• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 11:16
CEST 17:16
KST 00:16
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
TL Team Map Contest #5: Presented by Monster Energy4Code S RO8 Preview: herO, Zoun, Bunny, Classic7Code S RO8 Preview: Rogue, GuMiho, Solar, Maru3BGE Stara Zagora 2025: Info & Preview27Code S RO12 Preview: GuMiho, Bunny, SHIN, ByuN3
Community News
Code S RO8 Results + RO4 Bracket (2025 Season 2)9BGE Stara Zagora 2025 - Replay Pack2Weekly Cups (June 2-8): herO doubles down1[BSL20] ProLeague: Bracket Stage & Dates9GSL Ro4 and Finals moved to Sunday June 15th13
StarCraft 2
General
TL Team Map Contest #5: Presented by Monster Energy Code S RO8 Results + RO4 Bracket (2025 Season 2) The SCII GOAT: A statistical Evaluation How herO can make history in the Code S S2 finals Jim claims he and Firefly were involved in match-fixing
Tourneys
RSL: Revival, a new crowdfunded tournament series [GSL 2025] Code S: Season 2 - Ro8 - Group A [GSL 2025] Code S: Season 2 - Ro8 - Group B SOOPer7s Showmatches 2025 Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament
Strategy
[G] Darkgrid Layout Simple Questions Simple Answers [G] PvT Cheese: 13 Gate Proxy Robo
Custom Maps
[UMS] Zillion Zerglings
External Content
Mutation # 477 Slow and Steady Mutation # 476 Charnel House Mutation # 475 Hard Target Mutation # 474 Futile Resistance
Brood War
General
BGH auto balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/ BW General Discussion Recent recommended BW games FlaSh Witnesses SCV Pull Off the Impossible vs Shu StarCraft & BroodWar Campaign Speedrun Quest
Tourneys
Small VOD Thread 2.0 [Megathread] Daily Proleagues [BSL20] ProLeague Bracket Stage - Day 4 [BSL20] ProLeague Bracket Stage - Day 3
Strategy
I am doing this better than progamers do. [G] How to get started on ladder as a new Z player
Other Games
General Games
Nintendo Switch Thread Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Path of Exile Beyond All Reason What do you want from future RTS games?
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Community Thread Vanilla Mini Mafia
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine UK Politics Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread Vape Nation Thread
Fan Clubs
Maru Fan Club Serral Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Korean Music Discussion [Manga] One Piece
Sports
2024 - 2025 Football Thread NHL Playoffs 2024 TeamLiquid Health and Fitness Initiative For 2023 Formula 1 Discussion
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
The Automated Ban List
Blogs
A Better Routine For Progame…
TrAiDoS
StarCraft improvement
iopq
Heero Yuy & the Tax…
KrillinFromwales
I was completely wrong ab…
jameswatts
Need Your Help/Advice
Glider
Trip to the Zoo
micronesia
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 27199 users

Insane Mafia 2

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
Normal
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 13 2011 04:36 GMT
#47
Banelings on SCVs
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 13 2011 05:03 GMT
#50
Ver can only lose one more game before lylo.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 15 2011 03:13 GMT
#68
/in for the main game, not the item game
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 17 2011 03:19 GMT
#108
##vote: Pandain
+ Show Spoiler +
FOR MAYOR
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 23 2011 00:40 GMT
#155
LSB gimme a sweet power pls :D
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 24 2011 01:42 GMT
#308
+ Show Spoiler +
spam
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 24 2011 03:12 GMT
#409
Hello, fellow Insanians.
I'm officially announcing my candidacy for mayor of this city.

I will not be making promises or threats.
I will not campaign for myself, nor will I attack other candidates.

I do not believe a mayoral campaign has any meaning. Rhetoric has nothing to do with the best choice for mayor.
Most of you have seen me play mafia in several games by now; make your choice based on what you've seen so far.

I'm intelligent and analytically talented.
I'm well-spoken and skilled in robustly expressing thoughts.
I'm town-sided in this game.
I'm GGQ and I'm available to be your mayor.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 24 2011 05:10 GMT
#491
On March 24 2011 14:08 kevconsim wrote:
Hello everyone!!!


hi
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 24 2011 22:11 GMT
#682
On March 25 2011 06:29 bumatlarge wrote:
GGQ - Kenpachi syndrome


You take that back!

There's nothing to post right now. I offered to be mayor, but I don't think I'm the best choice, and apparently no one else does either, so there's nothing more to say about that. I'm staying caught up with the thread, but I'm waiting for roles to come out before making my mind up about anything.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 24 2011 23:02 GMT
#715
On March 25 2011 07:59 annul wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2011 07:35 Mr. Wiggles wrote:
On March 25 2011 07:27 annul wrote:
On March 25 2011 07:26 chaoser wrote:
1. my policy is "any item game player is better than current slate of candidates." given that, of course i am going to try to get the mayorship. my policy for determining lynch? kill who i think is black.


@annul

Why only say kill who you think is black and not who you think is red or black


because black players can only die in the daytime, so in the item game, i want to take a swing at someone when i control the kill, so the town doesnt get misled and start voting to lynch people not in item game


So why not aim for reds either? It shouldn't make a difference to kill red/black if all you want to do is get people looking at the item game players. You would only worry about hitting blacks more than reds if you were expecting KP to kill the red, which could only come from a black, or vigi-shot. If you killed the black, they have no reason to really kill players in the item game, outside of if they wanted to help mafia/town. So this is either bad logic, or a mafia-slip.




are you retarded?

the ONLY WAY we win the item game is to use a DAY kill (mayor kill or normal lynch) on the black player in item game (assuming no nonstandard abilities). therefore, of course i am going to try to find the black player in item game if i am elected mayor.


Wow, racism. Your political career is over.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 26 2011 01:55 GMT
#1183
Voting bumatlarge for mayor.

Suggesting darmousseh as primary lynch target for now.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 27 2011 02:35 GMT
#1752
I fucking hate this thread, fuck you all. I just finished the 81st page of trash. I hope this gets better by page 89.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 27 2011 04:11 GMT
#1779
On March 26 2011 10:55 GGQ wrote:
Voting bumatlarge for mayor.

Suggesting darmousseh as primary lynch target for now.


Oh, hi! I know I've been pretty inactive thus far, so I'm quoting this post where I'm the first person wanting to lynch darmousseh in order to boost my credibility in this game. Quality, not quantity!

I'm suggesting Lanaia and maybe Amber[Light], after going through all of their posts, as additional blacks. Less sure about reds, but Meapak and OriginalName are on my list.

Let's get some suggestions of protects/investigates out there. Specific people, not just generalities.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 28 2011 06:17 GMT
#2262
Hey Tack

I also have a sub point here about Lemons vest. The items list we have is:
1) A Role Checker
2) An Alignment Checker
3) A bomb (potato)
4) A gun
5) A medic style item
6) A medic style item

This is insane mafia. Even though 2 of the other items are similar they are not identical. So why do we have a vest and bandages that seem to do the same things? Is that likely? Of course my item can protect others where as Lemons possibly does not need to be used. Either way I'm saying this is a tentative point to analyze.


The vest is not a medic style item, it is a veteran style item. It makes perfect sense and fits the pattern of the items.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 28 2011 06:20 GMT
#2266
Also, I was gonna point out what Chaoser or Coagulation pointed out above.

If you are town, stealing Jackal's item was retarded. The town thing to do would be to role-check someone. If you lived or died, you would be giving the town some great information. The much simpler explanation is that you are red.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 28 2011 06:25 GMT
#2271
Also, it's pretty obvious by now that jackal and coagulation never had a plan to confirm each other. They decided early that they trusted each other, then that they trusted lemonwalrus and they made their plans from there. They lied to town about confirming each other so that we'd trust them and listen to them. I know LaL is a pretty good policy, but if their lies win town the item game... well, you can't argue with results.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 28 2011 06:34 GMT
#2281
Also, re: bus driver.

Just so no one is confused about what this role does:

The bus driver picks two players. All abilities that target either of those two players during the night phase now target the other player instead. This means that, judging from the way the Day Post was written, the bus driver picked Tackster and annul. Since it seems like annul was shot twice, that means that two shots were used on Tackster, one of which came from coagulation.

I played the bus driver as town in Harry Potter Mafia (to pretty good effect, I might add :D) but the driver role is more commonly a scum role, and (given that it spreads chaos and confusion) it is much more suited to scum.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 28 2011 06:43 GMT
#2291
On March 28 2011 15:27 Tackster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 28 2011 15:20 GGQ wrote:
Also, I was gonna point out what Chaoser or Coagulation pointed out above.

If you are town, stealing Jackal's item was retarded. The town thing to do would be to role-check someone. If you lived or died, you would be giving the town some great information. The much simpler explanation is that you are red.


By your standards:

Situation 1:
I DT check and get shot. Town now has more reason to lynch Jackal (GOOD)

Situation 2:
I DT check and some1 else gets shot. I 'claim' a check on Jackal that can't be confirmed and we end up in this situation. (BAD)

Situation 3:
I steal and get the gun. We're now in the same situation as yesterday except town gets to lynch instead of leaving the kill to someone else (VERY GOOD)

Situation 4:
I steal and don't get gun. I am shot. Same situation as 1. (GOOD)

Situation 5:
I steal and don't get gun. I am not shot. We are now in this position.(BAD)


So a DT check either has 50% chance for the positive result you're looking for or 50% this situation comes up.

A steal on the other hand has a 66% chance for a positive result or 33% this situation comes up.


Your logic is poor because you assume that each situation has an equal chance of playing out under each scenario.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 28 2011 06:44 GMT
#2292
On March 28 2011 15:40 Tackster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 28 2011 15:37 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
My definition is the correct one on this forum. If A shot B but B was bussed with C then A would of actually have shot C. What you are referring to I only ever saw once in ExMiMa. I can't remember what DrH called it though.


On epic mafia it's the other way. Happy to learn!!


Errr, I'm pretty sure that how I described it is how it works on EM, too.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 28 2011 07:36 GMT
#2327
On March 28 2011 15:45 Tackster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 28 2011 15:43 GGQ wrote:
On March 28 2011 15:27 Tackster wrote:
On March 28 2011 15:20 GGQ wrote:
Also, I was gonna point out what Chaoser or Coagulation pointed out above.

If you are town, stealing Jackal's item was retarded. The town thing to do would be to role-check someone. If you lived or died, you would be giving the town some great information. The much simpler explanation is that you are red.


By your standards:

Situation 1:
I DT check and get shot. Town now has more reason to lynch Jackal (GOOD)

Situation 2:
I DT check and some1 else gets shot. I 'claim' a check on Jackal that can't be confirmed and we end up in this situation. (BAD)

Situation 3:
I steal and get the gun. We're now in the same situation as yesterday except town gets to lynch instead of leaving the kill to someone else (VERY GOOD)

Situation 4:
I steal and don't get gun. I am shot. Same situation as 1. (GOOD)

Situation 5:
I steal and don't get gun. I am not shot. We are now in this position.(BAD)


So a DT check either has 50% chance for the positive result you're looking for or 50% this situation comes up.

A steal on the other hand has a 66% chance for a positive result or 33% this situation comes up.


Your logic is poor because you assume that each situation has an equal chance of playing out under each scenario.


LOL actually I stated by your standards. I was being pessimistic. By my standards the chances are much higher...

You realise you're implying the situation YOU suggested would be worse for town right?

Lastly my stats would be poor not my logic and unlike the other players in this thread that can't confirm their abilities I can confirm when I state I am good at stats. Theoretical Physics is not an easy degree to get!


Perhaps not, but it has little to do with stats. For the rest of this post, I feel like you are mixed up in both your semantics and logic, but I'm just going to leave all that alone and try to be more clear.

What I meant is that you are just looking at some percentages without taking the context of the game into account. Let's assume you are a green. You know that all the other townies in the IG want you dead. You know that most of the town has you pegged as scum and wants you dead. Given that your death would NOT result in town losing the item game (there's not enough KP floating around for that), there's no reason for you to try to stay alive. As long as you are around, covered in scum and drawing votes your way, you'll just distract town from finding the real scum tomorrow. If someone is going to shoot you, then you thank them and look forward to seeing jackal hang the next day.

Furthermore, on the chance that you might survive (hey, you never know; it's insane mafia! look at what you are claiming now... you are a green and someone out there somewhere decided to save your ass) you would use your DT check item because you know how valuable a DT check is for town. Even if it's not from a trusted source (you)... you know you are going to die soon (most likely to a lynch the next day) so then town will know your check was true. In that situation, any town with killing power would very much like to know whether or not jackal is scum going into night 2. Instead you have simply shrugged off a DT check from you, saying that it wouldnt be trusted (guilty conscience?).

Finally, on to why your logic was just bad. Take a look back at all those "situations" you listed. Compare your 'bad' situation (5) to your 'very good' one (3). The only difference between these two situations is that you have the gun in the 'very good' one. Seriously. Not only is that bad logic, it's also a possible scumslip in wanting the gun for yourself.

TL;DR stealing instead of inspecting was very anti-town
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 28 2011 23:15 GMT
#2598
On March 29 2011 06:50 tnkted wrote:
I'm ok with sacrificing myself in exchange for somebody in the item game living... We just have to make sure that I'm not roleblocked.

I asked LSB and apparently my bus happens before hits. So if i switch somebody, I'm killed after switching them. That means that i can switch coag with some random townie and the only chance coag has of dying is if that random townie is hit too.

However, that means i'd die which would make me sad.

Well, hopefully we'll win the item game and I can use the vest. I'll see what happens when we lynch before i decide what to do. I do think that if we can win the item game tonight we can win the game very quickly.


Ideally you bus the IG player you think is town with someone you think is scum . Medic + vigilante ftw.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 01:58 GMT
#2664
The argument that Tackster can't be mafia because he didn't know coagulation had the gun is fundamentally flawed. There's one thing that everyone, including coagulation, seems to be forgetting.

Coagulation claimed that he had a stun gun that would disable his target's power. That's why scum redirected Coagulation to annul; to disable annul's hot potato so that it wouldn't blow up and kill the other scum who was assigned to shoot annul. Meanwhile Tackster stole from jackal to prevent jackal from shooting him. That fact that Coagulation ended up shooting annul was completely accidental by the mafia.

Thus the 4 kp are as follows:

Red hit annul
Red hit Kav or Gmarshal
Black hit Kav or Gmarshal
Coag hit Tackster, but was redirected by scum to hit annul because scum thought that his stun gun would stop annul's potato from killing the scum who killed annul.

GG lynch Tackster
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 02:02 GMT
#2668
tnkted and Coagulation, please stop and read my post before continuing
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 02:10 GMT
#2675
On March 29 2011 11:09 Amber[LighT] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 29 2011 10:58 GGQ wrote:
The argument that Tackster can't be mafia because he didn't know coagulation had the gun is fundamentally flawed. There's one thing that everyone, including coagulation, seems to be forgetting.

Coagulation claimed that he had a stun gun that would disable his target's power. That's why scum redirected Coagulation to annul; to disable annul's hot potato so that it wouldn't blow up and kill the other scum who was assigned to shoot annul. Meanwhile Tackster stole from jackal to prevent jackal from shooting him. That fact that Coagulation ended up shooting annul was completely accidental by the mafia.

Thus the 4 kp are as follows:

Red hit annul
Red hit Kav or Gmarshal
Black hit Kav or Gmarshal
Coag hit Tackster, but was redirected by scum to hit annul because scum thought that his stun gun would stop annul's potato from killing the scum who killed annul.

GG lynch Tackster


So are we confirming Coagulation as well under this assumption?


This assumes that Tackster is red, which would mean Coagulation is confirmed because all of the remaining IG players are town.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 02:31 GMT
#2686
On March 29 2011 11:29 tnkted wrote:
Ok, well if Tack dies then I could bus some other people around... Hmm... :D


I'd like to recommend again that you pick someone that you think is going to get shot by mafia, and pick a mafia. Then mafia shoots their own teammate. We all lol.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 02:57 GMT
#2696
On March 29 2011 11:39 Lemonwalrus wrote:
My last post was 21 pages ago, in much, much simpler times.

I've read the thread from then so far but not as thoroughly as I would have liked to so I'm gonna go back and try to piece things together. In the mean time, if anyone (specifically bumatlarge) has any questions for me to answer go ahead and post them and I'll try to help you out.


I have a question for you. Can you confirm that your item is a vest that protects you from night kills?
If so, someone in the thread earlier (jackal?) said that your vest would automatically protect you even if you were protecting it rather than using it. This seems wrong to me, so I'd like to hear it from you. Do you have to use the vest for it to protect you or does it do so automatically? And, finally, did your best block a bullet last night?
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 02:57 GMT
#2697
^^ *vest
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 03:01 GMT
#2699
On March 29 2011 11:58 orgolove wrote:
LSB, does the "no abstain" rule only apply for the mayoral election, or does it apply forall votes?

Can I please see where coagulation specifically mentioned the stun gun issue? I don't remember reading Tackster talking about a stun gun at all.


I went to go find it, saw that coag had about 8000 posts in this thread, and said fuck it.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 16:08 GMT
#2791
On March 30 2011 00:57 Tackster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 29 2011 10:58 GGQ wrote:
The argument that Tackster can't be mafia because he didn't know coagulation had the gun is fundamentally flawed. There's one thing that everyone, including coagulation, seems to be forgetting.

Coagulation claimed that he had a stun gun that would disable his target's power. That's why scum redirected Coagulation to annul; to disable annul's hot potato so that it wouldn't blow up and kill the other scum who was assigned to shoot annul. Meanwhile Tackster stole from jackal to prevent jackal from shooting him. That fact that Coagulation ended up shooting annul was completely accidental by the mafia.

Thus the 4 kp are as follows:

Red hit annul
Red hit Kav or Gmarshal
Black hit Kav or Gmarshal
Coag hit Tackster, but was redirected by scum to hit annul because scum thought that his stun gun would stop annul's potato from killing the scum who killed annul.

GG lynch Tackster


That's why scum redirected Coagulation to annul; to disable annul's hot potato
[b]This is not how the stun gun was claimed to work

Meanwhile Tackster stole from jackal to prevent jackal from shooting him
This has already been proved not to make me scummy. Tonnes of town would have stolen from jackal too.

Seeing as there was no way scum thought that controlling coag to 'use' his item on annul could have worked this disproves the theory entirely!
[/i]

I've already explained why it would be bad town play for you to steal from jackal.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 17:08 GMT
#2807
On March 30 2011 01:10 Tackster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 30 2011 01:08 GGQ wrote:
On March 30 2011 00:57 Tackster wrote:
On March 29 2011 10:58 GGQ wrote:
The argument that Tackster can't be mafia because he didn't know coagulation had the gun is fundamentally flawed. There's one thing that everyone, including coagulation, seems to be forgetting.

Coagulation claimed that he had a stun gun that would disable his target's power. That's why scum redirected Coagulation to annul; to disable annul's hot potato so that it wouldn't blow up and kill the other scum who was assigned to shoot annul. Meanwhile Tackster stole from jackal to prevent jackal from shooting him. That fact that Coagulation ended up shooting annul was completely accidental by the mafia.

Thus the 4 kp are as follows:

Red hit annul
Red hit Kav or Gmarshal
Black hit Kav or Gmarshal
Coag hit Tackster, but was redirected by scum to hit annul because scum thought that his stun gun would stop annul's potato from killing the scum who killed annul.

GG lynch Tackster


That's why scum redirected Coagulation to annul; to disable annul's hot potato
This is not how the stun gun was claimed to work

Meanwhile Tackster stole from jackal to prevent jackal from shooting him
This has already been proved not to make me scummy. Tonnes of town would have stolen from jackal too.

Seeing as there was no way scum thought that controlling coag to 'use' his item on annul could have worked this disproves the theory entirely!


I've already explained why it would be bad town play for you to steal from jackal.


Even if you think that is true given how the stun gun was claimed to work how does your theory make sense?
[/i]

I don't just think it's true, it is true. See this post that you never responded to before:

+ Show Spoiler +
[B]On March 28 2011 16:36 GGQ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 28 2011 15:45 Tackster wrote:
On March 28 2011 15:43 GGQ wrote:
On March 28 2011 15:27 Tackster wrote:
On March 28 2011 15:20 GGQ wrote:
Also, I was gonna point out what Chaoser or Coagulation pointed out above.

If you are town, stealing Jackal's item was retarded. The town thing to do would be to role-check someone. If you lived or died, you would be giving the town some great information. The much simpler explanation is that you are red.


By your standards:

Situation 1:
I DT check and get shot. Town now has more reason to lynch Jackal (GOOD)

Situation 2:
I DT check and some1 else gets shot. I 'claim' a check on Jackal that can't be confirmed and we end up in this situation. (BAD)

Situation 3:
I steal and get the gun. We're now in the same situation as yesterday except town gets to lynch instead of leaving the kill to someone else (VERY GOOD)

Situation 4:
I steal and don't get gun. I am shot. Same situation as 1. (GOOD)

Situation 5:
I steal and don't get gun. I am not shot. We are now in this position.(BAD)


So a DT check either has 50% chance for the positive result you're looking for or 50% this situation comes up.

A steal on the other hand has a 66% chance for a positive result or 33% this situation comes up.


Your logic is poor because you assume that each situation has an equal chance of playing out under each scenario.


LOL actually I stated by your standards. I was being pessimistic. By my standards the chances are much higher...

You realise you're implying the situation YOU suggested would be worse for town right?

Lastly my stats would be poor not my logic and unlike the other players in this thread that can't confirm their abilities I can confirm when I state I am good at stats. Theoretical Physics is not an easy degree to get!


Perhaps not, but it has little to do with stats. For the rest of this post, I feel like you are mixed up in both your semantics and logic, but I'm just going to leave all that alone and try to be more clear.

What I meant is that you are just looking at some percentages without taking the context of the game into account. Let's assume you are a green. You know that all the other townies in the IG want you dead. You know that most of the town has you pegged as scum and wants you dead. Given that your death would NOT result in town losing the item game (there's not enough KP floating around for that), there's no reason for you to try to stay alive. As long as you are around, covered in scum and drawing votes your way, you'll just distract town from finding the real scum tomorrow. If someone is going to shoot you, then you thank them and look forward to seeing jackal hang the next day.

Furthermore, on the chance that you might survive (hey, you never know; it's insane mafia! look at what you are claiming now... you are a green and someone out there somewhere decided to save your ass) you would use your DT check item because you know how valuable a DT check is for town. Even if it's not from a trusted source (you)... you know you are going to die soon (most likely to a lynch the next day) so then town will know your check was true. In that situation, any town with killing power would very much like to know whether or not jackal is scum going into night 2. Instead you have simply shrugged off a DT check from you, saying that it wouldnt be trusted (guilty conscience?).

Finally, on to why your logic was just bad. Take a look back at all those "situations" you listed. Compare your 'bad' situation (5) to your 'very good' one (3). The only difference between these two situations is that you have the gun in the 'very good' one. Seriously. Not only is that bad logic, it's also a possible scumslip in wanting the gun for yourself.

TL;DR stealing instead of inspecting was very anti-town



I'd particularly like a response to my third point there. According to you, if you steal the gun and survive, that's VERY GOOD. If you fail to steal the gun and survive, that's BAD. Wuddup wit dat?

And yes, it seems I was mistaken about the stun gun, I remembered it being a simple roleblocker. Perhaps the mafia were hoping that if annul's potato blew up the mafia shooting him, at least it would take Coagulation along with them?

The main problem I have with the idea of anyone else in the IG being red is that they knew Coagulation had the gun and Bum insists that it was red who shot annul (a tracker among the blues perhaps? I dunno). I'm depending on both of these things being true, so Bum had better be damn sure. If jackal, coagulation or lemonwalrus were red, then they would know that Coagulation's shot would kill annul. In fact this would be perfect because they kill annul without risking one of their members to the random potato explosion. BUT red also shot annul. Why would reds possibly risk one of their members to the potato if they knew annul was going to die from Coagulation's shot? The only answer is that they didn't know, which means that the red in the IG must be the only person who didn't know that Coagulation had the gun, which is you.

Of course, it's conceivable that it was the blacks who misdirected Coagulation's shot to annul. But the blacks didn't know Coagulation had the gun either. If they misdirected Coagulation, they were misdirecting his stun gun. And the only reason that they would do that was if they were trying to shoot him and didn't want him to stun their shooter. And obviously they didn't try to shoot him (nor would they have any motivation to, since they are out of the item game). So it couldn't have been the blacks.

PS, if you mosey on over to the voting thread, you'll see I still havent voted for you. I'm not unreasonable or jumping to conclusions here.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 17:18 GMT
#2810
Check my last post, Tackster!
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 19:33 GMT
#2864
On March 30 2011 04:32 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 30 2011 04:30 deconduo wrote:
On March 30 2011 04:28 Jackal58 wrote:
On March 30 2011 04:25 Tackster wrote:
On March 30 2011 04:21 Jackal58 wrote:
On March 30 2011 04:15 tnkted wrote:
If we do mislynch I think I have to bus somebody out so that we have a chance of winning it at all. But if bum wants me not to I can switch some other stuff around.

If you must bus bus all actions from Coag to me. Lemon has his vest but if we mislynch he wont get shot anyways. Cause he's scum. And serious as a heart attack I will have coag shoot me. Town doesn't need another fucking day of no you - no you - no you - no you.
So medic protect coag. Bus from coag to me. Coag shoots me. Lynch Lemon. I am not about to go through all this bs and let scum get dt tools.

But we're not going to mislynch.
But that's plan B


Sorry if coag shoots you and you two are bussed coag shoots himself.

wtf is that?

Bus driver doesn't reverse actions. It drives any visits to coag to the bussed target - me.
It doesn't boomerang.


Actions on coag get moved to you. Actions on you get moved to coag.

Actions on you:
Getting shot

Actions on coag:
Getting mediced.

Result:
Coag dies, you get medic protection.

Bus is one way. Any visits to Coag would go to me. Including medic so ya let's not do that.
Actions on me do not go to Coag.


Bus is not one way, jackal. Any actions on you would go to Coag, and any actions on Coag would go to you.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 19:34 GMT
#2867
If the bus driver is going to bus someone in the IG (assuming Tackster is a mislynch), then he needs to not reveal the other person he is bussing. Else scum can just hit the other person and get their kill.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 21:19 GMT
#2918
I could live with the voting list being entirely one-sided. It's not worthwhile for mafia to out their whole team just on the chance that they might not be eliminated from the item game quite yet.

But the fact that jackal isn't spamming like an asshole makes me nervous.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 29 2011 21:21 GMT
#2920
On March 30 2011 06:17 LSB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 30 2011 05:26 chaoser wrote:
LSB, are blacks immune to bombs such as the hot potato?

I don't know if blacks are, usually they're immune to night hits which are bullets, not explosions like bombs.


Third party are immune from all KP unless explicitly stated that the KP can go through bulletproof.

In this case since the bomb did not state it goes through bulletproof, the third party is immune from it.


That's really different from regular bulletproof tbh... probably should have been stated in the OP. I've been operating on the assumption that they are just 'bullet' proof.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 30 2011 18:44 GMT
#3261
Yeah, it was Insanious in XXXV. I listened to him and voted Brocket.

Anyways, if you think I'm black, tnkted, you havent looked over all my posts. I was one of the first suggesting darmousseh for bum's day 1 lynch while most people were still on annul/jackal/tackster.

Yeah, I fucked up yesterday, but I was working under a couple of assumptions that I found out were both wrong only a few hours before the lynch. I wasn't comfortable switching at that point. Sorry, Tackster.

GL to our IG townies tonight.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 02:16 GMT
#3378
On March 31 2011 11:07 LSB wrote:
Night post calculations may take a while, you guys just broke Physics FYI


Take your time, make sure you get it right.

Meanwhile, I'll f5 til my finger falls off.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 03:14 GMT
#3485
My head hurts =/

iGrok was clearly blue btw.

Also, someone thought that bumatlarge was unprotected now, but chaoser was only bg for the king, not for the mayor. Also, afaik the king could have a third bg. We don't know how many are in the kingdom.

Hopefully LSB clears up what's going on with the Arena Game soon.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 03:20 GMT
#3490
Oh alright. Well if Insanious had to kill off BB and BB had to kill off Insanious, what is RoL/Pandain doing in there?

Maybe it was a three way village idiot scenario? We'll need BB and Pandain to clear this up. It would explain why RoL has done so little to help town, though.

I guess the best way to use the Arena game is to vote in someone we think is scum and have our two town members of the Arena vote the scum person off. Gives town two lynches, basically. Can the people in the Arena be night-killed?
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 03:24 GMT
#3491
Also, the Arena Game rules were removed and haven't been put back yet.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 03:37 GMT
#3496
On March 31 2011 12:29 OriginalName wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 31 2011 12:24 GGQ wrote:
Also, the Arena Game rules were removed and haven't been put back yet.


its back in LSB had to do a quick adjustment.


Where, I don't see it.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 03:38 GMT
#3499
On March 31 2011 12:37 OriginalName wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 31 2011 12:08 LSB wrote:
Arena Has been Unpaused
Pandain will replace RebirthOfLeGenD


Carry on.


here


I said the rules are gone. They were removed from the day post, and havent been put back in.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 04:19 GMT
#3514
On March 31 2011 13:17 LSB wrote:
Please note, Chaoser was the final mayoral bodyguard.
It was nice knowing you Bum good luck tonight!


You made both the king's bodyguards the mayor's bodyguards as well? -_-

Wasn't it supposed to be random? Also, for GMarshal you included his mayor bodyguard pm separately, but not for chaoser.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 16:03 GMT
#3549
On March 31 2011 19:16 bumatlarge wrote:
Well that was shit, jackal didnt steal the vest? WHY DIDNT HE STEAL THE VEST?


Coagulation was supposed to shoot lemonwalrus as well, and jackal was supposed to steal from lemonwalrus so that lemonwalrus would be forced to protect. Neither of them did those things, so I guess the plan wasn't as clear as it seemed.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 21:08 GMT
#3577
Obvious fake claim is obvious?

Anyways, with two blues down and both bodyguards dead, black better start hunting reds soon.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 21:18 GMT
#3584
Oh yeah, it's April 1 in TL time -_-

Being a starcraft fan makes April Fools last twice as long.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 21:19 GMT
#3586
^^ Also, there's a filter on today that turns A pril F ools into 'great post'
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
March 31 2011 23:00 GMT
#3601
On April 01 2011 07:50 Kenpachi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 31 2011 16:24 Lanaia wrote:
On March 31 2011 14:23 Kenpachi wrote:
god damn it. was Grok really Blue? (no im not the assassin)
/slit


Part of me thinks you are. You saw how you claimed BG earlier. We all saw.
Well, at least I did. Well, technically, you claimed you were a bodybag... bodybags are things in which dead bodies go in so I'm assuming that's not it. At the very least, you were trying to draw a kill, no?

On March 31 2011 14:53 Kenpachi wrote:
On March 31 2011 14:49 orgolove wrote:
Ugh. I apologize about my inactivity. What the hell just happened? Am I playing the same game? Did the mods troll us and bring up an old thread?

Arena? Assassin?

I can't make sense of this game.

Did the "king" game mechanic come from that assassin mafia game? If that is so, then the assassin just lost his win condition since he only had one shot, and he blew it. -_-

I told you that tackster's posts were very pro-town. It was coagulation (is it a bot now?) and Jackal's insistence that led me to vote for him. I was too late to see the vote changes at the last minute.

Do we have a lynch? Can we get lemonwalrus during daylight?

wtf i never noticed that you were in this game



That is probably because neither of you were superactive this far into the game.

@orgolove, which game of this is it that you speak of? Was it called assassin or what?

what the fuck are you talking about.


http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=166527

This is Assassin in the palace, the game that orgolove was talking about. It's a completely different setup, though, so I wouldnt read too much into it.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 01 2011 18:09 GMT
#3642
On April 02 2011 02:26 Lanaia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 02 2011 02:00 Mr. Wiggles wrote:
We should also consider that the arena can work like a lynch for us too if we can get two "confirmed" townies in there. Then, we all vote on who we'd like to enter the arena and the two townies can both submit the same name, and kill him the next day in the arena. The only problem is we'd have to be careful to only voting for people we have a strong scum read on, because once you get three townies in there, one of them HAS to die, or at least that's how I think the rules read. But yes, we can use that for a town directed second kill if we need to, and if we can trust that two of the people already in the arena are townies and will be willing to listen, so they don't submit other names.


I kind of like that idea a lot.
It could work well for us.


You didnt say that when I suggested it earlier!
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 01 2011 19:15 GMT
#3647
bumatlarge, just to put my mind at ease, how are jackal and coag confirmed? Is this 100% like you, cubedin, and eiii, or just because you are assuming lemonwalrus is the scum?
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 01 2011 19:16 GMT
#3648
There's two dt items, one that gives roles and one that gives alignment.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 01 2011 20:07 GMT
#3653
On April 02 2011 05:06 Ace wrote:
what the...? I thought LemonWalrus was supposed to die like 40 pages ago?


Yeah, we messed that up.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 02 2011 01:45 GMT
#3664
On April 02 2011 10:39 orgolove wrote:
Apologize about the inactivity. Last I checked the thread, we were in the middle of a gigantic rules change, but still LemonWalrus was a clear target from last day cycle.


I don't know if I'll be able to read the past 34 pages in the next 20 minutes to vote in time, but from the vote patterns, I see there aren't any compelling reasons the town isn't feeling like it made a mistake. Thus, I am voting for his lynch.


Always disappointing when you have to vote for your scumbuddy, isn't it?
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 02 2011 02:01 GMT
#3667
Well LSB must have seen this coming... night post shouldn't be too delayed. :D
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 02 2011 02:21 GMT
#3678
Which items did you guys each get?
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 02 2011 02:52 GMT
#3685
On April 02 2011 11:25 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 02 2011 11:21 GGQ wrote:
Which items did you guys each get?

I don't think putting that info out at this point in time would be prudent. I will say I have easier choices to make than coag.


Alright, I wouldn't have asked if you weren't both obvious targets anyway, but I guess we'll find out over time.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 02 2011 04:36 GMT
#3704
IIRC, the main reason Insanious was being considered as scum was because he was hard defending Tackster, who turned up green. Also, any analysis that showed Insanious as being anti-town would make sense with his old role, which was a lyncher/angry-villager type that won by getting Brown Bear lynched. So he had no motivation to be pro-town.

Once the item game was announced, Insanious posted a bunch of stuff (look over those posts) and revealed his old role and said that he was now town-sided. Since Brown Bear flipped green and his revealed alignment/role pm line up with what Insanious claimed, it seems to me that Insanious can be trusted. Brown Bear was also a lyncher/angry-villager that was trying to get Insanious lynched (that's redacted in the night post now, but I saw it before LSB edited it :D).

If anyone in the arena is scum it's probably Pandain, who fill in for RoL. RoL used the excuse of being busy for not doing much of anything to help town, but it could just as easily have been because he's scum. Hard to tell.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 02 2011 04:59 GMT
#3708
You promised analysis, didn't do it, and then made a list of suspects with no explanation. Just looks suspicious.

I put you on my list of blacks pretty early in the game, and you havent worked your way off of it, btw.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 02 2011 18:59 GMT
#3750
I already pointed that out cubed, and I also mentioned that when LSB first posted BB's VI role pm in the day post, it mentioned Insanious by name. That was later redacted, but I saw it before the edit. Insanious is almost certainly town now.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 02 2011 21:35 GMT
#3762
On April 03 2011 05:53 tnkted wrote:
Lanaia is 100% confirmed town in my book, she knows why.

:D

(im 99% sure that you're a girl, is that right?)


Yeah I remember reading one of her blogs.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 05 2011 01:42 GMT
#4388
[Ouija Board Message]
Dead people need to stop posting in this thread and join me in the damn graveyard.
[/Ouija Board Message]
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 08 2011 03:06 GMT
#5171
Mafia shot me on the wrong night .

I was saving that power for just such a night as this.
GGQ
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Canada2653 Posts
April 08 2011 03:56 GMT
#5231
On April 08 2011 12:41 Lemonwalrus wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2011 12:38 LSB wrote:
On April 08 2011 12:33 Lemonwalrus wrote:
you told us our plan would work, why would we have thought we needed to ask more questions?

I did not say anything about your plan working. I would never say anything about any plan working. Look at my day 4 responses to questions, I only awnsered general questions.

Us: If we mc tnkted, can we control all of his targets.

You: Yes.

That is just as good as telling us our plan would work, since you told us we could control his targets, not we could control his targets as long as he didn't bus himself, just 'we could control his targets', flat out, no ifs ands or buts.


If you mindcontrol tnkted, you can control all of his targets. This is true, if you had successfully mindcontrolled him, you could have controlled his targets. LSB didn't lie, and his resolution of the actions didn't contradict what he said.

The problem is that you didn't mindcontrol tnkted. You attempted to, but the mindcontrol didn't go through. You assumed the mindcontrol would take effect regardless of what tnkted tried to do, but that wasn't how it worked.

For the record, I agree that a bus driver probably shouldn't be able to bus himself, and I think mindcontrol should have taken precedence over his self-bus action, but this is why I always pester the host with nit-picky questions about every aspect of my role, just to be sure.
Normal
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
OSC
13:00
King of the Hill Weekly #213
CranKy Ducklings169
Liquipedia
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
trigger 349
ProTech104
EnDerr 21
BRAT_OK 17
MindelVK 10
StarCraft: Brood War
Britney 38857
Calm 4979
EffOrt 1574
firebathero 1102
Shuttle 886
Stork 570
Hyuk 536
Mini 465
ZerO 442
Zeus 228
[ Show more ]
Rush 146
hero 112
Light 86
sorry 51
ToSsGirL 49
Barracks 44
Yoon 29
Nal_rA 24
[sc1f]eonzerg 18
sSak 13
scan(afreeca) 12
Terrorterran 11
Noble 9
SilentControl 9
ajuk12(nOOB) 9
IntoTheRainbow 8
HiyA 6
ivOry 5
Dota 2
Gorgc6741
qojqva2500
syndereN285
boxi98184
XcaliburYe46
Counter-Strike
fl0m3502
olofmeister3220
Super Smash Bros
C9.Mang0544
Westballz32
Other Games
hiko1292
FrodaN886
crisheroes410
DeMusliM369
elazer176
Lowko129
XaKoH 90
Liquid`VortiX74
QueenE47
Trikslyr44
ZerO(Twitch)22
Organizations
Dota 2
PGL Dota 2 - Main Stream9664
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 16 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• intothetv
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• HerbMon 31
• Michael_bg 6
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Dota 2
• C_a_k_e 1494
League of Legends
• Nemesis11968
• Jankos1999
• TFBlade632
Upcoming Events
BSL 2v2 ProLeague S3
3h 44m
Korean StarCraft League
11h 44m
SOOP
17h 44m
sOs vs Percival
CranKy Ducklings
18h 44m
WardiTV Invitational
19h 44m
ByuN vs MaNa
MaxPax vs Solar
Reynor vs Creator
Gerald vs Spirit
Cheesadelphia
23h 44m
CSO Cup
1d 1h
BSL: ProLeague
1d 2h
Hawk vs UltrA
Sziky vs spx
TerrOr vs JDConan
GSL Code S
1d 16h
Rogue vs herO
Classic vs GuMiho
Sparkling Tuna Cup
1d 18h
[ Show More ]
BSL: ProLeague
2 days
Bonyth vs Dewalt
Cross vs Doodle
MadiNho vs Dragon
Replay Cast
2 days
Wardi Open
2 days
Replay Cast
3 days
Replay Cast
3 days
RSL Revival
3 days
Cure vs Percival
ByuN vs Spirit
RSL Revival
4 days
herO vs sOs
Zoun vs Clem
Replay Cast
5 days
The PondCast
5 days
RSL Revival
5 days
Serral vs SHIN
Solar vs Cham
Replay Cast
6 days
RSL Revival
6 days
Reynor vs Scarlett
ShoWTimE vs Classic
Liquipedia Results

Completed

CSL Season 17: Qualifier 2
BGE Stara Zagora 2025
Heroes 10 EU

Ongoing

JPL Season 2
BSL 2v2 Season 3
BSL Season 20
KCM Race Survival 2025 Season 2
NPSL S3
Rose Open S1
CSL 17: 2025 SUMMER
2025 GSL S2
BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025
ESL Impact League Season 7
IEM Dallas 2025
PGL Astana 2025
Asian Champions League '25
BLAST Rivals Spring 2025
MESA Nomadic Masters
CCT Season 2 Global Finals
IEM Melbourne 2025
YaLLa Compass Qatar 2025
PGL Bucharest 2025

Upcoming

Copa Latinoamericana 4
CSLPRO Last Chance 2025
CSLPRO Chat StarLAN 3
K-Championship
SEL Season 2 Championship
Esports World Cup 2025
HSC XXVII
Championship of Russia 2025
Murky Cup #2
Esports World Cup 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall Qual
IEM Cologne 2025
FISSURE Playground #1
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2025 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.