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Purgatory Mafia - Page 62

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Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25551 Posts
January 10 2012 16:40 GMT
#1221
On January 11 2012 01:31 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2012 01:29 Blazinghand wrote:
On January 11 2012 01:24 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Lol, are you guys retarded? I am gone for a day and you guys go batshit stupid and try to lynch me? I have work until 6pm but when I get back whoever the fuck is pushing this is getting reamed and I will finally get on my analysis game that I have been meaning to do.


Yeah what was i thinking attacking such a useful and active pro town player oh no wait

As one of the lovely people who unintelligently shit all over my plan I don't expect much from you, but that's fine. Please, tell me why I am scum, I'd love to see it.

Yeah good point i guess unless i made a big analysis post i dont have a leg to stand on huh
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 10 2012 16:41 GMT
#1222
careful adding more votes, it would be stupid to end the day so soon
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
risk.nuke
Profile Joined May 2010
Sweden2825 Posts
January 10 2012 16:42 GMT
#1223
On January 11 2012 01:34 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
And risk, congrats. You earned another vote, well on your way to popularity island.

Thanks, how did I win this gracious price? What exacly will you claim when I flip green? oh who am I kidding, nobody gives a reason so nobody needs a reason. I love how syllo is lurking and despite me consistantly asking for reason he says nothing.
Neo.G Soulkey, Best, firebathero. // http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 10 2012 16:44 GMT
#1224
risk if you want to troll could you at least be funny?
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
risk.nuke
Profile Joined May 2010
Sweden2825 Posts
January 10 2012 16:50 GMT
#1225
On January 11 2012 01:44 layabout wrote:
risk if you want to troll could you at least be funny?

layabout, if you want to comment, you could atleast say something of value?
Neo.G Soulkey, Best, firebathero. // http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
January 10 2012 17:07 GMT
#1226
+ Show Spoiler +

On January 10 2012 06:46 Blazinghand wrote:
So, here's RoL.

Show nested quote +
On January 05 2012 22:25 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
lol sorry, I actually just got home and forgot this game started. Initially I thought I'd just finish up Responsibility mafia then jump over here but that doesn't seem like its going to happen anytime soon. I just need some time to catch up.


ok so he lurked a bit

Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 13:06 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Sorry, I had to finish up some business in the Responsibility game. Now that that is over this game gets my full attention.


guys he's still lurking just hold on a sec

Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 15:34 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On January 06 2012 13:09 Bluelightz wrote:
On January 06 2012 13:06 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Sorry, I had to finish up some business in the Responsibility game. Now that that is over this game gets my full attention.


Who do you want to lynch? why?

I am off from work tomorrow and I plan to catch up then. I just finished like 3 hours of reading for responsibility after getting home from work. Tomorrow afternoon I will catch up, post, and give my thoughts.


ok guys TOMORROW, TOMORROW he will sto the lurk.



Show nested quote +
On January 07 2012 23:58 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Sorry for my inactivity, I really I am. Some stuff came up that took up my supposed free time to post both yesterday and the day before. I have work 10-6 EST today (Currently 9:56) but after that I will try to deliver and post a lot more, this isn't going to be a game full of excuses from me. But until then I will cast a vote on the current vote leader. My logic here is that a lynch is better than a no lynch in terms of information and analysis, although it doesn't look like we will make the lynch cutoff and I want you guys to have that opportunity assuming I don't get back here in time today.

##Vote: Erandorr


._.

So you know what RoL I don't like that you lurked for all of D1. That being said, that alone will not implicate you for anything. I think it's worth noting here that uh... you didn't actually vote Erandorr.

woo-hoo.

This during the last-minute scramble:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 09:04 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
I am going to try to read the last few pages and get an idea of whats happening since there isn't much time left, if anyone wants to summarize feel free.

Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 09:44 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On January 08 2012 09:36 Mr. Wiggles wrote:
If two people switch to Erandorr, I'll hammer. Otherwise, move back onto risk.

RoL, have you read "the last few pages" yet, it's been a half hour.

I did and I cast my vote for Erandorr through the PM thing. Here is my reasoning. Switching from target A to target B is highly unlikely to ever hit a scum barring a DT check (This is more true in town/scum no third faction games, but still holds true here) no second bandwagon should gain momentum if its scum because the scum wouldn't let it happen. That being said, since my other post only about 6-7 pages have happened in game iirc and somehow risk.nuke attained a near majority which is insane. There is no way you are going to hit scum with that kind of rapid vote switch and in fact, that somewhat incriminates Erandorr because why else would a vote switch happen so rapidly?

I read some of Risk's posts, admittedly not all, but he didn't seem too bad from my point of view, I don't know what the hell palmar is getting at. But I only inferred that from his posts on pages 34-36ish since I know we are nearing the deadline.

Lastly, I read Blazinghand's analysis of Erandorr which seemed good, in the sense that I agree that Erandorr comes off as a disconcerned scum on D1.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&currentpage=37#723

So I am keeping my vote on Erandorr, anyone on the risk.nuke lynch is suspect for jumping ship so hard, if erandorr flips scum then Palmar deserves a hard look.

I also have a plan I have been considering, I plan on enlightening you all during the night phase assuming I can flesh out all the weird possibilities in this set up.


At last we come to the first real post. First, you claim to have voted Erandorr when you have not at all. A simple mistake, but not a good start. He makes some reasonable points but I consider this a somewhat unsupported "vote"

and yet still no vote.

Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 09:52 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Stupid bot never PMed me back, I sent like 2-3 votes.

Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 09:54 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Yeah, but I sent my new vote after the lynch rofl. Whoops! I thought it ended at 8:00, didn't realize it ended at a 45, how irritating.

Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 09:56 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
My first vote didn't have purgatory in the subject heading, because it doesn't say that in the OP, my second vote was a mess up, and the third vote was too late.

Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 09:57 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On January 08 2012 09:56 Blazinghand wrote:
On January 08 2012 09:54 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Yeah, but I sent my new vote after the lynch rofl. Whoops! I thought it ended at 8:00, didn't realize it ended at a 45, how irritating.

On December 28 2011 15:39 Zona wrote:
Voting System:

This game utilizes the Instant Majority Lynch system. If at any point during the day over half the players alive are voting to lynch a particular player, that player will be instant

For some reason, I am not thinking right now. I knew that lol, until today all I have been doing is reading and analyzing the set up and trying to figure out how valid some plan I have is.


._.

OK we're still in honest mistake territory, but as you can see RoL's D1 play was somewhat underwhelming. Does this paint him as scummy to me? Sort of. Maybe he WAS too busy to stop by and kept on telling us that he was catching up. Maybe he DID send a bunch of bad messages to zbot. Maybe he really didn't understand the voting situation.

Maybe all he's been doing is analyzing the setup.

I'll buy that, MAYBE, if he's got something good to say.

So Mr. RoL what you got? Well although his suggestion was ultimately not implemented, since it's the only thing he's really talked about, that's what I'm gonna look at.


This is all worthless, so I'm ignoring it. I'm going to be late to work, but that's fine, I hate being gainfully employed anyway.


Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 23:40 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Alright so I said I had a plan and I aim to flesh it out. I will like to section this into three areas, Intro, Mechanics, and Discussion. I feel that is the most direct and simplest way in which to understand this plan. All criticisms are welcome, but I am sure I have thought of most concerns and justified them somehow.


Intro

This plan is essentially a mass role claim, but for a reason. Here is how I tend to implement it. Everyone claims not their role, but there color. We should have 4 blues (Townies with powers) and then 13 green (townie without power) on the off chance we end up with 5 blues they all claim their actual roles, when we see which roles have conflict we act from there.

In this game one of the things heavily working against the town is status quo and the flow of information. The Angels have someone who kills without showing alignment while the Demons have the capacity to block the flip of a day lynch. What this plan does is preempts that decline in information because we know (roughly) all alignments before shit hits the fan. For example, if the Angels annihilate one of the blue power roles and it has never been claimed they can now safely claim the power role, basically just one of the detective type roles, but either way at that point they KNOW they are safe from a counter claim. In this scenario we put all the information out there knowing that it benefits us more than anyone else.

The way I intend this to work is we all claim which forces the demons and angels into a bad position. No information is truly hidden, and we have just taken away 4 possibilities as candidate for scum either way. which means in a group of 15 players, 6 are now scum. that's a 40% chance of hitting scum through sheer guessing. The real benefit comes in how the mechanics interact.



ಠ_ಠ

Ok, I get that the concealed lynch / concealed kills thing is a problem. I get that. I get that as the game goes on and more people die, things will get harder for the town. I also get that a concealed lynch destroys a huge amount of information. The DT can't breadcrumb his findings if he gets conceal-shot by the AoD, etc. However, this just means we need to be careful about roleclaims and be effective during our early days when we haven't had more doubt introduced into our reads by flipless deaths.

You are wrong, there is no "Careful" about roleclaims, after the first black death any fakeclaim is believeable and there is no absolute certainty. It's better to narrow down our suspect pool earlier, and have a confirmed voting block.


Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 23:40 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Mechanics


This is the part that takes more to understand and was a lot more effort to think around (hopefully) all the possibilities. One of the biggest is obviously the Angelic Acolyte who gets an extra KP if he correctly guesses townie with dark powers, corrupted townie, or Demon when performing his stalk action. This only really affects a minority of townies, namely our blues and those minority who become corrupted. I think we can counter this by using banish amongst the claimed blues as a form of protection, and at the same time the Demon's will be given incentive to also use their transport as a form of protection and a dual threat. Firstly, it increases the chance of blocking an Angel KP which the Demons want to do, secondly it takes a blue power out of action for the night. This is fine because it still maintains our voting power in the day time. This causes there to only be a 50% success rate of the angels target into the blue circle. At the same time if the demons wish to corrupt a blue and jack their vote, they have a 66% chance of not hitting a jailor block.

At the same time regular townies can be corrupted and they should claim. The longer the game draws out for the angels the more they NEED to kill corrupted townies/demons before the lynch against them is completely controlled. We can further increase this problem by having several people claim corrupt every day so the Angels can't be sure if they are going to use their extra KP effectively. The more dire the corrupted situation becomes the less they can focus on blues, and that gives us more confirmed townies with less players alive, further shrinking the town player pool narrowing down the angel/demons in the townie section of the group.

So in the end the Demons would benefit highly by managing to corrupt our blues because it will be harder for Angels to kill them, but they also benefit by spreading out corruption and forcing the Angels to spread KP to avoid being overwhelmed as the game progresses.

Actually this looks respectably bad for the angels. I'm not sure I buy the "demons will always jail the blues" line but I can get how the Angels will try to kill off corrupted towns instead of blues with their Acolyte, maybe. But there are a lot of nights where there isn't a corrupted townie around! And on those nights the Angels get plenty of KP.

I also don't like the idea of trading out our blue roles for a "confirmed voting block". Our blues will be largely unable to act due to roleblocks, getting shot, and roleblocking themselves rather than demons. We're giving up most of our blue power for something like this.

The last thing is I'm not really sure how this makes things worse for the demons. They're still gonna be doing the same thing, which is corrupting people and biding their time. In fact, given that it will be harder for Angels to kill corrupted towns, as RoL NOTES, THIS MAKES THE DEMONS STRONGER. The corrupted situation will get out of hand and our demon DT will be roleblocked plenty of times, and eventually, even if we kill off an angel or two this is bad news for town.

It promotes infighting and I admitted a few posts ago I messed up. It doesn't make the Demons as strong as I thought since they get one corruption every two days. Why would it be harder for Angels to kill corrupted townies? I clearly explained that Angels needs to maintain status quo by eliminating corrupted to avoid the demons using there 3+ corrupted voting power along with whatever townies they can convince to fuck up.

On that note, with the Palmar flip, I'd advise against all corrupted claims for tomorrow since the demons are currently at a disadvantage.


Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 23:40 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Discussion

Here is where we discuss the pros/cons of the strategy. First I must clear something up. Speed is paramount to the success of this strategy. We need ALL the blue claims before the day post to ensure integrity because as soon as the first annihilation happens no claim can be trusted as without fault.

There is a reason why semiclosed set ups are used in the huge majority of TL games. Knowing a role count makes the game progressively more broken and doesn't allow for any sort of fake claim. The annihilation (angel) and lynch hiding (demon) mechanics are clearly in place to allow for fake claims and a downswing in truly knowable information. We need to preempt this disadvantage and get information out in the public before it is untrustworthy.

The downside to this plan? An increase in Angel KP and the decrease in blue role efficiency due to purgatory inflicting powers such as transport and banish.

The pros I have pretty much outlined earlier. We know all roles, we end up with 4 confirmed townies and a narrowing of the scum field to a 40% chance. While our blues powers are semi neutralized their voting powers remain intact and unless the Demons want to chance it, incorruptible. This eliminates fake claims and drastically helps out with the decreasing information we will have throughout the game by knowing someones *likely* role before they die while having a confirmed group.


Overall this looks like it will increase the rate at which angels will kill blue roles, and will buy the demons more time to win.

Our Demon Hunter seems to be on the ball. He shot Palmar (I think; maybe it was the acolyte). I'm not particuarly interested in giving the scum teams any advantages here. I think that mass roleclaim is dumb and will hurt the town, and I think RoL is scum trying to get us to do something dumb.

I think this plan is basically a pro-demon plan.

Others agree with me. Let's examine RoL's defense of his plan.

This plan screws the Demons the hardest since we can actively claim corrupted to force the angels to dispose of them, and since most likely townies will get corrupted this also limits our pool of potential demons/townies. Since the blues will be harder to corrupt with Purgatories running around in them. Since the Demons are focusing into the non blue pool we are also going to see the demons KNOWING who the Angels are when they fail to corrupt someone, so they will act as MORE Angel checks.


Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 00:02 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On January 08 2012 23:53 Bluelightz wrote:

So I claim townie



On December 28 2011 15:39 Zona wrote:


Angelic Acolyte (x1)

You are still in training to be angelic warrior, so you take great care in everything you do. But should the need arise, you are ready to do what you must. Every night, you may target a player to stalk. When you do so, choose one of: demon, corrupted town, or town with dark powers. If your target matches your choice, that player will be killed. If the Angel of Death has been eliminated, you may (instead of stalking,) target a player to slay. That player will be killed. You win with the angels. You may communicate outside of the thread with your angelic teammates, who are:


He can't choose "townie". All town claims are safe until they claim corrupted.


Bluelightz makes a dumb objection and gets shot down.

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 00:04 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
I didn't have time and you are misreading. I said if Erandorr flips scum then the shipjumpers should be suspect. The principle is still true. Without a DT check the chance of a vote switch hitting a townie without something significant happening is so incredibly low because mafia wouldn't let you so easily switch from a townie to a mafia. I don't know what else there is to explain. Erandorr was the initial, Risk,nuke was the switch. The switch is less likely to be scum than the original.


For all the time spent "reading the thread" and "catching up" RoL doesn't seem to have, um, read the thread. It's great that he accuses someone of misreading while misreading ;_;

It's known I haven't read the whole thread and am not caught up on the lynch. I explained this with my vote and with my other posts. I KNEW Erandorr was getting votes when I left and fail casted my vote, and when I came back 6-8 hours later Risk.nuke was on the table.


Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 03:29 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Most of the posts I read don't fully understand the game set up when attacking the plan. Secondly, from what I can tell at the time risk.nuke looked like the switch, not the initial. That could be my fault though. Either way in a two faction game assuming the initial is scum then the switch would be supported by one and neutral by the other still giving a switch a higher risk of being town. I explained how a switch tell was weaker in two faction vs one but still valid. I can't type much more because I'm on my shitty cell phone and my breaks almost over but read the rules and under how the acolyte works. He CAN'T kill townies, just townie with power, corrupt townie, or demon. Therefore KNOWN blues are a high priority target since they are a confirmed voting power which is the only threat to angels since they can't die through night actions.


Some people being dumb about the acolyte. Which posts are he talking about? certainly not this one:

+ Show Spoiler +
On January 09 2012 00:37 Tyrran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 23:40 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Alright so I said I had a plan and I aim to flesh it out. I will like to section this into three areas, Intro, Mechanics, and Discussion. I feel that is the most direct and simplest way in which to understand this plan. All criticisms are welcome, but I am sure I have thought of most concerns and justified them somehow.


Mechanics


This is the part that takes more to understand and was a lot more effort to think around (hopefully) all the possibilities. One of the biggest is obviously the Angelic Acolyte who gets an extra KP if he correctly guesses townie with dark powers, corrupted townie, or Demon when performing his stalk action. This only really affects a minority of townies, namely our blues and those minority who become corrupted. I think we can counter this by using banish amongst the claimed blues as a form of protection, and at the same time the Demon's will be given incentive to also use their transport as a form of protection and a dual threat. Firstly, it increases the chance of blocking an Angel KP which the Demons want to do, secondly it takes a blue power out of action for the night. This is fine because it still maintains our voting power in the day time. This causes there to only be a 50% success rate of the angels target into the blue circle. At the same time if the demons wish to corrupt a blue and jack their vote, they have a 66% chance of not hitting a jailor block.

At the same time regular townies can be corrupted and they should claim. The longer the game draws out for the angels the more they NEED to kill corrupted townies/demons before the lynch against them is completely controlled. We can further increase this problem by having several people claim corrupt every day so the Angels can't be sure if they are going to use their extra KP effectively. The more dire the corrupted situation becomes the less they can focus on blues, and that gives us more confirmed townies with less players alive, further shrinking the town player pool narrowing down the angel/demons in the townie section of the group.



What makes you think that angels will want to target the blues ? They are pretty much immune to blues, appart from the seer which will be desintegrated by the Angel of Death if he ever claim ( or i guess you could banish him, but then he would be pretty useless). So angel will just randomly shoot into townies, who knows, they migth even get a lucky shot on a demon, they migth also kill townies with dark power if they are not banished.

Secondly you suppose that Demons are going to want to use their banish defensively. If they want to do this, then Demons will just banish the Demon Hunter ( which will NEVER EVER be targeted by angels, because he basically works for them). If they have corrupted someone, they can also banish the sage, and just enjoy they extra vote ! They are not going to banish someone in order to 'protect' him.

Your plan gives HUGE information to both scum faction, and town actually gains very little from it. I dont like it. I think it favors Demons way too much ( because they can protect themself way more easely using their power knowing who the blues are), it also helps angels a bit ( they can kill the seer, they do not risk killing the demon hunter by mistake). But town is definitively the big loser in your plan.




Now tyrran, he is not my boy, and he's played like dick this game, but the man has a point. Whether he's an Angel or Demon that doesn't like this plan, or a town player who's figured out that it's like totes anti-town, he laid out legitimate arguments and RoL just ignored them. These aren't misunderstandings of the acolyte's powers-- this is legitimate criticism.

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 03:30 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Also, no one except scum has an incentive to fake claim blue so whoever said that is an idiot. Any lie is inherently antitown and should be treated as such. No blue would hide in greens because that would be antitown and stupid.

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 03:32 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Oh and blues DON'T claim role unless there are 5 of them. And the mafia can only feasibly claim two of them, the seer and the sage or w/e the two that check alignment which would still 50/50 our demon hunter.

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 06:41 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On January 09 2012 05:29 Spaackle wrote:
@RofL While I agree that we need a plan for day 2, yours is not the one I would go with. Mass claiming like that will only paint a target on our blues for the scumteams. We'll lose our blue powers so fast that we'll get almost no use out of them, and where will we be then?

This game isn't about blues, its about killing scum. Our blues can help with that, but any plan around them is stupid. I view them as confirmable voting power in this game which is MUCH more important than anything else. This game is about scumhunting, or blues are actually relatively weak. We have a jailer, two detectives that can only detect half the scum, so if they see someone scummy they may be right and not even get an answer, and a vigilante who can't kill half the scum but can shoot everyday. The vig is good, but rest of the power roles are relatively weak. The stronger element is their threat as a voting entity.


So a couple clarifications here, but basically RoL is willing to give up the Blue roles in return for some confirmed voting power.

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 07:20 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On January 09 2012 00:37 Tyrran wrote:
On January 08 2012 23:40 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Alright so I said I had a plan and I aim to flesh it out. I will like to section this into three areas, Intro, Mechanics, and Discussion. I feel that is the most direct and simplest way in which to understand this plan. All criticisms are welcome, but I am sure I have thought of most concerns and justified them somehow.


Mechanics


This is the part that takes more to understand and was a lot more effort to think around (hopefully) all the possibilities. One of the biggest is obviously the Angelic Acolyte who gets an extra KP if he correctly guesses townie with dark powers, corrupted townie, or Demon when performing his stalk action. This only really affects a minority of townies, namely our blues and those minority who become corrupted. I think we can counter this by using banish amongst the claimed blues as a form of protection, and at the same time the Demon's will be given incentive to also use their transport as a form of protection and a dual threat. Firstly, it increases the chance of blocking an Angel KP which the Demons want to do, secondly it takes a blue power out of action for the night. This is fine because it still maintains our voting power in the day time. This causes there to only be a 50% success rate of the angels target into the blue circle. At the same time if the demons wish to corrupt a blue and jack their vote, they have a 66% chance of not hitting a jailor block.

At the same time regular townies can be corrupted and they should claim. The longer the game draws out for the angels the more they NEED to kill corrupted townies/demons before the lynch against them is completely controlled. We can further increase this problem by having several people claim corrupt every day so the Angels can't be sure if they are going to use their extra KP effectively. The more dire the corrupted situation becomes the less they can focus on blues, and that gives us more confirmed townies with less players alive, further shrinking the town player pool narrowing down the angel/demons in the townie section of the group.



What makes you think that angels will want to target the blues ? They are pretty much immune to blues, appart from the seer which will be desintegrated by the Angel of Death if he ever claim ( or i guess you could banish him, but then he would be pretty useless). So angel will just randomly shoot into townies, who knows, they migth even get a lucky shot on a demon, they migth also kill townies with dark power if they are not banished.

Secondly you suppose that Demons are going to want to use their banish defensively. If they want to do this, then Demons will just banish the Demon Hunter ( which will NEVER EVER be targeted by angels, because he basically works for them). If they have corrupted someone, they can also banish the sage, and just enjoy they extra vote ! They are not going to banish someone in order to 'protect' him.

Your plan gives HUGE information to both scum faction, and town actually gains very little from it. I dont like it. I think it favors Demons way too much ( because they can protect themself way more easely using their power knowing who the blues are), it also helps angels a bit ( they can kill the seer, they do not risk killing the demon hunter by mistake). But town is definitively the big loser in your plan.




Once again, issues arise from illiteracy. As I said earlier, the blue roles NEVER claim their role, just their color. This prevents effective use of banishment/Transport and turns it into just a guessing game. The angels need to kill a confirmed voting black because they can't let four confirmed fucking townies sit around all game and hope for the best.

Point two, demons won't know who the demon hunter is to properly banish him on top of which as stated earlier, he acts as a permanent town aligned voting block. The goal of the demons is to eventually control the vote, and that's how they win. They have no KP. The angels need to prevent a solid voting block from forming. I don't know what about this comes off as that complex.

The scum teams get huge information regardless. They KNOW who they kill, this way we also know who they kill. This comes back to the annihilate mechanic. We open ourselves up to fakeclaims by not mass claiming before fake claims are possible. I don't think you get how a no flip mechanic works in this game, or in any game. When the mafia knows the information and we don't, we are at a disadvantage. When the Mafia can't fake claim, the town is at an advantage. When we confirm players as absolutely innocent, guess what? We win again. After today the mafia can safely fake claim and nothing is confirmable, my plan preempts this issue.


The idea that fake claim is the problem here is, well, a problem. Blues just shouldn't claim ._.

He makes some good points as to why this is bad for angels, but it continues to look like this plan just helps demon.


Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 07:35 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On January 09 2012 00:43 layabout wrote:
RoL's plan:
How do the angels react to the colour claim?
They probably target blues as they wish to kill town blues
They could hide amongst the blues for protection or the sea of greens for anonymity

No, any more than 4 blue claims we have everyone claim and kill the contradictions.

And if the scum decide to jetisson one likely-to-be-killed scum player? ._.


Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 07:35 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:

therefore how do demons react to this plan?
they claim green to reduce the chance of being killed by angels
they take a massive risk and claim blue increasing their chances of being killed

No mafia has the opportunity to claim a blue role without instantly getting caught and killed. There is a counter claim, we will figure it out, and the scum faction loses a player and all we lose is 1 confirmed townie and a voting block in the worst case scenario for us, but regardless they lose the mafia.

We also lose the anonymity withing the blues that your plan relies on to be safe.

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 07:35 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:

Why would the demons want to protect non-demon claiming blue?
after all they need to kill two blues as part of their win condition.

A voting block threatens angels more than blues. But more importantly it doesn't matter. Its a double edged sword, they are shutting down blue powers which threaten them while also inadvertently protecting them which preserves there voting power.

The issue here is that this helps the demons find the blue that threatens them, the demon hunter, while upping the ante on the angels. It's a good for demons, bad for angels sort of thing.


Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 07:35 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:

Why would the demons wish to corrupt a blue when then need to kill 2/4 town blue and when town blues are getting banished and demons only get corrupt every other night?

Because their goal is to control voting power, and controlling voting power that the town and the angels will hesitate to kill is beneficial to them.

._. or they could just corrupt towns and be substantially better off.

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 07:35 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:

I think it is very likely that some people will not like this plan and that some town aligned people will fake-claim if it goes ahead, wouldn't this ruin the whole plan?

Feasibly yes, but as soon as you guys realize its beneficial and the blues claim then every town aligned player should understand how detrimental lying is and therefore not do it.

this is a fair point. town aligned players should not lie.


Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 07:35 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:

If no vanilla town fake-claim then then angels will be killing a demon or blue every night, the only way to stop this is with the channeller. If the channeller dies and the demons do not protect blues town could lose all blues town could lose 4 blues in two nights, whilst that is an extreme scenario the plan is over reliant on the channeller +demon help AND we might not even know if the channeller is killed.

It's called analysis. We have a smaller pool (-4 confirmed townies from suspects) to choose from and we can figure out the rest with skilled analysis. In the worst case scenario, it is possible that we could lose all the blues in two nights, but that still gives us AT LEAST one day of confirmed townies. If even one hit fails due to purgatory they are fucked. The angels have to maintain a status quo among Corrupted townies and eliminate demons, a blue circle should be a second priority for them. by day 3 in your perfect 4/4 blue dead scenario the demons have +3 corrupted townies and effectively control the lynch winning the game. If the Angels intend on winning they can't let that happen.

we should be able to analyze without using this dumb roleclaim strat.


Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 07:35 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:

Doesn't this plan give scum more information than it gives to town because they will know some of the fakers for certain?

They know if someone is faking if they are faking it, and they will lose that player instantly or after taking one blue, either way a fair exchange.

Remember that this point RoL doesn't know Palmar is gonna get shot and flip scum, even though Palmar is likely D2 lynch-- he would have been a fine sacrifice for the demon/angel team, since he's dead anyways, to force claims.


Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 07:35 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:

the more honest town is the better off the angels are.
the less honest town is the less information town has but the better off they are in terms of living blues.
it potentially put angels in a good position and demons in a manageable decision whilst it could put town in an okay-really bad position
...
bad plan
perhaps it can be adjusted but i think that currently it would do far more harm than good.

You're wrong.
._.




Lastly, as the tide turns against him:

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 08:31 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
I am heading out for the night.

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 08:59 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On January 09 2012 08:41 syllogism wrote:
We aren't mass claiming and regardless of how good you think your plan is, you shouldn't try to get people to claim individually as that's just awful.

It starts with one person, but if no one takes that step then it doesn't matter. No one bother claiming now there isn't enough time and we can't guarantee all the blues are active now.

Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 09:48 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On January 09 2012 09:06 Zephirdd wrote:
RoL, there is a main problem with your strategy in that it is highly dependent on an excellent town that can scumhunt effectively and identify scum easily with the claims.

The problem is when nobody fake claims blue. We essentially go back to beginning, except our blues are exposed. You are relying in a unreliable resource - Town - by making a bet where you kill/expose a reliable resource - our Power Roles. Right now, scum PRs have a ~1/17 chance of hitting their wanted target, where when you make our blues expose themselves, it falls down to 1/4.

No, your plan is crazy as fuck. No matter what, this just looks like a scum plan, even given the setup.

With townies like you, who needs mafia.


Zeph knows what's up. RoL doesn't actually leave, then proceeds to bail afterwards, saying nothing and disappearing into the mist whence he came.

RoL has made no contributions and pushed a pro-scum plan. He even got a couple of morons to claim vt ._.

He's lurking, and was hustling us pretty hard D1.

I think he's a great D2 lynch. He's never been helpful and he has actively tried to hurt us.

##Vote: RebirthOfLeGenD

You wrote way too much and I can't be more than 20 minutes late to work, I can respond to the rest later.
Be a man, Become a Legend. TL Mafia Forum Ask for access!!
Dirkzor
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Denmark1944 Posts
January 10 2012 17:22 GMT
#1227
FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK

I had a really long post about RoL, Tyrran and Risk, then i closed the tab it was in on mistake =/. I don't want to write it again now.

The short version. RoL is a bad lynch, Risk is a good lynch, Tyrran is the best lynch.

I'm going to eat now and then i'll try to rewrite it.

@Lay want me to answer your antitown behaviour case? Just seems like we moved on to someelse and an answer to that would disrupt this discussion. I will if you, or others, want me to.
"HOW THE FUCK ARE YOU ON TOP AGAIN???? HOW DO YOU KEEP DOING THIS????" -Julmust (also, thats what she said)
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 10 2012 17:43 GMT
#1228
On January 10 2012 08:55 Mr. Wiggles wrote:
Wow, Blazinghand, you beat me to it. (Also sorry for not being around, University just started back up)

I was basically going to post something like:
Show nested quote +
RoL:
  • Makes excuses for inactivity all of day 1, promising to contribute, but never doing it.
  • Shows up at the end of the day to cast his vote, when the lynch is already decided
  • Is active during the night, pushing a plan that is arguably anti-town
  • Disappears again once day starts, and has yet to contribute a single read to the game
##Vote: RebirthOfLeGenD


Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 08:29 layabout wrote:
Essentially, If he believes his plan is good for town then regardless of whether it is good or bad it is not scummy to suggest the plan.
If he believes his plan is bad for town, then it follows that it is scummy.

This is a very weak criticism, as RoL will always say that he thought his plan was good for town, especially if he is scum. What you're saying only holds under the assumption he is town, and we can all know he is town, which we obviously don't. Pushing a bad plan doesn't automatically make you scum, but you have to look at the plan, the player, and how they're pushing it. There's also the difference between a bad plan, and an anti-town plan. A bad plan just won't work, an anti-town plan will hurt the town.

I like the way you criticise a simplification of my point and then say my point in another form.
I never said we ask him, so that is not a valid criticism of my criticism.

If we want to analyse the plan we need to do the following:
We need to look a the player and look at what he is saying.
We need to make a judgements on:
  • What does the player suggesting the plan think the consequences of suggesting or following the plan will be
  • How they want us to perceive their plan
  • How they tell us it will work in practice
  • How we think it will work in practice+ Show Spoiler +

    -is it good/bad?
    -is it pro/anti town?
    -we do this by asking questions and exploring possibilities "what will happen if..." "or what if..."
    -we also do this by looking at consequences etc..

  • how do they defend the plan?
  • do they often suggest plans?
  • how does this look compared to their other plans?


we can also look at possible motivations for suggesting the plan, and how these might change with different alignments etc...

We have to look at a lot of different things in order to decide upon whether his plan makes him more likely to be scum.
jumping from
Is active during the night, pushing a plan that is arguably anti-town
to
##Vote: RebirthOfLeGenD

is logically unsound.
What is more important is whether RoL beleived it was anti-town when he suggested it (if he didn't then it is null). If you think he did believe it was anti-town we then have to look at his actions more closely to find evidence to support that ideas and ways in which RoL tries to push an anti-town plan.


The judgements that i have made about his plan (i haven't shared them) have lead me to the conclusion that is is not scummy.

+i might post about risk later or tomorrow if i feel like it
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 10 2012 17:45 GMT
#1229
On January 11 2012 02:22 Dirkzor wrote:
FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK

I had a really long post about RoL, Tyrran and Risk, then i closed the tab it was in on mistake =/. I don't want to write it again now.

The short version. RoL is a bad lynch, Risk is a good lynch, Tyrran is the best lynch.

I'm going to eat now and then i'll try to rewrite it.

@Lay want me to answer your antitown behaviour case? Just seems like we moved on to someelse and an answer to that would disrupt this discussion. I will if you, or others, want me to.

No i only pointed it out because you asked.
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
Zona
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
40426 Posts
January 10 2012 18:00 GMT
#1230
RebirthOfLeGenD is warned for 36 hours of inactivity. Further inactivity may warrant replacement.
+ Show Spoiler +
You also have 2 other 24 hour inactive periods.
1 day, 7:25:00 between posts at game start and 2012-01-05 22:25:00
1 day, 8:24:00 between posts at 2012-01-06 15:34:00 and 2012-01-07 23:58:00
1 day, 15:36:00 between posts at 2012-01-09 09:48:00 and 2012-01-11 01:24:00
"If you try responding to those absurd posts every day, you become more damaged. So I pay no attention to them at all." Jung Myung Hoon (aka Fantasy), as translated by Kimoleon
Dirkzor
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Denmark1944 Posts
January 10 2012 18:02 GMT
#1231
I figured that lay... And thanks.

On to write the post that disappeared... =/
"HOW THE FUCK ARE YOU ON TOP AGAIN???? HOW DO YOU KEEP DOING THIS????" -Julmust (also, thats what she said)
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 10 2012 18:23 GMT
#1232
On January 10 2012 19:48 Blazinghand wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 19:45 Refallen wrote:
And the alignment of the people on the wagon plays no part in how likely someone is about to point out scum mirite?

Also, if you're still on that hidden vote thing, I derped, I said it, I stopped doing it.



You don't know the alignment of the people on the wagon either; but here's the thing-- if RoL is scum, I don't give a dick about who agrees with me or not. Maybe he's the 2nd demon and angels are trying to wipe the demons quick. Maybe he's an angel and the two demons are trying to get back into the game.

Or maybe all that matters is my analysis is spot-on, he's definitely scum, and he still hasn't come here to defend himself.

If you have a problem with my analysis, say it. If not, get out of my way.

"It"
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
Barbiero
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Brazil5259 Posts
January 10 2012 18:24 GMT
#1233
Alright, I'm back. Time for logic.

Can we agree that risk.nuke cannot be Demon? Palmar was this close to hammer him down before the voteswitch. Granted, I wasn't online at the time so I don't know exactly how the thread worked there.

Risk suggested to Seer him in order to verify if he is an Angel or not. However, just like RoL's plan, this is something that could possibly expose the Seer, who could end up pushing for his lynch but if he isn't very careful, Angels find the one town that they fear the most. And you know what is the problem with all this? This is retarded. While it is possible, it's a plan worse than the RoL's mass claim plan for town.

Syllogism, sir Lynch leader, please explain this situation. Anyone else is also invited to do so.
♥ The world needs more hearts! ♥
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
January 10 2012 18:29 GMT
#1234
Explain what? That's what every single scum says once they run out of options. There is no downside to saying that. You escape the lynch for another day and possibly out the DT.
Dirkzor
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Denmark1944 Posts
January 10 2012 18:38 GMT
#1235
I think RoL is a stupid lynch. I think it was syllo who wrote that you have to consider why a person suggest a plan. I honestly believe that RoL think it is a good plan and that is why he is fighting for it so much. The plan is well thought out and well delivered. RoL seems to think the blues are dispossable for 4 confirmed townies leaving us with a 5/13 scum scenario instead of 5/17. I disagree and would rather go 5/17 with blue support.
I agree that he was inactive the first day serving us excuses, but thats about all he have done wrong if you disregard his plan and defence thereof.
I (still) think risk is a good lynch. I wanted him dead yesterday and i want him dead now. His defensive spirit does seems to have kicked in here on day 2 which puts him in good light, but the fact that during day 1 he basicly gave up makes it look like an act. He does have a point that no one have made a case against him since layabout's day1 (correct me if i have missed something)
Tyrran is the one I want to lynch most at the moment. I think he is on palmars team due to this:
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 04 2012 23:32 Tyrran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2011 22:23 Palmar wrote:
yo

##Signup

If I get the angel with a wraithcannon, I'll make syllo disappear n1. that's a promise.



Show nested quote +
On January 04 2012 21:07 syllogism wrote:
We should probably lynch palmar today, he appears to be some sort of scum and hating his life right now


I dunno what's going on between these two, but we should just ignore this for now.
On January 06 2012 19:04 Tyrran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 11:14 Refallen wrote:
I'm thinking Jackal is town this game. At least, he appears to be taking a different route than on TLXLVIII when he was scum. Plus I don't think any scum would risk trying to outright lynch Palmar without a really detailed case.


I disagree with you here. From the few games I've read Palmar seems to be a efficient scum hunter.Bussing Palmar is therefore an good scum strat. Almost EVERY SINGLE one of Jackal post were attacking palmar. And he NEVER had more than 1 line of justification. He did not even refer to MrWiggles case. That is scummy play for me.

Also note that as there is 2 scum faction, they can perfectly both be scum, one angel and one demon. I'll be looking at both of them today. Palmar need to step up his game, and Jackal needs to start become useful.


He is defending palmar when there is no real reason to defend him. The first post compares a post pre-game to a post made in-game. In both posts he defends Palmar without really appearing to defend him.

He later changes his opinion on palmar. and in the same post call jackal scum and votes for erandorr. Combine this with palmars change of opinion on Wiggles a few hours earlier it appears suspicious. I don't think its unlikely that demonteam realized that palmar will get lynched/killed at some point soon. Palmar gives up lynching wiggles (no support at that time) and his teammates start bussing him.

In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran.

So reffallen, can you please explain why you thought it is not optimal for angels to kill demons ? I dont see much drawback for them doing this. Also it's your turn to step and and post. Who do you think is most scum rigth now ?
You seems to hold a grudge against him because he called you fishy early day 1. Why do you focus so much on him, and not on Blazinghand who actually voted against you ?

On the other hand, i would also like to see you post more Cwave. You seems to have an excel file where you write your read on us. Tell me, who do you think we should lynch today, why ?
Cwave, you are someone who seems towns, but in reality you did not help much at all until now. While you migth be a timid town, I also think it is likely you are scum player. Please answer this : Is there anyone you really think is scum ? Someone you would be fine pushing for lynch ? Who ? Why ? You seem to spend a lot of time analysing people. Please prove us that you are town by trying to get scummy people lynched.
"HOW THE FUCK ARE YOU ON TOP AGAIN???? HOW DO YOU KEEP DOING THIS????" -Julmust (also, thats what she said)
Barbiero
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Brazil5259 Posts
January 10 2012 18:39 GMT
#1236
Fair enough. I just think it is very poor play from a scum player to do that, but I guess he ran out of options.

Gogo mass voteswitch to risk.nuke and end the day, or is there anything else people want to discuss?
♥ The world needs more hearts! ♥
Dirkzor
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Denmark1944 Posts
January 10 2012 18:51 GMT
#1237
Why end the day? No reason not to use the next 24 hours to discuss.
"HOW THE FUCK ARE YOU ON TOP AGAIN???? HOW DO YOU KEEP DOING THIS????" -Julmust (also, thats what she said)
Barbiero
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Brazil5259 Posts
January 10 2012 19:01 GMT
#1238
Well, that's the whole point of my last sentence.

I'm just ultra curious about risk's flip right now.
♥ The world needs more hearts! ♥
Dirkzor
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Denmark1944 Posts
January 10 2012 19:03 GMT
#1239
We can discuss other things then the actual lynch target. RoL's allignment seems in question at the moment.
"HOW THE FUCK ARE YOU ON TOP AGAIN???? HOW DO YOU KEEP DOING THIS????" -Julmust (also, thats what she said)
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25551 Posts
January 10 2012 19:08 GMT
#1240
On January 11 2012 04:03 Dirkzor wrote:
We can discuss other things then the actual lynch target. RoL's allignment seems in question at the moment.


There's no question he's obvious scum
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
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