Player....list.....so.....tempting.....
Paranoia Mafia
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Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
Player....list.....so.....tempting..... | ||
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
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Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
On November 29 2012 08:56 DarthPunk wrote: If I sniped your /in you can take my spot. No no. I'm playing in Chrono and PlanetSide 2 just came out last week, or I would have /in'd yesterday. Mabye if I do /replacement I'll actually play the game on my own without having the time commitment ![]() Every time I /obs, I end up getting lazy and just not reading. | ||
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
On November 29 2012 09:00 Promethelax wrote: watch out, I thought I'd have a better time just replacing and I wouldn't be in a full game. Than ACME happened. I understand that. I can play 2 games at once if I'm needed. I'll just have to put PlanetSide down until late night when everyone goes to bed and the forums are dead ![]() | ||
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Keirathi
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On December 02 2012 09:51 Blazinghand wrote: I made by far the best case against DP, a solid (though as it turns out, ultimately incorrect) meta case. I sat down and did the homework on it. I'm gonna admit the reasoning on the MrZ vote was bad, but if your critique of my play is "BH swaps around a lot" then yeah okay I swap around a lot, but that's just how I roll. This is the part that I disagree with. He pointed out a direct counter-point to your claim, but that didn't change anything? "Herp derp, Here's what DP only does when he's scum." "Oh wait, he did that as town before too? DOESN'T MATTER STILL SCUM." That's such faulty logic that I find it hard to believe that you actually believed that. The case itself was fine, but when presented evidence to the contrary, you just didn't care and kept on tunneling. | ||
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On December 02 2012 10:07 Blazinghand wrote: I'm either tunnelling or wishy-washy you can't have it both ways Wat, I never said you were wishy-washy. | ||
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Keirathi
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On December 02 2012 10:49 Blazinghand wrote: I explained why DP's exceptions didn't count, the only one that was sensible was the one from his newbie game, his first game as town. In retrospect, okay, that wasn't great. Like, yes, I was wrong, DP flipped town. And yes, I was the one who led the charge, so I deserve blame for that. In fact, I was ALSO the final, deciding vote in the final voteswitch AWAY from DYH and TO DP. DP's blood is on my hands, and it was by my hands as well that the scummy DYH lived. But I stand by what I did, given what I knew at the time, and though I was wrong, that doesn't necessarily make me scum. You're right. Being wrong doesn't make you scum. It's the reasons behind WHY you were wrong that make you scum. Humor me for a bit, though. DP countered with a "big case post" from Mario and you said it didn't count because that wasn't how he opened the game. So only the first person he pressures counts? What is the arbitrary cut-off for when it becomes acceptable for him as town to start posting big cases? And you realize that LC quote was on Day 2, right? I mean, at that point he had as much information as the GSL Mini post that you discredited because it was over 48 hours into the game. So which is it; does the length of his post stop counting after day 1? Or only when he's scum does it stop counting? Why did you not reference ACME, where as scum, he didn't make a single big case day 1? He had a few light pokes at people and rode the fake-mason claim to a day 1 lynch, THEN made a longer case on kush during the night. And why does his newbie game not count? I mean, certainly DP has gotten more comfortable playing since then, but you were blatantly misrepresenting your case in saying "DP never does this as town, only when he's scum!" when what you meant is that "DP hasn't done this lately as town." There's a HUGE difference there. | ||
Keirathi
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On December 02 2012 17:10 DoYouHas wrote: Here is my thinking on Ace before I go to bed. Think back to early in day 1 where debears was really going after me for my first post which boiled down to me not wanting people to sheep Ace because he was Ace. The back and forth between us lasted longer than it probably should have, but at the end of it one thing was sure. Nobody was going to be overtly sheeping Ace based on reputation. So then there were a couple posts which caught my eye from Ace: What do these posts do? they certainly don't provide any explanation for anything that he is saying. What I see them doing is spreading suspicion. Suddenly 3 of the more veteran players in the game besides Ace have 'something off' about them. "I highly doubt all 3 are town" is an easy statement to make as it reflects what pretty much all of us are thinking, but he takes it a step further and suggest that 2/3 are more likely than not to be scum. And what reasons do we have to suspect those three that we didn't have before Ace posted? None. Ace simply invites us to entertain the possibility, throws the weight of his name behind it, and let's our fears of being against a powerful scum team fill in the reasons for him. Then we get the debears-Shaoipi-DYH interaction (a strange name since I'm pretty sure I haven't interacted with Shaoipi). Now there are 3 more people that have had an interaction which caught Ace's eye. Again, Ace has managed to direct people's attention to targets of his choice without ever providing a reason aside from "I'm Ace". The interaction, renamed the Shaoipi-VE-DP interaction in the second post, but, as far as I can tell, is referencing the same thing as the first post (I could be wrong, but Ace certainly didn't make it easy on me, since he gives no details and no explanations) is now "weird". So what do those posts do? At their face they are meant to make us think that he is scumhunting, looking at things which your average player doesn't grasp. But what they actually do is prey on people's instinct to think "there must be something to these suspicions if Ace is spending his time on it". Ace wasn't trying to lead the town down the right or wrong path, he was simply facilitating the town destroying each other. P.S. It is also possible that he really just didn't give a crap about the town. It would really irritate me if he was playing against his win condition by making no attempt to win the rest of the town to his reads. Good night. I can't say what Ace was doing, because I have no idea. But I'll be working to do whatever I can to prove that I am town. Starting with lynching scum tomorrow. | ||
Keirathi
United States4679 Posts
BlazingHand is scum I've already explained my problems with the reasons he pushed DP. But now lets look at HOW he pushed DP: + Show Spoiler [Quotes from this game] + On December 01 2012 11:01 Blazinghand wrote: DP is scum btw As town he throws around 1-liners and votes aggressively with questionable amounts of explanation. He doesn't afraid of anyone. As scum he's still aggressive, but he's very methodological. Up until his post on Lazermonkey he was playing more like his town meta but town DP rarely/never makes big posts like that, especially early game. Contrast his D1 play in Mario Mini (town) where he drops votes like they're hot (link) (link) with his game in LC where he writes out long posts that look exactly like this lazermonkey post (link) (note: this one ends in an FoS because Marv was being lynched that game). This is now aggro town DP this is plodding scum DP. ##vote DarthPunk On December 01 2012 11:08 Blazinghand wrote: Yeah DP I'm gonna be real here you're playing quite a bit like scum DP. But Marv is.. sigh... right and WBG contradicting himself on his face like that really REALLY is scummier than you playing to your scum meta. You've got no credibility with me baby. On December 01 2012 17:08 Blazinghand wrote: I have no comments on WBG at this time other than that his explanation for his statements on xatalos is acceptable to me. How scummy are you based on this meta case that you claim has exceptions but really only has one exception, which is a newbie game, your first game ever as town? Very scummy. How scummy are you based on the fact you clearly didn't read or click through the links on the case but just blindly attacked it, and me, and despite calling me scummy are afraid to vote me due to my veteran status? Very scummy. I've got nothing to say to you or in response to any of your statements about Lazermonkey. On December 01 2012 16:58 Blazinghand wrote: Also, btw, the fact that you think I didn't read your mini mafia filter when it's one of the things I linked in my case against you indicates to me even more that you really didn't read my case. All you care about is squirming your way out of this lynch like the slimy scum player you are. At LEAST read the case against you, man! I could keep quoting more, but my point is, all BH did was get in a pissing contest with DP. He never actually tried to convince anyone that DP was scum. He was trying to convince DP that DP was scum. So let's look at some recent BH town games: + Show Spoiler + Mario He makes an early case on Z-BosoN, the claimed miller: On November 13 2012 15:39 Blazinghand wrote: Z-BosoN should be aware it's on him as a non-DT-checkable player to distinguish himself as town, and what he's posted so far is all bullshit. ZB wanted a wagon to hop on with minimal discussion, so he puked some posts out into the thread and slapped down some poop vote. He voted debears, but unvoted him basically immediately. His reason for voting debears is also crap since debears doesn't see a need to worry about ZB right away. ZB says this: and that's basically wrong. The fact that debears essentially ignores ZB's claim (which is the right move-- it's clearly a null tell) is COMPLETELY normal. And look at this sentence from ZB-- it's a meta case about debears comparing meta from PREVIOUSLY IN THE THREAD. That's not meta. That's bullshitting. Z-B iquickly moves over to another shitcase before peacing out of the thread: S&B's "accidental" "vt claim" (both of those are in question) could be suspicious. But Z-B doesn't explain why. He doesn't set up a scum motive. He just slaps down a vote and bails. This is a chance to look like a townie wagon-started without doing analysis or writing the kind of long posts that could reveal his own scum motives. When Hapa rightly calls him on it: First off, a crap explanation. Everyone wants to appear as town cause getting lynched hurts your side no matter whether you're town or scum. A more correct explanation would talk about how VTs wouldn't claim VT because it narrows down potential blue snipes, and how he believes S&B was serious and not joking in that post. A town player would lay out his own thought process right away so that others understand what he's thinking. He'd respond to s&B and push the wagon, not just slap down a vote and a bad explanation. ZB is setting up to look good as a wagon starter (since scum don't like to stick their necks out) and appear to contribute to town, but if you read his astonishingly short filter, it's clear he's not actually helping. He's flinging shit at the wall and hoping it sticks. Let's splatter this guy. ##vote: Z-Boson Now, what does he do afterwards? On November 13 2012 15:54 Blazinghand wrote: Kickstart it's interesting to hear what you have to say about the S&B wagon being bad, but it's more important to hear what you think in terms of who you think the scum is. Be forceful. Check out my masterful post attacking ZB for an example of what you should do. Just calling people town or making weak questionings of Hapa wont' help. If you think Hapa is scum, go prove it. be a man. do the right thing. On November 13 2012 16:48 Blazinghand wrote: well, it was bad before because S&B's scum play isn't like this. He's a bit more aggressive and not afraid to stake out positions. But now it's infinitely worse cause you cowered away and said it was just pressure. Be a man and vote for someone you want to actually lynch. How can anyone hold people accountable for votes that are "just pressure?" Read and comment on my ZB case. It's not worthless like your crap vote on S&B: I actually want to lynch ZB, and ZB is actually scum. be useful and vote to lynch someone, not to "pressure" them. Or if you're gonna pressure someone, at least don't tell him you're doing it. ._. On November 13 2012 17:03 Blazinghand wrote: cause he's town. it's not my job to defend the man, just to point out the scum on his wagon. read his filter and tell me that's scum S&B seriously dude etc. etc. Whose Line Starts with a large case on Adam: On November 01 2012 04:44 Blazinghand wrote: I've been back and posting. Gonzaw. Basically, Adam typically opens up with big paragraphs and direct Q/A (see any of his games for examples of this). However, in games like TL Mafia LI when he rolls scum, he also opens up with big pieces of analysis, and more importantly, he hides behind questioning other players. In NMM III, he jumps in (as a replacement, admittedly), with accusations and direct confrontation against SS. Arkham City, although a bit on the old side, shows a classic "Adam as town opening post" This is a post where he lays down solid opinions, makes a case and a post, and although his vote on JB isn't great, he gets his stuff together. Even in our first game together, Student Mafia, he comes out strong, actively assessing players in the thread and laying down reads, not asking pointless questions. Here's his first posts from this game, as a contrast: He's operating under a posting restriction, sure, but look at what he's doing: he's stalling, deflecting, and asking questions rather than making statements and putting on pressure. After I call him out, he says this: This is not town Adam. Town Adam is fearless, open with his thoughts, and votes at the drop of a hat. In fact, here's town Adam's opinion of my play from our last game together, our first newbie game: This is a response of a player who doesn't already know the alignment of the guy he's talkign with, a player who's trying to reason things out and learn. He wants to use my activity as a tool for himself (in this game I threw a vote on him very early with minimal evidence as well). He wants to figure out what I'm doing, who I am, and how to use me to find scum, if I'm not scum. He immediately channels his responses to the early aggression into useful channels. He does none of that this game. Adam is scum. Easy. Then - On November 01 2012 05:50 Blazinghand wrote: Frankly, I'm dissapointed in you, Gonzaw. Usually scum players don't reveal they're not reading the thread until much later in the game. AFter all, you were fully aware that I had previously made a post outside the alphabet rules: And that post, in fact, is the one in which I talked about my interaction with the posting restriction. So, did you not read my post, or did you read my post? Furthermore, given that there were like 2 posts in the hour between my last post and this one, I'd hardly say i'm stifling discussion. This is also a call-out of crossfire, who thinks his monstrosity of an unreadable post (here) is somehow better than 1 hour intervals between thoughtful, reasonable cases. For what it's worth, I simply think crossfire is bad rather than scum. I'd be interested to know how gonzaw seems to have responded to and yet overlooked my personal view of the alphabet rules. And for what it's worth, I don't utterly ignore them-- I just ignore them when I can write a clearer, better message without them. It's more important I do that than I post more than 1 time per hour. As a particular response to crossfire's colossal lack of reading comprehension (which goes well with his writing style: Ready the sentence after your bolds. Adam is a confrontational player as town, and is a questioning player as scum. He opens with votes and cases, NOT with analysis and questioning, when he is town. His opening this game, with analysis and questioning instead of jumping out the gate with a major case, is clearly playing to his scum meta. I'm amazed you read my case and didn't understand this. I have no interest in commenting on Keirathi at this time. No cases in this game are currently as good as my case on Adam, which gonzaw is oddly non-committal on. On November 01 2012 06:55 Blazinghand wrote: Crossfire, I have no issues with you personally. I don't currently think you're scum. You just need to get your act together. You do realize that posting a massive wall of illegible garbage HURTS town, right? That the reason Mementoss is voting you, even though he thinks you have a good chance of flipping town, is that he literally can't understand what you're saying? As an aside, my posts might not follow the alphabet rule, but i have the correct time between them, and by being clear when I'm not playing along, I'm infinitely more respectful to the spirit of the game than guys who slap letters at the start of their posts. But that' s not even the point. My role PM doesn't say that my job is to earn points in minigames; my Role PM doesn't say that my job is to play in the spirit of WLIIA; my role PM, and your role PMs, if you are town, says you win when all the scum are dead. I will not water down my analysis and play against my win con, and neither should you. The spirit of this game is lynching scum. Anything less than trying your hardest to win is not appropriate. When this can fit into alphabetical order and get the point across, I'll gladly do it. And when it won't, I will, within the guidelines set out in the OPs, not follow the alphabetical order. More specifically regarding your critique of my Adam case, you're missing the point again. Adam does eventually get confrontational (and FourFace was an unbelievably, immeasurably bad player who I believe got banned or something), but as scum he is more cautious. He probes first, then leaps. He is playing with his scum mindset this game, or at least he was while he was still posting in the thread. Look at his opening posts-- the questions, the lack of a commitment, and most importantly the lack of a case and a vote-- this is how he plays as scum. gonzaw-- I'm willing to buy that you did in fact read my post, just not very carefully. I don't know how this seems to be dogmatically in favor of using the 1-hour wait method at all times or the rhyming method at all times. You should read my posts more clearly and think a bit harder about the game. Part of the reason I'm on your ass is that you're not playing like you normally do. This focus from you, and the lack of serious pressure on multiple targets, that's not like you. The gonzaw I know, when he plays town, has fullisades of questions for everyone. Why just this one Keirathi case? Where's your usual constant interrogation and probing of everyone in the town? I remember your posts as being kinda annoying and having formatting issues, and maybe being unfocused, but also being unrelenting in their pressure on multiple targets. What gives? By the way, Mementoss, if your reasoning for voting Crossfire is entirely that he is hard to understand, that's fine, but bear in mind you're basically lynching him for being bad and playing anti-town, but not necessarily for playing like scum. I personally read him as a confused townie who doesn't understand he needs to play to his wincon. He'll shape up. He's not a terrible D1 lynch, but honestly if it comes down to it and nobody wants to go for Adam, I'd rather policy one of these inactive guys than do what's essentially a policy lynch on Crossfire for being illegible. etc etc. Rockband Starts with a big case on prplhz (an equally badly reasoned case as his one this game on DP, I might add): On September 18 2012 06:48 Blazinghand wrote: You only ask this question or similar when you roll scum. Scum games where you asked the question: GSL Open: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=365925&user=126438 You open this game with DF Mini: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=358346&user=126438 You wait quite a bit after the game start to open up with this: The scum game in which you don't ask this question, you aggressively push a Policy Lynch of MrZ because he's a terrible player: Movie Star: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=346522&user=126438 And you open the attack like this: What these openers all have in common is that they generate discussion and let you make accusations without backing them up, doing analysis, or generating associative tells. Obviously it's not perfect, since you caught some heat for it in Movie star, but you deflected the heat rather expertly in my opinion. Now, admittedly, the link between this openings seems tenuous at first glance. But the difference between how you open as scum and how you open as town is like night and day-- I've hosted and co-hosted enough games with you in it to tell the difference (yes, that's an appeal to authority, but it's a legitimate appeal). Obviously, I want people to evaluate the evidence for themselves, so I'm gonna point out some Town games where you could have asked this question or similar, but quite notably did not, because you actually do the work yourself as Town. In fact, you never ask the question as town. Notably, you don't ask the question in the following games that had smurfs or people you hadn't played with before. Town games, in which you don't ask the question: Mad Men Mini: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=352668&user=126438 In this game, you roll town, and here's your opening post: This is a real town post. Yeah, you get lynched D1 but you start off with not just some general platitudes about posting, you actually encourage the players you don't know to post. You don't ask inane questions. You're fearless, and aren't afraid to vote first (link) and ratchet up the pressure afterwards (link) which may not be the best strat, but is definitely townie. You are bullheaded with your reads and aggressive. You don't prod first then vote, you vote then prod. All this in a game in which admittedly there are people you don't know at all. It's what a townie would do. In iGrok's Mini http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558&user=126438 you had to replace in, and this was your opening post: Obviously some of this was necessitated by replacing in for a lurking townie N1. But what's your followup? How does a town prplhz charge into a difficult game? Why, he votes first (link) and provides evidence and support later (link) (link) (link) This covers just about everything going back through July, with one notable exception: You rolled scum in Normal Mini II and proceeded to play a highly worthless scumgame http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=349058&user=126438 consisting mostly of votes and one-liners. I hope we'd lynch you for anything like this, but this is the one game that doesn't fit into this meta-analysis of your play this game, so I thought I'd bring it up. Scum prplhz doesn't ALWAYS ask inane questions / take baseless positions-- once, he voted randomly and only posted one-liners. Still, I think the evidence is clear: prplhz as scum likes to ask dumb questions and take stances that don't reveal any scumhunting, and prplhz as town is aggressive with his vote and follows it up with questioning, rather than carefully prodding first. Town prplhz is fearless and not afraid to die to prove his point. He's not cautious. He's also not present this game. This is scum prplhz. Scum prplhz does vague prodding like he has in this game (link) and unhelpful questioning (his entire filter lol) Also, from a purely analytical perspective, this isn't what a townie does. As a townie, yes, you ask questions, but you ask questions that are reasonable and that force people to respond in ways that reveal their scumminess. When you ask someone a question, you do it to pressure them and to get information. You do it for the town. Town prplhz would NOT ask this question: Because Town ANYBODY would not ask that question. Numerous people answered it instantly (and also noted that prplhz already knew the answer himself) and it looked, at first, like it was a discussion-generator. It's not. Randomly regurgitating what games someone has replaced into isn't discussion. Prplhz isn't discussing things. He's just slapping shit in the thread and hoping we let him skate by. He's husslin us. No more husslin. ##vote: prplhz come at me bro Then: On September 18 2012 06:50 Blazinghand wrote: Hey pudding-munchers stop arguing about that and read my case On September 18 2012 07:03 Blazinghand wrote: Not worth looking into until after we lynch Prplhz and flip town. Associative tells between unflipped players on D1 is dumb. Hapa is scummy or not scummy on the merits of his own posting, not how he interacts with Prplhz-- until of course, Prplhz flips. Not a contradiction. Prplhz posts images like this as town all the time even when exhorting people not to be spammy. Hell, I do it all the time. ![]() He's not scummy cause of his image post. That's not scummy at all. He's scummy because he's playing like scum prplhz and he's not hunting scum, and he's trying to look like a contributor when in fact he is not. You're an idiot if you think that I accuse him of being disinterested as mafia. He did that in one game. In the other games, he prods and does literally what he's doing this game. Read my damn case before you decide you have an opinion. On September 18 2012 07:07 Blazinghand wrote: I literally sampled every game he's played in the last 3 months. If you think he's so damn town either argue from this dataset, or increase it, or present another case. I do, however, agree with you that scum may try to bus him. Dudes jumping on his case without explanations as townies are A) letting scum do the same thing and skate by and B) setting themselves up for mislynches. If you have a reason to be for or against his lynch, STATE IT. As town you should have no reason to fear thinking openly and logically. Hapa is right (on this particular issue). On September 18 2012 07:09 Blazinghand wrote: The fact of the matter is, as town prplhz is aggressive, throws his vote around, and is fearless, and in like 4 scum games he is the opposite. Sorry, is 4 scum games not enough to convince you to vote him? That's fine! Show me some counter-evidence! If you think he's genuinely town, you have 2 options to move my vote off him. 1) show me my case is wrong (rather than just poking at it ineffectually). I've seen you do this as town so I know you can. 2) present a better case. If it's really a bad D1 case like you said, you should be able to do better. Do it. I'll vote who-ever is the scummiest in the thread and lynch scum. Right now, that's prplhz, and you have utterly failed to convince me otherwise. I'm sure you can read, but notice the key important difference. As town, BH pushes a case, then pushes everyone else to talk about the case and why it's right or wrong and defends his position. He even goes as far as to refuse to comment on other cases by other players until they'll comment on his particular brand of candidate. He's done none of that this game. He makes a case on DP, then carries a running dialog with DP, but never once engages other people about his DP case. Not only that, but he's immediately willing to drop his case on DP to hop on the WBG vote with marv, and then 3 posts later says "I'm buying what WBG is selling" (who was supposed to be his top scum read, even more so than DP) to hop back onto DP. DP summed it up pretty well: On December 01 2012 16:24 DarthPunk wrote: You are scummy as shit. Zentor is scum. Oh shit no he isn't. DP is scum. NO wait. Sheep marv, WBG scummier. Wait WBG isn't scummy after all, DP is scum. We should be lynching BH tomorrow. | ||
Keirathi
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On December 03 2012 06:14 marvellosity wrote: uh, i like that kei You sound surprised -_- | ||
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On December 03 2012 06:53 Blazinghand wrote: One little objection I'd like to throw out just for you to chew on though is that if I were scum there's no real reason I'd swap from DYH to DP in the final seconds of D1 to save DYH and lynch DP unless DYH was also scum. Except you're probably aware that Risen pulled that stunt in LIII and rode that same argument all the way to a scum win... | ||
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On December 02 2012 08:11 Blazinghand wrote: Well at least we didn't lynch the vigi. Damn DYH you ass you needed to claim much earlier than that. Now at least one of you/marv will be able to get your night action done though :D I just want to talk about this quote a bit as well. In any normal-ish game that I'm ever in, if I'm town and two people blue claim on day 1, my automatic no-thinking-needed assumption would be that one of them would be roleblocked and one would be NK'd. The only way BH's post makes sense is if you assume there isn't a roleblocker (and/or mafia KP, but that's just silly), which I find hard to believe any townie would assume by default. Scum BH knows that there isn't a scum RB? | ||
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On December 03 2012 07:11 MrZentor wrote: Keirathi, you need to remember that DYH claimed a minute before the end of the day. BH could have easily let him die without receiving any flak, because DYH claimed so late. The only reason BH as scum would save DYH is if DYH was also scum. And it would still be risky to save DYH a few seconds before the end of the day. I don't know why everybody thinks BH is scum, because this combined with his weird case on me basically proves him to not be scum. Scum BH wouldn't have gotten MORE flak because he left his vote on the claimed vig. But he definitely would have gotten flak anyways, because his vote on DYH was nonsensical to begin with. | ||
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On December 03 2012 07:15 Blazinghand wrote: "left his vote" Do you even know how much time there was between the claim and the deadline? rofl Of course I do. I do know how to read. I said you WOULDN'T have gotten more flak for leaving your vote there. It would have been natural to say "Oh he claimed vig and I didn't have time to move my vote." But your vote in itself was fucking BAD. | ||
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On December 03 2012 07:18 MrZentor wrote: The only reason that Keirathi is making this ridiculous case is because he wasn't there. He doesn't realize how little time there was between DYH's claim and the end of the day. Its easy to not take into account the amount of time between posts when you were put in the game after the posts occurred. I was on the replacements list. I've been reading this game post-by-post as they happen. I didn't have to go back and read everything to catch up. I'm 100% aware of how little time there was. | ||
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On December 03 2012 07:26 MrZentor wrote: Okay Keirathi, riddle me this. IF BH is scum, why would he make that giant case against me and retract it immediately? Odd behavior like that is bound to be noticed, and BH could have easily made himself look productive while throwing dirt on me by not retracting that case. Because if you are town, you would have immediately come into the thread and said "Hey wait, I was scum that game not town!", making him look bad. Retracting the case was his only option from either alignment, so it's a null tell. | ||
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On December 03 2012 07:35 Blazinghand wrote: And somehow this argument applies, but your case on me largely rests on me NOT paying attention to holes in the D case? That you kept pushing the DP case even after he proved that you were wrong was just bad, not really a scum tell. But that's what got me interested into looking into you more. What convinced me you were scum wasn't that you were wrong, it was HOW you pushed your wrongness. | ||
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On December 03 2012 07:38 austinmcc wrote: Keirathi, MrZ has a point. It doesn't mean BH is town, but it's a valid point. I disagree. Retracting a mistake case is entirely a null tell. How does it indicate townieness? Why couldn't it have been scum? | ||
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On December 03 2012 07:40 sandroba wrote: I have to go out quickly so I'ma post my thoughts early: Sandroba's Town List for dummies (TM): WBG - marvelosity = both too emo ragers for it to be fake. I can't see the genuine asshole behavior being faked here and there is no scum motivation for it. I would seriously like to lynch marv for being an assface jerk, but unfortunately I can't convince myself he is scum. Xatalos - LOL this guy is so townie I don't understand how you baddies manage to bandwagon him day 1. 'Nuff said. DYH - I really thought this guy was scum for his retard case on xatalos before I read the last 30 pages. However that last minute claim looks really good so I'm putting him as town. Hopefully he can get confirmed by shooting into scummers tonight. Assuming scum have 1 rb (can't really imagine them having 2) either him or marv should get their actions through. Scummers : Zealos, BlazingHand are scum. I don't think I need to explain why for BH. Read Zealos oportunistic jump on xata wagon. That post has scum written all over it. People that I'm unsure but leaning scum: VE - who you might ask? Yes this dude is playing in this game. I bet you didn't know either. Kei/Ace - Meh ace is a hard one for me to figure out. I thought he was scum when I was obsing because of his "Oh this is interesting" comment, but I'm liking kei a bit more. This BH case seems very convinient though. And....this is why sandro is town. Seriously, go look at sandro's filter in chrono before he died. He didn't have a single post that had as much insight or investment as this in 96 full hours of game. | ||
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On December 03 2012 07:59 Blazinghand wrote: I don't like Keirathi either (oh yes I'm attacking the two guys attacking me) because of his attack on me. Keirathi should know me, and should know better. Not logically consistent. What's not logically consistent? Why is my meta case wrong? And, I DO know you. That's why I was concerned enough about how you were playing this game to spend time looking up your previous games to make my case. For now: ##Vote: BlazingHand | ||
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On December 03 2012 08:16 MrZentor wrote: Keirathi. I seriously don't understand what you're trying to prove. BH saved DYH, while knowing that DYH was a vigil. If you're scum, instead of putting in an extra effort to SAVE a vigilante, wouldn't it be easier to pretend like you didn't see DYH's claim until TWO MINUTES after he claimed. That's all BH had to do to kill DYH. Wait two minutes. It makes absolutely no sense for BH to be scum. Okay, I admit you have a point. But I hate those kind of "scum would never do that!" arguments because they end up handing scum games on a silver platter. Risen last minute switching his vote between two townies in LIII. Me holding roleblock on n1 to claim it myself. Prplhz claiming cop day 1 in Normal Mini 2, etc etc. I don't think saving the vig outweighs the rest of his play day 1, because it's NOTHING like his town play. | ||
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I don't believe I've ever seen them do it on night 1. Other nights, sure. I believe marv was the one that called me a "fucking idiot" for not using the RB night 1 in that game, even though it was a big factor in me winning ![]() | ||
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On December 03 2012 08:26 MrZentor wrote: Yes, it IS possible that BH is scum. But it is extremely unlikely. So stop wasting your time until you have decent evidence against him. I have a TON of evidence against him. Show me where it's wrong. | ||
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On December 03 2012 08:26 MrZentor wrote: Yes, it IS possible that BH is scum. But it is extremely unlikely. So stop wasting your time until you have decent evidence against him. And for that matter, who do YOU want to lynch today. You voted for a bunch of confirmed townies yesterday, so who's your best read right now? | ||
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On December 03 2012 08:44 MrZentor wrote: In your case you showed how BH's play this game was different from his past townie games. This proves little, as people often change their play style over time. Show a game in which BH was mafia and played like he is now. Show me a game in which he, as scum, saved a claim vigilante when he could have let them die. (Or anything as insanely risky like that.) Show me a game in which BH as scum made a case and then instantly retracted it. Sure, BH's play this game isn't like his play as town in previous games, but it isn't like his scum play either. So your case on him proves nothing. + Show Spoiler + And I don't know who I want to lynch yet, because I don't come to rash conclusions before I get as much evidence as I can. i.e. It's best to wait at least 24 hours before deciding who you want to lynch. AFAIK BH only has 3 scum games. Resistance, which is a completely different game type and comparing them is pretty irrelevant. Idiot Cop, in which BH claimed cop night 0, was counter claimed, and spent the rest of the game trolling via pictures until he was lynched. Bureaucracy was a game where he didn't even know who his scum partners were and basically EVERYONE had a crazy role. None of those games are very good comparisons to how scum BH would play in a "normal" game. If you really want to compare them, his posting style/tone in Bureaucracy is pretty similar to what I'm seeing here, but again I d'nt really think it's a great comparison just because of how different the style of game was. Also: Best to wait 24 hours? You have 72 hours of information to make an educated decision on. I want your opinions about SOMEONE. Surely you have some kind of reads after a full cycle of game time. | ||
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On December 03 2012 09:23 MrZentor wrote: I like to have as much evidence as possible before trying to get somebody lynched. It's better than insisting that somebody who is basically confirmed town is scum. I'm not asking you to try to get someone lynched. I'm asking you to say who you have a scum read on. You've had plenty of time and 3 flips to influence your reads. | ||
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I was trying to convince myself that maybe BH could just be playing completely differently from every town game he has played ever, and suddenly become a bad player. But I keep coming back to this: On December 03 2012 07:13 Keirathi wrote: I just want to talk about this quote a bit as well. In any normal-ish game that I'm ever in, if I'm town and two people blue claim on day 1, my automatic no-thinking-needed assumption would be that one of them would be roleblocked and one would be NK'd. The only way BH's post makes sense is if you assume there isn't a roleblocker (and/or mafia KP, but that's just silly), which I find hard to believe any townie would assume by default. Scum BH knows that there isn't a scum RB? Now, we KNOW that one of DYH/marv got their ability off (unless you want to conspiracy theory about scum having 2 KP *AND* shooting their own teamate...I find that even more unlikely than scum BH switching off the vig at the last second, though). Did anyone else actually assume that scum wouldn't have a roleblocker? If someone can honestly tell me that they thought that with 2 blue roles claimed day 1, that one of them would get an action off because there wouldn't be a roleblocker, then speak up because that was not my thought process at all. | ||
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On December 03 2012 15:46 Blazinghand wrote: Keirathi should be smarter than this. ##vote Keirathi You still haven't made an actual argument against my case, or the no-roleblocker assumption. You just keep calling me bad/stupid. | ||
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On December 03 2012 15:54 Blazinghand wrote: Also: scumslips don't exist. When you flip red, we'll see. And I'll gladly trade 1 for 1 with you <3 | ||
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I've explained how your play was different than every town game of yours ever. And I've been making cases trying to convince other people that you are scum. You've just said "Lol keirathi is bad and scum". | ||
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On December 03 2012 16:07 Blazinghand wrote: I typically have a policy of not lynching people the day they replaced in, but I didn't like Ace either (though I typically find him illegible anyways). For you, my friend: an exception. That's awfully convenient that you're willing to give up your policy to lynch a townie when you weren't willing to give it up in Mario to lynch a scum ![]() And I most certainly am scumhunting. I have a major scum read, and there hasn't been a whole ton of other things to talk about since I replaced in. WBG said he wanted to lynch Shiao, Xatalos just recently made a case on Zealos. Neither make as much sense as scum to me as you. | ||
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On December 03 2012 16:15 Blazinghand wrote: The fact of the matter is Keirathi, I thought about that policy, and sometimes policies need to be bent. It blinded me to the true nature of Djoref being scum last game, and I have learned from that mistake. So much has happened, with flips, shots, VE being red, etc, but you would rather avoid all that discussion. It's so easy to let your scum motives slip when you actually talk to the town! No, much easier to just tunnel BH. I've seen this before, and the only motivation is that you're scum. ez. What the hell is there to say about the flips/shots/VE being scum? They are facts that everyone can see. What have you said about them, btw? | ||
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On December 03 2012 16:19 Blazinghand wrote: I haven't weighed in on them yet, and I haven't done any associative tell analysis either. But there's a lot to say (besides of course that DYH is the vigi), especially given that VE, and people's interactions with VE, left behind what I'm sure is plenty of stuff to look at from D1. You can turn the question around on me if you like-- yes, I haven't weighed in on that yet, but you know what I have done? Shared reads on tons of people since the start of D1, since the start of N1 even. I'm an open book, Keirathi. "I haven't done that stuff either but its cool, I can still attack you for it!" Okay buddy. And notice you still dodged making a case as to how this is my scum play rather than my town play. And trying to convince other people that I am scum. You're doing the same thing you did with DP: trying to convince ME that I'm scum. That's not what town BH does EVER. Anyways time for sleep. Good night <3 | ||
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On December 03 2012 16:37 Blazinghand wrote: It doesn't matter if you personally find my arguments unconvincing. Everyone else will now know it plain as day: you are scum. So you WERE trying to convince me that I am scum? Lol. Just so lol. What you're TRYING to do is bully me off of your case. Not happening. If someone else can convince me that the things you've said can come from a townie BH, I'll reconsider. Until then, you're scum and I'm happy with my vote. | ||
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See you tomorrow, scummer | ||
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Do townies tunnel? When they're confident they found a scum? I said I would reevaluate BH if someone could honestly tell me that they thought that one of marv/DYH's night actions would get through, because my assumption was that one would be killed and one would be RB'd. | ||
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On December 03 2012 22:24 sandroba wrote: Well the thing is that VE didn't know he was gonna die. Do you think he would agree preemptively to lynch zealos in that case? I think our best bet is to ignore those 2 for now at least. I actually generally have the complete opposite opinion about that. Scum on day 1 like to throw suspicion against each other if there's no pressure that they are going to get lynched. At least that's what I did in my only scum game. | ||
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On December 04 2012 01:42 austinmcc wrote: I'm assuming your question is rhetorical and you're trying to say that your tunnelling makes you townie. It doesn't make you either alignment, you just tunneled someone. Right, I'm not saying tunneling makes me townie, but it doesn't make me scum either. | ||
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On December 04 2012 01:49 wherebugsgo wrote: maybe bad scum do, cause that's fucking stupid. So what do good scum do? Ignore their partners? Give them town reads? Neither of those are very optimal either and can just as easily be picked up on. | ||
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On December 04 2012 02:37 wherebugsgo wrote: ?? We're talking about d1, when a confirmed scum was under no pressure at all. People don't bus just for the hell of it. When they do, they get caught later because they sacrificed too much of their team to live. Think about it, if someone gets enough cred for bussing early, people will question why they're alive later. It's just not worth it for scum to bus so early. But I don't think he was TRYING to get Zealos lynched. I mean, he made the one case, left his vote for an hour and a half without mentioning him again, then hopped off onto the DP wagon. If he had put more effort into it, maybe I could buy that argument. | ||
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On December 04 2012 02:47 sandroba wrote: @kei Let's assume lynching BH is out of the question today. Who would you want to lynch instead? Give me a few minutes to see how bugs responds to my latest post. Or you could respond to it, since you seem to share his opinion that scum never throw suspicion on their teammates day 1. | ||
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On December 04 2012 03:13 DoYouHas wrote: @Xata - I have moved you back to null. I don't think the points I have brought against you (excluding the vote responses, I'm moving away from those for now) were bad ones. You seem to be letting other people's opinions influence you more than you should. That keeps me from fully trusting you. However, you are coming across as a reasonable voice that is willing to talk most the things in the thread. You are being active and fairly constructive. It is no longer my top priority to push you. @Keirathi - You keep bringing up that BH seemed to know that there was no roleblock by slipping that either marv or my action would go through. I completely agree that if they had a RB they would have used it to deal with both of us. (The only exception in my mind is if they really thought I was going to kill another townie for them.) Because of the unlikelihood that mafia have a RB and just chose not to use it, it makes even less sense that BH would have done his last second voteswitch to save me if he was scum. If they had no clear way of stopping both my action and marv's, scum stepping in to help save a vig when literally 30 seconds of "I didn't refresh the page" would have killed me is beyond dumb for scum to do. If one of the main reasons you are suspicious of BH is true, then you are only making it LESS likely that he would have voteswitched. P.S. Sandroba made the same slip here. That's fair about BH. Maybe you're right and I have my confirmation bias goggles on because I already had him as a day 1 scum read before I ever joined the game. And I read that post from sandro but that part didn't stick out to me. Why the hell wouldn't scum have shot+RB'd both of the blue claims day 1 if they had the ability to :o | ||
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On December 01 2012 11:38 austinmcc wrote: Not me. I have a super secret method of reading you. So what was your super secret method, and why did you never mention VE at all in regards to a read of him? | ||
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On December 04 2012 03:30 austinmcc wrote: Fine fine. I don't want to have to reveal this, but I will. My super secret method of reading VE is:
See: LV and PTP3, and thoughts inside my head during each of those games. Ta da, that's my super secret method. Didn't mention him because he wasn't doing tons, and wasn't a lynch option at any point really. Was focused elsewhere. LOL. Your method for reading VE is to flip him? That's brilliant! | ||
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On December 04 2012 03:39 DoYouHas wrote: Keirathi, what I have gathered about you is that you think Sandro is town, and the rest is you pushing BH. You put together a pretty good case against BH based off of you following along even when you weren't playing. Are there any other players you had strong opinions/thoughts on that are still relevant? Strong opinions? Not particularly. I'm minorly interested in ShiaoPi/Zealos/(kinda)austin, outside of BH. (Maybe MrZ too, but I have no fucking clue how to read him.) Zealos because he hasn't done a damn thing. ShiaoPi because he didn't seem very invested in the game day 1, was happy to go along with the BH lynch while it was the popular opinion, and then happily changed his mind again as soon as the popular opinion was that BH was probably town. austin just because he's hard to read and he played follow-the-leader with his voting, which kind of reminds me of how he played in aperture. | ||
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On December 04 2012 04:44 Xatalos wrote: Meh... Forget about austinmcc. Looking at his filter again, there are so many townish posts standing out, I can't force myself to believe he's Mafia. If he somehow happened to be Mafia, then he's an extremely good liar. No way I'm voting for him unless something drastic happens. Go read his filter from Aperture 2. He played quite well. | ||
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On December 04 2012 04:55 austinmcc wrote: You silly. I didn't start the voting, but I did point out how much I disliked his post unvoting xatalos and voting DP. Shortly after that was when votes started coming in for him (Although MrZ did have a prior vote that he had removed and then brought back, so unsure if it was specifically because of my comment). I can see why that would remind you of aperture, but I am ze townie. I think if you look at WHEN I'm bringing things up here, you won't feel that I'm playing follow-the-leader, but I may just have a blind spot towards it. The point is, what I remember from Aperture was you making points/cases on people to test the waters, and when people started getting votes, you would vote. I will admit I don't remember the exact timings from Aperture. It was just an observation that you were hopping on the bandwagons after the started gaining traction. | ||
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Err, what? Where did he say you were town? Unless I'm just blind, he never even mentioned you in that post. | ||
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It's been 24 hours. Any new revelations? Care to share a read or two now? | ||
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On December 04 2012 08:41 MrZentor wrote: I want to kill Shiaopi. Any reasoning of your own? You never mentioned ShiaoPi once until WBG proposed that we lynch him and you said "A target I can more or less agree with". | ||
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On December 04 2012 09:07 MrZentor wrote: I have narrowed the mafia down to five people. I can't decide which of those I want to kill. But ShiaoPi is on the list and WBG wants to kills him, so why not? I don't care WHO you want to kill. I want to know WHY you want to kill them. Good god you're frustrating. | ||
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On December 04 2012 08:55 debears wrote: Can someone other not named bugs plz give me some input on the case + this train of thought? I agree with DYH's response to your case. I don't really see bugs as scum, and there's no way I would want to lynch him today. | ||
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On December 04 2012 00:24 ShiaoPi wrote: *snip* BH: Fuck what I said, I am leaning town on him now. *snip* Now on to the good stuff: Keirathi Obviously my changed read on BH is important for a red kei. but let's start from looking at ace: -He has been dickish, trolly and unhelpful, not exactly a scumtell but it adds to the entire picture. -What makes me wonder is especially the parts in his filter with "shiao/debears/DYH"-interaction and "shiao/VE/DP"-interaction. I do not remember having thoroughly interacted much with DYH, there were some questions from debears which I answered, also I did not interact with VE/DP in a remarkable kind of way. So I have no clue where he got this from, conclusions he does not read the thread thoroughly and makes shit up as he goes to appear contributing. Moving on to Kei now, While I initially agreed with a lot of his points against BH, I was also in the game from the beginning. Now with a clear reread I do not read BH as scummy anymore, from someone who replaces in I would expect him to have a clear mindset as well and I believe Keirathi to be a good enough player to be able to come to the same conclusion as I did. The entire amount of tunneling onto BH as an "easy" target seems to me like an attempt to just derail the entire thread into bascially the same discussion we had at the end of d1. Also the complete disregard for anything else, why? Cuz scum! Why are you leaning town on him now? What in your read through changed your mind? Why do you think I should have come to the same conclusion? That's what I'm talking about when I say you just flow with the popular opinion at the time. | ||
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On December 04 2012 09:23 ShiaoPi wrote: @Kei: I am seemingly going along with the flow since nobody is online/willing to discuss stuff when I am in the thread.... It is hard to be around for discussion when nobody else is. I don't care that you aren't around for discussion. How is that even relevant to what I said about you? You've just sheeped onto the popular opinion every time you've popped into the thread with little-to-no reasoning. For example, what you said about BH: On December 04 2012 00:24 ShiaoPi wrote: *snip* BH: Fuck what I said, I am leaning town on him now. *snip* Now on to the good stuff: Keirathi Obviously my changed read on BH is important for a red kei. but let's start from looking at ace: -He has been dickish, trolly and unhelpful, not exactly a scumtell but it adds to the entire picture. -What makes me wonder is especially the parts in his filter with "shiao/debears/DYH"-interaction and "shiao/VE/DP"-interaction. I do not remember having thoroughly interacted much with DYH, there were some questions from debears which I answered, also I did not interact with VE/DP in a remarkable kind of way. So I have no clue where he got this from, conclusions he does not read the thread thoroughly and makes shit up as he goes to appear contributing. Moving on to Kei now, While I initially agreed with a lot of his points against BH, I was also in the game from the beginning. Now with a clear reread I do not read BH as scummy anymore, from someone who replaces in I would expect him to have a clear mindset as well and I believe Keirathi to be a good enough player to be able to come to the same conclusion as I did. The entire amount of tunneling onto BH as an "easy" target seems to me like an attempt to just derail the entire thread into bascially the same discussion we had at the end of d1. Also the complete disregard for anything else, why? Cuz scum! Why are you leaning town on him now? What in your read through changed your mind? Why do you think I should have come to the same conclusion? That's what I'm talking about when I say you just flow with the popular opinion at the time. | ||
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On December 04 2012 11:35 austinmcc wrote: Considering. I've been wavering on WBG, but for different reasons. Not sure if I want to lynch him today or no. My worries about him actually come from the spat he had with marv N1. We know marv was town. We know marv was the N1 kill. Heck, MARV should have known he'd be the N1 kill, because he knew his claim was true. Look at his N1. He may have expected a doc, but didn't say anything like that. He was mostly silent. Porque? Porque does a good scumhunter who is town NOT put down a lot of N1 thoughts? * DRAMATIC NOISE * BECAUSE OF WBG. From the very start of the night, marv and WBG got into their little shitfest. I know I've seen both get frustrated/pissy/whatever before, but...it's still curious to me because of - Movie Star Mini Mafia.
If I were scum in this game, and I knew marv's claim was legit, and was going to make him the N1 kill...I'd do my best to neutralize any scum-hunting he was going to contribute, because we're going to know he's town and can take it as truth. WBG did a nice job of neutralizing Marv's scumhunting, while knowing that marv can react unproductively to constant sniping. To some extent, this may just be a narrative that I like, but WBG is one of the players that I wouldn't put it past. I'm not sure how his stubbornness and possible ego weigh out against his knowledge that he could mess with Marv's head like that. Keirathi, I assume you hate this post, sorry. It both follows up a target that's already being discussed AND doesn't vote. I secretly want to play BH and just post cases about all sorts of uninvolved people to try and stir crap up, but I don't have the time right now. So uninvolved people...pretend there are a bunch of cases posted on you. OH NO. BETTER POST AND TRY TO LOOK TOWNIE. No, I don't intrinsically hate this post, but I do have a problem with it. Marv agreed with my read of BH. Now, why is that important? Because of Rock Band. Even when marv was getting pissy towards Palmar, he still had the wherewithal to be right multiple times. Right about palmar being scum, and weeded out other scum, while making good saves. Notice he wasn't calling WBG scum, even though he was upset. | ||
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You realize that quote was BEFORE I made my case right? Here's after: On December 03 2012 06:14 marvellosity wrote: uh, i like that kei On December 03 2012 06:17 marvellosity wrote: surprised in a good, "nicely done" way, not a "i didn't think you were capable of that" way. hush now ^^ | ||
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On December 04 2012 12:25 Xatalos wrote: Keirathi, I'm still on the fence about you. Please share your top lynch candidates and your reasons for those. And share your insight into more topics as well. A part of my read on ShiaoPi also depends on you, since I doubt he would have went after his teammate when he was pressured to make a case. Was 3 people with reasoning not enough? :o | ||
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On December 04 2012 12:32 Blazinghand wrote: Yeah I don't see that as marv saying I'm scum, I think he just had a mistaken town read on you. If marv thought I was scum I guarantee 100% he'd be unambiguous about it. He knew he was probably dead N1. Huh? He wasn't saying he had a town read on me at all. Where did that even come from? Also, after you replied: That seems pretty unambiguous to me. He wanted you to defend yourself to my meta case (which you still haven't done, but whatevs), because he thought it had merit. | ||
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On December 04 2012 12:35 Blazinghand wrote: lol keirathi can't find anyone who supports his case against me so he's making them up I'm not even trying to get anyone to support my case, what the hell. I'm trying to show why I don't think marv and WBG getting into a shitfit makes WBG scum. MARV didn't think he was scum during the shitfit. Which is directly different from the marv getting in a shitfit with Palmar in Rock Band. | ||
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On December 04 2012 12:42 austinmcc wrote: Different, but I'm not sure if it's in a meaningful way. I care less about what Marv may or may not have thought, and more about what WBG DID. WBG poking and prodding Marv after hosting a game and making comments about how marv got caught up in being poked and prodded shows me that he was doing it intentionally. Regardless of how marv read WBG, I don't like the idea that town WBG is getting all over marv's case at the start of the only night he's alive, with scum probably knowing they were shooting marv that night. Well you have to remember, WBG obstensibly had a scum read on marv, despite the DT claim. He was voting marv, and marv was a major pusher for the DP lynch. Is it unreasonable for a townie with a scum read on someone who was the main proponent of a townie mislynch to argue with them during the night? | ||
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On December 04 2012 12:48 austinmcc wrote: I think it's reasonable to suspect them. To make a case on them. To call them scum, whatever. I actually DON'T think it's reasonable to shit up the thread like they did. Heck, if it were reasonable, there wouldn't be a big blue post from the host telling them to knock it off. But you KNOW marv was town, and he participated in it just as much as WBG did. | ||
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On December 04 2012 12:52 DoYouHas wrote: WBG kept using being right about DP as a reason he isn't scum. Why does that make sense? With his vote on the DT, and DP/myself also being town, I don't see how he can take the high ground there. If WBG had his way we would have lynched the DT. It is just WIFOM over whether or not a scum WBG would defend DP. Keirathi/austin - I'll redirect my question that I asked WBG (but he seems to want to ignore) to both of you. What did you think of my vote analysis that led me to Lazer? If you disagree, why? I agree with the premise of it. There almost certainly was at least one scum on the DP vote. I personally still think BH is that scum because of my meta case, but I can understand why people don't believe so because of his unvote. And I do have a town read on debears myself. | ||
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On December 04 2012 12:56 austinmcc wrote: You asked if it was reasonable for someone to do what WBG did. I don't think EITHER ONE of them was being reasonable, unless WBG is mafia. There are non-mafia explanations, frustration/ego/whatever. But it's not a reasonable action to fight like that in thread UNLESS WBG is mafia. Just an unreasonable action with somewhat of an explanation. That's kind of my point. It might not have been reasonable for WBG to fight with marv in thread, but it wasn't reasonable for marv to fight either. So if you know marv is town, why does it automatically make WBG scum? One townie can do it, but not two? | ||
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On December 04 2012 13:14 austinmcc wrote: To be fair...host says you're scum.Host says marv is scum too...so yeah. Completely logical. I'm actually headed to bed, will maybe pick this back up in the morning. Also gonna note that I don't put too much faith in "both people doing same thing, marv town, therefore WBG certainly town." Again, I have a hard time believing you didn't know what you were doing, that you weren't purposefully provoking that. I'm not saying that WBG is town because marv was town. I'm saying that WBG fighting with marv has nothing to do with WBG's alignment, imo. | ||
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On December 04 2012 13:39 debears wrote: Why isn't laser scummy? Or why is BH scummier? He (laser) hasn't been active today. It's pretty alarming to me I've said multiple times why I think BH is scummy. Even ignoring the roleblock thing, look at my meta case on him. BH hasn't been interacting with people, trying to get them to talk about his scum reads. He just throws a name and case out there, argues with that person, then moves on when its pertinent, and I don't think switching votes from one townie to the other at the last second, when BH's scum meta is to be trolly and 'suboptimal', makes up for that. But other people aren't buying it, so I've stopped trying to push him for now. As for Lazer: On December 02 2012 06:15 Lazermonkey wrote: Austin! You've been posting suspicion on several players now but are yet to cast a vote. Who is, in your opinion, top second etc scum read? Particularly that post gave me a townie feel. This was after his big fight with DP, and calling Zealos out. Why would scum LM then, seeing austin doing something that could be considered "scummy", engage him by trying to get him to give reads and start discussion? It would make much more sense for scum LM to just call out austin and leave it at that. | ||
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On December 04 2012 13:58 debears wrote: Keir, this question is very important in terms of BH imo. Why would he not keep his vote on the claimed vig last second before lynch? Town - Not lynch a possible vig Scum - Gain town cred by lettting the Vig live Give town a confirmed town member after the shot Having the vig possibly hit a scum (which, if DYH is vig, he did) Be under pressure for lynching another townie I just don't see scum giving town a confirmed vig like that. Now, they have to nk DYH after the lynch You just answered your own question. Your even making the arguments for him, so he doesn't even have to. Look how much town cred he bought by switching off of DYH. If BH is scum, everyone is willing to overlook WHY he's scum just because he did something that is suboptimal, and will hand him the game on a silver platter. But again, I'm not going to argue about it anymore. I've stated my stance. People don't agree. Whatevs, it's not the first time people have ignored me, nor will it be the last. | ||
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On December 04 2012 14:03 austinmcc wrote: /snoring I'm having a dream. I'm dreaming that...that DYH isn't confirmed. That there are other explanations. That if scum only has 1 KP in a 15-person game, something is wrong. I'm dreaming that...it seems there should be an SK, or more than 1 KP, etc. etc. I'm dreaming that we need to be careful not to call out "confirmed townies," even if we're relatively sure. /snore We can cross that bridge when there is 2 KP in a night again. For now, he's as close to confirmed town as we have. | ||
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What do you think about ShiaoPi? | ||
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On December 04 2012 14:11 Xatalos wrote: Ugh, this game is making my head hurt. There are both towny and scummy traits in almost every filter. What worries me most about Lazermonkey is his lack of presence in the thread (I can't even remember his stance on ANYTHING from the top of my head). But looking at his filter again, I agree with many things he says and I don't get the feeling he's playing scummy WHEN he's playing. Then I looked at DYH's reasoning for voting Lazermonkey and I agree that Lazermonkey is the best Mafia candidate of those who voted DP to be lynched (especially since Lazermonkey's vote was such a weird OMGUS vote out of thin air). I'd really like other people's opinions on Lazermonkey right now. If his lack of presence is the most worrying thing, why Lazer over Zealos, who hasn't done a goddamn thing? Lazer might have OMGUS voted DP, but that's at least SOMETHING. Zealos was a non-factor day 1 and day 2. | ||
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On December 04 2012 14:35 debears wrote: Yeah, and there's the problem. 2 guys not doing shit. Include sandroba in that list. Hasn't done much either :/ What are the odds that one of the 3 non contributors are scum at this point? Hard to say Re: Sandroba - Compare these posts On December 03 2012 07:40 sandroba wrote: I have to go out quickly so I'ma post my thoughts early: Sandroba's Town List for dummies (TM): WBG - marvelosity = both too emo ragers for it to be fake. I can't see the genuine asshole behavior being faked here and there is no scum motivation for it. I would seriously like to lynch marv for being an assface jerk, but unfortunately I can't convince myself he is scum. Xatalos - LOL this guy is so townie I don't understand how you baddies manage to bandwagon him day 1. 'Nuff said. DYH - I really thought this guy was scum for his retard case on xatalos before I read the last 30 pages. However that last minute claim looks really good so I'm putting him as town. Hopefully he can get confirmed by shooting into scummers tonight. Assuming scum have 1 rb (can't really imagine them having 2) either him or marv should get their actions through. Scummers : Zealos, BlazingHand are scum. I don't think I need to explain why for BH. Read Zealos oportunistic jump on xata wagon. That post has scum written all over it. People that I'm unsure but leaning scum: VE - who you might ask? Yes this dude is playing in this game. I bet you didn't know either. Kei/Ace - Meh ace is a hard one for me to figure out. I thought he was scum when I was obsing because of his "Oh this is interesting" comment, but I'm liking kei a bit more. This BH case seems very convinient though. (this game) vs On October 13 2012 16:00 sandroba wrote: I'm not going to fight against this lynch. This is simply too stupid to fight over and I don't feel like it. If you people stopped one second to look at this thread you would come to realise that is simply no way I'm scum purely based on how this situation came to be. Also there is no case against me. I refuse to defend myself against the ignorant uninformed opinion of a bunch of riotters. This is no way to play mafia. You have to look at the intricacies and not follow the mob rule that is usually driven by scum. I leave you sheep to your fate. My reads so far is that ET austin hiro and kush are town. I honestly don't know anymore about ON cuz I would expect him to try to at least keep apearances as scum. This djodref is either very dumb or scum. You would never as town (and inteligent) feel that a person that is standing up to you against the majority trying to lynch would be scum. Prpl and mementos are prob scum. That was from Looney, where he was town. Go look through the rest of his filter. It feels pretty similar to what he's said/done so far this game. | ||
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On October 13 2012 22:51 sandroba wrote: What is even there to talk about? Over the time I've been playing mafia I grew more and more away from hard analysis and began to use apparent integrity and sincerity of people's post as a way to tell scum and town appart. That means that the way I do it is completely subjective to what I consider to be a post (from the particular person I'm looking at) to be honest. Of course the method is not flawless and is completely dependant on my ability to make that judgement, but it served me right in the past and I see no reason to change it. From that place you can see clearly that any explanation I provide you with for my reasoning wouldn't apply to everyone and is not verifyable. What you can do is check for the same things I do. The motives and truthfulness behind my posts and see if you think I'm trying to put on a show or I'm speaking my mind without the fear of consequence. If you can make that distinction then you will have a good idea of my alignment. The stupid exercise of breaking posts apart and endelessly saying things are "scummy" without even defining and not even knowing what scummy means is what brings this tiresome conversation that I refuse to take part of where everyone indulges each other and strikes each other's dicks. | ||
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I'm going to sleep, but I'll think about Lazer some more while I sleep. Some of his posts I just don't see coming from scum, but his interactions with VE leave me with some doubt. | ||
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Care to comment on Lazer or Zealos? | ||
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On December 04 2012 15:11 Blazinghand wrote: Yeah sure I'll sit down with their filters. That and a couple of other things are on my to-do list. I see you're still parking your vote on me, a yellow-bellied choice if ever there was one. My vote will change before the deadline. I'm just not sure to whom yet. | ||
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On December 04 2012 20:20 ShiaoPi wrote: Answer time: I am leaning town on him now, because of several things: -letting DYH survive -I was able to see where he was coming from, while reading the filter again, in regards to the way he played it out. -BH's post n1/d2 have all been much more helpful than d1 and also more helpful than you are. Point 1: Fine. Point 2: Huh? Point 3: And here's the kind of thing about you that I have a problem again. This is a bullshit line that doesn't MEAN anything. What about him has been helpful? What about me has been unhelpful? Fucking use some posts to back yourself up. On December 04 2012 20:20 ShiaoPi wrote: You are totally in gaga-land right? Judging from your post it seems as nothing I say will make you stop this stupid tunnel. Not even looking into Keir at this point is just utterly incomprehensible to me. Take a look at his filter and at Ace's, now first off Ace, he has been entirely unhelpful for d1, just sniping in comments without much reasoning (oh and he was a dick anyway), now look at Keirathis entrance, it totally derails the thread into the discussion at the end of d1 with his insane tunnel on BH, also his unwillingness to do anything besides tunneling is irking me out, but since you are doing the same with me, I guess that did not matter much to you. screw you, done talking with you. Yet more pointless bullshit with nothing to back it up. My unwillingness to do anything but tunnel BH? I've literally commented on more people/things since I joined the game than you have since the start of day 1. On December 04 2012 20:20 ShiaoPi wrote: Now moving on: I do not like the way bugs reacted to the pressure at all, he is doing nothing to confront the case, just repeatedly saying that it is bad, while being totally unhelpful on why exactly I should be lynched. I mean even Kei has started to slowly look somewhere else than BH and is by now more useful than bugs.... Also this: + Show Spoiler + On December 04 2012 11:20 Blazinghand wrote: Ok, WBG I'm putting as a scumread. His efforts in the thread seem largely based on smacking down attempts at scumhunting and having a good thread atmosphere. WBG doesn't just slap people around, he likes to ask hard questions, and also questions that draw out people's reads and force them to contribute or reveal their scummy nature. WBG is not by any means a bad player. I don't think that squares with his interactions like this: This isn't helping the town atmosphere, this is smacking down a guy trying to help. It's weird he thinks of me as scum but wants to lynch ShiaoPi, also. WBG dodges DYH's question and explains himself, but he doesn't press debears, asking him for his own reads, and he doesn't call people out asking for their top scumreads and asking why. WBG makes posts like this: When he could be making more posts like this: which he notably hasn't done except in like his first post of the game and that quoted post. WBG is actively inhibiting the thread, attempts to scumhunt, and people trying to ask questions, state theories, and generally interact smoothly as town. is some damn fine analysis (and to Kei it is also one of the reasons why BH is town to me.), austin also mentioned movie mini mafia, which I think was a pretty good educated guess. Add that to the fact that I am still getting lynched as of now and my Kei votes does not seem to get traction, I am switching now. ##unvote: Keirathi ##vote: Wherebugsgo Rofl at the bolded party. That post came 10 hours after you already said you thought he was town. But good lord, could you possibly sheep BH any harder? Of course not, because you're scum who just keeps jumping on the popular bandwagon whenever you possibly can. ##Unvote: BlazingHand ##Vote: ShiaoPi | ||
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On December 04 2012 22:06 ShiaoPi wrote: @Kei: I already acknowledged that you have done more now besides the point that the segment you quote there was largely explaining to Lazer why I think you to be scummy. And to that bolded part, I thought I might throw you an example on how his posts have been good/constructive, not necessarily as main point on why I am town on him. You want me to find and post the ones during d1/n1 for you? lol Yes, I am sheeping right now, nobody seems to be still willing to lynch you, cases written by debears and BH are good as I already said in regards to debears, couple that with bugs reaction to increasing pressure/vote counts and the fact that I do not want to die, since I am fucking town, I am voting bugs. got a problem with that? So which is it? Am I only tunneling BH, or am I doing more? I can't be both. (Hint: I've got a longer filter than every single person still alive in this game except for BH. Is it all just drivel, or what?) Also, about finding the posts: I thought you said BH was useless day 1, and only got better n1/d2? | ||
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On December 04 2012 22:34 Xatalos wrote: On the other hand, if ShiaoPi happened to flip town, it would mean some of my reads were seriously wrong. I think I'll have to reread several filters with the mindset that ShiaoPi would actually be town. I'm not seeing it right now, but it's a possibility after all. Don't worry, he's not going to flip town. I've played with town ShiaoPi and scum ShiaoPi. This ShiaoPi is the latter. | ||
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On December 04 2012 22:52 ShiaoPi wrote: Stop twisting my words, I said you have now been starting to look at other people, which is one of the reasons I am more willing to off bugs now. You cannot deny the fact that for a good part of d2 you have been in tunnelvisionland. I am just stating the chronology of your play. Yes, BH's usefulness was limited in d1 but still go reread his filter with the possibility in mind that he is town. But I would assume you arrived at at least a null read on BH by now, which is good for your own sanity methinks. What constitutes a "good part of d2"? I made my meta case on him ~2 hours before the deadline, then pushed it for ~8 hours after the deadline, then dropped it. That's a pretty small portion of the day, IMO. I may have had a lot of posts in dialog with BH during that time, but it wasn't really that much time. | ||
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On December 04 2012 23:37 ShiaoPi wrote: So you seriously want to lynch me off a single mention by VE sandroba? What the fuck is wrong with all of you? What...? That's not what sandroba said, nor was it my case against you. | ||
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On December 05 2012 00:04 ShiaoPi wrote: Fucking ridiculous is all I can say to that, you do not even define what that "pattern" of yours is. So anyone else that fits that pattern? On December 04 2012 23:08 sandroba wrote: Now let's look at ShiaoPi. This dude is desperetely trying to survive. Compare his posts d1, when he wasn't in any danger, to his posts today. He is trying really hard to justify any bandwagons he can hop on to save his own ass. Also look at how this retard wagon on bugs gained traction out of the blue. Even more reason to suspect we were right about ShiaoPi. Use your heads please. I believe that is the pattern he is talking about. | ||
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On December 05 2012 01:17 debears wrote: ^^^ add 5) you had a strong town read on the leading lynch candidate He wasn't the "leading lynch candidate" though. DYH was. DP only got lynch at the very last second because of DYH's claim. | ||
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Bugs was pushing for marv to get lynched. Marv was leading the vote, and claimed cop. People switched off of marv to DP. Bugs said "what the fuck kind of cop claims day 1. lynch marv!" More people voted DP. People started switching DYH, until DYH was set to get lynched. Then DYH claimed vig, and two people unvoted him at the last second. Now, what do you expect a townie to do in that situation? Maybe you can think he's not townie because he didn't stick around for another 20 minutes and hope for another vote swing, but leaving in frustration is equally plausible. | ||
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On December 05 2012 02:30 debears wrote: After his whole day 1, and him flipping out on town, you're going to defend him saying he was frustrated? He leaves 20 minutes before lynch when a strong town read of his was up for lynch and comes back calling everyone retards? There is no town motivation for that. He was not there, he decided for some reason to play dota durjng the lynch out of any time of the day. He couldnt wait 20 minutes? I call bs Of course you call bs because you have your confirmation bias goggles on. Just like I have mine on for BH, and no amount of people yelling otherwise can convince me that one thing makes up for him not playing to his town meta at all. But think about it for yourself. You're convinced WBG is scum. Imagine he's leading the votes with an hour left, and then everyone starts switching off of him to BH (whom you have a town read on, correct?). How would you feel in that situation? I know I would be pissed. | ||
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On December 05 2012 02:55 debears wrote: Also keir. I did the same shit he's pulling when I was scum. It feels so scum motivated to me If he was town, he wouldnt bitch at us for lynching dp. He would have bitched at himself for leaving amd not saving dp I could almost agree with that second part if it wasn't for the fact that the counterwagon was on the vig. I know bugs has an ego though, and I dunno, it just doesn't seem unlikely for a town bugs to say "fuck you guys" before and after the flip. I'm not even a highly regarded player and I've gotten so frustrated at times that I had to take a break from the thread. So I can definitely see someone like bugs doing it. | ||
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On December 05 2012 03:05 debears wrote: He didn't know it was the vig for sure at that point. If he was so willing to lynch marv for a bad claim. Why not dyh? Dyh claimed with 30 seconds left to lynch. He barely survived cuz of it. Think about it. Herp derp. He was convinced Marv was scum, so he didn't believe the claim. He had no real opinion towards DYH, so it was easier to believe. How does that not make sense :o | ||
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On December 05 2012 03:06 debears wrote: Hmmm just thought of something Do share. | ||
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You seem to be hung up on WBG fighting with marv. Did you go read Rockband? I believe I know marv as well as probably almost anyone on TL. If he gets in a fight in thread with someone, and thinks they are scum, he would be yelling about it up and down. The fact that he didn't call WBG scum even once says that marv thought WBG was town, and that they were just bashing egos against each other. Now, I certainly don't think marv's reads are infallible, but at the very least it gives me pause to voting WBG. Marv is quick to call someone scum who does something he thinks is scum motivated, even if he changes his mind later. Do you think, as an outside observer of the fight, you have better insight into WBG's motives than who he was fighting with? | ||
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On December 05 2012 06:23 MrZentor wrote: Yeah, Marv NEVER thought WBG was scum. NEVERRRRR I was obviously talking about when they were actually fighting with each other. Marv did call WBG scum that time in the middle of d1, but he changed his mind pretty quickly. When they started fighting, if marv thought WBG was scum, he 100% WOULD have been yelling about it. | ||
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On December 05 2012 06:27 MrZentor wrote: I like how Keirathi is just blindly defending WBG. Scum buddies? I'm hard defending a town read to make sure he doesn't get lynched, and ShiaoPi does. If that makes me scum, then why are people jumping on WBG for not defending his townread more and just letting him die :o Can't have it both ways. | ||
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On December 05 2012 06:34 MrZentor wrote: Then perhaps you should have said something like "Marv called WBG scum several times, but I'm going to disregard this, because I like to think Marv was extremely confident that WBG was town." Rather than It's much less misleading. I agree that I worded it a bit poorly, but you're missing the point. What I SHOULD have said was: The fact that he didn't call WBG scum even once [while they were fighting] says that marv thought WBG was town [during night 1] | ||
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On December 05 2012 06:38 MrZentor wrote: And no, it doesn't. It means he wasn't sure either way, considering his recent attack on WBG. Then you don't know marv very well. | ||
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On December 05 2012 06:44 austinmcc wrote: To some extent here Keirathi, you're ... not backing up far enough. Part of your argument here is that you know Marv well enough to know that he didn't think WBG was scum during N1. Yes, you've got some reason to think that, but you've also got to understand you're two generations removed. You're relying on yourself being able to interpret marv's actions/thoughts. You're also relying on marv's thoughts being correct. Doesn't mean that your arguments shouldn't be given weight, but you need to recognize that you're stringing two possibilities together here in order to get to your argument, and we can't be certain about either. I'm not relying on marv's thoughts being correct, I'm relying on them giving reasonable doubt to a WBG lynch to push the person that I actually think is scum: ShiaoPi. Do you not agree with me (or sandroba for that matter), that ShiaoPi has basically blended in for as long as he could, sheeping onto all of the major bandwagons? | ||
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WBG and I are MASONS Now can we please vote ShiaoPi for the love of god? | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:00 Blazinghand wrote: first we lynch wbg theb u. ez. No. If for some godawful reason that we lynch WBG today, we lynch you tomorrow 100%. And people can't WIFOM their way out of it this time. | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:01 austinmcc wrote: Wait do we really have two claims of mason pairs? WBG or MrZ want to confirm these pairings? WBG is at work. He left around 7am CST this morning. | ||
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Are you mason with BH? | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:03 debears wrote: I want the legit crumbs from you guys I don't crumb as mason. I just leave a Will for my partner to share if/when I die. Check Newbie XXII. | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:04 Blazinghand wrote: also yes I briefly forgot mrz wad my madon d1 So you made a case against your own mason partner? | ||
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On December 01 2012 10:06 Blazinghand wrote: WBG and Gentlemen, we have our first obvious scum in the thread. That fellow is MrZ. I'm about to show you how not only is he scum from the perspective of a reasonable townie, but how he is in fact not playing as he always does as town. Here's my analysis of MrZ's town play: In DMM after his admittedly initial troll post (link) he's questioning aggressive (even towards Palmar (link)) and does NOT back down due to Palmar's responses (link). He doesn't waste posts on fluff or really anything except pushing his Palmar read. Town MrZ also has strong opinions about how to read trolling-- he thinks it's not null, but can in fact be scum motivated (link) which is in contradiction to his attitude this game (link). In EMM he begins again without making a case, focusing on the VE claim that game (link), but within 24 hours has voted for ghost (link) and is bull-headed about his read, trying to pull other people onto his wagon (link), and interacting with his town-reads in an attempt to find a better wagon (link) What do we know about MrZ? Well, he's utterly unafraid of calling out players for being scummy, or for trolling. His only use for other people is to bully them to get onto his wagons, unless he develops a strong townread on one. He's aggressive, but focused, and although he's not super convincing he has conviction and as soon as he really shows up in the thread (beyond an opening post) he comes out with strong reads and a case. He will call people out, defend strong town reads (occasionally) and he really only listens to others when he has a strong town read on them. MrZ is not a player who trolls, takes the game lightly, or really does anything other than push his scum reads. He looks down on trolling and says it can be scummy. MrZ is scum This is nothing like the MrZ we've seen this game, who has in fact been in the thread for at least an hour and a half (over a day ago) and has failed to produce typical MrZ results. Now, I know MrZ likes to fool around a bit before his initial case, but he rarely bases his initial case on more than a couple posts from his target. He doesn't afraid of anyone, not even Vets. So where has he been this game? Why is MrZ acting so unlike himself? It'd be one thing if MrZ wasn't in the thread-- he's notable for being absent from the thread for decent amounts of time. But when MrZ does show up, he makes cases, and he backs the shit up out of them. He defends his cases, even when they're brief-- and his cases always EXIST. Even in EMM, his pre-case posts are focused on the town discussion and are attempting to give a read. His posts in this game show none of his aggressive stands against trolling, and the amount of time he spent in this thread would be spent by a town MrZ to make a case, or at least contribute to the discussion, even in its infancy. Contrast his stance on trolling in DMM: To his stance here: Something is different-- and that something is MrZ. He rolled scum this game. It's not in the lurking, for MrZ is if nothing else is a lurker. It is in how he has spent his time in-thread. This is unlike any MrZ I've ever known. ##unvote ##vote MrZentor come at me bro Remember this, guys? | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:10 MrZentor wrote: lolololololol I was right about you and Bugs being scum partners. XD WOOT WOOT WOOT Why the fuck would I claim Mason with bugs if I was scum with him? If there is actually a Mason pair, I 100% damn myself to getting lynched after him. That's just bad play, when I could have kept harping about ShiaoPi and then being pissed that people wouldn't listen to me, but surprised when WBG flips scum. Don't be ridiculous. | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:14 Lazermonkey wrote: Because you wanted to save WBG and didn't think it was likely taht theer were any masons? Why would I ASSUME there aren't any masons in a closed setup? That would just be suicide. | ||
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Fuck, I don't know. | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:19 debears wrote: Keir, scum would be stupid to counterclaim in this situation. If WBG flips town, we lynch Mr Z tomorrow ...what? You just said scum would be stupid to counterclaim, but if WBG flips town then scum DID counterclaim and we lynch MrZ tomorrow? | ||
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So, when WBG flips town: I really think we have to flip one of MrZ/BH. I know I just said that I was inclined to believe the counterclaim because there's no reason for scum to counterclaim here, but look at what's happening. Everyone is automatically making them confirmed town, no matter what WBG flips. | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:24 debears wrote: This is a 15 player game. That means 1/3 or over 1/3 of the entire town would be confirmed. No way First off, this game is categorized as THEMED. Meaning it doesn't necessarily follow the normal roles/balancing. And hell, even ACME that just finished recently had 5 blues in a 13 player game. | ||
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It wasn't like it was very far into the day. Like, how does that even make sense? Now, would it make sense for a scum to make a case on their partner early, then say "Whoops guys, NVM!"? Much, much more sense than a FUCKING MASON DOING IT. | ||
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You are Big Bird. You can chat with your fellow muppet, wherebugsgo, outside of the thread. (Mason) | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:38 MrZentor wrote: You are Mace Windu. A member of the Jedi Council. You know your fellow councilmember, BlazingHand, is town. You may communicate with them outside the thread. (mason) Yeah, you made the wrong thing blue. You're scum. Oh really? On December 02 2012 08:10 Hopeless1der wrote: You are Captain Lee Adama. You're usually pretty persuasive, if a bit bad at following orders. Your vote is your only weapon right now, because your Viper is down for maintenance. On December 03 2012 08:04 JingleHell wrote: You are Jamie Hyneman. Your love of the scientific method makes it possible for you to find out how shit works. You've also got a cool collection of cameras and stuff, that you can totally use to track people. (Detective) Mafia Goon. You may carry an NK. You win with scum. Your team consists of yeah right, that would be embarrassing. | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:43 Blazinghand wrote: We're not doing this by PM highlighting. Kei and WBG scum together. Lynch scum. Oh of course we're not, since yours is the one that's different from both the confirmed flips. Convenient! | ||
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##Vote: BlazingHand Wrong PM highlighting, terrible day 1 that doesn't match his town meta AT ALL, and HE MADE A FUCKING CASE AGAINST HIS OWN MASON PARTNER? Don't be dumb. If you want to lynch into the masons to test who is scum or not, lynch into the claim that doesn't make any fucking sense. | ||
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Okay love. As long as you die tomorrow <3 | ||
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When WBG flips town (and he WILL flip town), we just have to not WIFOM ourselves out of a BH/MrZ lynch tomorrow. Don't let him weasel into town cred two days in a row. | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:54 MrZentor wrote: says the person who thinks BH is scum LOL I gave damn good reasons for why BH is scum. He never even fucking refuted them, he just started yelling "BUT I SAVED DYH SO I MUST BE TOWN, GOD YOU'RE DUMB KEIR". | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:57 Lazermonkey wrote: Not only that but his mason partner also counter claimed in a position where there would make 0% for scum to do so. What IF he's scum though? He's going to ride your free town cred all the way to a win. Then you're going to look at this game in hindsight and say "god I'm an idiot." Maybe you'll learn a lesson though, so there is that. | ||
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On December 05 2012 07:58 Blazinghand wrote: I like how everything I do this game makes 0% sense for scum to do and Keirathi still thinks i'm scum. nice. How come you never responded to my meta case? Remember how you bitched at DP because of him not responding to YOUR meta case? If it was so false, it should be easy to refute, yes? | ||
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Be back tomorrow after I've had time to not be angry at the idiots in this town. | ||
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Where? Quote me the post. | ||
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Don't be stupid. If you believe that BH is a mason, then you have to believe that he wasn't lying about his role PM that said he and MrZ were confirmed town to each other. | ||
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On December 05 2012 11:07 austinmcc wrote: This is true...but would leave you as mafia. Which would leave you as mafia saying you were mafia. Because the other alternative is FOUR MASONS IN A 15 PLAYER GAME Yes, his role PM said MrZ was town. The host, however, tells me the setup is closed, not to trust anyone, and that everyone (including BH) is lying scumI don't...I don't think we're in a bastard-modded game though, and so it seems farfetched that the PM itself is a lie. BH, that is absolutely positively the PM that you received? It's odd to me that BH, almost certainly town, received a PM that says MrZ, his mason buddy, was town. But WBG, who was town, had a mason PM that does NOT say his mason buddy is town. Keirathi, do you have logs between you and WBG? I guess you're right, I shouldn't be stupid...and should think that you're more likely than BH or MrZ to be scum? Seriously...FOUR TOWN MASONS? That's silly. How the fuck to even respond to such pants-on-head retarded theories? Why did I, as scum masoned with WBG, claim the masonry to TRY TO SAVE HIM? Why did I spend so much time during the day defending him if I knew I was scum and that he was town? I could have just AFK'd the day out and let him die, never claimed the Mason, and people would have just been asking who the hell his partner was for the rest of the game. I seriously have no fucking clue what you're thinking here. "Keir has played like he's town. WBG flipped town mason. But Keir might be scum, guys!" As to the bolded part: what if....*GASP*...BH is lying about the PM? | ||
Keirathi
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You said yourself that my play has been townie. Yet the ONLY reason you're suspicious of me is because you don't think there can be 4 masons. Instead, you think that I could potentially be scum, despite my mason partner flipping town, when the other mason pair has MOD CONFIRMED DIFFERENT ROLE PMs. Not just flavor. Completely worded differently. And one of those masons MADE A CASE AGAINST HIS OWN MASON PARTNER, and isn't playing to his town meta AT ALL. Maybe you don't think BH/MrZ would link themselves like that as scum. Fine, we disagree, and I can yell at you in post-game if I'm right. But to actively think that I am scum is just so preposterous despite all the evidence to the contrary on some blind faith that "scum would never do that!"; I literally can't fathom it. | ||
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We just talked on irc. | ||
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We've pushed/attacked/defended the same targets, which are the only people we've talked a ton about. I don't see what benefit sharing them would be at this point. | ||
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On December 06 2012 07:40 austinmcc wrote: I'd like to see what WBG said. I'd like to be able to make up my mind on you. IF you're town, you should be seeing yourself as a possible target tonight, and trying to get information into thread. If you don't share, and scum kills you 20 minutes from now, we just lost those logs. There's nothing in them though, aside from talking about why we thought LM and Sandro were town on night 1 (both of which we talked about in thread). But fine. Some completely irrelevent logs: http://pastebin.com/raw.php?i=QBRLPK9B Re: the spreadsheet (which I was going to share anyways), its public, but it hasn't been changed at all since the middle of night 1. | ||
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BH/MrZ town. Still town on debears and sandro. Still scum on ShiaoPi/austin. | ||
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AND said this: On December 04 2012 05:05 austinmcc wrote: (1) We all know that WBG raged at his team, went afk in fountain with Exort invoker, and stole all those kills/assists with Suntrike. (2) I'd like to hear more from you concering folks that aren't ShiaoPi or VE. I got not problem with you sitting back D1, but short of other claims it looks like you or sandro or DYH would be the likely mafia targets tonight. For instance, you wanted to pressure these folks: I haven't played with MrZ. I know he has a bit of a reputation. I've found him pretty clear and logical this whole game. Does that strike you as odd, or do you have a problem with that? Or does it make you think he's town? Do you still want to pressure him? Zealos hasn't posted since partway through D1. You brought him up a little in relation to VE, but what do you make of his actual posts. I didn't like them D1 when talking to LazerMonkey, BH found them townie, but you haven't said anything about the actual posts that he did make, which is all we have to go off of. You had a confirmed scum check but still assumed that sandro would be shot by scum? No deal. ##Vote: austinmcc | ||
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On December 06 2012 08:09 austinmcc wrote: Yup. I had a confirmed scum check. You KNOW someone is scum, 100%. But town is in an okay spot and doesn't NEED a scum lynch D2 to survive, and you think one of the top lynch candidates looks scum + is being defended by the guy you know is scum + the guy you know is scum is attacking the only other candidate. Do you think it's actually ridiculous to try and milk information out of scum in that situation? I want Sandro to take stances, to give thoughts (you'll note there isn't very much of that beyond the lynch post we all (including me) kind of liked). I'd like to be able to look back after lynching him D3, and maybe finding another scum N2, to be able to try and get some associative juju going. Yes, it is ridiculous. If you have a scum check on someone, you push that as hard as you can. If it doesn't work, then it doesn't work, and you start looking for associations from the people keeping it from working. You do NOT, under any circumstances, think that that person would be shot by mafia. What's your explanation for that, since you dodged that part of my argument? | ||
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On December 06 2012 09:45 debears wrote: Wait 2 confirmed townies? huh??? we trade sandro for austin if austin is scum if austin is watcher we get scum for free He means NK's too. | ||
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On December 06 2012 09:32 austinmcc wrote: Yeah, it should be. I didn't crumb the risk/Gonzaw PM in bureaucracy either. I crumbed the hell out of being mason with Sciberbia in Can't Believe. But that's the only thing I've crumbed ever I believe. What I'd say is this - look at Sandroba's posts. Look at his N1, his N2. I probably cannot drop my confirmation bias, and I don't want to just yell my head off for 40 something hours today. But I believe that some of his posts that look like they have content don't, they're full of "reads" that aren't actually based on anything. A lot of the other posts don't have content at all. Your confirmation bias? Confirmation bias comes from not being sure about something but convincing yourself anyways, not from having a 95%+ guaranteed scum check. Here's part of my problem (aside from the fact that you had a red check and didn't do anything about it): your WBG/ShiaoPi analysis doesn't fit with what sandro did in Chrono before he died. "I wouldn't trust Toad as party leader", and calling Dieno town, etc. And him not giving strong reasoning for his reads isn't alignment telling at all (hell, didn't you play with him in Looney where he did basically the same thing?) | ||
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On December 06 2012 10:10 austinmcc wrote: I can't tell you whether Sandro is playing to this meta or that meta. I can tell you he's scum. Then, I can pressure Xatalos for saying things about Sandroba that I personally don't find to be true. Right now, I don't care what Sandroba normally does as town or scum, because I know his alignment. I care what Xatalos thinks about Sandroba, because it's telling of Xatalos's alignment. Also yes, I played in Looney Lynching. And in Looney Lynching I actually DIDN'T lynch Sandroba D1. Do you know what I did do? I had a blue role, I was a veteran. And I decided to give away votes on D1 (everyone thought I was retarded) and be coy about my claim on the day I was lynched (people lynched me anyway). That's the only time I've ever been lynched, and it was because I'm a 'tard when blue. That's beside the point though. Sandroba is scum. Xatalos has some odd thoughts on him. I like investigating that. Again, you're completely missing the point of what I'm trying to say. Your actions during the day yesterday just don't line up with what a person with a scum check would do, IMO. So if you're an information role and have a scum check on someone, you really have 3 options: 1) Claim to get them lynched. Fine, you didn't want to do that. 2) Push as hard as you can for that person to get lynched without claiming. Make a case. Make a meta case. Do whatever you can to get SOMEONE to think that person is scum. Maybe it works, maybe it doesn't, but you still have the claim to fall back on later. 3) Think you have zero chance of getting the person lynched without claiming, so you engage that person, and try to get them to slip up, and make some associative cases for when you do decide to claim. Which is what you said you were doing. But, if you have a scum check on someone and don't think you can push them to a lynch, why in the world wouldn't you go back and look at some scum games of that person to see what they tend to say about their teammates? Why would just assume that "sando saying WBG is town means that WBG is scum, and sandro pushing ShiaoPi means ShiaoPi is town"? Would you assume the same thing if that scum check was on marv, who has a history of bussing 'liability' teammates who are likely to get lynched anyways? You put no effort into doing anything that can be seen by me as even remotely pushing a town agenda towards a scum scum check. THAT'S my problem | ||
Keirathi
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On December 06 2012 12:21 austinmcc wrote: I know there will be postgame discussion on this. I may well be in the wrong. But I think I'm willing to argue there's a fourth option: (4) Know a dude is scum, make sure you don't ever die without telling town, and try to use that knowledge to hunt MORE scum, not just the guy you know. Did it work? NOT PARTICULARLY WELL. But I don't think it's too farfetched to argue that if you know someone is scum, when he wants to lynch A and defends B, there's a decent chance that B is scum and A is not. Or at least that A is not. I believe I'm an idiot for taking it into account as much as I did, but I don't see it as not being something to use. Your 4th option is the same thing as the third option. You're playing the "long game" because you ddin't think you could get sandro lynched. And you're right, it's not out-of-this-world-unheard of for a scum to attack a townie and defend a scum partner (hell, attacking townies is what scum have to do to win a game), but its a fucking ridiculous assumption to assume that every person that a scum targets is town and everyone they defend is scum. And again: why didn't you do ANY kind of research into the matter? Maybe sandro loves to bus as scum every single game. Don't you think that would have affected your reads at all, if you wanted to play the "long game"? That's the part I don't get. Nothing you did matches up with what I would expect a reasonable person with a scum check to do. And I don't think you're an idiot in general, so that just leaves you lying and getting caught with your pants down. | ||
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On December 06 2012 12:32 austinmcc wrote: Tbh, I wasn't actually planning on having to convince people. I know he's scum. If he dies, you'll know he's scum. If I die, you'll know he's scum. And if I got lucky and caught someone else, same thing...the proof is in the flips. So nope, didn't go look at any past Sandroba games. No clue if he likes to bus. All I know is that other people say he's lazy as scum. That's it. I'd argue that he's been relatively lazy this game, ymmv on that. Just figured the fact that he's scum and that will eventually be proven would magically work, regardless of how he plays this game. We aren't talking about why you didn't try to get Sandro killed. I thought we already agreed that was a terrible decision. We're talking about why you pushed to get WBG lynched because of his interactions with Sandro, while simultaneously saving ShiaoPi. If you know Sandro is scum, those kinds of interactions with Sandro can definitely be mined for information, IF YOU KNOW HOW YOU EXPECT SANDRO TO ACT. Just assuming that "scum isn't going to attack a teammate or defend a townie" is such faulty logic (and I can give you as many examples as you want of the opposites being true) that I don't believe that even you, as pants-on-head as you can get at times, would assume that and leave NO room for any other explanation. | ||
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##Vote: sandroba That makes more sense, at this point. | ||
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On the one hand, why would scum claim a red check when they had done nothing about ti? Like, if you I was going to fake claim with a red check, I would have at least said it was a red check on someone I had been pushing. But on the other hand, I still can't get over: On December 04 2012 05:05 austinmcc wrote: (1) We all know that WBG raged at his team, went afk in fountain with Exort invoker, and stole all those kills/assists with Suntrike. (2) I'd like to hear more from you concering folks that aren't ShiaoPi or VE. I got not problem with you sitting back D1, but short of other claims it looks like you or sandro or DYH would be the likely mafia targets tonight. For instance, you wanted to pressure these folks: I haven't played with MrZ. I know he has a bit of a reputation. I've found him pretty clear and logical this whole game. Does that strike you as odd, or do you have a problem with that? Or does it make you think he's town? Do you still want to pressure him? Zealos hasn't posted since partway through D1. You brought him up a little in relation to VE, but what do you make of his actual posts. I didn't like them D1 when talking to LazerMonkey, BH found them townie, but you haven't said anything about the actual posts that he did make, which is all we have to go off of. I can't wrap my head around any possible motivation for that bit about sandro being shot by scum. That REALLY pushes it towards feeling like a fake claim that just forgot something he said earlier. | ||
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On December 07 2012 05:13 Xatalos wrote: The problem is (for austinmcc) that there was no other option. WBG is dead, Zealos is dead, DYH is dead, BH is confirmed town. Who else did he push? He casted some suspicion on ShiaoPi early on, but didn't actually pursue that at any point - actually, quite the opposite. He's been soft defending ShiaoPi after the initial suspicion. He hasn't been pushing anyone he could conveniently frame now. So, his only option is to frame some non-confirmed townie he hasn't been pushing so far (Sandroba, Lazermonkey, debears, myself). Considering that there are possibly Mafia on this list, and that I'm a strong townread for several players, Sandroba isn't really a bad/weird pick for austinmcc. Nobody has him as a high townread and he hasn't done *too* much during this game. It's not a bad bet that he could manage to get Sandroba mislynched today - at least easier than someone like myself or especially one of BH/MrZ/Keirathi. I don't see how austinmcc choosing Sandroba as Mafia is unlikely at all. You're missing the point I was trying to make. If Austin was scum and wanted to fake claim to get sandro lynched, it would have made infinitely more sense to claim after the day post and say sandro killed DYH night 2. The problem is that if Austin is town and had a red check yesterday...well pretty much anything else would have made infinitely more sense than what he actually did. I don't know how to decide if his play was terrible scum or terrible town. | ||
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On December 07 2012 06:11 austinmcc wrote: Keirathi, and anyone else who might be interested in checking. Obs QT in from Looney Lynching also had a small amount of chatter about how I'm a tard. Post 66, marv notes that I "get too caught up in [my] own web." Ta da. Trust me, I know you can have your pants-on-head moments. I've talked with marv about it quite a lot. Your tard moments are generally around setup speculation though. I just can't fathom you actually going FULL retard as town and doing nothing to push a red check. Even for you, that seems too extreme. | ||
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I had a town read on sandro before the claim, and a scum read on austin. Austin's claim makes no sense from either alignment. ##Unvote ##Vote: austinmcc | ||
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On December 07 2012 09:38 austinmcc wrote: Grrrrrr, YOU'RE SUPPOSED TO NOT HAVE LOGS AND THEN WE CAN ALL YELL "GOTCHA!" You claiming scum now? Sweet. | ||
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On December 07 2012 09:44 austinmcc wrote: Like...in the logs BH says there are 3 scum and that we're at lylo-1. I don't know why he knows that, but even seeing that I have a hard time thinking they're scum given the amount of actual stuff BH was just about to post without hesitation. How many scum do you think there are? 4 scum is the most logical explanation. It means 4 mislynches for scum to win (3 to get to LYLO), which is the same as C9++ that doesn't have an SK. 3 scum would mean 5 mislynches for scum to win, which starts getting a lot harder. | ||
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On December 07 2012 12:41 ShiaoPi wrote: Ythis is such a bad wagon on austin.... Why? Show me why Austin is town, and give me a reasonable explanation for his play yesterday. Show me why sandro is scum. | ||
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On December 07 2012 12:58 ShiaoPi wrote: I am on my phone and cant do muchvright now :S I want you to compare sandroba and austins play in regars of usefulness, attentiveness and townieness. I have played with austin a couple of times and I am pretty sure that we got the townie obe here. Sandrona feels to me like DP in LVII and therefore in this 1 for 1 i am lynching snadroba I already compared both of their filters and came to my own conclusions. I want to know WHY you think sandro is scum and austin is town. What parts of their filter make you think that way? And "Sandroba feels like DP" is a stupid fucking argument. Sandroba isn't DP. Him playing like DP isn't alignment indicative in any way because they are DIFFERENT FUCKING PEOPLE. The only thing that DP's play in LVII shows is how DP plays as scum, and that that style of play is something a scum COULD do. Comparing playstyles of two different players is just flat out dumb. | ||
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On December 08 2012 02:59 Xatalos wrote: I'm actually starting to believe in the possibility of you being town. Sandroba playing like he has would definitely fit a Mafia who has given up and isn't going to leak any more information, since he's dead soon. But you've continued pushing even harder to play the game when your death has seemed almost certain. That's not how I'd expect Mafia to play at all. And if you're Mafia, you have really done an incredible job of appearing so townish throughout the game... I'm seriously reconsidering right now. Sandroba, how about you try adding something to the discussion? Yea, I'm seriously considering switching again. | ||
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##Vote sandroba My gut right now says that despite all the reasons to believe his claim is bullshit, that austin is just trying too hard to be scum. | ||
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On December 08 2012 06:17 debears wrote: Also, I would like this question answered. Why would scum choose to trade off sandroba (if town), for austin (if scum) out of all the townies?????????????? Isn't it obvious? Assuming austin is scum and sandro is town: if scum wanted to fake claim watcher with a red check, why should they pick as that red check? They can't pick one of the near-confirmed townies (me, BH, MrZ, DYH). That leaves the unconfirmed people. Of those unconfirmed people, sandro is considered the best player, and most likely to "figure the game out" at some point while scum can't NK him because they have to get rid of all the confirmed townies. | ||
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On December 08 2012 06:27 debears wrote: Ok Keir What do you think the chances are that there would be 7 town power roles in light of the fact that we have not seen evidence of a rb so far? Who the fuck knows. It's a themed game and nothing about the claimed roles makes sense. | ||
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On December 08 2012 06:51 debears wrote: Guys what do you think of that snap reaction by austin? Is that mafia logic or watcher logic????? He already said the same thing hours ago, you just didn't read the thread ![]() | ||
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On December 08 2012 07:17 debears wrote: Lol. You know what I am paranoid about. You and sandro both being scum o.O It would be an epic strategy on your guys' part if you are both scum I'm much more paranoid that scum actually has some abilities to make up for all the blues in the game, and that this is actually L/MYLO and scum austin is pulling a brilliant trick that will end the game tonight. | ||
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On December 08 2012 07:37 Blazinghand wrote: ##unvote austinmcc ##vote shiaopi Don't be dumb. We don't gain anything by voting ShiaoPi today, and then we have to go through this discussion again tomorrow. | ||
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On December 08 2012 07:40 Blazinghand wrote: fuck. da.polive. If you are town, remind me to never play in a game with you again. Thanks. | ||
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On December 08 2012 08:03 Blazinghand wrote: shiaopi next Not LazerMonkey? | ||
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On December 08 2012 08:10 austinmcc wrote: Yeah...this seems to be a recurring theme. I'm pretty happy with ShiaoPi/Lazermonkey, although we've got time to discuss and figger this out. I'm going to be mostly inactive tonight, because I've put in too much time on this today, have to try and not get mislynched in another game, and have most of tomorrow full. I'll try and poke around some filters from people that I've been considered town but haven't looked at much (just debears) and then the remaining maybes (Xatalos and Keirathi). I don't foresee any of those people being scum, or at the very least they probably won't look scummy enough compared to ShiaoPi/Lazermonkey. Still in the back of my head is a VE-style SK who has been saving shots, or something like that, but nothing to be done there except solve that once we finish off scum. For anyone actually interested in diving into ShiaoPi beyond this game, I think WBG had some good comments on him (someone did) in the obs for a game within LVI, LVII, and Liquid City. I think the comments were in LVII (he was blue) and Liquid City (I think he ended up scum? I quit following). Whatever game he was scum in, there was a nice comparison of how he wasn't just INACTIVE that game, but just wasn't even interacting with thread at all. At least that's what I remember, gonna try and get around to finding that tonight. It's fucking dumb that you used the defense "I've been playing townie so I must be town" for yourself, but you said that I had been playing townie and STILL think I have a chance to be scum. | ||
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On December 08 2012 08:42 Blazinghand wrote: really though shiaopi was setting up to look good after an austinmcc flip by "opposing" it and doing nothing to stop it. plus all the other reasons he's scum. he's so scum. I actually think LazerMonkey looks way worse than ShiaoPi right now. | ||
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austin: Never do that shit again, please. You lynched a blue claim over a RED CHECK. I can't for the life of me understand that. BH: I dunno wtf you've been doing the last 2 games, but I really don't want to play with you anymore. Making a case against your own mason partner? Inexcusably bad. So bad that I even went all conspiracy theory on you because it was hard to believe you could be that dumb. Hmm, maybe I just need to take a break from TL for a while. | ||
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On December 09 2012 06:22 austinmcc wrote: Just got back in. gg all. I seem to have been more than a bit jubby this game. For that, I apologize. It'll probably happen again. I'm glad at least that we could turn things around and work things out. <3 all for believing me. I can see ways in which, had things played out differently, we would have had some paranoia or some bad calls - vigi shot on a townie, especially on a miller mason, would have been interesting. The miller masons as a whole could just throw a wrench into things, especially when a miller flip's PM says his partner is town, and his town partner's PM says the miller was town. Err wat. Miller doesn't flip scum, it just returns scum to checks. | ||
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On December 09 2012 06:34 Blazinghand wrote: Dude I forgot for like 30 minutes who I mason partner was. It happens, okay? You can call me inexcusably bad but 1) I saved the vigilante 2) I severely out-argued your tunnelling ass so town lynched WBG instead of me or MrZ and 3) I caught the hell out of Shiaopi (though he was obvious). I didn't play great this game but shit man you had so much tunnel vision and you and your mason partner played in such a way that WBG got lynched. Last game yeah I got off to a bad start but shit man my gf's grandmother died and I was busy. Once she was out of the country I won the hell out of that game. So yeah honestly I dunno why you're so mad about this. Mistakes get made but I played to win, and I didn't get overcome by tunnel vision. If you and WBG had actually played like townies maybe we might have avoided a mislynch. It happens? No, it really doesn't. Never have I seen ANYTHING that dumb. And I didn't fucking tunnel you incessantly. I made a case on you and pushed it for TEN HOURS out of the ~65 hours between when I replaced in and when I claimed mason. And YOU caught ShiaoPi? Lol, you're delusional. | ||
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On December 09 2012 08:38 debears wrote: There actually is the one where you bus all of your scum partners in the first few lynches and then solo ur way to victory That doesn't work if town has a brain. | ||
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