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Newbie Mini Mafia XXV

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thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 18 2012 20:04 GMT
#7
I'm guessing my current game has to end before I can /in on this.... or is this one going to start after XXIV?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 19 2012 12:25 GMT
#15
/obs
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 19 2012 15:56 GMT
#19
alright, if xxiv ends in time i will join
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 20 2012 00:01 GMT
#20
/in
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 20 2012 00:27 GMT
#22
On August 20 2012 09:10 Dandel Ion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 20 2012 09:01 thrawn2112 wrote:
/in

I feel for ya, bud.


Yeah the stress during that last game had been building up for about 3 days now and I didn't know if I would want to play again. Now that I'm lynched I honestly do not care one bit about it, honestly it's a huge relief. At least now I won't have to continue being as levelheaded as possible in a thread where people weren't trying hard at all. I'm SO glad that my part in that game is over and for all I care town can go suck a big one. lol
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 20 2012 10:02 GMT
#30
On August 20 2012 18:42 Shady Sands wrote:
/in


hi shady glhf..... i'm looking forward to playing with you as well as anyone else i've played with
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 21 2012 03:04 GMT
#33
I like this setup.... nice and simple for us noobs
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 22 2012 09:58 GMT
#46
alsn i will expect complex formulas and scum-finding algorithms all game and if you don't provide them then FOS ALSN
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 23 2012 00:37 GMT
#52
gogo
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 23 2012 01:40 GMT
#56
3rd Party Planer Dragons? I did a tl search and it some kind of joke right? Also, I looked up the F11 setup... can I assume that the town/scum ratio is 7:2?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 23 2012 02:46 GMT
#58
Now that there are enough players, any eta on game start? Just wanna make sure I'll be awake when it starts
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 23 2012 14:25 GMT
#65
On August 23 2012 22:52 mkfuba07 wrote:
Already making excuses for scum-like activity! Tsk tsk.

FoS Dandel lon


what a poor case to base an FOS on

fos mkfuba
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 23 2012 15:00 GMT
#70
alright it's time for my first case:

the facts:

- marvellosity and ghost have already had suspicion cast on them, despite not being in the game
- mkfuba votes for Dandel Ion based on pre game banter
- mkfuba later tries to provide an out for himself by saying he was just trying to "stimulate discussion"
- Dandel Ion for some unexplained reason is willing to accept this response?
- meanwhile the host of the game votes mkfuba

Conclusion:

I think it is safe to assume that the game likely hasn't started yet.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 23 2012 19:18 GMT
#76
game's starting in a few hours, so GLHF everyone and no hard feelings based on whatever happens in game
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 23 2012 21:10 GMT
#82
What does everyone think about lurker policy? I will be aggresively questioning lurkers independently from my scumhunting. If lurkers are not pressured to contribute, then they'll keep lurking until they flip red or get mislynched for giving the appearence of not contributing. In order to avoid a lurker mislynch, I advise everyone to pressure all lurkers so that everyone's reads will be out in the open for us all to analyze.

Ways to pressure lurkers:

- call them out for lurking
- ask them for their top scum reads
- ask them for their read on the most popular case
- give them a reasonable time to respond to you and keep calling them out
- if you can't get a sufficient response from them then a ##FOS Lurker is in order
- do not stop scumhunting in order to push your lurker vote candidate

It is absolutely vital to town morale that everyone is contributing. The more lurkers there are, the more everyone will doubt the legitimacy of their scum reads. Everyone needs to do their part to keep everyone else active.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 23 2012 22:36 GMT
#88
On August 24 2012 07:22 Dandel Ion wrote:
But if somebody active seems scummy, and a lurker seems equally scummy, I would probably prefer to lynch the lurker. Note that this is probably only applicable for day 1, since from day 2 onwards, scumreads should usually be strong enough to push through with them.


I don't agree with this. I don't see how a lurker could seem equally scummy as someone who is actively scummy. If someone is lurking then by definition of lurking we have less posts from them to analyze. Are you saying that you want to vote for a lurker D1 even if there is a strong scum candidate? There needs to be some sort of threat to get lurkers to post but I think the process of calling them out over and over again, each time with stronger words and eventually a FOS will get them to post. If not, then their behavior will be remembered for the rest of the game. I stand by my strict no-lurking rule but I favor a scumhunting case over an absolute D1 lurker-lynch policy.

I'd just like a little clarification on your position concerning favoring a lurker vote or a scum vote.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 23 2012 22:38 GMT
#89
On August 24 2012 07:31 kushm4sta wrote:
Hey this is my first game. I dont wana lurk but I got nothing to say TT.


Hey what's up and glhf.

You could give your thoughts on what everyone else is talking about.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 23 2012 23:45 GMT
#92
On August 24 2012 08:34 Spaghetticus wrote:
However, I agree with Dandel Ion in that lurking should contribute to your scum reading, and that lurkers should be prioritised over active scum-like players, as it is the lurking scum that is more dangerous than the active.


Once again I'd like to express my disagreement with the bolded part. If there is absolutely no agreement within the town on who to vote for once the deadline approaches then a lurker would be my next choice. But I don't see how we would be able to more accurately pick out a lurker scum than an active scum.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 00:34 GMT
#107
On August 24 2012 09:03 Lvdr wrote:
Shady this is like the third game I've played with you in the last few days. If you don't know my lurker policy you must be thick as a brick.

Policy: LYNCH LURKERS. Hopefully there are no lurkers and we can vote scumreads.


If it comes down to voting for a strong scumread and one of several lurkers, I'd rather go with the scumread. Being too focused on lurkers caused me to play poorly in my last game. If I make a strong case against a player I am definitely going to vote for them. Excluding that, lynching a lurker is the backup plan.

Your experience of how mafia players lurk during newbie games is something I don't have so I don't share your commitment to a flat out "only lynch a lurker during D1" plan.

On August 24 2012 08:55 Spaghetticus wrote:
@Thrawn
If the worst outcome of lurking is to not get lynched, I don't see how town can possibly eventuate victorious. Lurking is an aspect of scum behaviour, or of poor play, and should be treated as such. You seem to propose it as some sort of tie breaking mechanism, but I believe this to be an over-simplification.

In day 1, there will be extremely little information to go by. Lurking will almost certainly be the biggest tell as to the value/alignment of a player.


I don't think that "worst outcome of lurking is to not get lynched" but I don't think that D1 is the time to do it. Of course there are always exceptions...such as the player who has 4 posts at the end of D1, he's sheeping the popular cases, and never offers any original reasoning for his votes.

But yeah, hopefully lurking won't be an issue. I expect all this talk about lurker policy will help achieve that. And this disagreement isn't that big of an issue to me, because if I have a case worth lynching someone over then it should be a strong enough case to convince everyone else.

On August 24 2012 09:27 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 09:25 Lvdr wrote:
Wait has everyone posted already?


I think so. Right now I'm concerned about Kush. His post at the very best is completely useless to town.


That post also caught my eye and I suggested that he comment on the current discussion but so far there's been nothing. Kush it's not too big a deal this early on but the longer you wait the worse it's going to look.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 00:36 GMT
#108
On August 24 2012 09:33 kushm4sta wrote:
So everyone wants to lynch me because I didn't share my thoughts about if lurkers are really bad or just kind of bad? Everyone's posts so far have been useless IMO.
I have a lot of free time so yeah I will read this thread pretty much constantly and carefully. And as soon as I suspect someone or have something to say I will say it. But at this point it's impossible to know anything about anyone so dont point fingers at me because Im new.


Nobody said they wanted to lynch you, and nobody is pointing fingers at you because you're new. We just want everyone to be involved in the discussion.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 00:51 GMT
#113
On August 24 2012 09:45 WeeTee wrote:
Hey Lvdr.
I might elaborate that I disagree with the Lurker policy in part because it establishes a guideline for the scum to act upon, this is a Newbie game so as long as people are trying to participate I will not be basing any votes on Lurking at least for the first day.

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 09:14 Shady Sands wrote:
Ok Lvdr, you were the last one in, and I know you're an experienced player, so I'm going to ask you for a scum read now. Who do you read as scummy based on their posts so far, and why?


Shady mentioned that you had experience in the game already so could you analyse some of the content at a better standard than 'you didn't write much'.
Help us all get the ball rolling!



Ok that definitely sounded suspicious to me. You shouldn't act like you are relying on other players to scumhunt for you. Shady expressed the same sentiment but he has been very active so far but all you did was agree with Shady. You gotta contribute more than that!
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 00:52 GMT
#115
should read:

On August 24 2012 09:51 thrawn2112 wrote:
Ok that definitely sounded suspicious to me. You shouldn't act like you are relying on other players to scumhunt for you. Shady expressed the same sentiment but he has been very active so far and all you did was agree with Shady. You gotta contribute more than that!

"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 00:54 GMT
#116
On August 24 2012 09:51 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 09:34 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 24 2012 09:03 Lvdr wrote:
Shady this is like the third game I've played with you in the last few days. If you don't know my lurker policy you must be thick as a brick.

Policy: LYNCH LURKERS. Hopefully there are no lurkers and we can vote scumreads.


If it comes down to voting for a strong scumread and one of several lurkers, I'd rather go with the scumread. Being too focused on lurkers caused me to play poorly in my last game. If I make a strong case against a player I am definitely going to vote for them. Excluding that, lynching a lurker is the backup plan.


FWIW I think what happened last game was that you got me lynched when I rolled town, in spite of me being the most active D1 poster by far, so I'm not sure how you could say that your focus on lurkers caused you to play poorly in the last game.


you know... my whole obsession with archrun and the vig shot on him N1 thing
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 01:00 GMT
#119
On August 24 2012 09:56 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 09:54 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 24 2012 09:51 Shady Sands wrote:
On August 24 2012 09:34 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 24 2012 09:03 Lvdr wrote:
Shady this is like the third game I've played with you in the last few days. If you don't know my lurker policy you must be thick as a brick.

Policy: LYNCH LURKERS. Hopefully there are no lurkers and we can vote scumreads.


If it comes down to voting for a strong scumread and one of several lurkers, I'd rather go with the scumread. Being too focused on lurkers caused me to play poorly in my last game. If I make a strong case against a player I am definitely going to vote for them. Excluding that, lynching a lurker is the backup plan.


FWIW I think what happened last game was that you got me lynched when I rolled town, in spite of me being the most active D1 poster by far, so I'm not sure how you could say that your focus on lurkers caused you to play poorly in the last game.


you know... my whole obsession with archrun and the vig shot on him N1 thing


Ah, I wasn't around for that.... being dead, thanks to you.

j/k I tunneled you just as hard that game, no hard feelings.


yeah of course.. it was a case of extremely active townies yelling at each other with bad results for both
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 01:02 GMT
#120
On August 24 2012 09:58 Lvdr wrote:
Lets leave previous games in the past.

For what its worth I think Shady is Town, he's doing a good impression of his town meta.


By that you mean examining and questioning everything he possibly can? I gotta agree with that.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 01:37 GMT
#126
On August 24 2012 10:23 WeeTee wrote:
I hear on the grape vine that posting lots makes you look like town....
But then damn you meta comes into play!
In my opinion Shady is neither town or scum.


Could you give your best guess and reason why? You gotta give us something to work with. It is difficult when you think about meta but you should at least try to make a read. After what I thought of your other post it's looking like you aren't eager to contribute.

On August 24 2012 09:51 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 09:45 WeeTee wrote:
Hey Lvdr.
I might elaborate that I disagree with the Lurker policy in part because it establishes a guideline for the scum to act upon, this is a Newbie game so as long as people are trying to participate I will not be basing any votes on Lurking at least for the first day.

On August 24 2012 09:14 Shady Sands wrote:
Ok Lvdr, you were the last one in, and I know you're an experienced player, so I'm going to ask you for a scum read now. Who do you read as scummy based on their posts so far, and why?


Shady mentioned that you had experience in the game already so could you analyse some of the content at a better standard than 'you didn't write much'.
Help us all get the ball rolling!



Ok that definitely sounded suspicious to me. You shouldn't act like you are relying on other players to scumhunt for you. Shady expressed the same sentiment but he has been very active so far but all you did was agree with Shady. You gotta contribute more than that!


I also wanna hear what mkfuba, kush, alsn, Spaghetticus, and Dandel Ion are thinking. More so mkfuba kush and spaghetti because dandel is sleeping and alsn already promised a post.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 02:09 GMT
#129
On August 24 2012 11:02 kushm4sta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 10:23 WeeTee wrote:
I hear on the grape vine that posting lots makes you look like town....
But then damn you meta comes into play!
In my opinion Shady is neither town or scum.


Im agreeing with the other noob here. Number 1, I don't think looking at the meta is an effective way of determining anything. Therefore, like weetee i have no idea what shady is.
If i had to suspect someone its speghetticus, who is the perfect combination of bandwagoning and being quiet to remain off the radar.
Also thrawn...this dude is just appointing himself town leader with his epically long posts with quotes etc, also intiating all topics of discussion.

Just wait till things start getting interesting if you wanna see some epically long posts with quotes

It seems like he is trying to make himself essential so no one will suspect him. Why would anyone care as much about the minutiae of lurker policy as thrawn? Because his scum strategy is to not be a lurker and provide justication to lynch any innocents that might be lurking.

Hmm you must not have read all the posts I made disagreeing with people who said a lurker lynch is the only way to go. What you said I said and what I said are almost the exact opposite.

"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 02:27 GMT
#131
On August 24 2012 11:13 Alsn wrote:
This because this to me feels more like you are trying to make the new players do the work for you and then claim credit later on through "I made them do the analysis!"

I think what lvdr was doing was what you explained here:

@kushm4sta, @WeeTee: The entire point of discussion is to make people explain their thoughts and reasoning. So instead of thinking you have nothing to add, try and figure out ways to question people's motivations.

I don't see it as anything more than trying to get discussion going and to get reads from players who haven't given any. Lvdr, Shady, and I have been doing it all game. (questioning people and asking for reads)
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 03:06 GMT
#146
On August 24 2012 11:45 kushm4sta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:33 Alsn wrote:

So until you prove to me otherwise, I feel I must suspect you for being overly defensive about your posting.

FoS kushm4sta


Wow you sounded really smart about lvdr he seems fishy how he constantly shifts the focus to those he knows aren't mafia. And he does it in a very non constructive way.

What do you think about my read on lvdr?

On August 24 2012 11:27 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:13 Alsn wrote:
This because this to me feels more like you are trying to make the new players do the work for you and then claim credit later on through "I made them do the analysis!"

I think what lvdr was doing was what you explained here:

Show nested quote +
@kushm4sta, @WeeTee: The entire point of discussion is to make people explain their thoughts and reasoning. So instead of thinking you have nothing to add, try and figure out ways to question people's motivations.

I don't see it as anything more than trying to get discussion going and to get reads from players who haven't given any. Lvdr, Shady, and I have been doing it all game. (questioning people and asking for reads)


On August 24 2012 11:45 kushm4sta wrote:However you suspect me for some reason which is just wrong. If I were mafia I would be super nice and would not be aggressive or defensive in any way actually. It's because im town that I'm not afraid to act like this because I have nothing to hide.

Arguing about what you would have done if you were mafia is not the best way defend yourself, I get a null read from that.

On August 24 2012 11:45 kushm4sta wrote:Basically I think you are mistaking "bad play" for guilt. Lvdr is 85 percent mafia in my mind though. We should lynch him.


You're 85% sure? First you open the game with "I dont wana lurk but I got nothing to say TT." Then you suspect me of being scum because of a reason I already pointed out was flawed:

On August 24 2012 11:09 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:02 kushm4sta wrote:
It seems like he is trying to make himself essential so no one will suspect him. Why would anyone care as much about the minutiae of lurker policy as thrawn? Because his scum strategy is to not be a lurker and provide justication to lynch any innocents that might be lurking.

Hmm you must not have read all the posts I made disagreeing with people who said a lurker lynch is the only way to go. What you said I said and what I said are almost the exact opposite.


And now you are 85% sure that Lvdr is mafia because of a reason someone other than you came up with? If you're going to assign such a high probability to someone being scum you should make your own case against them instead of borrowing someone else's.

"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 04:13 GMT
#154
On August 24 2012 12:54 Lvdr wrote:
Shady has been accused of intentionally misinterpreting things before, but it has happened a lot when he is town. However, def is a point worth paying attention to.

Kush is my #1 scum read right now based on his 85% sure post. There is no real evidence and so it only spreads suspicion without anything to back it up. Please make better reads and use evidence.

##FOS: MKFUBA
##FOS:Kushm4sta


I agree with the FOS on kush and your meta read on shady but I really want to get some actual reads from mkfuba before deciding on him.

As far as kush goes, my suspicion on him goes beyond the "85% sure" post. I want to see his answer to this:
+ Show Spoiler +
On August 24 2012 12:50 mkfuba07 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:45 kushm4sta wrote:
On August 24 2012 11:33 Alsn wrote:

So until you prove to me otherwise, I feel I must suspect you for being overly defensive about your posting.

FoS kushm4sta


Wow you sounded really smart about lvdr he seems fishy how he constantly shifts the focus to those he knows aren't mafia. And he does it in a very non constructive way. However you suspect me for some reason which is just wrong.
If I were mafia I would be super nice and would not be aggressive or defensive in any way actually. It's because im town that I'm not afraid to act like this because I have nothing to hide. Basically I think you are mistaking "bad play" for guilt. Lvdr is 85 percent mafia in my mind though. We should lynch him.

Could you clarify what you mean by this? It strikes me as odd that you would say this since no townie should know who the other townies are. So the argument you use against Lvdr can be turned against you as well. What makes you think that the players Lvdr is targetting aren't scum?

and this:
+ Show Spoiler +
On August 24 2012 12:06 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:45 kushm4sta wrote:
On August 24 2012 11:33 Alsn wrote:

So until you prove to me otherwise, I feel I must suspect you for being overly defensive about your posting.

FoS kushm4sta


Wow you sounded really smart about lvdr he seems fishy how he constantly shifts the focus to those he knows aren't mafia. And he does it in a very non constructive way.

What do you think about my read on lvdr?

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:27 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 24 2012 11:13 Alsn wrote:
This because this to me feels more like you are trying to make the new players do the work for you and then claim credit later on through "I made them do the analysis!"

I think what lvdr was doing was what you explained here:

@kushm4sta, @WeeTee: The entire point of discussion is to make people explain their thoughts and reasoning. So instead of thinking you have nothing to add, try and figure out ways to question people's motivations.

I don't see it as anything more than trying to get discussion going and to get reads from players who haven't given any. Lvdr, Shady, and I have been doing it all game. (questioning people and asking for reads)


Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:45 kushm4sta wrote:However you suspect me for some reason which is just wrong. If I were mafia I would be super nice and would not be aggressive or defensive in any way actually. It's because im town that I'm not afraid to act like this because I have nothing to hide.

Arguing about what you would have done if you were mafia is not the best way defend yourself, I get a null read from that.

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:45 kushm4sta wrote:Basically I think you are mistaking "bad play" for guilt. Lvdr is 85 percent mafia in my mind though. We should lynch him.


You're 85% sure? First you open the game with "I dont wana lurk but I got nothing to say TT." Then you suspect me of being scum because of a reason I already pointed out was flawed:

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:09 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 24 2012 11:02 kushm4sta wrote:
It seems like he is trying to make himself essential so no one will suspect him. Why would anyone care as much about the minutiae of lurker policy as thrawn? Because his scum strategy is to not be a lurker and provide justication to lynch any innocents that might be lurking.

Hmm you must not have read all the posts I made disagreeing with people who said a lurker lynch is the only way to go. What you said I said and what I said are almost the exact opposite.


And now you are 85% sure that Lvdr is mafia because of a reason someone other than you came up with? If you're going to assign such a high probability to someone being scum you should make your own case against them instead of borrowing someone else's.



Also, I'm sure we're all eagerly awaiting dandel lon's 2nd post.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 04:21 GMT
#156
@kush

something I learned D1 of my first game was just because someone is wrongly accusing you doesn't mean that they're scum

"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 04:34 GMT
#158
On August 24 2012 13:21 kushm4sta wrote:
Everyone is focusing on how I said 85 percent... That was just a completely arbitrary percentage based on how convinced I was from Alsn's post. Maybe I'm easily swayed but I feel like Alsn truly revealed lvdr's mo.


What is your read on me? I'm questioning you quite a bit, does that make me scum? If you post some, as you said, "dumb shit" then people are definitely going to wonder about it.

Did you read my thoughts on alsn's description of lvdr? I think my explanation makes sense given that the point of the game is scumhunting, and asking people for their reads is part of scumhunting.

On August 24 2012 11:27 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:13 Alsn wrote:
This because this to me feels more like you are trying to make the new players do the work for you and then claim credit later on through "I made them do the analysis!"

I think what lvdr was doing was what you explained here:

Show nested quote +
@kushm4sta, @WeeTee: The entire point of discussion is to make people explain their thoughts and reasoning. So instead of thinking you have nothing to add, try and figure out ways to question people's motivations.

I don't see it as anything more than trying to get discussion going and to get reads from players who haven't given any. Lvdr, Shady, and I have been doing it all game. (questioning people and asking for reads)


If you're town just know that it's no hard feelings in any way.... sometimes in this game people will accuse you of stuff and then you will have to defend yourself. You just gotta make sure and not do stuff like assign "arbitrary" percentages to your reads because people will want to know the reasons behind the arbitrary numbers.

I'd still like you to give a response to what you think about my read on Lvdr.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 05:09 GMT
#164
On August 24 2012 13:49 kushm4sta wrote:
thrawn:
What i think about your read on Lvdr is possibly you are also mafia and you are protecting him.

So in other words, you didn't think about my read because I am guilty by association with Lvdr, who is guilty for accusing you. Guilt by association is a pretty weak accusation to make with the limited interaction that's happened so far, and calling someone guilty because they accused me is a path I went down my first D1 in a mafia game and I ended up lynching a townie.

On August 24 2012 13:49 kushm4sta wrote: I don't like the leadership role you took in the beginning and I think it reeks of mafia. You are playing the role of the townsperson in order to protect yourself except you are going overboard and acting as if you are the super townsperson. Fact: you are the best townsperson so far, in terms of questioning people and intiating discussion. That in itself should be suspect.

"Fact: you are the best townsperson so far, in terms of questioning people and intiating discussion" therefore I'm probably mafia? I don't see how that is the most logical explanation and I think it's confirmation bias caused by your unfair association case against me.

On August 24 2012 13:49 kushm4sta wrote:Your read on alvar is essentially that he is doing the same thing as everyone else. But he is making new people write stuff so that he can accuse them. What do I think about this random complicated meta? How the hell should I know. I dont even know how to check that stuff. Oh and who agrees with his meta theories, it's you.
Good cop bad cop type thing going on here. Except you're not cops your mafia.
##FOS:thrawn2112
##FOS:lvdr

And please don't think that Im mafia beaucse I'm spreading confusion or whatever. I know no one is going to agree with me but I just want to be able to say I told you so when these two guys who are clearly working together end up being the mafia.


Ok think about what lvdr said... he asked people who hadn't given a single read yet for their reads. How is this unreasonable and not a vital part of scumhunting? I see why you think he might be bullying on the new people because his post specifically called them out, but to be fair it was mostly the new people who weren't contributing at that time.

Your accusation of lvdr is very similar to a bad lynch I caused for a townie in NMMXXIV so I can accept your motivation as being similar to my own during that game. I'm going to back off for now because of that, but don't expect me to allow you to make cases you are certain about without giving good reasons supporting them.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 05:32 GMT
#166
On August 24 2012 14:16 Dandel Ion wrote:
Alright, I'm back.
Very pleased with the activity levels so far

Gonna read the thread in detail now.

But first:
@thrawn: Concerning this post of yours: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=361579&currentpage=5#88

Do you still want my answer? I can clarify what I meant np, but the topic of lurkers seems almost redundant judging by the amount of posts. Just toss me a quick yes or no.


Yeah go ahead plz, but I'd rather hear your thoughts on everything else that's happened. Just to clarify my stance on the lurker policy... I'd rather vote for a scum candidate but if there are none or we can't agree on a good one then a lurker lynch is the next best option.

And yeah, the activity so far has been a lot better than my first game so I'm optimistic that hardcore lurking won't be an issue as long as we don't start slacking on pressuring people to post.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 06:20 GMT
#173
On August 24 2012 15:06 WeeTee wrote:
Hi all, sorry for not regularly posting I have Uni commitments and such.
I have read through the current content, and every ones filters.
It seems to me that everyone has taken a disliking to
kushm4sta's quote
"Lvdr is 85 percent mafia in my mind though. We should lynch him."
Even for a newbie like me I was like ....
But I think that a real scum wouldn't reveal information in this clumsy manner and I know i'm not directing any suspicion there as kush is too easy of a target to pick off.

I did however notice that Alsn did put a FOS on Kush; to me this seems like Alsn nibbled at the bait, sensing his opportunity to take a weak player down.

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:33 Alsn wrote:
On August 24 2012 11:02 kushm4sta wrote:
Also thrawn...this dude is just appointing himself town leader with his epically long posts with quotes etc, also intiating all topics of discussion. It seems like he is trying to make himself essential so no one will suspect him.
Why would anyone care as much about the minutiae of lurker policy as thrawn? Because his scum strategy is to not be a lurker and provide justication to lynch any innocents that might be lurking.
(Emphasis mine)

I like that you are starting to contribute to the discussion. I don't, however, agree with your conclusion. If you look at the following post(long, so spoilered it): + Show Spoiler +
On August 24 2012 09:34 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 09:03 Lvdr wrote:
Shady this is like the third game I've played with you in the last few days. If you don't know my lurker policy you must be thick as a brick.

Policy: LYNCH LURKERS. Hopefully there are no lurkers and we can vote scumreads.


If it comes down to voting for a strong scumread and one of several lurkers, I'd rather go with the scumread. Being too focused on lurkers caused me to play poorly in my last game. If I make a strong case against a player I am definitely going to vote for them. Excluding that, lynching a lurker is the backup plan.

Your experience of how mafia players lurk during newbie games is something I don't have so I don't share your commitment to a flat out "only lynch a lurker during D1" plan.

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 08:55 Spaghetticus wrote:
@Thrawn
If the worst outcome of lurking is to not get lynched, I don't see how town can possibly eventuate victorious. Lurking is an aspect of scum behaviour, or of poor play, and should be treated as such. You seem to propose it as some sort of tie breaking mechanism, but I believe this to be an over-simplification.

In day 1, there will be extremely little information to go by. Lurking will almost certainly be the biggest tell as to the value/alignment of a player.


I don't think that "worst outcome of lurking is to not get lynched" but I don't think that D1 is the time to do it. Of course there are always exceptions...such as the player who has 4 posts at the end of D1, he's sheeping the popular cases, and never offers any original reasoning for his votes.

But yeah, hopefully lurking won't be an issue. I expect all this talk about lurker policy will help achieve that. And this disagreement isn't that big of an issue to me, because if I have a case worth lynching someone over then it should be a strong enough case to convince everyone else.

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 09:27 Shady Sands wrote:
On August 24 2012 09:25 Lvdr wrote:
Wait has everyone posted already?


I think so. Right now I'm concerned about Kush. His post at the very best is completely useless to town.


That post also caught my eye and I suggested that he comment on the current discussion but so far there's been nothing. Kush it's not too big a deal this early on but the longer you wait the worse it's going to look.


In this post thrawn argues with Lvdr about the lyrker lynch policy and makes clear and concise arguments and in fact comes to the conclusion that the policy post did it's job in that it put focus on starting discussion. Something which is good for town.

You then immediately jump to the conclusion that he must be scum that wants to look like town. I feel this is overly aggressive on your part and while it's entirely possible that you are just feeling attacked right now and reacting a bit emotionally, please understand that things are not personal. If you are in fact a townie trying to cast blame on someone you suspect as scum, you should use clearly articulated points with a clear explanation of the basis of your argument.

So until you prove to me otherwise, I feel I must suspect you for being overly defensive about your posting.

FoS kushm4sta


I will put a
FoS on Alsn for this

But it is undeniable that kushm4sta is rubbing everyone the wrong way.

Let me know what you think about Alsn Fos-ing Kush,
Does Alsn see an easy opportunity to take someone out?
and why is he the only one that chirped up for the obvious?


Why did you pick Alsn out of the people who were supsicious of kush? lvdr put a FOS on kush after Alsn did, and lvdr's case against kush was only composed of:

On August 24 2012 12:54 Lvdr wrote:
Kush is my #1 scum read right now based on his 85% sure post. There is no real evidence and so it only spreads suspicion without anything to back it up. Please make better reads and use evidence.
##FOS:Kushm4sta


whereas Alsn's case was much more thorough:

On August 24 2012 11:33 Alsn wrote:
In this post thrawn argues with Lvdr about the lyrker lynch policy and makes clear and concise arguments and in fact comes to the conclusion that the policy post did it's job in that it put focus on starting discussion. Something which is good for town.

You then immediately jump to the conclusion that he must be scum that wants to look like town. I feel this is overly aggressive on your part and while it's entirely possible that you are just feeling attacked right now and reacting a bit emotionally, please understand that things are not personal. If you are in fact a townie trying to cast blame on someone you suspect as scum, you should use clearly articulated points with a clear explanation of the basis of your argument.

So until you prove to me otherwise, I feel I must suspect you for being overly defensive about your posting.

FoS kushm4sta


What is your read on lvdr?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 06:48 GMT
#187
On August 24 2012 15:35 WeeTee wrote:
Leaders be leaders.
@dandel
I'm not interested in your negativity. I'm simply making my point.

My first quote had my message

"I did however notice that Alsn did put a FOS on Kush; to me this seems like Alsn nibbled at the bait, sensing his opportunity to take a weak player down."

I see my mistake in saying "the only one that chirped up", which thrawn just pointed out.
please disregard that comment.

Still I find it amazing how instead of just answering a question we need to nit pick.
Super encouraging.


You say it was a mistake for accusing Alsn of being "the only one that chirped up," so I guess we have to leave it at that. But we don't disregard comments.

Once again:
On August 24 2012 15:20 thrawn2112 wrote:
What is your read on lvdr?

"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 07:35 GMT
#190
Alright I'm tired. See you guys when I wake up, and WeeTee I still want that read from you.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 17:06 GMT
#200
On August 24 2012 17:54 kushm4sta wrote:
Wow guys everyone wants to kill me because I'm annoying or something and everyone hates me?? Reading this thread makes me want to cry. Honestly I will try harder but if you kill me let me just say that would be a huge mistake beacuse I am no ordinary townsperson. I am the jailkeeper so yeah you really shouldn't kill me.


For now I'm going to ignore the jailkeeper claim, because it fits the idea of you being town and pissed that everyone is jumping all over you and you don't know what to do and are claiming JK from desperation. It also fits your agenda if you are mafia and trying to scare people into not voting for you. Shady thinks that the 2nd option is more likely I don't have a reason to believe one or the other. You're gonna have to show that you're town by giving some reads with well explained thought processes.

So on that point, who do you think is scum and why?

Shady, you put an FOS on lvdr so that topic's gonna be my next post.

Also WeeTee, I asked you for your read on lvdr because I think it's relevant to your post about Alsn. This is the 4th time I've asked you for that read and you've posted in the thread 4 times since I originally asked for it. Can you please provide it?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 17:08 GMT
#201
On August 25 2012 02:06 thrawn2112 wrote:
Shady thinks that the 2nd option is more likely I don't have a reason to believe one or the other.


should say "Shady thinks that the 2nd option is more likely but I don't have a reason to believe one or the other
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 17:26 GMT
#204
On August 25 2012 02:21 Shady Sands wrote:First off, reserving judgment on Kush is bad. Lengthening the amount of time we talk about Kush is going to shorten the amount of time we have to talk about more substantial cases like Lvdr.


You would rather the town ignore kush and instead talk about lvdr yet you voted for kush and put a FOS on lvdr? Could you clarify what you meant by "more substantial?"

And yeah I'm still looking at your case against lvdr, going through his filter now.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 17:37 GMT
#208
On August 25 2012 02:24 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 25 2012 02:06 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 24 2012 17:54 kushm4sta wrote:
Wow guys everyone wants to kill me because I'm annoying or something and everyone hates me?? Reading this thread makes me want to cry. Honestly I will try harder but if you kill me let me just say that would be a huge mistake beacuse I am no ordinary townsperson. I am the jailkeeper so yeah you really shouldn't kill me.


For now I'm going to ignore the jailkeeper claim, because it fits the idea of you being town and pissed that everyone is jumping all over you and you don't know what to do and are claiming JK from desperation. It also fits your agenda if you are mafia and trying to scare people into not voting for you. Shady thinks that the 2nd option is more likely I don't have a reason to believe one or the other. You're gonna have to show that you're town by giving some reads with well explained thought processes.

So on that point, who do you think is scum and why?

Shady, you put an FOS on lvdr so that topic's gonna be my next post.

Also WeeTee, I asked you for your read on lvdr because I think it's relevant to your post about Alsn. This is the 4th time I've asked you for that read and you've posted in the thread 4 times since I originally asked for it. Can you please provide it?


How can you ignore the JK claim? Either way, it's a play of some sort, and the most significant thing to happen in the thread so far.

Yeah it is the most interesting thing said so far but I it matches both positions taken against him in this thread. You yourself pointed out the town/scum reasons for him to claim JK but I disagree that the JK claim is more likely to be either a town/scum motivation. Of course a scum player might fake roleclaim but some people including myself can see it as him just playing poorly. I'm ignoring it for now because it doesn't tip me off in any direction more than the other.
On August 25 2012 02:24 Shady Sands wrote:Also, I don't get why you still want to offer Kush an out in terms of having him build cases. We asked him to build cases pages and pages ago, and he didn't. Why would he start now when his towncred is even lower?

Are you really saying that we shouldn't allow him the opportunity to make cases? The best thing an accused player could do is to show that they are scumhunting.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 18:15 GMT
#214
lvdr

His first 4 posts are about lurker policy. Nothing to see there, policy talk is pretty much standard.

On August 24 2012 09:20 Lvdr wrote:
Right now my eyes are on Kush and WeeTee. Yes it is their first games, but thats no excuse to just sheep onto others ideas. Get out there! Don't use your newbiness as an excuse!

People have said this post is suspicious, but it happened right after this post:

On August 24 2012 09:14 Shady Sands wrote:
Ok Lvdr, you were the last one in, and I know you're an experienced player, so I'm going to ask you for a scum read now. Who do you read as scummy based on their posts so far, and why?

Shady asked lvdr to give scumreads, right there on the spot. What lvdr said about kush and weetee was completely valid. Based on what had been said in the thread so far it was perfectly reasonable to suspect kush/weetee of not contributing, because they weren't. I think it was kush who actually referenced this post of looking suspicious but on its own and in context of shady's question it seems completely reasonable.

Now on to shady's points, which I think are actually quite good:

On August 24 2012 23:33 Shady Sands wrote:
He goes into the thread, asks questions to generate discussion, accuses someone of fluff, and then leaves after FoSing the fluffy poster (mkfuba) and the obvious lynch (kush). This behavior is inconsistent: why push so hard for scumhunting and activity, but then disappear (and leave himself plenty of outs) once the shooting starts? Answer: because, if he is scum, this is exactly what he wants to do: stir up discussion, and then be the second or third person to hop on a mislynch wagon.

On top of that, I know what he's capable of in terms of scumhunting and making votes based on reasoned cases. So far, he hasn't lived up to that. Because of both reasons,

FoS Lvdr


During the time that lvdr was posting, I did not suspect him of being scum. I actually got a town vibe from him because he was one of the few people asking for reads and opinions. But the thing that sticks out to me as scummy behavior is what shady pointed out... his sudden disappearance after FOS'ing kush for the 85% post. I agreed with the FOS but I dont think a FOS is justifiable because of one specific post. He made the FOS and after that many other people joined in on the kush bandwagon, but lvdr himself didn't add anything else to the discussion. I find it hard to believe that a town lvdr would make his first FOS, and then afk from the thread and so I'm going to say that lvdr and weetee are my current top scumreads. (weetee for making shitty posts and repeatedly ignoring my questions)

What I would like to see from lvdr:

- his current scumread and a case to go along with it
- what he thinks about his FOS suspects (weetee and kush)
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 19:31 GMT
#217
Why fos on shady? You haven't said anything that makes send why you'd you go from your "shady is town because he's matching his town meta" to an fos.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 19:31 GMT
#218
edit "makes sense"
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 24 2012 20:02 GMT
#229
On August 25 2012 04:50 kushm4sta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 25 2012 02:42 Shady Sands wrote:
I don't believe the JK claim. That's why I voted Kush. If you don't believe the claim, then you should pretty much auto-vote him. But that doesn't mean I think there's more to talk about with Kush than there is with Lvdr. Does that make sense?


So basically you started accusing lvdr after he began to accuse you. I see this as you just trying to save yourself and again turn the focus on others.
Tell me who to save and I will do it to prove that I am jk.


Flaw in your logic there.... if we tell you who to save, we have no way of actually knowing that you did it. There's nothing to be proven by stating that you are going to save someone when we have no idea what the mafia's night actions are.

Also, does this "So basically you started accusing lvdr after he began to accuse you. I see this as you just trying to save yourself and again turn the focus on others" mean you think that shady is scum?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 03:27 GMT
#249
Alright. We're into the 2nd 24hr period, which means the vote deadline is coming up soon. It's time we start putting our cards on the table by throwing some votes out.

##Vote WeeTee

Here are the first things he says that aren't part of the standard lurker policy discussion.
On August 24 2012 07:57 WeeTee wrote:
Thrawn you intimidate me with your confidence already, but I think that you'll be good to learn the game from!
On August 24 2012 09:45 WeeTee wrote:Shady mentioned that you had experience in the game already so could you analyse some of the content at a better standard than 'you didn't write much'.
Help us all get the ball rolling!

The first quote, on its own, can easily just be explained as friendly chit-chat at the start of the game. However the 2nd quote comes after kush going into defensive mode, and it seems strange that WeeTee would not comment on kush or anything related to kush. He uses his 2nd post instead to reiterate his lurker policy position, and then directly asks another player to start scumhunting for him. Already in his first two posts he has indicated that he wants other people to get most of the town's attention as far as presenting reads, while up to that point he hadn't given a read on what everyone else who posted was talking about (kush.)

Next he is asked to give his read on shady, and he responds with the following:
On August 24 2012 10:23 WeeTee wrote:
I hear on the grape vine that posting lots makes you look like town....
But then damn you meta comes into play!
In my opinion Shady is neither town or scum.


He gives reasons why shady could either be town or scum, he doesn't assign a likelihood to either of them and concludes that he doesn't have a read on shady. Yet another post where he offers nothing of substance.

His next post, after being asked to further explain his null read on Shady:
On August 24 2012 10:47 WeeTee wrote:
I just feel like he can read the meta well, Shady is clearly fluent in his play style and capable of leading us in a particular direction.
Thinking about the meta is retarded so I wont speculate aloud any more.
On me and my style, clearly i'm not as precise as some of you but there's no reason that everyone must conform to full fledged suspicions. Having a few cents is an influential position in any social scene.
Perhaps I will blossom with content when I see a read that I believe and something more than the pokes and prods i'm getting.

Once again he doesn't commit to any position and this post, and all of his posts up to that point, indicate that he doesn't want anyone to take him seriously. Note that so far despite having the Kush issue to talk about he doesn't talk about it and only gives his wishy washy null reads when asked to by another player.

His next post is the first one where he commits to non-null read:
On August 24 2012 15:06 WeeTee wrote:
Hi all, sorry for not regularly posting I have Uni commitments and such.
I have read through the current content, and every ones filters.
It seems to me that everyone has taken a disliking to
kushm4sta's quote
"Lvdr is 85 percent mafia in my mind though. We should lynch him."
Even for a newbie like me I was like ....
But I think that a real scum wouldn't reveal information in this clumsy manner and I know i'm not directing any suspicion there as kush is too easy of a target to pick off.

I did however notice that Alsn did put a FOS on Kush; to me this seems like Alsn nibbled at the bait, sensing his opportunity to take a weak player down.

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 11:33 Alsn wrote:
On August 24 2012 11:02 kushm4sta wrote:
Also thrawn...this dude is just appointing himself town leader with his epically long posts with quotes etc, also intiating all topics of discussion. It seems like he is trying to make himself essential so no one will suspect him.
Why would anyone care as much about the minutiae of lurker policy as thrawn? Because his scum strategy is to not be a lurker and provide justication to lynch any innocents that might be lurking.
(Emphasis mine)

I like that you are starting to contribute to the discussion. I don't, however, agree with your conclusion. If you look at the following post(long, so spoilered it): + Show Spoiler +
On August 24 2012 09:34 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 09:03 Lvdr wrote:
Shady this is like the third game I've played with you in the last few days. If you don't know my lurker policy you must be thick as a brick.

Policy: LYNCH LURKERS. Hopefully there are no lurkers and we can vote scumreads.


If it comes down to voting for a strong scumread and one of several lurkers, I'd rather go with the scumread. Being too focused on lurkers caused me to play poorly in my last game. If I make a strong case against a player I am definitely going to vote for them. Excluding that, lynching a lurker is the backup plan.

Your experience of how mafia players lurk during newbie games is something I don't have so I don't share your commitment to a flat out "only lynch a lurker during D1" plan.

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 08:55 Spaghetticus wrote:
@Thrawn
If the worst outcome of lurking is to not get lynched, I don't see how town can possibly eventuate victorious. Lurking is an aspect of scum behaviour, or of poor play, and should be treated as such. You seem to propose it as some sort of tie breaking mechanism, but I believe this to be an over-simplification.

In day 1, there will be extremely little information to go by. Lurking will almost certainly be the biggest tell as to the value/alignment of a player.


I don't think that "worst outcome of lurking is to not get lynched" but I don't think that D1 is the time to do it. Of course there are always exceptions...such as the player who has 4 posts at the end of D1, he's sheeping the popular cases, and never offers any original reasoning for his votes.

But yeah, hopefully lurking won't be an issue. I expect all this talk about lurker policy will help achieve that. And this disagreement isn't that big of an issue to me, because if I have a case worth lynching someone over then it should be a strong enough case to convince everyone else.

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 09:27 Shady Sands wrote:
On August 24 2012 09:25 Lvdr wrote:
Wait has everyone posted already?


I think so. Right now I'm concerned about Kush. His post at the very best is completely useless to town.


That post also caught my eye and I suggested that he comment on the current discussion but so far there's been nothing. Kush it's not too big a deal this early on but the longer you wait the worse it's going to look.


In this post thrawn argues with Lvdr about the lyrker lynch policy and makes clear and concise arguments and in fact comes to the conclusion that the policy post did it's job in that it put focus on starting discussion. Something which is good for town.

You then immediately jump to the conclusion that he must be scum that wants to look like town. I feel this is overly aggressive on your part and while it's entirely possible that you are just feeling attacked right now and reacting a bit emotionally, please understand that things are not personal. If you are in fact a townie trying to cast blame on someone you suspect as scum, you should use clearly articulated points with a clear explanation of the basis of your argument.

So until you prove to me otherwise, I feel I must suspect you for being overly defensive about your posting.

FoS kushm4sta


I will put a
FoS on Alsn for this

But it is undeniable that kushm4sta is rubbing everyone the wrong way.

Let me know what you think about Alsn Fos-ing Kush,
Does Alsn see an easy opportunity to take someone out?
and why is he the only one that chirped up for the obvious?



His thoughts on the kush discussion are just as wishy wahsy as the rest of his posts have been. He gives both reasons for why he could think that kush is town or scum and then drops the topic without committing to a read. This is the behavior of a scum who wants to pretend to be active in discussions without having to actually commit to anything.

Then he puts a FOS on Alsn for being "the only one that chirped up for the obvious" in regards to Kush's "85% sure" post. This was a false statement, as I and others pointed out. His first actual read was based on a false premise, so he either had paid no attention to the thread even though he just said he "read through the current content, and every ones filters" or he is scum pushing a weak case. After this post I asked him for a read on lvdr, which is my next point.

He has repeatedly ignored my request for a read on lvdr. I say "repeatedly" because he posted in the thread multiple times after I asked for the read. Originally I asked him for the read as I thought it was relevant to his incorrect post about Alsn, but him ignoring my question while continuing to post just furthers my suspicion that he wants to remain below everyone's radar.

His next post is a response to a post from Alsn.

Alsn's post:
On August 24 2012 15:13 Alsn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 24 2012 15:06 WeeTee wrote:
I will put a
FoS on Alsn for this

But it is undeniable that kushm4sta is rubbing everyone the wrong way.

Let me know what you think about Alsn Fos-ing Kush,
Does Alsn see an easy opportunity to take someone out?
and why is he the only one that chirped up for the obvious?
First I would like to point out that I have not been the only one to criticize kush as you claim, several people jumped on the bandwagon(for good reason, I might add) when he first started accusing people.

I would also like you to see my latest post where I explicitly say that we should stop worrying about kush for now as I think it's taking up too much of our attention. I have every intention of forgiving kush's mistakes, if he can start acting like that's what they are, instead of coming up with convoluted explanations as to why he feels the way he does.

If you do not consider my latest post on kush to satisfy your suspicions against me, could you explain to me why that is?

WeeTee's post:
On August 24 2012 15:22 WeeTee wrote:
@Alsn
I like you response verrry smooth.
I must have started writing before you posted so sorry for that.

Are you willing to say that kush is in the clear then? or do you think there is something underlying still?

I guess throwing around FoS can mean next to nothing, especially if you change your mind so fast.
I wonder now you have stopped leading the bandwagon if someone will pick it up again. Kush is an easy target.


I bolded Alsn's question and WeeTee's response to it. Alsn asks WeeTee if WeeTee is satisfied with Alsn's latest post about kush, and if not then why not. WeeTee does not actually answer that question, instead he probes Alsn to speculate on if there is "something underlying still." This is yet another post where WeeTee does not commit to a read and instead asks others to give their reads instead. Then he throws out the line "I wonder now you have stopped leading the bandwagon if someone will pick it up again. Kush is an easy target." Still he says nothing of substance while commenting on how other players might give their reads.

In his next post he addresses how I have called him out for making a poor case against Alsn:
On August 24 2012 15:35 WeeTee wrote:
Leaders be leaders.
@dandel
I'm not interested in your negativity. I'm simply making my point.

My first quote had my message

"I did however notice that Alsn did put a FOS on Kush; to me this seems like Alsn nibbled at the bait, sensing his opportunity to take a weak player down."

I see my mistake in saying "the only one that chirped up", which thrawn just pointed out.
please disregard that comment.

Still I find it amazing how instead of just answering a question we need to nit pick.
Super encouraging.

Here he admits to making a poor case, which is fine, but what strikes me as suspicious is the "please disregard that comment" part. Sorry buddy we don't just disregard cases, even if we originally accept that you presenting the case was an honest mistake.

His next post is more of the same stuff he's been doing all game, which is to not commit to a read and pushing others to give reads for him.
On August 24 2012 15:38 WeeTee wrote:
Alsn I totally agree,

Id love to see where the discussion goes over the next few hour because i'm not convinced on anyone as of yet.
We need some new POI.


If we need a new POI then provide one yourself.

His final post:
On August 24 2012 15:50 WeeTee wrote:
Alsn I see the err of my ways. noted.

It could be him admitting to an honest mistake, but I'm inclined to believe it's just more of him posting to appear active without giving reads.

Summary: He doesn't commit to reads and instead asks people to present new cases and to speculate further on cases. His strongest commitment so far was a case based upon an inaccuracy. He hasn't obliged my request for a read on lvdr while he continues to post in the thread.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 04:34 GMT
#257
my comments are in red

On August 25 2012 13:16 WeeTee wrote:
Alrighty.
I am always busy and think the content you guys put up is (sometimes)utter crapola.
Im glad that iv been called out so that I can comment.
Ok, you say our content is crap, I say your content is definitely some of the worst. You are glad that you've been called out so that you can have something to say? As in, you wouldn't have anything to say if you hadn't been called out?
I have no reads on anyone at the moment and am happy for any outcome of the first day to happen.
What an incredibly scummy statement. No reads, and you don't care about the outcome of the lynch.
I have trouble articulating what I want to say so I might be brash enough to put my #FoS on thrawn,
because he just never ever places a FoS and is always non committal.
Non committal? I have aggressively gone after you and kush, and I just posted a huge wall of text on why I think you're scum. I'm also one of the first people to vote.
I know I make a target of myself for being clumsy but for me to participate and get better i'm going to have to ignore the criticism I get and just put it out there.
Continuing on with my FoS its clear that thrawn is so active, probably overactive in the sense.
I have a case that chugging the bandwagon against me is a well timed push,
experienced even.
So I'm scum because I'm super active, and because I am bandwagoning onto a case against you? I have been calling you all the whole game.
Building a case on me in my absence based on the fact that I am absent is not convincing enough to suspect me,
if it was then a FoS is surely sufficent.
You having not posted recently had nothing to do with my case against you, it was entirely about your actions while you were posting. On that note, you still have not answered the question that I've asked you over and over again.
Yet I recieved a vote from thrawn.
Just over the top imo.
I urge you all to read thrawns filter and see how passive his playstyle is.
And then make up your minds.


"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 07:26 GMT
#260
Town started off pretty well in terms of people posting but now half of you have gone into lurker mode. There is plenty to discuss and I will be suspicious of those of you that don't participate in scumhunting and later bandwagon onto popular lynch candidates.

@WeeTee

You say I'm baiting or hunting you? Why are "baited" and "hunted" your choice of words? Is it because of how long my post was?

Does this:
On August 25 2012 14:01 WeeTee wrote:shady really.. if your intelligent you wouldn't join this bandwagon too
mean you think shady is town? You initially gave super weak null reads on shady and I want to know why you now think he is town.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 09:59 GMT
#263
On August 25 2012 18:16 WeeTee wrote:
Hey thrawn & all,
I really want to make an effort to improve my posts to a higher level, I certainly don't want to fall into this path that I am heading down.
I don't believe my actions display any anti town behaviors other than my incompetence, and I also think that in someways if I were scum that I would be more obviously bad in that negative direction.
This I will en devour to improve.

The reason I had a read on thrawn being scum is that he didn't put a FoS on anybody during the D1 period(except for agree with other FoS's), and I was willing to begin a case on that. However after thrawn voted for me out of the blue I was concerned that he was using his credibility to vote for me when he could have potentially pinned anyone he wanted. Why me? Why risk his town credibility for a result that he cannot be sure about and a result I can assure should get you suspected if i'm lynched. And it really was a risk I mean a VOTE is more powerful than a FoS in my opinion.

@shady
Show nested quote +
On August 25 2012 13:19 Shady Sands wrote:
On August 25 2012 13:16 WeeTee wrote:
Alrighty.
I am always busy and think the content you guys put up is (sometimes)utter crapola.
Im glad that iv been called out so that I can comment.
I have no reads on anyone at the moment and am happy for any outcome of the first day to happen.
I have trouble articulating what I want to say so I might be brash enough to put my #FoS on thrawn,
because he just never ever places a FoS and is always non committal.
I know I make a target of myself for being clumsy but for me to participate and get better i'm going to have to ignore the criticism I get and just put it out there.
Continuing on with my FoS its clear that thrawn is so active, probably overactive in the sense.
I have a case that chugging the bandwagon against me is a well timed push,
experienced even.
Building a case on me in my absence based on the fact that I am absent is not convincing enough to suspect me,
if it was then a FoS is surely sufficent.
Yet I recieved a vote from thrawn.
Just over the top imo.
I urge you all to read thrawns filter and see how passive his playstyle is.
And then make up your minds.


So... you are FoSing Thrawn because he doesn't FoS anyone else and is therefore noncommital? But he just voted you.


My read on thrawn was looking in a different direction to the what the group is discussing, It was an observation that I made and wanted to elaborate for some extra input, much like any of the content so far.
As I mentioned above I was building to the case and just lacked the confidence to make it at this point. I can see my timing was all off. I think it could be worth noting that thrawn certainly did go hard in by voting. To me this is why my case has substance.

Thrawn's Quote:
"You having not posted recently had nothing to do with my case against you, it was entirely about your actions while you were posting. On that note, you still have not answered the question that I've asked you over and over again."

This quote cements that your case about me is based on my quality, and I really hope to improve my posting and ask that I am not target anymore based on this if I improve.
The action of not putting a read on shady for you thrawn is that I can't formulate a good read, I am not sure if I have permission to decline but I can assure you that I will have a look and examine it and post more for a better result.


First of all I want to say that this post is the highest quality of a post that I've seen from you so far, so that is a step in the right direction. However my case against you wasn't based on the quality of your posts. You have a history of avoiding giving reads, and when someone asks you for a read you give reasons why you think they could be town or scum but don't commit to either side. That was the main point of my case... that you give weak null reads and suggest/ask other people to start discussion/ make reads instead of you. Also, the vibe I got from a lot of your posts is that you don't want the town to take your opinions seriously, which is a good indication that you are scum. A good way to establish yourself as town is to be direct and decisive. This doesn't mean you can't change your reads, it just means you shouldn't constantly give wishy-washy null reads without any indication to which side (town/scum) you believe to be most likely. Thanks for saying that you will give a read on shady but you need to make sure and follow through. One thing that sticks out to me is that you never gave me your read on lvdr when I asked for it a few pages ago in relation to your FOS on Asln. I asked you multiple times within a short period and you continued to post without answering me. Over time I became less concerned with what your read on him was and more concerned that you hadn't answered me. In fact, you still have not done so.

I'm sticking with my vote on you because of all the things I said in my case against you I still strongly believe to be true and one post doesn't change that. I also want to make sure you and everyone else know that my case against you isn't about the quality of your posts, it's about the scum-motivations behind those posts and how you constantly ignored my question after I asked it several times while you were posting. Reread my original case and you will see what I mean. Your latest post is a step in the right direction because you explained your reasoning behind your FOS on me better than you did initially, but I think that since we're only half a day away from the vote deadline people should start voting and being very transparent and direct with their reads. Are you confident enough in your read on me to vote for me? If not then it's time that you decide who is your top scum candidate and outline a case and vote for them.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 10:28 GMT
#264
going to sleep, i'll be back in the thread a few hours before the night post
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 13:33 GMT
#269
@spaghetti

So you're saying that I should set aside my suspicions of WeeTee and see his behavior as poor play? I am more willing to do this for Kush because I think he more accurately fits the profile you outlined of someone who doesn't know what to do. Kush did commit very heavily too reads, in fact it was his 85% post that gave him the most attention. WeeTee didn't commit to reads, and when asked for reads he gave a reason why a player might be mafia, and reason why they might be town, and then dropped the subject without saying which he thought was more likely. Also, I can't ignore how he has still refused up to this point to give a read on lvdr. When he made that post where he FOS'd Alsn for being the only one to "chirp up" at kush's 85% statement, I looked at the thread and noticed that lvdr had strongly called out kush for that post. I asked WeeTee for his read on lvdr, and he did not give it. He continued posting in the thread so I asked him again. I continued asking him up until I went to sleep, and when I woke up he had still not responded. Even now, after making it part of my case against him, he still hasn't answered the question. Am I supposed to ignore this? I have called him out on it multiple times, it's been over 24 hours since I originally did it, and still he doesn't answer. I honestly can't think of any reason why a town-WeeTee would do that. I do not believe that he hasn't read the question. I asked him multiple times while he was still active during the beginning of the game, and I made it a major point of my case against him, and in his post where he says he is going to improve his play (top of the page) I included the question again as part of my response. He posted a 2nd time after that and even then he didn't even address the question or the fact that he had ignored it.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 16:31 GMT
#274
On August 26 2012 01:22 Lvdr wrote:
WeeTee says he has no reads and then comes at thrawn with
Show nested quote +
Make a real case for gosh sake, now ur clearly FoSing me for the sake of it

You have refused to make a case and then OMGUS'ed someone for actually making a case against you.
Show nested quote +
shady really.. if your intelligent you wouldn't join this bandwagon too

This is not even an argument, just an emotional appeal.


Just for clarification purposes:
I was confused about that post for awhile. I think the post is addressed to shady and not me because shady was the one who FOS'd WeeTee without much of an explanation, while I skipped the FOS and went straight to a vote for WeeTee when I made my case against him.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 16:57 GMT
#282
We need 5 votes to lynch right?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 17:10 GMT
#283
On August 26 2012 01:47 Lvdr wrote:
@spags + anyone else that wants to comment

I don't like Shady as a d1 lynch for these reasons:
1. I think there is a legit meta case for shady being town. His aggression and tunneling so far does match Newbie Mafia IV where he got mislynched d1 as an overeager townie.

2. He has been active enough that I think that if he is mafia we will be able to catch him later based on stances he has taken.

3. As a general rule, lynching active but contriversial players D1 leads to mislynches.


Yeah. I read spags case against shady, but pretty much everything spags interpreted as scummy behavior are things that shady did in NMMXXIV as a townie and a lot of those things were directed specifically at me. The nitpicking, flippant use of FOS's, being overly aggressive in trying to get people to agree with him, and the non-falsifiable reads were all things town-shady did that game and it made everyone suspicious of him and he got mislynched. My read on shady is that he's in line with his town meta during the game I played with him. Based on my experience in newbie game 24 I don't think lynching shady for spag's reasons is a good idea.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 18:18 GMT
#293
On August 26 2012 02:46 mkfuba07 wrote:
Also, does anyone have any comments on my case on Lvdr? I'd like any feedback at all from someone who isn't myself or Lvdr.

@Dandel Ion, Alsn, kushm4sta
Please get a vote in soon. Scum already have the advantage during the lynch, so we need all of the information we can get asap. We know your vote may change, but who is your strongest scumread at the moment?



I'll respond to some things that stick out. He accused your post of being fluffy and I do agree with that accusation. It was your 2nd post of the game and it happened 6 hours after your first post and didn't contain any reads so I see why he'd call you out on it. And you say that he hasn't participated that much in scumhunting but since that claim he's definitely ramped up his efforts. I'm gonna go with town read.

Shady what are your thoughts on the cases? A lot has happened since you last posted.

Concerning Dandel lon, I looked at his filter and correct me if I'm wrong but I can only see 1 time when he commits to a read. Does look like a scummy lurker. He'll be my #2 vote behind WeeTee. It's getting really close to the deadline and people that haven't voted are making it harder to make this decision. Once all the votes are in I will decide to go with my top scum read or the lurker scumread. I'm not in favor of a no lynch when my options are my top scumread and a viable lurker lynch.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 18:28 GMT
#298
On August 26 2012 03:21 Lvdr wrote:
@Thrawn and Mkfuba

At this point I REALLY think Dandel is a much higher quality lynch than WeeTee. WeeTee is playing poorly, But Dandel is playing Scummy.

Scummy>bad


Spag's argument is that weetee/kush are just playing badly and that's why they're getting all the attention. I'm gonna quote my response to spag's post:

On August 25 2012 22:33 thrawn2112 wrote:
@spaghetti

So you're saying that I should set aside my suspicions of WeeTee and see his behavior as poor play? I am more willing to do this for Kush because I think he more accurately fits the profile you outlined of someone who doesn't know what to do. Kush did commit very heavily too reads, in fact it was his 85% post that gave him the most attention. WeeTee didn't commit to reads, and when asked for reads he gave a reason why a player might be mafia, and reason why they might be town, and then dropped the subject without saying which he thought was more likely. Also, I can't ignore how he has still refused up to this point to give a read on lvdr. When he made that post where he FOS'd Alsn for being the only one to "chirp up" at kush's 85% statement, I looked at the thread and noticed that lvdr had strongly called out kush for that post. I asked WeeTee for his read on lvdr, and he did not give it. He continued posting in the thread so I asked him again. I continued asking him up until I went to sleep, and when I woke up he had still not responded. Even now, after making it part of my case against him, he still hasn't answered the question. Am I supposed to ignore this? I have called him out on it multiple times, it's been over 24 hours since I originally did it, and still he doesn't answer. I honestly can't think of any reason why a town-WeeTee would do that. I do not believe that he hasn't read the question. I asked him multiple times while he was still active during the beginning of the game, and I made it a major point of my case against him, and in his post where he says he is going to improve his play (top of the page) I included the question again as part of my response. He posted a 2nd time after that and even then he didn't even address the question or the fact that he had ignored it.


"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 18:36 GMT
#300
Can we get an updated vote count?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 18:45 GMT
#302
On August 26 2012 03:44 Lvdr wrote:
Can i get a sound off of who is here?

I'm here at least until the night post
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 19:05 GMT
#308
On August 26 2012 04:01 Lvdr wrote: Dandel's vote here is essentially 'I pick the more scummy of kush vs. WeeTee.' This also SCREAMS mafia.

I'm not seeing it, where did you get that from?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 19:16 GMT
#313
On August 26 2012 04:10 kushm4sta wrote:
Ahhh sorry guys I was sleeping. Yup I'm going to vote for WeeTee because I defended him then he voted for me??

That is an awful reason to vote for him. Your vote needs to be based on more than you being pissed off. At some point you're going to HAVE to start being more reasonable or you will eventually get lynched.

##FOS kushm4sta
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 19:55 GMT
#328
@Lvdr

Just wanna let you know that I am still considering changing my vote but I need to hear from more people first. You think the WeeTee vote is based on poor play and I disagree. If a WeeTee lynch isn't possible then I will go for Dandel.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 20:00 GMT
#331
On August 26 2012 04:58 Lvdr wrote:
Also, I am still super disappointed that people are just missing at the key lynch time.


Yeah i'm kinda irritated at shady, he was super active then goes afk from the thread.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 20:10 GMT
#337
On August 26 2012 05:08 Lvdr wrote:
GUYS WE MUST AVOID A NO-LYNCH!!

I agree but I'm gonna give it more time to hopefully hear from other players.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 20:34 GMT
#357
Vote count?

WeeTee is still my strongest scumread. Those of you that think lvdr is trying to avoid a vote for weetee should consider voting for WeeTee. WeeTee still hasn't given his read on lvdr and he's been the most noncommittal about everything else.

If WeeTee gets lynched and flips red then it's very likely that lvdr is also red. WeeTee being scum would indicate that WT/lvdr are protecting each other.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 20:37 GMT
#361
On August 26 2012 05:30 Lvdr wrote:
@Thrawn You hold the lynch in your hand.


Recent posts from shady are making me doubt your case against Dandel. In light of that I'd rather have a no-lynch than lynching someone I don't think is scum.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 20:39 GMT
#364
On August 26 2012 05:36 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 26 2012 05:34 thrawn2112 wrote:
Vote count?

WeeTee is still my strongest scumread. Those of you that think lvdr is trying to avoid a vote for weetee should consider voting for WeeTee. WeeTee still hasn't given his read on lvdr and he's been the most noncommittal about everything else.

If WeeTee gets lynched and flips red then it's very likely that lvdr is also red. WeeTee being scum would indicate that WT/lvdr are protecting each other.


I don't want to waste my vote, and my prior read on WeeTee still stands. I'll hammer him if you're still not sold on Lvdr.


My strongest scumread remains at WeeTee.

Where the fuck did all the other players go
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 20:42 GMT
#367
On August 26 2012 05:40 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 26 2012 05:39 thrawn2112 wrote:
On August 26 2012 05:36 Shady Sands wrote:
On August 26 2012 05:34 thrawn2112 wrote:
Vote count?

WeeTee is still my strongest scumread. Those of you that think lvdr is trying to avoid a vote for weetee should consider voting for WeeTee. WeeTee still hasn't given his read on lvdr and he's been the most noncommittal about everything else.

If WeeTee gets lynched and flips red then it's very likely that lvdr is also red. WeeTee being scum would indicate that WT/lvdr are protecting each other.


I don't want to waste my vote, and my prior read on WeeTee still stands. I'll hammer him if you're still not sold on Lvdr.


My strongest scumread remains at WeeTee.

Where the fuck did all the other players go


If Mkfuba doesn't vote WeeTee nobody gets lynched. And shouldn't WeeTee be in this thread?

Your candidate is lvdr who has less votes than WeeTee.

This is really frustrating... it's hard to come to a consensus when less than half the town is posting.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 20:52 GMT
#382
fucking majority lynch

time to go get high
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 20:54 GMT
#385
On August 26 2012 05:53 mkfuba07 wrote:
I'm gonna go to a sweetcorn festival, but getting high sounds like a good time too.


I imagine they'd go together pretty well
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 25 2012 21:24 GMT
#401
gonna watch sci channel and sleep so goodbye for now. last few hours have been mentally exhausting to say the least.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 26 2012 05:48 GMT
#417
On August 25 2012 02:05 Dandel Ion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 25 2012 01:43 mkfuba07 wrote:
I'll be honest here and say that I'm actually inclined to believe kush. His play has been consistently bad, while I feel a newbie scum would have been far more variant. He would also have another person to discuss his play with, instead of having to hear from us how poorly he's been playing. He seems more 'alone' than a scum would be, if that makes sense.

That actually is a decent point.
But I'm not so sure that him being "alone" is necessarily a town tell either, the way his case was going for the most part whould most likely discourage scum-partners to defend him too much - it's even more probable that he is subtly bussing him, rather than defending.

But this is all pretty WIFOM. As it stands, your point, while a good one, looks like a straight-up null-tell to me. But I understand if you see it as a town-tell..

I also think that kush was playing "bad town" rather than scum for the most part.
But I will reserve judgement on him, no matter which way, until he explains why he was claiming JK there.
I really don't get it, and as I said, it's not very believable imo.


Dandel this post doesn't make very much sense. After reading that post I have absolutely no idea what read you were giving on kush. You use as you said, arguments that are "all pretty WIFOM" and assign a null tell to mkfuba's point about kush seeming to be alone. Then you say you "think that kush was playing "bad town" rather than scum for the most part." And then you say that his JK claim is "not very believable." So which is it? You say you will reserve judgement on him till he explains his JK claim but I think it's perfectly obvious why both a scum or town kush would roleclaim. Newb-town kush would do it out of desperation, and scum kush would do it as a scare tactic to avoid getting lynched. I don't see why you would need to see his explanation for why he claimed blue before you can give a read on him.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 26 2012 08:32 GMT
#419
Well it seems like shady and lvdr are incredibly pissed at each other. I sense a lot of tension between them and that strikes me as townish behavior because I don't think scum would bus each other as hard as they are doing. Shady looks more townish than lvdr, because lvdr has made quite a few posts based on inaccuracies and he's backtracked on his words a few times. However lvdr has given acceptable town motivations for a lot of his posts so I'm gonna say that they are both town and they need to calm the fuck down.

Dandel lon barely avoided being lynched yesterday so I'm gonna focus on him right now. It's very suspicious that he almost got lynched and then a townie got lynched instead... so I'm going to read through the posts made during the last few hours of D1.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 26 2012 08:53 GMT
#420
As far as night actions go, whoever is cop should investigate Dandel lon. There is no framer or miller in this game so you won't have to worry about getting an incorrect read. Obviously you shouldn't roleclaim cop this early on so keep it to yourself... I think an investigation on Dandel will give you the most useful information you could get at this point.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 26 2012 11:29 GMT
#427
On August 26 2012 20:22 Dandel Ion wrote:
Meh.
Work just cut into my freetime like knife into butter.
I didn't know it would, or I wouldn't have signed up in the first place. But now I'm here.

I'll have about ~2 hours of time today in the evening. And probably the same amount for the rest of the week.
Not that I expect this time will help any, with how it looks. So I'm just gonna play GW2 for most of that. I'd much rather do that anyways. If my best fucking efforts to still be active despite everything are still not enough, no need to bother.

Usually the sensible thing would be getting replaced I guess, but the replacement would just get lynched day 2 too, so no need to bother, hm?

A dick move?
Yeah. But I don't care anymore.


So what are you going to do? This statement...

On August 26 2012 20:22 Dandel Ion wrote:usually the sensible thing would be getting replaced I guess, but the replacement would just get lynched day 2 too, so no need to bother, hm?

...makes it look like you are going to stay in the game. But if you don't care about the game, then why would you remain in it? If you truly don't want to play anymore then you should drop out and ask for a replacement.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 26 2012 12:10 GMT
#436
Now that Dandel is going to be replaced what does everyone think about him being a D2 lynch target? Whoever the replacement is, I don't think we should ask them to defend anything that Dandel said earlier in the thread. The replacement should only be held accountable for his/her posts. I say each person should evaluate Dandel's posts and form a read on them and then leave his case at that for the time being. (my read is scummy) But until the replacement has a chance to post and scumhunt we shouldn't go for a lynch on them unless their N1/D2 actions are scummy.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 26 2012 12:35 GMT
#438
On August 26 2012 21:33 Spaghetticus wrote:
My thoughts on it are that I would much prefer a lynch on Shady, as although I am suspicious of Dandel, this recent lack of interest is either a very good self bus play, or genuine disinterest, which I would not expect from a scum player.


Is your case the same or do you have anything else to add because I wasn't convinced by your original case.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 26 2012 13:23 GMT
#443
On August 26 2012 22:05 kushm4sta wrote:That is why people should decide who I RB. They can pick the least scummy person to minimize the chance that it will be my "scumbuddy."

It wouldn't be absolute proof. You could always get roleblocked by mafia and then your roleblock wouldn't go through.
Is that what would happen? If player A submits a roleblock on player B and player B submits a roleblock on player C will player C be roleblocked?

On August 26 2012 22:05 kushm4sta wrote:@thrawn You have actually been riding shady's dick quite hard this game. I'm not saying it makes you suspicious but maybe you are putting too much stock in his meta.

I'm extremely familiar with shady's super aggressive and nit-picky town play. I was tunneled by him so hard in newbie game 24 that I ended up voting for him thinking that "no way a town player would be like this" and he ended up flipping green. I'll go through his filter again and see if his actions appear scum/town motivated.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 26 2012 13:59 GMT
#445
On August 26 2012 22:53 kushm4sta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 26 2012 22:23 thrawn2112 wrote:
It wouldn't be absolute proof. You could always get roleblocked by mafia and then your roleblock wouldn't go through


Oh no. I reread the rules. The scum RB is just going to RB me, so my RB isn't going to go through. I did not realize this.


It's hypothetical scenarios like that which makes your jk claim kinda silly to think about. You would do better to show that you are town by scumhunting. I see right now that you are most suspicious of shady and I'm about to post on that so let me know what you think of my upcoming post.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 26 2012 14:01 GMT
#446
I'm gonna stick with my town read on shady. In the cases against him (mostly spag's) he is mainly accused of picking apart statements to try and throw suspicion around. He does indeed nitpick a lot, but the only times when the nitpicks seemed like they could have been scum motivated were at the beginning of the game when there wasn't anything to talk about except lurker policy. As I read through his filter his questions became more and more indicative of somebody who is scumhunting rather than someone who is trying to generate pointless suspicion. Makes sense.... the level of controversy slowly builds as the game progresses so constant aggressive questioning will look scummy at first when there is no controversy.

He did change his votes around during the last half of D1 but his overall motives were consistent and transparent. For example, he agreed with my case against WeeTee and said he would consider WeeTee as a 2nd candidate before most other people had done so. He was one of the first to commit to that (backup WeeTee plan) and he followed through on it. He has maintained his other suspicions (against kush and lvdr) very consistently while continuing to scumhunt.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 26 2012 16:25 GMT
#449
On a side note, cop please don't roleclaim. It's way too early in the game to even consider doing that. Breadcrumb your night checks or something to be revealed at a later date.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 27 2012 01:25 GMT
#482
What do you guys think about mkfuba? I'm gonna quote some of his posts regarding WeeTee.

On August 26 2012 01:11 mkfuba07 wrote:My second candidate at the moment is WeeTee. Though in general I agree with Spag's recent posts, Thrawn raises a good point in that WeeTee has yet to take a side in most matters. Also, he has voted for kush because of his defensive, inexperienced play, when WeeTee himself is using it in his own defense as a bad townie. I would prefer to vote for him only as a last resort, but am willing to as he was my second scumread earlier in the game. As an aside, I realize I didn't mention this earlier. I found him more suspicious than kush for reasons that I couldn't put into words, so I didn't comment on him until I found out what was bugging me. Thrawn's post showed me what I was missing.

In that post he says his 2nd scumread is WeeTee. He says that WeeTee was also his 2nd scumread earlier in the game for reasons he couldn't put into words.

On August 26 2012 05:48 mkfuba07 wrote:
##Unvote
##vote WeeTee


I do feel reluctant for reasons that I can't quite explain, but I truly want to avoid a no-lynch, and WeeTee is my second scumread anyway.

Another instance of him mentioning WeeTee and reasons that are unexplainable.

Look at his filter and you'll see he doesn't give a scumread until halfway into D1 and only does so because someone asked him for a read. Up till then he wasn't suspicious of anyone. Here's the timestamp of the post if you wanna look it up:

On August 25 2012 02:31 mkfuba07 wrote:
At the moment it's actually Lvdr.

Before the vote his top scumread was lvdr. Then out of nowhere there is this post:

On August 26 2012 05:29 mkfuba07 wrote:
##Unvote

Naturally, I'm currently looking at Dandel lon or WeeTee. As far as Dandel lon goes, I'm ignoring the fact that he's voting for WeeTee, because that is basically his only viable option. WeeTee's vote, on the other hand, I find to be one of his most suspicious actions. He votes for kush for the same reasoning that he uses to defend himself. Also, though I know there's a lot of speculation as to whether or not the JK claim was real, saying "I'd rather lynch him and know if he was JK than keep wondering" (paraphrased) is scummy. Whether or not you believe kush's role claim, WeeTee's reason for voting for him is anti-town.##vote Dandel lon


His first scumread of the game was lvdr, and then he votes for lvdr, and then all the sudden his 2 scumreads are dandel lon or WeeTee? What happened to lvdr being his strongest scumread?

He makes suspicious posts about WeeTee and has a lack of consistency in what was his "top" scumread. He didn't accuse anyone of being scum until he was asked to and said his top scumread was lvdr. Then he votes for lvdr and says WeeTee is his back up plan and that he's been suspicious of WeeTee the whole game for reasons he didn't know at the time. Then lvdr suggests voting for dandel and all the sudden mkfuba abandons his top scumread (lvdr) and doesn't mention him again for the rest of the game. Mkfuba votes for dandel. Then close to deadline he switches his vote for WeeTee and once again talks about his unexplainable feelings.

##FOS mkfuba07
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 27 2012 01:58 GMT
#486
On August 27 2012 10:45 Spaghetticus wrote:
##FoS thrawn2112

I have been thinking you bad town for some time, but the constant discrepancies between your reads and my own are starting to be suspicious. I'm putting you as my scummiest read after Shady Sands and Dandel Ion. It is not that you are completely irrational like WeeTee and Kush have been previously, but that you seem both capable of logic and complete irrationality.


Why FOS me now? Was it that my latest post was irrational and that was the tipping point? What's your disagreement with my read on mkfuba? If you don't have any then I don't see why you would FOS me all of the sudden.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 27 2012 02:51 GMT
#489
Your statements about why you didn't want to share reads on WeeTee make sense from a town-mkfuba perspective. But not being suspicious of anybody until someone asks you for a read is scummy behavior. Call it timid town play but to me it looked like you weren't scumhunting. You say you were consistent with your lvdr scumread. Everything you said about him was consistent, but your overall stance on him wasn't consistent because you completely abandoned your biggest case without telling us why he wasn't your top read until after the fact (just now.)

It's hard to see you as town if you're really just playing timidly... being timid and not sharing reads are scum traits.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 27 2012 03:24 GMT
#492
On August 27 2012 12:03 mkfuba07 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 26 2012 17:32 thrawn2112 wrote:
Well it seems like shady and lvdr are incredibly pissed at each other. I sense a lot of tension between them and that strikes me as townish behavior because I don't think scum would bus each other as hard as they are doing. Shady looks more townish than lvdr, because lvdr has made quite a few posts based on inaccuracies and he's backtracked on his words a few times. However lvdr has given acceptable town motivations for a lot of his posts so I'm gonna say that they are both town and they need to calm the fuck down.

Dandel lon barely avoided being lynched yesterday so I'm gonna focus on him right now. It's very suspicious that he almost got lynched and then a townie got lynched instead... so I'm going to read through the posts made during the last few hours of D1.

This quote is suspicious to me.

The second sentence implies that they're either both town or both scum, and their attacks on each other make them appear townish because scum wouldn't bus each other this hard. This is a false dichotomy, and I'm not sure why Thrawn would see their suspicions of each other as two parts of one whole. It's as if he's reduced the situation to: they're scum bussing each other, or they're both town suspecting each other. Why abandon the possibility of one of them actually being scum?

He then says that Shady looks more townish than Lvdr because of Lvdr's inconsistencies, but then says that Lvdr has given reasons for his actions which removes his suspicion. He gives no reasons for why Shady looks town, but says that he looks more townish because of Lvdr's previously suspicious behaviour. This ties back into his previous implication that they share an alignment, an implication that has no basis.

The entire first paragraph seems like a soft defense of Shady without actually providing any evidence of his towniness.


You say I gave no reasons for shady being town but as kush pointed out my read on shady has been town all game. My last read on shady is here. As for not pointing out that only one could be scum.. I didn't think that was the case because I thought they were both town.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 27 2012 05:44 GMT
#496
On August 27 2012 14:29 Spaghetticus wrote:
If I can't get a lynch on Shady, I am sure as hell getting a lynch on Dandel. He is so scummy it hurts. His opting out of the game is the only reason I have to doubt him, and that is also consistent with a mafia who is looking at a lynch. Think about it, if you were mafia and everyone was zeroing in on you, you could opt out to preserve your fragile self-esteem, or you could opt out to stop people lynching you as scum, which would lead to a better chance of scum victory.

I will be doing more posting later, at the moment I'm just doing spot responses.


That's what I was thinking when I posted this:

On August 26 2012 20:29 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 26 2012 20:22 Dandel Ion wrote:
Meh.
Work just cut into my freetime like knife into butter.
I didn't know it would, or I wouldn't have signed up in the first place. But now I'm here.

I'll have about ~2 hours of time today in the evening. And probably the same amount for the rest of the week.
Not that I expect this time will help any, with how it looks. So I'm just gonna play GW2 for most of that. I'd much rather do that anyways. If my best fucking efforts to still be active despite everything are still not enough, no need to bother.

Usually the sensible thing would be getting replaced I guess, but the replacement would just get lynched day 2 too, so no need to bother, hm?

A dick move?
Yeah. But I don't care anymore.


So what are you going to do? This statement...

Show nested quote +
On August 26 2012 20:22 Dandel Ion wrote:usually the sensible thing would be getting replaced I guess, but the replacement would just get lynched day 2 too, so no need to bother, hm?

...makes it look like you are going to stay in the game. But if you don't care about the game, then why would you remain in it? If you truly don't want to play anymore then you should drop out and ask for a replacement.


He says he absolutely didn't have time to play... but then acts like he was going to stay in the game because "replacement would just get lynched day 2 too, so no need to bother, hm?" But if he couldn't play or didn't care... why would he want to remain in the game at all? He only dropped out of the game once he was pressured to do so.

Is dandel going to be replaced?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 27 2012 06:01 GMT
#498
On August 27 2012 14:45 Lvdr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 27 2012 10:45 Spaghetticus wrote:
##FoS thrawn2112

I have been thinking you bad town for some time, but the constant discrepancies between your reads and my own are starting to be suspicious. I'm putting you as my scummiest read after Shady Sands and Dandel Ion. It is not that you are completely irrational like WeeTee and Kush have been previously, but that you seem both capable of logic and complete irrationality.


I agree with this and I also think that the fos on mkfuba from thrawn is quite suspicious.

First, the wagon on WeeTee was largely thrawn's doing. I thought it was just bad play at the time, but it could be more sinister. Second, given WeeTee's green flip, I think Dandel HAS to be suspect #1. This smells like mafia trying to disperse the suspicion on the hopes that the replacement wipes the slate for dandel and town can be sent in another direction.

The case made by Thrawn also seems like a huge reach and not very strong.

HOWEVER, we need to lynch dandel before we decide who to lynch next. If dandel is mafia, THEN we can decide (based on evidence) who his partner is. If he is not, we will have a body of evidence and a number of suspicious players to look at.


Most of my suspicion on WeeTee was because I asked him a question over and over without him even acknowledging it... was probably around 10 times and even spaghetticus asked him. + Show Spoiler +
On August 25 2012 23:17 Spaghetticus wrote:
WeeTee, you are doing yourself no favours by leaving this to hang. Please make your position here clear! I am bolding this shit so you no longer have an excuse!!
As for my suspicion of mkfuba, I was looking into people that voted for weetee and mkfuba said some really strange things about weetee. He said he had scum reads and hesitations on weetee but didn't know why, and it looked weird how quickly he dropped his vote on his top scumread.

I do agree to a lynch on dandel because of his D1 lurking and the odd manner in which he dropped out, but when the replacement comes we shouldn't ask the replacement to defend things dandel said because that is a big waste of time. A replacement would not be able to interpret/explain dandel's posts better than any one of us.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 27 2012 17:27 GMT
#512
##Vote Dandel Ion The way he said he wanted to quit but wasn't going to, then was like "ok fine I'll quit," and now apparently isn't quitting reeks of scum shenanigans. Saying you don't care and want to quit but not doing so just doesn't make sense.

If he ends up flipping green I will be extremely suspicious of lvdr. The dandel lon thing was his idea in the first place and it came out of nowhere. He has been called out for inconsistencies/lies more than anyone else and although he's given a lot of reasonable town explanations for them, at some point enough is enough.

I'm not going to be posting as much as I have been due to real life things. Not gonna go into lurk mode but don't expect 24/7 posting from me anymore.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 28 2012 07:39 GMT
#516
sup guys. today's been pretty boring.

I guess the recent silence means dandel is getting lynched?

Shady it's been a long time since we've heard from you. You were strongly opposed to the dandel lynch even to the point of accusing lvdr of trying to trick everyone into a mislynch. It's looking like dandel is gonna be lynched, are you still against that? Also are your top scum reads still kush and lvdr?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 28 2012 10:23 GMT
#518
kush

Scum can decide which of them gets to perform the nk, so the mafia nk will go through as long as whoever does the hit isn't roleblocked.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 28 2012 15:47 GMT
#519
D2 has been very slow. Everyone has pretty much gone into lurker mode especially in the last 24 hrs. I know it's because it's pretty clear that Dandel will be lynched, but regardless of the outcome of the lynch I think we've wasted a lot of time. My advice on scumhunting after the lynch is the following:

If Dandel flips red:

If dandel flips red then attention will first need to be paid to anyone who played a part in stopping him from being lynched during D1. Look at the people who voted for WeeTee and try to figure out who was the most scummy about their WeeTee vote.

If Dandel flips green:

This will be awful because it will leave town in a horrible position (3 town/2 scum) for D3 unless a RB stops the NK. However we shouldn't be demoralized if this happens because it will give a lot of information that sheds light on possible scum tactics that went on during D1. If Dandel is green then I'm going to start by looking at the people who were in agreement with voting for either WeeTee/Dandel and try to find out who seemed to care the least which one was lynched.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 29 2012 00:04 GMT
#566
obs qt?

Everyone go over to Newbie 26.

I'm glad town won but honestly it felt very anticlimatic. I sorta expected something like this because of the two scum setup. I was secretly hoping that dandel would go green just because it would make for a longer and more interesting game.

Dandel after D1 I was still not sure that you'd be a good lynch. What changed that was your posts during N1. Gobalt did a similar thing at the end of the last newbie game... you say "I don't have time for this and idc about the game anymore" but then you say you still aren't going to quit. That absolutely sounds like a scum who's given up but still thins they can win. Then I pressured you to quite, and you said you would do so. But then during D2 all of the sudden you still haven't dropped out and are making a case againt lvdr but say you aren't going to post again? It looked exactly similar to gobalt's tactics during nmmxxiv and it was really the only good reason I had for thinking you were scum.

Lvdr: When you first brought up your case against dandel I actually agreed with it. But then dandel pointed out that you had lied about him being extremely experienced, and I began to think about all the other mistakes and lies you had made throughout the game. Like in almost every one of your cases there was a blatant misrepresentation or factual error and it was hard to ignore those.

mkfuba: I thought if dandel flipped green then you were probably scum. I guess I just don't like your hesitant playstyle. The way you responded after me making a case against you convinced me you were town. You defended my accusations and then made a good case against shady, that seemed to be a very townie thing to do.

weetee: dude you gave me every reason possible to vote for you. wth wouldn't you answer my simple question about lvdr?

kush: you should leave emotion out of your posts. you gonna play in newbie 26?

alsn: sorry you had to go you seemed smart from the posts you were able to give. lol I was actually expecting myself to be the NK

spag: at one point I thought you might be scum but it was your huge ass posts during D1 that convinced me otherwise

shady: bro wtf. Right when i was finally willing to consider that you weren't town the whole thing between you and lvdr happened and I was convinced that you two truly were just townies pissed at each other. So good acting/trolling/whatever
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 29 2012 00:06 GMT
#568
everyone get your asses over to XXVI
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 29 2012 01:10 GMT
#571
my reasoning was that if you were town you would have still tried to scumhunt even if you knew you were going to die

something just didn't seem right
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 29 2012 03:04 GMT
#583
spag when I put that fos on mkfuba and you responded, I immediately thought that you and mk were a potential scumteam. I actually did pick up on how much you were overplaying how irrational you thought I was and the FOS seemed extremely uncalled for. I make a case against mk, and immediately someone puts an fos on me, calls me dumb without giving examples why, and doesn't actually respond to anything I said about mk? And then mk himself puts an fos against me? Apparently you did it with town motivations but at the time it really looked scummy. I ended up not committing to the read because I reread your filter and got a pretty strong town read from it so I decided to drop the issue until after the dandel flip. If dandel would have flipped green I would have probably thought you and mk were the scumteam.
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 29 2012 03:14 GMT
#585
yeah i just couldn't see the town motivations for that post at the time. now it makes sense knowing that you're cop... but it was definitely your scummiest post
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 29 2012 04:54 GMT
#587
On August 29 2012 13:53 Lvdr wrote:
Also to clear up the 'experience' read on dandel.

In Newbie III (which I played with him) he was a key player for the town. Whether he's played a lot of games or not, he showed skills that I didn't think he was applying in this game.


I think if you would have explained that before the d1 wouldn't have been tricked by shady into doubting your case on dandel... sorry lol
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 29 2012 04:57 GMT
#590
On August 29 2012 13:55 Lvdr wrote:
Also it seems my town meta is extremely scummy. Hasn't gotten me lynched yet lol.


my town meta is to be the direct and original cause of a D1 mislynch
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
August 29 2012 05:30 GMT
#597
On August 29 2012 14:24 Blazinghand wrote: Newbie games are very swingy.


I don't think anyone saw 24 ending up how it did
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
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