EPTOn January 21 2011 12:14 Kenpachi wrote:
i said deconduo hit beneather or the SK. not deconduo or SK hit beneather >_>
Deconduo must have hit beneather or the SK.i said deconduo hit beneather or the SK. not deconduo or SK hit beneather >_>
Just like all game, you make zero sense whatsoever.
Pick Your Power Mafia 3! - Page 79
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Fishball
Canada4788 Posts
Just like all game, you make zero sense whatsoever. | ||
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Eiii
United States2566 Posts
'course. | ||
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Foolishness
United States3044 Posts
You can imagine my confusion because it's like..."hmm there are 7 people alive, and 5 are mafia...why is this game still going on??" I fail hard. x.x | ||
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BloodyC0bbler
Canada7875 Posts
On January 21 2011 13:41 Foolishness wrote: So I've been half following this whole game. Everytime I look at the list of players dead, everyone on the list is either blue or green (LSB exception of course). So without really reading it, I think to myself "wow no reds have died yet, it's all townies", since none of the players are red in color. Now I just realize that 5 mafia have died x.x You can imagine my confusion because it's like..."hmm there are 7 people alive, and 5 are mafia...why is this game still going on??" I fail hard. x.x wrecked -_- | ||
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Ace
United States16096 Posts
Day 6 votes deconduo (4) BloodyC0bbler aidnai Kenpachi Eiii Not voting (3) - deconduo, JimboSilvers, Misder + Show Spoiler [Result] + Deconduo, Scum CopyCat has been lynched! Night Actions are due by 9PM ET / 11 KST Friday January 21st | ||
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aidnai
United States1159 Posts
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Misder
United States1557 Posts
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JimboSilvers
United Kingdom167 Posts
Analysis coming in a bit. | ||
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deconduo
Ireland4122 Posts
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aidnai
United States1159 Posts
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deconduo
Ireland4122 Posts
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JimboSilvers
United Kingdom167 Posts
1- Is lurking and hoping town lynches me 2- Is putting enough suspicion on me and leaving it at that. Either way if we want to pin him we need some pressure. Let's try and shake him up a bit. Kenpachi- Kenpachi's play this game seems exactly like he did when I last played with him and he was medic. He might play like a raving lunatic sometimes but I'm having a real hard time seeing him anything but townie. An SK wouldn't want to cause trouble and would probably just pick jack or another sweetbaby role at pick 2. But Godfather? lol Aidnai- You've been hella suspicious the whole game and I really thought you were scum day 1 and day 3 but sk? There's one thing I want to focus on here, as I'm afraid I'll get clouded by my earlier judgments if I analyze your posts from earlier. You've been trying real hard to find the SK, abnormally hard compared to what you've been doing otherwise in the game. This either clearly shows that you are the sk going crazy in crunch time, or you are the least likely to be the sk due to the 2 points I stated at the start. Right now im leaning towards innocent cause your flippant day 1 behavior doesnt strike me of how the sk would act. Misder- Now that I look he actually made serious analysis posts like BC and myself. His opinions are firm and he actively scum hunted. Right now he fits in the lurking category but I feel he had no problems staying in the spotlight and battling it out with fishball. Can't see the SK going guns all out like that so early. Now we get to troublesome folks. Eiii- Lurker extraordinaire. What's more important, he supports the right stuff while not getting too open. Perfect profile for an SK. On January 15 2011 19:29 Eiii wrote: I'd be willing to bet this game on the fact that there would only be two SK, personally. Jimbo's plan seems just fine to me, as well-- zeks and beneather have been flying under the radar, and fishball has been obnoxious and unhelpful, not to mention not voting yesterday when he was clearly active. We got a problem here boys. That might explain the zeks hit. Also was really antsy for a day 3 lynch when it looked like nobody was going to die. Most importantly he doesn't give real content and parrots what everyone else says. Seems like hes just going along for the ride and doesnt care what happens to the town. BloodyC0bbler- I actually thought was the most innocent one here given all he's done. Hard to think the guy that wiped the mafia with me is actually the serial killer. However, there's two HUGE problems. On January 20 2011 13:29 BloodyC0bbler wrote: -_- Aidnai is not sk. SK hit shot halpo and chances of aidnai being the second sk and saving an sk target seems well, unlikely. Whoa baby slip o the tongue? How does BC know the second SK shot haplo? Aidnai also makes this slip but probably got it subconsciously from you. So it's possible for him too, but less likely. Also, BC is still alive, seriously? I took a hit for burning mafia, but BC is still alive. He was even more aggressive than I was. There was a missing hit the last two nights, and I really can't believe mafia would hit me but not BC. Just doesn't make sense. We got 2 lynches to get this bastard. Those are my targets. Let's roll. | ||
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aidnai
United States1159 Posts
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Misder
United States1557 Posts
Whoever got hit last night, please come out. It may or may not result in a cookie. Worst Case Scenario Day 5v1 -> 4v1 Night 4v1 -> 3v1 Day 3v1 -> 2v1 Night 2v1 -> 1v1 Day So we still have two days to lynch SK. And we have to reserve two in order to lynch Jimbo just in case he is SK. TBH, I kinda just want to vote BC off right away. Also, BC started the bandwagon (is that the right word if everyone was going to vote for him anyway?) on deconduo, maybe just to rush decon's death from telling the mafia hit on himself. And in a different game, when he was ninja (ehh, not exactly the same, but a nontown role nonetheless), he also acted very protown (as in scumhunted and stuff). But I still think the best course of action is to lynch Jimbo next day just for security sake. | ||
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JimboSilvers
United Kingdom167 Posts
Misder, there's no need to jump the gun and lynch someone right away. We have plenty of time to get info out there so we can make the right choice. If you want to go ahead and vote people to get them to post, as people like eiii should not be able to lurk this much and say nothing, but under no circumstances should anyone be hammering until we have a clear target. And how is it security to lynch me? That wastes a chance to find SK. It won't prove I'm green either since I'm vet. Best case scenario is I get shot so you can be sure about me and pick two other targets, but that probably won't happen since SK is probably counting on me getting lynched. | ||
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aidnai
United States1159 Posts
by the way your numbers are off misder. We're at 5v1 right now, during night. So it should be: Plan 1: lynch someone not Jimbo Current night 5v1 tomorrow: 4v1 night again: 3v1 2nd day: 2v1 LYLO, plus too late to kill vet On the other hand if we hit jimbo and he was telling the truth about vet, then it goes Plan 2, lynch Jimbo Current night 5v1 tomorrow: 4v1 night again: 4v1 2nd day: 3v1 MYLO. If we choose no lynch, then night: 3v1 day 3: 2v1 LYLO In both plans, we can end up at 2v1 which in terms of statistics is the best shot we have of guessing correctly. At that point, we've eliminated the greatest number of incorrect targets by flipping 3 of our remaining 6 players. The major advantage of hitting Jimbo is we avoid a situation where it's too late to lynch the vet. We also verify Jimbo's vet claim. The only disadvantage is that in plan 1 we get to pick a suspicious person to flip, whereas in plan 2 all three flips are done by the SK. That's just the numbers though. And the best the numbers can do is 33%. This will come down to analysis, argument, and persuasion in the end, and I'm REALLY hoping I'm around for it... This is my favorite part of mafia... BTW, I don't think deconduo would have really revealed the SK, and it would have been a dick move to do so anyway. He's just been stringing us along the entire game, when he should have died day 2. If he had really wanted to screw the SK over, he could have told us his hit when he sent it in. Jimbo, about the 'slip of the tongue', I remember reading that LSB's hit was barundar night 1? I can't find it now, (hate it when the game is past 50 pages), does anyone else remember this? Now that I stop and think about it, LSB never admitted anything before he flipped, so it must have been speculation that I took for fact -_-. Meh, so maybe LSB hit haplopaithan, maybe the SK#2's scumdar wasn't quite as unbelievable as I gave him credit for. But even without that hit, SK#2 still has bagged zeks and bum... | ||
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aidnai
United States1159 Posts
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Ace
United States16096 Posts
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JimboSilvers
United Kingdom167 Posts
The major advantage of hitting Jimbo is we avoid a situation where it's too late to lynch the vet. We also verify Jimbo's vet claim. The only disadvantage is that in plan 1 we get to pick a suspicious person to flip, whereas in plan 2 all three flips are done by the SK. This is not a major advantage. Its a major disadvantage, since you can't lynch me and someone else. Its pretty much down to lynching me or lynching two others, since a single lynch on me doesn't flip me. Verifying my vet claim doesn't get you anywhere because it doesn't prove I'm townie or SK either way. That's just the numbers though. And the best the numbers can do is 33%. This will come down to analysis, argument, and persuasion in the end, and I'm REALLY hoping I'm around for it... This is my favorite part of mafia... We can't do this by numbers. Its gotta be behavior. SK is harder to find than mafia because of the lack of connections. We need all the lurkers talking so we can get a better picture of what to do. | ||
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JimboSilvers
United Kingdom167 Posts
And as I said, if we wait a few more hours to discuss who our prime suspects are, then one of the suspects will have flipped already. Are you serious aidnai? What kind of a post is this? I might have to rethink my earlier stance on you. You are suddenly looking very anti-town when it comes to crunch time. Why would you ask for shorter day cycles? That obviously forces us to vote faster with far more room for error. We get less information that way, and you already want us to not talk about stuff at night? Combine that with your constantly parroting the last few days and I am really starting to suspect you. | ||
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