Pick Your Power Mafia 2!
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On August 21 2010 01:06 Pandain wrote: Pandain's random list of thoughts/ideas So, unsure as to what to do I'll spit out every possibility that I think might be possible. Which of these should we do/not do and why. 1.Claim what we're going to pick (therefore no townies losing their role and becoming vanilla.) 2.Organize it so that numbers don't overlap(would this be cheating?) 3. Make a super amazing plan involving roles that would make a specific person verified/not.(that would be hard...just an idea.) Thoughts? i already picked my number i dont mind if i share my first number to everyone first | ||
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On August 21 2010 01:22 DarthThienAn wrote: lol, BS's list is SFA. That would be lolz. @your first post: those are all solid roles to pick. @second post: it's not cheating to organize it so that our numbers overlap, but do we really want to publicly claim our picks? That just makes it easier for mafia to avoid us. Last time, what we did was claim after the draft went through. **i have not read the previous pyp* mafia can already plan to pick w/e numbers they want right so obviously they'll all be different by that assumption so probability of two mafia picking same number is 0 probability of two or more of us picking same number is > than probability of one of town and one of mafia pick the same number right? so isn't it better to claim | ||
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Anyways since hesmyrr changed to 7 ill stick with 8. Jus sayin if I draft first I'm most likely taking cv/joat as I deem those high priority for town | ||
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On August 21 2010 19:50 Bill Murray wrote: JeeJee: 1 DTA: 2 rastaban: 3 chaoser:4 LSB: 5 Bill: 6 Hesmyrr: 7 zeks: 8 (unless he changed) rastaban: 9 Radfield: 10 johnnyspazz: 11 Pandain: 12 citi.zen, vx70GTOJudgexv, SouthRawrea, SiNiquity, ~OpZ~ , Fishball, BrownBear, Divinek i didn't change i'm still 8 until further notice. | ||
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the thing is we've been working from 1-20 (some people picked what they want, but for the most part we went in order?) so i think how the last 8 numbers should be picked is important should the last 8 that claim go in order from 13-20? | ||
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DTA: "Prince of Darkness is a huge role to designate, because it forces mafia to never use it, unless it's endgame or unless they want to be revealed." how will prince of darkness l be revealed after using his power? i thought the power is activated through secret PM | ||
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the #1 draft pick taking CV should be no brainer i agree with that, but other than that we should somewhat follow the chain of role importance (as posted from rasta/radfield) loosely. If we follow it 100% then we might as well have mass roleclaimed hope to hear all the number claims before we start the game | ||
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On August 22 2010 04:00 LSB wrote: If you are concerned about blue sniping, I can PM everyone their roles. That way no mafia will know. The day vigi can kill me day 1 to verify that I am town. dont think u can pm | ||
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On August 22 2010 12:20 johnnyspazz wrote: it's not really forced double lynches everyday. we can just no lynch and have the CV shoot. well said. | ||
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On August 23 2010 07:06 Pandain wrote: #1 Comp Vig #2 Bad Santa #3 Prince of Darkness #4 50% Role Cop, 50% Defensive role(Vet, Meth Man, or Bulletproof. 33% chance of each) #5 50% Joat......... 50% Defensive role #6 50% Bullet Bill, 50% Defensive role #7 50% Role Cop, 50% Defensive role #8 50% Joat.........50% Defensive role #9 50% Bullet Bill, 50% Defensive role #10 25% Role Cop, 25% Defensive role, 50% pro town non essential role(Doctor, Doctor, Alignment Cop, Watcher, Copy Cat, Mason. You choose) #11 25% Joat, 25% Defensive role, 50% pro town non essential role #12 25% Bullet Bill, 25% Defensive role, 50% pro town non essential role #13: 50% Bad santa, 50% doctor. #14. 50% Bad Santa, 50% doctor #15. 50% Bad Santa, 50% Copy cat/doctor(25 % each) #16. 50% bad santa, 50% Copycat/doctor (25 percent each) #17 50% role cop, 50% other #18 50% Joat, 50% other #19 50% Bullet Bill, 50% other #20 50% tracker, 50% other The draft as of now. However, this does lead to tracker being less common. Any other suggestions? remind me what the percentages mean? | ||
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On August 23 2010 11:11 Radfield wrote: If by "random ass roles" you mean the very non-random percentages i've layed out at each spot, then yes. #1 Comp Vig #2 Bad Santa #3 Prince of Darkness #4 33/33/33 CV, Bad Santa or PoD #5 50% Role Cop, 50% Defensive role(Vet, Meth Man, or Bulletproof. 33% chance of each) #6 50% Joat......... 50% Defensive role #7 50% Bullet Bill, 50% Defensive role #8 50% Role Cop, 50% Defensive role #9 50% Joat.........50% Defensive role #10 50% Bullet Bill, 50% Defensive role #11 25% Role Cop, 25% Defensive role, 25% Doctor, 25% role of your choice(not tracker) #12 25% Joat, 25% Defensive role, 25% Doctor, 25% role of your choice(not tracker) #13 25% Bullet Bill, 25% Defensive role, 25% Doctor, 25% role of your choice(not tracker) #14. 50% Tracker, 25% doctor, 25% Copy Cat(recommended) or Other(Alignment Cop, Mason, Martyr, etc.) #15. 50% Tracker, 25% doctor, 25% Copy Cat(recommended) or Other #16. 50% Tracker, 25% doctor, 25% Copy Cat(recommended) or Other #17 50% role cop, 50% other #18 50% Joat, 50% other #19 50% Bullet Bill, 50% other #20 50% tracker, 50% other I went by this list to roll for my role for everyones information. | ||
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![]() hesmyrr picked 7 i picked 8 how did southrawrea get in between us two | ||
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role cop50% def role 50% right now i will be sticking with that until i hear more from other ppl i may consider doing rerolling with 33% cc 33% rolecop 33% defensive role will be f5-ing this thread periodically. | ||
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#5 50% Role Cop, 50% Defensive role(Vet, Meth Man, or Bulletproof. 33% chance of each) 1-50 rolecop 50-67 vet 67-83 bulletproof 83-100 methman just sayin, i'm hoping everyone below me follows the plan as well. | ||
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was kind of surprised that dayvig trickled all the way down to the #15 pick - leads me to think most of the people above were gunning for the good roles | ||
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On August 25 2010 23:58 SouthRawrea wrote: Well shit. I would like to announce that at least 2 people did not follow along with the plan made for role picking. if you're stating the obvious in BM / Divinek then yeah but if its something else other than that then i'm assuming the mistakes happened up top at #1-#5 please elaborate. | ||
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if everything went according to that then the people who picked before you: rastaban - CV chaoser - Bad Santa LSB - PoD Hesmyrr - said he was picking anti-town role (if i remember correctly) Me - role cop / copy cat / defensive role (33/33/33) i know u shouldn't be announcing the role but this could be a place to start | ||
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i'm under the impression most of the top #'s went with the plan with one or two anomalies needless to say those anomalies are likely scum, and i feel strongly that there are scum lurking in the top 8. | ||
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wont put me in a very good situation either... | ||
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As for hesmyrr being traitor ill wait for his posts before making a decision | ||
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As for hesmyrr being traitor ill wait for his posts before making a decision | ||
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Mafia may spam all their actions tonight to try and pick up the traitor (given that we dont get the traitor first lynch). It's even easier now since the list has been narrowed down to 5, it is likely they'll use their actions to fish the traitor out. Which is why I'm more worried now that we don't get a traitor tonight. | ||
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The ability to kill 1 player per night belongs to you. One of you must PM me a kill for the night even though all of you participate in the kill. Remember you can coordinate your # picks during the draft phase. The Mafia team this round consists of: Jack, Jill, this bottle and my ecstasy pills! You win when you outnumber the town, or there is no way for them to stop you from outnumbering them. see bolded part. Unless that's some meme or some inside joke I'm assuming theres 4 scum? | ||
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Hesmyrr: His counter claim is valid. The only thing I'm worried about is that he did counter claim CV - which is the safest counter claim as it should be a given at this point that CV was drafted #1 by rastaban. But after everything happened we cannot guarantee that both PoD and Bad Santa have been taken. So if in the case Hesmyrr is scum then the CV claim would make sense from him. Nevertheless he may be honest and did RNG CV and is just a townie. I'm not sold on Hesmyrr yet either way, but we really need to hear from chaoser/LSB. I do suspect both of them to a certain extent (chaoser a bit more because I understand a little about how he plays). So right now for me its between 2,3,4. | ||
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Its just that someone ruined it instead of SR. | ||
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Watcher: If the traitor lives after tonight, watch a random person out of the people remaining from #2 - #5 Tracker: A little bit tougher, but starting from me (#5) we have the possibility of people with active roles. Might be able to snipe scum this way either from their hit or attempts to spam actions to recruit the traitor. So pick someone from #5 - #20 (somewhat big range) | ||
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On August 26 2010 10:07 BrownBear wrote: To be fair, he was not town, he was ninja (3rd party role). He was just playing more town-aligned. You can also go a game back when he was Miller | ||
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From the evidence/analysis presented | ||
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On August 26 2010 11:41 Divinek wrote: if you read the thread! ![]() it says that after majority is hit, twilight will take up the remainder of the day so i guess you'd just have to cast a meaningless vote, which is kinda silly and doesnt make you look very good but i suppose that's what would go down i imagine people will do their best to hold off on majority so meaningful discussion can continue for as long as possible about the lynch candidates etc mm did not realize Hesmyrr is actually in such a hole agreed with the meaningful discussion part which is why i'll ninja-unvote Hesmyrr for now ##unvote not because of what OpZ just said | ||
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##unvote to make it official hmm i feel like we're going to have a bill murray successor this game | ||
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I mean sure its two night phases we skip a lynch (most of the time we lynch one of our own) and mafia gets 2 kills - but doesn't it also give our town roles more chances to act? (ie. cops get double the checks) We'd also have more information going into the next day to make a more educated lynch. It's just essentially a no lynch don't see how it can give scum a big advantage which is what people have been suggesting. Having said that I am against a no lynch tonight just cause I think its imminent to nab the traitor | ||
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##vote Hesmyrr | ||
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what are you trying to pull | ||
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take into consideration what you know already (the roles that are already put out there) and the likelihood of other peoplehaving roles (ie. 7-10) then make an informed decision. usually the simplest answer is the answer. | ||
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but note that he's Vanilla by not picking at all not picking something that was picked | ||
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1. Role cop - you nail a good town role 2. I'm suspected of being a traitor - hitting me might possibly nab the traitor 3. One less possibility of someone being traitor | ||
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On August 28 2010 10:25 Radfield wrote: Still a chance you're the traitor and they hit you last night ![]() In which case I would be scum now. | ||
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On August 28 2010 16:53 DarthThienAn wrote: Hmm. Let's assume zeks is traitor and was recruited by a mafia night action. Assuming no one counterclaims taking a hit later today, mafia targeted him with their night kill - like someone said, win/win in regard to zeks being #5 and possible traitor. What are the advantages of him coming forward about being hit? Well, it buys him credibility (posting almost immediately), and it's a pro-town thing to claim after being hit by mafia (it was obviously a mafia hit, unless, again, a counterclaim later today). What are the disadvantages? People know he took a hit, and therefore, he's thrust into the spotlight. Why would he claim if he could've just slipped by while the town raged about someone not coming forward? Stay in the shadows, etc. To me, it makes a lot more sense for him not to say anything, and to stay under the radar and all that. So I really doubt that he's the traitor. Another thing I'd like to point out is that mafia most likely don't have roleblocker - zeks would've claimed "roleblocked" as well if that was the case, correct? It makes the most sense for mafia to roleblock + night hit the same person, just in case of bulletproof. Especially with only 1 KP, it makes missing a hit/failing a hit extremely costly for them. This is assuming that zeks isn't a traitor lying to us of course. This. Subversion flipped Vanilla. Scum has a maximum of 4? actions given all scum drafted something. I think it would make sense to throw all their actions out to fish out the traitor now that the top 6 is heavily under suspicion. However, instead of using a role-action to try to recruit me they decided to use their hit. Like DTA said what advantages would I have from claiming a hit? Obviously I don't expect to suddenly be the center of the town circle free of all innoncence, I just think it's a pro-town move on my part and it doesn't get us finger pointing everywhere. | ||
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Something that I've discovered SR #6 below me is assumed vanilla town, Subversion at #7 was vanilla mafia Which means Subversion could've overlaped with 1. rastaban CV 2. chaoser Bad Santa/traitor 3. LSB PoD/traitor 5. me RC/CC/Defensive role/traitor Likelihood of Subversion picking CV next to nothing Bad Santa or PoD Don't see why Subversion will pick those either. Traitor: He's scum so he wouldn't pick traitor. me: RC/CC/Defensive Role Subversion likely overlapped with me and since Subversion is dead then it is likely that scum would know what my role is... Unless Subversion overlapped with SouthRawrea, then that means South never picked traitor in the beginning - which doesn't make sense because South would be a townie with a role but lied about being a traitor Thus conclusion: mafia knows my role and wants me dead by lynch since they couldn't finish the job last night Which is why I'm not claiming because they will call me out on it. | ||
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On August 29 2010 04:44 LSB wrote: Okay, so the Mafia already knows your role. Why aren't you telling us? Are you worried the Mafia is going to fake claim? If that happens, we can easily kill the Mafia. Are you hiding something? Assuming mafia knows my role - then they already know how I survived last night. I'm not going to get into a 1v1 role claim / counter claim scenario - look what happened to the citi.zen vs. SouthRawrea mad hatter counter claim. I don't think that would be in town's best interest. | ||
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I have no idea how bumatlarge got only 4 people from his watch, because I'm not the SK and I lived - to my surprise so someone must've protected me. I know I'm going to die today as now I fit the perfect profiling of an SK - but please evaluate why LSB was so sure I was role cop - not to mention now only 2 suspects are remaining for the traitor and he is one of them. Radfields push for my lynch and wanting to know who I rolecheck I also find a little bit suspicious. I apologize for my poor play and allowing scum to corner me this easily. If I go down today I blame no one but myself. | ||
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On August 24 2010 08:16 Radfield wrote: Citi.zen's Post+ Show Spoiler + On August 23 2010 23:55 citi.zen wrote: I like the probabilistic nature of the list, but still fret about how the mafia/Sk can take advantage of it. Some concerns: 1. "Reserved" roles. Lower drafting mafia (and the SK, for that matter) can take whatever role they want and claim they didn't get any role. For example, grab any of Pardoner / Floridian(great for SK) / Role Blocker / God Father then say "uhhh... I went for a defensive role but it was taken". I know Radfield said he's not too concerned with these roles, but to me they are a HUGE deal late game - think of all the missed lynches we can have. They are, after all, in the game to help the mafia. It's true that in principle we could verify "plain vanilla" claims, but in reality sorting it out will take too long & the mafia can always justify their claim based on how dead people flipped. So all these roles are too safe for the mafia to grab for my liking. 2. Blue sniping. The list still makes finding investigative roles quite easy once the lynchings start. Once the meth man is dead th SK can get a very clear hit list with likely bullet bill and the tracker candidates. I cannot emphasize this enough: once the drafting phase is over, don't start claiming your roles in the thread unless yo are 100% sure it leads to catching a liar. You might think claiming what you got or didn't get does you no harm, but remember it will also reveal information about other players. 3. The list. For me there are two key town investigative roles: bullet bill and tracker. These are great roles to find mafia and the only ones to detect the SK. The alignment cop is also important, but given their uncertain sanity + inability to detect SK/GF it's a lot weaker in my book. I'd suggest prioritizing bullet bill over all other investigative roles, placing tracker next on our list and leaving the alignment cop for last. Finally, please don't just feel like you are doing your job at this stage by using an RNG and calling it a day. Help us improve this plan by thinking critically, or we'll be screwed later on. First off, something we need to be very careful of: If we follow this plan, no one can reveal if they got, or did not get the role they went for. DO NOT STATE IF YOU GET YOUR ROLE OR NOT. Posting that you are vanilla gives the mafia the information they need to hunt down our powerful investigative roles. It's very important that everyone's role, or lack of a role, is kept hidden, at least for the first part of the game. Citizen, remember that by leaving those roles(Pardoner, Floridian, RB, GF) for the mafia, we also gain another powerful investigative role in the rolecop. Which takes us from BB and tracker, to BB, tracker and rolecop. So I think it turns out fairly neutral both ways; If they choose to go after the more powerful roles, then we also get a more powerful rolecop. Again, no one should be claiming what they did or did not get in the thread. The exception to this would be if you were pick 5 and went for rolecop (or pick6 and joat, or pick7 and Bullet Bill) and the role was already taken. Since you are the first person available to take that role(according to the plan), it means a mafia must be in front of you, and swiped the role. I was SK that game, and my plan was to play extremely pro-town, which I did with stunning success. So much success, that the mafia Day-Vigged me. So if you're trying to say I seem extremely pro-town, then thanks ![]() Also, If you truly think I'm the Serial Killer, you would try to keep me around, not try to kill me off. I made cases against and lynched a mafia on both Day 1 and Day 2 in PYP1, as well as soaking up a hit from the mafia. At pick #16 I don't need medic protection. Honestly, chances are I'll end up vanilla, which means it's my job to take hits. If I last past night 2, then we can start burning up investigative night actions on me. It's far too early to be trying to place night actions anyways. We still have 48hours before day 1 ends, and 72 hours before those night actions need to be in place. Plenty of time to scum hunt. Getting as much of my analysis and information out there before I die (scum has built a wonderful case on me as being SK and getting the attention diverted away from scum hunt): First Radfield told people not to state their role. I randomed rolecop so I didn't go against the plan at all with the whole exception thing. So I didn't roleclaim because I think its agreed that roleclaiming is a bad idea, but Radfield (and LSB) are pushing for my claim. Not to mention he also suggests keeping the SK around to kill off mafia and soak up hits. And now for some reason he wants me (supposedly the SK) dead - probably cause the SK is a legit threat to scum now since he nailed Subversion successfully day 1 (gj to whoever the SK is btw) I think he also suggested not to roleclaim yet now he's so interested in what my investigative results were for day 1. Kinda fishy imo. I am going to take the day 1 role check info to the grave - to avoid more people's roles revealed. Night kill should go to LSB I think its established that only LSB or chaoser can be the traitor LSB pointed me out so quickly so its pretty obvious that he knew what I was. In fact its extremely likely that my role was figured out after the Hesmyrr/SR traitor fiasco, since by process of elimination Subversion could only have picked what I had picked. I wouldn't be surprised if LSB is already recruited. Why? If I were suspected as the traitor mafia would send someone to use an action on me to recruit me. Why instead did they use a kill? Because they KNEW I wasn't a traitor after the Hesmyrr lynch and I was actually a role cop from Subversion being vanilla. - Just figured this out. Thus they must've used their actions on LSB to recruit him - and now that the focus has been to nab the SK he has fallen under the radar. In fact he should the #1 suspect of being scum. So scum knew I was rolecop and could not have possibly been the traitor, and since I lived through the night he and scum all knew I either got protected or was the SK. But they didn't know what happened which is why in the posts a couple pages back LSB kept raising the fact that medics couldn't have protected me to paint me as the SK (but in fact I DID get protected as it has been raised in many people's plans to get medics to protect me). Conclusions/summary: 1. After Hesmyrr lynch, scum knew I was role cop (and cannot possibly be traitor). 2. Thus the traitor is either 2 or 3, and by my posting analysis it is likely to be 3. LSB so mafia likely sent in actions to recruit him 3. Mafia failed to kill me, so I can only be SK or protected. 4a. The SK currently is considered more of a threat to scum (from the amazing Subversion snipe) so since they think I'm the SK getting rid of me would reduce what they consider a threat. b. If I'm not SK then they'd still get rid of a role cop - a strong pro town role in its own right. I wanted to hold out of claiming in the beginning to bait these people out, and when I die today I think I've accomplished more than enough even though I'm the role cop. | ||
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On August 29 2010 12:30 DarthThienAn wrote: ? At the time of your post, it didn't make sense for you to claim like you did. Especially since you were trying to clear zeks as an innocent, when he's either SK or traitor. You watched zeks and saw 4 people visit him. You assumed it was mafia, doctor, role cop, and some other role, when it was just mafia (Ace hadn't clarified at the time). So what did you accomplish? Aside from outting yourself, all you said was, "zeks was visited by 4 people." What happened as a result of that is great, but it's not something you had planned, and so from that perspective, the claim wasn't effective. @zeks: 1. How did scum know you were role cop? I guess if you're assuming that Subversion went for role cop. When he could've just as easily gone for any of the top 3 picks, any other role, or not picked at all. 2. Well, I mean, if you're not traitor and SR isn't lying, it's pretty obvious that the traitor is 2 or 3. I too think LSB is more likely traitor though. 3. Let's say you're role cop. Mafia hit you. You survived. How? Explain this to me ^^, Mr. SK/Traitor. 4a. You consider yourself more a threat to the scum... why? Aside from potentially killing one of them (which didn't happen last PYP I don't think, so congrats on your hit), the SK helps the mafia by bringing the town numbers down quicker, doesn't he? So why would scum want to get rid of you? b. It's all a conspiracy ^^. 1. Its all likelihood - he won't go for the top 3 picks because 1. the plan and likeliness of a top 3 pick passed down to him at #7. It should be agreed that getting a role is better than not getting a role. Most simple answer is usually the answer. 2. Glad you agree. 3. I got protected by a JOAT/medic. If you ask why only 4 people were tracked to me (4 mafia?) I would tell you bum lied. 4a. Not myself, I consider the SK a threat because the SK made a good hit so I guess the SK must be thinking pro-town right now thus scum would want to get rid of the SK asap. The SK can be your best friend or your worst enemy. b. I think it has been agreed by most that role cop is one of the top town roles to get early - seeing as the finalized list having role cop as early as #5. So let me get this straight: you're claiming Town Role Cop? | ||
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I really want to go to sleep soon, I'm driving 9 hours to New York tomorrow morning...(7am est) | ||
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(and if you're actually not pardoner i hate you for playing this practical joke =| ) Fishball did not follow the Radfield draft plan, my role-cop-check returned Bullet Bill. | ||
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whoa i just had 666 posts gonna post again for 667 to avoid being cursed or something ![]() well looks like my time is up then (guess its karma for getting pandain killed last time) actually thought i had a chance with the pardon i'm sk role cop like everyone guessed combination of the plan + SR not getting traitor + hesmyrr dying pretty much nailed me down, and claiming the hit was my biggest mistake - although scum would probably still put me out there real quick. then from there it went downhill for me pretty quickly subversion hit was pure luck, i was just moving down the list Here's my town/mafia list 1. rastaban - town cv 2. chaoser - town bad santa 3. LSB - traitor 5. zeks - SK 6. SouthRawrea - town vanilla 8. Fishball - checked bullet bill likely scum 9. ~Opz~ - JOAT? 10. citi.zen - JOAT? 11. BrownBear - vanilla town 12. JeeJee 13. DarthThienAn 14. siNiquity 15. Divinek 16. Radfield - likely scum 18. bumatlarge - town watcher 19. Pandain 1 more scum lurker in there well gg everyone, special props to lsb for getting me killed although i hope you won't live much longer. Was nice to draw a non vanilla role for once, had a lot of fun - played terrible though. in the miracle i get pardoned by the real pardoner i promise ill shoot LSB tmrw =) although i would love to shoot pandain instead. gone for a week to nyc hope to see the wrap up when i get back laters | ||
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happens that both 7 and 8 are scum rofl. originally i skipped over subversion and had my kill as fishball, rolecop check OpZ but changed last minute lsb + SR both picking traitor + hesmyrr lynch made it very difficult for me lol | ||
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