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Pick Your Power Mafia 2!

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 05 2010 16:44 GMT
#14
/in
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 17 2010 03:00 GMT
#49
/in
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 20 2010 16:09 GMT
#109
On August 21 2010 01:06 Pandain wrote:
Pandain's random list of thoughts/ideas
So, unsure as to what to do I'll spit out every possibility that I think might be possible.
Which of these should we do/not do and why.

1.Claim what we're going to pick (therefore no townies losing their role and becoming vanilla.)
2.Organize it so that numbers don't overlap(would this be cheating?)

3. Make a super amazing plan involving roles that would make a specific person verified/not.(that would be hard...just an idea.)
Thoughts?



i already picked my number

i dont mind if i share my first number to everyone first
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 20 2010 16:28 GMT
#114
On August 21 2010 01:22 DarthThienAn wrote:
lol, BS's list is SFA. That would be lolz.
@your first post: those are all solid roles to pick.
@second post: it's not cheating to organize it so that our numbers overlap, but do we really want to publicly claim our picks? That just makes it easier for mafia to avoid us. Last time, what we did was claim after the draft went through.


**i have not read the previous pyp*

mafia can already plan to pick w/e numbers they want right so obviously they'll all be different by that assumption

so probability of two mafia picking same number is 0
probability of two or more of us picking same number is > than probability of one of town and one of mafia pick the same number right?

so isn't it better to claim

"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 20 2010 19:01 GMT
#130
by what Radfield has said I guess we shouldn't be number claiming.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 20 2010 23:10 GMT
#173
Wow I picked 8 too is it possible to switch if I've already sent it in
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 21 2010 03:13 GMT
#208
Wow I picked 8 too is it possible to switch if I've already sent it in
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 21 2010 03:22 GMT
#209
^woopsi think my bb posted my saved msg.

Anyways since hesmyrr changed to 7 ill stick with 8.

Jus sayin if I draft first I'm most likely taking cv/joat as I deem those high priority for town
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 21 2010 11:55 GMT
#223
On August 21 2010 19:50 Bill Murray wrote:
JeeJee: 1
DTA: 2
rastaban: 3
chaoser:4
LSB: 5
Bill: 6
Hesmyrr: 7
zeks: 8 (unless he changed)
rastaban: 9
Radfield: 10
johnnyspazz: 11
Pandain: 12

citi.zen, vx70GTOJudgexv, SouthRawrea, SiNiquity, ~OpZ~ , Fishball, BrownBear, Divinek


i didn't change i'm still 8 until further notice.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 21 2010 12:00 GMT
#225
if scum hasn't already sent in their numbers then the probability of them getting a top role diminishes - so i think its likely that scum has already caught on and a couple of them have already claimed and lie within the 1-12 range.

the thing is we've been working from 1-20 (some people picked what they want, but for the most part we went in order?) so i think how the last 8 numbers should be picked is important

should the last 8 that claim go in order from 13-20?
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 21 2010 12:40 GMT
#227
Radfield: "If Prince of Darkness gets used, then we have a sure-fire lynch."
DTA: "Prince of Darkness is a huge role to designate, because it forces mafia to never use it, unless it's endgame or unless they want to be revealed."

how will prince of darkness l be revealed after using his power? i thought the power is activated through secret PM
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 21 2010 18:35 GMT
#249
maybe we should discuss some detriments to this plan, and how possibly mafia can screw this up
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 21 2010 18:38 GMT
#250
sorry for double post

the #1 draft pick taking CV should be no brainer i agree with that, but other than that we should somewhat follow the chain of role importance (as posted from rasta/radfield) loosely. If we follow it 100% then we might as well have mass roleclaimed

hope to hear all the number claims before we start the game
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 21 2010 20:13 GMT
#259
On August 22 2010 04:00 LSB wrote:
If you are concerned about blue sniping, I can PM everyone their roles. That way no mafia will know.

The day vigi can kill me day 1 to verify that I am town.


dont think u can pm
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 22 2010 13:51 GMT
#298
On August 22 2010 12:20 johnnyspazz wrote:
it's not really forced double lynches everyday. we can just no lynch and have the CV shoot.


well said.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 22 2010 22:27 GMT
#313
On August 23 2010 07:06 Pandain wrote:
#1 Comp Vig
#2 Bad Santa
#3 Prince of Darkness


#4 50% Role Cop, 50% Defensive role(Vet, Meth Man, or Bulletproof. 33% chance of each)
#5 50% Joat......... 50% Defensive role
#6 50% Bullet Bill, 50% Defensive role

#7 50% Role Cop, 50% Defensive role
#8 50% Joat.........50% Defensive role
#9 50% Bullet Bill, 50% Defensive role

#10 25% Role Cop, 25% Defensive role, 50% pro town non essential role(Doctor, Doctor, Alignment Cop, Watcher, Copy Cat, Mason. You choose)
#11 25% Joat, 25% Defensive role, 50% pro town non essential role
#12 25% Bullet Bill, 25% Defensive role, 50% pro town non essential role
#13: 50% Bad santa, 50% doctor.
#14. 50% Bad Santa, 50% doctor
#15. 50% Bad Santa, 50% Copy cat/doctor(25 % each)
#16. 50% bad santa, 50% Copycat/doctor (25 percent each)
#17 50% role cop, 50% other
#18 50% Joat, 50% other
#19 50% Bullet Bill, 50% other
#20 50% tracker, 50% other

The draft as of now.
However, this does lead to tracker being less common. Any other suggestions?



remind me what the percentages mean?
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 23 2010 02:43 GMT
#369
just wondering so who's list are we going with? radfields?
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 23 2010 13:29 GMT
#382
On August 23 2010 11:11 Radfield wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 23 2010 11:07 Divinek wrote:
so according to your plan radfield do us guys down here just try to take random ass roles and hope for the best?



If by "random ass roles" you mean the very non-random percentages i've layed out at each spot, then yes.

#1 Comp Vig
#2 Bad Santa
#3 Prince of Darkness
#4 33/33/33 CV, Bad Santa or PoD
#5 50% Role Cop, 50% Defensive role(Vet, Meth Man, or Bulletproof. 33% chance of each)
#6 50% Joat......... 50% Defensive role
#7 50% Bullet Bill, 50% Defensive role
#8 50% Role Cop, 50% Defensive role
#9 50% Joat.........50% Defensive role
#10 50% Bullet Bill, 50% Defensive role
#11 25% Role Cop, 25% Defensive role, 25% Doctor, 25% role of your choice(not tracker)
#12 25% Joat, 25% Defensive role, 25% Doctor, 25% role of your choice(not tracker)
#13 25% Bullet Bill, 25% Defensive role, 25% Doctor, 25% role of your choice(not tracker)
#14. 50% Tracker, 25% doctor, 25% Copy Cat(recommended) or Other(Alignment Cop, Mason, Martyr, etc.)
#15. 50% Tracker, 25% doctor, 25% Copy Cat(recommended) or Other
#16. 50% Tracker, 25% doctor, 25% Copy Cat(recommended) or Other
#17 50% role cop, 50% other
#18 50% Joat, 50% other
#19 50% Bullet Bill, 50% other
#20 50% tracker, 50% other


I went by this list to roll for my role for everyones information.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 23 2010 17:59 GMT
#396
[8][8]. I've sent in my role going with Radfields plan as I think thats the most competent one right now. What citi.zen says makes sense too (about BB/tracker priority) but if we go with Radfields list I think we start off at a more advantageous position than just random picking whatever we want. Would be easier in the long run to point fingers imo.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 23 2010 23:04 GMT
#413
lol i have no idea how this system works
hesmyrr picked 7 i picked 8 how did southrawrea get in between us two
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 00:39 GMT
#462
i'm #5 and just for everyones information i have went with

role cop50% def role 50% right now

i will be sticking with that until i hear more from other ppl

i may consider doing rerolling with
33% cc 33% rolecop 33% defensive role

will be f5-ing this thread periodically.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 01:42 GMT
#473
i used random.org went exactly with this:
#5 50% Role Cop, 50% Defensive role(Vet, Meth Man, or Bulletproof. 33% chance of each)

1-50 rolecop
50-67 vet
67-83 bulletproof
83-100 methman

just sayin, i'm hoping everyone below me follows the plan as well.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 02:47 GMT
#480
i really want to see what he flips before i go to bed
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 02:52 GMT
#490
well the copycat is now the mason i presme?
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 10:39 GMT
#516
the CV lynch is safe now for tonight since CC has copied mason

was kind of surprised that dayvig trickled all the way down to the #15 pick - leads me to think most of the people above were gunning for the good roles
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 15:18 GMT
#521
On August 25 2010 23:58 SouthRawrea wrote:
Well shit. I would like to announce that at least 2 people did not follow along with the plan made for role picking.


if you're stating the obvious in BM / Divinek then yeah

but if its something else other than that then i'm assuming the mistakes happened up top at #1-#5

please elaborate.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 15:33 GMT
#524
you did go with radfield's list?

if everything went according to that then the people who picked before you:
rastaban - CV
chaoser - Bad Santa
LSB - PoD
Hesmyrr - said he was picking anti-town role (if i remember correctly)
Me - role cop / copy cat / defensive role (33/33/33)

i know u shouldn't be announcing the role but this could be a place to start
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 15:58 GMT
#527
^ wasn't that the exact reason why we wanted the 33/33/33 cv/bs/pod for the #4 spot?

i'm under the impression most of the top #'s went with the plan with one or two anomalies

needless to say those anomalies are likely scum, and i feel strongly that there are scum lurking in the top 8.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 16:12 GMT
#530
please don't say your role right now let other people put some thinking into it

wont put me in a very good situation either...
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 16:46 GMT
#540
Picking traitor was already an extremely anti town move on sr's part. But since he didn't get it we can assume he's town. However I think his intentions were not pro town from the start by attempting to pick traitor; its just the cirumstances right now that make him pro town.

As for hesmyrr being traitor ill wait for his posts before making a decision

"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 16:48 GMT
#541
Picking traitor was already an extremely anti town move on sr's part. But since he didn't get it we can assume he's town. However I think his intentions were not pro town from the start by attempting to pick traitor; its just the cirumstances right now that make him pro town.

As for hesmyrr being traitor ill wait for his posts before making a decision

"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 17:33 GMT
#548
Traitor: You hold no allegiance to the town. If you are targeted by Scum at night with any action, instead of that action happening you'll be recruited by them instead. You lose if the Mafia lose. However you are part of the town count before recruitment.

Mafia may spam all their actions tonight to try and pick up the traitor (given that we dont get the traitor first lynch). It's even easier now since the list has been narrowed down to 5, it is likely they'll use their actions to fish the traitor out.

Which is why I'm more worried now that we don't get a traitor tonight.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 17:37 GMT
#551
You are Vanilla Scum!

The ability to kill 1 player per night belongs to you. One of you must PM me a kill for the night even though all of you participate in the kill.

Remember you can coordinate your # picks during the draft phase. The Mafia team this round consists of: Jack, Jill, this bottle and my ecstasy pills!

You win when you outnumber the town, or there is no way for them to stop you from outnumbering them.

see bolded part. Unless that's some meme or some inside joke I'm assuming theres 4 scum?
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 18:39 GMT
#567
The reason I won't be voting SR is that I just think it would be a huge gambit on his part (if he's scum) just to try to frame a traitor on the top 5 - and in a 1 for 1 trade situation thats just totally irrational. Trading one scum for someone in the top 5 (where many of them are gonna die anyway) is just stupid. I think he knows a bit better than that.

Hesmyrr: His counter claim is valid. The only thing I'm worried about is that he did counter claim CV - which is the safest counter claim as it should be a given at this point that CV was drafted #1 by rastaban. But after everything happened we cannot guarantee that both PoD and Bad Santa have been taken. So if in the case Hesmyrr is scum then the CV claim would make sense from him. Nevertheless he may be honest and did RNG CV and is just a townie.

I'm not sold on Hesmyrr yet either way, but we really need to hear from chaoser/LSB. I do suspect both of them to a certain extent (chaoser a bit more because I understand a little about how he plays). So right now for me its between 2,3,4.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 18:44 GMT
#570
I wouldn't go as far as the town plan being ruined...

Its just that someone ruined it instead of SR.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 25 2010 19:30 GMT
#590
In addition, some suggestions for the watcher/tracker:

Watcher: If the traitor lives after tonight, watch a random person out of the people remaining from #2 - #5

Tracker: A little bit tougher, but starting from me (#5) we have the possibility of people with active roles. Might be able to snipe scum this way either from their hit or attempts to spam actions to recruit the traitor. So pick someone from #5 - #20 (somewhat big range)
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 26 2010 01:08 GMT
#646
On August 26 2010 10:07 BrownBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 26 2010 09:28 Subversion wrote:
shame, pandain always has suspicion thrown on him.

last game i played with him he was also suspected quite a lot, but he was in fact town. not that he's above suspicion, just take ur feelings towards him with a pinch of salt.



To be fair, he was not town, he was ninja (3rd party role). He was just playing more town-aligned.


You can also go a game back when he was Miller
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 26 2010 02:11 GMT
#658
##Vote Hesmyrr

From the evidence/analysis presented

"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 26 2010 02:49 GMT
#666
On August 26 2010 11:41 Divinek wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 26 2010 11:03 Subversion wrote:
oh ok good

what happens if someone gets majority before i get voted? do i need a vote placeholder while im still thinking?


if you read the thread!

it says that after majority is hit, twilight will take up the remainder of the day so i guess you'd just have to cast a meaningless vote, which is kinda silly and doesnt make you look very good but i suppose that's what would go down

i imagine people will do their best to hold off on majority so meaningful discussion can continue for as long as possible about the lynch candidates etc



mm did not realize Hesmyrr is actually in such a hole

agreed with the meaningful discussion part which is why i'll ninja-unvote Hesmyrr for now

##unvote

not because of what OpZ just said
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 26 2010 02:51 GMT
#667
sorry for double post
##unvote to make it official

hmm i feel like we're going to have a bill murray successor this game
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 26 2010 12:22 GMT
#677
I was never sold on the fact that PoD is a pure anti-town role.

I mean sure its two night phases we skip a lynch (most of the time we lynch one of our own) and mafia gets 2 kills - but doesn't it also give our town roles more chances to act? (ie. cops get double the checks)

We'd also have more information going into the next day to make a more educated lynch. It's just essentially a no lynch don't see how it can give scum a big advantage which is what people have been suggesting.

Having said that I am against a no lynch tonight just cause I think its imminent to nab the traitor
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 26 2010 23:30 GMT
#716
Ill put the nail in the coffin. I think we've had enough discussion (which is why I unvoted yesterday) but I feel relatively good about the lynch

##vote Hesmyrr
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 27 2010 02:38 GMT
#740
nice ! same birthdays!
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 27 2010 02:59 GMT
#745
^ why would you ask for a lynch...

what are you trying to pull
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 27 2010 13:26 GMT
#771
as much as i'm not a big fan of OpZ's play i agree with most of his suggestions for blues

take into consideration what you know already (the roles that are already put out there) and the likelihood of other peoplehaving roles (ie. 7-10) then make an informed decision.

usually the simplest answer is the answer.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 27 2010 23:39 GMT
#798
worst yet he was in the middle of the draft order

but note that he's Vanilla by not picking at all
not picking something that was picked
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 28 2010 01:17 GMT
#809
I survived the hit last night.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 28 2010 01:23 GMT
#813
Considering the benefits of hitting me:

1. Role cop - you nail a good town role
2. I'm suspected of being a traitor - hitting me might possibly nab the traitor
3. One less possibility of someone being traitor



"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 28 2010 01:25 GMT
#815
On August 28 2010 10:25 Radfield wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 28 2010 10:23 zeks wrote:
Considering the benefits of hitting me:

1. Role cop - you nail a good town role
2. I'm suspected of being a traitor - hitting me might possibly nab the traitor
3. One less possibility of someone being traitor





Still a chance you're the traitor and they hit you last night



In which case I would be scum now.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 28 2010 13:32 GMT
#833
On August 28 2010 16:53 DarthThienAn wrote:
Hmm.

Let's assume zeks is traitor and was recruited by a mafia night action. Assuming no one counterclaims taking a hit later today, mafia targeted him with their night kill - like someone said, win/win in regard to zeks being #5 and possible traitor.

What are the advantages of him coming forward about being hit? Well, it buys him credibility (posting almost immediately), and it's a pro-town thing to claim after being hit by mafia (it was obviously a mafia hit, unless, again, a counterclaim later today).

What are the disadvantages? People know he took a hit, and therefore, he's thrust into the spotlight. Why would he claim if he could've just slipped by while the town raged about someone not coming forward? Stay in the shadows, etc. To me, it makes a lot more sense for him not to say anything, and to stay under the radar and all that. So I really doubt that he's the traitor.

Another thing I'd like to point out is that mafia most likely don't have roleblocker - zeks would've claimed "roleblocked" as well if that was the case, correct? It makes the most sense for mafia to roleblock + night hit the same person, just in case of bulletproof. Especially with only 1 KP, it makes missing a hit/failing a hit extremely costly for them. This is assuming that zeks isn't a traitor lying to us of course.


This.

Subversion flipped Vanilla. Scum has a maximum of 4? actions given all scum drafted something. I think it would make sense to throw all their actions out to fish out the traitor now that the top 6 is heavily under suspicion. However, instead of using a role-action to try to recruit me they decided to use their hit.

Like DTA said what advantages would I have from claiming a hit? Obviously I don't expect to suddenly be the center of the town circle free of all innoncence, I just think it's a pro-town move on my part and it doesn't get us finger pointing everywhere.

"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 28 2010 19:41 GMT
#889
Radfield: I went with the 33/33/33 role cop / copy cat / defensive role because there was mention that copycat should be picked earlier. I truthfully randomed my role.

Something that I've discovered

SR #6 below me is assumed vanilla town, Subversion at #7 was vanilla mafia

Which means Subversion could've overlaped with
1. rastaban CV
2. chaoser Bad Santa/traitor
3. LSB PoD/traitor
5. me RC/CC/Defensive role/traitor

Likelihood of Subversion picking

CV
next to nothing

Bad Santa or PoD
Don't see why Subversion will pick those either.

Traitor:
He's scum so he wouldn't pick traitor.

me: RC/CC/Defensive Role

Subversion likely overlapped with me and since Subversion is dead then it is likely that scum would know what my role is...

Unless Subversion overlapped with SouthRawrea, then that means South never picked traitor in the beginning - which doesn't make sense because South would be a townie with a role but lied about being a traitor

Thus conclusion: mafia knows my role and wants me dead by lynch since they couldn't finish the job last night

Which is why I'm not claiming because they will call me out on it.







"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 28 2010 19:48 GMT
#894
I think what I said proves I'm not the traitor and in fact the traitor is either #2 chaoser or #3 LSB.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 28 2010 19:52 GMT
#897
On August 29 2010 04:44 LSB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2010 04:41 zeks wrote:
Radfield: I went with the 33/33/33 role cop / copy cat / defensive role because there was mention that copycat should be picked earlier. I truthfully randomed my role.

Something that I've discovered

SR #6 below me is assumed vanilla town, Subversion at #7 was vanilla mafia

Which means Subversion could've overlaped with
1. rastaban CV
2. chaoser Bad Santa/traitor
3. LSB PoD/traitor
5. me RC/CC/Defensive role/traitor

Likelihood of Subversion picking

CV
next to nothing

Bad Santa or PoD
Don't see why Subversion will pick those either.

Traitor:
He's scum so he wouldn't pick traitor.

me: RC/CC/Defensive Role

Subversion likely overlapped with me and since Subversion is dead then it is likely that scum would know what my role is...

Unless Subversion overlapped with SouthRawrea, then that means South never picked traitor in the beginning - which doesn't make sense because South would be a townie with a role but lied about being a traitor

Thus conclusion: mafia knows my role and wants me dead by lynch since they couldn't finish the job last night

Which is why I'm not claiming because they will call me out on it.

Okay, so the Mafia already knows your role.
Why aren't you telling us?

Are you worried the Mafia is going to fake claim? If that happens, we can easily kill the Mafia.
Are you hiding something?


Assuming mafia knows my role - then they already know how I survived last night.

I'm not going to get into a 1v1 role claim / counter claim scenario - look what happened to the citi.zen vs. SouthRawrea mad hatter counter claim. I don't think that would be in town's best interest.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 28 2010 20:11 GMT
#911
Or Subversion also picked a defensive role and overlapped with me.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 28 2010 20:39 GMT
#920
Fine. I'm role cop. I checked Fishball - I don't want to reveal what he is as now we're practically in a mass roleclaim mode and it would not benefit the town to know what he is: however I will tell you that he did not follow the town's plan either.

I have no idea how bumatlarge got only 4 people from his watch, because I'm not the SK and I lived - to my surprise so someone must've protected me.

I know I'm going to die today as now I fit the perfect profiling of an SK - but please evaluate why LSB was so sure I was role cop - not to mention now only 2 suspects are remaining for the traitor and he is one of them. Radfields push for my lynch and wanting to know who I rolecheck I also find a little bit suspicious.

I apologize for my poor play and allowing scum to corner me this easily. If I go down today I blame no one but myself.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 29 2010 03:15 GMT
#995
On August 24 2010 08:16 Radfield wrote:
Citi.zen's Post+ Show Spoiler +
On August 23 2010 23:55 citi.zen wrote:
I like the probabilistic nature of the list, but still fret about how the mafia/Sk can take advantage of it.

Some concerns:

1. "Reserved" roles.

Lower drafting mafia (and the SK, for that matter) can take whatever role they want and claim they didn't get any role. For example, grab any of Pardoner / Floridian(great for SK) / Role Blocker / God Father then say "uhhh... I went for a defensive role but it was taken". I know Radfield said he's not too concerned with these roles, but to me they are a HUGE deal late game - think of all the missed lynches we can have. They are, after all, in the game to help the mafia. It's true that in principle we could verify "plain vanilla" claims, but in reality sorting it out will take too long & the mafia can always justify their claim based on how dead people flipped. So all these roles are too safe for the mafia to grab for my liking.

2. Blue sniping.

The list still makes finding investigative roles quite easy once the lynchings start. Once the meth man is dead th SK can get a very clear hit list with likely bullet bill and the tracker candidates.

I cannot emphasize this enough: once the drafting phase is over, don't start claiming your roles in the thread unless yo are 100% sure it leads to catching a liar. You might think claiming what you got or didn't get does you no harm, but remember it will also reveal information about other players.

3. The list.

For me there are two key town investigative roles: bullet bill and tracker. These are great roles to find mafia and the only ones to detect the SK. The alignment cop is also important, but given their uncertain sanity + inability to detect SK/GF it's a lot weaker in my book. I'd suggest prioritizing bullet bill over all other investigative roles, placing tracker next on our list and leaving the alignment cop for last.

Finally, please don't just feel like you are doing your job at this stage by using an RNG and calling it a day. Help us improve this plan by thinking critically, or we'll be screwed later on.



First off, something we need to be very careful of: If we follow this plan, no one can reveal if they got, or did not get the role they went for. DO NOT STATE IF YOU GET YOUR ROLE OR NOT. Posting that you are vanilla gives the mafia the information they need to hunt down our powerful investigative roles. It's very important that everyone's role, or lack of a role, is kept hidden, at least for the first part of the game.

Citizen, remember that by leaving those roles(Pardoner, Floridian, RB, GF) for the mafia, we also gain another powerful investigative role in the rolecop. Which takes us from BB and tracker, to BB, tracker and rolecop. So I think it turns out fairly neutral both ways; If they choose to go after the more powerful roles, then we also get a more powerful rolecop.

Again, no one should be claiming what they did or did not get in the thread. The exception to this would be if you were pick 5 and went for rolecop (or pick6 and joat, or pick7 and Bullet Bill) and the role was already taken. Since you are the first person available to take that role(according to the plan), it means a mafia must be in front of you, and swiped the role.



Show nested quote +
On August 24 2010 05:42 ~OpZ~ wrote:

And also, Radfield, you seem to be in the same mindset as PYP 1. Weren't you SK that game?

My recommendation would be for Radfield to be tracked night one. BM to be Bullet Billed. If there is a watcher, I'd say watch Radfield, and I would be more than happy to request medic protection on him.

I would look into Fishball also, but knowing what I know about Fishball, I wouldn't expect too much from him til later in the game.
<3 Fishball



I was SK that game, and my plan was to play extremely pro-town, which I did with stunning success. So much success, that the mafia Day-Vigged me. So if you're trying to say I seem extremely pro-town, then thanks But you raise a good point, at no time can anyone be confirmed to be non-SK solely through their actions. The SK should look like a townie, because it's in the SK's best interest to kill off the mafia.

Also, If you truly think I'm the Serial Killer, you would try to keep me around, not try to kill me off. I made cases against and lynched a mafia on both Day 1 and Day 2 in PYP1, as well as soaking up a hit from the mafia.

At pick #16 I don't need medic protection. Honestly, chances are I'll end up vanilla, which means it's my job to take hits. If I last past night 2, then we can start burning up investigative night actions on me.


It's far too early to be trying to place night actions anyways. We still have 48hours before day 1 ends, and 72 hours before those night actions need to be in place. Plenty of time to scum hunt.


Getting as much of my analysis and information out there before I die (scum has built a wonderful case on me as being SK and getting the attention diverted away from scum hunt):

First Radfield told people not to state their role. I randomed rolecop so I didn't go against the plan at all with the whole exception thing. So I didn't roleclaim because I think its agreed that roleclaiming is a bad idea, but Radfield (and LSB) are pushing for my claim. Not to mention he also suggests keeping the SK around to kill off mafia and soak up hits. And now for some reason he wants me (supposedly the SK) dead - probably cause the SK is a legit threat to scum now since he nailed Subversion successfully day 1 (gj to whoever the SK is btw)

I think he also suggested not to roleclaim yet now he's so interested in what my investigative results were for day 1. Kinda fishy imo. I am going to take the day 1 role check info to the grave - to avoid more people's roles revealed.

Night kill should go to LSB

I think its established that only LSB or chaoser can be the traitor

LSB pointed me out so quickly so its pretty obvious that he knew what I was. In fact its extremely likely that my role was figured out after the Hesmyrr/SR traitor fiasco, since by process of elimination Subversion could only have picked what I had picked.

I wouldn't be surprised if LSB is already recruited. Why?
If I were suspected as the traitor mafia would send someone to use an action on me to recruit me. Why instead did they use a kill? Because they KNEW I wasn't a traitor after the Hesmyrr lynch and I was actually a role cop from Subversion being vanilla. - Just figured this out.

Thus they must've used their actions on LSB to recruit him - and now that the focus has been to nab the SK he has fallen under the radar. In fact he should the #1 suspect of being scum.

So scum knew I was rolecop and could not have possibly been the traitor, and since I lived through the night he and scum all knew I either got protected or was the SK. But they didn't know what happened which is why in the posts a couple pages back LSB kept raising the fact that medics couldn't have protected me to paint me as the SK (but in fact I DID get protected as it has been raised in many people's plans to get medics to protect me).

Conclusions/summary:
1. After Hesmyrr lynch, scum knew I was role cop (and cannot possibly be traitor).
2. Thus the traitor is either 2 or 3, and by my posting analysis it is likely to be 3. LSB so mafia likely sent in actions to recruit him
3. Mafia failed to kill me, so I can only be SK or protected.
4a. The SK currently is considered more of a threat to scum (from the amazing Subversion snipe) so since they think I'm the SK getting rid of me would reduce what they consider a threat.
b. If I'm not SK then they'd still get rid of a role cop - a strong pro town role in its own right.

I wanted to hold out of claiming in the beginning to bait these people out, and when I die today I think I've accomplished more than enough even though I'm the role cop.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 29 2010 03:16 GMT
#996
I want to point out in an earlier post of mine that I have no idea how bum got 4 out of the watcher check.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 29 2010 03:40 GMT
#1003
On August 29 2010 12:30 DarthThienAn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2010 09:26 bumatlarge wrote:
Look at darth trying to downplay what i did. How could I not have claimed without sealing that deal? SK will die (hopefully) because of me. And declaring people as town is FoS in my book, Ive seen and done it all too often. Hell call anyone scum, but watch what you say about clean people.

I dont really need medic protection unless we plan something, oh what kill are we missing? If I die kill darth, divine, pandain. YEAH THATS RIGHT KILL EM.

? At the time of your post, it didn't make sense for you to claim like you did. Especially since you were trying to clear zeks as an innocent, when he's either SK or traitor. You watched zeks and saw 4 people visit him. You assumed it was mafia, doctor, role cop, and some other role, when it was just mafia (Ace hadn't clarified at the time). So what did you accomplish? Aside from outting yourself, all you said was, "zeks was visited by 4 people." What happened as a result of that is great, but it's not something you had planned, and so from that perspective, the claim wasn't effective.

@zeks:

1. How did scum know you were role cop? I guess if you're assuming that Subversion went for role cop. When he could've just as easily gone for any of the top 3 picks, any other role, or not picked at all.
2. Well, I mean, if you're not traitor and SR isn't lying, it's pretty obvious that the traitor is 2 or 3. I too think LSB is more likely traitor though.
3. Let's say you're role cop. Mafia hit you. You survived. How? Explain this to me ^^, Mr. SK/Traitor.
4a. You consider yourself more a threat to the scum... why? Aside from potentially killing one of them (which didn't happen last PYP I don't think, so congrats on your hit), the SK helps the mafia by bringing the town numbers down quicker, doesn't he? So why would scum want to get rid of you?
b. It's all a conspiracy ^^.

1. Its all likelihood - he won't go for the top 3 picks because 1. the plan and likeliness of a top 3 pick passed down to him at #7. It should be agreed that getting a role is better than not getting a role. Most simple answer is usually the answer.
2. Glad you agree.
3. I got protected by a JOAT/medic. If you ask why only 4 people were tracked to me (4 mafia?) I would tell you bum lied.
4a. Not myself, I consider the SK a threat because the SK made a good hit so I guess the SK must be thinking pro-town right now thus scum would want to get rid of the SK asap. The SK can be your best friend or your worst enemy.
b. I think it has been agreed by most that role cop is one of the top town roles to get early - seeing as the finalized list having role cop as early as #5.


So let me get this straight: you're claiming Town Role Cop?

"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 29 2010 03:40 GMT
#1004
Oops I quoted the whole thing including my own comments. Yes, I'm a Town Role cop.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 29 2010 03:42 GMT
#1005
LSB: Yes, claiming the hit was a terrible mistake on my part. Made your job (as scum) a lot easier. My intentions were pro-town.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 29 2010 04:10 GMT
#1010
Pandain are you joking?
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 29 2010 04:14 GMT
#1013
I said I got protected. The reason I kept saying "I could've this...and this could've happened...and this possibility etc" was to state all the alternatives possible. I know what happened.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 29 2010 04:45 GMT
#1019
I really want Ace to confirm whether the pardon worked or not soon - I do have further information that I would like to reveal before I'm hung in 3 hours

I really want to go to sleep soon, I'm driving 9 hours to New York tomorrow morning...(7am est)
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 29 2010 05:00 GMT
#1024
Okay whatever I'm going to sleep - whether Pandain you decide to unpardon me or w/e after me giving you the following info is totally up to you. I'm going to maintain that I am town until my last living breath.

(and if you're actually not pardoner i hate you for playing this practical joke =| )

Fishball did not follow the Radfield draft plan, my role-cop-check returned Bullet Bill.
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
August 29 2010 05:17 GMT
#1028

whoa i just had 666 posts gonna post again for 667 to avoid being cursed or something

well looks like my time is up then (guess its karma for getting pandain killed last time) actually thought i had a chance with the pardon

i'm sk role cop like everyone guessed

combination of the plan + SR not getting traitor + hesmyrr dying pretty much nailed me down, and claiming the hit was my biggest mistake - although scum would probably still put me out there real quick. then from there it went downhill for me pretty quickly

subversion hit was pure luck, i was just moving down the list

Here's my town/mafia list

1. rastaban - town cv
2. chaoser - town bad santa
3. LSB - traitor

5. zeks - SK
6. SouthRawrea - town vanilla

8. Fishball - checked bullet bill likely scum
9. ~Opz~ - JOAT?
10. citi.zen - JOAT?
11. BrownBear - vanilla town
12. JeeJee
13. DarthThienAn
14. siNiquity
15. Divinek
16. Radfield - likely scum

18. bumatlarge - town watcher
19. Pandain

1 more scum lurker in there

well gg everyone, special props to lsb for getting me killed although i hope you won't live much longer. Was nice to draw a non vanilla role for once, had a lot of fun - played terrible though.

in the miracle i get pardoned by the real pardoner i promise ill shoot LSB tmrw =) although i would love to shoot pandain instead.

gone for a week to nyc hope to see the wrap up when i get back

laters


"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
September 06 2010 13:44 GMT
#1728
why did both south and lsb pick traitor (
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
September 07 2010 14:07 GMT
#1769
i wanted to pick of the ppl who would have roles that would out me (ie. JOAT/BB) so i started from the people right below SR.

happens that both 7 and 8 are scum rofl. originally i skipped over subversion and had my kill as fishball, rolecop check OpZ but changed last minute

lsb + SR both picking traitor + hesmyrr lynch made it very difficult for me lol
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
September 08 2010 03:37 GMT
#1788
i of course did not rng
"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
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