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Guilty Mini Mafia - Page 6

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KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 16:20 GMT
#1211
On August 24 2014 01:17 Xatalos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 01:12 KelsierSC wrote:
On August 24 2014 01:08 Xatalos wrote:
On August 24 2014 00:53 KelsierSC wrote:
On August 24 2014 00:09 Xatalos wrote:
On August 23 2014 23:53 KelsierSC wrote:
On August 23 2014 23:10 Xatalos wrote:
On August 23 2014 22:54 KelsierSC wrote:
On August 23 2014 21:47 Xatalos wrote:
On August 23 2014 21:18 KelsierSC wrote:
[quote]

Completely destroyed? This never happened at all. You gave some non sensical posts about "forgetting to push" let's be real.



With one of your arguments being factually false, one of them being a nulltell rather than scumtell, and the others actually being towntells (for me, not in general), I think it's pretty destroyed.


This fallacy that you destroyed my argument is completely ridiculous.

1) The older points that you are scum still exist. You had a terrible first list post I didn't like any of your reads, to me that means you are not reading the game correctly that makes you scum to me and a good lynch. I didn't like your weird Dam interactions and also you had a bunch of null reads with everyone either "maybe town could be scum" like it is just non commital gibberish.

2) The main sticking point is when Hapa came out with his read, you had called rayn maybe town, but then as soon as hapa came out you jumped on it and you sheeped all his reasons. ESPECIALLY the "attack" on yamato which apparently hadn't noticed.

3) You then gave a bunch of shitty reasons why yam is town a lot of them were just factually incorrect about how he is giving his reads and seems up for this game which just isn't true, like yam is really scummy to me and you having the same read as him and reading him town is really scummy.

4) This is just my personal opinion here but you seem to be trying to make a lot of posts to seem town but a lot of them are just nothing. Like "where is robik, this is weird" It gives the impression you are trying to figure things out but it is just a lot of garbage trying to throw suspicon.

5
ll of my reads besides the Masons are now -1, 0, 1 or 2 points


This is what bugs me, you are really happy to sheep any read you get but you have none of those people as your town.


1) Actually wrong reads (especially very early, initial reads) come more often from town. As scum you have perfect information so it's easy to make your reads somewhat believable. I always craft my reads carefully as scum to be as believable and focused as possible. So I don't really see your point here even if you're somehow right about everything and I'm wrong about everything (no way). The Damdred vote was just something to start the day with, nothing that serious. Btw my notes were my real-time thoughts as I read the thread and nothing like a case or anything. Hard to be immediately 100% sure early on as you read stuff.

2) False. I never called rayn town or even "maybe town". At best null. What you're exaggerating is when I said that "I could see the town motivation behind making that stunt". That's not even any longer the case since clearly there was none - he immediately abandoned the whole idea since my notes matched with my play and there was nothing to push me with.

3) Just stupid. Experienced scum players NEVER, I repeat NEVER do stuff like hard-defend each other and push stuff together. It's about the same as claiming Masons together. This is what gets newb scumteams killed.

4) Go read Arnie Got a Gun Mafia if you think fluff posts indicate scum Xatalos.

5) +2 towny is already somewhat town. And if the argument is good, it's not like I have to 100% townread the one who presented it.


Explain why you townread yamato though your reasons dont make sense

why were you so happy to sheep hapas read

i dont really need to read other games, it isnt hard to mimic your town play if your town play is to have no reads what so ever.


Again, he's absolutely useless and unmotivated as scum. He doesn't show emotion. That's from my experience. I don't like how he's lurking so much and avoiding hot topics of discussion though, plus Hapa made some decent points about how he doesn't have real confidence in his reads and how he leaves the thread at crucial points. So currently he's only +1 and he will drop further if his lurking behavior continues.

I've been concerned about rayn all game and I've never thought he's town, something I've ALWAYS concluded at some point during D1 if he's town. However, I didn't want to lynch him based on a gut feeling because 1) he'd be an NK magnet as town 2) he could become a real asset as town at some point. Then he did a really shady push on Damdred where I really doubt he even believed in it himself (all his arguments were just wrong / misinterpreted). I was really wavering on believing he could possibly be town. Just then Hapa came out with an additional point pointing to scum rayn and I decided that I'd rather lynch probable scum rather than flip a coin (on yamato who had barely posted at that point, and actually yamato returned to the thread around then as well while showing some of his towny traits - emotion, constantly posting stuff etc.). So that's why.

I'd hardly say I have "no reads whatsoever" when I townread you and scumread rayn. My other reads are still under evaluation. Onegu is probably town too though because he instantly focused on figuring out the game when he started posting earlier. As scum he's pretty... unfocused.


I think we must just disagree on how Yam has played this game, For me he has tried to BW that push on rayn and then kind of disappeared and posted random bullshit it seems unmotivated and useless.

What bothers me most about your attack on rayn is the timing of things, I just don't like how you later posted the notes on rayn that included the thing he said about yamato, but you never even brought that up until Hapa remembered it for you. Like that seems a big thing to forget on someone you are wavering town on.

you said that everyone has a score of "-1 to 2" so I don't think any of that is concrete. Also I am curious you town reading me when I read Yam as scum and rayn as town.



You can be wrong and town. It happens all the time, especially since you don't know me or anyone else here. By the way currently my points go from -3 to 3. Even so I'm really a bit conservative with my points. Even GB & turtlevine are only 8 when they're pretty much confirmed. An extreme townread would be something like 5 or 6.

Hm. Well I guess we'll see about yamato. It's a bit hard to explain, but his tone is just so different. In the PYP game all his posts were bored / resigned. Here he's actually excited to play (that's the feeling I got). I can't say he hasn't been useless, but he's useless as town too.

I'm not completely sure what you mean there? Obviously I added the scummy 1&2&3 points to my notes only *after* I thought of them - when Damdred had just made his push on Damdred and Hapa had started his push. It's not like I had them in my notes all along (LOL how could that even be possible - the Damdred thing happened way after I posted my notes earlier).


With the notes thing I am specifically talking about the yamato thing., you posted notes once that didnt have the yamato question but the 2nd notes you posted did, this was way after the original question rayn asked.

Your reads are just too different to mine at the moment Xat.


Could you explain your current reads in full? I'll give you my opinion on them.

Yeah I didn't notice the yamato point in rayn's filter since it was so huge until Hapa brought it up. I only added it to my notes after Hapa mentioned it. Not really sure what's unclear here.


Basically you were wavering on Rayn and finding it hard to read him so missing out the point about yamato which is now a major crux of your scum read just doesn't add up to me. Like if it is now such a big deal how did you miss it before.
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 16:22 GMT
#1212
As for my reads

Town - Dam,GB,Turtle,JAT,VA,WoS,rayn,Hapa

Scum - Yam,Xat

null - Onegu

Obviously one of town reads is wrong but for d1 i like to make a big town circle and eliminate from there.

Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 16:46 GMT
#1216
On August 24 2014 01:34 WaveofShadow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 01:18 KelsierSC wrote:
So earlier on I said that WoS would be a good lynch but now I am pretty convinced he is town.

I already said I didn't like the early game from him but I think he has done enough now to get my town pass. Specifically.

He brought up some good points about Dama, I still think dama is town but WoS had accurate reads on him.

He never really trusted Yam and now he voted on him and brought up more good points, I also think Yam is scum I really like this read.

I think he is frustrated with rayn but still reads him town, I have the same read

His last post seemed really well thought out and his analysis of Hapa seemed well constructed ALTHOUGH I don't have experience with Hapa so im not sure if it is true.

Xat but him as a +4 early, I think xat is scum, I don't think Xat would +4 a partner that early.

He voted on Yam who is a top lynch of mine.

TLDR - WoS is really town

SO you really completely re-evaluated your read on me based on one post?
I'm not a huge fan of how all of your reads seem to be entirely based on whether they agree with you or not.
Pretty terrible heuristic imo.

Also VA do I detect a hint of tryhard? You scum?


No it wasn't one post, I checked your filter and I liked your points about Dama, I also think you brought up some points about yamata which I agreed with. I think your post and your vote were good so you are definitely not a lynch for me today
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 16:49 GMT
#1218
Part of my reads are based on people who are reading the game the same way as me, not all of it though.

Otherwise why are Hapa and Rayn both in my town list.
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 16:56 GMT
#1223
On August 24 2014 01:50 WaveofShadow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 01:46 KelsierSC wrote:
On August 24 2014 01:34 WaveofShadow wrote:
On August 24 2014 01:18 KelsierSC wrote:
So earlier on I said that WoS would be a good lynch but now I am pretty convinced he is town.

I already said I didn't like the early game from him but I think he has done enough now to get my town pass. Specifically.

He brought up some good points about Dama, I still think dama is town but WoS had accurate reads on him.

He never really trusted Yam and now he voted on him and brought up more good points, I also think Yam is scum I really like this read.

I think he is frustrated with rayn but still reads him town, I have the same read

His last post seemed really well thought out and his analysis of Hapa seemed well constructed ALTHOUGH I don't have experience with Hapa so im not sure if it is true.

Xat but him as a +4 early, I think xat is scum, I don't think Xat would +4 a partner that early.

He voted on Yam who is a top lynch of mine.

TLDR - WoS is really town

SO you really completely re-evaluated your read on me based on one post?
I'm not a huge fan of how all of your reads seem to be entirely based on whether they agree with you or not.
Pretty terrible heuristic imo.

Also VA do I detect a hint of tryhard? You scum?


No it wasn't one post, I checked your filter and I liked your points about Dama, I also think you brought up some points about yamata which I agreed with. I think your post and your vote were good so you are definitely not a lynch for me today

My points about Damdred were before I left early yesterday and after you had continued to call me scum since.
The Xat point is something I've been dwelling on, btw. I don't know what this mafia tools shit is, but to me it looks like it should make Xat all-but-confirmed town. Otherwise the +4 is and always has been fishy. I may end up attempting to ignore the copy paste thing and filter diving him as well.


Yeh at the time the Dam read felt weak and generic but he as shown recently that he does tend to disappear or stay quiet around important topics. So in hindsight that was a pretty good read from you.

I still think Dam is town but your read of him was from a town perspective imo
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 16:57 GMT
#1224
On August 24 2014 01:55 WaveofShadow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 01:49 KelsierSC wrote:
Part of my reads are based on people who are reading the game the same way as me, not all of it though.

Otherwise why are Hapa and Rayn both in my town list.

I forget the exact quote but something BH said a while ago about 'you have to look at the meaning behind the facts?' lol

Reads themselves don't mean shit. Assuming you're town, it would be so easy for any scummer in this game to see that you have a hardon for people who read the game in the same as you and just float along. What is important is in the thought process and how they arrived at the same conclusions as you. Yeah your Hapa/Rayn thing being town is a little different and I'm leaning towards the same thing (unsure on Hapa still tbh) but a lot of the time the main points you bring against people (me earlier in the game, Damdred for example) are solely based on your conclusions versus theirs. It's been bothering me ever since you started doing it because in theory it's an easy way to pocket people.


I agree, but for D1 I think it is an accurate heuristic
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 17:00 GMT
#1229
Also it isn't just they have the same read but it is the style of the read.

so for example. I like you because you have the same read on yamata but also you offer some insight into why you have the read and it didn't feel like you were sheeping anyone else so it felt towny to me.
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 17:03 GMT
#1237
Onegu can you give me reads on some other players in the game.

Specifically i want a read from you on Hap, Yam , Dam and Xat.
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 17:05 GMT
#1240
On August 24 2014 02:02 WaveofShadow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 02:00 KelsierSC wrote:
Also it isn't just they have the same read but it is the style of the read.

so for example. I like you because you have the same read on yamata but also you offer some insight into why you have the read and it didn't feel like you were sheeping anyone else so it felt towny to me.

What do you consider sheeping?
Is it something town or scum do?
When and why?


Sheeping is what I think Yam and Xat did with the Hapa read because they didn't really add anything to the original points and just hopped on a bw.

It feels scummy to me.

They do it if they want to push a ML.
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 17:12 GMT
#1249
On August 24 2014 02:07 WaveofShadow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 02:05 KelsierSC wrote:
On August 24 2014 02:02 WaveofShadow wrote:
On August 24 2014 02:00 KelsierSC wrote:
Also it isn't just they have the same read but it is the style of the read.

so for example. I like you because you have the same read on yamata but also you offer some insight into why you have the read and it didn't feel like you were sheeping anyone else so it felt towny to me.

What do you consider sheeping?
Is it something town or scum do?
When and why?


Sheeping is what I think Yam and Xat did with the Hapa read because they didn't really add anything to the original points and just hopped on a bw.

It feels scummy to me.

They do it if they want to push a ML.


Alright, say you're town and have no strong reads at the end of the day. You have a near-confirmed-but-not-quite townie on your team. How do you vote?


If by the end of the day I had no strong reads I would probably just suicide for being useless.

In all seriousness yes I would probably vote along with the confirmed town..

Was that the case in this situation? It was not near the end of day and it was the FIRST post Hapa had made, he was nowhere near confirmed.

Dam what is your read on WoS now?
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 17:31 GMT
#1268
On August 24 2014 02:18 Xatalos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 01:22 KelsierSC wrote:
As for my reads

Town - Dam,GB,Turtle,JAT,VA,WoS,rayn,Hapa

Scum - Yam,Xat

null - Onegu

Obviously one of town reads is wrong but for d1 i like to make a big town circle and eliminate from there.



I'd like explanations as well but I'll go with this and examine the similarities and differences. Apparently a big reason for you to scumread me is that our "reads are different" so this should at last put your argument to rest.

GB/turtlevine - obviously agreed

WOS/Hapa/jat - agreed

Damdred - somewhat agreed but I think there's a chance he could be scum - definitely not for the reasons rayn mentioned though, and not a lynch candidate for now - town?

VA - apparently serious VA = scum VA, I don't really know VA that well but I wouldn't at least townread him so easily - scum?

rayn - pretty hard to townread him when he's constantly brought BS arguments against me, ignored his own strategy to read me (probably because it would just make me look good), softpushed / validated his reads from the thread, pushed a REALLY bad case against Damdred etc. - scum

yamato - useless yamato isn't necessarily scum yamato, and I think he's shown some of his townie characteristics... with that said his continued lurking and making these quick useless posts here and there doesn't look good so I'm not very confident to call him town anymore - nullish

Onegu - I think his entrance to the thread was good, not a fan of his repeated questions about the Masons though - town lean still

Overall if we ignore GB/turtlevine, we agree on 4 out of 8 reads and the only significant difference is rayn/VA. Why do you townread VA btw?


I think I posted about it earlier

On August 23 2014 07:30 KelsierSC wrote:
I think Dam is town for D1 and there are better lynches.

So I was going to add that All vayne has done was make some dumb jokes and then tell people they have derailed the game or you have messed up the thread ahhh. without really giving reads himself and i didn't like that.

But now I think his read is kind of accurate, I don't agree I think Dam is down, But I will take Vane off the table for a D1 lynch.


As for the reads I still don't have enough to read Onegu to be honest and the rayn , yamato, Hapa interactions is the real thing I am focusing on right now and we just read that situation totally different and you came off scummy to me.

Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 17:34 GMT
#1272
On August 24 2014 02:22 Xatalos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 02:05 KelsierSC wrote:
On August 24 2014 02:02 WaveofShadow wrote:
On August 24 2014 02:00 KelsierSC wrote:
Also it isn't just they have the same read but it is the style of the read.

so for example. I like you because you have the same read on yamata but also you offer some insight into why you have the read and it didn't feel like you were sheeping anyone else so it felt towny to me.

What do you consider sheeping?
Is it something town or scum do?
When and why?


Sheeping is what I think Yam and Xat did with the Hapa read because they didn't really add anything to the original points and just hopped on a bw.

It feels scummy to me.

They do it if they want to push a ML.


In fact Hapa only added one argument against rayn and I have several more.


I think Hapa posted about the yamato question, and him flipping around on people.

you added the dama interaction, which i didn't think was that scummy.

Point is you only posted you thought he was scum after Hapa did and AFTER your original notes which rayn as like a null with a town point .
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 18:02 GMT
#1305
Dam do you still think rayn is scum?
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 18:37 GMT
#1313
Onegu can you give reads on other players please.

Xat,Hapa,Yam and Dam would be interesting to hear about
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 19:16 GMT
#1340
I am happy to vote on yamata but I want to hear reads form Onegu as I don't want him to skate by with what I consider a pretty poor read on rayn that coincided with a lot of people scum reading rayn.



Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 19:28 GMT
#1348
On August 24 2014 04:25 Xatalos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 03:44 WaveofShadow wrote:
On August 24 2014 03:32 Xatalos wrote:
turtlevine is clearly an experienced player + town so him pushing Hapa makes me think about the meaning of life.

Although his read of me is bad, I can't just ignore him scumreading Hapa - I'm no expert on Hapa and certainly there's room for error in my judgment. I hope Hapa returns soon and really proves that he's town. Him dropping the rayn read based on spam and leaving didn't leave the best last impression.

Ok, but I don't see you doing anything about this.
Who is turtle, Xat, and what do you know of whom you think it is?

Also why are people not voting for yamato exactly? I see lots of waffling over Rayn/hapa, fine, but correct me if I'm wrong but no one currently has a townread on yamato, do they?

Also fuck lynching damdred today I don't have time for a filterdive until later tonight and I'm not confident enough.


He's really obviously a smurf with a lot of experience (Prome? not sure but someone good anyway) + he's basically confirmed as town. These points combined lead me to at least show some level of respect for his play, so perhaps I should revisit my townread of Hapa. Well, Hapa just returned so I hope to see more from him from now on.

Maybe yamato deserves a lynch if he keeps popping in and out of the thread without offering much of anything. It's also not a loss even if he ends up town. I still feel like rayn is scum here and I haven't seen anything to really make me feel otherwise.


If you are now unsure of Hapa you have to be unsure of rayn because of how hard Hapa went at him.

Also you need to respond to JAT's point, why do you not have an issue with WoS's question?
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 19:31 GMT
#1359
On August 24 2014 04:29 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 04:26 justanothertownie wrote:
Hapa, you doing something right now? If you still want some targets to analyse -> Xatalos and Onegu for starters.


As for Xatalos... the 14 pages makes me think he's town. That seems mind-boggling for mafia to do - it's a different level of activity all together.

I could definitely go through his filter and nitpick stuff (as have others), but I would find it incredibly difficult for Xat to maintain this level of activity as mafia. Hell I would be impressed if *anyone* had 14 pages on Day 1 as mafia.


He can just mimic his town game which is to post a lot of "confused town" nonsense and give everyone a null read.

I literally think one of his posts was "hmmmmmmmm"

Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 19:32 GMT
#1360


If you are now unsure of Hapa you have to be unsure of rayn because of how hard Hapa went at him.


Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 19:39 GMT
#1373
Xat how are you still sure rayn is scum if you are now unsure that Hap is town.

you are still dodging that
Zerg for Life
KelsierSC
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United Kingdom10443 Posts
August 23 2014 19:45 GMT
#1383
On August 24 2014 04:44 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2014 04:39 justanothertownie wrote:
On August 24 2014 04:37 Hapahauli wrote:
On August 24 2014 04:36 justanothertownie wrote:
On August 24 2014 04:34 Hapahauli wrote:
On August 24 2014 04:32 justanothertownie wrote:
On August 24 2014 04:29 Hapahauli wrote:
On August 24 2014 04:26 justanothertownie wrote:
Hapa, you doing something right now? If you still want some targets to analyse -> Xatalos and Onegu for starters.


As for Xatalos... the 14 pages makes me think he's town. That seems mind-boggling for mafia to do - it's a different level of activity all together.

I could definitely go through his filter and nitpick stuff (as have others), but I would find it incredibly difficult for Xat to maintain this level of activity as mafia. Hell I would be impressed if *anyone* had 14 pages on Day 1 as mafia.

Ok, so basically you townread Onegu and Xatalos. So in your eyes all 3 of rayns targets are town. But you don't scumread him anymore?


Rayn's gone off the deep end and is scum-reading literally everyone that reads him as mafia.

Thinking someone is town =/= agreeing with their reads, or I'd call myself mafia and lynch myself.

While that is of course true I still think it is weird for you to think that this is ok for townrayn to think if you are town.


How is it weird? Townies OMGUS like this all the time, particularly Rayn.

Well, you basically say that you are scummy enough for a very good townplayer to scumread you. And not only is this player wrong on you but also on all his other scumreads.


Well all of Rayn's reads are based of me being mafia and all mafia therefore attacking him. When you start with axioms like that, it's not weird for me to disagree with him.

And what I don't understand is... if I was mafia, why wouldn't I just keep pushing him? I'd have a really good shot of lynching him between the two votes already on him, myself, and yamato. Instead I backed off and drew a shitton of unnecessary attention on myself.


Yeh this is why I read hapa as town.
Zerg for Life
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