has me fairly convinced that there is a solid association here and is why I claimed that they are the scum team. 3) His "read" on me I mentioned this earlier, but scott has a ton of experience playing with me as both town and scum. So you would expect him to be able to make some points about me one way or the other, yet here he just makes vague statements and based off a post from rayn nearing the end of D1 decides that I'm the best lynch today. Here is how scott talks about me: On July 27 2015 08:09 scott31337 wrote: Tictock seems really weird from what I've read of his filter - I just don't see Breshke being mafia with such an early vote and not moving it - was Barakos that scummy? It's a lot to read all the pages again. Can anyone point to any big points I may have missed? On July 28 2015 03:16 scott31337 wrote: Pretty decent case, I could sheep this.. ##Vote Sulfurus I'm still not caring for TT or n00bking either, n00b is really defensive and doesn't look like his town game. Pretty sure two of the mafia are in these three. I'm doing some research on Chronic kidney disease, lipids and apolipoproteins so I'll be on and off today. On July 28 2015 05:46 scott31337 wrote: So reading thru the thread trying to catch up - Rayn has excellent points here. This fits better than Sulf being mafia - Rels case is decent, but Rayn's right - Damd, Ruxx, and himself are the only ones thinking he's town - and there is little counter so far to Sulf's lynch. A Tictock lynch makes more sense. ##Unvote ##Vote: Tictock In that last post I bolded Scotts reason for dropping his vote on Sul and switching to me. This literally makes no sense, has a lie (Dam, Ruxx, and Rayn were not the only people thinking Sul is town. Also pretty sure rayn never said that?) and saying there is little counter to Sul's lynch is just stupid that early into the day especially when it's only a handful of people voting on him at that time. This just looks like an opportunistic sheep with very shitty reasoning to defend the vote switch. Honestly that line alone pretty much proves to me that Scott is mafia here. 4) Weak questions Possibly not a good point, but the only two times Scott talks directly to anyone it's this question. On July 28 2015 09:04 scott31337 wrote: Who are the last two scum then, Tictock? It's like the most obvious question to ask, super easy for scum to do, and is very unlikely to produce interesting answers that help determine alignment. Idk, since he's replaced in it's kinda WIFOM but it just seems off to me. | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
On July 28 2015 17:43 raynpelikoneet wrote: "I am sure scott is mafia, breshke is scummy too." Lets not vote for the guy i am SURE is mafia. Literally the exact opposite of what I said... | ||
Tictock
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On July 28 2015 17:27 Rels wrote: Another thing about your Breshke + scott team: Breshke wants to lynch BOTH your old scum read (Moosy) and your new scum read (Flexes/scott). Do you really think Breshke + scott is possible ? Humm, I hadn't thought about this >.< Likely means I'm under a confirmation bias here... probably about Bre. Besides having written out my thoughts on both of them I think my case on scott is much better. ##Unvote ##Vote: scott31337 | ||
Tictock
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On July 28 2015 17:40 Rels wrote: @Tiktock You said this D1 (see bolded): Breshke asked you (see bolded): In your response to his general post you didn't answer this question ? Two things weird about that: 1. You were wishy washy about Sulfurus: "This "auto" list seems somewhat towny", but "it's timing is weird", and " if sulf had posted nothing else we policy lynch him... for sure." Looks like you wanted an excuse to vote Sulfurus without pushing him much. 2. What do you mean "his timing is weird" ? What I said Posting this auto-lynch concept and selling it could very well be a last ditch effort of doing "something". His post was in the last ~20 hours of the day phase without having posted anything prior. So it looked like an attempt to do something before people started to vote for him (which anyone who played with Sulf in his last couple of games would attest to) | ||
Tictock
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On July 28 2015 18:08 Rels wrote: Town usually defend very hard when pushed like that, and sometimes even attacks back. (see = noobking vs myself) The fact that TT started defending against my accusation then left the thread before continuing is making me even more suspicious of him. Actually it's the other way around: him defending hard would be a small sign of him being town. And he doesn't do that. Shove off... I said exactly what I was doing. And it's 4am here, I really should have just gone to bed. | ||
Tictock
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Town should have this game with the failed NK, and a possible Cop or Vig out there to help out. Lynch me if your retarded and think I'd play this way as scum. If I feel like it when I get up I'll shit more towny rainbows and maybe even help convince people to lynch scum today. | ||
Tictock
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On July 28 2015 18:46 Rels wrote: Really ? 'cause you quoted the post in question in your case. It was one of your main point about Breshke sheeping. Yea, I was looking and thinking Scott & Bre. Not Bre and Flex. | ||
Tictock
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On July 29 2015 01:12 ruXxar wrote: Has breshke been mafia before? With 15 games I would think so. He should know these things right? Humm. You are voting for me, but you are not reading my posts... I posted a list of all the games Bre's been in, his alignments, and links to his filters. Copied it from the TL Mafia Database... Wondering if Ruxx is actually Mafia here now. He's been all over the place, voted off the Bara wagon (with me no less) and doesn't really seem to care where his vote goes EXPECT he never once put it on Bara. Interesting. Just sayin that if I do get lynched here it's pretty obv that you all should look harder at Scott and Ruxx tomorrow for their votes on me. | ||
Tictock
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Why would I soft defend Bara, while still admitting the case on his was decent? Why push rayn who was one of the more vocal advocators of the Bara lynch? Why would I start to reevaluate my scum reads halfway through today and start making cases on new people and move my vote there? Like seriously, only way I'm scum here is if I'm going for the "Worst Scum Play 2015" award. No way do I push myself out into the limelight as scum like this. So if you really think I'm that bad of a scum player and would risk taking any of these actions that have made me look so weird and suspicious then you should take a quick look at my last scum game and explain why I've suddenly become terrible at playing as scum. My Filter that game: Holy Guardians | ||
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Would also like to know in detail why he has me 3rd on his scum list though. Scott to me has the best chance of flipping scum today as I detailed in my Case on him. Maybe I'll move my vote off him in an effort to save myself... maybe. Honestly I'm not sure about Moosy or Sulf, possible there is mafia between the 2 but given that I can see both as town here... I'm less interested in lynching them. | ||
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On July 29 2015 02:23 raynpelikoneet wrote: Please lynch TT he is scum. Breshke is not mafia. Neither is sulfurus. Neither is moose. Just want to point out that you've basically wasted today just sitting with your confirmation biased view on me. Way to waste the day your role power brought us. | ||
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On July 29 2015 03:48 ruXxar wrote: You soft defend bara because you don't want him to get lynched, but don't want to be strongly associated by hard defending. You push rayn to discredit him and make his push on barakos look illegitemate. You start re-evaluating your scumreads because you realize the rayn push isn't getting traction and are looking for other opportunistic trains, like moosy. Yea about that... You soft defend bara because you don't want him to get lynched, but don't want to be strongly associated by hard defending. Yet any form of defense and not hopping on the wagon has the same result.. you've pointed this out yourself. I know this, and as scum no way do I do this. 100% I bus Bara into the ground. Never do I waste half the day trying to get reads through Tarot. You push rayn to discredit him and make his push on barakos look illegitemate. Worked like a charm too huh? Especially that bit near EoD where I said I wasn't sure rayn was scum, but that I just didn't trust him. Good way to push on someone is never voting them like I did, uhhuh... You start re-evaluating your scumreads because you realize the rayn push isn't getting traction and are looking for other opportunistic trains, like moosy. So I actually want to point out that I've really only been taking people OFF my scum list this entire game. I think the only person I added from who I was talking about D1 was Scott. Pretty godly scum play huh? Narrowing my list of targets like that? | ||
Tictock
United States6051 Posts
Man, I know you are a better player than this. You have to see that your case on me basically boils down to - I look wierd - I've changed my mind None of the points you've brought against me are very solid and things townies do all the time. You even said yourself On July 27 2015 23:44 Rels wrote: I read TikTock's filter and I will need a rock solid case to vote on him. Thinking Sulfurus + scott is way more likely. Honestly, is what I've done since any indication that I'm scum? | ||
Tictock
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On July 29 2015 04:02 n00bKing wrote: day at work is getting busier. Can anyone put together a current vote count so I can see whether or not I need to post the Town Case on Ticktock? I'm still getting lynched. Not 100% on the count but it's something like Tictock 4 Sulf 3 Scott 3 Moosy 2 | ||
Tictock
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You should all be voting Scott with me and listening to Damdred. I really don't like how split up the votes are, when we were like 3/3/2 for Sul/Moosy/Tic I was really starting to think that all the wagons were on town due to how split up everyone is | ||
Tictock
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I dropped my scumreads on Sul and Moosy for similar reasons. It mostly boils down to them both being in line with their town meta's. Sulf is about this active as town, and he is posting decently. Also I thought it was pretty towny of him to tell me that he has the same chance of rolling scum every game that he's in, that was after I'd stated I didn't think it was likely he'd get scum 3 games in a row. + Show Spoiler + BTW I understand how probabilities work, and it is very unlikely for Sulf to roll mafia this many games in a row, but as I said before that isn't a very solid reason. Sulf pointing out himself that this is a bad reason to think he's town, makes me think he's town. Moosy is pretty active and besides his posts where he dodges questions withe the bullshit "I'm mafia" stuff he pulled last game he doesn't look terrible. I still think he could be making more detailed reads and stuff, but honestly his style of providing reads is reminding me a lot of Damdred atm so meh. | ||
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On July 29 2015 04:15 Breshke wrote: Can't sleep Yeah would prefer if the confirmed were on this wagon aswell Rayn doesn't seem to want to rethink his read on me, so I think that's a lost cause. Scott is probably scum and just wants to lynch me to get back at me for HG. Ruxx is wtf, and all over the place. Still a decent chance he's scum here. Which leaves me with Rels, and is why I made an appeal to reason with him. | ||
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The more spread out town is on the voting the easier it is for scum to hide or to influence the votes to push mislynches. Much harder for scum to do those things when town is working together. | ||
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On July 29 2015 04:46 disformation wrote: Not too sure about the ton of info, but the landslide voting is worrying me a tad. Bit of an overstatement isn't it? This is 5? Votes on scott now? | ||
Tictock
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On July 29 2015 04:48 LightningStrike wrote: Day 2 Votecount scott31337 (7): Tictock, disformation, MoosyDoosy, NocturneMage, Damdred, Breshke, n00bKing tictock (3): scott31337, Rels, raynpelikoneet, moosydoosy (2): sulfurus (0): ticktack (0): n00bking (0): breshke (0): Not Voting (0): Scott31337 is set to be lynched! I stand corrected... Yea Damdred is asking a decent question. | ||
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Ruxx never took his vote back to moosy it's still on me, he messed up formatting a post that had a vote in it which is messing up the tracker. | ||
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On July 28 2015 05:44 NocturneMage wrote: Re-reading the last page, there are few things that are of concern to me. If we assume that Sulfurus is (somehow) town, you have Scott throwing his vote by sheeping a case. He could be mafia taking advantage of a townread. The other issue here is that he's saying he doesnt like Tictock even though Tictock is pushing Sulfurus and MoosyDoosy. From Scott's viewpoint - unless he can be more specific - Tictock pushing Sulfurus should raise his opinion of Tictock. His precedent Flexes has zero on Sulfurus in his filter. This was Noc's most recent post prior to what he's posted in the last hour here. So he did have suspicions of scott earlier. I'm not seeing anything in this post that really looks like a scum tell to me. It looks far more like a newbie trying to talk about everything that's being discussed atm and then jumping on this scott wagon. On July 29 2015 04:04 NocturneMage wrote: Just got home from work. So people don't want to lynch Sulfurus - reading his last few posts and I have some questions. - why is he looking at disformation (between him and Breshke) - one issue I have with him is why his read on Moosy isn't changing when Moosy's done a bit (he's saying his lynch list isn't changing except for the two names he's brought up) - Moosy has done some things that appear towny to me (read on) so I don't know how he's making a determination why he's still scummy (and less so disformation) Sulfurus if you can answer these it would be great. Reading a few filters... I already voiced a few potential scum issues with Breshke (the ruxxar read drop, not getting anywhere on Sulfurus despite discussing noobking) but I need to read the Moosy/Breshke convo again, it looks really difficult to read at first glance... Right now, the only real argument I've seen all game against Moosy is the question dodging although I thought he answered at some point why his read on Breshke evolved, mainly based on lurkiness. He has provided town reads and a scum read d1, and his response to Rels regarding the Barakos wagon "in the event it was wrong....would I have achieved anything" I thought was pretty towny. I really don't think Moosy is the choice to go to lynch today, still townlean, and although it would appear that Tictock has moved on to a Scott/Breshke scumteam, he still has Moosy in his bottom three so unless it's buried in this thread somewhere, I'm curious as to why Tictock wasn't moved once Moosy provided those questions other than the argument "he's active and he's posting but still not that great." And actually that's another point against Breshke - Breshke cited question dodging against Moosy as well when he returned to the thread, and Moosy had before resolved the questions I'm pretty sure. I checked the meta read on Breshke and the argument holds, even accounting to equal the number of days, since he didn't last long in his scum games. So meh. Unless you are seeing something here than I'm not Damdred? | ||
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On July 29 2015 05:05 Damdred wrote: We should probably lynch mages here I think. I mean I think that the reasoning behind the vote is really bad coupled with the horrible re entrance makes him best lynch. ##unvote ##vote NocturnalMages lets go Ugh, I'm not sure I have time for this. If you can put together something more convincing in the next 20 min I'll swap my vote, but I have to start getting ready for work. I'll check in before I head off to see where things are since I wont be around EoD. In the off chance that I do get lynched today I want everyone to really consider Scott and Ruxx tomorrow for their really bad votes on me. | ||
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On July 29 2015 05:11 raynpelikoneet wrote: Fuck you too i am the firdt vote on tictock. Ever been. You are being stupid. Noone listens to his opinion anyways. He gets scumread if he doesnt do reasonable stuff. Which at this point of the game is to listen to me. Lynch tictock i promise you he will flip mafia. Don't make promises you can't keep... | ||
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On July 29 2015 05:26 scott31337 wrote: Fuck looks like votes are on me - I guess I have to do this now. I'm the cop and have a green check on MoosyDoosy. My crumb in this message - If you look up "Chronic kidney disease, lipids and apolipoproteins" the first link is http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24607852 If you look up TL's post 24607852 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24607852 Is So get your votes off of me NOW PLEASE! Crap, ok. ##Unvote ##Vote:NocturneMage If there's a counterclaim... well you all know what to do. That's all the time i have today. Sorry >.< | ||
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Besides, looking at the game objectively Moosy and myself were Wildcards that needed to be dealt with at some point. Speaking of cards... My best reads were actually when I was doing my tarot stuff. But... besides that all my reads were pretty shit. I think I felt pressured to look like town so I started reading through stuff trying to find something which is never a good way to go. Regardless I think I need to rethink my approach. I think Rels wins MvP this game imo. Pretty sure he was on all 3 mafia D1 and I owe him an apology for calling his opening read on Noc "forced" since it panned out (though I'm not sold that it's a solid way to scumread people). Rayn also was quite astute and picked out Bara and noob early on, despite getting a bit tunneled on me. Wonder what happened to Bara? Hope he's ok. @Ruxx You asked but I never answered. I picked all the tarot cards like I would if I were trying to do a real tarot reading. I'd open up the players filters, read through their posts while shuffling, then draw their card while thinking about their mentality. I only actually talked about the readings I got from your card and Dis's as well as the 2 I started with (that the images seem glitched on) but looking back on them they were all solid reads. If I had taken it more seriously the cards I drew for Noc and n00b were actually fairly strong scum indicators to me, but I never expected anyone to believe that. We may or may not have seen the last of me trying to mix Tarot and Mafia... Respect to LS and BM for hosting. LS especially as he had to make a few hard decisions this game. Also it looked like the tracker was giving you guys some trouble so that's a bit rough. | ||
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