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Newbie Mini Mafia XX - Page 33

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Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
July 08 2012 17:49 GMT
#641
On July 08 2012 16:35 Hapahauli wrote:
My FOS on Release

A quick case on Release - I find his current gameplay very different from his typical town-aligned gameplay, which is well established from three newbie mafia games:
Newbie Mafia XIV
Newbie Mafia XVI
Newbie Mafia XVIII




I'll give a brief overview of his playstyle in each game. I also highly recommend skimming through his past games to get a feel for his posting - it doesn't take much reading to realize how different he is as a townie. (all underlined words are hyperlinks for referencing).

Newbie Mafia XIV
On page 1 of his filter, you'll notice long posts that take clear stances on players early in the game. He never appears wishy-washy or unsure of himself. THIS POST sums up this game's town-alligned Release very well - forceful, looking to pick confrontations, and actively builds cases (even if this particular case was against the town doctor xD). I had a ton of time in this game. Not nearly as much in this game

Newbie Mafia XVI
Release doesn't build any large cases in the early parts of this game, but is very forceful about his opinions. He locks on to one player (Grush) early on in the game and grills him relentlessly. However, he's very willing to change his vote multiple times at a whim. He's extremely reckless and not afraid to forcefully point fingers/generate discussion. Look at THIS POST for another example of forceful townie Release. again, a ton more time. So doesn't compare too well

Newbie Mafia XVIII
Release gets killed by Mafia N1 here, so there's not much to go on. Do note that his tone is forceful throughout his filter, he never summaryposts, and never tries to out several people in a single post. His post count/activity here is much lower due to a busy schedule, something he mentions after death. one, i mentioned that before the game, and two, i was sheeping BioSC a little before i turned on him (without posting unfortunately). three, that game was so inactive that reading hardly took my time and i had spare time to re-read and whatnot

Release Townie Meta Summary
- Release always accuses 1 player at a time. He locks on to someone and grills them forcefully, actively seeking confrontation. He'll switch votes at whim if he sees other suspicious behavior. sounds like bait to do something which you could later call wishy-washy. Lose-lose situation for me huh? Same thing you did to jingle. "does your wife know you're cheating on here?"
- Release rarely, if ever, attacks cases on players he's not pursuing. Release really locks on to his cases and tries to build it. it's called tunneling and it almost got someone (ha236) to give up when i actually thought he was town. I have been advised not to overdo this many times
- Release is always at the center of the controversy. when i have the time
- Release is not afraid to defend himself against accusations. when i have the time



Release Day 1 Lynch

Release in this current game has been very different. Just take a look at some of these quotes:
One thing that I really fucked up in my case against JingleHell was not looking for Mafia motive. I had evidence of scummy play, but did not have a story and mafia-motive behind actions and behaviors. I will be clearly identifying motives in this analysis

First, Release calls JingleHell's post suspicious after defending him against Lazer in his previous post. In addition, he doesn't take any forceful opinions. Note he doesn't accuse Jingle ("This is kind of interesting"), and takes a very unclear stance on TMG26. Townie Release would have been throwing around votes based on past meta. Release is trying to spread suspicion against multiple players while pushing a bad case against LazerMonkey. The push in itself isn't bad, but spreading suspicions is pro-mafia. i have never, ever, used meta as a means of supporting my votes. also, it's called fuck TMG, we have bigger problems to deal with. But saying it like that gives me the "fuck the town" attitude because people were seriously considering TMG. I didn't accuse Jingle because as you can clearly see in my second paragraph, i still think Lazer is the far more scummy player
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2012 00:00 Release wrote:
On July 05 2012 23:08 JingleHell wrote:
I do wish we could stop looking at Lazer's first post as "contradictory". Actually, for that matter, I wish we would leave alone all the initial burst of posting, the entire purpose is to get people talking, which was accomplished. Frankly, I don't think Lazer's first post felt scummy, because while it was only very basic, it was an effort to do the same thing I accomplished by bringing up sex toys. I've just discovered that something meaningless works better.

Instead of cluttering things up, I'll just say that Bass and Lazer's analysis on TMG sounds good, and I'll be interested in seeing what he has to say.

This is kind of interesting

You defend Lazer and try to downplay the importance of first posts (despite Lazer calling his own post bad).

Absolutely not. If his post caught traction, we would waste lots of time. Your post did catch traction, but we hardly wasted any significant amount of time. Something meaningless works better than what he did because we know it's not serious. You know it, i know it, he knows it, but he chose to choose something "significant."

TMG looks rather shit, but if his english actually sucks, then we have a serious problem.

Lurkers speak up now. I will lynch you if Lazer is not a serious contender.

Next, Release acknowledges my case on hopeless as "fairly good," then continues his vote for LazerMonkey for unclear reasons. This is consistent with a Release who wants to put himself in good standing with the author of a case against fellow mafia, but instead tries to push a townie lynch. Release is keeping his options open and remaining unclear - a mafia trait. unclear? Deceitful. Aka the first post and the bringing up of sex toys as a legitimate reason of scumminess. i repeated that quite a few times actually. And i acknolwedged your case. Your case against hope had nothing to do with my case against Lazer.
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2012 23:58 Release wrote:
caught up; I think Meta is a horrible form of analysis. + Show Spoiler +
Defending me based on my previous games is quite shit.
But, ingoring the meta, the case on hope1 is still fairly good.

Since i should be back 15 minutes before the deadline, i'll leave my vote on Lazer for now.
One word: deceitful

and Jingle is pulling a half-grush, which i think is never good for town.

Release's post just before the D1 lynch. Pre-lynch panic, combined with outing THREE players in one post for unclear reasons. This is wildly inconsistent with Townie Jingle, and it is in mafia's best interest to spread baseless suspicion.
because everyone is going to take my post seriously. Lazer for obvious reasons. Jingle and Harry for their "OMGUS that was actually serious" and subsequent reconciliation. I thought this was too pretentious to be townie.
Show nested quote +
On July 07 2012 10:00 Release wrote:
Fuck fuck fuck fuck.

From what i see, the scum has to be Lazer and Jingle (maybe Harry)

When its clear that Hopeless is going to hang, Release covers his bases before the D1 mod post. Note that he acknowledges a legitimate suspicion against Hopeless, yet does not change his vote. He also outs 3 players in this post again. Why should i change my vote? He is going to hang. In fact, leaving the opportunity for someone to jump of the Hope train means that we have caught 2 scum. It's something i did in another game too: i was in the majority, i jumped off and put a random vote, begging for someone to do a last minute switch. You didn't read that in your "meta analysis" did you? and i out 3 players. Just that it was 3 different players. I already outed 2 of them now didn't I
Show nested quote +
On July 07 2012 10:13 Release wrote:
you two seem awfully pretentious and deceitful, but i didn't see that Hopeless hasn't posted shit since the acusation (probably scared of slipping.)





Release: Night 1

You're going to see Release make a huge gear-switch after Hopeless1der gets lynched. He tries to further justify his suspicions against LazerMonkey for vague reasons (and ignores me the MULTIPLE TIMES I call him out for it). Instead, he tries to establish a friendly rapport with the town, while pointing fingers and generally not doing anything.

Release first addresses why he voted for Lazer. Look at the complete lack of reasoning. In my counter argument, I proved all of these false. i read your counter arguement, didn't agree with it. simple.
Show nested quote +
On July 07 2012 12:38 Release wrote:
@hapahauli

His first post, which is incredibly deceitful

His repeated bringing up of the fact that the sex toys discussion was worse than his first post, and that the sex toys was legitimately bad and scummy behavior.

Despite still having HEAVY suspicions of Lazer, Release agrees with my case on Jingle then promptly outs YourHarry and Mackin for scummy behavior. His reasons are vague, unclear, and this is not the forceful Release in his townie meta. Release is trying to stirr up suspicions and create unrest. he had a "fuck town attitude" everyone saw it. Already said your harry twice now. Your using this as reasoning against me is seriously shit. Mackin was lurker. Telling him to speak up. You make it sound like i have outed 9 people, when in reality, it's 5. Sounds bad but hardly as bad as 9.
Show nested quote +
On July 07 2012 15:19 Release wrote:
Well i read the Jingle case and i can't disagree with it.

But it makes me uncomfortable to feel that he is scum, because then YourHarry would be the other scum (those two had a little OMGUS battle and then suddenly reconciled, great way to clutter the thread), leaving no place for Lazer to be scum, which i still think is true. And mackin...

Release outs two MORE players in his next post. unless i'm mistaken, that quote belongs to jingle. So ONE more player. you say 11, i say 6. this is fun
Show nested quote +
On July 08 2012 01:35 Release wrote:
caught up and evul has wasted a hell of a lot of time talking about circumstance/hypothetical scenarios about D1, despite the fact that we have passed day 1.

He also tried the if this, then that bullshit. I don't really see what town motivation would cause this, but as a scum, it's trying to survive without an analytical basis.

"meh, that post doesn't feel like a sufficient basis for an accusation" = defense because there was an accusation (I) and your saying there should be no accusation tells me to stop attacking him for that reason.

Release has a sudden change of heart against Lazer and jumps on the Jingle bandwagon (before Evul claimed DT and verified Jingle as townie). Release finds a better angle and jumps on the mislynch in an attempt to avoid suspicion and at this point, i suspected that you were the godfather trying to buss jingle. Imagine my surprise when khorrus got modkilled. Good on fighting? Hapa has been the GODFATHER
Show nested quote +
On July 08 2012 10:00 Release wrote:
I've caught up in this thread and have to say that i no longer believe Lazer to be scum.

so far, Hapa has been very good on fighting against scummy plays, making his analyses and i would hope that others follow suit. Especially jingle.

Summaryposting in an attempt to gain rapport with the town. I was getting clarification for who was actually being suspected.
Show nested quote +
On July 08 2012 10:04 Release wrote:
very unlikely that the two remaining scum is among those who voted for me.

the remaining 2 scum is among:Release, JingleHell, JieXian, The_Zen_Man, Khorrus(replacement) and Mackin

These are 100% contradictory and mentally retarded. Correct me if i'm missing something but
you just said "no they're not" and "yes they are" in close succession

Sudden voteswitch to lazer for a single line after N1. This is an effort to create further confusion, knowing that JingleHell is on pace to be lynched. i wanted to get clarification. a vote is the best way to do it
Show nested quote +
On July 08 2012 10:08 Release wrote:
lazer i just cleared, you and you post this. Explain yourself. This is total bullshit and you know it and as far as i'm concerned,

##vote: lazer


Release spends the rest of the night (and the opening of D2) posting summary and one-liners. yeah cause i'm bus. believe it if you want. Disregard it otherwise. And that "obvious" slip about jiexian, i just used your reasoning against you and poof, no more. And how about you: I'm sure you read my first game with mordanis no? YOu make this huge ass case on me, highlight mafi-orientated in red and refuse to vote me. In other words, testing the waters. You only voted me upon when prompted to. This is exactly how mordanis (scum) played against me in the other game.

In conclusion, Release's behavior this game is very different from his Town-alligned meta in a mafia-oriented way. Furthermore, clear and logical mafia motivations can be derived from all of his actions.
clear and logical mafia motivation can be derived from almost any actions. I've done that many times. People don't doubt you because you were so "good" in your analysis against hope, who helped you tons.

I highly suspect Release to be Mafia.


Response in red at start but i change to italic for easier to read.

Since my vote is already on you: fos: hapa

And just so we're clear, you claimed that i cast suspicion on 11 people. I cast it on 6 people. A real townie doesn't try to be so manipulative.
☺
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
July 08 2012 17:50 GMT
#642
i wouldn't worry about the RB. Probably as someone (i think Harry) mentioned, the RBer can just do nothing and claim the RB himself.
☺
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
July 08 2012 19:28 GMT
#643
I'd like to further comment on Release's "breadcrumb" of me being the godfather. This is such a strange move, and I'm going to analyze it from townie and mafia perspectives.

CLICK HERE (reference)

Note: Release also accuses me of being Mafia here, on the grounds that I've been too pro-town and therefore deceitful. If anyone wishes to hear my thoughts, I'll gladly comment, though I find the reasoning insane and not worth addressing.



Analyzing the "Breadcrumb" from Townie Release Perspective (Night 1 and onwards)
  • After Hopeless gets lynched, there are two mafia left. At this point, Release strongly believes Lazer to be mafia.
  • Release agrees with my case, still thinks Lazer is mafia and says if Jingle is mafia, YourHarry must be also be mafia.
  • Release agrees with my case on Jingle and breadcrums me as godfather (this is before the start of D2 and Khorrus's modkill).


These three events/opinions by Release are wildly inconsistent with one another, and I can't find a townie motive anywhere. Release breadcrumbing me as godfather basically says that me and JingleHell are the last two mafia (despite all his statements above). So how could townie Release justify this?

Here's a Hypothetical based on a townie-release motivated breadcrumb:
If JingleHell would get lynched D2 and flips red (remember, hypothetical), if we assume Release's suspicions hold, his case against me would be built around me lynching two of my fellow mafia members (who wouldn't have suspicion on them otherwise) in a very aggressive manner. This would be a really strange breadcrumb.

If JingleHell gets lynched D2 and flips green/blue, Release would use the breadcrumb against me to discredit me and push me as the godfather for pushing a mislynch. Again however, given Release's support of my case, this doesn't make sense, as he supports the mislynch himself.

I can't find any townie justification for his breadcrumb move, and I'd appreciate the thoughts of others on this issue.

Mafia scenarios are pretty easy to identify though - Release would know that JingleHell would be a mislynch, and thus would use the breadcrumb after he flips green to discredit another townie and create extra suspicion.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
YourHarry
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1152 Posts
July 08 2012 19:35 GMT
#644
On July 09 2012 02:50 Release wrote:
i wouldn't worry about the RB. Probably as someone (i think Harry) mentioned, the RBer can just do nothing and claim the RB himself.


I did mention this and it is true, but I also mentioned that it is very unlikely that RB did nothing to anticipate this. And if RB did anticipate this and planned to clear himself, he would have claimed "Roleblocked" earlier in the day. Therefore, I think it's very highly likely that we can clear whoever got roleblocked. As long as it is not jinglehell (I also think it's unlikely that RB roleblocked TMG). Anyway, if someone got roleblocked, please say so.
Never!
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
July 08 2012 19:45 GMT
#645
For added emphasis to my post above (re: Release's
Breadcrumb (click!))

Release (who claims he's Town alligned) supported my case against JingleHell because the godfather(me) was pushing for the lynch. Wat.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
July 08 2012 19:46 GMT
#646
Analyzing the "Breadcrumb" from Townie Release Perspective (Night 1 and onwards)

After Hopeless gets lynched, there are two mafia left. At this point, Release strongly believes Lazer to be mafia.
Release agrees with my case, still thinks Lazer is mafia and says if Jingle is mafia, YourHarry must be also be mafia.
Release agrees with my case on Jingle and breadcrums me as godfather (this is before the start of D2 and Khorrus's modkill).

________________________________________________________________________________________________
It's all too easy for you isn't it?

I'll respond to this but as of now, i want Lazer to weigh in on my response to Hapa.

☺
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
July 08 2012 19:49 GMT
#647
On July 09 2012 04:45 Hapahauli wrote:
For added emphasis to my post above (re: Release's
Breadcrumb (click!))

Release (who claims he's Town alligned) supported my case against JingleHell because the godfather(me) was pushing for the lynch. Wat.

Oh no! Whatever could i be doing? Seeing how you react.
And since you seem so content with Meta analysis, go look at the game with ha236. Same thing. Or, maybe you could admit that you never read through any of the past games and admit that all of your meta analysis bullshit is bullshit and that your meta analysis on hope1 was only successful because he left the breadcrumbs for you there.
☺
YourHarry
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1152 Posts
July 08 2012 19:51 GMT
#648
Hapha, I think Release posted his putative breadcrumb exactly at beginning of Day 2: July 8, 10:00. If he wanted to show his concern that you Hapha could be godfather, he could have outright said: "I think Hapha is mafia godfather." This is because, at that point, it would have been impossible for scums to change their night kill based on Release's reads.

And like you said, vanilla townies don't generally leave bread crumbs, as their reads are based on information available to everyone else. They post their reads; power roles, who don't want to claim, leave breadcrumbs.

But this is a newbie game, so unusual actions are possible. Still, the breadcrumb he left was not something that would have been interpreted as a breadcrumb. I don't think it was reasonable for Release to assume that anyone would recognize this breadcrumb. On the other hand, Release sprinkled enough "resemblance" to typical breadcrumb, that I think he could have engineered this to be used as his defense.

##Vote Release
Never!
YourHarry
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1152 Posts
July 08 2012 19:53 GMT
#649
##Vote Release
Never!
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
July 08 2012 20:04 GMT
#650
how many times have you ever heard someone say "good on fighting?"

Wasn't that line completely useless shit anyways? If i happened to die, it would be looked at.
And just before the day post, Hapa had a "quick meta case" on jingle. Said he was scum. The day post comes, he doesn't pursue it anymore.

I say "hapa is godfather." He changes his behavior accordingly. I say "good on fighting" he continues to act the in the way that he does, more info to get on his case.
☺
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
July 08 2012 20:09 GMT
#651
Of course I didn't pursue Jingle further - Jingle is a confirmed townie.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
July 08 2012 20:14 GMT
#652
thank you very much sir.

After the day post before the evul claim. The only way you would know he was confirmed townie is if you were the last scum. GG. Scumslip in open air.

On July 09 2012 05:09 Hapahauli wrote:
Of course I didn't pursue Jingle further - Jingle is a confirmed townie.

☺
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
July 08 2012 20:17 GMT
#653
Uh what? Evul confirmed him as a townie, after which I stopped pursuing him. I had just posted a quick meta case on jingle hours before the N1 deadline and didn't see the need to post more info. Needless to say, I was wrong about Jingle and went on to the case against you.
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
JingleHell
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States11308 Posts
July 08 2012 20:21 GMT
#654
Yeah... I was actively ignoring Hapa at that point, so piling on posts would have just looked shitty, and he was discussing roleclaim in hopes of having a DT claim and confirm me as scum. Would have saved a lot of hassle unless there was a counterclaim, which would make roughly zero sense.

Frankly, your attack on Hapa makes even less sense to me than the attacks against me did, and I saw my role PM...
Lazermonkey
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden2176 Posts
July 08 2012 20:23 GMT
#655
The only thing that makes me think that Hapa just MIGHT be scum is that they havn't conceded yet, which they probebly would have if they were among Zen/Release/Mackin. But everything else points towards him being scum, Release. Do you really think that a player who not only pushed a player that would hypothetically be his scum bro and even got him lynched and did this when his other bro was in serious danger of getting modkilled?

Release, do you not think it's more likely that the last scum is Zen_Man? Or prehaps Mackin?
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
July 08 2012 20:31 GMT
#656
well zen_man posted this day so he won't be modkilled. But his filter is only a page long.

I would still like to lynch hapa, but zen_man has not contributed much. Except a huge case followed by a rather meager FOS. then a vote (which i think was prompted).

I emphasize again that i would like to lynch hapa who seems to have everyone else in the palm of his hand.

##unvote
##vote: ZenMan
☺
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
July 08 2012 20:32 GMT
#657
On July 09 2012 05:23 Lazermonkey wrote:
The only thing that makes me think that Hapa just MIGHT be scum is that they havn't conceded yet, which they probebly would have if they were among Zen/Release/Mackin. But everything else points towards him being scum, Release. Do you really think that a player who not only pushed a player that would hypothetically be his scum bro and even got him lynched and did this when his other bro was in serious danger of getting modkilled?

Release, do you not think it's more likely that the last scum is Zen_Man? Or prehaps Mackin?

i don't see why not. It would be a marvelous mind-fuck. I mean the case against hope1 was just so easy for him. Just there, boom, refutes everything. Hope1 goes silent. GG to hope. Hope probably wanted to continue his XIX anyways.
☺
JingleHell
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States11308 Posts
July 08 2012 20:36 GMT
#658
On July 09 2012 05:31 Release wrote:
well zen_man posted this day so he won't be modkilled. But his filter is only a page long.

I would still like to lynch hapa, but zen_man has not contributed much. Except a huge case followed by a rather meager FOS. then a vote (which i think was prompted).

I emphasize again that i would like to lynch hapa who seems to have everyone else in the palm of his hand.

##unvote
##vote: ZenMan


If Hapa is scum, it's the craziest WIFOM based gameplan of all time. Even without Hapa's case, there's enough reason to be suspicious of you to merit voting.

Oh, and someone who wants to lynch a player for their success scumhunting (as you call it, having us eating out of the palm of his hand, which is a bad attempt at forcing an emotional response rather than a logical one), is probably scum. I don't like Hapa much, but I don't want him lynched for being annoying. 50% success rate on reads, which he's currently at, is still a win for town if he maintains it.
Lazermonkey
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden2176 Posts
July 08 2012 20:51 GMT
#659
While I agree with that Release looks bad, Hope's meta case on him is just shit. It's massivly dependant on the fact that Release have the abilty to be active the same amount of time in all of his games. While it may be true that he is lying about being bussy, this is just WIFOM and can't possibly be used as an argument against him. I don't claim to understand Release but I played XVI where we both were town. His play soso. The good part of it was his activity level but his reads were kinda off. He were tunneling alot and didn't really look at motives nor did he swap his target too often. He got alot of critique on that so it just makes sense that he would be trying to change his play this game.
Lazermonkey
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden2176 Posts
July 08 2012 20:52 GMT
#660
On July 09 2012 05:32 Release wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2012 05:23 Lazermonkey wrote:
The only thing that makes me think that Hapa just MIGHT be scum is that they havn't conceded yet, which they probebly would have if they were among Zen/Release/Mackin. But everything else points towards him being scum, Release. Do you really think that a player who not only pushed a player that would hypothetically be his scum bro and even got him lynched and did this when his other bro was in serious danger of getting modkilled?

Release, do you not think it's more likely that the last scum is Zen_Man? Or prehaps Mackin?

i don't see why not. It would be a marvelous mind-fuck. I mean the case against hope1 was just so easy for him. Just there, boom, refutes everything. Hope1 goes silent. GG to hope. Hope probably wanted to continue his XIX anyways.
There is always a possiblity, but do you really find this option MORE likely than that one of Zen/Mackin is scum?
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