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marvellosity
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On June 27 2013 23:57 Zephirdd wrote: Actually /out put JarJar or WoS in my place because I'll play on another game. A super secret game for cool people that peasants can't join ![]() Liar ^_^ | ||
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On June 30 2013 06:13 raynpelikoneet wrote: marv, now that i can be sure that you are town and i do actually have to find scum instead of bullshitting around, let's work together and find all the mafia on D1. Deal? i've fakeclaimed miller as mafia before ![]() my activity will be worst on day 1. | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:30 raynpelikoneet wrote: We are not lynching Vayne. We are lynching you/WoS/Fuba, so why can't you just comment on them? You had two days to make a case on Vayne, and you failed. You don't get us to look at him now, 30min before the lynch, when you have shown no interest in asking us to do that before. why are we not lynching Vayne? His filter is extraordinarily short (i know, i know). also just found this On July 02 2013 01:16 VayneAuthority wrote: can we agree collectively as a game to not claim roles in this open setup? It's pretty broken and I didn't sign up for a lets all claim and lynch at 50/50 game. With that said I am mainly looking at lazer/WoS now. Lazer's posting has been fairly more townie as of recently but the fact that he OMGUS'd me from my accusations is a bit alarming when he gave very little reasoning. It seems like he's trying to keep himself on the good side of most of the people in the game so instead of scum hunting he just goes right back at the accuser. As for WoS I am not really a fan of what he's done so far, he has been very passive yet exceedingly angry which is somewhat how he played in Les Mis. The fact that he says I am playing differently and doesn't know what to make of it leads me to believe that he knows I am town somehow, might have been a scumslip. Vayne pretty much admits himself in past games that he likes to solve games by night interactions and kills, claims etc. Seems completely against his MO to advise against it this game. | ||
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I cannot find anything in his filter that suggests he's a bad lynch. | ||
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##Vote: Vayne | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:25 raynpelikoneet wrote: He has similar suspects to me, besides Stutters. He has good reasoning behind his posts. He is looking into places i think are right. you mean this? | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:36 raynpelikoneet wrote: What do you marv think about Lazer having Vayne as a scumread for all the game and not pushing him at any point until 30min before the lynch? That does not raise red flags at all? haven't got time to work all that out, i'm just looking at Vayne's filter and it's pathetic. Lazer's filter looks like he's trying. | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:39 raynpelikoneet wrote: Yet you have posted a lot yesterday. Instead of pushing Vayne you hopped on JarJar "because nobody would lynch Vayne with you". Yes. they're shocking reasons and you need to re-read his filter. | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:42 Vivax wrote: No, you need to post reasons to lynch Vayne. You just finished reading the game and pretend to know that WoS and Vayne are scum. First you ask for WoS to be lynched. When that doesn't work, you start pushing Vayne. You clearly don't want to lynch neither Lazer nor fuba. Not sure about fuba and Lazer is trying too hard. Vayne doesn't care about the game and Vayne is always at the forefront of town when he's town (and much less so as scum). I understand from something in his filter that he was away at some point, but having returned he's just given lists of people he's happy to lynch into and nothing else of substance. His standing in town is precisely the opposite of what I expect from town-Vayne and much more what I'd expect from scum-Vayne. I can't point to anything in his filter that I found townie, in addition I already pointed out soemthing that I think flies totally in the face of his town MO. | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:46 raynpelikoneet wrote: marv, i really don't see anything that's bad in Vayne's filter. And besides that, he seems far more readable than in his past games. then you're blind. | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:45 s0Lstice wrote: While I'm catching up..I see Marv is back. Marv, do me a favor and read through Stutters quick and tell me what you think. he looks like Stutters | ||
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On July 02 2013 01:16 VayneAuthority wrote: can we agree collectively as a game to not claim roles in this open setup? It's pretty broken and I didn't sign up for a lets all claim and lynch at 50/50 game. With that said I am mainly looking at lazer/WoS now. Lazer's posting has been fairly more townie as of recently but the fact that he OMGUS'd me from my accusations is a bit alarming when he gave very little reasoning. It seems like he's trying to keep himself on the good side of most of the people in the game so instead of scum hunting he just goes right back at the accuser. As for WoS I am not really a fan of what he's done so far, he has been very passive yet exceedingly angry which is somewhat how he played in Les Mis. The fact that he says I am playing differently and doesn't know what to make of it leads me to believe that he knows I am town somehow, might have been a scumslip. This entire post could literally not be any more indecisive. | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:51 raynpelikoneet wrote: so we have 10min, who do we lynch? Marv are you sure vayne is scum? no, and my viewpoint is more uninformed than usual, in that I'm basically discounting people (fuba, gumshoe being two good examples) because I haven't got time to think about it properly. I can't see why Vayne is town though. His last 4 or 5 posts in his filter are all saying he;s happy lynching into numerous people or giving reasoning without conclusions. That's where I stand right now. Who's leading the lynch? Why are they a better lynch? | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:56 s0Lstice wrote: In regards to Vayne: This post is the most analysis I've ever seen him do on day 1. This is lame, but I feel inclined to give townie points here. It feels like a genuine change. What do you guys think about this post? WoS was talking about it a little earlier. Why even make a post like this as town? Have you bothered looking at his subsequent posts for how his view changes on Lazer? How he's as non-committal as fuck basically? | ||
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Also I'll be able to read fuba tomorrow much better than Vayne xDDD | ||
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On July 02 2013 06:03 s0Lstice wrote: 48/24 Time cycle, deadline 18:00 EDT (-04:00) I thought we have an hour? Marv you'd be the last person I'd sheep right now. My claim makes me very very likely town, so this is a really fucking dumb thing to say. | ||
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On July 02 2013 06:08 s0Lstice wrote: you've been gone pretty much all of day 1. this is a pretty terrible time to be arguing about it, so let's argue later this is the perfect time to be arguing about it because there's a lynch on the line. the fact i've been away all day changes nothing about the claim itself, which rayn was right about. | ||
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On July 02 2013 06:08 JarJarDrinks wrote: anyone have a vote count? why did you dump your vote on WoS then leave? | ||
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On July 02 2013 06:11 s0Lstice wrote: I'm not even talking about the claim. I'm talking about your reads. You being gone and out of the flow of the thread doesn't give me a lot of confidence. You just said a minute ago that certain players are too dense for you to even read right now. I don't mean this as a personal insult, just you don't have the clout to be asking people to be sheeping you right now. Sure I do. I read Vayne properly. Dunno why you're behaving like this, it isn't helpful. | ||
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On July 02 2013 06:23 Vivax wrote: Oh you might have meant fuba *facepalm* I know how desperate you are to tunnel me on every occasion, but cmon man ^^ | ||
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how about you answer for it? | ||
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On July 02 2013 06:40 Vivax wrote: Marv you need to tell me what aftershave you use whatever my grandparents get me for christmas ![]() | ||
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win win all round. the game only revolves around me right? | ||
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On July 02 2013 06:50 raynpelikoneet wrote: Vayne's disappereacne and not caring about the lynch is far more incriminating than what WoS has done because we don't know where he is, at all... yeah, that's pretty much the reasoning i've rested on at this stage. | ||
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On July 02 2013 06:53 JarJarDrinks wrote: I'm back Me. Pretty sure my vote's already there. why don't you consolidate with me on the guy who's not-cop | ||
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On July 02 2013 06:59 Vivax wrote: Just judging by this deadline it's clear that this game is not going to be easy -_- ya. | ||
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On July 02 2013 07:11 VayneAuthority wrote: you guys are fucking retarded, I went out grocery shopping and I come back lynched without a chance to defend myself? not even considering that a lynch on this site. Morons, no gg here. this makes it all worthwhile, rofl | ||
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stop posting in my thread, dumbass ![]() | ||
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On July 02 2013 19:34 Vivax wrote: I'm 99 % sure only the names listed are in the game. It says "these roles will be in the game". Why would the host give someone a name other than ones listed there? Actually it says "The following characters may be in the game" which is not quite the same thing. The reason would be to prevent massclaiming potentially breaking the game ![]() | ||
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On July 02 2013 20:02 Oatsmaster wrote: also flavor is tailored to each role Don't see how flavour is relevant; I assume before whatever shenannies happened every single role had attached fluff (including fakeclaims / one not present). Anyways I'll muse this claim thing over when I'm not at work and so staring into the distance for 5-10 minutes won't get me noticed ^_^ | ||
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On July 02 2013 20:37 Oatsmaster wrote: well I meant day 2, sunrise. Doesnt really matter, just after the night actions. What are the downsides other than it outs our blues? That's pretty much the downside. | ||
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On July 01 2013 07:00 mkfuba07 wrote: Vivax's first post after returning actually had a really good point in it. Not that what marv did was scummy, but that the miller claim definitely can't be taken as a town tell now. Rayn followed that post with this: "No it's not. Fakeclaiming miller 5min into the game is dumb and unnecessary as scum and if someone was dumb enough to fakeclaim after marv we had a 50% chance to right out catch them by having them post the role PM first." I'm starting to see what oats was getting at, now. Rayn seems incapable of believing marv is scum, even though it's been shown that the claim is unreliable. Like, in that quote, while admitting the possibility of a fakeclaim, he refuses to believe it could be marv lying. -snip- Vivax: I like what he's said about rayn, wasn't impressed by marv's supposed scumminess for not posting his full role PM. That assumes that town marv would have naturally posted his role PM when claiming miller, something that I don't think is a natural inclination. The fact that he went into Carnival Cruise and found evidence of rayn's previous reactions to miller claims gives him some townie points. Overall, slight town, though he's apparently thinking about marv a lot, which I find strange given that marv hasn't really been here at all. rayn: After Vivax's marv post, I expected rayn to be less insistent on him being confirmed town. It would have been *much* easier for scum to fakeclaim miller in this situation than I thought, and I don't see how this isn't obvious from a town perspective. Add to that Vivax's case, where he points out that rayn accepts the existence of a miller at face value, and I'm pretty convinced. He's far too eager to accept the claim as truth, when it should now have little effect on the mind of a townie. My only reluctance to vote for him is his activity level, which I tend to associate with town. ##Vote: raynpelikoneet On July 02 2013 01:39 mkfuba07 wrote: And it would have been easier this game because every single person in the thread posted before we realized that millers should claim their names as well. Marv could *easily* have figured that out beforehand and gone with it since he knew he had a pre-game excuse for not posting for a while. The fact that you accepted the claim as just about 100% guaranteed so quickly, and then failed to realize the rest of this is what makes you so scummy. Am I to understand that the basis for your scumread on rayn is the idea that not posting my role PM makes my roleclaim more unreliable? I'm not entirely sure I understand this, given two millers in a game this size seems quite unlikely to start with. Do you think a mafia-marv in this scenario takes the risk of claiming miller straight off the bat, crossing my fingers as to regards role names, or am I hoping for a 1-for-1? Am I hoping to argue there are two millers? I'm asking all this because it seems like it's basically the only basis for your scumread on rayn. Is there anything else I'm missing? On July 02 2013 05:52 mkfuba07 wrote: rofl, it's because I think stutters is scum. My problem with the lynch is that I want to lynch rayn, which apparently isn't going to happen today, or stutters, who I'm surprised so many people have a town read on. It's not a "stupid fucking argument". Of course, if you didn't play in Roulette then you might not understand what I'm talking about, but there are contradictions between how he played then and how he's playing now that point towards him being scum. Unfortunately, as those contradictions center around his responses to me, others apparently don't find that compelling. I'm not really sure what your scumread on Stutters consists of; you twice mention he's playing like some townie from another game (Vayne in roulette...). It seems you think your case rests on your disagreements with the points he's made, but I'm not finding any significant narrative within those posts as to why he's actually mafia. Can you explain the contradictions + differences and why they make Stutters mafia? | ||
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On July 02 2013 06:05 s0Lstice wrote: I could do fuba though if its not stutters, that's not a bad lynch. ##vote mkfuba On July 02 2013 06:29 s0Lstice wrote: wife and kids are home. all things considered, I think fuba is a pretty decent lynch. I was nullish, but his more recent stuff looks bad news bears. let's stay put here. | ||
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On July 02 2013 21:48 mkfuba07 wrote: Oh, and before I forget, is this another promise of action that you've neglected? Given I can think of at least one example you've played with Stutters before (LIX) and I know in that game it was brought up that Stutters does this as town all the time, why are you bringing this up here? | ||
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Further I don't like how his vote was parked uselessly on JarJar at the end of the day (despite saying he was going to remove it as well). | ||
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On July 02 2013 22:42 JarJarDrinks wrote: He unvoted So he did, I was going by iGrok's final votecount. Yo hosts, what are you doing about the dude who didn't place a vote? | ||
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On July 02 2013 22:41 Oatsmaster wrote: this is town tell imo. Town dont really care where their votes end up and why not just vote for vayne anyway. Not true of any competent townie I know of. | ||
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On July 02 2013 22:53 Oatsmaster wrote: so you think gumshoe is competent? And competent scum also dont do shit like that. So yeah.. Sorry, you're never gonna get it past me that scum care about their votes more than townies. | ||
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On July 02 2013 22:56 JarJarDrinks wrote: Regardless he unvoted so the point is moo. What is wierd though is how he disappeared during the crucial part of the day. Especially considering he used that exact same reasoning to build his case against Stutters and myself. See if I was like him, I'd start throwing out all these theorys that he couldn't refute about how the mass roleclaim idea scared him away and he purposefully stayed away from the thread. In fairness he did say his activity would be spotty on Day 1, Canada day and what have you. I agree with you that it's at best extremely hypocritical with the Stutters thing. | ||
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On July 02 2013 23:30 JarJarDrinks wrote: In fact, I relooked @ the piggyback accusation and check this out: Here's my first post that he's referring to: Am I really piggybacking? I acknowledge oats case barely and then give 3 of my own reasons for thinking rayne was scummy. And also I wasn't attacking lazer and I certainly wasn't associating them as if they were in league. And then again he mentions actvity by saying that I didn't comment on stutters long absence. Like, I commented on stutters actual posts. What could he possibly expect me to say about the fact that he wasn't posting? gumshoe, I'm curious about what Jarjar picked up with the bolded. You attack Jarjar for groundlessly attacking Jarjar, when Jarjar had merely said he didn't see why Lazer should be a townread. Do you understand how that looks like you were grabbing and twisting at stuff? Or do you have a different explanation? | ||
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On July 03 2013 01:05 gumshoe wrote: I believe scum would find passive aggressive ways to throw doubt on people. him saying "nothing in his posting looks townie" is effectively him saying he looked through his filter, and found him null/scum. The tone of it sounded scum to me though because of the sort of double pronged(associating rayne and lazer) passive way it came across. Isn't the townie explanation that he sees someone with what he views as a weird townread and doesn't tally it with his own mentality/view of the game? | ||
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On July 03 2013 01:03 WaveofShadow wrote: Because of the way he uses it. As town you want to try and get answers and reads from as many people as possible and especially that early in the game I'd argue it's a bad idea to trust anyone completely. The fact that Stutters values Vivax's opinions so much above those of anyone else looks like scum buddying up to a player widely regarded as town (though possible Vivax is not town himself, though I admit a buddying attempt this obvious is unlikely to be 2 scum). He echoes Vivax's sentiments in many ways and to me it looks more likely to come from scum with weak reads/no good reads of his own. Maybe, but I see townies blatantly sheeping on to people all the time (more than mafia I'd say) for good or bad. e.g. for whatever reason Vivax just blindly sheeped BlazingHand (who was scum) d1 in...er... The Game, Baker did the same to SMMccoy in Smurf, players like fuba/Clarity_nl sometimes just blatantly sheep on to me. Also this is a PM from a friend recently: My day 1 is usually a complete crapshoot. I sheep someone who I think is town, or someone who I like (hi!), cross my damn fingers and hope it doesn't blow up in my face. D2 onwards is where I usually always pick up steam. I understand what you're getting at, I'm just struggling to see why it's so different from how townies often go about doing similar. | ||
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On July 03 2013 01:16 gumshoe wrote: But then what is he implying? That Rayne is giving Lazer a free pass? Then hes still accusing and associating them in shallow way, I'm sorry but I find that scummy. If you see someone scummy or null and someone else views them townie and you just don't understand why, it's not valid to mention it? Stop throwing around the word "association", literally every interaction between anyone is an association. It's no point saying "sorry I find it scummy" when I'm providing an alternate, very plausible narrative. | ||
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On July 03 2013 02:02 WaveofShadow wrote: You know marv, for someone who claimed miller so early with no name you certainly do resist this a whole lot. On July 03 2013 02:14 WaveofShadow wrote: I'm trying to say that unless scum were given fakeclaims (he 'assumes' as such, though probably a fair assumption since otherwse iGrok would basically be allowing his game to be broken) he could be resisting this for the obvious reason that when he claimed he didn't realize we would be allowed to do this, and now is worried about being caught as scum. I consider all possibilities and yes it's possible he's miller and he just happened not to bother claiming the name at that point (or at any point after that) but then again, why the weak resisting? Either way D2 is going to be very interesting. I won't be around from a little before deadline to a few hours after at which point I'll be pretty active (assuming da guy goes to sleep) so if you guys want to wait and claim then, great. Otherwise you're going to have to wait for mine. How is this 'playing it down' or 'weakly resisting'? It's discussing various facets? I randomly brought it up in the thread myself because I was musing on it. Given practically everyone hitherto had accepted the claim, what the crap do you think I was trying to achieve? On July 03 2013 02:30 raynpelikoneet wrote: if marv is miller he has zero reason to not believe un-cc'd cop claim. therefore marv is fakeclaiming, there is no millers, there is no cop, and Lazer got an easy fakeclaim aswell. They only have to survive to N2 to win with 2KP, unless third scum is lynched. Are people on the stupid pills today or something? None of this makes any sense. I can't even respond because you're just saying things. On July 03 2013 02:34 raynpelikoneet wrote: as i do not think there are 3 blues, and gumshoe can't know if there is another one. Lazer could be town due to his claim but that does not change the fact that marv should not doubt his claim. I'm assuming Lazer is town for now due to the lack of counterclaim. The presence of miller does not necessitate the presence of a cop. Nor in the instance that Lazer is fakeclaiming and there IS a real cop, would the real cop have necessarily counterclaimed by now, unless he was a) around right at the time of the lynch and b) thought he could move the lynch on to Lazer immediately. On July 03 2013 02:37 WaveofShadow wrote: I said at the start of the game I would not have claimed miller just because someone asked me to. There could very well still be a miller. It is also possible that marv really IS miller but I don't believe that to be as likely as him being scum based on the way he has acted since returning. I reacted the same way when DP claimed it in CC and was grilled for it, but I believed his claim because of how he acted regarding it. Marv has not acted in this same way and been as absolutely transparent about his claim as he could have been (which imo should be expected if you claim miller and expect not to be lynched). It seems to me that marv expects to skate by on his claim because he's marv, and he's been successful so far. We'll definitely see what D2 brings regarding all of this though. By the way Rayn according to your above explanation why can't either of their claims be real? Especially Lazer's imo? I literally can't tell which of the two of you are worse. I didn't claim because rayn asked me to, I claimed because I will *always* claim self-aware miller if that's the role I receive, because I consider it best play in all circumstances. 'The way he has acted since returning'? You better back up this shit, otherwise it's just crap-flinging. There's nothing else to say about a miller-claim other than 'i'm miller'. On July 03 2013 02:39 raynpelikoneet wrote: yeah i just said Lazer might be town. BUT IF MARV IS MILLER HE HAS ZERO REASON TO DOUBT UN-CC'D COP! marv is not a miller and not town. If any miller is yet to claim they are retarded. YOU ARE STUPID On July 03 2013 02:46 JarJarDrinks wrote: I agree w/ rayns assesment and also agree that vig should shoot into lazr/marv tonight So are you. I've got to the bottom of page 49 in my catchup, and I will continue to read after I posted this, but deadline is coming up. I'm going to talk briefly about my previous miller fake-claim as mafia, as some of you are still clinging to this (which I brought up if you'll all remember). The circumstances in that game were markedly different. I was given a simply atrocious team as my mafia team, and I decided if I wanted to win, I was going to need to do it myself and I would need a big play. Someone threw around a 40% figure for miller earlier - except it wasn't, in my calculations at the time it was 25%, based on the scum power-roles meaning that there were far fewer blues in town (blue includes miller in C9++). The two games are totally different. It's pointlessly suicidal claiming miller in this game and all of you who are flinging shit at me for it should feel bad. | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:58 WaveofShadow wrote: Marv one simple question. Why have you not claimed the name of your role yet? What difference does it make if I did? | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:00 raynpelikoneet wrote: Actually it isn't if you got 3x goon, as you can gamble on there being no cop and no millers, and if you fakeclaim miller and noone cc's you just got pretty much guaranteed 2x fakeclaims. Why did you assume there is a miller but no cop earlier? When did I assume there was no cop? Is your assertion seriously that mafia decided to do some fake-claim strategy in a game with all the roles laid out? Are you insane? | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:01 WaveofShadow wrote: Not the point, because we still have no idea if your claim is genuine, which I've been saying all game despite Rayn's flip-flopping on the matter. If you give us a name we'll have a better idea once others are forced to claim. If it makes you happy, I'm stigilitz. Although, again, this makes no difference whatsoever, but whatever. | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:02 WaveofShadow wrote: Although to be fair it IS totally irrelevant right now, but my point is that it wasn't yesterday, and you didn't claim your name. Why was it relevant yesterday? In case another miller claimed? | ||
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On July 03 2013 04:16 Lazermonkey wrote: Am I the only one who find it insanely ironic that Rayn is getting shit stormed like mad D1 because he didn't react to the miller claim from "the PoV that town should have done", yet he is all over marv becuase he didn't react to the cop claim from "the PoV that miller should have"? Seriously Rayn, pull your shit together... Still catching up, rofl this is hilarious. | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:07 WaveofShadow wrote: It was doubtful another miller was going to claim that late in the day. I feel it was relevant yesterday because people figured out the game could possibly be broken with name claiming. Other people gladly did so (when under pressure), and since your role (but not the name) was out there in the interest of being transparent (since you feel that is the best play and all) I feel you should have done the same and I find the fact that you didn't scummy. Alright I'm out until after deadline. I basically afked between when I posted. By the time I read up on claiming role name (which didn't even occur to me at the time) it seemed totally pointless. | ||
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Read my long post and start feeling stupid already please. At the moment I'm putting you in the retarded-but-town camp, now I have to work out who bandwagoned with you on to this whole stupid conspiracy theory. | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:18 raynpelikoneet wrote: Why on earth did he read Vayne's filter instead of Lazer/Fuba in the first place?!?!?!?!?!?! You keep repeating this, pretty sure I had a browse through Lazer's filter and decided he'd tried too much to get lynched, also pretty sure I said this at the time. | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:09 WaveofShadow wrote: If you'll remember in my posts last night I brought up the fact that Marv and Vivax were both content to relegate the lynch to those who weren't able to defend themselves at the time. I remember Marv's vote on me looking particularly awful. That's twice now I've caught you flinging shit at me without explaining why. I voted you short of time as a low-effort absent poster, which is practically the only reasonable continuation in my circumstances. I moved on to Vayne because he was even worse in that regard. | ||
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Don't think rayn is making a big play, I think he's got it into his head that scum decided to fakeclaim two roles for giggles and that makes both me and Lazer scum. whatever. rayn is right on the cusp of standard of player where he's pushing my credulity in pushing this, but in the end he's not sandroba so maybe I can let it slide. WoS looks pretty bad to me for passively encouraging this and general shit-flingyness. Do not like. Not sure about JarJar for jumping on the retardedness and jumping off later. Can't tell if he was town getting caught up or mafia realising a bad thing and getting off it at the right time. Still gonna guess from the claim he's town I guess. s0lstice is absent and still hasn't explained his vote on fuba, scummy I think. fuba mysteriously ignored my questions to him, and that makes me suspicious. I'm also suspicious of him for spending so much time thinking apparently and coming to a bad conclusion regarding the claims. | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:15 raynpelikoneet wrote: You mean this part: 1. The precence of a miller is a straight out clue there is a cop, as scum have 2 KP, everything that fucks with town is too bad. 2. your a) and b) Why the fuck there is noone questioning Lazer if he had fakeclaimed? They would know Lazer is 100% scum and would definitely be questioning him. You are not this stupid. If I were cop I would be doing so after the night finished because I would be protecting my role because I'm not a complete moron. | ||
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sorry man, that doesn't work. | ||
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I'll field questions from anyone else on the matter. | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:36 raynpelikoneet wrote: Actually this is a big contradiction. "I believe Lazer's claim now, but in case i was a cop and not online in the 4 minutes iwould have not counter-claimed him yet, but i apparently believe everyone else had done so". cool- I hope you're smoking some good shit man. I've 'believed' Lazer's claim since he made it, since it's most logical that he's in fact town. I've not been 100% sure due to the timing of the claim. I have no idea what you just posted is even supposed to be a contradiction. | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:45 raynpelikoneet wrote: Vivax, afaik the OP did not state scum have 2 KP until the game was paused. My early game setup/miller analysis can be thrown out of window. It's more beneficial for scum to try to play bold and fakeclaim miller (at least if they got 3 goon), because it gives them a good chance of 2x fakeclaims. There is also evidence that supports marv being scum, what i have pointed out on N1. There is also evidence Lazer is scum, that i have pointed out. And this has even nothing to do with their accosiation, but their individual play/play from role's point of view. It's more beneficial for scum not to be retarded and play the game normally actually. Just putting that out there. | ||
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I'm hoping you wake up tomorrow and read again with a clear head. | ||
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Towns usually lynch towns day 1 (most games are balanced for that in fact) so I've no idea why any mafia team would put a KP at risk by fakeclaiming a role. Any miller counterclaim and I'm going 1-for-1, and due to my past history of fakeclaiming miller it's pretty likely I'd die first (as people are super paranoid about me anyway). Your whole case rests on the idea that mafia don't have a roleblocker (we don't know this) and that I decided to gamble on miller. It's totally ludicrous. | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:55 raynpelikoneet wrote: marv, why are you not pushing Vivax? He has called me out for what i just said in my last post, he has mistakenly compared this game to Carnival and LXI and said the situations are similar. I was top lynch candidate at some point on D1 for that shit. Here you agree with my early game miller-analysis, yet your "i'm back post" is this: Really, REALLY, REALLY??? How much i have to find for you guys to lynch marv? Because it's all anyone had talked about for like 10 pages? I can pull random quotes from your filter and go "lol scum" too you know. | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:59 Vivax wrote: EBWOP: What makes you say that the claim timing sitrs doubts in you The claim was 4 minutes before the deadline. Thus the chances that there's a real cop not counterclaiming until day are non-zero. Although as the deadline was actually extended, it does make it that much more likely that he's cop (as any potential counterclaim had more than an hour to actually claim and get Lazer lynched if needs be). Lazer was never a townread in particular, I just hadn't/haven't seen anything from him that makes me want to lynch him. Thus the claim is likely true (and more likely than what I said before due to how deadline was extended) | ||
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On July 03 2013 07:04 Vivax wrote: This isn't really relevant as it's relevant what Lazer believed the deadline to be at. Do you have evidence to back that Lazer knew deadline was actually one hour later? Else this statement looks pretty biased coming from you. No, the point is that if a real cop existed, and the deadline WAS 4 minutes away, he was either not looking at the thread during that moment, or if he was around thought it was too risky to counterclaim and maybe not even get Lazer lynched. The fact that there was another hour of time gave a lot more time for any potential counterclaim to happen and get Lazer lynched, but this didn't happen. | ||
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On July 03 2013 07:11 Vivax wrote: It's still irrelevant to mention the hour of time then, as this can be reduced to the argument that lazer is supposed to be legit cop cause uncounterclaimed, which is unrelated to the timing of the counterclaim imo. So the best course in your opinion is to swallow the claim unquestioned and not judge lazer by his play? I've just explained why, all you have to do is read it and understand. When did I ever say that was the best course of action? Don't put words in my mouth. | ||
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I don't know how I can make the counterclaim thing any clearer. If Lazer was fakeclaiming and there was a cop and there was ACTUALLY 4 minutes left, there's a high chance that he would not have counterclaimed for timing reasons. As there ended up being more time, if there were a non-Lazer cop, he would have had a lot of extra time to counterclaim. I don't know how I can state it any simpler. | ||
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I also don't understand what you're saying my mafia motivation for posting that is. | ||
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On July 03 2013 07:39 raynpelikoneet wrote: I don't know as you are a sneaky bitch but there definitely is no town!miller!motivation, at least on what you have said before/after. So you can't think of a mafia motivation (because one doesn't exist. Did you think of that? Did you even STOP and work out what I was trying to achieve if I was mafia saying that? No you didn't, because you're on your retardo-tunnel), and I literally just gave one really obvious townie reason. Carry on then. | ||
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On July 03 2013 07:45 raynpelikoneet wrote: Actually i can give you a clear mafia motivation. You want the town cop to die if he is town. After this you don't follow your earlier suspicion but label him as town, with a post full of contradictions. Do you really think, in your wildest dreams, that me saying that aids that goal? Either I'm scum with Lazer in which case the idea is nonsense Or I'm scum and Lazer is town, in which case I post that in the hope of achieving what?? Or I'm town and Lazer is probably town, and if Lazer dies (town can't prevent him being roleblocked/killed) then it's something 100% cleared up? Hello??? | ||
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On July 03 2013 07:46 Vivax wrote: I endorse a shot on marv or Lazer as well. Hardly seen town marv give a townread based on tryharding and skip on everything else presented. It was fucking deadline man, you don't skip on reading a guy and brush him off cause he's tryharding. That reflects lack of caring. Lazer/Marv interactions have bad taste to them, too. Also cause it's funny when marv gets mad. No, it reflects using my time wisely. Also it's funny cause you're a dick and also possibly scum. The list lengthens ![]() | ||
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On July 03 2013 07:50 Vivax wrote: Wtf dude. You were still in time to talk about Lazer. We are talking about Lazer all the fucking time. You defend his claim. You say we put words in your mouth when we say you think he's town. You don't think "Oh well these guys might actually be right I'll go read him and give my opinion on him". You become all pissy and defensive, and still show zero doubt about and information gathering on lazer, which is scummy regardless of his alignment. I looked at Lazer's filter because he was one of the main lynch candidates. I genuinely don't see how this could possibly be a bad thing to do. Hint, it isn't. I've explained his claim how I see it. Again, what's the problem? I'm always pissy and defensive, especially in the face of sheer stupidity. You know this for a fact. By the way "scummy regardless of alignment" might be the stupidest thing I've ever read. | ||
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On July 03 2013 08:17 Vivax wrote: Where is your hope that Lazer's claim would resolve itself now? You and Lazer, claimed miller and cop, are still alive. Me and Rayn, unclaimed but supertownie, pushing you two, were shot. Try to brush it off as WIFOM as much as you like. I'm not brushing anything off as WIFOM. All you're doing is using WIFOM. | ||
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On July 03 2013 08:25 Oatsmaster wrote: Im andy Kagan. marv is upplaying the risk for scum to fakeclaim in this setup. Lynch him. IT MAKES NO FUCKING SENSE. Of course I'm spelling out the real fucking risks that I'd take as mafia doing this, because the benefits are VERY SMALL and the risk was VERY LARGE. fuck me. | ||
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On July 03 2013 08:27 Vivax wrote: 1/5 risk bro, assuming cc chance 40 %, then you can claim the other name or simply guess the name the real miller doesn't have. 0.40 * roughly 0.50 = 1/5 Where are you pulling 40% out of your ass from? Do you know how iGrok rolled the setup? And I can 'guess' a name and not worry about their being 2 miller claims? Are you fucking serious right now? | ||
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40% should be more like 90% if we were going on pure random probabilities. Stop being fucking dense. | ||
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On July 03 2013 08:34 gumshoe wrote: Yes but if your ability doesn't go through.... Er... ;; haha ![]() | ||
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On July 03 2013 08:40 Vivax wrote: Put marv before gumshoe. The guy isn't pushing any reads. Only defending himself, talking about how his claim would be too risky, and hating. He said himself he fakeclaimed miller in another game. He says the claim isn't risky although he can still outplay the other miller if it comes to it. Look at how he pushes the wagons D1. He was pretty much throwing shit everywhere (WoS, Vayne, fuba) except on Lazer and see what sticks. He said Lazer looked like he was trying, but ignored Rayn saying that Lazer didn't push his scumread Vayne all day long. He just finished reading the thread and showed zero doubt. Even cockiness has a limit. Even for you this is exceptionally biased. I'm defending myself because I'm under relentless attack from jubjubs. In case you hadn't noticed, when I had some time earlier I had a go at diving fuba + s0lstice + gumshoe's filters (and WoS to an extent but I gave up). The miller claim IS too risky. It's monumentally risky. Why would I even PUT myself in a position to "outplay" the other miller when I can JUST NOT CLAIM MILLER IN THE FIRST PLACE. How was I throwing shit everywhere on day 1? I came back, had little time, put my vote on someone who's usually very active but wasn't, then changed my vote to someone I thought was scummy. I didn't ignore rayn, I looked at Lazer's filter myself. I also didn't show zero doubt, as evidenced by my voteswitch in the first place. What an absolute pile of horse manure that post was, vivax. | ||
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This town has gone to hell largely because of my efforts? The fact that town sheeped me when I asked is indicative of a shit town who didn't have any of their shit together and sheeped someone who came back an hour before the lynch. Bullshit all you like but every townie's vote is their own. Fuck you man, go to hell. | ||
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On July 03 2013 09:30 Oatsmaster wrote: because then it doesnt matter as much if the fakeclaimer died because they wont lose KP anyway. This is a MAIN POINT in your defence that its too risky and not enough benefit for scum to claim. WoS, who is most likely for being scum out of the blue claimers? BECAUSE Im thinking its you for just claiming and fucking off without even mentioning ANYBODY. ..... why even risk the fakeclaimer dying and just not fakeclaim??? | ||
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On July 03 2013 09:30 gumshoe wrote: Theres a fine line between WIFOM and META and I think that line is right or wrong. You used something that wound up being false to make a lynch happen that otherwise shouldnt have happened. You need to be held accountable for that at least. Also ouch man 0_0 ouch. Not cool at all ) : its an opinion in a game, I havent even lynched/shot you or your mafia buds yet XD There's not a fine line between wifom and meta. Stop just saying shit as if it's true. It was a legitimate summary of his past play and comparing it to this game, someone being involved or not isn't wifom. You're blaming me for a lynch as if no townie has ever lynched another townie or something? Again, hello, I have one vote only, I just pushed for what I thought was right. Where were you trying to care about the lynch? Oh, not there, I remember. Keep your own house in order before throwing stones. | ||
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On July 03 2013 09:32 Oatsmaster wrote: because confirmed townie status is good. are you on drugs or something? how is that a good risk/reward? how is it even TRUE given we're having this stupid conversation? I already explained fully why I did it in NMMIV, and the probabilities in this case are wildly different (which I'd know if I was scum and thought about it) | ||
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On July 03 2013 10:15 gumshoe wrote: As fun as it is exchanging insults with Marv, I think today should focus on Fuba(last to claim, who has to essentially claim survivor, miller or unknown, or he has to fight it out with a claimee) and the blues. As I've already mentioned Virax is blue or we dont know anything about this game XD WOS is uber suspicious Lazer is null, and his alignment might really depend on what Marv is(on the one hand he claimed first as blue, which is uber risky, and they're hasn't been a counter, but if they're is no miller and Marv is his buddy then it might have been a safe claim). I'm biased about Gumshoe. Vivak is virtually guaranteed vet. Please offer your thoughts on me WOS Lazer and Fuba. I think us 4 should be the candidates for todays lynch. Were much better picks than the great big ball of chaotic uncertainty that is Marv Marv how do you feel about Lynching WOS or Fuba? As I was lying in bed last night feeling pretty stoned and trying not to think about mafia, I decided that WoS has to die. I still feel the same today sober. One reason only: WoS claimed to shoot me last night. Now, shooting me is an exceptionally dull, stupid play. Thus, I am left with the choice: is WoS really really terrible at this game, or is he scum? I don't think (I don't hope) he's terrible. P.S. for all you people saying Vivax wouldn't fakeclaim/waste a hit - he's twice shot his own team-mate as mafia. Just sayin' like. ##Vote: WaveofShadow | ||
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On July 03 2013 19:40 Vivax wrote: Town marv pushes his lynches a lot, and he talks with his scumreads a lot. This isn't town marv, pretty easy to tell. This is especially hilarious to me. gumshoe: bad marv, you pushed your lynch too much and it's all your fault town are sheep! Vivax: bad marv, you're not pushing your lynches! just lol | ||
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On July 03 2013 19:54 Vivax wrote: I am exaggerating by saying he didn't have any scumreads though. What I want to say is that he didn't show much conviction in pushing them. Those people he claimed looked "bad" were fuba, s0lstice, gumshoe and to a lesser extent JJ. fuba claimed survivor. gumshoe claimed blue. s0lstice joined the massclaim quickly. JJ was the first to claim his name. I am (totally not unbiased ![]() Lol, I'm sitting here facepalming. I was trying to find out more about all of fuba/s0lstice/gumshoe, it's why I asked questions of them. Simply *reading* my filter would let you see that. I assume you do actually read things right? I get attacked relentlessly last night for... not attacking fuba! Now... I get attacked for 'attacking' fuba! Holy shit. Funny thing about the massclaim is that nothing is clear for anything. I assume mafia did have fakeclaims of some variety (think Dr Who) so sadly it was all a lot less important than it might have been. As for WoS: On July 03 2013 05:55 marvellosity wrote: How is this 'playing it down' or 'weakly resisting'? It's discussing various facets? I randomly brought it up in the thread myself because I was musing on it. Given practically everyone hitherto had accepted the claim, what the crap do you think I was trying to achieve? I literally can't tell which of the two of you are worse. I didn't claim because rayn asked me to, I claimed because I will *always* claim self-aware miller if that's the role I receive, because I consider it best play in all circumstances. 'The way he has acted since returning'? You better back up this shit, otherwise it's just crap-flinging. There's nothing else to say about a miller-claim other than 'i'm miller'. On July 03 2013 06:18 marvellosity wrote: 45 minutes. Ok all caught up. Don't think rayn is making a big play, I think he's got it into his head that scum decided to fakeclaim two roles for giggles and that makes both me and Lazer scum. whatever. rayn is right on the cusp of standard of player where he's pushing my credulity in pushing this, but in the end he's not sandroba so maybe I can let it slide. WoS looks pretty bad to me for passively encouraging this and general shit-flingyness. Do not like. Not sure about JarJar for jumping on the retardedness and jumping off later. Can't tell if he was town getting caught up or mafia realising a bad thing and getting off it at the right time. Still gonna guess from the claim he's town I guess. s0lstice is absent and still hasn't explained his vote on fuba, scummy I think. fuba mysteriously ignored my questions to him, and that makes me suspicious. I'm also suspicious of him for spending so much time thinking apparently and coming to a bad conclusion regarding the claims. On July 03 2013 06:14 marvellosity wrote: That's twice now I've caught you flinging shit at me without explaining why. I voted you short of time as a low-effort absent poster, which is practically the only reasonable continuation in my circumstances. I moved on to Vayne because he was even worse in that regard. And the best reason is still On July 03 2013 18:21 marvellosity wrote: As I was lying in bed last night feeling pretty stoned and trying not to think about mafia, I decided that WoS has to die. I still feel the same today sober. One reason only: WoS claimed to shoot me last night. Now, shooting me is an exceptionally dull, stupid play. Thus, I am left with the choice: is WoS really really terrible at this game, or is he scum? I don't think (I don't hope) he's terrible. P.S. for all you people saying Vivax wouldn't fakeclaim/waste a hit - he's twice shot his own team-mate as mafia. Just sayin' like. ##Vote: WaveofShadow | ||
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On July 03 2013 20:07 Vivax wrote: I don't recall you genuinely wanting to lynch people for being stupid marv. Your arguments are: WoS is scum cause of dull, stupid play. Okay. If I wanted that, I'd have been pushing for your lynch since minute zero. It's about assessing the strength of a player and deciding what he would/wouldn't do or believe in any situation. Note how I even commented on rayn's strength as a player when I decided that he was craycray town. If you genuinely think that trying to work out what players would do or believe in a certain situation isn't how you play the game, then you need to rethink how you play the game. WoS is scum because he passively encouraged rayn in his dumb crusade, he repeatedly flung shit at me without explaining it, and then he took a totally unexplainable shot at me last night when I don't think he's anywhere near that terrible. It's very simple. | ||
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Does remind me though. fuba, this is what I wanted answered: On July 02 2013 21:51 marvellosity wrote: Given I can think of at least one example you've played with Stutters before (LIX) and I know in that game it was brought up that Stutters does this as town all the time, why are you bringing this up here? | ||
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On July 03 2013 20:29 Lazermonkey wrote: You don't seem to be even close to 101% sure that WoS is scum here. So why do you disagree? Sure enough. He's the best lynch for reasons I already explained. | ||
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On July 03 2013 20:47 Lazermonkey wrote: Even then, if we wait untill night, we will get much more info from it. If he is lying then scum will have to shoot suboptimally and if he is town, scum will then have to decide to either hold a shot or just accept the fact that he is 100% confirmed town once there is 3 shots. And they can't roleblock him, because then I'll get to check someone. And if they shoot both of us, then congratz, you've just lost both of your most suspicious townies right away! You're basically saying here that we shouldn't lynch into the 2 most suspicious people (? your words) and wait until tomorrow. I don't really buy that line of thinking. If we're running on the assumption that you're both town, then even with one KP (never mind 2) they could just kill you and 'roleblock' WoS, and we're no further forwards in actually learning anything about him. Like, who else are they going to use their roleblock on? There's no roles left to roleblock. | ||
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Whatever, can't really be bothered to argue about it. | ||
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I've semi-checked out of this game already because there's a bunch of townies (with presumably a mafia or 2 sprinkled in) who seem to genuinely believe I'd fakeclaim miller in this setup, despite how outright retarded it is as a play. If that's the level of logic people are (not) using, then there's already zero hope. It's beating a dead horse but with 8/9 townies and 12 townie roles, claiming miller is just insanity. And apart from that, the fact that there IS actually a miller with how the setup is presented is very high indeed. Lo and behold, it is me. For there not to be a miller, iGrok would have handpicked the roles to exclude the miller, or if it's RNG then the % chance there ISN'T a town miller is monumentally low (8 or 9 RNG attempts to get miller which is TWO of the 12 spots). | ||
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Just gonna quote this at people calling me scum and failing to use even rudimentary logic. On July 03 2013 21:22 marvellosity wrote: I've semi-checked out of this game already because there's a bunch of townies (with presumably a mafia or 2 sprinkled in) who seem to genuinely believe I'd fakeclaim miller in this setup, despite how outright retarded it is as a play. If that's the level of logic people are (not) using, then there's already zero hope. It's beating a dead horse but with 8/9 townies and 12 townie roles, claiming miller is just insanity. And apart from that, the fact that there IS actually a miller with how the setup is presented is very high indeed. Lo and behold, it is me. For there not to be a miller, iGrok would have handpicked the roles to exclude the miller, or if it's RNG then the % chance there ISN'T a town miller is monumentally low (8 or 9 RNG attempts to get miller which is TWO of the 12 spots). | ||
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On July 03 2013 21:59 Vivax wrote: Say hi to the list with the order of claims • Lt. Aldo Raine - American Veteran Vivax 7 • Hans Landa - German Survivor Jailkeeper Fuba 12 • Sgt. Donny Donowitz - American Vigi WoS 11 • Sgt. Hugo Stiglitz - German Miller Marv 1 • Cpl. Wilhelm Wicki - American Parity C Lazer 3 • Pfc. Smithson Utivich - American Townie Rayn Dead- 6 • Pfc. Omar Ulmer - American Townie Stutters 9 • Pierre LaPadite - French Townie S0lstice 8 • Pfc. Hirschberg - American Townie Vayne Dead - 4 • Pfc. Andy Kagan - American Townie Oats 10 • Pfc. Michael Zimmerman - American Tow JJ 2 • Shoshanna - French Vengeful Townie Gumshoe 5 As we see, WoS HAD to claim Vigi, there was literally no other role he could have taken, and given that the order of this mass claim was shit cause we didn't let fuba and WoS claim first, it gave him an out. This is how I currently think the game looks like: Scum has 3 goons. No cop No miller No vigi. Just me, the veteran, and a vengeful townie. Knowing that scum has no Hitler, marv decided that a cop was unlikely, and as I pointed out multiple times, miller claim isn't as risky as he's trying to put it. He fakeclaimed in a game facing odds of 40 % to be counterclaimed, hence we know he doesn't mind risks as scum like he tries to tell us in this game. Lazer claimed cop 4 minutes before the presumed deadline. He was afraid of getting counterclaimed and hence did it only when there was little time left, so any counterclaim couldn't have the time to processed properly. Scum would also have known at this point that there was no miller, hence some more odds in their favour. WoS claimed the only thing left, leaving us with all blues in the game, which is highly improbable. I feel gumshoe's claim was legit cause of timing (he didn't fear getting cc'd) and cause I didn't feel he was mostly townie in general, except I found him odd at one point for proposing a scum team theory I didn't share and found unlikely. This is obviously something that looks almost paranoid, 3 scum with 3 fakeclaims. But I'm confident that lynching marv ALL of their play will fall apart, cause I'm confident that he won't flip miller, making Lazer's cop claim quite more suspicious, and WoS claim is suspicious in itself. The guy claims to have shot marv, I have yet to see him reflecting that intention during N1. There is absolutely NOTHING in his filter that points towards him wanting to shoot marv. Just follow me, lynch marv, and win the game. I already delayed scum victory by being so supertownie that scum shot me. You owe me this much. These guys aren't afraid of bussing each other, they know the massclaim puts them into a bad spot, and only looking at their pla On July 03 2013 21:22 marvellosity wrote: I've semi-checked out of this game already because there's a bunch of townies (with presumably a mafia or 2 sprinkled in) who seem to genuinely believe I'd fakeclaim miller in this setup, despite how outright retarded it is as a play. If that's the level of logic people are (not) using, then there's already zero hope. It's beating a dead horse but with 8/9 townies and 12 townie roles, claiming miller is just insanity. And apart from that, the fact that there IS actually a miller with how the setup is presented is very high indeed. Lo and behold, it is me. For there not to be a miller, iGrok would have handpicked the roles to exclude the miller, or if it's RNG then the % chance there ISN'T a town miller is monumentally low (8 or 9 RNG attempts to get miller which is TWO of the 12 spots). [/QUOTE] | ||
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On July 03 2013 21:22 marvellosity wrote: I've semi-checked out of this game already because there's a bunch of townies (with presumably a mafia or 2 sprinkled in) who seem to genuinely believe I'd fakeclaim miller in this setup, despite how outright retarded it is as a play. If that's the level of logic people are (not) using, then there's already zero hope. It's beating a dead horse but with 8/9 townies and 12 townie roles, claiming miller is just insanity. And apart from that, the fact that there IS actually a miller with how the setup is presented is very high indeed. Lo and behold, it is me. For there not to be a miller, iGrok would have handpicked the roles to exclude the miller, or if it's RNG then the % chance there ISN'T a town miller is monumentally low (8 or 9 RNG attempts to get miller which is TWO of the 12 spots). [/QUOTE] It really is this simple. Just gonna keep quoting it until you get it through your quick skull. I would say this is crazy for you, but you've attempted to lynch me when you had a redcheck on someone else and after I just singlehandedly lynched scum before. So this is positively normal for you I guess. | ||
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Once again: On July 03 2013 21:22 marvellosity wrote: I've semi-checked out of this game already because there's a bunch of townies (with presumably a mafia or 2 sprinkled in) who seem to genuinely believe I'd fakeclaim miller in this setup, despite how outright retarded it is as a play. If that's the level of logic people are (not) using, then there's already zero hope. It's beating a dead horse but with 8/9 townies and 12 townie roles, claiming miller is just insanity. And apart from that, the fact that there IS actually a miller with how the setup is presented is very high indeed. Lo and behold, it is me. For there not to be a miller, iGrok would have handpicked the roles to exclude the miller, or if it's RNG then the % chance there ISN'T a town miller is monumentally low (8 or 9 RNG attempts to get miller which is TWO of the 12 spots). [/QUOTE] If you can't respond and use basic logic, you should be flat out ignored. | ||
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Vivax, have you learnt nothing from our past games together where you tunnel me relentlessly? Every single one of those would have been resolved by basic application of logic, which I've told you, but you *ALWAYS* ignore during the games themselves. Now you're doing the exact same thing this game. It baffles me to an unbelievably large extent how you don't see/understand this. | ||
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On July 03 2013 22:48 Oatsmaster wrote: WoS is not scum for being the last to claim. Are you guys fucking kidding me? why don't you read what's actually been written? for a change? please? | ||
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He has no interest in helping town unless town are in a good position, though. | ||
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On July 03 2013 22:52 JarJarDrinks wrote: Yeah I'm suggesting lynching survivor. I'm suggesting fuba is scum and had no choice but claim the only non-red role left in the game. And if he's actually survivor? | ||
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On July 03 2013 22:54 Vivax wrote: Oats seriously. I'll hate you forever if you screw this up. And Rayn will hate you even more. Use some fucking logic man, Marv, a strong town player, is alive after claiming miller, and Lazer, the cop, gets neither roleblocked nor killed. The two guys pushing them, me and Rayn, get shot. What do you think was scum thinking when they chose their targets? Renounce on killing two claim-confirmed "townies" to kill two other plyers who are supposedly on the wrong track? We don't lynch outside of WoS/marv/Lazer today, I hope we can agree on this. sorry, you don't get to say this when you constantly disregard the most basic logic that I keep putting to you. you literally don't get to ask people to use logic. | ||
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On July 03 2013 22:55 Oatsmaster wrote: I think fuba is more likely scum than survivor. Marv thoughts? Maybe, but WoS is more likely scum than even that. | ||
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On July 03 2013 22:58 Oatsmaster wrote: Ok both Vivax and Marv wanna lynch WoS for what reasons exactly? Forgive me for not reading the thread, but all the reasons are obfuscated by the claim shit which isnt even alignment indicative and is just speculation. I laid it out in one big post, it's in my filter. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=418641¤tpage=68#1349 | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:02 Oatsmaster wrote: if hes scum, what shot? it's a fucking theoretical scenario, good god. If we work under the assumption he's town, then we also have to work under the assumption that he took a super-terrible shot. How is this complicated Oats????? | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:05 Oatsmaster wrote: I dont know marv, you couldve included the word 'claim' in there. Also, why as scum would he fakeclaim such a terrible shot? why does it even matter? you understand perfectly well what i was saying, you're just being ridiculous. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:05 Vivax wrote: Apologies Oats, but I'm just too sure about this stuff to accept resistance. Nice pointing it out. Marv can only claim that WoS had real intention to shoot marv if he thinks WoS is town. He says WoS bad = WoS scum. He doesn't argue from a point of view where he assumes the shot is fake. Why would scum WoS claim that he shot marv in the first place? Marv has to explain that first of all. Only once you've explained what I keep pointing out to you. Except you can't, because it would involve me being a completely retarded scumplayer. | ||
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Validated by the fact rayn got shot and flipped town in fact. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:08 Oatsmaster wrote: no, the sentence is explaining why WoS is scum and apparently you switched perspective between points. WoS is scum because A. B. C. TERRIBLE SHOT.(scum dont have other guns dude, all vig shots are fake) Would you have included the word claimed on hindsight? no because it's fucking obvious already. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:09 Vivax wrote: You don't want to explain why your scumread is scum? Do you need incentives from me to push your scumread? I misread what you wrote and answered above. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:09 Oatsmaster wrote: are you deliberately avoiding using the word claimed? WHY DOES IT MATTER. WHAT IS WRONG WITH YOU | ||
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i can't legislate for rank stupidity | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:13 Oatsmaster wrote: Thats why I said it was a scumslip? Because you know WoS's claim is true. So anyway, is WoS good at scum Marv? Important question. It's not a scumslip because it's SO UNBELIEVABLY OBVIOUS WHAT I WAS GETTING AT. Use your brain, PLEASE GOD PLEASE. WoS played a good scumgame in Les Mis, that doesn't mean he won't make a mistake (e.g. rayn pushing Hapa in Catch 22). It's infinitely less likely a town-WoS would try to shoot me than a scum-WoS would pretend to shoot me flying on rayn's coat-tails. | ||
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do your own work. Oats, is the sky blue today? Are there cars in the car park? Is your name Oatsmaster? Would you count these grains of rice for me please? Are there mafia in this game? Do the tides come in an out, could you check for me please? | ||
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Still waiting for an answer on that, posted it like 7 times. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:22 Vivax wrote: There is no logic in arguing that a miller claim is too risky for you to do it. That is my answer. There's a tonne of logic. Go look at the numbers or work them out for yourself, then go figure out how there is almost zero upside and a massive downside. Just do the maths. Toddle off now. | ||
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assuming there is survivor we started 8-3-1 lynch + NK = now 6-3-1 lynch town = 5-3-1 two NKs = 3-3-1 game over | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:29 Oatsmaster wrote: i thought common practice was to nolynch on mylo? Wanna talk about fuba? In your esteemed opinion bbygrl, is this genuine? Only at 3-1 really. Anything else is debatable at best. Say we no-lynch and they kill maybe gumshoe and Jarjar. Where are we except 2 townies down? Second paragraph there sounds pretty plausible. Although I'm not sure how much it's necessarily true that if scum got fakeclaims then survivor would get one too. Survivor not being inherently anti-town and all that. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:33 Vivax wrote: Just sheep me man. I'm right, trust me. Done the maths and logic on that miller stuff yet Vivax? | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:36 Oatsmaster wrote: Yeah im inclined to agree you about the second part of fuba's post. Its so odd, I think he must be survivor good god we agree on something? :OOOOOOOOOOO | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:37 JarJarDrinks wrote: Vivax, if Fuba is 3rd party then we are @ mylo. Look @ Marvs #s above. Lynching Fuba is the correct play IMO. Lynching scum is the correct play. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:38 JarJarDrinks wrote: Vivix is 100% confirmed town. No, he isn't, but it's fairly likely he's town, yes. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:41 Vivax wrote: No. When I shot Toad, it was cause we gave up. I gave up the same day I took the cred for the shot, and we agreed on it in the chat. The other time, it was with Dandel's smurf. He asked me to shoot him, and I had fakeclaimed vigi so I had to shoot someone, so I shot scum. You're telling me I was in need to sacrifice a KP and risk getting cc'd when I was in no danger of lynch at all? The delicious, delicious irony. rofl | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:45 JarJarDrinks wrote: So you want to risk the game on todays lynch? You were just asking if we should vote no lynch because we're @ mylo. This is essentially doing the same thing but w/ a much bigger upside. We're going to have to risk the game 3 more times after today to win the game. The issue is that after tonight, 2 of the most level-headed people will be gone and we won't even have got a scum yet. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:47 JarJarDrinks wrote: Who's gonna be gone? Vivax obviously. Who else? Vivax won't die because he's insane. You and lazer, or you and gumshoe, or you and s0lstice. Vivax will singlehandedly lose the game for town if he's left alive. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:51 Oatsmaster wrote: Now now, play nice marv. I think that scum has fakeclaims. VT fakeclaims. I was playing nice, and it's true. I actually agree with you to an extent about fakeclaims. I don't think scum were left totally in the dark about what they could claim. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:56 JarJarDrinks wrote: Also people. Keep in mind rayne had fuba on his scum list, @marv, You really think that rayn was completely wrong on all 3 of his scumreads? I think it's a very large possibility. His whole scumteam was based on an elaborate and ridiculous connection theory based upon random unprovoked (in my case) fakeclaiming. When you're listing a 3-man scumteam in the first cycle on these grounds... well, I'm sorry, but-you're-doin-it-wrong. | ||
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That's a rough situation to be in. | ||
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On July 03 2013 23:59 JarJarDrinks wrote: Are these townreads? It's people I think have a good chance of dying if they're town. | ||
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On July 04 2013 00:01 Vivax wrote: "Vivax won't die because he's insane" He only got shot N1, pushing Lazer and marv as scumreads with the other dead townie. All that tells me is that mafia are either stupid or egotistical. It's not clear which yet. | ||
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On July 04 2013 00:04 JarJarDrinks wrote: But you believe that tonight they will abandon those traits and leave Vivax alive? Sigh. It would be the right play (imo). From my perspective I get shooting rayn to legitimise my lynch (and I think to legitimise WoS's claim). If we assume Vivax is telling the truth, then they really went all-out with this idea. The reason it's stupid or egotistical is that it's dumb to kill townies who have looney theories, when you could leave them alive and let them push them. OR it's egotistical for mafia to believe that doing so would work and they'd be able to push my lynch through regardless. It's why i'm skeptical of Vivax still, he's one of the players who might actually think like that as mafia. WoS is another. | ||
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On July 04 2013 00:08 Oatsmaster wrote: Marv, come on, tell me which vanilla townie claim is fake why don't you tell me? | ||
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On July 04 2013 00:33 JarJarDrinks wrote: Has he really been attacking you all that much? I guess I really didn't get that impression from him. But the fact that he votes WoS makes perfect sense because if he's blue, he has to be sure one of the other blues is lying and WoS is the most likely to be. So if you buy his claim/towniness, shouldn't you be voting with him? | ||
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On July 04 2013 00:38 JarJarDrinks wrote: Said this earlier:But now after realizing the whole MYLO thing, I think the answer is obviously fuba. I don't think it's obvious at all, because the chances are reasonably high, imo, that he is in fact survivor. And if he's not survivor, then it's not mylo anyways. | ||
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On July 04 2013 00:42 Stutters695 wrote: Marv, now that I'm caught up, what do you make of Gumshoe's claim? When he claimed and said he was blue as opposed to a PR, he claimed being vengeful/vet, practically ensuring he wasn't shot over night and nullifying any benefit of his Vengeful role. It's not an unreasonable assumption to assume scum wouldn't expect every PR to be in the game as well so if they knew You/Lazer were truthful claiming that they're Vet/Venge guarantees they don't die overnight. Only consolation is he claimed before Vivax so he'd be taking a large unecessary risk. Think there is any chance he's scum? I'm kinda leaning he's telling the truth by necessity. There's no difference between blue and PR, they're the same lingo. i.e. he could have been vigilante. I'd say that how his explanation came about (opposing / uncomfortable with massclaiming ----> being blue) does make sense. | ||
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On July 04 2013 00:45 JarJarDrinks wrote: Here's a small case I made on Fuba :and I really want to emphasize that last point: The last person to claim just so happened to have the only role left in the game Add to that the fact that FUBA IS THE ONLY PERSON IN THE THREAD THAT WE CAN AFFORD TO MISLYNCH AND NOT LOSE THE GAME and it becomes a no-brainer. You're still looking at it the wrong way. Because you're potentially throwing away one of our lynches just to be 'safe' when we will STILL have to lynch all the mafia. Lynching mafia reduces KP too. You're effectively gambling on the chance that fuba is mafia, which I don't think is THAT high. | ||
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On July 04 2013 00:53 Stutters695 wrote: Well by saying PR I was including the possibility of the 3p in there but i guess it doesnt really matter. Its just weird he brings that up when there is literally no upside to saying that at night when the best possible thing that could happen is he eats a nk. The upside is that if he eats a NK he gets to take a shot. That was the point as far as I can tell. | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:00 JarJarDrinks wrote: Isn't that why vote no-lynch @ Mylo is a good strategy? Please answer these questions marv: - Do you agree that if we mislynch today we lose the game? - Are you 100% sure that WoS is scum? Cause if you answer yes to the first, I don't know how you can answer no to the 2nd. No-lynch almost always happens at 3-1 because regardless of whether you lynch at 3-1 or 2-1, there's only one lynch remaining to get right. If we lynch mafia and reduce KP *now*, for example, we get to no-lynch at a 3-1 situation further down the line (6-3-1 -> 6-2-1 ->5-2-1, 5-2-0->4-2-0, 4-1-0->3-1-0, nl) What you're not grasping that I'm getting at is that delaying our fate by one more today is pointless as far as I can tell. We lynch fuba today, and THEN we have to be "100%" sure on all our lynches for the next 3 cycles, or we lose. Unless you're arguing that fuba has a high enough chance of flipping mafia now, throwing away reducing KP and possibly giving us an extra mislynch/nolynch later | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:10 Vivax wrote: Cause he'd be the guaranteed not-town lynch. That's pretty much a nobrainer. Any townie who lynches a survivor on day 1 deserves to be shot for being stupid. | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:07 Stutters695 wrote: Exactly, but by claiming blue when he can't be miller/cop makes him not a good target to shoot. If scum has RB they can RB on the chance he's vig and leave him alone if he's vet/vengeful, effectively making himself a VT for no reason. I'm just not following it from either alignment really. Right, I get you. You're saying that after the claims already given, there's only 1/3 chance his bluerole is actually dangerous to mafia in that they want to shoot him then and there? I guess that basically presupposes that a) he thinks both claims already given are legit and b) he thought it through (I can imagine if i was vengeful townie I might try a gambit like that without thinking through the exact implications) | ||
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![]() Of course it was all bs, but that's my general mentality. | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:16 gumshoe wrote: WOS frequently dances around the idea of Marv as scum but rarely pushes it. Virtually all his statements in regard to Marv are responses despite Marv supposedly being his number 1 read. Even when confronted with a situation in which Marv has to be scum 100 percent (him getting role blocked randomly because Marv was in danger) he doesn't follow up and tries to redirect the situation onto the blues. In fact Hes barely mentioned Marv since he took his shot. TLDR if WOS is town he needs to be pushing Marv, he isn't and therefor he is scum, which means Marv is likely scum too because if he was town WOS could quite easily get away with bussing him, yet he chooses not to. So you'd incriminate me based on the failings of a (presumably) flipped mafia? What a star. WoS is sitting back and seeing what shit sticks, how lovely that you're here to connect the dots for him ![]() I assume you're another one of those who doesn't understand how retarded fakeclaiming miller for no reason at the start of day 1 was? Yes? Lovely. | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:24 gumshoe wrote: That is unless scum had fake claims. Which seems to be the case. You yourself have proposed this. BTW dont worry were not lynching you today : P. Also WOS is a good player and a fellow canadian. He would not make such an easy mistake. It would be a lot less dumb than fakeclaiming miller 5 minutes into the game in an unfamiliar setup with a highchance of town rolling miller. Just sayin like. | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:27 gumshoe wrote: Marv I'd just like to say it's a pleasure playing with you XD and yes that townie might die but only after you : P <3 lol ![]() | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:29 gumshoe wrote: Sooooo your agreeing with me? Also seeing as we dont even have 1 conflict of identity dont you think it's somewhat likely scum have fake claims? If not fake claims then what? The host himself said the setup hasn't been fully revealed. Don't know how you read that as agreeing with you. I don't know what scum had, like I said earlier I find it somewhat less likely that they were just shooting in the dark, even if that does potentially weaken my miller claim somewhat. All you're saying about WoS is that you think he wouldn't make that mistake, while I disagree, players a lot better than him have made worse mistakes. | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:32 WaveofShadow wrote: Phoneposting atm awww nobody wants to react to my posting makes me sad Town: Im dead anyway so I honestly couldnt care less if you guys want to hand the game to scum but id seriously consider hearing me out when the time comes scumteam: you forced me into this when I was trying to be all nice to you. i suppose you didnt have a choice considering fuba had to claim late and might have been lynched today especially if he took the miller claim but now you can be damn sure ill push for it. that is of course unless town doesnt care about what i have to say in which case the games is yours gentlmen Could really do with you explaining your terribad shot on me if you're town, dear. | ||
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you're survivor? | ||
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I'll wait until later and hear his explanations out. As a token of good faith: ##unvote | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:41 WaveofShadow wrote: no marv by all means lynch me cause im terrible Or you could not make pointless snarks when you've apparently been lying the whole game? Just explain whatever it is you want to explain when you're ready. | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:44 WaveofShadow wrote: later tonight im not sure what info i should give you though because theres a chance i might still be able to live even though scum apparently want me dead ill think about it now time to clean up barf off the couch all of it else you die, given we now have two guaranteed non-town lynches (you and fuba) | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:49 WaveofShadow wrote: then lynch me breh oh shit dem threats. if you dont kill me scum does so i honestly dont give a fuck i just have to decide who i want to give the game to basically byeeeeeeee This makes no sense. Scum have no motive to kill you over a townie. | ||
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screw martyring, he can still explain later and i'll hear him out. | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:55 Stutters695 wrote: Well I want to believe WoS because I still think Fuba is scum. I just don't understand fake claiming there. Why would scum be out to get him on d2 when all he has to do is talk his way out of a lynch today/defend fuba and mislynch into a n2 win by not blocking? What incentive does scum have to kill him here? You realise you said you want to believe him and then listed off a bunch of reasons you shouldn't? ![]() | ||
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On July 04 2013 02:07 Stutters695 wrote: Right, but hitting the right one today is a huge boon for us. If we hit the scummer, survivor lives and still has a chance to play out his wincon where it is strictly better to play on the side of town (6-3-1 right now, 6-2-1 at night, 5-2-1 at day) where he has a chance to JK nightly and get town even closer. I just don't think we should be taking this as lightly as we are. Agreed. Two things about today: 1) we know we're not lynching town 2) we're 50/50 (at least) of hitting mafia. So we should spend all our energies making sure we hit the right one. It's why it's *very* important WoS comes and explains his actions and why he lied about shit. We need to know. If he's gonna afk and say fuck you, we need to kill him. | ||
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On July 04 2013 02:13 JarJarDrinks wrote: Any chance they're both scum? possible, yes. | ||
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"No, you fools! I'm blates town!" The crowd sneered, but marvellosity had become but a sideshow. The crowd looked expectantly towards the main doors, sipping their wine nervously. The entrances of Arch-liar WaveofShadow and Dull-prose fuba were eagerly awaited. Their fate? A visit to the lion chamber. Many had made that trip; none had returned. Bells struck in the distance, piercing the tension-filled silence - witching hour is upon us! Come mortals, do battle with only your wits to guide you. The court of your peers looms large! | ||
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On July 04 2013 05:42 gumshoe wrote: I dont know, but looking back his play is way more indicative of survivor than Fuba. Also maybe he did get roll blocked on Rayne, hes implying that he has had some kind of connection with scum. Getting blocked on Rayne might just be it. Aside from that he might have some power we dont know about thats put him jeopardy. Point is Fuba has claimed survivor but has effectively stated it means nothing. On the other side of the spectrum we have WOS who gives the impression that we know nothing and that our names are all Jon snow. WOS also doesn't tell us everything because it's not in his interest to, hes trying to win not just get through the day. Fuba comes clean (literally considering they're is nothing to reveal) because hes just trying to survive one day. Also claiming survivor in this game is a death wish because town has no doctor. With no vig in the game and an easy role block on Lazer Landa is the biggest threat to scum. Hes trying to fool them, not us. Although I think some of your details are spotty, I think you might actually be right. | ||
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The point is though that it wouldve been better for scum to claim survivor (especially WOS) rather than the very last blue because they are more likely to survive the day as survivor (hohohoho) and thats they're[sic] only objective, maintain 2 kp for just one last day. This is interesting and has my cogs turning a bit. Because WoS did make some deal about their obviously being claims that were wrong when he made his claim. That's a bit of a show to put on and attention to draw to yourself as mafia. So WoS and fuba were the last ones to claim. WoS 2nd to last (going by vivax's list). If WoS is mafia, then he knows that the last claimer WILL claim survivor when he claims vigilante. If the last player is actually the survivor (fuba) then fuba would have to claim survivor. So the hope there is his claim goes somewhat unnoticed, although that flies in the face of what was a very bad claim in the first place (shooting me, timing) If WoS is survivor, then I guess he knows the last claimer is likely to be mafia. He claims vigi and hopes to have the heat off him for the cycle, and that town will want to lynch the guy claiming survivor. This kinda makes sense. Would WoS claim survivor as survivor? He would have to know that town wouldn't like that. ramble ramble ramble. no idea where i'm going actually. On July 04 2013 05:56 gumshoe wrote: Because why would you jail Jar Jar when you have the power to make an actual difference(sorry Jar Jar, Rayne and co were better choices)? It's also a choice that draws more attention to him because hes specifically picking Jar Jar. If he stays neutral then the choice is far simpler. But how does that bring him closer to winning? Look at WOS's play and you see someone trying to survive both factions, look at Fubas and you see someone trying to survive the lynch. He hasn't even mentioned that scum might target him tonight. rayn was a terrible choice of protect, really, because he was so far off base with his theories. Although fuba was one of his scumsuspects, but only on the basis I was protecting him. herp de derp. I would also say that if WoS is scum he's not done anything to push any agenda. I'm not gonna have the solid block of time I want to really check over both their filters until tomorrow, but what you say about WoS' mentality actually sounds right to me. I think I'm in. ##Unvote ##Vote: fuba | ||
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That means he's going to be exposed as a liar sooner rather than later, given he's not actually going to be able to shoot anyone. This means two things a) he's going to be exposed as a liar b) by claiming vigilante he's making himself a night-target. No? | ||
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>.> kinda enjoying it in a perverted kinda way though :> | ||
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god right, I hadn't understood that's what you were getting at. That makes sense now, wasn't getting it before. | ||
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We'll see. I wonder what fuba will have to say about all this. | ||
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On July 04 2013 06:48 WaveofShadow wrote: See you'd think so, but I'm pretty sure my situation is nearly impossible from the start. You're missing some crucial info as to why I did what I did. Again, explanations later and you can tell me where I went wrong if you want then. This tallies with your attitude the whole game, which is a point in your favour too. I'll wait for your explanation later. | ||
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On July 04 2013 07:06 gumshoe wrote: I think I'm done for today seeing as theres not much more to say until dat flip. In fact if I had a brain I would shut up right about now... but... Marv, seeing as there are likely no fake claims (since why would Fuba take survivor and why would WOS take blue and If scum had fake claims why wouldn't survivor? Which seems doubly true to me considering it was pretty much a scum slip from Fuba) how do you feel about Oats taking the very last townie spot? Also Interesting to note he defended WOS and Fuba early on in the day and then advocated no lynch. (worst possible choice for town in my opinion, scum just shoots confirmed townies and were back to the same problem as before) But when WOS openly said he was going after mafia and claimed survivor, Oats immediately abandoned him, and didn't even consider Fuba... In other words Oats defended WOS along with Fuba because the ideal scum agenda was mislynch, when he saw mislynch was unlikely to happen he advocated no lynch. Finally when Fuba came under threat he said we should lynch WOS for sure , he said that because there was no other choice for scum... How is it that his agenda just happens to so perfectly line up with mafias (Assuming Fuba is scum, pretty darn certain, which well know by the end of the day.)? Kk, I said it, the box is open. I'm out. I've not got the energy today, but it's picking out dumb from scum. For example, advocating no-lynch is a particularly stupid thing for mafia to suggest, much more so than town in my opinion - there's like zero chance that town will accept no-lynch with 3 mafia + survivor running around, so it only serves to make you look bad. I've not been too amazing at reading Oats in general of late, but I've had a somewhat townie vibe from him. Oats being wrong constantly isn't a surprise, he'll go from retardo-tunnelling to flashes of insight and clear thinking and absolutely everything in between. Going back to the no-lynch, again I think it's almost impossible that mafia would think that this idea would fly as town. I dunno. I think it's more likely that if Oats is mafia that he would simply push WoS. Pushing a no-lynch just seems like too dumb a thing to do for mafia. Probably. :D | ||
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Time for the gloves to come off. | ||
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On July 04 2013 08:21 Vivax wrote: It's mind boggling. Marv: "WoS is scum cause shooting me is so bad he can't be town." WoS: "Sup I only told you a lot of bullshit" Marv: "Oh nice well guess I can believe that from you let's go for fuba" I was right, it wasn't a move town-WoS would make. Did you bother reading what gumshoe wrote? Or are you just going to write snide, useless bullshit like you always do? | ||
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On July 04 2013 08:56 JarJarDrinks wrote: No it's not "only if he can go under the radar and prove not to be a threat". If town get's lynched, game over period. That's a fact. There's no getting around that. Everything else is just smoke and mirrors. WoS fakeclaims hoping to get you lynched and it's gg. He was probably banking on it being a race between him and you. Once it's quite clear that race is actually between him and fuba, scum realizes that they can't win today regardless so he goes w/ the fake survivor claim. It's the only thing that makes sense. Sorry, why on earth do you think WoS would have thought it was going to be between gumshoe and him? What am I missing? Or are you including Lazer too? | ||
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On July 04 2013 08:56 WaveofShadow wrote: Oh really? Is that how the rest of town feels? If so then I'll gladly fuck off and let myself be lynched. You guys can make the call for when I come back in 2 hours. If no one wants to hear from me I'll just go out gracefully and let scum have the game. Cmon, don't hyperbole and threaten like that WoS. If you are indeed survivor, lynching you doesn't end the game in scum's favour either. | ||
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Bed for me though. | ||
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On July 04 2013 14:53 WaveofShadow wrote: LOL I just checked when I got the claims. As much as I'd love to shove it down your throat JJD it doesn't seem as though I'd be allowed to really talk about it/compare. You go ahead and bug iGrok to see if it's allowed because I've bugged him enough this game and again I honestly don't care. This kind of post (along with a couple others) makes me feel like my vote is in the right place, because it's so god-damn dirty. If this is scum casually trying to use appeal-to-authority of the host, I'll be pretty disgusted tbh :/ Don't think WoS is like that. | ||
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But do carry on. Best just to shout the same drivel like a loon after all. | ||
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On July 04 2013 18:54 Vivax wrote: Well sorry I don't have the time to exchange inflammatory posts with assholes Just a little muse - ever seen me be an 'asshole' as mafia by the way, or is it only town? ![]() Only town right? Thought so. | ||
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I don't know what I think of JJD yet because I'm still not super-mega-comfortable with where my vote is yet, and there's no point talking about him until we have a flip. | ||
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What does an open setup mean? It means that mafia (and town alike) would know what roles existed. So in this game as we have it, I think that mafia knew what roles existed in the game, and were thus given a safe, fakeclaim each, and the Survivor got one too, to make 12=12. I'm aware this is speculation, but this is what makes the most sense to me. | ||
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On July 04 2013 20:05 Oatsmaster wrote: k cool. Why dont you want to speculate about the other scum members? Because there's one important thing to do today, and that thing isn't name the entire scumteam. I flicked through your filter and didn't see you doing so either. What gives, El Hypocritico? ^_^ | ||
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Still musing on this fakeclaim business. Why on earth would Survivor be given Vigilante of all roles as a fake-claim? It's the only blue role with demonstrable, provable results. gumshoe? anyone? Then again why would mafia. arg. | ||
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On July 04 2013 20:56 JarJarDrinks wrote: How could you have had a feeling of being fucked @ anytime? It's not possible in any way based on what you wrote? Point to a single post or series of posts that would have given you any feeling of being fucked. You can't because that would invalidate everything you wrote. I'd like to hear an answer to this too | ||
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On July 04 2013 21:35 JarJarDrinks wrote: And like, why in the blue hell would fuba not just counterclaim Donny? Mafia must have known that WoS was lying as soon as he claimed because they had to have been given Donny to fakeclaim. Why? I already wrote why this isn't (necessarily) the case | ||
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On July 04 2013 21:30 JarJarDrinks wrote: Yes. I don't think survivor or mafia were given fakeclaims. That's why I asked if people thought it was possible that both wave and fuba were scum (and I'm still thinking this could be the case). Because they were the last 2 to claim. I mean, if mafia were given blues to fakeclaim they'd know every role included in the game. Doesn't that sound like something that would be unfair to give them? No, I don't. Did you even read what I wrote? | ||
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On July 04 2013 21:57 JarJarDrinks wrote: Must have missed it. Can you point me to it? On July 04 2013 19:12 marvellosity wrote: Like there are 12 townie roles, and 12 total players in the game. I think iGrok would have foreseen that if mafia have no idea what to claim at any point, then a massclaim looks really really tough on mafia. Also, look at... the Active Games thread? iGrok was contemplating using this as an open setup, but decided against this. What does an open setup mean? It means that mafia (and town alike) would know what roles existed. So in this game as we have it, I think that mafia knew what roles existed in the game, and were thus given a safe, fakeclaim each, and the Survivor got one too, to make 12=12. I'm aware this is speculation, but this is what makes the most sense to me. Effectively it boils down to this. Is it more reasonable that a) scum know what blues/characters exist, but they DON'T know who had them (bear in mind town doesn't know at the start either, i.e. claims aren't bulletproof to *town*), or b) scum can never fakeclaim at any point because any fakeclaim at any point runs a risk of being counterclaimed because they don't know what's in the game, so the only point they can fakeclaim is after all townies have claimed, thus outing the entire team. b) is WAY more unreasonable. | ||
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On July 04 2013 23:14 JarJarDrinks wrote: Huh, assumming A, wouldn't they know that Donny didn't exist? If they were given fakeclaims, isn't it reasonable to think that they were given Donny? Perhaps, seems not unlikely that they were told "here's 3 fakeclaims for the 3 of you, claim outside of these at your peril" or some such. I don't know exactly. Either way the b) / a) thing holds pretty much true, don't you think? | ||
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On July 04 2013 23:25 WaveofShadow wrote: Phoneposting Ok so if you assume B then the last 4 people to claim must be scum and survivor right? Makes sense right JJD? And as far as being fucked goes, IMSTILL FUCKED, I just don't care now. :D Also anyone else think Vivaxtrying not to get shot tonight is pretty cute? That's not what Vivax is doing. Also stop with the martyring, it's irritating. If you're survivor you have an ok chance of winning this still. | ||
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On July 04 2013 23:29 WaveofShadow wrote: Oh and abou fakeclaims: There are some roles I know about. Likewise I'm assuming scum were given some roles they know about. I was worried at first we were given some overlap but after I originally claimed that proved not to be true. They didn't know if there was a donowitz and LIKELY didn't know if I existed (though the RB claim probably gave that away since I'm not scum) By "there are some roles I know about" do you mean "I know these roles are present in the game"? And only some? Were you told Donowitz was safe? Is that the only one you were told was safe? | ||
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On July 04 2013 23:37 JarJarDrinks wrote: Assuming JK - 12 people in the game, 8 townies, 1 3rd party - 12 town roles and 1 3rd party so there are 4 "free" town roles left. Mafia was given those 4 roles to fakeclaim or maybe they're only given 3. Either way, they know that those roles are not in the game right? So if Donny was one of those roles then they'd immediately know that WoS was lying. What am I missing? And also this goes hand in hand with the whole "other information" thing he alluded to. There are only 4 "free" roles, exactly enough for 1 JK and 3 mafia. Do you think that igrok gave Scum and 3rd party the same role to fakeclaim? And like you said, he gave the 3rd party a vigilante claim? Really? To the bold. The scenario would be like... mafia have 3 roles to fakeclaim, say some VT role, a miller, and a blue role (not vigilante). Survivor was given vigilante. So there are the perfect number of roles, EXCEPT that one of them is miller, and claiming miller after day 1 is tantamount to suicide. So only survivor is left. As for fake-vigilante claim... yeah that's weird as fuck. Then again it would be weird as fuck for mafia as well. I still find this evidently more believable than mafia being left totally out in the cold and not being able to claim anything ever. | ||
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On July 04 2013 23:41 WaveofShadow wrote: Lol why do you think I felt fucked when given a vigi claim? You're right though Oats there's not much more to say on the matter. I'm not allowed to talk about what other role info I wss given. You guys make your decision and ill see you around fliptime unless anyone has anything specific for me. but you were only given one safeclaim? | ||
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On July 04 2013 23:52 WaveofShadow wrote: To answer that question is really toeing the line. Effectively the answer is yes. From this I'm extrapolating you know, at least partly, what fakeclaims mafia were given. And thus you know who mafia are. Which stops making sense. Sigh. | ||
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I really think we need to lynch fuba, because if WoS is scum constantly referencing host decisions/orders, it's one of the biggest dick moves of all time imo. Don't wanna go down that path. | ||
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On July 05 2013 00:07 gumshoe wrote: I seriously could not care less. Any information that we reveal here scum in tern will posses. I rather we both be in the dark, let them shit they're pants, Wos's info is no threat to us. Actually scum probably have more of whatever information it is than town. Town having information in the thread is always (almost) better than not having information in the thread ^_^ | ||
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On July 05 2013 00:09 JarJarDrinks wrote: I mean, I gave it some thought and then realized that there was nothing that he could have been given aside from things that outright tell him who scum is which obviously doesn't make sense. But I didn't give it too much thought beyond that because WoS is pretty clearly scum. If I didn't agree with gumshoe already, this would mean I did in the end On July 05 2013 00:06 marvellosity wrote: I really think we need to lynch fuba, because if WoS is scum constantly referencing host decisions/orders, it's one of the biggest dick moves of all time imo. Don't wanna go down that path. Really is that simple for me by now. | ||
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On July 05 2013 00:10 WaveofShadow wrote: Lol now I feel like I'll have to try that in my next scumgame. I don't see what's inherently dickish about it, especially since this is kind of game that was created. If it was like Les (where we got fakeclaims) with no named VTs and a semi-closed setup (I think?) then the fakeclaims wouldn't even be in question because there was no way for people to reference or know anything. The inherently dickish thing would be making up what hosts did or did not tell you. If everything you've said is true, then you have to be survivor. I think making up shit that hosts haven't said is pretty dickish. | ||
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On July 05 2013 00:13 WaveofShadow wrote: I'm pretty sure that's also against the rules. Right. So now you understand what I'm getting at, yes? For you to be mafia you'd have to be telling porkies over what iGrok told you. | ||
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On July 05 2013 00:15 Oatsmaster wrote: Lying isnt against the rules. Lol. But yeah I agree with Marv, in my experience, too dickish if its mafia is a good heuristic. JJD, lets say if you claim you die. Town says mass claim d2. Do you feel fucked? Lying isn't the same as lying about what hosts told you. In my opinion at least. | ||
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JJD, you don't agree with me that it would be a dick move to lie about what the hosts told you you could and couldn't say? | ||
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On July 05 2013 00:31 JarJarDrinks wrote: Yes. That doesn't mean I don't think it's the only thing that makes sense. The biggest dick move would be if you were both scum and you were trying to save him by saying that he wouldn't do this because it's a dick move. ![]() Well, you'll have to reasonably explain to me that WoS as a person would indulge in lying about what the hosts told him if you want me to even entertain your argument about him being mafia. Can you do that? | ||
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On July 05 2013 00:58 s0Lstice wrote: One other thing that is worth discussing (I've been following on my phone so I'm not sure it's been brought up) is how optimal would it have been for fuba (as scum) to CC one of the other roles? He could have chosen a townie and perhaps delayed his lynch by a day, or he could have even CC'd a teammate. I've been trying to put myself in his place, and I think I would have seriously considered this over going up against the survivor. I think counterclaiming a team-mate is genius btw. It does guarantee a scum-lynch day 2 and the subsequent reduction of kp though, also the lynch between WoS and fuba today wasn't a certain thing one way or another. | ||
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On July 05 2013 01:12 s0Lstice wrote: Keeping the 2 KP is pretty important. Survivor claim is unique in that it gives scum team the option of keeping all their members, as well as the possibility of getting the lynch onto a townie today and winning. yeah. so why do you tihnk we should be discussing that again? ![]() | ||
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On July 05 2013 01:14 Vivax wrote: Wrong, you need to stay alive, and scumhunting helps you at that when you claim your role to town. Pointing to fuba being scum immediately would have been your chance to show some good will and not get lynched when counterclaiming. With your posts not showing that, you show lack of the mindset of someone knowing that someone fakeclaimed. You should have known that whoever gets lynched first, the other would have been proven a liar. You didn't act according to that knowledge. He did, it's in the post you quoted yourself. On July 04 2013 01:32 WaveofShadow wrote: Phoneposting atm awww nobody wants to react to my posting makes me sad Town: Im dead anyway so I honestly couldnt care less if you guys want to hand the game to scum but id seriously consider hearing me out when the time comes scumteam: you forced me into this when I was trying to be all nice to you. i suppose you didnt have a choice considering fuba had to claim late and might have been lynched today especially if he took the miller claim but now you can be damn sure ill push for it. that is of course unless town doesnt care about what i have to say in which case the games is yours gentlmen | ||
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On July 05 2013 01:16 s0Lstice wrote: I was trying to get a handle on how attractive each of those options was. Thinking out loud. If CCing a teammate is the optimal play despite going down a KP, then it muddies the waters a bit. I think though that the survivor claim has enough juice that scum could have decided to go that route. It doesn't muddy the waters, at least from my perspective. The 'dick-move' analysis is comprehensive for me. I notice JJD hasn't been able to come back and respond to my question about it. That's because I don't think there IS a good answer. | ||
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Like does he agree/disagree with me about the 'dick move' thing? Why not comment on it as he clearly disagrees with my analysis? | ||
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Between dick-move analysis and fuba not even bothering to show up, the choice should be pretty obvious. | ||
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On July 05 2013 05:27 Lazermonkey wrote: fuba didn't show up all game. His action during this lynch shouldn't be very telling I'd say. He was insanely close to get lynched D1, remember? And just like now, he chose to do nothing about that. His absense is really a null tell. a) don't ignore dick-move analysis b) fuba was around for the lynch for 1.5hours before the lynch, also casting a vote to save himself. don't do this. | ||
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On July 05 2013 05:55 JarJarDrinks wrote: Yeah I think using level of dickishness as a barometer is pretty dumb IMO. @Marv, If fuba flips and he's not red I don't want to hear bitching about dickishness or calling WoS out about anything. Your vote is all you. You have all the information that Lazer and I posted which pretty much shows how Waves story is complete bullshit. You're choosing to lynch elsewhere despite of it. It's never done me wrong yet, so I'm just going to cross my fingers that how I view wos is correct ^^ | ||
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On July 05 2013 05:48 Lazermonkey wrote: Yhea, but both survivor and mafia wants to survive this lynch very bad so your argument is invalid... survivor loses the game if he gets lynched, mafia doesn't. | ||
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How's that conspiracy theory coming along, Vivax? ![]() | ||
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On July 05 2013 07:12 gumshoe wrote: Dont you go taking all the credit now : P. Kk, so this effectively confirms Marv's innocence, by extension it confirms Lazer's probably as in why miller if no cop ect ect. Also I really doubt Oats is scum, his actions today just did not fit if he is. Wos is third party, Vivax soaked up a shot. Cant comment on Gumshoe, biased about him. This leaves a pool of three players. Jar Jar, who strongly opposed todays list, and whose claim (the only reasons we let him go day 1) now means nothing( I wanna kill him first in case you cant tell XD). Stutters, who just went along with it. Just like hes done all game long. and Solstice who flip flopped until it looked like town was gonna secure the lynch on scum. I propose 2 out of the three of these players has to be scum. The only other player who really could be scum is Lazer, but I doubt it as I said before. Pretty sure I've been pretty effusive towards you already, you greedy bastard. I'm not willing to extend your veil of 'confirmedness' over nearly so many people. s0lstice and JJD are looking the worst to me now, just on feels. JJD completely disappeared after arguing at the lynch, and after I posed him the dick-move analysis question; he couldn't answer it, and he couldn't bullshit because he played mafia with WoS. s0lstice just hasn't been producing the level of effort and analysis that I expect from him (see Les Mis for comparison) | ||
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On July 05 2013 07:23 JarJarDrinks wrote: Good lord people. If you believe WoS that he didn't get his fake role untill after the mass claim was brought up then I'm still confirmed town. Though I'm pretty sure he's still scum. Can't tell if srs. | ||
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Will try to find time to do some research on s0lstice/JJD tomorrow and see if I can find what I'm looking for (or otherwise). | ||
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Gonna start playing yet, Vivax? | ||
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On July 05 2013 07:37 JarJarDrinks wrote: Which part are you doubting? You don't believe that if I claimed my role at a time that is supposedly before mafia was given their fakeclaims it confirms my townie status? or did you mean about WoS still being scum? I assume mafia were given their fakeclaims during the 'pause', or failing that at the start of the game, both before you claimed? Did WoS claim a specific other time? | ||
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On July 05 2013 07:55 WaveofShadow wrote: JJD I just remembered something that might give you townie points. You'll have to work for them though. Ask iGrok what I told you to earlier; whether or not I can reveal the time I got my fakeclaims. Isn't JJD's point rather that you did already say when you got the fakeclaims, and it was later on? | ||
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"But marv!" I hear you say. "You have no basis for saying that! Why scum and not survivor?" Well I have first-hand experience as a host with mucking up giving claims slightly. Newbie XXX I think. In any case, I gave scum the VT role PM at the start, but forgot to give it to the blues until halfway through Day 1 (sound familiar? xD). Precedent for scum getting things in a timely manner and other people not :p | ||
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On July 05 2013 08:58 gumshoe wrote: Fine then, that still doesn't change Jar Jar's situation. Judge him based on his actions, not the claim, sadly I'm not gonna be the one to make the case. Scum will just scream confirmation bias and Wifom from the hills. I'll pick someone else(more than one scum after all) and present my findings before night ends. Though I doubt scum will waste role block and shot on me. This is the silliest thing you've written so far this game, gumshoe. There's currently 2 scum and 7 not-scum, for starters. If you have a good case to make, then make it. | ||
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On July 05 2013 13:30 WaveofShadow wrote: Also I am sitting here with my jaw on the floor that you actually seem to think scum don't have fakeclaims. How exactly do Lazer and marv get away with fakeclaiming if they weren't given fakeclaims? They just gambled on it and hoped that no one picked up the roles they guessed? 'Sudden idea' the mafia got fakeclaims? I can't understand why you're being intentionally dense other than to avoid mafia killing you tonight. Don't worry tho---it's me they're after. Vivax gets like this whenever he's in a game with me. All reason goes flying out the window. It's nothing unexpected. | ||
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On July 05 2013 13:55 JarJarDrinks wrote: I think the opposite. I think scum getting a list of all the roles not in the game would be broke beyond belief. I think that the threat of a mass claim is balanced by 2 KPs. I mean day 2 mylo and a list of all the roles seem a bit much no? yeah I think you're on drugs. | ||
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WaveofShadow - you should try to save a townie tonight, otherwise town can lynch you tomorrow without any repurcussions... if you get a save off though, then you get us an extra lynch. Might actually be a decent idea to lynch WoS regardless. It'll be MYLO tomorrow and we don't have to worry about reducing KP anymore; and lynching the survivor wouldn't lose us the game, same as today. Also if WoS flips survivor then JJD is pretty much an auto-lynch the next day | ||
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On July 05 2013 18:54 Oatsmaster wrote: wait marv. You strongly suggest that WoS is survivor. Is that right? So you wanna lynch JJD?. Why? Are you reading what I wrote? JJD wants to lynch WoS because he 'believes' WoS is scum. | ||
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On July 05 2013 18:56 Lazermonkey wrote: Gentlemen, may I hear what your opinion on s0lstice is? After you, sir. | ||
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Do you have a townread on him or something? | ||
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On July 05 2013 19:07 Lazermonkey wrote: Actually no, I don't. I just now saw that s0lstice parked his vote on fuba for terrible reasons D1. Doesn't seem right. If he is going to vote someone for terrible reasons, why not vote a townie? S0lstice probably town I'd say. This only holds true if fuba was at significant risk of being lynched when s0lstice made his vote. Which I've not checked yet either. | ||
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On July 05 2013 19:08 Lazermonkey wrote: EBWOP: and over to you marv! Well, I've mentioned him this phase already, I trust if you're reading the thread thoroughly you'd have come across it. | ||
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On July 05 2013 19:14 Lazermonkey wrote: Then what is your take on his vote on fuba? And his unwillingness to sway the lynch onto anyone else? A lot of it depends on the timings and specifics of when he voted and how many votes fuba had at the time etc. I'm hoping to find time to make up some votecounts for both days later. | ||
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On July 05 2013 00:31 JarJarDrinks wrote: Yes. That doesn't mean I don't think it's the only thing that makes sense. The biggest dick move would be if you were both scum and you were trying to save him by saying that he wouldn't do this because it's a dick move. ![]() JarJar agrees with me it would be a dick move. Act 2: The disappearing act On July 05 2013 00:32 marvellosity wrote: Well, you'll have to reasonably explain to me that WoS as a person would indulge in lying about what the hosts told him if you want me to even entertain your argument about him being mafia. Can you do that? JarJar runs away, because he can't make this argument to me, despite the fact my question came only one minute after his last response. He doesn't have an answer. Act 3: The return, sheeping of a stray Lazer On July 05 2013 05:37 Lazermonkey wrote: a) I'm not going to base a lynch around dick-move analysis. -snip- On July 05 2013 05:55 JarJarDrinks wrote: Yeah I think using level of dickishness as a barometer is pretty dumb IMO. Once someone else shows up saying dick-move analysis is dumb, Jarjar pops up to say he agrees with this. This is despite earlier agreeing with me (see act 1) that it would be a dick move, and him totally ignoring my question in act 2, only to dismiss it and not answer it in act 3 when someone else threw dirt on the idea first. His ignoring and failure to answer the question in Act 2 is pretty damning to me. | ||
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Day 1: On July 01 2013 04:33 Dandel Ion wrote: Votecount: Stutters (2): WaveofShadow (1): raynpelikoneet raynpelikoneet (2): Oatsmaster, Vivax Not Voting (7): Stutters, VayneAuthority, gumshoe, marvellosity, mkfuba, solstice, JarJarDinks Stutters currently set to be lynched. (tiebreakorz) Deadline in ~25.5 hours Voting thread 2013 always remember On July 01 2013 12:20 marv wrote: Votecount: Stutters (2): WaveofShadow (0): raynpelikoneet (2): Oatsmaster, Vivax JarJarDrinks (3): gumshoe, Lazermonkey, raynpelikoneet mkfuba07 (1): Stutters gumshoe (1): JarJarDrinks Stutters currently set to be lynched. Deadline in ~17.5 hours On July 02 2013 04:49 marv wrote: Votecount: Stutters (2): WaveofShadow (1): raynpelikoneet (1): Oatsmaster, JarJarDrinks (1): mkfuba07 (0): gumshoe (1): JarJarDrinks LazerMonkey (2): VayneAuthority, Stutters Stutters currently set to be lynched. Deadline in ~2 hours On July 02 2013 05:56 marv wrote: Votecount: Stutters (2): WaveofShadow (1): raynpelikoneet (1): Oatsmaster, JarJarDrinks (0): mkfuba07 (0): gumshoe (0): LazerMonkey (4): VayneAuthority, Stutters, raynpelikoneet, Vivax VayneAuthority (2): Lazermonkey, marvellosity Lazermonkey currently set to be lynched. Deadline in ~1 hour On July 02 2013 06:06 marv wrote: Votecount: Stutters (1): WaveofShadow (1): raynpelikoneet (1): Oatsmaster, JarJarDrinks (0): mkfuba07 (4): gumshoe (0): LazerMonkey (2): VayneAuthority, Stutters, VayneAuthority (2): mkfuba currently set to be lynched. Deadline in just under 1 hour On July 02 2013 07:00 marv wrote: FINAL Votecount: Stutters (1): WaveofShadow (0): raynpelikoneet (1): Oatsmaster, JarJarDrinks (0): mkfuba07 (1): gumshoe (0): LazerMonkey (2): VayneAuthority, Stutters, VayneAuthority (6): VayneAuthority was lynched. | ||
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I would say that Lazer looks quite decent for being on fuba 2nd, also s0lstice's vote there on fuba could easily have come from either scum or town imo. Especially given how he made the vote. | ||
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On July 05 2013 20:41 Oatsmaster wrote: hes on fuba 3rd. which made me confused. There was no-one on fuba before the 2nd round of votes came in, so he was 2nd on the renewed wagon. | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + On July 01 2013 04:33 Dandel Ion wrote: Votecount: Stutters (2): WaveofShadow (1): raynpelikoneet raynpelikoneet (2): Oatsmaster, Vivax Not Voting (7): Stutters, VayneAuthority, gumshoe, marvellosity, mkfuba, solstice, JarJarDinks Stutters currently set to be lynched. (tiebreakorz) Deadline in ~25.5 hours Voting thread 2013 always remember On July 01 2013 12:20 marv wrote: Votecount: Stutters (2): WaveofShadow (0): raynpelikoneet (2): Oatsmaster, Vivax JarJarDrinks (3): gumshoe, Lazermonkey, raynpelikoneet mkfuba07 (1): Stutters gumshoe (1): JarJarDrinks Stutters currently set to be lynched. Deadline in ~17.5 hours On July 02 2013 04:49 marv wrote: Votecount: Stutters (2): WaveofShadow (1): raynpelikoneet (1): Oatsmaster, JarJarDrinks (1): mkfuba07 (0): gumshoe (1): JarJarDrinks LazerMonkey (2): VayneAuthority, Stutters Stutters currently set to be lynched. Deadline in ~2 hours On July 02 2013 05:56 marv wrote: Votecount: Stutters (2): WaveofShadow (1): raynpelikoneet (1): Oatsmaster, JarJarDrinks (0): mkfuba07 (0): gumshoe (0): LazerMonkey (4): VayneAuthority, Stutters, raynpelikoneet, Vivax VayneAuthority (2): Lazermonkey, marvellosity Lazermonkey currently set to be lynched. Deadline in ~1 hour On July 02 2013 06:06 marv wrote: Votecount: Stutters (1): WaveofShadow (1): raynpelikoneet (1): Oatsmaster, JarJarDrinks (0): mkfuba07 (4): gumshoe (0): LazerMonkey (2): VayneAuthority, Stutters, VayneAuthority (2): mkfuba currently set to be lynched. Deadline in just under 1 hour On July 02 2013 07:00 marv wrote: FINAL Votecount: Stutters (1): WaveofShadow (0): raynpelikoneet (1): Oatsmaster, JarJarDrinks (0): mkfuba07 (1): gumshoe (0): LazerMonkey (2): VayneAuthority, Stutters, VayneAuthority (6): VayneAuthority was lynched. Day 2 votecounts: On July 04 2013 00:00 marv wrote: Votecount: marvellosity (1): Vivax Lazermonkey (1): WaveofShadow WaveofShadow (2): gumshoe, marvellosity mkfuba (2): Lazermonkey, Oatsmaster Currently WaveofShadow is set to be lynched. Deadline in ~31 hours On July 04 2013 02:00 marv wrote: Votecount: marvellosity (1): Vivax Lazermonkey (1): WaveofShadow WaveofShadow (3): gumshoe, mkfuba (2): Lazermonkey, Oatsmaster Currently WaveofShadow is set to be lynched. Deadline in ~29 hours On July 04 2013 10:00 marv wrote: Votecount: marvellosity (1): Vivax Lazermonkey (0): WaveofShadow (2): mkfuba (5): Lazermonkey, Oatsmaster, gumshoe, marvellosity, WaveofShadow Currently mkfuba is set to be lynched. Deadline in ~21 hours On July 04 2013 20:00 marv wrote: Votecount: marvellosity (0): Lazermonkey (0): WaveofShadow (3): mkfuba (6): Lazermonkey, Oatsmaster, gumshoe, marvellosity, WaveofShadow, s0lstice Currently mkfuba is set to be lynched. Deadline in ~21 hours On July 05 2013 07:00 marv wrote: FINAL Votecount: marvellosity (0): Lazermonkey (0): WaveofShadow (4): mkfuba (6): mkfuba was lynched. A couple of preliminary comments. Superficially Lazer looks quite bad for switching off fuba when he'd been attacking him for much of the game, but actually he switched at a point it was 7-3 fuba and made it 6-4 fuba. Seems a suicidal move for mafia given the people on fuba were pretty set on fuba. So I think this is actually a towntell to a degree. s0lstice's vote was again late and pointless. Same with Stutters. The interesting thing about Stutters is that he himself stated that he had thought fuba was scum all game, but was conspicuously absent for the d1 lynch when fuba actually had a chance for getting lynched. | ||
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On July 05 2013 20:51 Oatsmaster wrote: which you cant see on the votecount. yes you can. Stutters had his vote on fuba. The next votecount fuba has 0 votes. Then he has votes again. You can see it if you use your brain a little. | ||
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On July 05 2013 22:45 JarJarDrinks wrote: Not sure how active I can be the next day or so. But a few things. The dick move analysis is just something I don't feel should be taken into account in a game like this. I didn't really feel comfortable talking about it. Especially since marv was basicly trying to get me to come right out and say that I thought WoS was being a dick. And like, sure I said yes when marv asked me. But I don't think it says too much about WoS's personally. I just think it's kind of a cheesy thing to do. But I wouldn't all of a sudden be like "OMG I hate you, how could you do something like this?". And regarding fakeclaims. Why did everyone believe my claim in the first place? What exactly changed everyones mind? It's just analysis of actions like any other analysis. For WoS to be mafia, you have to believe what I put to you to be false. You have to believe that WoS would pull shit like that as mafia. That's what you're stating. Saying "I don't want to talk about it" when it's both fully relevant and legit is just nonsense. | ||
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On July 05 2013 23:06 WaveofShadow wrote: You didn't answer my question though. After playing scum with me and knowing how I play, you really think I would game host actions in my own favour and lie about them? Also Vivax absolutely refuses to answer my questions to him. Also I have no idea why I even bother posting but I'm clearly helping town here by asking all these questions. I guess it's just in my nature I guess, can't get away from scumhunting even when I'm not town. Yeah, JJD you need to flat out answer WoS 'yes' to his face for any of this to fly. | ||
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On July 05 2013 23:08 WaveofShadow wrote: PS Marv this is pretty stupid. Why would I make it easier for you guys to lynch me? Hell I already made it pretty easy for you guys to lynch me. You're not reading. Making a save would DRAMATICALLY decrease the chances of town lynching you. | ||
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On July 05 2013 23:10 WaveofShadow wrote: That's not true at all. Getting you an extra lynch makes it easier for you to lynch me so as to remove any of the lingering doubt that people seem to have regarding my non-alignment. No. It's 6-2-1 now. If a NK goes through it's 5-2-1. At this point it's MYLO, except town can lynch you and we know we won't lose, but if we lynch a townie we lose. We don't have the incentive of reducing KP either. If you make a save, it's still 6-2-1. And we have no incentive to lynch into you at all because it's not mylo. | ||
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On July 05 2013 23:18 WaveofShadow wrote: It's not MYLO at 5-2-1. mislynch--> 4-2-1 NK--> 3-2-1 LYLO You're assuming I vote with scum at LYLO when I have no clue who they are and can't coordinate. It is MYLO. At 3-2-1 you say "we can guarantee victory for both factions if we vote together" and the game is over. Stop being obtuse. | ||
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On July 05 2013 23:24 WaveofShadow wrote: Given how they've played so far I don't know if I'd trust that. What's to stop town from fakeclaiming mafia at that point if it comes down to me winning/losing the game for someone? Hell it might not even be over at LYLO if you consider what roles are left (if they truly exist). Sorry town. It's night and right now mafia are in control and I don't feel like dying (though I'm pretty sure I will anyway). You may as well treat me like a very unhelpful VT for now. So....Grush? Um, because the townies want to vote for mafia and the mafia want to vote for a townie and it'll be really obvious? Looks like the safe option is to lynch you tomorrow after all. | ||
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On July 04 2013 01:46 JarJarDrinks wrote: Well whatever he is, he isn't town ##vote: WoS This was after he'd spent all of his posts telling us lynching fuba was the right play. fuba at this point is still definitely not town, and yet he puts his vote on WoS instead of fuba. This was also exceptionally dodgy: On July 03 2013 02:46 JarJarDrinks wrote: I agree w/ rayns assesment and also agree that vig should shoot into lazr/marv tonight On July 03 2013 06:07 JarJarDrinks wrote: OK I'm flip-flopping again and don't think vig should shoot @ marv/lazr tonight. I'm actually kinda upset that all this was brought up cause was totally gonna post @ the deadline that there's no way marv and lazrr should be alive after tonight. But now that's all wifom. | ||
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On July 05 2013 23:29 WaveofShadow wrote: Probably always was since mafia don't have 2 KP anymore. Hence the 'I'm fucked' attitude. Had to save myself by getting scum lynched and now town has the advantage so they kill me with it. Pretty simple. I have zero guarantees that me using my JK to help town won't get me lynched at a later date and if I DO start using it to help town, scum treats me as town JK and offs me. Pretty simple. Fucked. You have zero control over scum shooting you, but quite a good chance of getting town not to lynch you. It's pretty simple. | ||
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On July 05 2013 23:36 WaveofShadow wrote: I'm well aware. Technically both teams should be ignoring me right now but I can't exactly count on either of you guys to make the mathematically right play now, can I? The mathematically right play is for scum to shoot town. If scum get their shot through, mathematically it's a pretty decent play to lynch you. If scum don't, mathematically it isn't. | ||
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On July 05 2013 23:39 WaveofShadow wrote: But is it the BEST play? No, it isn't. That's why I can't trust either of you guys right now. It is the best play if we don't have a guaranteed scum lynch. You're spouting bullshit on the basis that you expect agents to act irrationally. That's just nonsense. Rationally scum will not shoot you, and town will definitely not lynch you if you make a save, but could well lynch you if you don't. There's only one scenario where YOUR action makes a difference. | ||
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On July 05 2013 23:44 WaveofShadow wrote: I'm not spouting bullshit. You don't speak for the town; there are 7 other people who can vote right now other than you and me. And who's to say if I start acting for town scum don't shoot me even if it's irrational 'cuz dey mad at me and wanna be all vindictive? 'If we don't win neither do you!' It's an impossible scenario for me, marv. If people acted rationally in mafia all of the time the game just wouldn't be as fun now, would it? Again, you're spouting bullshit based on agents acting irrationally. This is mafia, there's no guarantees of anything, but there's pretty clearly defined payoffs based on events occurring. The fact you keep arguing against this makes you look stupid at the very least. "who's to say scum won't jeapordise their chances of winning for giggles?" - noone, but it's dumb. "there are 7 other people who can vote right now other than you" - and only one wants to lynch you. Again, you have one action that could qualitatively improve your chances of winning, and that's making a save. | ||
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Carry on. | ||
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On July 06 2013 01:07 Oatsmaster wrote: Come stutters, show us whos scum! I dunno marv, the thing with me about JJD, is that all his stuff is REALLY BLATANT. Like its a hard defence of fuba and hard attack on WoS. No that's the thing, he didn't hard-defend fuba at all. He was attacking fuba for much of the day before suddenly dropping him in favour of WoS. | ||
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On July 06 2013 01:09 Oatsmaster wrote: wait really? huh. So JJD, why did you switch? I posted about it like an hour ago. How do you miss these things? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=418641¤tpage=105#2093 Also how do you miss it in JJD's filter? There's no point asking questions if you're not going to read things, Oats. | ||
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On July 06 2013 01:15 Oatsmaster wrote: marv, the post you linked was totally useful. Its not like I didnt already believe you. well it's pretty clear you're not reading when you're saying JJD hard-defended fuba. On July 06 2013 01:13 WaveofShadow wrote: marv, marv, marv. Please then, if you were in my position what would YOU do so as not to be 'stupid?' I wouldn't say things like "it's likely scum will shoot me tonight" when that's obviously completely untrue ![]() | ||
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On July 06 2013 01:29 WaveofShadow wrote: If you're referring to this, still not an answer. It doesn't make sense to save any of the blues (aside from Vivax who isn't a blue anymore). Most likely shot tonight for scum is Lazer if he is town and I can't save him because then you guys don't get your precious check on the off chance scum don't kill him. I don't see a scenario where I get a save off, and you guys agree to keep me alive. Please show me where I'm wrong though Marv, especially since you've already said it makes sense to kill me if I don't save anyone. Protect into me or Vivax. You can't protect into Lazer (rb) and given he's essentially a sitting duck, it doesn't matter too much if he dies. gumshoe has his shot. If scum shoot Lazer, Vivax is forced to be productive, so that's a plus. If scum shoot Vivax, we're only losing insanity. I'm probably the most likely scum-shot tonight. Nor did I say at any point that we WILL lynch you if you don't make a save, just that it's considerably more attractive to do so. | ||
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On July 06 2013 01:34 WaveofShadow wrote: See, that's so retarded now you've confirmed you're just WIFOMing. That's all I wanted to know. Thanks marv! None of that is WIFOM, I explain quite clearly. Don't throw around words you don't understand. | ||
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On July 06 2013 01:37 WaveofShadow wrote: If you don't know why that's WIFOM for scum by definition then I'm not sure how to help you. It's not WIFOM, it's working out how and why people are likely to get shot. Anything is WIFOM if you take it down to the nuts and bolts. Mafia is an educated guessing game of epic proportions remember. I wrote pretty clearly why. gumshoe? No, he has a revenge shot. s0lstice/JJD? Too much pressure on them. Stutters? Why? Oats? Doesn't read. Lazer? It's possible. Vivax? Also possible, but he's not doing anything for town atm. marv? Looking very townie. | ||
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On July 06 2013 04:35 Lazermonkey wrote: You don't need to roleblock me N1 though, it is totaly unnecesary and gives town more info on what roles scum have. But yhea, I'm kinda torn on who to check really. First I thought about s0lstice but his vote pattern doesn't seem like scum I'd say. I'm thinking about JJD or stutters atm. Thoughts? You think I should go for someone else? Like you say yourself, I really need to get a red check, not only because its fucking good but also because I'll more or less be able to confirm myself that way. I've explained pretty clearly why s0lstice's voting could easily come from scum. Late, weak votes on fuba is all he's done basically. | ||
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On July 06 2013 04:20 Vivax wrote: I just need to see what happens tonight. You should actually claim and discuss your check target. Unless you can argue that there is a scum roleblocker. But there isn't and hence cop + miller + survivor become unlikely without scum able to do anything.. Else explain why u haven't been roleblocked N1 after claiming. You and marv wouldn't be able to survive in a better town. you literally have zero basis to assert this. | ||
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I find it especially amusing how he says "you'd be dead in a better town" when he afked during day 2 and specifically voted against the scum lynch. Because of course it's the TOWN that's the problem, not the fact he's practically certifiable. | ||
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On July 06 2013 04:47 Vivax wrote: There was no N1 roleblock. There you have ur basis. Doesn't cost scum anything to RB the cop. How do you know this? | ||
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How do you know they didn't roleblock Lazer? | ||
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Because you can't answer it, can you? No, you can't. I dare you to prove me wrong. | ||
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And now it is explicit. Thank you for your cooperation. | ||
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On July 06 2013 04:53 Lazermonkey wrote: Yhea, I checked you and got result from iGrok that said I got a scent. Don't think I can post that but it was pretty clear that I wasn't RBed I'd say. ok, fair enough. | ||
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On July 06 2013 04:52 Vivax wrote: Else what. You don't have the balls to lead lynches as scum. btw, let's take Hero Mafia. Led the lynch on Tunkeg (town) day 2, on VE (mafia) day 3, jay (town) day 4, and hapa (town) day 5. I can do whatever I like as either alignment bbygrl. | ||
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So you think it looks like scum on scum action? Really? | ||
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And if I die, you need to listen to other townies. I'm assuming you're town for now, but you made some wtf arguments during the last lynch that hurt my eyes. | ||
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s0lstice is still my best bet for #2, he's really not providing the level of analysis I'm used to seeing from him as town. Plus there are several weird things, namely the timing of his votes on fuba on both day 1 and day 2 (hopping on the wagon when it looked like fuba was getting lynched). Also feel pretty weird about how he defended Vayne on day 1 too. | ||
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On July 06 2013 06:57 Lazermonkey wrote: Leaning town. What townies are you feeling most comfortable with me sheeping? Because my reads HAS been off this game (except for my fuba read D1 I guess) but I'm having a hard time finding someone that I actually think makes sense. Vivax is crazy you know... listen to gumshoe. or me assuming i'm still around ![]() | ||
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On July 06 2013 06:59 gumshoe wrote: HAH beat you by 30 or so seconds stutters : P Also Solstice has mentioned JJ once this game. Basicaly gives JJ the benefit of the doubt. Then pretty much agrees with him about me? Wierd. Basically says the best argument here against Jar Jar is meta... Which is wrong. AND THATS IT. Solstice has not mentioned Jar Jar for the last 60 percent of the game. It's the kinda stuff I think in my head but don't bring to the game usually because it's too speculative, but the 2nd quote looks like scum coaching scum. Only saying it now because you brought it up. But one at a time. | ||
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On July 06 2013 07:05 WaveofShadow wrote: I LIIIIIIVE obviously, because scumteam aren't morons like you apparently are :/ | ||
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Or maybe they do and they were just scared of WoS's jail? Dunno. | ||
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On July 06 2013 07:08 WaveofShadow wrote: It's not about whether he's right or wrong. It's why he's so damn sure of himself when there's no reason to be. Also I'm taking guesses right now as to what I ended up deciding to do last night. Any takers? Have you never played with Vivax before? In LIX I smurfed, was so townie that a town-full of vets elected me mayor, I pushed two mafia all day 1, used my mayoral lynch to kill a mafia, and pushed more mafia into day 2. Vivax is cop and gets a redcheck on someone, but is SO convinced that I'm mafia somehow that he votes for me instead of his redcheck. You'd have to see it to believe it almost. | ||
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On July 06 2013 07:12 WaveofShadow wrote: But it's like a switch flipped between D1 and D2 somewhere. He did not like play like this for half the game. yeah he decided I was mafia. same in LIX, same in personality 2. once he gets into his head that I'm mafia, all reason disappears. It's consistent. | ||
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And I don't believe your wos scumread. | ||
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Basically I don't think you're thinking like a townie. There exists the possibility that you're just right about stuff and I'm wrong, but I don't think that's it. Which is why I, at least, need to see a case from you that's not on WoS. By the way, it's not the fact that gumshoe got us to lynch scum (ok, it is that) but it's the way he wrote about it and argued for it. If it's a scumplay it's really brilliant and just seems so god-damn unlikely. I'd have hoped you would think the same too. | ||
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On July 06 2013 22:47 JarJarDrinks wrote: Like Who do you think is scum right now stutters? Even if you think I am, there has to be another person in the game that's scum right? So wouldn't Fuba have had that persons role to claim? Stutters is right, why don't *you* tell *us* who's scum instead? | ||
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If you're town and you can't find scum or at least demonstrate a townie thought process (which is primarily where I think you've fell down, repeatedly) then we're gonna lose today. | ||
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He *didn't* get lynched and he *didn't* have to fakeclaim, which is both the goal of a mafia player and a townie. Your whole argument rests on "well he had a claim, why didn't he use it" - well, he didn't have to use it in the end. End of conversation. | ||
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It's ludicrous. Move on. | ||
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On July 07 2013 02:15 gumshoe wrote: Btw WOS, you never answered my question. Also Jar Jar. May I please have a case on why Solstice is scum? stop picking his target for him. | ||
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On July 07 2013 05:10 gumshoe wrote: I didn't, he did day 1. I'm just curios why he abandoned his number 2 read. Especially when solstice would work well with most of his reads. The point is, you're saying "make a case on s0lstice". No, he should make his case on whoever he pleases. Stop predicting what he should or shouldn't do, and just let him do it. | ||
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And if you're having doubts about JJD, I assume that means you think WoS is also mafia? | ||
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On July 08 2013 02:32 gumshoe wrote: XD Jar Jar has been wrong about every little thing this game. Hes has constantly been against towns objectives, and he abandoned his early read on SOl for virtually no reason. He is the only non confirmed who was against WOS yesterday, and hes just not this bad a player. He supported Fuba all throughout the game, suggesting he was a bad lynch several times and never actually put a vote on him, likewise Fuba was a fan of Jar Jars. Jar Jar gave Stutters his clean bill of townieness back when Stutters was totally null at best. Hes also been trying to convince us to focus only the buisness of claims, and why that technicality totally exonarates him. Whereas we have no idea how scum have received their fake claims, just that based off Fuba and WOs they do have them, so the only thing we can do is judge Jar Jar by his posting. Which is the last thing he wants. Also we Oats was a critical component of the wagon yesterday. Would've been hard to get it going without him especially because Vivax was being silly. Also if your worried about scum being too quiet, read the last page man. They're back in black, posting within an hour of one another as I mentioned so that they could actually have a dialogue meant to distance themselves from one another. Barring some major conspiracy, were doing just fine Marv. The bolded just isn't true, he was pushing for fuba on day 2 before the WoS shenannies. Oh well. In gumshoe I trust. | ||
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On July 08 2013 02:56 gumshoe wrote: Comparatively Solstice was always against Fuba, perhaps a soft buss against him knowing he would be easy to pin down? Also context is important, Scum saw WOS claim the last blue. They KNOW the focus is going to be there despite Fuba. And town has to lynch scum day 2. s0lstice decided just to vote him with no justification at all day 1, and only post-justified it later. What do you mean with the day 2 lynch stuff? | ||
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The mylo/lylo thing The Oats disappearing act that I/we haven't had time to get to the bottom of Most importantly, the fact that s0lstice and JJD both seem to be pushing the idea that he's mafia, and if he flips survivor they're gonna have to sing a different tune. | ||
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On July 08 2013 06:16 gumshoe wrote: I could yolo lynch Soltice too, but whats pissing me off is that this competition is between WOS and Jar Jar, not Solstice and Jar Jar. I think with Oats locked we could essentially risk losing control of todays vote. Jar Jar is only 90 percent scum, but understand if you want to vote otherwise its going to be on WOS (and we dont need Igrok to spell out that hes survivor to us). Solstice just aint happening. There's 5 of us here who could vote for anyone we chose who isn't here. | ||
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JJD if you're town then sorry, but you've said too many things I can't get my head around. gumshoe/WoS is just nowhere near where I'm at. | ||
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On July 08 2013 07:00 Vivax wrote: It's simply the smartest thing to take the guaranteed not-town hit now. yeah but prolonging the game is an unattractive proposition with how you're playing, for example. | ||
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basically s0lstice/oats/vivax aren't playing the game at all in the last 24-48 hours, it's all feeling incredibly pointless. | ||
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sucks | ||
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marvellosity
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On July 08 2013 07:58 WaveofShadow wrote: no guise don't leeeave me And no obviously I wouldn't give up the game but considering I'm the one that holds the cards tomorrow (assuming scum don't shoot me for some godawful reason) I still feel like there's plays town could make... It'd be like reverse mafia---all the townies try to convince me that they're the scum. :D the fact you don't realise this is prickish is pretty shocking. but whatever, have fun. | ||
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edit: Vivax fucked it up by not voting, or? | ||
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You're not bad at all if you're thinking, but for whatever reason you just decided to stop thinking ![]() | ||
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I was really sure gumshoe and WoS weren't mafia, and that's what you were pushing. It was my bad for not distinguishing wrong and scum, and for being too afraid to push s0lstice. | ||
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On July 10 2013 00:20 WaveofShadow wrote: This is a very interesting point---I get suspected a lot I think in part because I don't think the way people expect me to think I guess? (It often works in my favour because I don't get lynched or NKed) A lot of people however (including me at times) do their scumhunting by trying to think from a scum or town POV. How can you really avoid falling into the trap of thinking people are scum just because they don't act the way you expect them to? It's not a 'trap', because it's a legitimate way to find mafia. You just have to qualify it with "would *this person* think like this". Pretty decent example was you claiming a shot on me. My assessment was that WoS wouldn't do that as town, and that was correct. | ||
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On July 10 2013 00:21 s0Lstice wrote: Do you think I'd have been better off joining the jar jar wagon? I thought for sure if I did that town would get off jar jar as we would then pretty much all be agreeing on him. No, because in these situations, town expects scum to be bussing a liability (which jarjar was if he was mafia). On July 07 2013 16:14 s0Lstice wrote: So here's where I'm at. I didn't have time to get to WoS tonight, but I re-read JJD and Stutters. There's a few things about JJD that make me nervous about this lynch. First, day 1 there is a Rayn lynch wagon. A JJD wagon forms counter to it, and here is what JJD says: Vivax and Oats are calling for Rayn's head, and at this point there is a possibility that Rayn is lynched. I think it would be odd for JJ to not go in here. More, he called Rayn scum earlier, so the groundwork was already laid for him to get on the Rayn wagon. Instead, he recognizes some pretty townie posting by Rayn, and backs off, despite it possibly meaning his own head. There have been flashes of real clairvoyant and solid analysis like this: The scummiest looking thing about him imo is his actions around the day 1 lynch, and it's so on the nose scummy looking that I'm left getting townie vibes off it, as weird as that sounds. What kind of scum drops an explanationless (and I mean totally explanationless) vote on a counter wagon to a now confirmed scum? It's so suicidally stupid and careless; I think it's unlikely that a scum JJ does this. Also he is currently not playing to his scum meta. You can refer back to that case I wrote on him, the games are in there. I wouldn't call him tunnely this game. What do you guys think of this stuff? This *should have* made it abundantly clear that you were not mafia with JarJar. Your mafia buddy is leading in votes and is going to get lynched... not a chance you semi-but-not-really defend him like this. Like zero chance. So both of you aren't mafia at this point. Along with your weird defence of Vayne, that really should have been enough to start solving the game on. My error/lack of confidence again. | ||
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On July 10 2013 00:27 Lazermonkey wrote: But then you would really need to know said persons play if you are ever going to pull an argument like that off, otherwise it feels like it would be WIFOM really. Over half of the players that was on me for "not thinking the correct way" was players I had never played with before... Yes, that is an issue. People have different playstyles and think in different ways. Then again, town and mafia obviously DO approach the game differently, and a decent part of working out a game is picking out these differences. It's just making sure they're town/scum differences and not just playstyle differences within a certain player. | ||
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On July 10 2013 00:29 VayneAuthority wrote: lets just hope you guys stop trying to use that on me when I will never play the same way twice. Out of curiosity, how might you say you'd have played differently on day 1 this game if you were mafia? | ||
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