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Pick Your Power Mafia 3! - Page 79

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Fishball
Profile Joined December 2005
Canada4788 Posts
January 21 2011 03:19 GMT
#1561
On January 21 2011 12:14 Kenpachi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2011 11:43 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On January 21 2011 11:33 Kenpachi wrote:
woah 1 died Deconduo must have hit beneather or the SK.
##vote deconduo


pretty clear sk hit beneather. Mafia hit can't kill the bulletproof

i said deconduo hit beneather or the SK. not deconduo or SK hit beneather >_>


Just like all game, you make zero sense whatsoever.
靈魂交響曲
Eiii
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States2566 Posts
January 21 2011 03:53 GMT
#1562
##vote deconduo

'course.
:3
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
January 21 2011 04:41 GMT
#1563
So I've been half following this whole game. Everytime I look at the list of players dead, everyone on the list is either blue or green (LSB exception of course). So without really reading it, I think to myself "wow no reds have died yet, it's all townies", since none of the players are red in color. Now I just realize that 5 mafia have died x.x

You can imagine my confusion because it's like..."hmm there are 7 people alive, and 5 are mafia...why is this game still going on??"

I fail hard. x.x
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
January 21 2011 04:48 GMT
#1564
On January 21 2011 13:41 Foolishness wrote:
So I've been half following this whole game. Everytime I look at the list of players dead, everyone on the list is either blue or green (LSB exception of course). So without really reading it, I think to myself "wow no reds have died yet, it's all townies", since none of the players are red in color. Now I just realize that 5 mafia have died x.x

You can imagine my confusion because it's like..."hmm there are 7 people alive, and 5 are mafia...why is this game still going on??"

I fail hard. x.x


wrecked -_-
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
January 21 2011 06:30 GMT
#1565
[image loading]



Day 6 votes

deconduo (4)
BloodyC0bbler
aidnai
Kenpachi
Eiii


Not voting (3) - deconduo, JimboSilvers, Misder


+ Show Spoiler [Result] +

Deconduo, Scum CopyCat has been lynched!



Night Actions are due by 9PM ET / 11 KST Friday January 21st
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
January 21 2011 06:59 GMT
#1566
go team!
Misder
Profile Joined October 2009
United States1557 Posts
January 21 2011 07:52 GMT
#1567
Awww, I didn't get to vote
Whaaaa?
JimboSilvers
Profile Joined April 2010
United Kingdom167 Posts
January 21 2011 08:23 GMT
#1568
Well damn those hits are nice for us. Now we get 2 lynches to find the sk which is huge. As for my lil bandwagon, fucking hilarious! Don't worry though, town ain't losing this on my watch.

Analysis coming in a bit.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
January 21 2011 08:24 GMT
#1569
Lol, you guys didn't give me a chance to tell you who SK is. Bad play
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
January 21 2011 08:35 GMT
#1570
can you whisper it to me?
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
January 21 2011 08:42 GMT
#1571
Not allowed when I'm dead. You guys are too hasty.
JimboSilvers
Profile Joined April 2010
United Kingdom167 Posts
January 21 2011 10:34 GMT
#1572
At this point the sk has to be sitting fine given I'm the only one under scrutiny. That means he either:

1- Is lurking and hoping town lynches me
2- Is putting enough suspicion on me and leaving it at that.

Either way if we want to pin him we need some pressure. Let's try and shake him up a bit.



Kenpachi- Kenpachi's play this game seems exactly like he did when I last played with him and he was medic. He might play like a raving lunatic sometimes but I'm having a real hard time seeing him anything but townie. An SK wouldn't want to cause trouble and would probably just pick jack or another sweetbaby role at pick 2. But Godfather? lol

Aidnai- You've been hella suspicious the whole game and I really thought you were scum day 1 and day 3 but sk? There's one thing I want to focus on here, as I'm afraid I'll get clouded by my earlier judgments if I analyze your posts from earlier. You've been trying real hard to find the SK, abnormally hard compared to what you've been doing otherwise in the game. This either clearly shows that you are the sk going crazy in crunch time, or you are the least likely to be the sk due to the 2 points I stated at the start. Right now im leaning towards innocent cause your flippant day 1 behavior doesnt strike me of how the sk would act.


Misder- Now that I look he actually made serious analysis posts like BC and myself. His opinions are firm and he actively scum hunted. Right now he fits in the lurking category but I feel he had no problems staying in the spotlight and battling it out with fishball. Can't see the SK going guns all out like that so early.

Now we get to troublesome folks.

Eiii- Lurker extraordinaire. What's more important, he supports the right stuff while not getting too open. Perfect profile for an SK.

On January 15 2011 19:29 Eiii wrote:
I'd be willing to bet this game on the fact that there would only be two SK, personally.

Jimbo's plan seems just fine to me, as well-- zeks and beneather have been flying under the radar, and fishball has been obnoxious and unhelpful, not to mention not voting yesterday when he was clearly active.


We got a problem here boys. That might explain the zeks hit. Also was really antsy for a day 3 lynch when it looked like nobody was going to die. Most importantly he doesn't give real content and parrots what everyone else says. Seems like hes just going along for the ride and doesnt care what happens to the town.

BloodyC0bbler- I actually thought was the most innocent one here given all he's done. Hard to think the guy that wiped the mafia with me is actually the serial killer. However, there's two HUGE problems.

On January 20 2011 13:29 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2011 13:27 Beneather wrote:
How many scum are left? & I think that aidnai should be lynched he saved haplo @ night 1.



-_- Aidnai is not sk. SK hit shot halpo and chances of aidnai being the second sk and saving an sk target seems well, unlikely.


Whoa baby slip o the tongue? How does BC know the second SK shot haplo? Aidnai also makes this slip but probably got it subconsciously from you. So it's possible for him too, but less likely.

Also, BC is still alive, seriously? I took a hit for burning mafia, but BC is still alive. He was even more aggressive than I was. There was a missing hit the last two nights, and I really can't believe mafia would hit me but not BC. Just doesn't make sense.

We got 2 lynches to get this bastard. Those are my targets. Let's roll.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
January 21 2011 11:31 GMT
#1573
Let's talk about it in the morning when there is one less person to worry about, k?
Misder
Profile Joined October 2009
United States1557 Posts
January 21 2011 11:51 GMT
#1574
Best Case Scenario
Whoever got hit last night, please come out. It may or may not result in a cookie.

Worst Case Scenario
Day 5v1 -> 4v1
Night 4v1 -> 3v1
Day 3v1 -> 2v1
Night 2v1 -> 1v1
Day
So we still have two days to lynch SK. And we have to reserve two in order to lynch Jimbo just in case he is SK.


TBH, I kinda just want to vote BC off right away. Also, BC started the bandwagon (is that the right word if everyone was going to vote for him anyway?) on deconduo, maybe just to rush decon's death from telling the mafia hit on himself. And in a different game, when he was ninja (ehh, not exactly the same, but a nontown role nonetheless), he also acted very protown (as in scumhunted and stuff).

But I still think the best course of action is to lynch Jimbo next day just for security sake.
Whaaaa?
JimboSilvers
Profile Joined April 2010
United Kingdom167 Posts
January 21 2011 21:54 GMT
#1575
Whoa Aidnai, why do you want us not to talk about it? while clearly we get more info once we see who dies, the biggest danger we have right now is not knowing enough to correctly find the sk. We need people to post, we need to see peoples reactions, and we need to put the real sk under some heat and get him to fuck up.

Misder, there's no need to jump the gun and lynch someone right away. We have plenty of time to get info out there so we can make the right choice. If you want to go ahead and vote people to get them to post, as people like eiii should not be able to lurk this much and say nothing, but under no circumstances should anyone be hammering until we have a clear target.

And how is it security to lynch me? That wastes a chance to find SK. It won't prove I'm green either since I'm vet. Best case scenario is I get shot so you can be sure about me and pick two other targets, but that probably won't happen since SK is probably counting on me getting lynched.
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
January 21 2011 21:54 GMT
#1576
accelerated day/night cycles plz?

by the way your numbers are off misder. We're at 5v1 right now, during night. So it should be:
Plan 1: lynch someone not Jimbo
Current night 5v1
tomorrow: 4v1
night again: 3v1
2nd day: 2v1 LYLO, plus too late to kill vet

On the other hand if we hit jimbo and he was telling the truth about vet, then it goes
Plan 2, lynch Jimbo
Current night 5v1
tomorrow: 4v1
night again: 4v1
2nd day: 3v1 MYLO. If we choose no lynch, then
night: 3v1
day 3: 2v1 LYLO

In both plans, we can end up at 2v1 which in terms of statistics is the best shot we have of guessing correctly. At that point, we've eliminated the greatest number of incorrect targets by flipping 3 of our remaining 6 players.

The major advantage of hitting Jimbo is we avoid a situation where it's too late to lynch the vet. We also verify Jimbo's vet claim. The only disadvantage is that in plan 1 we get to pick a suspicious person to flip, whereas in plan 2 all three flips are done by the SK.

That's just the numbers though. And the best the numbers can do is 33%. This will come down to analysis, argument, and persuasion in the end, and I'm REALLY hoping I'm around for it... This is my favorite part of mafia...

BTW, I don't think deconduo would have really revealed the SK, and it would have been a dick move to do so anyway. He's just been stringing us along the entire game, when he should have died day 2. If he had really wanted to screw the SK over, he could have told us his hit when he sent it in.

Jimbo, about the 'slip of the tongue', I remember reading that LSB's hit was barundar night 1? I can't find it now, (hate it when the game is past 50 pages), does anyone else remember this? Now that I stop and think about it, LSB never admitted anything before he flipped, so it must have been speculation that I took for fact -_-. Meh, so maybe LSB hit haplopaithan, maybe the SK#2's scumdar wasn't quite as unbelievable as I gave him credit for. But even without that hit, SK#2 still has bagged zeks and bum...
aidnai
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1159 Posts
January 21 2011 22:07 GMT
#1577
lol we posted at the exact same time. And as I said, if we wait a few more hours to discuss who our prime suspects are, then one of the suspects will have flipped already.
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
January 21 2011 22:46 GMT
#1578
3 hours 15 minutes until Night Actions are due
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
JimboSilvers
Profile Joined April 2010
United Kingdom167 Posts
January 21 2011 23:37 GMT
#1579
The major advantage of hitting Jimbo is we avoid a situation where it's too late to lynch the vet. We also verify Jimbo's vet claim. The only disadvantage is that in plan 1 we get to pick a suspicious person to flip, whereas in plan 2 all three flips are done by the SK.


This is not a major advantage. Its a major disadvantage, since you can't lynch me and someone else. Its pretty much down to lynching me or lynching two others, since a single lynch on me doesn't flip me. Verifying my vet claim doesn't get you anywhere because it doesn't prove I'm townie or SK either way.

That's just the numbers though. And the best the numbers can do is 33%. This will come down to analysis, argument, and persuasion in the end, and I'm REALLY hoping I'm around for it... This is my favorite part of mafia...


We can't do this by numbers. Its gotta be behavior. SK is harder to find than mafia because of the lack of connections. We need all the lurkers talking so we can get a better picture of what to do.
JimboSilvers
Profile Joined April 2010
United Kingdom167 Posts
January 22 2011 00:43 GMT
#1580
Okay so it seems I missed something the first time I read your post.

And as I said, if we wait a few more hours to discuss who our prime suspects are, then one of the suspects will have flipped already.


Are you serious aidnai? What kind of a post is this? I might have to rethink my earlier stance on you. You are suddenly looking very anti-town when it comes to crunch time.

Why would you ask for shorter day cycles? That obviously forces us to vote faster with far more room for error. We get less information that way, and you already want us to not talk about stuff at night? Combine that with your constantly parroting the last few days and I am really starting to suspect you.
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