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Newbie Mini Mafia XXXIII - Page 3

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 20 2012 10:32 GMT
#540
I believe we have roughly 14 hours 40 minutes. I could be very wrong.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 20 2012 10:47 GMT
#544
I'll wait to see an answer to my questions from Orange, and Spaghetticus' reply. Till then Corazon is still my #1 read.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 20 2012 12:51 GMT
#552
#Unvote
##Vote: Spaghetticus
##FoS: cDgCorazon

Congrats Corazon. I still think you are scum but I'm going to hunt your buddies for the rest of the day.

This post reads to me "I'm playing my game and I don't care what yours is, I'll just sit in the middle of the room so you know I'm here"

And I must have missed the part where you were ever happy to vote for somebody instead of defend them without giving us any other leads. For such a big post it doesn't say very much. Please stop coaching and ask one of the real ones for help because if you are town you've just dragged me away from my top scum reads for a moment.

Personally I read Mocsta as town and don't mind him trying to lead conversation for the next day and night. If he is scum the amount of talking he'll have to do will eventually make him slip up.

I'll also ask you how Corazon is the towniest person here when as soon as he received a few more votes + Show Spoiler +
On December 20 2012 13:27 cDgCorazon wrote:
Sigh, I thought this was newbie Mafia, and all of you seem to be using strategies that newbie Mafia players shouldn't know. TL Mafia surfs, maybe?


and

On December 20 2012 13:28 cDgCorazon wrote:
GG



were the first things he said. Even if he is being sarcastic it's still just another scum tell in my eyes. You don't post a bunch of potentially scummy things, get told people think you are scum for doing it, and then do it even more. If you are town you try to convince other people that it was a mistake and give them feedback and correct your actions.

That taken into account I can explain this massive post as "please don't lynch my scummate" and it all sounds pretty reasonable.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 20 2012 13:20 GMT
#556
if there even is a 3rd it could be a current lurker.
Sylencia has had a pass today and claimed so ahead of time so we have no reads at all on him.

Cakepie hasn't said very much. long posts but not many of them.

Kickstart has even fewer posts and much less content. makes it hard to judge him as well.

And then Fatchunk would be most likely at the moment if you or Corazon flip scum based on people who have been involved in the conversation.

I'd say in those 4 we have a 3rd scum if one is present.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 20 2012 13:41 GMT
#557
I was ready to tunnel Corazon until your horrid defense to Aqua's case. 100% believe he is scum. Doesn't mean I'm not going to look for other scum though.

and if by bandwagon you mean make the case and stick with it for 30~ hours while continuing to bring up new material that hasn't been said. Yup total bandwagon. I ignore the original vote on him as a way to gauge how he reacts and gets conversation started. He slips - argues with Threesr and then I make the 3rd vote on him (2nd with evidence) and push for others to also vote and put pressure on him.

I don't think I have to play this game at a higher level than simple. It establishes me as town, helps in scum hunts and I give my input about how people are acting and how I feel about them. Why would I try to be more complex than that in my first game? I'd just confuse people and myself.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 20 2012 15:15 GMT
#567
Alright. This will be my first time doing anything with multiple posts in it let alone have it be this big... if I mess up and hide anything in spoilers I apologize in advance lol

+ Show Spoiler +
On December 20 2012 23:20 Spaghetticus wrote:
Bugger tomorrow IDGAF

Show nested quote +
To play devils advocate for Theesr on his stance on lurkers. I could see scum using LAL to their advantage and making us waste most of D1 while they play it safe and then bandwagon a lurker, we lynch said lurker he turns up to be town and if things have really gone poorly we learn nothing and scum comes out ahead of us on D1.

I agree with Kickstart entirely when he says we should push scum reads over policy lynches. Truthfully I'm more worried about anybody who thinks we should lynch lurkers without second thought.


While I actually liked the last part and even took a note in the satisfactory column, Omni does little here but say a bunch of safe stuff. He came across as a little bold when he proclaimed his disapproval of thoughtless lynching, but in retrospect this is actually a very safe move.


ty, ofc. I'm going to play safe in my first game as VT in mafia.

+ Show Spoiler +
(points finger at Threesr and Corazon)

Another safe play. These guys were destined to get it. I predicted the shitstorm (though admittedly I named Shz as well), if the info was available to me it was available to Omni. Targeting the weaker town is a move that a scum naturally does whether they are new or not. What would you do if you were scum?


I'd play the same way I am right now but wouldn't have switched my vote from Corazon. Draws unneeded attention. As well as advise my team mates not to make any large plays until day 2 and if possible and there are 3 scum discuss throwing one under the bus themselves N2/D3 to establish one or both of the other scum as good townies. imo pretty basic stuff.

+ Show Spoiler +
If he latched onto Corazon because he realized he would be extremely easy to put him under suspicion. (followed by Corazon actually stating he's Mafia) I can't really see Corazon being town but if he is and has just made every mistake he could then my reason behind Theesr being shitty town would disappear and he would become my #1 scum read instead of #1 shitty town

See how if Corazon comes up innocent (which I think he will) then Omni has set the stage to move onto the next easiest player. Even if these players were scum they would pose very little threat. This is positioning for an incredibly strong day three for the mafia, leaving 2-3 strong players, a bunch of lurkers, and zero leads.


I've already thought about what happens if Corazon comes up innocent and shz and myself had a nice talk about that earlier. The information we get if he is innocent would still help town. I also like how you take a post from early on in the game and apply its rationale to a point after we have more information.

+ Show Spoiler +
Also Chunk is the only one who has tried to defend Corazon but hasn't come completely out and said he thinks he's innocent, just that with ALL the evidence he still can't vote for him? I'm going to stick with Corazon as my #1 scum read but Chunk seems suspicious just based on that to me.

More bagging on the lowest players. The big three are common knowledge and a safe sell at the point of writing the above quote. Omni continues to say absolutely nothing at all risky. He is waiting for things to be safe and then stating the obvious. He openly displays all the signs of posing bluster I resent to demonstrate myself.

Why be risky when I am town. scumhunt and give my input is all I've been doing so far in D1. You caught me. doing my role as I intended.

+ Show Spoiler +
If anybody can clearly give us a way to gain more information while at the same time getting rid of suspicion of Corazon I am all for it. I don't want to lynch somebody who could be town just because we all tunnel him. Let's try and get some information from other lurkers. What do they think of the current situation ect.

See this? This is someone that has the gall to ask for someone to do the very thing I have been doing, then nails me for it (but only after someone else does... can't be too safe).

Clear difference in somebody who scumhunts and somebody who has posted fluff all game, gets voted on for it, and for his defense posts more pointless fluff that doesn't answer anything. What information have you given us exactly? have you seen the results of all of your posts? Any information come out of them? nope.

+ Show Spoiler +
This defense of his vote almost seems like he's committing to a lynch, until you realise he was just waiting for a better lynch for scum to present itself. Yes I believe I'm a bigger prize than Corazon's entirely compromised town play, because I have a better position, and because I play more like a blue role would (less aggression).


I still believe he's scum. There is no better lynch than scum. Other scum =/= better.

+ Show Spoiler +

I was ready to tunnel Corazon until your horrid defense to Aqua's case. 100% believe he is scum. Doesn't mean I'm not going to look for other scum though.

My defense was not horrid. I take offense.


You repeat everything that he is attacking you for. it's horrible. If it wasn't I wouldn't need to be typing right now.

+ Show Spoiler +
and if by bandwagon you mean make the case and stick with it for 30~ hours while continuing to bring up new material that hasn't been said. Yup total bandwagon. I ignore the original vote on him as a way to gauge how he reacts and gets conversation started. He slips - argues with Threesr and then I make the 3rd vote on him (2nd with evidence) and push for others to also vote and put pressure on him.

On a person which the zeitgeist favours as a bandwagon. I don't care how long you spent blustering at the obvious pickups of non-town behaviour. The guy's level of play was inadequate and the case made itself. Do you really think his door would not have been knocked down without you? He was in for pressure, from you or otherwise. You wasted your time while pretending to contribute. Scummy.


pretending to contribute - putting out information nobody has stated yet and clearly YOU missed his slip.

.+ Show Spoiler +
I don't think I have to play this game at a higher level than simple. It establishes me as town, helps in scum hunts and I give my input about how people are acting and how I feel about them. Why would I try to be more complex than that in my first game? I'd just confuse people and myself.

"I don't know if I'm doing the right thing, so I will assume that I am and not try to improve my play, as playing dumb will convince people I'm town."

I know I'm playing D1 1st mafia game ever, I also know I have absolutely no feedback on my play so far. I also know I've built a case based on Corazon both being scum and flipping VT for information (again you are more than welcome to see shz's post for that) I said it myself but it wasn't very clear. He made it make a lot more sense.

+ Show Spoiler +
am actually genuinely impressed with your expression here, regardless of your alignment. The problem I have is that you are pushing to lynch me and my two best town reads because of your failure to look deeper. Try harder.

When you address me or speak of me in any way, please refrain from throwing emotional garbage about. It makes me like you more if you don't. Tell me what's wrong with what I said, not how wrong it is. Words without reason are meaningless fluff, or peripheral associative priming depending on who the listener is. A townie should have logic behind his claims.


Or just not give any input at all and pretend to be helping I guess. Then get called out for it and still post the fluff you hate. I didn't get emotional stop getting so defensive because I called your defense trash. which it was. Horrid really.

+ Show Spoiler +
Rebuke of Mocsta's Early Town Tells:
He was potentially misleading town, and setting himself up to take control. I stopped him the same way I did SS, though I did not make a case out of it because there wasn't one.

Theory of Town and Scum:
I have not stated my thoughts but that does not mean I haven't devoted a lot of time developing them. I'm confirming with a large degree of confidence that neither Threesr nor Corazon are scum. This degree of confidence is a big deal for a meticulous SOAB like me. I've determined that Chromatiacally, Aquinim, Cakepie, and Mocsta will need to be dealt with later rather than now if they happen to be scum. That's narrowed the list of lynchable candidates down to six for me, this is no small analysis! Your assertion that I have not developed any theory is BS. Rather than flaunt every thought that tickles my ol' brain I know my understanding will only get better with time, and voting now is pretentious or whimsical.

Asking Kickstart for meta reads:
You say this wasn’t useful. Surely you could see the potential of such a move? I am lighting a fire under a lurker, and attempting to mine a new vein of data. As far as post efficiency goes you can’t fault me on this.

“So Spag thinks that the best way to get town back to scumhunting is to defend someone under pressure, not make a case himself? Words fail me.”

In this particular instance this is exactly what I thought. I don’t have any really solid cases, I am still narrowing down suspects. Any case I would post at that point would likely fall on deaf ears and I really believed I could benefit town by taking pressure off of the obvious targets and spreading the suspicion around.

"Spag's whole "I'm defending Corazon but still happy to vote for him" BS is a classic scum move too - keeping his options open for new developments so he doesn't have to contradict himself later. I'm not saying that town would never do this, but it's pretty damn scummy."

I am no longer happy to vote for Corazon which I believe I expressed in the same post. Through writing the post I came to the conclusion that he is the towniest person here, and I will stand by that statement. I am sorry I did not go back through and edit for consistency, I was tired after doing a LOT of legwork for this game. You’re welcome.


Where in that is anything not just smoke and mirrors? You don't answer a single thing. You still don't take a firm stance on anything other than ignoring other reads, that you have stayed consistent with, and you still don't offer any scum hunting but instead you say you still don't have enough information to even post on who you think might be scum.

You were called out, I didn't think much of it, you returned with nothing, I voted. Aqua's case against you was much stronger than your defense of yourself.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 20 2012 23:48 GMT
#611
you still don't actually tell us why you think Corazon is town. Smoke and mirrors. The fact you believe I'm scum because I've played safe, made scum reads, and explained WHY I made my decisions is slightly amusing but stop. You are wrong. If anybody else has any questions for me before the lynch I am more than happy to answer them. I haven't hid anything and have already explained why/how I am playing. Please tell me if you have any problem with it and I will try to change my play if you think it is poisonous to town.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 00:16 GMT
#624
GG Spaghetticus.

I'm gonna grab a bite to eat and then see what else can be learned from this. I don't think we have been entirely wrong guys. Corazon/FC/Sylencia/Kickstart still under heavy suspicion from me. When Sylencia starts to post more we'll hopefully get a better read if town/scum. Kickstart has been lurking and its very difficult to see what he actually thinks of this lynch but a few of his posts have been ok.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 00:26 GMT
#627
@Chrom just because Spagh got his reads wrong and got lynched defending scum doesn't mean the rest of us have been wrong about that situation. It's unfortunate that we got taken off course because Aqua made a good point and Spagh couldn't defend himself properly but how does any of that change the fact that the logic behind Corazon/threesr/FC is still sound.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 01:04 GMT
#635
why make a big deal over something that is obvious. I've been scum hunting, helping with reads and giving my input on matters. Yes I'm town. No I'm not Blue, Miller, or Mason. the VT claim was veiled so if I did get checked N1 it would come back exactly as I have said. Sorry Chrom I'm not trying to hide what I'm doing.

To put it simply for you. I am VT. I scumhunt. I give my thoughts to the rest of you. If thats all you've got for a case that I claimed VT and then proceeded to play like a townie and continue to contribute to town... you caught me.

Spaghetticus tried his hardest to find something in my filter and couldn't even come back with a FoS and I was voting for him. Don't get distracted on me, it will just waste time. Yes I'm being defensive - this is my defense after all.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 01:06 GMT
#636
EBWOP: so you don't misunderstand - you caught me playing as my role. just as Spag had done in his attempt.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 01:19 GMT
#641
I mean in the case that I get focused because Spag decided to single me out and we have a cop it will be useless to check my alignment but if we do and he does check me it'll come back green. I still read you as town so I'd rather not have a pointless argument that gets us nowhere.

Go make your case, I'll prove you wrong again and then you can hunt some actual scum k?
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 01:20 GMT
#642
I'm completely serious. make the case so I can rip it apart and then we can work together because I believe you to be town. In the mean time I'll make my own cases.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 10:48 GMT
#664
Alright, so to get more conversation going I'm going to go over pretty much everything I believe we've learned from D1.

Reads

I'll start off with Corazon. After re-reading everything he's said a few times I believe I owe him an apology. As he defended Spag while the vote was on him I'm willing to say I believe he is town. He stuck with his vote on Theesr the entire time. I am willing to overlook every mistake up to this point in his posting and trust that what ever he says from now on is from the mouth of a townie.

I believe strong town reads are Mocsta, Chromatically, and Aquanim.

If Aquanim were scum, he didn't need to try to get Spag lynched to save Corazon, as Corazon defended Spag and imo proved his innocence. If Aqua were scum he could have sat back and let us lynch Cora. - same thing happens N1 but his name isn't out there for starting the lynch. For this I believe Aqua is town.

FC's actions at the end of D1 still throw me off a little bit. On one hand he's defending him (much too late) and if he were scum and knew Spag would turn up town it would make it easy for him to try and give a last minute case about why he thinks he's innocent. Hard to tell as he makes a few good points as well. He also tried to defend Corazon when nobody else would. Makes it much harder for me to call him scum now.

Theesr moves to my #1 scum read as even during the lynch of Spag he really doesn't seem to care. I believe he even says at one point he doesn't care. Again I owe an apology to Corazon as I believe he might be right in thinking Theesr is Scum or possible SK.

Shz fits into a middle ground for me. I am neutral about him for the time being. I'll need to look through the filter again.

with them gone the people I really have trouble marking come out.

Orange, Kick, Cakepie, and Sylencia. I'll enjoy having Sylencia around more often now and it should bring some more insight on him but I find it incredibly hard to read the other three and can't tell if they represent town or scum at all.

TL:DR sorry Cora, I believe you are town along with Mocsta, Aqua, Chrom, and maybe shz/fc

Aqua I think you should look this over and see if it makes sense to you. Moc/Chrom/shz/cora as well. I believe if we use D1 as any indicator we can assume this to be correct.

I admit I was wrong about Corazon after reading through everything again and thinking about it for awhile. Hopefully we can move on and get some of these lurkers out in the open
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 12:23 GMT
#669
no problem Chrom, I think Mocsta has been fairly good at posting his reasons and logic behind most of his moves so far in this game. He's posted a lot and I can't really say much of it has seemed scummy. He's also agreed with and worked with Aqua on some cases which could be him trying to hitch a ride but at the moment I have no reason to doubt him and there is a LOT to go through and still not have any solid scum reads on him.

He generally feeds off what other people say and starts conversations with them to try and scum hunt without leading a player in a direction which I also think is a pretty big sign of a helpful townie.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 13:40 GMT
#674
I feel like you two are having a conversation through me. lol

For very similar reasons as you Mocsta I believe Chrom is town. He was the one who originally made the case against Corazon which at that point was the correct move imo. He advanced our conversations and gave us a lot of information, even with this lynch it has still been helpful in clearing some of the confusion I had after I went over all of the posts. He pressures well, he asks good questions. and again there is a lot to go through but I couldn't find any real scum tells. He made his major cases against FC and Cora and they were both very well thought out imo. Very easy to see him as town at this point.

and idk if I take offense to that or not Mocsta but if you see an error in the way I've said I see things please let me know. That goes for anybody.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 13:47 GMT
#675
ah and Sylencia I'll say this right away, I voted on Spag and expected myself to change back to Corazon but found he defended himself so poorly that the vote stuck. I used the vote as pressure to try and get him to post something better and I've actually thought of posting this previously but in hindsight I should have just FoS'd him and we might not have lynched him as quickly as we did.

You are absolutely right though. I was intending to switch my vote back to Cora after Spag cleared himself because until that point I hadn't actually thought of him as scummy in the least. but I said it a few times, Aqua's case was much stronger than Spag's defense in my eyes.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 14:33 GMT
#679
As far as I know a scum tell is when they slip up, a scum read is based on opinion/fact revolving around what they post and what you think of it. basically I think of a tell as something more definite.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 16:52 GMT
#694
quick thing about claiming VT. You would have forced me to role claim about 20 minutes after I had made that original post. I saw it coming (not from you in particular but knew somebody was going to come after me after the lynch) so doing it 10 minutes before D1 ended or 10 minutes into N1 doesn't really make the largest difference. If I don't role claim early in that situation imo D2 I'm the easiest lynch at that point in time.

Anyway on to Corazon, as I mentioned in the quote you posted his starting game was bad, as I was going to sleep and reading everything over he was already becoming scum in my mind, I woke up and read through 6~ more pages of him making bad posts, excuses and no real answers to anything and then posts that he's mafia. I honestly just had a hard time anybody would be so nervous that even while being careful they would post so many scummy things.

as per what he means about the NK from what I take from it and the only thing that makes sense is that scum will avoid targeting me because they know I'm not blue. If that isn't what he meant about the NK then I don't know.
LiquidDota Staff
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6593 Posts
December 21 2012 16:53 GMT
#695
ha you beat me to it but at least I understood what you meant and I agree. I still would have claimed as soon as you questioned me though.
LiquidDota Staff
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