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On April 21 2015 10:40 Holyflare wrote: eh that's actually a pretty good case, despite the million unknown acronyms Huh?
Scott31337 has spent most of his posts answering questions and making comments, and not making reads. This doesn't mean that he is scum, it just means that he doesn't have very many reads, like oh so many players in this game.
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On April 21 2015 10:45 Holyflare wrote: name some names then trfel To be honest, TheBloodyDwarf? I don't know how you can say that he had a noticeable number of reads.
Also LightningStrike, cakepie (until late in the day), and LeiNadk.
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On April 21 2015 10:45 Damdred wrote: ...maybe trfel is just mafia siding its hard for me to see this huge amount of hard defending on someone so scummy It wasn't a huge amount of time at all, it wasn't a hard defense, I don't know why you are exaggerating my actions. I wanted to get my scumread lynched instead.
I scumread Bourneq I wasn't confident in cakepie being mafia Some people want to lynch cakepie over Bourneq, but I don't understand why they want to lynch cakepie, and I don't understand why they don't want to lynch Bourneq I try to get them to lynch Bourneq, but they won't I try to show why I'm not confident in cakepie flipping scum, but they don't listen I end up having to choose between cakepie and scott31337 (with a weird wagon, and who I am even less confident in being scum), so I chose cakepie
This progression is natural in every step of the way. What problem do you have with my play? As I see it, the flaw is that I was stubborn and unpleasant towards people, so I need to take a step back and remember that it's more important to have fun than to win the game.
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On scott31337:
On April 21 2015 10:51 Holyflare wrote:Show nested quote +On April 21 2015 10:50 Trfel wrote:On April 21 2015 10:45 Holyflare wrote: name some names then trfel To be honest, TheBloodyDwarf? I don't know how you can say that he had a noticeable number of reads. Also LightningStrike, cakepie (until late in the day), and LeiNadk. bloodydwarf was a lost sheep with confused no reads, scott looks like blending in weak reads with no justification, case is very good
On April 19 2015 13:00 scott31337 wrote: When I first read this, I thought Bourneq was asking for tone reads on himself, which I did not understand since he only had one post. Reading your point of view, I do not know what tone reads he would give off - and then added the TLDR post - meh. I see this as a scumread. Despite the literal meaning of "meh", it definitely has a negative connotation.
On April 19 2015 16:15 scott31337 wrote: I think you need some encouragement.
## Vote: TheBloodyDwarf Yes, it's a pressure vote, but that still is still somewhat of a commitment to the read.On April 21 2015 01:31 scott31337 wrote: Probably from a pool of - BM, Cakepie, Plotspot And he then goes on to explain, in detail, why he thinks that Bill Murray is scum (by refuting the case that Bill Murray made on him). I don't see scott31337 being non-committal here, while he isn't providing tons of reads, he's providing an amount which I feel are generally acceptable for a newbie.
Yes, the final post was made after Bill Murray's case, possibly as a reaction to it. But I don't think that he's provided a number scumreads that is low enough to be suspicious for a newbie.
One final thing of note is that scott31337 has only played one game before, Newbie Mini Mafia LX. He replaced into it, and he was mafia. In his very first post (other than saying hi), he called four people scum. I think it's reasonable to assume that a lack of experience having to actually make reads causes him to have fewer reads (this happens to so many newbies...), and this is assuming you don't meta read him as town for not taking stances on everyone right away (it is fair to blame this on him replacing into the previously mentioned game).
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So Damdred, you switched to scott31337 because of his ninja vote with two minutes left, correct?
Was there any additional reason?
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On April 21 2015 11:15 Bill Murray wrote:Show nested quote +On April 21 2015 10:53 Trfel wrote: sic...having to choose between cakepie and scott31337 (with a weird wagon, and who I am even less confident in being scum), so I chose cakepie...sic fun than to win the game. when you say "who i am even less confident in being scum" why is it that you had scott as #1 town on every single one of your lists then? 2nd time you've misrepresented yourself, Trfel. Trfel solidly #2 on my scum radar now I never, ever had scott31337 as top town, nowhere close. I generally don't provide list posts. I made one this game because I was out for a significant amount of time, and it wasn't ordered in the categories. If you look at the actual reads, you can see that The Shining was clearly the strongest townread.
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On April 21 2015 09:57 cakepie wrote: Leave Lei alone, strong pure noob town read for asking questions in thread. Scum can ask in QT. I know it's going to look funny with us both coincidentally onto scott last minute but there it is.
I'm voting onto scott because he was FoS behind Bourne who rehabbed himself toward the end.
Keep an eye on BM, I let him be for a bit because the more veteran players thought it was possible he just dun goofed, basically the massclaim thing was due to him casually /in to the game under assumption of certain setup without checking. But it's still weird. So, Damdred, this post was enough to make you switch from
On April 21 2015 09:54 Damdred wrote: Everyone stay on cake toOn April 21 2015 09:59 Damdred wrote: ##unvote ##vote scott ?
I don't really see it.
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On April 21 2015 11:14 Damdred wrote: And cake looked better last few minutes. And the vote was scummy Emphasis mine, in bold.
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On April 21 2015 11:53 Holyflare wrote:Yeh we got the pc one :/ Anyway, I'm getting funky vibes from trfel from defending all these players so much. That's my gem of wisdom for tonight :p + Show Spoiler +Newbies don't read this but it might even make scott town, depends on his replies Are you really that convinced that I am scum?!?!!
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On April 21 2015 11:58 Bill Murray wrote:Show nested quote +On April 20 2015 13:00 Trfel wrote:Don't Lynchscott31337 + Show Spoiler +Scott31337 has been active and helpful. He has been often answering and asking questions. The number of reads he has provided are fewer, but his reads seem reasonably thought out. I definitely don't want to lynch him today. ObiWanShinobi + Show Spoiler +ObiWanShinobi has been fairly active and discussing things with people. He has been willing to follow others, but also has been original. While he is capable of playing like this as scum, there is no reason to see him as scum here. LightningStrike + Show Spoiler +His activity has been fairly good. Furthermore, he's made some good comments, and I don't see anything that stands out as scummy. Onegu + Show Spoiler +I didn't like his original townread on me, but I did like the way he explained his read over the next few posts. That's enough to make me not want to lynch him today, especially since we can hold him to reasonable activity standards later. The Shining + Show Spoiler +He's been active, leading the thread when present, and making a bunch of good reads. Need I say more? LeiNadk + Show Spoiler +Seems truly inquisitive, and willing to participate. Tone also says town. He could certainly be mafia here, and his activity today does hint at that, but I don't want to lynch him yet. Maybe LynchDamdred + Show Spoiler +I just don't know about him. Probably not a good lynch for today just because he's Damdred, anyway. If he is town, then we definitely need him alive, and there's an extremely good chance he will force mafia to kill him. TheBloodyDwarf + Show Spoiler +He seems comfortable enough, but minimal reads. Not much to go on. Could LynchBourneq + Show Spoiler +So, initially I was happy with Bourneq this game. On April 19 2015 20:47 Bourneq wrote:Show nested quote +On April 19 2015 11:49 Trfel wrote:Hm, this game feels slow already. I thought my post would get things started, but I guess that wasn't good enough. I find Bourneq to be the most suspicious so far. On April 19 2015 11:00 Bourneq wrote: Anybody wants to request a tone read from me? Ill give a more educated response than last game. Actually I am going to sleep, its 4 am. Bourneq asks if anyone wants to ask him for a tone read, because this is something that people asked him to do last game. And he knows that it's a townie thing to do. However, the interesting thing is that he asks if people want him to tone read someone or something. He doesn't seem inclined to do it himself. This suggests that he is more interested in appeasing others and not getting lynched than actually finding scum. Furthermore, he says that he will sleep instead of scumhunting. But why would he leave the first sentence in if he is going to sleep after all? He left it in to gain town credit for being open to doing something towny (making a read). On April 19 2015 11:21 Bourneq wrote: Well im not tonereading that one. TL;DR Then, someone in his previous game made a post. And Bourneq acknowledges it and says that he wasn't going to read it. Why does Bourneq feel a need to acknowledge my post? He already said that he's tired and he will be going to bed. His post doesn't help town in any way, but it makes him seem more involved in the game (which is false, since he didn't bother to toneread anyone at all). I'll be heading out again for a while. Any thoughts? I was laughing really bad reading this. I was making a joke in both thoose comments. First joke because of last game when we lost because I did not know what a tone read was. Secondly I updated the page as I was brushing my teeth and see a post as long as my arm. I acctually read the thing and felt like it had been written up the day before so it looks just as scummy as it looks townie to me. Anyway I was just about to go to sleep so I just said TL;DR as a joke and headed for bed. On a completely different note, I am excited too see what dwarf will bring to the table this game. So far I could get behind lynching all the americans but I dont know if that is a valid strategy since they dont necessarily have to be scum to be americans. This post seems very honest and open, in addition to making me laugh. Bourneq seems to be acknowledging his errors last game and adjusting. However, I noticed several suspicious things in his folder that make me hesitant to town read him. On April 19 2015 20:47 Bourneq wrote: [referring to my very long post] I acctually read the thing and felt like it had been written up the day before so it looks just as scummy as it looks townie to me. On April 19 2015 22:01 Bourneq wrote: I like trfel so far since the last person who ended up scumreading me this early on for my very first posts ended up being town. On April 20 2015 01:22 Bourneq wrote: I am not scum, give me your reasoning Bill, I'd love to vote trfel. He is trying a bit too hard. On April 20 2015 04:06 Bourneq wrote: Because this is a different trfel than from the last game I just came from where he was town. And making a huge post like that and trying hard to look like town seems forced and not genuine, like it comes from a scum perspective. It could be motivated from both alignments as I've stated before but I am getting a scummy vibe. What a strange progression in these four posts. Once Bill Murray scumreads me, Bourneq says that he would love to vote for me. He says that my big post is long and trying to make me look good, and that he thinks it is forced. This is interesting, since he already said that this post was mostly written before the game began, and is thus says nothing about my alignment. Furthermore, he played with me last game, when I was town, and I posted four extremely long analysis posts on the earlier portions of the game (I replaced in). How is me making a long post any different than it was last game? It's also strange how he suddenly jumped on me when he said that he liked me for scumreading him. It feels that Bourneq is trying to set himself up to vote for me, but then Bill Murray suggests mass claiming, and this starts to draw attention. Bourneq never mentions me again. This progression seems extremely suspicious to me. Besides this, Bourneq hasn't done very much. He's sheeped the thread sentiment several times (agreeing entirely with LightningStrike's list post, but mentioning the three inactive players, note that he didn't mention inactive players last game as town), and a weak read on LightningStrike ("[LightningStrike seems] just as town as anybody else to me so far"). I could definitely lynch Bourneq. Bill Murray + Show Spoiler +This one's kind of obvious. He was blue hunting, and had no good explanation (how could he?). He assumed that if town claimed, and mafia didn't counterclaim, town would have about a 60% chance of winning, but despite this number and asking for claims, he didn't bother to actually read the setup. On April 20 2015 01:32 Bill Murray wrote: There is 1 role that should be claiming. Cop. I think that this post supports Bill Murray as town slightly, he revises it to have only the cop claim (which makes sense if you think that the setup is cop/doctor). However, he's still looking pretty bad. Voting for Onegu instead of me is pretty bad as well. And, he scumread me for doing something (posting again after I said I would leave) while he completely ignored Bourneq doing the same thing. In fact, he was willing to provide his reasoning for voting me to Bourneq but not to me (because apparently I am scum, while Bourneq isn't). This is weird. But I hesitate to lynch him because of the reasons he provided for his scumread on me. On April 20 2015 01:28 Bill Murray wrote: my reasoning is that 1) he is trying to scumandeer the game a. this could be as town, referred to as spotlighting b. this could be as scum, which i think it is here 2) he ends the RQS early a. this is hypocritical of him given his last post (where he assaults me for stifling information) b. his head is up his own ass regarding this which is a reason he is cancerous and toxic to the town (big posts suck) 3) for having spotlighted, he is already giving excuses a. he said he had to go before b. he actually STUCK AROUND to see if anyone said anything about him before saying he had to go again
TL:DR don't be apologetic if you're spotlighting. This analysis is flawed, but it does make him seem somewhat better. I need to make a check of his play from last game and analyze his filter more heavily, but I could see myself lynching Bill Murray. Policy Lynchplotspot cakepie Bourneq and Bill Murray are both looking pretty bad here. I could even see them being scum together. yeah because you say the exact same thing about shining here that you say about scott but you actually say even more about scott who is sitting at the top of your town list. need i say more? liar. Check the list of filters at the start of the thread. Notice the uncanny similarity between the order of my list and the order of the filters?
You realize that the reason I said so little about my townread on The Shining was because it stands for itself. I don't have to explain it. I'll explain reads that people might have a question about, for The Shining, I said "need I say more?". If that doesn't state a confident read, then I don't know what does.
On April 21 2015 12:00 LightningStrike wrote:Show nested quote +On April 21 2015 11:44 Holyflare wrote: Ls where did you go? I don't even know who you scum read properly. Just lots of town reads on main wagons into afk. Tfrel he not he only looking a little bit like his Student V meta when he was scum but also the way he hammer Cake when he was hard defending Cake earlier is extremely scummy for him to do that. So by association based on the votes Scott got to be Mafia with Tfrel if Scott is Mafia. The 3rd one is a mystery still. Who you think is the 3rd Mafia if Tfrel and Scott are Mafia? LightningStrike, please don't make unflipped association reads. Especially not those involving myself, because I am town, thus they are wrong.
Anyway, I respect your view that you won't vote for someone who you don't think is scum. However, not everyone shares this view. I think that it's better to make the best with your options than to make a vote that doesn't matter. Furthermore, I hammered a null read of mine in the last game, Student Mafia VII (hammered TheBloodyDwarf over prplhz, because I felt that TheBloodyDwarf was null while prplhz was town, despite Half the Sky, the towniest player, calling for prplhz's head).
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Bourneq
I still think that Bourneq is mafia here. And I'll keep on thinking so until something actually suggests otherwise.
Towny things that Bourneq does + Show Spoiler +On April 19 2015 20:47 Bourneq wrote:Show nested quote +On April 19 2015 11:49 Trfel wrote:Hm, this game feels slow already. I thought my post would get things started, but I guess that wasn't good enough. I find Bourneq to be the most suspicious so far. On April 19 2015 11:00 Bourneq wrote: Anybody wants to request a tone read from me? Ill give a more educated response than last game. Actually I am going to sleep, its 4 am. Bourneq asks if anyone wants to ask him for a tone read, because this is something that people asked him to do last game. And he knows that it's a townie thing to do. However, the interesting thing is that he asks if people want him to tone read someone or something. He doesn't seem inclined to do it himself. This suggests that he is more interested in appeasing others and not getting lynched than actually finding scum. Furthermore, he says that he will sleep instead of scumhunting. But why would he leave the first sentence in if he is going to sleep after all? He left it in to gain town credit for being open to doing something towny (making a read). On April 19 2015 11:21 Bourneq wrote: Well im not tonereading that one. TL;DR Then, someone in his previous game made a post. And Bourneq acknowledges it and says that he wasn't going to read it. Why does Bourneq feel a need to acknowledge my post? He already said that he's tired and he will be going to bed. His post doesn't help town in any way, but it makes him seem more involved in the game (which is false, since he didn't bother to toneread anyone at all). I'll be heading out again for a while. Any thoughts? I was laughing really bad reading this. I was making a joke in both thoose comments. First joke because of last game when we lost because I did not know what a tone read was. Secondly I updated the page as I was brushing my teeth and see a post as long as my arm. I acctually read the thing and felt like it had been written up the day before so it looks just as scummy as it looks townie to me. Anyway I was just about to go to sleep so I just said TL;DR as a joke and headed for bed. On a completely different note, I am excited too see what dwarf will bring to the table this game. So far I could get behind lynching all the americans but I dont know if that is a valid strategy since they dont necessarily have to be scum to be americans. While this post doesn't say anything that is actually important to the game, Bourneq seems relaxed. I'm not sure that a first time scum would be able to respond in such a relaxed manner. On April 20 2015 06:52 Bourneq wrote: I would geniunly like to hear the benfits of mass claiming D1. Thinking about it, I dont understand how it would help us? Scum would know who to kill and could super easily counterclaim so that town looses any potential benefits. Bill is not a newbie so I must be missing something right? Seems like a stupid thing to ask for even if he is scum. Bourneq seems to be actively thinking through Bill Murray's request for the power roles to claim, and he didn't immediately arrive at the conclusion that Bill Murray is mafia (like many others did). This looks good. On April 20 2015 19:47 Bourneq wrote:Currently Obi is on my radar. Show nested quote +On April 20 2015 07:06 ObiWanShinobi wrote:On April 20 2015 07:02 Onegu wrote:On April 20 2015 06:50 ObiWanShinobi wrote:On April 20 2015 06:47 Onegu wrote: Obi have you played with BM before?
Yes. Then thoughts on him this game? He exists. This post above is worse than my answer last game when asked to give a tone read. And that says something. Especially since obi is not a newbie and I am. He seems awfully set on plynching D1 aswell which I dont like. All this said I still would not scumlist him. In addition, Bourneq provided a read on ObiWanShinobi. This read went against the thread sentiment, and even though he doesn't sound very confident in it, it does look good for him.
Why Bourneq is scum- Bourneq has almost no reads
+ Show Spoiler +On April 19 2015 22:01 Bourneq wrote: Awesome good morning to you! I agree with your reads so far my only addition I guess would be Bill Murray, plotspot and cakepies inactivity. I like trfel so far since the last person who ended up scumreading me this early on for my very first posts ended up being town. And you seem just as town as anybody else to me so far. I see you have plenty of mafia experiance on TL so I was wondering what you think about Scott's pressure vote on dwarf since he also has plenty of experiance? This happened to dwarf last game too and he ended up being mislynched from not making a very good defence for himself. So is not pressure voting noobies often counter productive? Adding the three inactives doesn't make this an original read. Neither does saying that LightningStrike "seem[s] just as town as anybody else". His read on me actually hurts him, given his unexplained reversal on me later. He is slightly implying that he might be suspicious of scott31337 here, but he never mentions scott31337 again until this post: On April 21 2015 10:04 Bourneq wrote: That was horrible, I update for ages nobody says anything. I update last minute suddenly 2 pages. What the fuck did LS do with his vote? Somebody explain in detail the scott wagon? Where he seems surprised that scott31337 nearly got lynched. Bourneq's comment on scott31337 was either not casting suspicion at all, or he completely failed to follow through. Bourneq then expresses suspicions of me, but more on this later. On April 20 2015 19:47 Bourneq wrote:Currently Obi is on my radar. Show nested quote +On April 20 2015 07:06 ObiWanShinobi wrote:On April 20 2015 07:02 Onegu wrote:On April 20 2015 06:50 ObiWanShinobi wrote:On April 20 2015 06:47 Onegu wrote: Obi have you played with BM before?
Yes. Then thoughts on him this game? He exists. This post above is worse than my answer last game when asked to give a tone read. And that says something. Especially since obi is not a newbie and I am. He seems awfully set on plynching D1 aswell which I dont like. All this said I still would not scumlist him. This is contradictory to this point. Bourneq is stating a read that isn't popular thread sentiment. This is the only one in his filter, and while it isn't a strong commitment, it is a positive point for him. From here, Bourneq aggressively attacks cakepie, but this post suggests that his attack was largely motivated in saving himself. On April 21 2015 08:44 Bourneq wrote: I dont feel strongly about my cakevote neither So in summary, Bourneq's reads are as follows (ignoring his reads on me: Agrees with LightningStrike's reads Townread on LightningStrike Maybe slight suspicion of ObiWanShinobi Cakepie may be mafia For comparison, here are a summary of his reads from his previous game, Newbie Student Mafia VII. He was vanilla town. I won't go into detail, but I provided links to the posts in question so you can see for yourself. And this is all from Day 1. To be fair, that game was more active than this one (they ended Day 1 on page 46, we ended Day 1 on page 30, and that game had a more constructive environment (and thus he was asked more questions). But still, there is a very large difference between his play in these two games. You can try to argue that his lack of reads isn't alignment indicative (I would disagree), but you can't explain it with the "he's new" defense when he provided so many more reads last game.
- Bourneq's read progression on me makes no sense, and his explanation isn't plausible
+ Show Spoiler +On April 19 2015 22:01 Bourneq wrote: I like trfel so far since the last person who ended up scumreading me this early on for my very first posts ended up being town. On April 20 2015 01:22 Bourneq wrote: I am not scum, give me your reasoning Bill, I'd love to vote trfel. He is trying a bit too hard. Bourneq first townreads me, and then he scumreads me. His explanation for this is that I am trying a bit too hard. This explanation is strange, especially given the effort I used when I replaced into the last game, Student Mafia VII (which Bourneq played in). But the explanation doesn't matter too much. Bourneq is asked why trying hard means that he is scum. This is his response: On April 20 2015 04:06 Bourneq wrote: Because this is a different trfel than from the last game I just came from where he was town. And making a huge post like that and trying hard to look like town seems forced and not genuine, like it comes from a scum perspective. It could be motivated from both alignments as I've stated before but I am getting a scummy vibe. So he actually believes this. This is a very strange read. Note that he specifically mentions my large post as being scummy, the only actual supporting evidence in this post. This is strange, because earlier he said this: On April 19 2015 20:47 Bourneq wrote: I updated the page as I was brushing my teeth and see a post as long as my arm. I acctually read the thing and felt like it had been written up the day before so it looks just as scummy as it looks townie to me. So, either he is terribly inconsistent and forgetful, or he is lying here. On April 20 2015 19:47 Bourneq wrote:In regards to Trfel I have done nothing to set up a vote on you. I did not even concider it so I really don't know where this is coming from. I would guess its from this Show nested quote +On April 20 2015 01:22 Bourneq wrote: I am not scum, give me your reasoning Bill, I'd love to vote trfel. He is trying a bit too hard. Yet I just said that to get Bill to talk since he would not do that with you. I thought you brought up some good points and did not want Bill to get away with not answering them. And he had stated he would not talk to YOU about it. I had not even concidered voting trfel but I wanted to get a conversation with Bill going. So, he never actually considered voting for me. If my play is "different from last game, where [I] was town" and he is "getting a scummy vibe", why would he not even consider voting me? This is extremely strange. Now, he says that the only reason he expressed suspicions of me in the first place was to get Bill Murray to answer my question, because I brought up some good points. There are two possibilities here, at the time he made this post. He's either suspicious of me, or he isn't. If he is suspicious of me, how was my play different from last game, where I was town? The only example he provides is not only proven to be not alignment indicative, but he acknowledged as much earlier in his filter. If he is suspicious of me, then why did he try to get Bill Murray to answer my question (he said I brought up some good points), and why did he not even consider voting for me? If he is not suspicious of me, then why did he say that my long post made me look suspicious, when he already stated that it was not alignment indicative? And why did he bother explaining this at all (including the part where he says that my play is different from last game, where I was town) if he isn't suspicious of me, since this is well after Bill Murray answered my question, which is the reason he's doing this anyway? Neither option makes any sense at all. I just don't see how town can play like this.
- Strange read progression on cakepie
+ Show Spoiler +On April 21 2015 04:21 Bourneq wrote: Wow trfels reads are so terrible I want to lynch him. But at least he is posting.
##Vote Trfel
Just casting my vote real quick I will be back in a few hours. On April 21 2015 05:17 Bourneq wrote: Omg I missvoted, I just realised lmao. That was suppost to be cakepie.
##Unvote
##Vote cakepie Let's assume that he is telling the truth here, and he mis-voted. He effectively voted for cakepie without any reasoning at all. At this time, cakepie had made two real posts. If Bourneq saw something scummy there, he would have said something. This is a policy lynch. On April 20 2015 19:47 Bourneq wrote: He seems awfully set on plynching D1 aswell which I dont like. Well, that's interesting, isn't it. On April 21 2015 09:20 Bourneq wrote: yes I have read his filter several times now. I am not sure about him, he was my "placeholder vote" not trfel. But in light of how he has really urged a vote on the only person im sure is town I am willing to type my thoughts up on him. OMGUS isn't alignment indicative. But this shows that Bourneq posted on cakepie for survival. He would do this as either alignment, so it isn't alignment indicative. Notice that he probed to see if anyone would care before he made these posts (he got a positive response).
- Bonus!
+ Show Spoiler +On April 21 2015 08:34 Bourneq wrote: lmao, going to get lynched for typing the wrong name? Fair. I was in a rush, was talking about trfel but was saying I am not voting him because he is active. Then I was going to write cakepie but I was in a rush and trfel was on my mind so somehow my brain typed that. Then an hour or two later I was talking about mafia with a mate and it dawned on me, wait.. Did I really write cakepie?? No I had not. Anyway seems im dead in a bit but just thought you should know this before I flip town. Gl townies. Bold emphasis mine. Who would he be talking to? Surely not his scum buddies in the scum QT? This level of honesty portrayed in a towny way could explain his earlier reaction to my early read on him. Yes, I'm aware that this is stupid. But I find it funny to think about. While Bourneq has done a few things that give me pause, I think that there is far more reason to suspect him here. I find it very difficult to see his play coming from a town perspective. Comparing his play in this game to his play in the last game makes this case even stronger.
Bourneq needs to die.
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I spent nearly an hour on that post, only to find out that I got beaten to the punch. Hrmph. I'll take a look at what scott31337 wrote later tonight, after I'm done with everything else.
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On April 21 2015 13:17 scott31337 wrote:Show nested quote +On April 21 2015 12:55 Trfel wrote: I spent nearly an hour on that post, only to find out that I got beaten to the punch. Hrmph. I'll take a look at what scott31337 wrote later tonight, after I'm done with everything else. Great minds think alike  But my mind is certainly not great. Not by any stretch.
That doesn't stop me from being proud of my intellect anyway
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LightningStrike
On April 19 2015 21:40 LightningStrike wrote:I'm back and saw TheBloodyDwarf complaining on the lack of Europeans in this thread. Also Shining had a question which will now be answered: Show nested quote +On April 19 2015 14:57 The Shining wrote: LightningStrike When you get back I want to see you actually do something. All I could gather from your posts is you're worried about getting scumread and you'll answer questions tomorrow. Can I get some preliminary reads from you when you do come back? I'm sure you'll have some thoughts on the posts you read when you wake up. Okay let's be honest here I usually get scumread for my early reads list by most people but here some thoughts on people: OWS: Null he haven't done much yet but I know when he post more I can give more of a accurate meta read because he haven't posted much. Shinging: Maybe Town you seem to be trying actually but I haven't forgiven you on being scum in our last game together  LeiNadk: Just a confused townie most likely he being earnest I feel with him asking questions on how to play kinda reminds me of myself on my first game on TL. Tfrel: Null he can do most of his stuff as both alignments (Hinted at pregame he would do a really large post) Scott: He looked so damn townie when he was scum and he looks townie here to so null. Bourneq: Null he haven't really done much. Also Bourneq I'm here what's your thoughts so far? Here's his first post with reads. In order: His ObiWanShinobi read is acceptable. I would prefer to see a townread here, but null is fine, ObiWanShinobi hadn't done that much yet. Read on The Shining is fair enough. Read on LeiNadk is good, suggests that he is reading the game carefully. Read on me is fine. Read on scott31337 is good. Read on Bourneq is fine.
Only his reads on The Shining, LeiNadk, and scott31337 actually convey an opinion (and two of them are really weak).
From there, he is slightly suspicious of scott31337 for announcing that his vote is a pressure vote, but suggests that he could be town for increased activity compared to his last game (as mafia). The willingness to reconsider is good, the inconclusive result less so.
He then says that Bill Murray blue hunting is bad. No conclusion on Bill Murray's alignment, but does say that his vote on Onegu is bad as well (and says that he isn't sure of Bill Murray's alignment in the same post).
Finally, almost 40 hours into Day 1, LightningStrike comes up with an actual scumread (of sorts, he calls it a weird feeling). This read certainly isn't unique, Damdred and Bill Murray already mentioned it, and perhaps more.
In addition to his reads, most of LightningStrike's posts are defending himself or clarifying people who misinterpret his posts. I don't think that it is appropriate to scumread LightningStrike for this, especially at this time (hi Holyflare), but it's something to keep in mind. LightningStrike even acknowledges that this is thread sentiment in this post:On April 21 2015 02:00 LightningStrike wrote:Show nested quote +On April 21 2015 01:51 Trfel wrote:On April 21 2015 01:46 Bill Murray wrote: @TRFEL
"But I did notice that he called Foolishness a great player for town, while mentioning that he makes really long posts. And earlier, Bill Murray scumread me because I made a long post, and long posts are bad for town. Hm."
I said foolishness makes really long posts as Vanilla Town, not merely as town. I said your long post was null, Trfel. Why are you directly misrepresenting me constantly, over and over? It's really annoying. On April 20 2015 01:28 Bill Murray wrote: b. his head is up his own ass regarding this which is a reason he is cancerous and toxic to the town (big posts suck) You were saying? LightningStrike, what do you think of my case on Bourneq? I don't like I would argue he just trying new things (sheeping the thread sentiment) because he's still new and probably doesn't got a clue on to do stuff so sheeping would be a good option for that. He suggests that Bourneq switched to being suspicious of me due to following the thread sentiment (implying that the thread sentiment as he sees it is scumreading me).
On April 21 2015 08:48 LightningStrike wrote: Ya I not liking a Bourneq lynch now the martyrdom making me not want him lynched but there isn't really any good wagon for me to go on :| Implying that he was liking a Bourneq lynch in the past? Why didn't he say so? And if so, why didn't he reduce his suspicion of me, because I pushed Bourneq so much? Even if you assume that LightningStrike never wanted to lynch Bourneq, then his tone suggests that before Bourneq started martyring, he would have accepted it.
On April 21 2015 09:55 LightningStrike wrote: Well I not liking a scott or a cake pie lynch myself so I going to vote who I think can be scum. Tfrel's stuff been weird :| ##Vote:Tfrel His strongest scumread, and all he can say is that I've been weird? This is all he's said about me to this point (nearly the end of Day 1), that I'm weird.
On April 21 2015 10:17 LightningStrike wrote: Like I said I don't vote for people I don't think are scum and the fact that Tfrel hammered the guy he hard defended early is terrible. If Tfrel flips Mafia Scott is Mafia based on the way Tfrel hammered a townie he hard defended earlier. Plus I was getting vides of him being Mafia due to the fact that he posted similar educational stuff in his last student game that I had played with him when he was scum (Student V). Ignore the unflipped association read. He makes two points: that my hammer on cakepie, who I defended, is terrible, and that my "guide to mafia" is educational, and I did that in my last scum game. I don't remember if I really did that, but this is interesting, given his earlier post here:On April 19 2015 21:40 LightningStrike wrote: Tfrel: Null he can do most of his stuff as both alignments (Hinted at pregame he would do a really large post) So I am scummy for posting a guide on mafia, while I was null earlier (this post being the significant part of my folder) and hinted at doing so pregame?
I'm just not seeing as much as I would expect from LightningStrike. His one strong scumread (second scumread is unflipped association) was never actually explained until after the lynch (after he voted for me with confidence of my alignment), using one reason that happened after he decided that I was mafia and one reason that he already said was null.
I'm suspicious of LightningStrike here, but it's by no means a slam dunk.
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Resonse to LeiNadk's case on scott31337:
That's an interesting take. However, I don't necessarily think that it is alignment indicative.
His reads on ObiWanShinobi and Damdred aren't the best, but his reasoning (if vague) is correct. Also, it is fair that scott31337 immediately asked TheBloodyDwarf for reads, since TheBloodyDwarf didn't provide reads all game last game (which I think scott31337 observed). Scott31337 explained his reasoning in the post you quoted, and I think that it is fair. He wasn't looking for a strong read, he was looking for any sentiments at all, which by that time almost all of the players who had posted (including himself) had provided.
However, the way he unvoted this is indeed suspicious. My guess is that he decided it wasn't getting anywhere and wanted TheBloodyDwarf to feel less pressured, but I believe he was also under fire from LightningStrike for this at the time. This is strange. I had forgotten about this.
I disagree with your assessment that scott31337 isn't providing useful content. He isn't doing that much, and his posts are worded in un-convincing ways, but he is making reads. Allow me to explain.
I guess, here's the difference between my thoughts on Bourneq, LightningStrike, and scott31337.
All three haven't been producing very much content this game. That in itself isn't terribly alignment indicative. However, what else have they done?
Bourneq has shown some extremely strange read progressions.
LightningStrike didn't have any scumread until late in the day, plus the only specific reasons he gave were ones that occurred after he made his read. Furthermore, I know from experience that he is capable of more.
Scott31337's actions after End of Day look better. Unlike the other two, he hasn't done something truly suspicious (removing his vote on TheBloodyDwarf isn't as strange as what Bourneq and LightningStrike did). This doesn't make scott31337 town by any means, but it does make me hesitant to lynch him at the moment.
That's the difference.
You raised several good points, and I like your thinking. While I don't agree with you at this time, I will definitely keep an eye on scott31337.
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I'm tired, a lot of mafia for one day. Good night.
Thoughts on my cases on Bourneq and LightningStrike would be much appreciated. And thoughts on LeiNadk's case on scott31337 as well, I find it rather interesting.
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Bourneq's answer to my case on him is actually extremely interesting.
He refuted a lot of points that I wasn't actually making, and refuted several other points in ways that I don't understand. However, he seems extremely confident in what he is saying, and very determined. Because of this, it seems more likely that the inconsistencies that I see in his play are caused by different phrasing and communication between us than him actually being mafia here, especially given how he points at sentences that I interpret one way and then emphatically states a completely different interpretation.
I do note that the point titled "Bonus!" was a joke. Don't get so frustrated over a joke...
Anyway, I don't really want to lynch Bourneq any more. If my points on Bourneq were (in his eyes) correct, he would have given up long before. His persistence means that he believes them, even if I still don't understand some things in his play.
Still would like to see LightningStrike's response, however it seems that lack of reads is not alignment indicative in this game, and to an extreme degree.
I'm confident in Holyflare being town. He's been willing to lead the thread and discuss with everyone. His posts have had an honest tone to them, and I haven't noticed any of the tells that Holyflare leaves as mafia.
My guess is that the mafia are between scott31337, Damdred, LeiNadk, Onegu, and LightningStrike. But I'm not very confident in scott31337, Damdred, and LeiNadk being there.
When I look through Onegu's filter, he actually could be scum here. The most suspicious thing is that he voted for scott31337 for the OMGUS on Bill Murray, however when scott31337 pointed out that he made comments in Bill Murray's case, Onegu said that he didn't notice them. But never commented on how this affected ihs read, and didn't post anything useful all through End of Day.
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I suppose that actually makes Onegu my top suspect right now. LightningStrike would be my next best suspect, though I can easily see him being town here (very interested to see his response). After that, I don't really know. Holyflare and The Shining seem the most towny.
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Just to clarify....
Among the veteran players* on this site, the common opinion is that town should continue to discuss through the night just as much as they would during the day. Yes, it does provide the mafia more information for their night kills, but that is vastly outweighed by the increased discussion and information that town has to work with. And the mafia night kills aren't as important as town working together to catch mafia.
*And no, I'm not claiming to be a veteran player. I personally have no way to know if it is better to discuss at night or not, but I'm trusting experienced players on this.
I like scott31337's post above. I forgot that he showed suspicions of Onegu, and I look forward to hearing his reasoning.
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LightningStrike, when I look at your filter, it seems that your only real scumread is me. This isn't a problem in and of itself, but I would like to have you explain why you don't see anyone else as scummy?
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