Pick Your Power Mafia 3! - Page 77
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Beneather
Canada451 Posts
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Kenpachi
United States9908 Posts
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BloodyC0bbler
Canada7875 Posts
On January 20 2011 13:23 Beneather wrote: Yeah! Woo ! We're on a role Town can win thiss WOOOO! (: So are we hitting Deconduo next? Yes. once decon is gone we have 2 chances to off the sk. Easier to off him with less people though. | ||
BloodyC0bbler
Canada7875 Posts
Eii Kenpachi Misder. Aidnai You 4 are the 4 "confirmed town" Myself, jimbo, and beneather. 1 of us 3 is the sk. Decon is red. OF the three of us on the sk list. Jimbo, as much as I love the guy for being awesome this game, best fits the profile of sk. However I am not sure on this, its just a gut instinct. When the night post hits, I expect to be dead, so good luck you guys. Off decon, then its a game of finding the sk. Remember, if it is jimbo, it takes two days to lynch him if his vet claim is real! | ||
Beneather
Canada451 Posts
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BloodyC0bbler
Canada7875 Posts
On January 20 2011 13:24 Kenpachi wrote: our target is SK. deconduo has no chance alone LOL NO, we kill decon. We have to drop kp down to 1. IF we fail hit sk tommorrow we lose. Off mafia first, sk next. | ||
BloodyC0bbler
Canada7875 Posts
On January 20 2011 13:27 Beneather wrote: How many scum are left? & I think that aidnai should be lynched he saved haplo @ night 1. -_- Aidnai is not sk. SK hit shot halpo and chances of aidnai being the second sk and saving an sk target seems well, unlikely. | ||
Kenpachi
United States9908 Posts
Day 6: 2 Townies falls. Night 6: Deconduo is lynched. 5 players remain (4 Townie 1 SK). Day 7: 1 Townie falls. Jimbo is lynched Night 7: We win or Jimbo is townie. If he is townie, game continues with 4 players remaining Day 8: 1 Townie falls. Jimbo is relynched Night 8: Jimbo dies. Town wins or Jimbo turns out to be townie and town loses.. We arent entirely sure that Jimbo is SK, were basing it on BC's guts. BUT, if we were to lynch another townie instead, After deconduo is lynched (5 players) Day 7: 1 Townie falls. Non-Jimbo lynched Night 7: We win or game continues: 3 townie 1 sk Day 8: 1 townie falls. 2 v 1 SK Night 9: ....... Its all or nothing now unless mafia hits the SK. THEN we are in luck. Lets say he did hit the SK from 8 townies Day 6: 1 townie falls. we lynch Jimbo. Night 6: Jimbo survives. still 7 players Day 7: 1 townie falls. Jimbo relynch Night 7: Jimbo is lynched. we win or continues. 5 players remain Day 8: 1 townie falls. major suspect is lynched. Night 8: suspect lynched. we win or game continues. 3 players Day 9: 1 townie falls. SK wins. SO, we are limited big time. I have big doubts SK would hit deconduo or deconduo hits the SK but if either happens, lucky us. | ||
Misder
United States1557 Posts
And does Jimbo get to survive a lynch even after he already got hit? If so, Jimbo being SK pretty much screws us. I think the best option is if we lynch decon today (4v1v1 -> 4v0v1, night 3v0v1), lynch Jimbo the next day (who won't die unless he lied, so still 3v0v1, night 2v1), then we decide who to lynch the last day as lylo. This gives us the biggest probability of lynching SK. | ||
bumatlarge
United States4567 Posts
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aidnai
United States1159 Posts
Hmm... I should be lynched for saving haplo, at least he wasn't the cpr doc though... Good work SK, and Kita, I would have done the same thing. Rofl, I think I would have shot BC twice as well. He's such a bully :p | ||
BloodyC0bbler
Canada7875 Posts
On January 21 2011 02:45 aidnai wrote: I appreciated your efforts Bum. I really really appreciated them. Hmm... I should be lynched for saving haplo, at least he wasn't the cpr doc though... Good work SK, and Kita, I would have done the same thing. Rofl, I think I would have shot BC twice as well. He's such a bully :p I kinda have to be. I honestly was trying not to be so rough at first, but once kita shot me the first time I just flipped. I say this as in any other game the way I'm posting would get me a shot square between the eyes from the mafia. In this game instead I had to dodge a town vig shot, and hope mafia didn't off me. I think you can imagine the level of frustration I was going through. | ||
BloodyC0bbler
Canada7875 Posts
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aidnai
United States1159 Posts
Realistically though, you have to admit it is quite weird for you to still be alive on, what is this, day 5? as a vanilla town who has hunted down the entire red team and at least one SK? bunch of newbs, they shoulda killed you a LONG time ago lol. | ||
zeks
Canada1068 Posts
we were too overconfident in our ability to lynch you later | ||
BloodyC0bbler
Canada7875 Posts
On January 21 2011 03:55 aidnai wrote: Yeah, the plan made sense. Regardless of who Kita wanted to kill, cubed really should have blocked Pig... I should have pushed that a lot harder than I did, but I'm surprised mafia had the balls to use POD when the plan was to block pigsquirrel... Realistically though, you have to admit it is quite weird for you to still be alive on, what is this, day 5? as a vanilla town who has hunted down the entire red team and at least one SK? bunch of newbs, they shoulda killed you a LONG time ago lol. shoulda woulda coulda ![]() One sk left to analyze, and the players left he could be in is well, annoying to analyze -_- | ||
BloodyC0bbler
Canada7875 Posts
On January 21 2011 04:12 zeks wrote: ahh BC so good. we were too overconfident in our ability to lynch you later shoulda just shot me. | ||
aidnai
United States1159 Posts
I assume the 4 'confirmed' town are confirmed by your analysis of us BC? I agree on eiii, kenpachi, and myself (of course), but misder confirmed town? him and beneather are both some of the shadiest characters this game I thought. But I would have put them as scum, not SK, so I guess they are in the clear now that we have the whole scum team? And anyway, I do think jimbo is a good suspect for SK. Here's why: Other than the night 4 SK hit (which is not accounted for, could have been saved, could have been not fired, could have double up with a scum hit), all of the SK hits have been on mafia. Haplo, zeks, and bumatlarge. That is two things: unbelievable scum hunting (I don't believe misder or beneather or even myself are capable of this) AND unbelievably pro-town hits. Now, jimbo and BC both fit that profile, except I think that BC with his greater experience would have known to keep the conflict between town/mafia a lot closer than it currently is. As it stands, mafia is eliminated tomorrow along with their KP, mostly thanks to BC. Mafia KP benefits SK at this point, so why would BC try to eliminate that? This seems like an error in execution that BC is unlikely to have made. Also there's this: On January 15 2011 17:19 JimboSilvers wrote: Damn this is getting interesting. So I guess since deconduo is confirmed CC now, its unlikely we have a CPR doc unless someone was ballsy enough to pick it when it was pretty clear deconduo was going to pick it. So we might have 3 SKs unless the 4th hit last night was from a JOAT. Deconduo should hit beneather. I'm pretty sure he's scum. Why? He's damn useless and posts only questions, one liners, doubt posts, and posts that just seems like he's trying to act. He doesn't offer any strong opinions, and offers questions on pointless information. And after he poses the questions, he never follows up and offers insight. His voting record is also laughable, he votes for LayOffRage day 1, and abstains day 2. He also has no acceptable reasoning for either of his votes. kitaman should hit Fishball. Why? First off, this confirms kitas role and targets a troublemaker. If fishball flips traitor, then kita is confirmed innocent otherwise the hit wouldn't go through and fishball would be recruited instead. This is unlikely though, as I think Fishball is just plain scum. Hes been useless, calls out a bunch of people calling them scum with little reason. Although his play can be interpreted as "he's just having fun", he is active yet doesn't contribute. He stirs the pot when there is already chaos in the air, and doesn't do anything to actually help the town. Burn his ass. For the third hit (CPR Doc/3rd SK), I propose zeks. This just reminds me of someone who is hiding. Said some stuff earlier about LSB's plan, announced his number, and announced that "I'll say that I'll be taking one of Alignment Cop, Tracker, Mason or Witch." Well its time for him to crawl out of your cave there, because for being an investigative role hes pretty clueless. Hes obviously not the witch. Either way, if hes any of the other roles he should state which one he is right now. Otherwise we should just shoot him. The rest of his posts have a common theme with the other above targets. Useless and insightless. He votes with flimsy reasoning on day 1, and didn't vote day 2. Hmm... our remaining SK must be very like minded to Jimbo here? Perhaps Jimbo himself? Jimbo's scumdar has been absolutely UNBELIEVABLE this game, i mean seriously, I'm jealous dude. He's got Bumatlarge and BloodyC0bbler both drooling over him... and what was the night one SK hit (that idiot-me, I stopped)? Haplo, another scum... Deconduo, can you *actually* do town a favor this time (I'm pretty sure you owe us one) and hit Jimbo tonight? if he survives, bingo we have our SK (he already claimed to have survived one hit). For teh lulz... + Show Spoiler + On January 12 2011 15:55 Fishball wrote: Since it's Night now, for those who feel like reading, here are my impressions/opinions/comments regarding the remaining players in the game. You can take this lightly, you can take this seriously, however these are my sincere thoughts. Keep in mind, I'm not superman and I don't have every player, every aspect covered. Be warned, feelings might be hurt. Feel free to curse at me and kick my balls if need be. # aidnai Scum or incoherent Townie. He has been brought up as a prime candidate for lynch but was able to fight his way out. His last minute suggestion of another lynch candidate made me raise an eyebrow. ... On January 10 2011 10:12 Fishball wrote: Preliminary Mafia list. - BloodyC0bbler - zeks - Misder - aidnai/JimboSilvers (pick one) I was the one who pointed out the abnormal picture, but I never once directed town to look for those players who might be lying. It doesn't make sense for town/mafia to lie. There is no gain whatsoever, besides drawing attention to themselves. It was fortunate that this was sorted out by Ace, but nice try there BC. Oh, like I mentioned before, if I'm town, there is a good chance BC is red. 14. zeks [3] [1] 15. Misder [3] [2] 16. aidnai [3] [3] 17. JimboSilvers [3] [3] 3-1, 3-2, 3-3. Really? I'm picking aidnai due to this post. Are you daft? No, you can't be this bad... I hope. On January 18 2011 04:04 Fishball wrote: To be quite blunt, I think you have a hard time reading anyone, lol. On January 11 2011 08:56 bumatlarge wrote: Exactly. New player comes into game, gets a shiny red pm. It is smart of him to listen to more experienced peers. He asks tidbits in thread to clarify things he is discussing with his scum buddies. Yet he never really makes solid posts in fear of letting anything bad show. I wouldnt normally pick on a single person for that, but that pattern fish ball presented is interesting, and I would like to see what happens. Jimbo is the opposite. A new player, but he gets a lovely shade of green in his pm. Excited for the game he forges opinions in his head. He vocalizes them because he can't share it with mafia friends and there is no pandain to constantly message him to tell his deepest darkest secrets. In fact, I feel guilty for not suggesting that jimbo take mason. I'm very sure he's town, and if not he's a great addition to tl mafia, whether he is sk or mafia. I'd be completely blindsided. Or perhaps you have some information to give aidnai. Because I faintly recall. And I agree! On January 11 2011 12:14 LSB wrote: This doesn't sound like analysis Bum. It sounds like the good old "we can get information from this lynch! yay!" I want to warn people that it is incredibly easy to misread Aidnai as scum. I used him in Harry Potter to divert the lynch. On January 11 2011 16:24 Barundar wrote: I’m not convinced on aidnai. In HPmafia he posted one liners, discussed setup in thread etc., and it was easy to direct the day 1 lynch on to him. This post is from when he was actually scum and was being pressured in ExMiMa: + Show Spoiler + On December 01 2010 14:53 aidnai wrote: So, I see several things going on at once in the thread. There is the Coag/Fishball/Orgo thing going on, then there's the Ghrur/Deconduo thing, and of course who could forget the RoL/aidnai thing. (I still maintain that debating the role clues/hints is mostly a waste of time). Here's the thing, mafia would love to just sit back and let town destroy itself. So it's a safe bet that some of these conflicts are townie vs. townie. But the fact that the debate is continually being shifted from one thing to the next says to me that mafia are active in the thread, trying to shift attention around. So probably there's at least one mafia vs. townie battle going on. Now my thoughts: RoL vs. aidnai. RoL's case against me was pretty weak, ESPECIALLY compared to the way he was acting about it. I've thought about this for a while and come to the following conclusion: RoL is probably a vet type role, or perhaps a mad hatter. I believe his game plan was something like, pick the first scumtell you see, pressure the shit out of whoever it was that 'slipped'. Two options from here: 1) you found mafia -> congrats, you may get a lynch, you may force mafia to behave a certain way in the thread, etc. 2) you found town -> in this case the plan is to draw a mafia hit. Mafia would certainly be tempted to hit RoL to frame me and cause confusion in the town (while eliminating a strong player, perhaps the only one here with a game plan)...of course, RoL would either survive the hit (foiling the plan) or maybe blow up some mafia. I think he may have also chosen me to pick on because i'm new--the thinking being that if I was actually mafia, he'd be able to scare me into making a real slip-up. I think his brazen, fearless stlye of posting definitely points to a vet/bulletproof/hatter type role, where he would want to take a hit. Verdict: townie vs. townie. Ghrur vs. Deconduo. I have looked at the posting from both, and in my opinion we're looking at two townies again. Both deconduo and ghrur looked suspicious right off the bat, as each would be eager to point out. But, that is more than understandable, given the wacky game setup plus everyone is a blue so that right there is gonna make people act a little weird. What is more important, however, is that they both responded pretty well to pressure, gave good arguments, posted without guilt or fear etc. Imo you two should bury the hatchet. Verdict: townie vs. townie. That leaves coag/fishball/orgo. I feel like I'm missing half of what's going on with this one, but here's what I see. Coag votes fishball later explaining his reasoning as "I really feel that if doch would make anyone on the signup list mafia it would be 100% fishball". Fishball responds pretty oddly (voting himself, then unvoting and voting RoL), and orgolove jumps all over him. Now this was obviously a simple pressure vote, but look at the way fishball reacted: Now, this seems scummy to me for several reasons. 1) overreaction much? 2) advises looking at inactives, votes for a strong mafia player/veteran (at that point inactive) and then never changes his vote despite RoL becoming active and being a likely blue. 3) shows no regard for town interests. And in fact, fishball has done absolutely nothing for town, even though he's been active yesterday and today. Here's the rest of his posts to date: Keep in mind these posts (from page 8) are boldly ignoring orgolove's accusations--a common mafia tactic (ignore it until it goes away). I know fishball is capable of doing more for town than this. Maybe he's acting extra strange because of his role, but I can't believe there's a town role that keeps you from contributing anything at all. on that note: ##vote fishball P.S. aeres, barundar, ~opz~, ghrur, jcarlsoniv, will you please remove your votes from me? only thing worse than getting killed night one for me would be getting lynched day one. -_- I like Fishball’s suggestion of a policy lynch on LayOffRage, but we could also use the pardoner for a 0 lynch, and let mafia decide the CopyCat role. The reasons for this plan is: First, we know where the CopyCat role is, since Jackal58 said he would follow LSB’s plan. When mafia pick off one of our power roles, he should receive it, and they will have to waste a hit on him night 2 as well. If Jackal58 is still alive on day 3, we can lynch his ass (or he can put the role to use). Second, if Jackal58 is lying about picking CopyCat, we found our traitor. We might have lost an important power role to the real copy cat, but we got one red down. It’s a loss of a role for a red, which is in my opinion a decent trade, as long as deconduo and kitaman are medic protected. It would be nice to hear from Jackal58 if he can actually confirm he got the CopyCat role. vs. + Show Spoiler + On January 13 2011 21:39 bumatlarge wrote: + Show Spoiler + On January 13 2011 17:06 JimboSilvers wrote: Wow what the hell do you think you pansies are doing here. I leave, and everyone decides on the brilliant idea of lynching LayOffRage, who claimed vanilla who picked traitor. He claimed to have failed at picking traitor, which no scum in his right mind would do. His lynch was pretty much opposed by nobody, and nobody stepped up to defend him. So he's obviously not scum, and he claimed traitor is above him. Yet you guys decided to lynch him for no other reason than because you thought he was lying. Or you were afraid of lynching a witch. Brilliant. Its 17 players left and 4 people died last night. If one hit was a JOAT hit, then its another 4 hits tonight + 1 lynch = 12 players left. There are 5 are mafia, 6 if mafia recruited the traitor, which would make it game. If it wasn't a JOAT and there's 2 SKs, then its 5 hits tonight which is even worse. So this is a potential lylo. Even if we correctly lynch today, its 4 mafia left and we have few leads. So priorities for right now are that we need to lynch red, and we need to get rid of questionable KP sources. deconduo is supposedly the CPR doctor. But besides all the attention he gets from his role, he is nothing but a useless, space wasting, unreliable heap of uselessness. In his first few posts, deconduo asks a few questions and puts out a couple one liners about LSB's plan. He doesn't offer anything conclusive and doesn't try to put forward any new ideas. A little later on, he quotes Fishball and says: Doesn't offer any more opinions and doesn't follow up on this comment. He just comes in, pops in a negative statement, and disappears from the thread for an entire day. What is his point? He certainly isn't invested in his opinions. The next day, he comes back, picks a "random" number, and gets first pick. Other than that, he contributes nothing. Has a panic "crisis" where he claims he didn't get the role he picked. All this time its just one liners. What is he trying to do? Make it look like he is active or something? His vote post is interesting. He lays out the three candidates, lists general reasons to vote for them, but is very wishy-washy and doesn't take a real stand, meandering his way around lynch. He just picks one but doesn't seem convinced about who he's voting for. Right after that, he asks "On a last note, do you guys want me to zap someone tonight, and who do you want me to zap? Don't forget mafia can manipulate the 'zap vote' just as easily as they can manipulate a lynch." That last sentence is just terrible. Why does he need to mention this statement? It seems like he is just giving himself an out when a townie dies. Next, he pops out of nowhere to accuse Amber[LighT] of OMGUS voting for aidnai. Yet he doesn't like the way aidnai is playing either. So what is it? deconduo isn't putting any thoughts into his post. He's pointing fingers without pointing fingers. In his next useless post, he says: Which best suspects? Why didn't you mention these earlier? Why were you so wishy washy in your vote post yet suddenly say that the "best suspects" are at the top? And following this, his next post says he'll random who to hit between Kenpachi, Jackal58, and Fishball. This is suspicious. He doesn't want to be accountable for his choice. And perhaps he even wants to protect one of his mafia buddies by giving a list and picking one at "random". deconduo's posts bring up more questions than answers. First he is clearly lurkiing the thread. He tries to spread doubt through the town, and uses questionable methods to determine who to zap. He doesn't take responsibility for his actions, and just seems to be flailing around looking for a consensus. A consensus that would allow him to blame his missteps on the town as a whole. As a bonus, deconduo has night KP. Getting rid of that will give us a bit more time and hopefully give us at least another day to find another red. ##Vote Deconduo I love this guy, I wish I could have told him to pick mason referring to Jimbo ^^ ![]() I've got an idea. The top three can prove themselves. One is a CC, right? They have DayVig then (?Assuming first kill is the first passed?). All they need to do is type: Kill: bumatlarge (Yay, I'm not DayVig!) Or someone else. That way we can know for certain who is what. So deconduo, kitaman and kenpachi, proceed to do this ASAP. If you are not DayVig, it will do nothing. Also, if Dayvig is scum, I'd advise him to use it on someone they consider SK, as I believe it will kill them. There are supposedly 2, as we don't even know if a JOAT is in play, let alone used their ability. ##Vote deconduo On January 16 2011 03:13 BloodyC0bbler wrote: You are my favorite new player! I honestly hope you keep this level of performance up in other games. On January 16 2011 05:54 bumatlarge wrote: That's good advice, even though I'd think PYP can be tons more information based, but that for every piece of information given, you can form now analysis around it. I will try to analyze a player I find suspicious, but as of this moment, analysis involves opportunity to lynch. Assuming we do lynch deconduo or not (our relationship with him is completely information based as of now since he is playing for his survival), we do not get a lynch til say day 4. I take some blame for not being here for the end of the day to help persuade those to actually push a lynch through. But really to anyone who abstained on that day or didn't think that was important, that is either obvious scum play or everyone is daft. Also BC... I've said this twice now about Jimbo during day 1. Have you really been paying attention this game? -_- Stop stealing my compliments! compliment war lol On January 16 2011 11:58 BloodyC0bbler wrote: Yay an attempt at analysis, there is hope for you yet. Reason to keep fish around is simple. As of now, myself, fishball, and jimbo are the three people posting the most coherent posts. If nothing else the three of us see logic and when we post typically have something useful. As such, regardless of Fish's role, having someone who has to play at a certain level (and if hes traitor he has to find reds as well), he will have to help analyze briefly. As for gf role, go look at my record. I as a player have been lynched late game fairly often, and of these times I have only been red once. Factor in towns having a trend of offing the people who analyze/talk in recent games your damn right I expected to be lynched. Not only do I like to talk I am expected to purely based on my name. As for intended on doing if I was checked by bulletbill, simply claim. No reason not to. Now, move into the whole me finding an SK. You all seem to think that if I was mafia I would auto find an SK purely to off a KP role. Sadly you're wrong. As mafia I would bus 1-2 of my own team, build credibility to town and then wreak havoc. Instead I opt to find anyone who is antitown. LSB flipping SK is the most beneficial flip I could have as it shows I am not doing my normal mafia tactics of playing ridiculous plans upon plans. Then look at the night hits. Again, the people who I would target two days running are not dead. Anyone who has played on a red team with me would realize I purposely aim for town leadership or people who analyze intelligently. IE if I was red I'd have shot jimbo and fishball by now if I knew they were town. I would have kept LSB alive as based on his play (if i was red) i would have him pinned as SK and let him lead the town around stupidly till the town offed itself. Next talk about an excuse not to commit? we had two targets, both I thought shouldn't die and no way a vote swing would happen to someone I preferred. Instead I said I would go with the town flow if we were going to lynch one of them and be the hammer. That means had they flipped town my ass is in the hot seat. Then you mention flattery? Guess what dude, alot of the newer players don't learn, at all. Seeing someone new who can analyze, read a thread, make informed posts, and hell argue with players like myself who have been around for awhile is a huge kudos to him. He's shown alot of talent and potential to grow as a player, course I am going to flatter him. Now, if you want to do real analysis, go compare my previous games where I am town, just notice the style of game I play there, compared to the style of game I play as mafia. You will notice very quickly that I am playing very pro town. Rofl, I need to stop being an easy day 1 lynch target. Stop distracting the town... And Jimbo, I'm sorry for screwing with you day one too... I was feeling so loopy at the time, just wanted to have fun. But please tell me, what's your secret? Oh and Jimbo, you have a hat trick already, why not set a new record and kill 4/5 scum players (not counting fishball. that benedict arnold can rot in hell) singlehandedly? I will worship you forever ![]() | ||
Fishball
Canada4788 Posts
I already told you no one in their right mind would shoot you, given the situation. | ||
aidnai
United States1159 Posts
On January 20 2011 13:19 Eiii wrote: I should probably read spoilers huh. yes, yes you should. On January 20 2011 13:24 Kenpachi wrote: our target is SK. deconduo has no chance alone LOL Wrong, Deconduo still has KP and needs to be eliminated ASAP. We are getting rid of scum because we know who they are, when we are done we will have a much better idea of who is SK (smaller pool of players to pick from). On January 20 2011 13:27 Beneather wrote: How many scum are left? & I think that aidnai should be lynched he saved haplo @ night 1. Just one. Deconduo. And saving haplo was stupid of me, but that's a stupid reason to lynch me now. On January 20 2011 16:55 Misder wrote: I say that decon tries to hit SK tonight and tells us who he tried to hit. Just saying. We might spare you one day if you do. And does Jimbo get to survive a lynch even after he already got hit? If so, Jimbo being SK pretty much screws us. I think the best option is if we lynch decon today (4v1v1 -> 4v0v1, night 3v0v1), lynch Jimbo the next day (who won't die unless he lied, so still 3v0v1, night 2v1), then we decide who to lynch the last day as lylo. This gives us the biggest probability of lynching SK. And Misder is the winner! This plan makes the most sense period. After having lynched deconduo and Jimbo one time, we are at 2v1 which is the best odds we'll ever get. With that settled, I'd like to announce that tomorrow is my first TL birthday. I know better than to ask about how icons work, so I'll just wait and see if mine changes. The most important thing to me is that I can start reporting shit... with this new found power, I might be able to read LR threads again! | ||
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