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Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25552 Posts
January 10 2012 06:21 GMT
#1141
Busy =/= becoming terrible and making a craptacular plan. So you're saying that RoL is busy atm due to Responsibility Mafia so we should wait?
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
January 10 2012 06:23 GMT
#1142
No, I'm saying he is busy due to being busy (work/real life) and as we can only lynch one per day, we prioritize the better lynches. Townies suggest bad plans all the time and defend them to death.
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25552 Posts
January 10 2012 06:26 GMT
#1143
On January 10 2012 15:23 syllogism wrote:
No, I'm saying he is busy due to being busy (work/real life) and as we can only lynch one per day, we prioritize the better lynches. Townies suggest bad plans all the time and defend them to death.

So being inactive for a week and suggesting a shitty plan that would cause scum to win, isn't, erm, scummy?
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Refallen
Profile Joined August 2010
452 Posts
January 10 2012 06:28 GMT
#1144
I'm saying you should take into consideration the wagon, and not only the case, like you said.

And you're missing syllo's point, risk is MORE LIKELY to flip scum than RoL, and thus, he is a BETTER lynch. If we had 5 lynches per day we could lynch anyone who looks suspicious, but with only one, we have to choose the one that has the highest probability of making a scum flip.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
January 10 2012 06:30 GMT
#1145
See this is why people call you WBG's smurf. You are like a wall. I've repeatedly said that him being worthless is suspicious but that doesn't mean that he is a better lynch than the other two. Who do you think is more likely to suggest and defend a plan that is clearly going to be controversial? Town or Scum?
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25552 Posts
January 10 2012 06:32 GMT
#1146
On January 10 2012 15:30 syllogism wrote:
See this is why people call you WBG's smurf. You are like a wall. I've repeatedly said that him being worthless is suspicious but that doesn't mean that he is a better lynch than the other two. Who do you think is more likely to suggest and defend a plan that is clearly going to be controversial? Town or Scum?


I may be like a wall, but I am like a wall of manliness, handsome looks, good hygiene, and sharp, biting wit.

It's not that his plan is worthless, it's that it has anti-worth. He should know that. You should know that.

Who do you think is more likely to suggest a plan that would literally sink town? Town or Scum?
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25552 Posts
January 10 2012 06:33 GMT
#1147
On January 10 2012 15:28 Refallen wrote:
I'm saying you should take into consideration the wagon, and not only the case, like you said.

And you're missing syllo's point, risk is MORE LIKELY to flip scum than RoL, and thus, he is a BETTER lynch. If we had 5 lynches per day we could lynch anyone who looks suspicious, but with only one, we have to choose the one that has the highest probability of making a scum flip.


I think you're missing my point which is that RoL is like 100% scum, so he is better lynch.
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Refallen
Profile Joined August 2010
452 Posts
January 10 2012 06:34 GMT
#1148
Just like how Erandorr was the better lynch in day 1?

k.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
January 10 2012 06:37 GMT
#1149
It depends on how the person who suggests the plan thinks it is going to be received. I doubt RoL thought a mass claim on day 1 plan was going to be well received. Scum do not want to suggest a plan that instantly makes them the center of unwanted attention. Further, I don't think it's quite that obvious that the plan is bad and I think he thought quite a bit about it, which suggests to me that he really does think it's a good idea. Regardless, as I can't reliably determine if he really believes the plan is good or not, I'm treating it as null. His activity and lack of scum hunting is not null, but again I'm not lynching him over risk/tyrran.
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25552 Posts
January 10 2012 06:37 GMT
#1150
On January 10 2012 15:34 Refallen wrote:
Just like how Erandorr was the better lynch in day 1?

k.


??? Erandorr was a great lynch day 1. Yes, he flipped town, but in the same situation I'd do what I did again and I'd do it proudly.
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25552 Posts
January 10 2012 06:38 GMT
#1151
On January 10 2012 15:37 syllogism wrote:
It depends on how the person who suggests the plan thinks it is going to be received. I doubt RoL thought a mass claim on day 1 plan was going to be well received. Scum do not want to suggest a plan that instantly makes them the center of unwanted attention. Further, I don't think it's quite that obvious that the plan is bad and I think he thought quite a bit about it, which suggests to me that he really does think it's a good idea. Regardless, as I can't reliably determine if he really believes the plan is good or not, I'm treating it as null. His activity and lack of scum hunting is not null, but again I'm not lynching him over risk/tyrran.


"his play was so scummy he couldn't possibly be scum"

and Syllo if I have to push this through without you I will
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
HarbingerOfDoom
Profile Joined December 2010
United States508 Posts
January 10 2012 06:39 GMT
#1152
While I still agree RoL is far from being the towniest of players, I'm having trouble seeing how he suggests that plan as scum. The only reason for scum to suggest a knowingly anti-town plan is if they also think they will be able to get town to follow through with it. Given the overwhelming negative response to the plan, I think it was quite clear to most people that a town would never follow through with that plan. Also, this is the guy that suggested we lynch 7 people in one day in steamship when there was an explicit warning about dangers in store for a town that lynches too many people in one day (for those not aware, we could vote for and lynch as many as we wanted to in one day in that game), so I am not sold on him being too bright to suggest this plan as town.

I'm not sure if anyone else picked up on it, but despite all of the legitimate concerns voiced against the plan during the night, Tyrran had this to say earlier today:
With no ???? flip, RoL plan could still be put into motion. What do you think about it?


I would obviously prefer to lynch Tyrran over Risk today, but I don't like how Risk has fallen off the face of the earth now that there has been less suspicion on him/pushing for his lynch. He hasn't gotten himself into any real shouting matches yet either, which is unlike him. Also the fact that Syllo is still suspicious of him is of interest of me, because Syllo is often right, and the later into the game it goes, the more likely it is that he is correct.

@Syllo
Is there anything in particular that makes you think Risk is a better lynch than Tyrran?
HarbingerOfDoom
Profile Joined December 2010
United States508 Posts
January 10 2012 06:40 GMT
#1153
Somewhat ninja'ed by Syllo regarding my point on RoL's plan. -_- You people post too fast.
syllogism
Profile Joined September 2010
Finland5948 Posts
January 10 2012 06:44 GMT
#1154
HoD: I'll have to think about it more, but purely based on informational purposes risk is much better given the activity surrounding him on day 1
HarbingerOfDoom
Profile Joined December 2010
United States508 Posts
January 10 2012 06:55 GMT
#1155
On January 10 2012 15:38 Blazinghand wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 15:37 syllogism wrote:
It depends on how the person who suggests the plan thinks it is going to be received. I doubt RoL thought a mass claim on day 1 plan was going to be well received. Scum do not want to suggest a plan that instantly makes them the center of unwanted attention. Further, I don't think it's quite that obvious that the plan is bad and I think he thought quite a bit about it, which suggests to me that he really does think it's a good idea. Regardless, as I can't reliably determine if he really believes the plan is good or not, I'm treating it as null. His activity and lack of scum hunting is not null, but again I'm not lynching him over risk/tyrran.


"his play was so scummy he couldn't possibly be scum"

and Syllo if I have to push this through without you I will

It is not so scummy he couldn't be scum...it is the disregard for the personal consequences, which is often a townie trait. When you aren't guilty, you don't usually think too much about whether or not what you do will draw suspicion.
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25552 Posts
January 10 2012 08:10 GMT
#1156
On January 10 2012 15:55 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 15:38 Blazinghand wrote:
On January 10 2012 15:37 syllogism wrote:
It depends on how the person who suggests the plan thinks it is going to be received. I doubt RoL thought a mass claim on day 1 plan was going to be well received. Scum do not want to suggest a plan that instantly makes them the center of unwanted attention. Further, I don't think it's quite that obvious that the plan is bad and I think he thought quite a bit about it, which suggests to me that he really does think it's a good idea. Regardless, as I can't reliably determine if he really believes the plan is good or not, I'm treating it as null. His activity and lack of scum hunting is not null, but again I'm not lynching him over risk/tyrran.


"his play was so scummy he couldn't possibly be scum"

and Syllo if I have to push this through without you I will

It is not so scummy he couldn't be scum...it is the disregard for the personal consequences, which is often a townie trait. When you aren't guilty, you don't usually think too much about whether or not what you do will draw suspicion.


I think he thought he could convince everyone. I think he wanted to lead this town down a dark path. Regardless, let's wait for him to formulate his defense of his so-called "plan"
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
HarbingerOfDoom
Profile Joined December 2010
United States508 Posts
January 10 2012 08:14 GMT
#1157
@Grackaroni
At the start of this game it looked like you were going to be useful and do things and say stuff. Then the day one lynch happened and you apparently decided that you had done quite enough of that 'being involved in the game' nonsense. Since then the only real post you've made is still not particularly useful or insightful:
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 10 2012 13:07 Grackaroni wrote:
I agree with you BH, RoL looks really scummy.
It's not the fact that he has been fairly inactive and "hustling" like erandorr but that he's been actively using his time to push a plan that is bad for town and defending his plan rather than scumhunting.
Since he is already coming kind of close to the lynch (would be 5/9) I'm going to refrain from voting until he comes in to defend himself.

Why the loss of interest? Are you planning on going back to being active/useful anytime soon? Do you have any other reads you might like to share?
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25552 Posts
January 10 2012 08:21 GMT
#1158
Grackaroni's thing this game seems to be blandly agreeing with me and not sticking his neck out. He's probably the acolyte or something dumb like that
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Cwave
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands313 Posts
January 10 2012 08:42 GMT
#1159
On January 10 2012 08:58 Tyrran wrote:
After Dirzkor mindless attack on Cwave ( Which was a fake ? What was going through your mind ?) I've started reading his filter more closely, and i dont quite like what I see there.

Cwave, while not particulary active, has been pushing cases left and rigth. Within his two page filter, you can find up to 8 scum accusation on 6 different people( Dirkzor , RoL, Erandorr, risk.nuke, Jackal58, MrWiggle). Now, i dont have anything against trying to find scum, but the issue is that while seeming to actively look for scum, Cwave has never actually tried to get someone lynched !

Apart for risk.nuke ( that you accused once in day one, then again in day 2), Cwave never put pressure on anyone, never asked other to investigate further on his town read. Instead, we find post like this :

Show nested quote +
On January 05 2012 23:52 Cwave wrote:
For you Palmar & Syllo, who would you pop right now if you had to?


Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 00:03 Cwave wrote:
Posted earlier that i believe that he leans to much towards the Angel/Demon question and tries to steer away from Angels being our only threath. I think that goes without saying so it's just fluff to look like contributing by him. That and the focus on when it becomes night. Got told by Palmar that means nothing but i don't agree with that!

Got any cases yourself yet Syllo which are worth sharing?


Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 20:11 Cwave wrote:
On January 06 2012 19:55 syllogism wrote:
It's quite possible that wiggles is scum, but considering you don't particularly appear to care about the game, I'm hardly sold based on your "wiggles possibly can't be this bad!" case. Do you think I'm town? Why don't you care about who I think is scum?


Why do you care what he thinks about your scumreads?
Since you haven't provided any or anything close to it, you make it hard for someone to care for something that isn't there (yet).
Just " Im gonna lynch Wiggles if he doesnt post more" and "Im gonna lynch Errandor if he doesnt post more".

However, I still do care about who you think is scum. Who do you think is scum?


Notice how he never ask : "what do you think about XXX, but instead remains as vague as possible ?" He his never saying "We should lynch XXX today". Notice the difference between this and MrWiggle pushing for Palmar, Syllo pushing for Erandorr, or even HoD pushing against me.

More recently, when he is asked who he thinks we should lynch.

Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 03:34 Cwave wrote:
On January 10 2012 03:17 layabout wrote:
i didn't feel it was worth pointing out specifically but it is probably worth noting.

@cwave what are your thoughts on the game so far?
who do you think we should be lynching?


Day1 started timidly but in the end picked up speed and because of it, we all gained a lot of (spammy)info. Mostely useless but the vote switch at the end and Palmar flipping demon the game really started now.

There is more info hidden among the players here as the Sage and Seer have either confirmed/unconfirmed Angels/Demons and the town demon hunter knows if he was succesfull or not and in what way.

As for lynching, Dirkzor for now because is either nooby/scummy and votes for me because i question him. Not set in stone as lynching someone on a bad response after a little pressure most of the time flips a townie.

Risk.nuke on my list cause of the lynch save last day in the final hour.
Very suspicious of Syllo but he has earned some close watching by everyone. in my opinion. More so due to the dance he did with palmar and the vote switch 8 min apart both to the same target after having targeted eachother.


Dirkzor is not set in stone. Maybe we should not lynch him despite him being scummy, because he migth flip town.
Risk.nuke is on his list, but not for the two reason he attacked him prior to that. Strange for someone who claims to hold an excel file with his thougths
Syllo is suspicious, but still is not a lynch target.
Notice how he did not answer the question.

Also some of his cases have very few content in them. I'm specifically thinking about his case

+ Show Spoiler [ Case against MrWiggle] +
On January 10 2012 00:00 Cwave wrote:
Looking into Palmar his filter, he and Wiggles go off on some sort of duet where they distance eachother and vote for eachother.
Then they both switch and nothing is said of it and right before Palmar flips, he lists Wiggles as town. Where as before in his filter, nowhere does it come forward that he has really changed his mind or that Wiggles has him convinced that he is town. Seeing as Palmar flipped scum, im thinking MrWiggles might be one of his demonic dancing partners.

Palmar attacks MrWiggels after Wiggles makes a "case" against him. So palmar rewards a bad read with a vote. Scummy play and turns out, Palmar was scum. His case on risk nuke just after also is basically void :



Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 19:30 Palmar wrote:
On January 06 2012 08:59 Mr. Wiggles wrote:So, I think Palmar is scum for his wishy-washiness, failure to provide any scum-reads, and for his timid posting and interactions. This is doubly condemning in the light of his normal town play, which is the complete opposite of what we see here. This is our Day 1 Lynch.


No you are, because you cannot possibly be this bad.

##Vote: Mr. Wiggles


Ok, so full on action. Then, the 8th of januari happens, last day of the first day.

Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 07:38 Palmar wrote:
Die scum
##Vote: risk.nuke


Vote happens @ 7:38 on 8th januari 2012.


Then in MrWiggles his filter he attacks palmar right up until the last "day" of day1, namely 7th of januari. 8th of januari, the day of the deadline. He stops with digging into palmar without any reasoning for it in his filter.

Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 07:30 Mr. Wiggles wrote:
##Unvote: Palmar
##Vote: risk.nuke


Vote happens on 8th of januari 2012 at 7:30.

In conclusion, these two were giving eachother nothing but hate right up until ~7:30 on the 8th of januari. Looks like a planned and organised move to move the votes of eachother after they created some distance of eachother on day1.



Here we have a typical example of someone trying to look helpful by creating a case with no content at all. he makes it look like very serious using precise quotes and stuff, but the content behind it is basically none. MrWiggle switched target because it was obvious palmar wasnt be lynched and he wanted to avoid a no-lynch. That is a pro-town move, why would you call him out on it ?

Cwave, you are someone who seems towns, but in reality you did not help much at all until now. While you migth be a timid town, I also think it is likely you are scum player. Please answer this : Is there anyone you really think is scum ? Someone you would be fine pushing for lynch ? Who ? Why ? You seem to spend a lot of time analysing people. Please prove us that you are town by trying to get scummy people lynched.


Hej Tyrran, nice of you to post and ill try and answer your scummy questions as best as i can.
I think Dirkzor is bad/town scum. His way of dealing with critisism and attack, his panicvote on me after i have a poke and general attitude all would fit nicely in a scummafia wiki. There is the off chance that it's just newbie town play cause one would assume his scumteam mates would coach him into playing better or choosing his words in a better way. So if anything, he is angel cause on demonteam, Palmar would have ripped him a new one for posting like that.
Risk.nuke for his last hour vote dodge when the case on him was quite strong. He is the better choice over Dirkzor who we can park in a corner for now.
Then there is RoL, the ultra useless one with his scumplan to declare which is not executable in a real life situation but on paper looks like something. HoD or Syllo have high AoD potential but it's better to wait another night on new data so we can draw better conclusions on the two.

In short, lynching Risk but hammering RoL is second best option. Syllo doesn't seem to agree on this, why i don't know.


As for you, your filter is close to being a blackhole as it is void of any real post.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176

Your first non-fluff post is from 6th of januari, 2 days into the game. Before that, you post mafiawiki stuff.
Then, 1 post on Refallen but no stance, nothing.
On January 04 2012 17:59 Refallen wrote:
Not to mention that while angels CAN kill demons, it hardly seems optimal for them. With 11 town and only 3 of each faction, for angels to kill off demons would just mean that town will have an easier time. I think that we can consider the scenario of angel and demon killing each other therfore, highly improbable.


I would like him to explain this statement. The more I think about it, the less sense it makes to me. Actually it looks more like he is saying "hey angels, please dont shoot demons". In practice of course killing all the demons is pretty good for the angels as they would not have to worry about them getting a lot of votes through corruption. And a blue is not more threatening than a demon for an angel.

So reffallen, can you please explain why you thought it is not optimal for angels to kill demons ? I dont see much drawback for them doing this. Also it's your turn to step and and post. Who do you think is most scum rigth now ?
[/QUOTE]

HoB attacks you, you deflect
On January 07 2012 09:12 Tyrran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24.

I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him.

On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch.

Tyrran
Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now.

His steamship filter:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176
His filter so far this game:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176

##Vote: Tyrran


If you read steamship mafia, you'll notice i wasnt really active before I had some hard fact to analyse ( ie kenpachi lynch). I'm not good at analysing Meta, because its only my second game here. Half the accusation here are made on meta. I'm looking for contradictions, votes, something i can work on. I dont like making case for the sake on making one. I'll make a case after day 1, when i'll have more info to work with.


A vote on Errandor
On January 07 2012 21:50 Tyrran wrote:

Therefore, ##Vote : Errandor


And then some more questions towards the thread and lastly, one post on me.

You.have.contributed.nothing, Mister one page filter.
I've learned so much from my mistakes. I'm thinking of making a few more.
Cwave
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands313 Posts
January 10 2012 08:53 GMT
#1160
Money -> mouth.

##Vote: RebirthOfLeGenD

(had to go 11 pages back to find his last post so i could spell his name correctly)
I've learned so much from my mistakes. I'm thinking of making a few more.
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